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8-K - FORM 8-K - GRANT PARK FUTURES FUND LIMITED PARTNERSHIPf8k_012616.htm
EXHIBIT 99.1
 
 
 
Grant Park Fund Weekly Commentary
For the Week Ended January 22, 2016
 
 
Current Month
 
Rolling Performance
 
Rolling Risk Metrics* (February 2011 – January 2016)
Class
 
Week ROR
MTD
ROR
YTD
ROR
 
1 yr
Ann
ROR
3 yr
Ann
ROR
5 yr
Ann
ROR
10 yr
Ann
ROR
 
Annualized
ROR
Annualized Standard Deviation
Maximum
Drawdown
Sharpe
 Ratio
Sortino Ratio
A
-1.5%
4.4%
4.4%
 
-11.1%
-2.6%
-5.1%
 0.3%
 
-5.1%
10.4%
-28.7%
-0.5
-0.6
B**
-1.5%
4.3%
4.3%
 
-11.7%
-3.2%
-5.7%
-0.3%
 
-5.7%
10.4%
-30.8%
-0.5
-0.7
Legacy 1***
-1.4%
4.3%
4.3%
 
-9.2%
-0.6%
-3.1%
          N/A
 
-3.1%
10.3%
-23.7%
-0.3
-0.4
Legacy 2***
-1.4%
4.3%
4.3%
 
-9.4%
-0.8%
-3.3%
          N/A
 
-3.3%
10.3%
-24.4%
-0.3
-0.4
Global 1***
-1.4%
4.4%
4.4%
 
-9.2%
-0.2%
-2.7%
          N/A
 
-2.7%
10.1%
-21.9%
-0.2
-0.4
Global 2***
-1.4%
4.4%
4.4%
 
-9.4%
-0.4%
-2.9%
          N/A
 
-2.9%
10.1%
-22.4%
-0.2
-0.4
Global 3***
-1.5%
4.3%
4.3%
 
-10.9%
-2.0%
-4.5%
          N/A
 
-4.5%
10.2%
-26.2%
-0.4
-0.6
                             
S&P 500 Total Return Index****
1.4%
-6.6%
-6.6%
 
-2.4%
10.7%
10.5%
 6.3%
 
10.5%
12.2%
-16.3%
  0.9
  1.4
Barclays Capital U.S. Long Gov Index****
-0.1%
3.6%
3.6%
 
-5.5%
5.0%
8.9%
 7.1%
 
8.9%
11.4%
-15.5%
  0.8
  1.4
*
Performance metrics are calculated using month-to-date performance estimates.  All performance data is subject to verification.
**
Units began trading in August 2003.
***
Units began trading in April 2009.
****
Index is unmanaged & is not available for direct investment. Please see Indices Overview (below) for more information. Weekly RORs are calculated using data acquired through Bloomberg.
 
Portfolio Positions by Sectors and Markets (Two largest positions within each sector)
 
 
Portfolio for A, B and Legacy units
 
Portfolio for Global units
Sector
Sector
 
Market
   
Sector
 
Market
 
Exposure
Position
Contract
Exposure
  Position
 
Exposure
Position
Contract
Exposure
Position
COMMODITIES
31%
         
32%
       
Energy
15%
Short
Brent Crude Oil
4.5%
Short
 
16%
Short
Brent Crude Oil
4.6%
Short
Crude Oil
4.1%
Short
 
Crude Oil
4.2%
Short
Grains/Foods
8%
Short
Corn
1.4%
Short
 
8%
Short
Corn
1.4%
Short
Soybean Meal
1.2%
Short
 
Soybean Meal
1.2%
Short
Metals
8%
Short
Gold
1.8%
Short
 
8%
Short
Gold
1.8%
Short
Copper
1.4%
Short
 
Copper
1.4%
Short
FINANCIALS
69%
         
68%
       
Currencies
28%
Long $
Euro
5.2%
Short
 
28%
Long $
Euro
5.3%
Short
British Pound
3.8%
Short
 
British Pound
3.8%
Short
Equities
15%
Short
Russell 2000
2.3%
Short
 
14%
Short
Russell 2000
2.2%
Short
Hang Seng Index
1.3%
Short
 
Hang Seng Index
1.4%
Short
Fixed Income
26%
Long
Bunds
4.0%
Long
 
26%
Long
Bunds
4.0%
Long
U.S. 10-Year Treasury Notes
2.9%
Long
 
U.S. 10-Year Treasury Notes
2.9%
Long

 
Market Commentary (Largest price movements within each sector)
 

Sector/Market
Energy
Crude oil markets rose over 9% following reports of a decline in the number of active U.S. rigs and news production from OPEC had fallen.  Hopes that fresh stimulus from central banks in Europe and Japan will boost global economic growth also buoyed prices.  Natural gas and heating oil prices rose due to cold weather forecasts and a larger-than-expected fall in inventories.
Grains/Foods
Corn prices rose on news of reduced production from India and South Africa and an improved outlook for economic growth and consumer demand.  Sugar prices increased on news of a supply deficit.  Coffee prices rose because of expectations demand will begin to exceed supplies as a result of potential production losses spurred by threatening weather.  Cocoa prices finished lower due to early week selloffs caused by uncertainty over economic growth.
Metals
Precious metals markets finished higher as investors do not expect any surprises from the Federal Reserve’s upcoming monetary policy meeting.  Base metals markets also rose on hints that the European Central Bank may bolster stimulus in March, easing concerns over global growth. 
Currencies
The Australian dollar strengthened, buoyed by the prospect of more monetary stimulus in Europe.  The euro weakened on the prospect of further European Central Bank action.  The Canadian dollar strengthened on higher oil prices and the decision by the Bank of Canada to keep its interest rates steady.  The Japanese yen weakened amid speculation the Bank of Japan will be applying more monetary stimulus.
Equities
U.S. and European equity markets finished higher after a rally in oil prices and dovish comments from the European Central Bank fueled investor risk appetite.  Asian equity markets fell as a result of uncertainty regarding economic growth in China.
Fixed Income
U.S. and U.K. debt markets finished slightly lower after rallies in the equity and energy markets decreased demand for safe-haven assets.   German Bund prices rose after Mario Draghi signaled the European Central Bank might authorize additional monetary easing measures at its March meeting.

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
ALL PERFORMANCE REPORTED IS NET OF FEES AND EXPENSES.  PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. FUTURES TRADING INVOLVES A HIGH DEGREE OF RISK AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. FUTURES TRADING INVOLVES A HIGH DEGREE OF RISK, INCLUDING LIQUIDITY RISKS, NO SECONDARY MARKET EXISTS, RESTRICTIONS ON REDEMPTIONS, AND THE RISK OF FOREIGN SECURITIES.  THIS DOES NOT CONSTITUTE AN OFFER OF ANY SECURITY FOR SALE.  OFFERING BY PROSPECTUS ONLY.  INFORMATION IN THIS COMMENTARY IS DRAWN FROM VARIOUS SOURCES THAT ARE DEEMED TO BE RELIABLE. HOWEVER, THE INFORMATION IS NOT AUDITED BY DEARBORN CAPITAL.  IN ADDITION, DEARBORN CAPITAL DRAWS UPON THIS INFORMATION TO MAKE ITS OWN ASSUMPTIONS WHICH COULD BE CONSIDERED DEARBORN CAPITAL’S OPINION.  DEARBORN CAPITAL BELIEVES THAT ANY SUCH STATEMENTS OF OPINION HAVE A REASONABLE BASIS IN FACT.

 
 

 
 
Performance Chart
 
Barclays Capital U.S. Long Government Index (formerly Lehman Brothers U.S. Government Index: Long Subset): A benchmark comprised of the Barclays Capital U.S. Treasury and U.S. Agency indices.  The U.S. Long Government Index includes Treasuries (public obligations of the U.S. Treasury that have remaining maturities of more than ten years) and U.S. agency debentures (publicly issued debt of U.S. Government agencies, quasi-federal corporations, and corporate or foreign debt guaranteed by the U.S. Government). The U.S. Government Index is a component of the Barclays Capital U.S. Government Index.

Compounded Annualized Rate of Return (ROR): This is the geometric 12-month mean that assumes the same rate of return for each 12-month period to arrive at the equivalent compound growth rate reflected in the actual return data.

Standard and Poor’s 500 Total Return Index (S&P 500 Index): A weighted index of the 500 stocks in the S&P 500 Index, which are chosen by Standard and Poor’s based on industry representation, liquidity, and stability.  The stocks in the S&P 500 Index are not the 500 largest companies; rather the index is designed to capture the returns of many different sectors of the U.S. economy.  The total return calculation includes the price-plus-gross cash dividend return.  Investors cannot directly invest in an index and unmanaged index returns do not reflect any fees, expenses or sales charges.

 
 
 
Risk Metrics Chart
 
Drawdown: A drawdown is any losing period during an investment’s performance history. It is defined as the percent retrenchment from an equity peak to an equity valley. Maximum drawdown is simply the largest percentage drawdown that has occurred during the specified time frame. Grant Park’s drawdowns are computed based on month-end equity values.

Sharpe Ratio: A return/risk measure defined as the average incremental return of an investment over the risk free rate.

Sortino Ratio: A ratio developed to differentiate between good and bad volatility. The calculation provides a risk-adjusted measure of performance without penalizing for upward price changes.

Standard Deviation: Measures the dispersal or uncertainty in a random variable (in this case, investment returns). It measures the degree of variation of returns around the mean, or average, return. The higher the volatility of the investment returns, the higher the standard deviation will be. For this reason, standard deviation is often used as a measure of investment risk.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
ALL PERFORMANCE REPORTED IS NET OF FEES AND EXPENSES.  PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. FUTURES TRADING INVOLVES A HIGH DEGREE OF RISK AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. FUTURES TRADING INVOLVES A HIGH DEGREE OF RISK, INCLUDING LIQUIDITY RISKS, NO SECONDARY MARKET EXISTS, RESTRICTIONS ON REDEMPTIONS, AND THE RISK OF FOREIGN SECURITIES.  THIS DOES NOT CONSTITUTE AN OFFER OF ANY SECURITY FOR SALE.  OFFERING BY PROSPECTUS ONLY.  INFORMATION IN THIS COMMENTARY IS DRAWN FROM VARIOUS SOURCES THAT ARE DEEMED TO BE RELIABLE. HOWEVER, THE INFORMATION IS NOT AUDITED BY DEARBORN CAPITAL.  IN ADDITION, DEARBORN CAPITAL DRAWS UPON THIS INFORMATION TO MAKE ITS OWN ASSUMPTIONS WHICH COULD BE CONSIDERED DEARBORN CAPITAL’S OPINION.  DEARBORN CAPITAL BELIEVES THAT ANY SUCH STATEMENTS OF OPINION HAVE A REASONABLE BASIS IN FACT.