Q3 News Release

Imperial earns $1 billion in third quarter of 2016

Imperial’s third quarter results reflect the company’s disciplined approach to cost management, operational integrity and capturing the value of its integrated business model.

Earnings in the quarter were $1,003 million, or $1.18 per-share, including a gain of $716 million ($0.84 per-share) from the sale of retail sites. This compares to earnings of $479 million in the third quarter of 2015. The sale of the company-owned Esso retail sites for $2.8 billion, announced in the first quarter, is expected to be complete by year end. Currently, more than 200 sites involved in the sale have converted to the Esso branded distributor operating model, representing more than 40 percent of the total transaction value.

Imperial continues to focus its efforts on reducing costs and prudently managing cash in a low commodity price environment. “Upstream unit cash costs are averaging less than US$20 per barrel year to date,” said Rich Kruger, chairman, president and chief executive officer. “That’s a decline of more than 35 percent since 2014 when global crude prices began their descent. It’s a testament to our team’s unrelenting focus on operational excellence and profitability.” Third quarter capital and exploration expenditures were $205 million, down $937 million from 2015, reflecting the completion of major upstream growth projects and an ongoing focus on capital selectivity.

Gross oil-equivalent production was 393,000 barrels per day, up 7,000 barrels per day compared to the same period in 2015 and up by 64,000 barrels per day compared to the second quarter. Syncrude production averaged 85,000 barrels per day (Imperial’s share), up 26,000 barrels per day from the same quarter of 2015. “The increase in production illustrates the company’s strong recovery from the effects of the northern Alberta wildfires,” Kruger said. “Syncrude achieved the second highest quarterly production in its nearly 40-year history, reflecting ongoing efforts to improve the reliability of operations.”

Refinery throughput was 407,000 barrels per day, an increase of 17,000 barrels per day compared to the same quarter of 2015. Refinery capacity utilization approached a record high at 97 percent, an increase of 4 percent from the comparable period in 2015. The company achieved record high petroleum product sales of 505,000 barrels per day, compared to 495,000 barrels per day in the same period of 2015.

The company continues to evaluate the pace and scope of future investments in light of overall market and business conditions. Our objective remains to deliver industry leading performance in all business environments.

After more than a century, Imperial continues to be an industry leader in applying technology and innovation to responsibly develop Canada’s energy resources. As Canada’s largest petroleum refiner, a major producer of crude oil and natural gas, a key petrochemical producer and a leading fuels marketer from coast to coast, our company remains committed to high standards across all areas of our business.

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Third quarter highlights

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Third quarter 2016 vs. third quarter 2015

The company’s net income for the third quarter of 2016 was $1,003 million or $1.18 per-share on a diluted basis, compared to net income of $479 million or $0.56 per-share for the same period last year. Third quarter 2016 results included a $716 million ($0.84 per-share) gain from the sale of retail sites.

Upstream recorded a net loss in the third quarter of $26 million, compared to a net loss of $52 million in the same period of 2015. Results in the third quarter of 2016 mainly reflect the impact of higher Syncrude volumes of about $90 million and lower operating expenses, partially offset by lower realizations of about $90 million.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) averaged US$44.94 per barrel in the third quarter of 2016, down from US$46.57 per barrel in the same quarter of 2015. Western Canada Select (WCS) averaged US$31.43 per barrel and US$33.38 per barrel respectively for the same periods. The WTI / WCS differential widened to 30 percent in the third quarter of 2016, from 28 percent in the same period of 2015.

The Canadian dollar averaged US$0.77 in the third quarter of 2016 and was essentially unchanged versus the same period of 2015.

Imperial’s average Canadian dollar realizations for bitumen and synthetic crudes declined essentially in line with the North American benchmarks, adjusted for changes in the exchange rate and transportation costs. Bitumen realizations averaged $30.16 per barrel for the third quarter of 2016, a decrease of $2.45 per barrel versus the third quarter of 2015. Synthetic crude realizations averaged $58.97 per barrel, a decrease of $2.24 per barrel for the same period of 2015.

Gross production of Cold Lake bitumen averaged 157,000 barrels per day in the third quarter, compared to 166,000 barrels in the same period last year. The lower production was mainly due to the timing of steam cycles.

Gross production of Kearl bitumen averaged 159,000 barrels per day in the third quarter (113,000 barrels Imperial’s share) compared to 181,000 barrels per day (128,000 barrels Imperial’s share) during the third quarter of 2015. Lower production was the result of planned and unplanned maintenance activities.

The company’s share of gross production from Syncrude averaged 85,000 barrels per day, up from 59,000 barrels in the third quarter of 2015. Increased production reflects ongoing efforts to improve the reliability of operations.

Downstream net income was $1,002 million in the third quarter, compared to $454 million in the same period of 2015. Earnings increased mainly due to a gain of $716 million from the sale of retail sites, improved refinery operations of $80 million and higher marketing sales volumes of $50 million, partially offset by lower industry margins of about $300 million.

Refinery throughput averaged 407,000 barrels per day, up from 390,000 barrels in the third quarter of 2015. Increased throughput reflects lower maintenance activities than in the same period of 2015.

Petroleum product sales were 505,000 barrels per day, up from 495,000 barrels per day in the third quarter of 2015, with growth concentrated in the higher value commercial and retail channels.

Chemical net income was $56 million in the third quarter, compared to $78 million in the same quarter of 2015.

Net income effects from Corporate and Other were negative $29 million in the third quarter, compared to negative $1 million in the same period of 2015.

Cash flow generated from operating activities was $772 million in the third quarter, compared with $1,104 million in the corresponding period in 2015, reflecting lower earnings, excluding the gain on the sale of retail sites.

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Investing activities generated net cash of $1,005 million in the third quarter, compared with cash used in investing activities of $619 million in the same period of 2015, reflecting proceeds from asset sales in 2016 and the completion of major upstream growth projects.

Cash used in financing activities was $1,724 million in the third quarter, compared with $147 million in the third quarter of 2015. Cash from operating activities and proceeds from asset sales were mainly used in the third quarter of 2016 to reduce outstanding short-term debt. Dividends paid in the third quarter of 2016 were $127 million. The per-share dividend paid in the third quarter was $0.15, up from $0.13 in the same period of 2015.

The company’s cash balance was $248 million at September 30, 2016, versus $366 million at the end of the third quarter of 2015.

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Nine months highlights

Nine months 2016 vs. nine months 2015

Net income in the first nine months of 2016 was $721 million, or $0.85 per-share on a diluted basis, including a gain of $719 million ($0.85 per-share) from the sale of retail sites, versus net income of $1,020 million or $1.20 per-share for the first nine months of 2015.

Upstream recorded a net loss of $764 million for the first nine months of 2016, compared to a net loss of $415 million for the same period last year. The loss in 2016 reflected lower realizations of about $970 million, the impact of the northern Alberta wildfires of about $155 million and higher depreciation expense of about $90 million. These factors were partially offset by higher volumes of about $230 million, the impact of a weaker Canadian dollar of about $130 million, the favourable impact of lower royalties of about $90 million and lower energy cost of about $60 million. Earnings in 2015 reflected the impact associated with the Alberta corporate income tax rate increase of about $327 million.

West Texas Intermediate averaged US$41.54 per barrel in the first nine months of 2016, down from US$51.03 per barrel in the same period last year. Western Canada Select averaged US$27.74 per barrel and US$37.89 per barrel respectively for the same periods. The WTI/WCS differential widened to 33 percent in the first nine months of 2016, up from 26 percent in the same period of 2015.

During the first nine months of 2016, the Canadian dollar weakened relative to the U.S. dollar versus the same period of 2015. The Canadian dollar averaged US$0.76 in the first nine months of 2016, a decrease of almost US$0.04 from the same period of 2015.

Imperial’s average Canadian dollar realizations for bitumen and synthetic crudes declined essentially in line with the North American benchmarks, adjusted for changes in the exchange rate and transportation costs. Bitumen realizations averaged $23.77 (US$18.18) for the first nine months of 2016, a decrease of $12.71 per barrel versus the same period of 2015. Synthetic crude realizations averaged $53.45 (US$40.33) per barrel, a decrease of $9.58 per barrel for the same period of 2015.

Gross production of Cold Lake bitumen averaged 162,000 barrels per day in the first nine months, up from 160,000 barrels from the same period last year. Production from the expansion project offset the impacts from cycle timing.

Gross production of Kearl bitumen averaged 169,000 barrels per day in the first nine months of 2016 (120,000 barrels Imperial’s share) compared to 136,000 barrels per day (96,000 barrels Imperial’s share) for the same period of 2015. The increase was the result of start-up of the expansion project and improved reliability of the initial development.

During the first nine months of 2016, the company’s share of gross production from Syncrude averaged 61,000 barrels per day, consistent with the same period of 2015.

Downstream net income was $1,393 million, up from $1,234 million from the same period of 2015. Earnings increased mainly due to a gain of $719 million from the sale of retail sites, the impact of a weaker Canadian dollar of about $130 million, higher marketing sales volumes of $70 million and lower fuels marketing operating costs of about $50 million, partially offset by lower downstream margins of about $780 million.

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Refinery throughput averaged 351,000 barrels per day in the first nine months of 2016, compared to 385,000 barrels in the same period of 2015. Capacity utilization decreased to 83 percent from 92 percent in the same period of 2015, reflecting the more significant scope of turnaround maintenance activity in the current year.

Petroleum product sales were 481,000 barrels per day in the first nine months of 2016, compared to 482,000 barrels per day in the same period of 2015.

Chemical net income was $160 million, compared to $213 million in the same period of 2015.

For the first nine months of 2016, net income effects from Corporate and Other were negative $68 million, versus negative $12 million in 2015, primarily due to lower capitalized interest and the absence of the impact from the Alberta tax rate increase in 2015.

Cash flow generated from operating activities was $1,264 million in the first nine months of 2016, compared with $1,762 million in the same period of 2015, reflecting lower earnings, excluding the gain on retail sites.

Investing activities generated net cash of $350 million in the first nine months of 2016, compared with cash used in investing activities of $2,345 million in the same period of 2015, reflecting proceeds from asset sales and the completion of major upstream growth projects.

Cash used in financing activities was $1,569 million in the first nine months of 2016, compared with cash provided by financing activities of $734 million in the same period of 2015. Cash from operating activities and proceeds from the asset sales were used to reduce outstanding short-term debt. Dividends paid in the first nine months of 2016 were $364 million. The per-share dividend paid in the first nine months was $0.43, up from $0.39 in the same period of 2015.

Oil and gas reserves

If prices in the range seen during the first nine months of 2016 persist for the remainder of the year, under the SEC definition of proved reserves, certain quantities of oil, such as those associated with all or part of the oil sands operations at Kearl and Cold Lake will not qualify as proved reserves at year-end 2016. Amounts that could be required to be de-booked as proved reserves on an SEC basis amount to approximately 2.6 billion barrels of bitumen at Kearl and approximately 0.4 billion barrels at Cold Lake, and will be determined once the price and costs have been finalized at year-end. Among the factors that would result in these reserves being re-booked as proved reserves at some point in the future are a recovery in price levels, a further decline in costs, and / or operating efficiencies. Under the terms of government royalty regimes, lower prices can also increase proved reserves attributable to Imperial. The company does not expect the de-booking of reported proved reserves under the SEC definitions to affect the operation of the underlying projects or to alter our outlook for future production volumes.

Impact of oil and gas reserves and prices and margins on testing for impairment

In light of continued weakness in the upstream industry environment during 2016, and as part of Imperial’s annual planning and budgeting process, the company is performing an assessment of its major long-lived assets most at risk for potential impairment, similar to the exercise undertaken in late 2015. The assessment reflects crude and natural gas price outlooks consistent with those that management uses to evaluate investment opportunities and generally consistent with the long-term price forecasts published by third-party industry experts. Development of future undiscounted cash flow estimates requires significant management judgement, particularly in cases where an asset’s life is expected to extend decades into the future. An asset group would be impaired if its estimated undiscounted cash flows were less than the asset’s carrying value, and impairment would be measured by the amount by which the carrying value exceeds fair value. Imperial will complete its asset recoverability assessment and analyze the conclusions of that assessment in connection with the preparation and review of the company’s year-end financial statements for inclusion in its 2016 Form 10-K. Until these activities are complete, it is not practicable to reasonably estimate the existence or range of potential future impairments related to the company’s long-lived assets.

Key financial and operating data follow.

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Forward-looking statements

Statements of future events or conditions in this report, including projections, targets, expectations, estimates, and business plans are forward-looking statements. Actual future financial and operating results, including demand growth and energy source mix; production growth and mix; project plans, dates, costs and capacities; production rates; production life and resource recoveries; cost savings; product sales; financing sources; and capital and environmental expenditures could differ materially depending on a number of factors, such as changes in the supply of and demand for crude oil, natural gas, and petroleum and petrochemical products and resulting price impacts; availability and allocation of capital; currency exchange rates; political or regulatory events; project schedules; commercial negotiations; the receipt, in a timely manner, of regulatory and third-party approvals; unanticipated operational disruptions; unexpected technological developments; and other factors discussed in this report and Item 1A of Imperial’s most recent Form 10-K. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve a number of risks and uncertainties, some that are similar to other oil and gas companies and some that are unique to Imperial. Imperial’s actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied by its forward-looking statements and readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on them. Imperial undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements contained herein, except as required by applicable law.

The term “project” as used in this release can refer to a variety of different activities and does not necessarily have the same meaning as in any government payment transparency reports.

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Attachment I

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Attachment II

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Attachment III

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Attachment IV

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Attachment V

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