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8-K - 8-K - EMC INSURANCE GROUP INCearnings8k20151231.htm
EXHIBIT 99


EMC Insurance Group Inc. Reports 2015 Fourth Quarter
and Year-End Results and 2016 Operating Income
Guidance, and Announces a Presentation by Management
at the 20th Annual NYSSA Insurance Conference



Fourth Quarter Ended December 31, 2015
Operating Income Per Share - $0.65
Net Income Per Share - $0.48
Net Realized Investment Losses Per Share - $0.17
Catastrophe and Storm Losses Per Share - $0.11
Large Losses Per Share - $0.40
GAAP Combined Ratio - 94.1 percent

Year Ended December 31, 2015
Operating Income Per Share - $2.24
Net Income Per Share - $2.43
Net Realized Investment Gains Per Share - $0.19
Catastrophe and Storm Losses Per Share - $1.40
Large Losses Per Share - $1.08
GAAP Combined Ratio - 96.3 percent

2016 Operating Income Guidance - $1.70 to $1.90 per share

DES MOINES, Iowa (February 12, 2016) - EMC Insurance Group Inc. (NASDAQ OMX/GS:EMCI) today reported operating income of $13.4 million ($0.65 per share) for the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2015, compared to operating income of $15.4 million ($0.76 per share) for the fourth quarter of 20141. For the year ended December 31, 2015, the Company reported operating income of $46.2 million ($2.24 per share), compared to $27.2 million ($1.34 per share) for the same period in 2014.

Net income, including realized investment gains and losses, totaled $9.9 million ($0.48 per share) for the fourth quarter of 2015, compared to $16.2 million ($0.80 per share) for the fourth quarter of 2014. For the year ended December 31, 2015, the Company reported net income of $50.2 million ($2.43 per share), compared to $30.0 million ($1.48 per share) for the same period in 2014.

The Company’s GAAP combined ratio was 94.1 percent in the fourth quarter of 2015, compared to 92.5 percent in the fourth quarter of 2014. For the year ended December 31, 2015, the Company’s GAAP combined ratio was 96.3 percent, compared to 101.9 percent in 2014.

“This is our lowest annual combined ratio since 2006,” stated President and Chief Executive Officer Bruce G. Kelley. “We have strived to improve premium rate adequacy and the quality of our book of business. Seeing positive results from our efforts is satisfying.”
 



Management is projecting 2016 operating income will be within a range of $1.70 to $1.90 per share. This guidance is based on a projected GAAP combined ratio of 98.7 percent for the year and investment income growth in the low- to mid-single digits. The projected GAAP combined ratio has a load of 9.1 points for catastrophe and storm losses, up from the relatively low 7.8 points experienced in 2015.

Kelley continued, “The 2016 operating income guidance reflects management’s expectations for an increasingly competitive rate environment and a slightly higher level of catastrophe and storm losses. Looking ahead to 2016, it is important to note that both the property and casualty insurance segment and the reinsurance segment have new reinsurance arrangements in place with our parent company, Employers Mutual Casualty Company, which are expected to reduce the volatility of quarterly results caused by excessive catastrophe and storm losses. This should result in more consistent quarterly operating results than in the past.” Final regulatory approval of both intercompany reinsurance programs was received on February 10, 2016.

Premiums earned increased 4.3 percent to $141.1 million for the fourth quarter of 2015, from $135.4 million in 2014. In the property and casualty insurance segment, premiums earned increased 3.9 percent, with the majority of the increase attributable to rate level increases on renewal business and growth in new business in the commercial lines of business. In the reinsurance segment, premiums earned increased 5.6 percent; however, premium adjustments made in the fourth quarters of 2015 and 2014 are impacting this percentage increase. In the fourth quarter of 2015, a negative premium adjustment of $7.2 million reported by the ceding company for the offshore energy and liability proportional account was recorded to reduce the ultimate amount of premiums expected to be earned for underwriting years 2012 through 2014. In the fourth quarter of 2014, an $8.7 million reduction in earned but not reported (EBNR) premiums was recognized on pro rata contracts. Without these adjustments, earned premiums in the reinsurance segment would have declined approximately 0.2 percent in the fourth quarter. For the year ended December 31, 2015, premiums earned increased 5.5 percent (5.9 percent in the property and casualty insurance segment and 4.0 percent in the reinsurance segment). For calendar year 2014, the total EBNR premium adjustment on pro rata accounts amounted to $7.7 million. Without this adjustment and the 2015 adjustment noted above, the reinsurance segment’s earned premiums for calendar year 2015 would have increased approximately 3.3 percent, primarily due to a significant increase in pro rata business in the Mutual Reinsurance Bureau underwriting association. The premium adjustments made in 2015 and 2014 did not have a material impact on net income because corresponding adjustments were made to incurred but not reported loss reserves, commission expense reserves and the cost of the excess of loss reinsurance protection.

Catastrophe and storm losses totaled $3.6 million ($0.11 per share after tax) in the fourth quarter of 2015, compared to $4.4 million ($0.14 per share after tax) in the fourth quarter of 2014. Fourth quarter catastrophe and storm losses accounted for 2.6 percentage points of the combined ratio, which is below the Company’s most recent 10-year average of 3.4 percentage points for this period and the 3.3 percentage points experienced in the fourth quarter of 2014. For the year ended December 31, 2015, catastrophe and storm losses totaled $44.4 million ($1.40 per share after tax), compared to $57.3 million ($1.84 per share after tax) in 2014. On a segment basis, catastrophe and storm losses amounted to $958,000 ($0.03 per share after tax) and $29.6 million ($0.93 per share after tax) in the property and casualty insurance segment, and $2.7 million ($0.08 per share after tax) and $14.8 million ($0.47 per share after tax) in the reinsurance segment, for the fourth quarter and year ended December 31, 2015, respectively.




The Company reported $15.2 million ($0.47 per share after tax) of favorable development on prior years’ reserves during the fourth quarter of 2015, compared to $9.9 million ($0.32 per share after tax) in the fourth quarter of 2014. For the year ended December 31, 2015, favorable development totaled $35.1 million ($1.11 per share after tax), compared to $20.8 million ($0.67 per share after tax) in 2014. The development amounts reported for the fourth quarter and year ended 2015 include approximately $1.9 million of favorable development and $618,000 of adverse development, respectively, that resulted solely from changes in the allocation of bulk reserves between the current and prior accident years, compared to $2.2 million of favorable development for the fourth quarter and year ended 2014. Development on prior years’ reserves resulting solely from changes in the allocation of bulk reserves between the current and prior accident years does not have an impact on earnings. This is due to the fact that such development is simply a mathematical by-product of the mechanical process used to reallocate total bulk reserves to the various accident years. Earnings are only impacted by changes in the total amount of carried reserves.
 
Excluding the development amounts that resulted solely from changes in the allocation of bulk reserves between accident years, the implied amounts of favorable development that had an impact on earnings would be approximately $13.3 million and $35.7 million for the fourth quarter and year ended 2015, compared to $7.7 million and $18.6 million for the same periods in 2014. Favorable development on prior years’ reserves increased in the reinsurance segment due to a reduction in reserves on property treaties and one casualty treaty.

Estimating loss and settlement expense reserves for asbestos claims is very difficult due to the many uncertainties surrounding these types of claims. While the Company does not have a significant amount of exposure to asbestos claims, management has been proactive in strengthening the reserves carried for these exposures when deemed necessary. During the fourth quarter of 2015, the Company strengthened asbestos reserves by approximately $2.3 million ($0.07 per share after taxes). For the year, asbestos reserves were strengthened by approximately $4.1 million ($0.13 per share after taxes).

Development amounts can vary significantly from quarter to quarter and year to year depending on a number of factors, including the number of claims settled and the settlement terms, and should therefore not be considered a reliable factor in assessing the adequacy of the Company’s carried reserves. The most recent actuarial analysis of the Company’s carried reserves indicates that carried reserves remain in the top quartile of the range of reasonable reserves.

Large losses (which the Company defines as losses greater than $500,000 for the EMC Insurance Companies pool, excluding catastrophe and storm losses) increased slightly to $12.8 million ($0.40 per share after tax) in the fourth quarter of 2015 from $11.9 million ($0.38 per share after tax) in the fourth quarter of 2014. For the year ended December 31, 2015, large losses decreased to $34.2 million ($1.08 per share after tax) from $35.7 million ($1.15 per share after tax) in 2014.

Net investment income declined 3.3 percent and 1.9 percent to $11.6 million and $45.6 million for the fourth quarter and year ended December 31, 2015, from $12.0 million and $46.5 million for the same periods in 2014. Net investment income for the year ended 2014 included approximately $442,000 that resulted from the early payoff of a commercial mortgage-backed security during the first quarter of 2014 that was purchased at a significant discount to par value, which accelerated the accretion of the discount to par value and therefore increased investment income. Excluding this amount, net investment income would have declined 1.0 percent for the year ended 2015 compared to the same period in 2014.




Net realized investment losses totaled $5.4 million ($0.17 per share after tax) for the fourth quarter of 2015 compared to net realized investment gains of $1.1 million ($0.04 per share after tax) for the fourth quarter of 2014. For the year ended December 31, 2015, net realized investment gains totaled $6.2 million ($0.19 per share after tax), compared to $4.3 million ($0.14 per share after tax) for 2014. Included in net realized investment gains/losses reported for the fourth quarter and year ended December 31, 2015 are $5.3 million and $1.5 million, respectively, of realized investment losses attributed to a decline in the carrying value of a limited partnership that helps protect the Company from a sudden and significant decline in the value of its equity portfolio (the equity tail-risk hedging strategy). Included in the net realized investment gains reported for the fourth quarter and year ended December 31, 2014 are $741,000 and $2.8 million, respectively, of net realized investment losses attributed to a decline in carrying value of this limited partnership.

At December 31, 2015, consolidated assets totaled $1.5 billion, including $1.4 billion in the investment portfolio, and stockholders’ equity totaled $524.9 million, an increase of 4.4 percent from December 31, 2014. Book value of the Company’s stock increased 2.2 percent to $25.26 per share from $24.72 per share at December 31, 2014. Book value excluding accumulated other comprehensive income increased 8.5 percent to $22.45 per share from $20.70 per share at December 31, 2014.

The Company will hold an earnings teleconference call at noon Eastern time on February 12, 2016 to allow securities analysts, stockholders and other interested parties the opportunity to hear management discuss the Company’s results for the fourth quarter and year ended December 31, 2015, as well as its expectations for 2016. Dial-in information for the call is toll-free 1-877-407-9205 (International: 1-201-689-8054).

Members of the news media, investors and the general public are invited to access a live webcast of the conference call via the Company’s investor relations page at www.emcins.com/ir. The webcast will be archived and available for replay until May 12, 2016. A transcript of the teleconference will also be available on the Company’s website shortly after the completion of the teleconference.

Management Presentation:
Additionally, on Tuesday, March 22, 2016, Bruce G. Kelley and Mark E. Reese, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, will present at the 20th Annual New York Society of Security Analysts (NYSSA) Insurance Conference in New York. The presentation will occur at 12:35 p.m. Eastern time at the offices of the NYSSA, 1540 Broadway, New York, NY. Interested persons may access the presentation slides on the Company’s investor relations website at http://www.emcins.com/ir/Presentations.aspx on the day of the presentation. A live webcast of the event will not be available to the general public.

About EMCI:
EMC Insurance Group Inc. is a publicly held insurance holding company with operations in property and casualty insurance and reinsurance, which was formed in 1974 and became publicly held in 1982. The Company’s common stock trades on the Global Select Market tier of the NASDAQ OMX Stock Market under the symbol EMCI. Additional information regarding EMC Insurance Group Inc. may be found at www.emcins.com/ir. EMCI’s parent company is Employers Mutual Casualty Company (EMCC). EMCI and EMCC, together with their subsidiary and affiliated companies, conduct operations under the trade name EMC Insurance Companies.




Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements:
The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 provides issuers the opportunity to make cautionary statements regarding forward-looking statements. Accordingly, any forward-looking statement contained in this report is based on management’s current beliefs, assumptions and expectations of the Company’s future performance, taking into account all information currently available to management. These beliefs, assumptions and expectations can change as the result of many possible events or factors, not all of which are known to management. If a change occurs, the Company’s business, financial condition, liquidity, results of operations, plans and objectives may vary materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements.

The risks and uncertainties that may affect the actual results of the Company include, but are not limited to, the following:

catastrophic events and the occurrence of significant severe weather conditions;
the adequacy of loss and settlement expense reserves;
state and federal legislation and regulations;
changes in the property and casualty insurance industry, interest rates or the performance of financial markets and the general economy;
rating agency actions;
“other-than-temporary” investment impairment losses; and
other risks and uncertainties inherent to the Company’s business, including those discussed under the heading “Risk Factors” in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K.

Management intends to identify forward-looking statements when using the words “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “estimate,” “project,” or similar expressions. Undue reliance should not be placed on these forward-looking statements. The Company disclaims any obligation to update such statements or to announce publicly the results of any revisions that it may make to any forward-looking statements to reflect the occurrence of anticipated or unanticipated events or circumstances after the date of such statements.

¹The Company prepares its public financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the Unites States of America (GAAP). Operating income is a non-GAAP financial measure, calculated by excluding net realized investment gains/losses from net income. The Company’s calculation of operating income may differ from similar measures used by other companies, so investors should exercise caution when comparing the Company’s measure of operating income to the measure of other companies. Management’s projected operating income guidance is also considered a non-GAAP financial measure.

Management believes operating income is useful to investors because it illustrates the performance of the Company’s normal, ongoing operations, which is important in understanding and evaluating the Company’s financial condition and results of operations. While this measure is consistent with measures utilized by investors to evaluate performance, it is not a substitute for the GAAP financial measure of net income. Therefore, the Company has provided the following reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measure of operating income to the GAAP financial measure of net income. Management also uses non-GAAP financial measures for goal setting, determining employee and senior management awards and compensation, and evaluating performance.




The reconciliation of operating income to net income is as follows:
 
 
Three months ended 
 December 31,
 
Year ended 
 December 31,
 
 
2015
 
2014
 
2015
 
2014
($ in thousands)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Operating income
 
$
13,407

 
$
15,417

 
$
46,163

 
$
27,165

Net realized investment gains (losses) (after tax)
 
(3,512
)
 
737

 
3,999

 
2,827

Net income
 
$
9,895

 
$
16,154

 
$
50,162

 
$
29,992





CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME-UNAUDITED
 
 
 
 
 
 
($ in thousands, except share and per share amounts)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Quarter ended December 31, 2015
 
Property and Casualty Insurance
 
Reinsurance
 
Parent Company
 
Consolidated
Revenues:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Premiums earned
 
$
113,985

 
$
27,157

 
$

 
$
141,142

Investment income, net
 
8,367

 
3,269

 

 
11,636

Other income
 
189

 
(86
)
 

 
103

 
 
122,541

 
30,340

 

 
152,881

Losses and expenses:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Losses and settlement expenses
 
76,415

 
13,718

 

 
90,133

Dividends to policyholders
 
1,213

 

 

 
1,213

Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs
 
19,698

 
3,663

 

 
23,361

Other underwriting expenses
 
16,170

 
1,897

 

 
18,067

Interest expense
 
84

 

 

 
84

Other expenses
 
180

 

 
518

 
698

 
 
113,760

 
19,278

 
518

 
133,556

Operating income (loss) before income taxes
 
8,781

 
11,062

 
(518
)
 
19,325

Realized investment losses
 
(3,703
)
 
(1,699
)
 

 
(5,402
)
Income (loss) before income taxes
 
5,078

 
9,363

 
(518
)
 
13,923

Income tax expense (benefit):
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Current
 
317

 
2,880

 
(180
)
 
3,017

Deferred
 
862

 
149

 

 
1,011

 
 
1,179

 
3,029

 
(180
)
 
4,028

Net income (loss)
 
$
3,899

 
$
6,334

 
$
(338
)
 
$
9,895

Average shares outstanding
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
20,755,198

Per Share Data:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net income (loss) per share - basic and diluted
 
$
0.19

 
$
0.31

 
$
(0.02
)
 
$
0.48

Catastrophe and storm losses (after tax)
 
$
0.03

 
$
0.08

 
$

 
$
0.11

Large losses* (after tax)
 
$
0.40

 
$

 
$

 
$
0.40

Reported (adverse) favorable development experienced on prior years' reserves (after tax)
 
$
(0.01
)
 
$
0.48

 
$

 
$
0.47

Implied (adverse) favorable development that had an impact on earnings (after tax)
 
$
(0.02
)
 
$
0.44

 
$

 
$
0.42

Dividends per share
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
0.190

Other Information of Interest:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net written premiums
 
$
90,105

 
$
27,590

 
$

 
$
117,695

Catastrophe and storm losses
 
$
958

 
$
2,661

 
$

 
$
3,619

Large losses*
 
$
12,786

 
$

 
$

 
$
12,786

Reported adverse (favorable) development experienced on prior years' reserves
 
$
338

 
$
(15,495
)
 
$

 
$
(15,157
)
Favorable development that had no impact on earnings
 
423

 
1,454

 

 
1,877

Implied adverse (favorable) development that had an impact on earnings
 
$
761

 
$
(14,041
)
 
$

 
$
(13,280
)
GAAP Ratios:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Loss and settlement expense ratio
 
67.0
%
 
50.5
%
 

 
63.9
%
Acquisition expense ratio
 
32.6
%
 
20.5
%
 

 
30.2
%
Combined ratio
 
99.6
%
 
71.0
%
 

 
94.1
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 



*Large losses are defined as losses greater than $500 for the EMC Insurance Companies pool, excluding catastrophe and storm losses.



CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME
 
 
 
 
 
 
($ in thousands, except share and per share amounts)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Quarter ended December 31, 2014
 
Property and Casualty Insurance
 
Reinsurance
 
Parent Company
 
Consolidated
Revenues:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Premiums earned
 
$
109,665

 
$
25,709

 
$

 
$
135,374

Investment income, net
 
8,691

 
3,344

 
(4
)
 
12,031

Other income
 
111

 
1,194

 

 
1,305

 
 
118,467

 
30,247

 
(4
)
 
148,710

Losses and expenses:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Losses and settlement expenses
 
70,964

 
13,043

 

 
84,007

Dividends to policyholders
 
2,987

 

 

 
2,987

Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs
 
18,873

 
5,479

 

 
24,352

Other underwriting expenses
 
13,282

 
603

 

 
13,885

Interest expense
 
84

 

 

 
84

Other expenses
 
253

 

 
411

 
664

 
 
106,443

 
19,125

 
411

 
125,979

Operating income (loss) before income taxes
 
12,024

 
11,122

 
(415
)
 
22,731

Realized investment gains
 
645

 
489

 

 
1,134

Income (loss) before income taxes
 
12,669

 
11,611

 
(415
)
 
23,865

Income tax expense (benefit):
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Current
 
2,142

 
2,434

 
(144
)
 
4,432

Deferred
 
1,830

 
1,449

 

 
3,279

 
 
3,972

 
3,883

 
(144
)
 
7,711

Net income (loss)
 
$
8,697

 
$
7,728

 
$
(271
)
 
$
16,154

Average shares outstanding
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
20,326,647

Per Share Data:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net income (loss) per share - basic and diluted
 
$
0.43

 
$
0.38

 
$
(0.01
)
 
$
0.80

Catastrophe and storm losses (after tax)
 
$
0.05

 
$
0.09

 
$

 
$
0.14

Large losses* (after tax)
 
$
0.38

 
$

 
$

 
$
0.38

Reported favorable development experienced on prior years' reserves (after tax)
 
$
0.07

 
$
0.25

 
$

 
$
0.32

Implied favorable development that had an impact on earnings (after tax)
 
$

 
$
0.25

 
$

 
$
0.25

Dividends per share
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
0.167

Other Information of Interest:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net written premiums
 
$
87,725

 
$
27,627

 
$

 
$
115,352

Catastrophe and storm losses
 
$
1,725

 
$
2,690

 
$

 
$
4,415

Large losses*
 
$
11,891

 
$

 
$

 
$
11,891

Reported favorable development experienced on prior years' reserves
 
$
(2,004
)
 
$
(7,866
)
 
$

 
$
(9,870
)
Favorable development that had no impact on earnings
 
2,151

 

 

 
2,151

Implied adverse (favorable) development that had an impact on earnings
 
$
147

 
$
(7,866
)
 
$

 
$
(7,719
)
GAAP Ratios:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Loss and settlement expense ratio
 
64.7
%
 
50.7
%
 

 
62.1
%
Acquisition expense ratio
 
32.1
%
 
23.7
%
 

 
30.4
%
Combined ratio
 
96.8
%
 
74.4
%
 

 
92.5
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 



*Large losses are defined as losses greater than $500 for the EMC Insurance Companies pool, excluding catastrophe and storm losses.



CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME-UNAUDITED
 
 
 
 
 
 
($ in thousands, except share and per share amounts)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Year ended December 31, 2015
 
Property and Casualty Insurance
 
Reinsurance
 
Parent Company
 
Consolidated
Revenues:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Premiums earned
 
$
447,197

 
$
123,069

 
$

 
$
570,266

Investment income, net
 
32,668

 
12,923

 
(9
)
 
45,582

Other income
 
771

 
954

 

 
1,725

 
 
480,636

 
136,946

 
(9
)
 
617,573

Losses and expenses:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Losses and settlement expenses
 
291,883

 
78,853

 

 
370,736

Dividends to policyholders
 
7,705

 

 

 
7,705

Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs
 
75,701

 
26,483

 

 
102,184

Other underwriting expenses
 
63,954

 
4,464

 

 
68,418

Interest expense
 
337

 

 

 
337

Other expenses
 
748

 

 
1,942

 
2,690

 
 
440,328

 
109,800

 
1,942

 
552,070

Operating income (loss) before income taxes
 
40,308

 
27,146

 
(1,951
)
 
65,503

Realized investment gains
 
4,163

 
1,990

 

 
6,153

Income (loss) before income taxes
 
44,471

 
29,136

 
(1,951
)
 
71,656

Income tax expense (benefit):
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Current
 
10,830

 
8,463

 
(682
)
 
18,611

Deferred
 
2,174

 
709

 

 
2,883

 
 
13,004

 
9,172

 
(682
)
 
21,494

Net income (loss)
 
$
31,467

 
$
19,964

 
$
(1,269
)
 
$
50,162

Average shares outstanding
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
20,621,919

Per Share Data:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net income (loss) per share - basic and diluted
 
$
1.52

 
$
0.97

 
$
(0.06
)
 
$
2.43

Catastrophe and storm losses (after tax)
 
$
0.93

 
$
0.47

 
$

 
$
1.40

Large losses* (after tax)
 
$
1.08

 
$

 
$

 
$
1.08

Reported favorable development experienced on prior years' reserves (after tax)
 
$
0.44

 
$
0.67

 
$

 
$
1.11

Implied favorable development that had an impact on earnings (after tax)
 
$
0.42

 
$
0.70

 
$

 
$
1.12

Dividends per share
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
0.693

Book value per share
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
25.26

Effective tax rate
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
30.0
%
Net income as a percent of beg. SH equity
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
10.0
%
Other Information of Interest:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net written premiums
 
$
454,434

 
$
124,504

 
$

 
$
578,938

Catastrophe and storm losses
 
$
29,609

 
$
14,765

 
$

 
$
44,374

Large losses*
 
$
34,239

 
$

 
$

 
$
34,239

Reported favorable development experienced on prior years' reserves
 
$
(13,839
)
 
$
(21,275
)
 
$

 
$
(35,114
)
Favorable (adverse) development that had no impact on earnings
 
423

 
(1,041
)
 

 
(618
)
Implied favorable development that had an impact on earnings
 
$
(13,416
)
 
$
(22,316
)
 
$

 
$
(35,732
)
GAAP Ratios:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Loss and settlement expense ratio
 
65.3
%
 
64.1
%
 

 
65.0
%



Acquisition expense ratio
 
32.9
%
 
25.1
%
 

 
31.3
%
Combined ratio
 
98.2
%
 
89.2
%
 

 
96.3
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
*Large losses are defined as losses greater than $500 for the EMC Insurance Companies pool, excluding catastrophe and storm losses.




CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME
 
 
 
 
 
 
($ in thousands, except share and per share amounts)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Year ended December 31, 2014
 
Property and Casualty Insurance
 
Reinsurance
 
Parent Company
 
Consolidated
Revenues:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Premiums earned
 
$
422,381

 
$
118,341

 
$

 
$
540,722

Investment income, net
 
33,509

 
12,968

 
(12
)
 
46,465

Other income
 
695

 
2,236

 

 
2,931

 
 
456,585

 
133,545

 
(12
)
 
590,118

Losses and expenses:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Losses and settlement expenses
 
298,033

 
87,441

 

 
385,474

Dividends to policyholders
 
9,504

 

 

 
9,504

Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs
 
72,768

 
26,274

 

 
99,042

Other underwriting expenses
 
54,385

 
2,441

 

 
56,826

Interest expense
 
337

 

 

 
337

Other expenses
 
793

 

 
1,584

 
2,377

 
 
435,820

 
116,156

 
1,584

 
553,560

Operating income (loss) before income taxes
 
20,765

 
17,389

 
(1,596
)
 
36,558

Realized investment gains
 
2,938

 
1,411

 

 
4,349

Income (loss) before income taxes
 
23,703

 
18,800

 
(1,596
)
 
40,907

Income tax expense (benefit):
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Current
 
3,688

 
4,150

 
(558
)
 
7,280

Deferred
 
2,145

 
1,490

 

 
3,635

 
 
5,833

 
5,640

 
(558
)
 
10,915

Net income (loss)
 
$
17,870

 
$
13,160

 
$
(1,038
)
 
$
29,992

Average shares outstanding
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
20,205,935

Per Share Data:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net income (loss) per share - basic and diluted
 
$
0.88

 
$
0.65

 
$
(0.05
)
 
$
1.48

Catastrophe and storm losses (after tax)
 
$
1.29

 
$
0.55

 
$

 
$
1.84

Large losses* (after tax)
 
$
1.15

 
$

 
$

 
$
1.15

Reported favorable development experienced on prior years' reserves (after tax)
 
$
0.26

 
$
0.41

 
$

 
$
0.67

Implied favorable development that had an impact on earnings (after tax)
 
$
0.19

 
$
0.41

 
$

 
$
0.60

Dividends per share
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
0.627

Book value per share
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
24.72

Effective tax rate
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
26.7
%
Net income as a percent of beg. SH equity
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
6.6
%
Other Information of Interest:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net written premiums
 
$
433,707

 
$
118,903

 
$

 
$
552,610

Catastrophe and storm losses
 
$
40,226

 
$
17,025

 
$

 
$
57,251

Large losses*
 
$
35,673

 
$

 
$

 
$
35,673

Reported favorable development experienced on prior years' reserves
 
$
(8,110
)
 
$
(12,682
)
 
$

 
$
(20,792
)
Favorable development that had no impact on earnings
 
2,151

 

 

 
2,151

Implied favorable development that had an impact on earnings
 
$
(5,959
)
 
$
(12,682
)
 
$

 
$
(18,641
)
GAAP Ratios:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Loss and settlement expense ratio
 
70.6
%
 
73.9
%
 

 
71.3
%
Acquisition expense ratio
 
32.3
%
 
24.3
%
 

 
30.6
%



Combined ratio
 
102.9
%
 
98.2
%
 

 
101.9
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
*Large losses are defined as losses greater than $500 for the EMC Insurance Companies pool, excluding catastrophe and storm losses.




CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
 
 
 
 
 
 
December 31, 
 2015
 
December 31, 
 2014
($ in thousands, except share and per share amounts)
 
(Unaudited)
 
 
ASSETS
 
 
 
 
Investments:
 
 
 
 
Fixed maturity securities available-for-sale, at fair value (amortized cost $1,130,217 and $1,080,006)
 
$
1,161,025

 
$
1,127,499

Equity securities available-for-sale, at fair value (cost $144,176 and $123,972)
 
206,243

 
197,036

Other long-term investments
 
9,930

 
6,227

Short-term investments
 
38,599

 
53,262

Total investments
 
1,415,797

 
1,384,024

 
 
 
 
 
Cash
 
224

 
383

Reinsurance receivables due from affiliate
 
24,236

 
28,603

Prepaid reinsurance premiums due from affiliate
 
6,563

 
8,865

Deferred policy acquisition costs (affiliated $40,535 and $38,930)
 
40,720

 
39,343

Prepaid pension and postretirement benefits due from affiliate
 
12,133

 
17,360

Accrued investment income
 
10,789

 
10,295

Amounts receivable under reverse repurchase agreements
 
16,850

 

Accounts receivable
 
804

 
1,767

Income taxes recoverable
 
1,735

 

Goodwill
 
942

 
942

Other assets (affiliated $4,595 and $4,900)
 
5,162

 
6,238

Total assets
 
$
1,535,955

 
$
1,497,820

 
 
 
 
 
LIABILITIES
 
 
 
 
Losses and settlement expenses (affiliated $671,169 and $650,652)
 
$
678,774

 
$
661,309

Unearned premiums (affiliated $238,637 and $230,460)
 
239,435

 
232,093

Other policyholders' funds (all affiliated)
 
8,721

 
10,153

Surplus notes payable to affiliate
 
25,000

 
25,000

Amounts due affiliate to settle inter-company transaction balances
 
6,408

 
8,559

Pension benefits payable to affiliate
 
4,299

 
4,162

Income taxes payable
 

 
3

Deferred income taxes
 
19,029

 
28,654

Other liabilities (affiliated $28,598 and $23,941)
 
29,351

 
25,001

Total liabilities
 
1,011,017

 
994,934

 
 
 
 
 
STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY
 
 
 
 
Common stock, $1 par value, authorized 30,000,000 shares; issued and outstanding, 20,780,439 shares in 2015 and 20,344,409 shares in 2014
 
20,781

 
20,344

Additional paid-in capital
 
108,747

 
99,891

Accumulated other comprehensive income
 
58,433

 
81,662

Retained earnings
 
336,977

 
300,989

Total stockholders' equity
 
524,938

 
502,886

Total liabilities and stockholders' equity
 
$
1,535,955

 
$
1,497,820










LOSS AND SETTLEMENT EXPENSE BY LINE OF BUSINESS
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Three months ended December 31,
 
 
2015
 
2014
($ in thousands)
 
Premiums earned
 
Losses and settlement expenses
 
Loss and settlement expense ratio
 
Premiums earned
 
Losses and settlement expenses
 
Loss and settlement expense ratio
Property and casualty insurance
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Commercial lines:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Automobile
 
$
27,206

 
$
24,291

 
89.3
 %
 
$
25,251

 
$
22,974

 
91.0
 %
Property
 
26,785

 
12,154

 
45.4
 %
 
25,399

 
9,553

 
37.6
 %
Workers' compensation
 
23,678

 
18,212

 
76.9
 %
 
23,184

 
14,406

 
62.1
 %
Liability
 
23,713

 
13,731

 
57.9
 %
 
22,508

 
14,912

 
66.3
 %
Other
 
2,035

 
60

 
3.0
 %
 
1,944

 
1,008

 
51.8
 %
Total commercial lines
 
103,417

 
68,448

 
66.2
 %
 
98,286

 
62,853

 
63.9
 %
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Personal lines:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Automobile
 
5,542

 
5,546

 
100.1
 %
 
6,095

 
6,284

 
103.1
 %
Homeowners
 
5,026

 
2,421

 
48.2
 %
 
5,284

 
1,827

 
34.6
 %
Total personal lines
 
10,568

 
7,967

 
75.4
 %
 
11,379

 
8,111

 
71.3
 %
Total property and casualty insurance
 
$
113,985

 
$
76,415

 
67.0
 %
 
$
109,665

 
$
70,964

 
64.7
 %
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Reinsurance
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Pro rata reinsurance:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Multiline (primarily property)
 
$
2,505

 
$
2,096

 
83.7
 %
 
$
3,521

 
$
3,436

 
97.6
 %
Property
 
3,447

 
336

 
9.8
 %
 
(1,447
)
 
533

 
(36.9
)%
Liability
 
6,674

 
4,154

 
62.2
 %
 
1,258

 
732

 
58.2
 %
Marine
 
(5,359
)
 
(621
)
 
11.6
 %
 
3,209

 
6,355

 
198.0
 %
Total pro rata reinsurance
 
7,267

 
5,965

 
82.1
 %
 
6,541

 
11,056

 
169.0
 %
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Excess of loss reinsurance:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Property
 
16,991

 
9,084

 
53.5
 %
 
16,449

 
2,082

 
12.7
 %
Liability
 
2,899

 
(1,331
)
 
(45.9
)%
 
2,719

 
(95
)
 
(3.5
)%
Total excess of loss reinsurance
 
19,890

 
7,753

 
39.0
 %
 
19,168

 
1,987

 
10.4
 %
Total reinsurance
 
$
27,157

 
$
13,718

 
50.5
 %
 
$
25,709

 
$
13,043

 
50.7
 %
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Consolidated
 
$
141,142

 
$
90,133

 
63.9
 %
 
$
135,374

 
$
84,007

 
62.1
 %




LOSS AND SETTLEMENT EXPENSE BY LINE OF BUSINESS
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Year ended December 31,
 
 
2015
 
2014
($ in thousands)
 
Premiums earned
 
Losses and settlement expenses
 
Loss and settlement expense ratio
 
Premiums earned
 
Losses and settlement expenses
 
Loss and settlement expense ratio
Property and casualty insurance
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Commercial lines:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Automobile
 
$
105,904

 
$
86,134

 
81.3
 %
 
$
96,908

 
$
79,838

 
82.4
%
Property
 
104,303

 
65,806

 
63.1
 %
 
97,155

 
67,444

 
69.4
%
Workers' compensation
 
92,828

 
57,803

 
62.3
 %
 
88,356

 
52,537

 
59.5
%
Liability
 
92,665

 
48,399

 
52.2
 %
 
86,108

 
57,869

 
67.2
%
Other
 
8,079

 
854

 
10.6
 %
 
7,416

 
1,713

 
23.1
%
Total commercial lines
 
403,779

 
258,996

 
64.1
 %
 
375,943

 
259,401

 
69.0
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Personal lines:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Automobile
 
22,855

 
17,559

 
76.8
 %
 
25,094

 
20,757

 
82.7
%
Homeowners
 
20,563

 
15,328

 
74.5
 %
 
21,344

 
17,875

 
83.7
%
Total personal lines
 
43,418

 
32,887

 
75.7
 %
 
46,438

 
38,632

 
83.2
%
Total property and casualty insurance
 
$
447,197

 
$
291,883

 
65.3
 %
 
$
422,381

 
$
298,033

 
70.6
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Reinsurance
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Pro rata reinsurance:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Multiline (primarily property)
 
$
7,089

 
$
3,276

 
46.2
 %
 
$
8,552

 
$
7,006

 
81.9
%
Property
 
15,324

 
13,487

 
88.0
 %
 
8,482

 
10,645

 
125.5
%
Liability
 
20,629

 
12,855

 
62.3
 %
 
9,919

 
5,715

 
57.6
%
Marine
 
4,379

 
(185
)
 
(4.2
)%
 
14,930

 
13,055

 
87.4
%
Total pro rata reinsurance
 
47,421

 
29,433

 
62.1
 %
 
41,883

 
36,421

 
87.0
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Excess of loss reinsurance:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Property
 
63,416

 
41,125

 
64.8
 %
 
64,956

 
49,322

 
75.9
%
Liability
 
12,232

 
8,295

 
67.8
 %
 
11,502

 
1,698

 
14.8
%
Total excess of loss reinsurance
 
75,648

 
49,420

 
65.3
 %
 
76,458

 
51,020

 
66.7
%
Total reinsurance
 
$
123,069

 
$
78,853

 
64.1
 %
 
$
118,341

 
$
87,441

 
73.9
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Consolidated
 
$
570,266

 
$
370,736

 
65.0
 %
 
$
540,722

 
$
385,474

 
71.3
%




NET WRITTEN PREMIUMS
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Three months ended 
 December 31, 2015
 
Three months ended 
 December 31, 2014
 
 
($ in thousands)
 
Written premiums
 
Percent of net written premiums
 
Written premiums
 
Percent of net written premiums
 
Change in net written premiums
Property and casualty insurance
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Commercial lines:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Automobile
 
$
21,735

 
18.5
 %
 
$
21,423

 
18.6
 %
 
1.5%
Property
 
20,818

 
17.7
 %
 
19,924

 
17.3
 %
 
4.5%
Workers' compensation
 
17,717

 
15.0
 %
 
16,316

 
14.1
 %
 
8.6%
Liability
 
19,095

 
16.2
 %
 
18,274

 
15.8
 %
 
4.5%
Other
 
1,619

 
1.4
 %
 
1,684

 
1.5
 %
 
(3.9)%
Total commercial lines
 
80,984

 
68.8
 %
 
77,621

 
67.3
 %
 
4.3%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Personal lines:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Automobile
 
4,825

 
4.1
 %
 
5,366

 
4.6
 %
 
(10.1)%
Homeowners
 
4,296

 
3.7
 %
 
4,738

 
4.1
 %
 
(9.3)%
Total personal lines
 
9,121

 
7.8
 %
 
10,104

 
8.7
 %
 
(9.7)%
Total property and casualty insurance
 
$
90,105

 
76.6
 %
 
$
87,725

 
76.0
 %
 
2.7%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Reinsurance
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Pro rata reinsurance:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Multiline (primarily property)
 
$
2,416

 
2.1
 %
 
$
4,253

 
3.7
 %
 
(43.2)%
Property
 
4,062

 
3.4
 %
 
(833
)
 
(0.7
)%
 
(587.8)%
Liability
 
7,229

 
6.1
 %
 
2,257

 
1.9
 %
 
220.3%
Marine
 
(5,287
)
 
(4.5
)%
 
3,760

 
3.3
 %
 
(240.6)%
Total pro rata reinsurance
 
8,420

 
7.1
 %
 
9,437

 
8.2
 %
 
(10.8)%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Excess of loss reinsurance:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Property
 
16,186

 
13.8
 %
 
15,426

 
13.4
 %
 
4.9%
Liability
 
2,984

 
2.5
 %
 
2,764

 
2.4
 %
 
7.9%
Total excess of loss reinsurance
 
19,170

 
16.3
 %
 
18,190

 
15.8
 %
 
5.4%
Total reinsurance
 
$
27,590

 
23.4
 %
 
$
27,627

 
24.0
 %
 
(0.1)%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Consolidated
 
$
117,695

 
100.0
 %
 
$
115,352

 
100.0
 %
 
2.0%



NET WRITTEN PREMIUMS
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Year ended 
 December 31, 2015
 
Year ended 
 December 31, 2014
 
 
($ in thousands)
 
Written premiums
 
Percent of net written premiums
 
Written premiums
 
Percent of net written premiums
 
Change in net written premiums
Property and casualty insurance
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Commercial lines:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Automobile
 
$
108,682

 
18.7
%
 
$
101,758

 
18.4
%
 
6.8%
Property
 
106,671

 
18.4
%
 
100,916

 
18.3
%
 
5.7%
Workers' compensation
 
94,629

 
16.4
%
 
90,019

 
16.3
%
 
5.1%
Liability
 
94,860

 
16.4
%
 
88,640

 
16.0
%
 
7.0%
Other
 
8,032

 
1.4
%
 
7,591

 
1.4
%
 
5.8%
Total commercial lines
 
412,874

 
71.3
%
 
388,924

 
70.4
%
 
6.2%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Personal lines:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Automobile
 
21,769

 
3.8
%
 
23,949

 
4.3
%
 
(9.1)%
Homeowners
 
19,791

 
3.4
%
 
20,834

 
3.8
%
 
(5.0)%
Total personal lines
 
41,560

 
7.2
%
 
44,783

 
8.1
%
 
(7.2)%
Total property and casualty insurance
 
$
454,434

 
78.5
%
 
$
433,707

 
78.5
%
 
4.8%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Reinsurance
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Pro rata reinsurance:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Multiline (primarily property)
 
$
5,610

 
1.0
%
 
$
9,463

 
1.7
%
 
(40.7)%
Property
 
15,423

 
2.6
%
 
7,531

 
1.4
%
 
104.8%
Liability
 
26,500

 
4.6
%
 
12,055

 
2.2
%
 
119.8%
Marine
 
1,119

 
0.2
%
 
13,528

 
2.4
%
 
(91.7)%
Total pro rata reinsurance
 
48,652

 
8.4
%
 
42,577

 
7.7
%
 
14.3%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Excess of loss reinsurance:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Property
 
63,542

 
11.0
%
 
64,768

 
11.7
%
 
(1.9)%
Liability
 
12,310

 
2.1
%
 
11,558

 
2.1
%
 
6.5%
Total excess of loss reinsurance
 
75,852

 
13.1
%
 
76,326

 
13.8
%
 
(0.6)%
Total reinsurance
 
$
124,504

 
21.5
%
 
$
118,903

 
21.5
%
 
4.7%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Consolidated
 
$
578,938

 
100.0
%
 
$
552,610

 
100.0
%
 
4.8%