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8-K - ORC FORM 8-K 2020-03-18 - Orchid Island Capital, Inc.orc8k20200318.htm
EXHIBIT 99.1

ORCHID ISLAND CAPITAL ANNOUNCES
MARCH 2020 MONTHLY DIVIDEND AND
FEBRUARY 29, 2020 RMBS PORTFOLIO CHARACTERISTICS

March 2020 Monthly Dividend of $0.08 Per Share of Common Stock
RMBS Portfolio Characteristics as of February 29, 2020
Next Dividend Announcement Expected April 8, 2020


Vero Beach, Fla., March 18, 2020 - Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (the “Company”) (NYSE:ORC) announced today that the Board of Directors (the “Board”) declared a monthly cash dividend for the month of March 2020. The dividend of $0.08 per share will be paid April 28, 2020, to holders of record of the Company’s common stock on March 31, 2020, with an ex-dividend date of March 30, 2020.  The Company plans on announcing its next common stock dividend after the Board’s meeting on April 8, 2020.

The Company intends to make regular monthly cash distributions to its holders of common stock. In order to qualify as a real estate investment trust (“REIT”), the Company must distribute annually to its stockholders an amount at least equal to 90% of its REIT taxable income, determined without regard to the deduction for dividends paid and excluding any net capital gain. The Company will be subject to income tax on taxable income that is not distributed and to an excise tax to the extent that a certain percentage of its taxable income is not distributed by specified dates. The Company has not established a minimum distribution payment level and is not assured of its ability to make distributions to stockholders in the future.

As of March 18, 2020, the Company had 66,232,508 shares of common stock outstanding. As of February 29, 2020, the Company had 65,869,815 shares of common stock outstanding. As of December 31, 2020, the Company had 63,061,781 shares of common stock outstanding.

Market Update

Global financial markets and economies experienced a significant shock not long after the new year started when a coronavirus outbreak occurred in China.  Over the course of the first quarter of 2020 the outbreak in China evolved into a global pandemic. The speed at which the virus spread forced governments across the globe to take ever more severe steps to slow and contain its spread.  These steps are having a severe economic impact, as economic activity in some instances essentially ceases. Financial markets across the globe are experiencing severe dislocations at least equal to what was experienced during the global financial crisis in 2008. On March 12, 2020 equity markets in the U.S. entered a bear market in the fastest such move in the history of U.S. financial markets. The Agency RMBS market is included in the list of markets under duress.  To date the funding markets, with considerable support from the Fed, have continued to operate relatively smoothly. These developments and their effect on the world’s economy and health will likely continue to play out over the balance of the year, and maybe beyond. At this time, it is too early to tell what the ultimate effect will be on economic activity across the globe and the markets the Company operates in – Agency RMBS.



RMBS Portfolio Characteristics

Details of the RMBS portfolio as of February 29, 2020 are presented below. These figures are preliminary and subject to change.  The information contained herein is an intra-quarter update created by the Company based upon information that the Company believes is accurate:

RMBS Valuation Characteristics
RMBS Assets by Agency
Investment Company Act of 1940 (Whole Pool) Test Results
Repurchase Agreement Exposure by Counterparty
RMBS Risk Measures

About Orchid Island Capital, Inc.

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. is a specialty finance company that invests on a leveraged basis in Agency RMBS. Our investment strategy focuses on, and our portfolio consists of, two categories of Agency RMBS: (i) traditional pass-through Agency RMBS,  such as mortgage pass-through certificates and collateralized mortgage obligations issued by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac or Ginnie Mae, and (ii) structured Agency RMBS. The Company is managed by Bimini Advisors, LLC, a registered investment adviser with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and other federal securities laws. These forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements about the Company’s distributions and market conditions, including the impact of the global coronavirus outbreak on the financial markets and the economy generally. These forward-looking statements are based upon Orchid Island Capital, Inc.’s present expectations, but these statements are not guaranteed to occur. Investors should not place undue reliance upon forward-looking statements. For further discussion of the factors that could affect outcomes, please refer to the “Risk Factors” section of the Company’s Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2019.



RMBS Valuation Characteristics
 
($ in thousands)
                                                                       
                                                   
Realized
   
Realized
             
                                                   
Feb 2020
   
Dec - Feb
   
Modeled
   
Modeled
 
                           
Net
               
Weighted
   
CPR
   
2020 CPR
   
Interest
   
Interest
 
               
%
         
Weighted
               
Average
   
(1-Month)
   
(3-Month)
   
Rate
   
Rate
 
   
Current
   
Fair
   
of
   
Current
   
Average
               
Maturity
   
(Reported
   
(Reported
   
Sensitivity
   
Sensitivity
 
Type
 
Face
   
Value(1)
   
Portfolio
   
Price
   
Coupon
   
GWAC
   
Age
   
(Months)
   
in Mar)
   
in Mar)
   
(-50 BPS)(2)
   
(+50 BPS)(2)
 
Pass Through RMBS
                                                                       
Post Reset ARM
 
$
955
   
$
983
     
0.02
%
 
$
102.93
     
4.51
%
   
4.96
%
   
187
     
174
     
0.00
%
   
0.00
%
 
$
6
   
$
1
 
Fixed Rate CMO
   
241,789
     
253,448
     
5.98
%
   
104.82
     
4.16
%
   
4.57
%
   
29
     
328
     
19.81
%
   
17.24
%
   
747
     
(1,073
)
15yr 3.0
   
17,439
     
18,360
     
0.43
%
   
105.28
     
3.00
%
   
3.62
%
   
1
     
177
     
1.24
%
   
0.00
%
   
170
     
(234
)
15yr 3.5
   
281,375
     
298,584
     
7.04
%
   
106.12
     
3.50
%
   
4.00
%
   
2
     
176
     
3.66
%
   
0.00
%
   
1,792
     
(2,650
)
15yr 4.0
   
18,107
     
19,450
     
0.46
%
   
107.42
     
4.00
%
   
4.45
%
   
21
     
152
     
20.07
%
   
17.10
%
   
196
     
(211
)
15yr Total
   
316,921
     
336,394
     
7.93
%
   
106.14
     
3.50
%
   
4.00
%
   
3
     
175
     
4.46
%
   
17.10
%
   
2,158
     
(3,095
)
20yr 4.0
   
78,022
     
85,824
     
2.02
%
   
110.00
     
4.00
%
   
4.48
%
   
31
     
204
     
14.32
%
   
11.97
%
   
1,477
     
(1,577
)
20yr Total
   
78,022
     
85,824
     
2.02
%
   
110.00
     
4.00
%
   
4.48
%
   
31
     
204
     
14.32
%
   
11.97
%
   
1,477
     
(1,577
)
30yr 3.0
   
310,413
     
323,919
     
7.64
%
   
104.35
     
3.00
%
   
3.91
%
   
7
     
353
     
6.18
%
   
3.12
%
   
3,382
     
(4,897
)
30yr 3.5
   
1,222,257
     
1,320,099
     
31.13
%
   
108.00
     
3.50
%
   
4.04
%
   
5
     
352
     
3.31
%
   
3.95
%
   
14,507
     
(20,672
)
30yr 4.0
   
954,470
     
1,051,329
     
24.79
%
   
110.15
     
4.00
%
   
4.57
%
   
16
     
341
     
12.60
%
   
15.75
%
   
12,067
     
(14,856
)
30yr 4.5
   
469,625
     
521,285
     
12.29
%
   
111.00
     
4.50
%
   
5.01
%
   
12
     
346
     
11.59
%
   
14.37
%
   
3,931
     
(4,851
)
30yr 5.0
   
248,409
     
279,724
     
6.60
%
   
112.61
     
5.00
%
   
5.51
%
   
21
     
335
     
19.47
%
   
17.62
%
   
2,685
     
(3,035
)
30yr Total
   
3,205,174
     
3,496,356
     
82.45
%
   
109.08
     
3.86
%
   
4.44
%
   
11
     
347
     
8.82
%
   
10.60
%
   
36,572
     
(48,311
)
Total Pass Through RMBS
   
3,842,861
     
4,173,005
     
98.41
%
   
108.59
     
3.85
%
   
4.41
%
   
12
     
328
     
9.26
%
   
11.30
%
   
40,960
     
(54,055
)
Structured RMBS
                                                                                               
Interest-Only Securities
   
395,474
     
44,257
     
1.04
%
   
11.19
     
4.00
%
   
4.59
%
   
68
     
280
     
21.24
%
   
21.81
%
   
(3,552
)
   
5,623
 
Inverse Interest-Only Securities
   
180,576
     
23,365
     
0.55
%
   
12.94
     
3.44
%
   
4.86
%
   
68
     
283
     
12.32
%
   
13.63
%
   
399
     
(923
)
Total Structured RMBS
   
576,050
     
67,622
     
1.59
%
   
11.74
     
3.83
%
   
4.68
%
   
68
     
281
     
18.45
%
   
19.24
%
   
(3,153
)
   
4,700
 
Total Mortgage Assets
 
$
4,418,911
   
$
4,240,627
     
100.00
%
           
3.85
%
   
4.45
%
   
19
     
322
     
10.46
%
   
12.74
%
 
$
37,807
   
$
(49,355
)
                                                                                                 
                                                                                   
Interest
   
Interest
 
   
Average
   
Hedge
                                                                   
Rate
   
Rate
 
   
Notional
   
Period
                                                                   
Sensitivity
   
Sensitivity
 
Hedge
 
Balance
   
End
                                                                   
(-50 BPS)(2)
   
(+50 BPS)(2)
 
Eurodollar Futures
 
$
(500,000
)
 
Dec-2021
                                                                     
(4,375
)
   
4,375
 
Swaps
   
(1,485,000
)
 
Nov-2023
                                                                     
(28,577
)
   
28,577
 
5-Year Treasury Futures
   
(69,000
)
 
Jun-2020(3)
                                                                     
(3,090
)
   
1,143
 
TBA Short
   
(700,000
)
 
Mar-2020
                                                                     
(2,642
)
   
3,019
 
Swaptions
   
(250,000
)
 
Apr-2020
                                                                     
(163
)
   
1,312
 
Hedge Total
 
$
(3,004,000
)
                                                                         
$
(38,847
)
 
$
38,426
 
Rate Shock Grand Total
                                                                                 
$
(1,040
)
 
$
(10,929
)

(1)
Amounts in the tables above exclude assets with a fair value of approximately $301.7 million  sold in February 2020, which settle in March 2020.
(2)
Modeled results from Citigroup Global Markets Inc. Yield Book. Interest rate shocks assume instantaneous parallel shifts and horizon prices are calculated assuming constant LIBOR option-adjusted spreads. These results are for illustrative purposes only and actual results may differ materially.
(3)
Five year treasury futures contracts were valued at prices of $122.75 at February 29, 2020.  The market value of the short position was $84.7 million.




RMBS Assets by Agency
           
Investment Company Act of 1940 Whole Pool Test
 
($ in thousands)
           
($ in thousands)
           
         
Percentage
           
Percentage
 
   
Fair
   
of
     
Fair
   
of
 
Asset Category
 
Value(1)
   
Portfolio
 
Asset Category
 
Value(1)
   
Portfolio
 
As of February 29, 2020
           
As of February 29, 2020
           
Fannie Mae
 
$
2,792,974
     
65.9
%
Non-Whole Pool Assets
 
$
443,003
     
10.4
%
Freddie Mac
   
1,447,653
     
34.1
%
Whole Pool Assets
   
3,797,624
     
89.6
%
Total Mortgage Assets
 
$
4,240,627
     
100.0
%
Total Mortgage Assets
 
$
4,240,627
     
100.0
%
                                   

(1)
Amounts in the tables above exclude assets with a fair value of approximately $301.7 million sold in February 2020, which settle in March 2020.




Borrowings By Counterparty
               
($ in thousands)
               
           
Weighted
Weighted
 
       
% of
 
Average
Average
 
   
Total
 
Total
 
Repo
Maturity
Longest
As of February 29, 2020
 
Borrowings(1)
 
Debt
 
Rate
in Days
Maturity
Wells Fargo Bank, N.A.
$
470,081
 
11.0%
 
1.75%
12
3/20/2020
Cantor Fitzgerald & Co
 
445,846
 
10.4%
 
1.75%
15
3/16/2020
J.P. Morgan Securities LLC
 
379,684
 
8.8%
 
1.77%
21
5/13/2020
Mirae Asset Securities (USA) Inc.
 
307,321
 
7.1%
 
1.76%
71
5/13/2020
Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith
 
292,806
 
6.8%
 
1.81%
14
3/13/2020
Mitsubishi UFJ Securities (USA), Inc
 
281,279
 
6.5%
 
1.73%
53
5/27/2020
Citigroup Global Markets Inc
 
212,837
 
4.9%
 
1.78%
73
5/14/2020
ASL Capital Markets Inc.
 
204,896
 
4.8%
 
1.76%
53
5/28/2020
ABN AMRO Bank N.V.
 
203,900
 
4.7%
 
1.76%
75
5/14/2020
ED&F Man Capital Markets Inc
 
189,541
 
4.4%
 
1.76%
72
5/13/2020
Guggenheim Securities, LLC
 
168,329
 
3.9%
 
1.77%
82
5/28/2020
ING Financial Markets LLC
 
165,450
 
3.8%
 
1.77%
19
3/27/2020
RBC Capital Markets, LLC
 
160,616
 
3.7%
 
1.80%
71
5/13/2020
South Street Securities, LLC
 
148,730
 
3.5%
 
2.45%
46
5/6/2020
Nomura Securities International, Inc.
 
144,229
 
3.4%
 
1.76%
59
5/18/2020
Daiwa Securities America Inc.
 
112,434
 
2.6%
 
1.76%
36
5/12/2020
ICBC Financial Services LLC
 
96,262
 
2.2%
 
1.79%
31
3/30/2020
FHLB-Cincinnati
 
88,911
 
2.1%
 
1.67%
3
3/2/2020
Barclays Capital Inc
 
78,305
 
1.8%
 
1.78%
14
3/13/2020
Lucid Cash Fund USG LLC
 
64,951
 
1.5%
 
1.80%
13
3/12/2020
Bank of Montreal
 
58,685
 
1.4%
 
1.82%
70
5/13/2020
J.V.B. Financial Group, LLC
 
29,011
 
0.7%
 
1.77%
21
3/20/2020
Mizuho Securities USA, Inc
 
1,751
 
0.0%
 
2.20%
19
3/18/2020
Total Borrowings
$
4,304,104
 
100.0%
 
1.79%
40
5/28/2020

(1)
In February 2020, the Company sold assets with a fair value of approximately $301.7 million, which settle in March 2020 that collateralize approximately $291.6 million of repurchase agreements included in the table above.

Contact:

Orchid Island Capital, Inc.
Robert E. Cauley
3305 Flamingo Drive, Vero Beach, Florida 32963
Telephone: (772) 231-1400