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8-K - FORM 8-K - GRANT PARK FUTURES FUND LIMITED PARTNERSHIPf8k_122111.htm
EXHIBIT 99.1
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Grant Park Fund Weekly Commentary
For the Week Ended December 16, 2011­­
                                                                           
 Current Month     Rolling Performance*    Rolling Risk Metrics* (Jan 2007 – Dec 2011)
Class
Week ROR
MTD
ROR
YTD
ROR
 
1 yr
Ann
ROR
3 yr
Ann
ROR
5 yr
Ann
ROR
10 yr
Ann
ROR
 
Annualized
ROR
Annualized Standard Deviation
Maximum
Drawdown
Sharpe
 Ratio
Sortino Ratio
A
0.8%
0.5%
-12.4%
 
-12.4%
-6.0%
2.3%
4.2%
 
2.3%
12.5%
-17.4%
0.2
0.3
B**
0.8%
0.5%
-13.0%
 
-13.0%
-6.6%
1.6%
N/A
 
1.6%
12.5%
-19.0%
0.2
0.2
Legacy 1***
0.8%
0.6%
-10.5%
 
-10.5%
N/A
N/A
N/A
 
-3.1%
11.1%
-14.2%
-0.2
-0.4
Legacy 2***
0.8%
0.6%
-11.0%
 
-11.0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
 
-3.5%
11.1%
-14.5%
-0.3
-0.4
Global 1***
0.7%
0.6%
-10.7%
 
-10.7%
N/A
N/A
N/A
 
-4.6%
10.4%
-14.1%
-0.4
-0.6
Global 2***
0.7%
0.5%
-11.0%
 
-11.0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
 
-4.9%
10.3%
-14.8%
-0.4
-0.6
Global 3***
0.7%
0.5%
-12.5%
 
-12.5%
N/A
N/A
N/A
 
-6.7%
10.3%
-18.7%
-0.6
-0.8
 
S&P 500 Total Return Index****
-2.8%
-2.1%
-1.0%
 
-1.0%
12.9%
-0.9%
2.6%
 
-0.9%
18.9%
-50.9%
0.0
-0.1
Barclays Capital U.S. Long Gov Index****
3.9%
3.5%
29.7%
 
29.7%
7.6%
10.9%
9.0%
 
10.9%
12.6%
-12.3%
0.9
1.6
 
 *    Performance metrics are calculated using month-to-date performance estimates.  All performance data is subject to verification.
 **  Units began trading in August 2003.
 *** Units began trading in April 2009.
 **** Index is unmanaged & is not available for direct investment. Please see Indices Overview (below) for more information. Weekly RORs are calculated using data acquired through Bloomberg.
  
 
Portfolio Positions by Sectors and Markets (Two largest positions within each sector)
 
 
Portfolio for A, B and Legacy units
 
Portfolio for Global units
Sector
Sector
      Market
 
Sector
     Market
Exposure
Position
Contract
Exposure
  Position
 
Exposure
Position
Contract
Exposure
Position
COMMODITIES
39%
         
34%
       
Energy
10%
Short
Natural Gas
5.1%
Short
 
8%
Short
Natural Gas
4.8%
Short
Crude Oil
2.1%
Long
 
Crude Oil
1.7%
Long
Grains/Foods
17%
Short
Cotton
2.5%
Short
 
15%
Short
Cotton
2.0%
Short
Sugar
2.0%
Short
 
Sugar
1.8%
Short
Metals
12%
Short
Aluminum
3.3%
Short
 
11%
Short
Copper
3.0%
Short
Copper
3.0%
Short
 
Aluminum
3.0%
Short
FINANCIALS
61%
         
66%
       
Currencies
25%
Long $
Euro
4.6%
Short
 
25%
Long $
Euro
5.2%
Short
Swiss Franc
1.8%
Short
 
Swiss Franc
1.8%
Short
Equities
8%
Long
Dax Index
2.2%
Short
 
11%
Long
Dax Index
2.8%
Short
Hang Seng
1.0%
Short
 
S&P 500
1.6%
Long
Fixed Income
28%
Long
Bunds
5.8%
Long
 
30%
Long
Bunds
6.9%
Long
U.S. 10-Year Treasury Notes
5.0%
Long
 
U.S. 10-Year Treasury Notes
5.2%
Long

 
Market Commentary (Largest price movements within each sector)
 
Sector/Market
Energy
Crude oil markets fell nearly 6% last week following the release of government reports showing an unexpected increase in U.S. inventories.  Fears the unstable financial environment in Europe would hinder future industrial demand also put pressure on crude oil prices.  Natural gas prices fell, reaching 27-month lows, as forecasts for warmer weather in the U.S. weighed on demand.
Grains/Foods
Soybean markets rallied in excess of 2% due to supply concerns fostered by adverse weather conditions in key South American farming regions.  In the foods markets, coffee prices fell in response to data showing strong Vietnamese and Brazilian production and heavy selling from commodity funds attempting to reduce portfolio risk prior to year-end.  Lean hogs prices also declined as lower Chinese export data weakened demand forecasts.
Metals
Base metals market predominantly declined following the U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision to not take further action to help stimulate the economy.  Precious metals also declined sharply, driven lower by a steep rally in the U.S. dollar.
Currencies
The euro fell versus the U.S. dollar as European regulators made little progress in formulating a new plan for aiding the ailing Eurozone financial system.  Liquidations in the Swiss franc prompted by uncertainty ahead of last week’s Swiss National Bank meeting drove the franc steadily lower against counterparts.  In Asia, the Japanese yen experienced losses due to reports showing a decline in Japanese consumer confidence.
Equities
Ongoing concerns regarding the Eurozone financial systems played a major role in driving global equity markets lower.  Investors liquidated equity positions to reduce risk exposures as European regulators failed to produce a new plan to help prevent further economic downturn in the region.  Inaction by the U.S. Federal Reserve to take further steps to bolster the economy furthered declines.
Fixed Income
U.S. Treasury markets registered profits as global equity weakness and Eurozone debt fears spurred demand for safe-haven instruments.  Bund prices also rallied sharply due to increased demand stemming from poor results from a recent Italian debt auction.

ALL PERFORMANCE REPORTED IS NET OF FEES AND EXPENSES.  PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. FUTURES TRADING INVOLVES A HIGH DEGREE OF RISK AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. FUTURES TRADING INVOLVES A HIGH DEGREE OF RISK, INCLUDING LIQUIDITY RISKS, NO SECONDARY MARKET EXISTS, RESTRICTIONS ON REDEMPTIONS, AND THE RISK OF FOREIGN SECURITIES.  THIS DOES NOT CONSTITUTE AN OFFER OF ANY SECURITY FOR SALE.  OFFERING BY PROSPECTUS ONLY.  INFORMATION IN THIS COMMENTARY IS DRAWN FROM VARIOUS SOURCES THAT ARE DEEMED TO BE RELIABLE. HOWEVER, THE INFORMATION IS NOT AUDITED BY DEARBORN CAPITAL.  IN ADDITION, DEARBORN CAPITAL DRAWS UPON THIS INFORMATION TO MAKE ITS OWN ASSUMPTIONS WHICH COULD BE CONSIDERED DEARBORN CAPITAL’S OPINION.  DEARBORN CAPITAL BELIEVES THAT ANY SUCH STATEMENTS OF OPINION HAVE A REASONABLE BASIS IN FACT.
 

 
 

 
 
Performance Chart
 
Barclays Capital U.S. Long Government Index (formerly Lehman Brothers U.S. Government Index:  Long Subset):  A benchmark comprised of the Barclays Capital U.S. Treasury and U.S. Agency indices.  The U.S. Long Government Index includes Treasuries (public obligations of the U.S. Treasury that have remaining maturities of more than ten years) and U.S. agency debentures (publicly issued debt of U.S. Government agencies, quasi-federal corporations, and corporate or foreign debt guaranteed by the U.S. Government). The U.S. Government Index is a component of the Barclays Capital U.S. Government Index.

Compounded Annualized Rate of Return (ROR): This is the geometric 12-month mean that assumes the same rate of return for each 12-month period to arrive at the equivalent compound growth rate reflected in the actual return data.

Standard and Poor’s 500 Total Return Index (S&P 500 Index): A weighted index of the 500 stocks in the S&P 500 Index, which are chosen by Standard and Poor’s based on industry representation, liquidity, and stability.  The stocks in the S&P 500 Index are not the 500 largest companies; rather the index is designed to capture the returns of many different sectors of the U.S. economy.  The total return calculation includes the price-plus-gross cash dividend return.


 
Risk Metrics Chart
 
Drawdown: A drawdown is any losing period during an investment’s performance history. It is defined as the percent retrenchment from an equity peak to an equity valley. Maximum drawdown is simply the largest percentage drawdown that has occurred during the specified time frame. Grant Park’s drawdowns are computed based on month-end equity values.

Sharpe Ratio: A return/risk measure defined as the average incremental return of an investment over the risk free rate.

Sortino Ratio: A ratio developed to differentiate between good and bad volatility. The calculation provides a risk-adjusted measure of performance without penalizing for upward price changes.

Standard Deviation: Measures the dispersal or uncertainty in a random variable (in this case, investment returns). It measures the degree of variation of returns around the mean, or average, return. The higher the volatility of the investment returns, the higher the standard deviation will be. For this reason, standard deviation is often used as a measure of investment risk.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
ALL PERFORMANCE REPORTED IS NET OF FEES AND EXPENSES.  PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. FUTURES TRADING INVOLVES A HIGH DEGREE OF RISK AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. FUTURES TRADING INVOLVES A HIGH DEGREE OF RISK, INCLUDING LIQUIDITY RISKS, NO SECONDARY MARKET EXISTS, RESTRICTIONS ON REDEMPTIONS, AND THE RISK OF FOREIGN SECURITIES.  THIS DOES NOT CONSTITUTE AN OFFER OF ANY SECURITY FOR SALE.  OFFERING BY PROSPECTUS ONLY.  INFORMATION IN THIS COMMENTARY IS DRAWN FROM VARIOUS SOURCES THAT ARE DEEMED TO BE RELIABLE. HOWEVER, THE INFORMATION IS NOT AUDITED BY DEARBORN CAPITAL.  IN ADDITION, DEARBORN CAPITAL DRAWS UPON THIS INFORMATION TO MAKE ITS OWN ASSUMPTIONS WHICH COULD BE CONSIDERED DEARBORN CAPITAL’S OPINION.  DEARBORN CAPITAL BELIEVES THAT ANY SUCH STATEMENTS OF OPINION HAVE A REASONABLE BASIS IN FACT.