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8-K - CURRENT REPORT ON FORM 8-K - DELTA AIR LINES, INC.delta_8k-032211.htm
 

Exhibit 99.1
 
 
 
 
Delta: Building a Better Airline
J.P. Morgan Aviation, Transportation & Defense Conference
March 22, 2011
 
 

 
1
1
Safe Harbor
 This presentation contains various projections and other forward-looking statements which
 represent Delta’s estimates or expectations regarding future events. All forward-looking
 statements involve a number of assumptions, risks and uncertainties, many of which are
 beyond Delta’s control, that could cause the actual results to differ materially from the
 projected results. Factors which could cause such differences include, without limitation,
 business, economic, competitive, industry, regulatory, market and financial uncertainties
 and contingencies, as well as the “Risk Factors” discussed in Delta’s Form 10-K for the year
 ended December 31, 2010. Caution should be taken not to place undue reliance on Delta’s
 forward-looking statements, which represent Delta’s views only as of the date of this
 presentation, and which Delta has no current intention to update.
 In this presentation, we will discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures. You can find the
 reconciliations of those measures to comparable GAAP measures on our website at
 delta.com
.
 
 

 
2
2
Delta: Building a Better Airline
Higher revenues plus solid cost performance
drove $2.5 billion year-over-year improvement
in profitability for 2010
Strong free cash flow
generation
Solid financial foundation and low cost structure,
coupled with improved risk profile, positions
Delta to effectively address impact of high fuel
prices and events in Japan
A successful 2010
Despite recent run-up in fuel prices, strong
operating cash flows with limited capital
requirements allow for sustainable free cash
flow generation
Positioned to succeed in the
long-term
 
 

 
3
3
2010 Results Show Delta’s Solid Foundation….  
2010 Operating Income ($M)
Note: All results exclude special items.
Delta’s industry-leading results are among the best in its history
 In 2010, Delta:
  Improved pre-tax income by more
 than $2.5 billion over 2009
  Generated a 10% return on
 invested capital
  Increased unit revenues by 13%
  Maintained consolidated ex-fuel
 unit costs at 2009 levels
  Reduced adjusted net debt by $2
 billion to $15 billion
  Successfully completed merger
 integration
EBIT
Margin
8.4%
5.6%
8.8%
1.8%
6.7%
9.6%
7.3%
 
 

 
4
…But Industry Faces Dramatic Rise in Fuel Prices
Today’s market prices reflect 2011 fuel price range of $3.05 - $3.10 per gallon
May - September
$2.02 - $2.11
May 2010
Dec 2011
Prices to drive Delta’s fuel expense up by $3 billion, or 35%, over 2010
June - December
$3.13 - $3.18
 
 

 
5
5
5
Higher Fuel Prices Driving Reduced Earnings
$325M
Capital Expenditures
Up 10 - 11%
Consolidated unit cost
March quarter 2011
Operating margin
(2 - 3%)
Fuel price
$2.90
Total unrestricted liquidity
$5.4 billion
March quarter 2011 vs.
March quarter 2010
Passenger unit revenue
Up 7 - 8%
Consolidated ex-fuel unit cost
Up 2 - 3%
System capacity
Up 4 - 5%
Domestic
Up 1 - 2%
International
Up 12 - 13%
Note: Excludes special items Fuel price is net of hedge impact, and includes taxes, transportation, and option premiums
March quarter fuel price creates over $600 million higher expense
 
 

 
6
 Strong revenue environment, combined with
 industry fare actions, driving higher yields
Higher Revenues
Reduce Capacity
Fleet Efficiency
Hedge Portfolio
 Retire 120 of our least efficient aircraft over next 18
 months, including DC9-50 and Saab turbo-prop
 fleets, and 60 50-seat regional jets
 Reducing 2H capacity by 4 points versus plan, with
 a focus on entities where revenue has not kept pace
 with fuel
 Reshaping hedge portfolio and locking in
 hedge gains
Using revenues and capacity reductions to address higher fuel expense
Adapting Quickly To The New Fuel Environment
 
 

 
7
Revenues in all entities except transatlantic keeping pace with fuel increase
March Quarter 2011 YOY Change
 Entity
Unit Revenue
Unit Cost
 Domestic
Up 9 - 10%
Up 9 - 10%
 
 Latin
Up 15 - 16%
Up 13 - 14%
 Pacific
Up 11 - 12% *
Up 11 - 12%
 Atlantic
Down 2 - 3%
Up 11 - 12%
 System
Up 7 - 8%
Up 10 - 11%
* Prior to impact of events in Japan
Successfully Passing Fuel Cost through Revenue
 
 

 
8
Targeted reductions where revenue not keeping pace with costs
2H11 YOY Capacity Change
 
Original
Plan
Revised
Plan

Change
Domestic
2%
(3%)
(5 pts)
Atlantic
(1%)
(4%)
(3 pts)
Latin
 
7%
6%
(1 pt)
Pacific
13%
5%
(8 pts)
System
2%
(2%)
(4 pts)
Capacity Actions
 Pulldown of 15-20% Japan
 capacity through May,
 including suspension of
 Haneda
 Reducing Memphis hub
 departures by 25%
 Reduction of capacity in
 underperforming Transatlantic
 markets, in conjunction with JV
 partners
Reducing 2H11 Schedule by Four Points
 
 

 
9
Preliminary estimates range 2011 net impact at $250 - $400 million
The situation in Japan continues to evolve….
Other Actions
 $1 million donation of cash and in-kind
 support for disaster relief
 Dedicated Delta-Red Cross website to
 receive donations from employees and
 customers
 Standing offer of complimentary cargo
 and passenger space for the American
 Red Cross
 Working with USAid and other
 organizations to provide charter service
 for evacuations and supplies
Delta Response to Japan Events
Capacity Response
 Reduce Japan capacity by 15-20%
 through May to reflect likely decrease
 in short-term demand
 Suspend service to Haneda
 Pull back on capacity between Narita
 and the beaches
 Selectively upgauge Asia over-flights
 and increase charter operations
 
 

 
10
10
Targeting Incremental Revenue of $1 Billion by 2013
Technology, product investments underway to unlock untapped revenue streams
Deliver a Consistent, Quality Experience for Customers
 Improved seat experience with flat-beds, Economy
 Comfort and more domestic first class seats
 State of the art facilities in JFK and Atlanta
 Customer service is a key differentiator
Offer New Products and Services Customers Value
 Seat-related products (e.g. Economy Comfort)
 SkyPriority recognizes our highest-value customers
 Ancillary products to improve the travel experience (e.g.,
 hotels, SkyClub passes, Wi-Fi)
Invest in Technology To Sustain Innovation
 Revamped eCommerce platforms enable revenue
 innovation
 Improved revenue management from stronger pricing
 tools
JFK Terminal 4
 
 

 
11
% of Fuel Consumption Hedged
Responding to dislocation of WTI to jet fuel
Avg Jet Equivalent Cap $2.91 $2.89 $2.95 $2.84  
Avg Jet Equivalent Floor $2.74 $2.62 $2.54 $2.62
Repositioning Fuel Hedge Portfolio
 Converted nearly all WTI hedge
 positions to Brent crude or
 heating oil
 Current mark to market value of
 $500 million with $360 million in
 locked-in gains
 Utilizing cashless collar
 structures to provide for
 downside participation
 
 

 
12
Commitment to Debt Reduction Remains Intact
Adjusted Net Debt
12/31/09
Mid-2013
High fuel will shift timing of achieving $10 billion adjusted net debt target
3/31/11
$14.6 billion
$17 billion
$10 billion
 
 

 
13
Scheduled Debt Maturities ($B)
Proactively Managing Near-Term Debt Maturities
$1.6
$2.1
$2.5 *
EETC
Other debt / capital leases
Exit facility
Amex
 Strong liquidity position will be maintained
 by a combination of financing and
 refinancing activities in addition to solid
 free cash flow generation
 Taking advantage of market opportunities
 to proactively address future maturities
 and reduce cost of debt
 $200 million of 2011 EETC bullet maturity
 has already been refinanced, with an
 additional 26 aircraft becoming available
 for future refinancing
 $1.2B of revolver commitments in hand to
 refinance the 2012 exit facility
Plan in place to maintain minimum $5 billion in liquidity
* Does not include $900 million in revolver expiration
 
 

 
14
Commitment To $1.3 Billion Annual CapEx
Annual Capital Spending Levels (billions)
Prudent capital management enables sustainable annual free cash flows
14
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014+
$2.2 $1.3  $1.3 $1.25  $1.2 $1.4 $1.3 
Merger
Integration
International
Product &
Facilities
Domestic
Narrowbody
Replacement
 
 

 
15
15
Path To Improving Shareholder Returns
10 - 12% operating margin
$5 billion EBITDAR
Minimize capital reinvestment
requirements
Use cash to delever the balance
sheet
Generate sustainable 10%+ return on invested capital
 
 

 
16
 
 

 
 

Non-GAAP Financial Measures
                   
We sometimes use information that is derived from our Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements, but that is not presented in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the U.S. (“GAAP”). Certain of this information is considered “non-GAAP financial measures” under the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission rules.  The non-GAAP financial measures should be considered in addition to results prepared in accordance with GAAP, but should not be considered a substitute for or superior to GAAP results.
                     
Delta is unable to reconcile certain forward-looking projections to GAAP as the nature or amount of special items cannot be estimated at this time.
                     
Delta excludes special items because management believes the exclusion of these items is helpful to investors to evaluate the company’s recurring operational performance.
                     
Delta presents net investing activities because management believes this metric is helpful to investors to evaluate the company’s investing activities.
                     
Delta uses adjusted total debt, including aircraft rent, in addition to long-term adjusted debt and capital leases, to present estimated financial obligations. Delta reduces adjusted total debt by cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments, resulting in adjusted net debt, to present the amount of additional assets needed to satisfy the debt.
                     
Delta presents return on invested capital (ROIC) as management believes it is helpful to investors in assessing the company's ability to generate returns using its invested capital.  ROIC represents operating income excluding special items divided by the sum of average market value of equity and average adjusted net debt.
                     
Delta presents free cash flow because management believes this metric is helpful to investors to evaluate the company’s ability to generate cash.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 
 
17

 

Pre-Tax Income
 
             
             
   
Full Year
   
Full Year
 
(in millions)
 
2010
   
2009
 
Pre-tax income (loss)
  $ 608     $ (1,581 )
Items excluded:
               
Restructuring and merger-related items
    450       407  
Loss on extinguishment of debt
    391       83  
Other
    10       -  
                 
Pre-tax income (loss) excluding special items
  $ 1,459     $ (1,091 )
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
18

 
 
 
Operating Income & Margin
 
       
       
   
Full Year
 
(in billions)
 
2010
 
Operating income
  $ 2,217  
Item excluded:
       
Restructuring and merger-related items
    450  
         
Operating income excluding special items
  $ 2,667  
         
Total operating revenue
  $ 31,755  
         
Operating margin excluding special items
    8.4 %
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
19

 
 
 
Total capital expenditures
 
             
             
   
Full Year
   
Full Year
 
(in billions)
 
2009
   
2008
 
Delta property and equipment additions (GAAP)
  $ 1.2     $ 1.5  
Northwest property and equipment additions (GAAP) for the period from January 1 to October 29, 2008
    -       1.1  
Other
    0.1       (0.4 )
                 
Total capital expenditures
  $ 1.3     $ 2.2  
 
 
 
 
 
 
20

 
 
 
Adjusted Net Debt & ROIC
                                 
                                 
 
(in billions)  
December 31, 2010
   
September 30, 2010
   
June 30, 2010
   
March 31, 2010
   
December 31, 2009
 
Debt and capital lease obligations
  $ 15.3           $ 15.4           $ 15.8           $ 16.9           $ 17.2        
Plus: unamortized discount, net from purchase accounting and fresh start reporting
    0.6             0.7             1.0             1.1             1.1        
Adjusted debt and capital lease obligations
          $ 15.9             $ 16.1             $ 16.8             $ 18.0             $ 18.3  
Plus: 7x last twelve months' aircraft rent
            2.7               3.0               3.2               3.3               3.4  
Adjusted total debt
            18.6               19.1               20.0               21.3               21.7  
Less: cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments
            (3.6 )             (3.9 )             (4.4 )             (4.9 )             (4.7 )
Adjusted net debt
          $ 15.0             $ 15.2             $ 15.6             $ 16.4             $ 17.0  
                                                                                 
                                                                                 
(in billions, except % return)
           2010                                                                  
Operating income
          $ 2.7                                                                  
                                                                                 
Market value of equity (assuming $12.60/ share)
          $ 10.6                                                                  
                                                                                 
Adjusted net debt
          $ 15.5                                                                  
                                                                                 
Total invested capital
          $ 26.1                                                                  
                                                                                 
Return on invested capital
            10 %                                                                
                                                                                 
 
 
 
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