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EX-99 - EX-99 - PUBLIC SERVICE ENTERPRISE GROUP INC | d894238dex99.htm |
8-K - FORM 8-K - PUBLIC SERVICE ENTERPRISE GROUP INC | d894238d8k.htm |
Public
Service Enterprise Group PSEG Earnings Conference Call
4 th Quarter & Full Year 2019 February 26, 2020 EXHIBIT 99.1 |
Certain of
the matters discussed in this presentation about our and our subsidiaries future performance, including, without limitation, future revenues, earnings, strategies, prospects, consequences and all other statements that are not purely historical constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of
the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such
forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, which could cause
actual results to differ materially from those anticipated. Such statements are based on managements beliefs as well as assumptions made by and information currently available to management. When used herein, the words anticipate,
intend, estimate, believe, expect, plan, should, hypothetical, potential, forecast, project, variations of such words and
similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Factors that may cause actual results to differ are often presented with the forward-looking statements themselves. Other factors that could cause actual results to differ
materially from those contemplated in any forward- looking statements
made by us herein are discussed in filings we make with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), including our Annual Report on Form 10-K and subsequent reports on Form 10-Q and Form 8-K. These factors include, but are not limited to:
fluctuations in wholesale power and natural gas markets, including the potential impacts on the economic viability of our generation
units;
our ability to obtain adequate fuel supply;
market risks impacting the operation of our generating stations; increases in competition in wholesale energy and capacity markets; changes in technology related to energy generation, distribution and consumption and customer usage patterns;
economic downturns; third-party credit risk relating to our sale of generation output and purchase of fuel;
adverse performance of our nuclear decommissioning and defined benefit plan trust fund investments and changes in funding
requirements;
the impact of changes in state and federal legislation and regulations on our business,
including PSE&Gs ability to recover costs and earn returns on authorized investments; PSE&Gs proposed investment programs may not be fully approved by regulators and its capital investment may be lower than
planned;
the impact on our New Jersey nuclear plants if such plants are not awarded Zero
Emission Certificates (ZEC) in future periods, there is an adverse change in the amount of future ZEC payments, the ZEC program is overturned or modified through legal proceedings or if adverse changes are made to the capacity market
construct;
adverse changes in energy industry laws, policies and regulations, including market
structures and transmission planning;
the impact of state and federal actions aimed at combating climate change on our
natural gas assets;
risks associated with our ownership and operation of nuclear facilities, including
regulatory risks, such as compliance with the Atomic Energy Act and trade control, environmental and other regulations, as well as financial, environmental and health and safety risks;
changes in federal and state environmental regulations and enforcement; delays in receipt of, or an inability to receive, necessary licenses and permits;
the impact of any future rate proceedings; adverse outcomes of any legal, regulatory or other proceeding, settlement, investigation or claim applicable to us and/or the energy
industry;
changes in tax laws and regulations;
the impact of our holding company structure on our ability to meet our corporate funding needs, service debt and pay dividends;
lack of growth or slower growth in the number of customers or changes in customer demand;
any inability of PSEG Power to meet its commitments under forward sale obligations;
reliance on transmission facilities that we do not own or control and the impact on our ability to maintain adequate transmission
capacity;
any inability to successfully develop, obtain regulatory approval for, or construct
generation, transmission and distribution projects;
any equipment failures, accidents, severe weather events or other incidents that impact
our ability to provide safe and reliable service to our customers;
our inability to exercise control over the operations of generation facilities in which we do not maintain a controlling interest;
any inability to recover the carrying amount of our long-lived assets and leveraged leases;
any inability to maintain sufficient liquidity; any inability to realize anticipated tax benefits or retain tax credits; challenges associated with recruitment and/or retention of key executives and a qualified workforce;
the impact of our covenants in our debt instruments on our operations; and the impact of acts of terrorism, cybersecurity attacks or intrusions. All of the forward-looking statements made in this presentation are qualified by these cautionary statements and we cannot assure you that
the results or developments anticipated by management will be realized or
even if realized, will have the expected consequences to, or effects on, us or our business, prospects, financial condition, results of operations or cash flows. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements in making any investment decision.
Forward-looking statements made in this presentation apply only as of
the date of this presentation. While we may elect to update forward-looking statements from time to time, we specifically disclaim any obligation to do so, even in light of new information or future events, unless otherwise required by applicable securities laws.
The forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are intended to
qualify for the safe harbor provisions of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. Forward-Looking Statements 2 |
PSEG
presents Operating Earnings and Adjusted Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization (EBITDA) in addition to its Net Income reported in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States (GAAP).
Operating Earnings and Adjusted EBITDA are non-GAAP financial measures that differ
from Net Income. Non-GAAP Operating Earnings exclude the impact of
returns (losses) associated with the Nuclear Decommissioning Trust (NDT), Mark-to-Market (MTM) accounting and material one-time items. Non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA excludes the same items as our non-GAAP Operating
Earnings measure as well as income tax expense, interest expense and depreciation and
amortization. The last two slides in this presentation (Slides A and B)
include a list of items excluded from Net Income/(Loss) to reconcile to non-GAAP Operating Earnings and non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA with a reference to those slides included on each of the slides where the non-GAAP information
appears. Management uses non-GAAP Operating Earnings in its internal analysis, and in communications with investors and analysts, as a
consistent measure for comparing PSEGs financial performance to previous
financial results. Management believes non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA is
useful to investors and other users of our financial statements in evaluating operating performance because it provides them with an additional tool to compare business performance across companies and across periods. Management also
believes that non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA is widely used by investors to measure
operating performance without regard to items such as income tax expense,
interest expense and depreciation and amortization, which can vary substantially from company to company depending upon, among other things, the book value of assets, capital structure and whether assets were constructed or
acquired. Non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA also allows investors and other users to assess
the underlying financial performance of our fleet before
managements decision to deploy capital. The presentation of non-GAAP Operating Earnings and non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA is intended to complement, and should not be considered an alternative to, the presentation of Net Income/(Loss), which is
an indicator of financial performance determined in accordance with GAAP. In addition,
non-GAAP Operating Earnings and non- GAAP Adjusted EBITDA as
presented in this release may not be comparable to similarly titled measures used by other companies. Due to the forward looking nature of non-GAAP Operating Earnings and non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA guidance, PSEG is unable to
reconcile these non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP
financial measure. Management is unable to project certain reconciling
items, in particular MTM and NDT gains (losses), for future periods due to market volatility. GAAP Disclaimer These materials and other financial releases can be found on the PSEG website at https://investor.pseg.com. From time to time, PSEG, PSE&G and PSEG Power release important information via postings on their corporate website at https://investor.pseg.com. Investors
and other interested parties are encouraged to visit the corporate
website to review new postings. The Email Alerts link at https://investor.pseg.com may be used to enroll to receive automatic email alerts regarding new postings. 3 |
PSEG
2019 Q4 and Full Year Review
Ralph Izzo Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer |
PSEG Q4 and
Full Year 2019 Fourth Quarter and Full Year Highlights
Net Income per share of $0.86 in Q4 2019 vs. $0.39 in Q4 2018;
Full year Net Income per share of $3.33 in 2019 vs. $2.83 in 2018
Non-GAAP Operating Earnings* per share of $0.64 in Q4 2019 vs. $0.56 in Q4 2018;
Full year, non-GAAP Operating Earnings* per share of $3.28 in 2019
vs. $3.12 in 2018 PSE&G results benefited from ongoing investment in
utility infrastructure and rate relief PSEG Power results impacted by
lower capacity revenues partly offset by Zero Emission Certificate (ZEC)
revenues and cost control Operational Excellence
PSE&G named most reliable electric utility in the Mid-Atlantic region for the 18 year in a row Disciplined Capital Investment PSEG invested $3.1 billion in 2019: $2.7 billion at PSE&G covering completion of both Energy Strong
(ES) and Gas System Modernization Program (GSMP), and beginning of the second phase of
both programs
NJ Board of Public Utilities (NJBPU) approved extension of the Clean Energy Future (CEF) Energy Efficiency (EE) procedural schedule through September 2020 and the extension of several existing
programs in the amount of $111 million
NJBPU lifted statewide moratorium on Advanced Metering Infrastructure (AMI)
NJBPU Staff proposed procedural schedules for $600 million CEF Energy Cloud (EC/AMI), $300 million CEF Electric Vehicles (EV), and $100 million CEF Energy Storage (ES) *See Slides A and B for Items excluded from Net Income/(Loss) to reconcile to Operating Earnings (non-GAAP).
5 th |
PSEG Q4
Results Summary Quarter ended December 31
$ millions (except EPS)
2019 2018 Net Income $ 437 $ 199 Reconciling Items (107) 85 Operating Earnings (non-GAAP)* $ 330 $ 284 EPS from Net Income $ 0.86 $ 0.39 EPS from Operating Earnings (non-GAAP)* $ 0.64 $ 0.56 *See Slide A for Items excluded from Net Income to reconcile to Operating Earnings (non-GAAP).
6 |
PSEG Full
Year Results Twelve Months ended December 31
$ millions (except EPS)
2019 2018 Net Income $ 1,693 $ 1,438 Reconciling Items (27) 144 Operating Earnings (non-GAAP)* $ 1,666 $ 1,582 EPS from Net Income $ 3.33 $ 2.83 EPS from Operating Earnings (non-GAAP)* $ 3.28 $ 3.12 *See Slide A for Items excluded from Net Income to reconcile to Operating Earnings (non-GAAP).
7 |
PSEG
- Regulatory and Policy Objectives
PSEGs Priorities Aligned with New Jerseys Clean Energy Agenda
NJBPU approved agreement to extend CEF-EE procedural schedule to the end of
September 2020 to complete its review; investment in existing programs
extended in the interim by $111 million BPU staff proposed schedules for
the consideration of CEFEC (AMI), EV and ES: Procedural
schedules have been proposed for $1 billion of investments
NJBPU finalized the Energy Master Plan in January 2020
PSEG continuing due diligence and negotiations toward a Joint Venture agreement to
potentially acquire a 25% equity interest in Ørsteds 1,100 MW
Ocean Wind project PSEG Powering Progress
In line with PSEG Powers goal to reduce CO 2 emissions 80% by 2046 from 2005 levels, Keystone/ Conemaugh sale creates path to complete exit of coal units from PSEG Power fleet by mid-2021
One of the lowest carbon emissions intensity rates of the nations largest power
producers, according to the report, Benchmarking Air Emissions of
the 100 Largest Electric Power Producers in the United States,
released by M.J. Bradley & Associates PSE&G Gas System
Modernization Programs reduced annual methane emissions by approximately
40,000 metric tons of CO 2 equivalent during 2019 PSEG named to Dow Jones Sustainability Index North America for the 12 th consecutive year FERC/PJM/Wholesale Market Reforms Pending PJM compliance filing to FERC Capacity Order expected March 18 th Fast start pricing proceeding currently held in abeyance by FERC to allow PJM to address dispatch
and pricing misalignment concerns via its stakeholder process
8 |
Ongoing
investment in PSE&G Transmission and Distribution infrastructure
drives PSEG earnings growth; midpoint of guidance +4% over 2019
Non-GAAP Operating Earnings* Contribution by Subsidiary
2019 Actual and 2020E Guidance
*See Slides A and B for Items excluded from Net Income/(Loss) to reconcile to Operating
Earnings (non-GAAP). **Based
on the mid-point of 2020 non-GAAP Operating Earnings guidance of $3.30 - $3.50 per share. E = Estimate.
2019
2020E** PSE&G PSEG Power PSEG Enterprise/Other $3.28 $3.30 - $3.50E PSE&G expected to approach 80% of 2020 Operating Earnings Guidance PSEG Introducing 2020 Guidance 9 |
$1.56 $1.64 $1.72 $1.80 $1.88 $1.96 $1.00 $1.20 $1.40 $1.60 $1.80 $2.00 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020E PSEG Indicative Annual Dividend Increased $0.08 to $1.96 per share Payout Ratio 54% 57% 59% 58% 57% 58%** Building on a 113-year history of returning cash to our shareholders and maintaining financial flexibility PSEG Annual Dividend Rate 5 year rate of compound annual growth: 4.7% 10 * *Indicative annual 2020 PSEG common dividend rate per share. E=Estimate. **2020E Payout Ratio reflects the indicative annual dividend rate divided by the mid-point of 2020 non-GAAP operating earnings guidance
of $3.30 - $3.50 per share. Note: All future decisions regarding dividends on the common
stock are subject to approval by the Board of Directors. |
PSEG
2019 Q4 Operating Company Review
Dan Cregg EVP and Chief Financial Officer |
PSEG
Q4 Results by Subsidiary
Net Income / (Loss) 2019 2018 Change PSE&G $ 0.54 $ 0.47 $ 0.07 PSEG Power $ 0.32 $ (0.07) $ 0.39 PSEG Enterprise/Other $ -.
$ (0.01) $ 0.01 Total PSEG $ 0.86 $ 0.39 $ 0.47 Non-GAAP Operating Earnings* 2019 2018 Change PSE&G $ 0.54 $ 0.47 $ 0.07 PSEG Power $ 0.10 $ 0.11 $ (0.01) PSEG Enterprise/Other $ -.
$ (0.02) $ 0.02 Total PSEG* $ 0.64 $ 0.56 $ 0.08 *See Slides A and B for Items excluded from Net Income/(Loss) to reconcile to Operating Earnings (non-GAAP) for PSEG, PSEG Power and PSEG
Enterprise/Other. PSEG Q4 EPS Summary
Quarter ended December 31
12 |
$0.39 $0.56 $0.64 $0.86 0.07 (0.01) 0.02 $0.00 $0.15 $0.30 $0.45 $0.60 $0.75 $0.90 Q4 2018 Net Income Q4 2018 Operating Earnings (non-GAAP)* PSE&G PSEG Power PSEG Enterprise/ Other Q4 2019 Operating Earnings (non-GAAP)* Q4 2019 Net Income PSEG EPS Reconciliation Q4 2019 versus Q4 2018 ZECs 0.06 Capacity (0.11) Re-contracting, Lower Cost to Serve 0.02 Volume (0.02) O&M 0.03 Taxes & Other 0.01 Transmission 0.04 Gas Margin 0.02 Distribution O&M 0.02 Distribution Depreciation & Interest (0.02) Distribution Non-Operating Pension/OPEB 0.03 Distribution Taxes & Other (0.02) Lower Taxes *See Slide A for Items excluded from Net Income to reconcile to Operating Earnings (non-GAAP).
13 |
PSEG
Full Year Results by Subsidiary
Net Income/(Loss) 2019 2018 Change PSE&G $ 2.46 $ 2.10 $ 0.36 PSEG Power $ 0.93 $ 0.72 $ 0.21 PSEG Enterprise/Other $ (0.06) $ 0.01 $ (0.07) Total PSEG $ 3.33 $ 2.83 $ 0.50 Non-GAAP Operating Earnings* 2019 2018 Change PSE&G $ 2.46 $ 2.10 $ 0.36 PSEG Power $ 0.81 $ 0.99 $ (0.18) PSEG Enterprise/Other $ 0.01 $ 0.03 $ (0.02) Total PSEG* $ 3.28 $ 3.12 $ 0.16 *See Slides A and B for Items excluded from Net Income/(Loss) to reconcile to Operating Earnings (non-GAAP) for PSEG, PSEG Power and PSEG
Enterprise/Other. PSEG Full Year EPS Summary
Twelve Months ended December 31
14 |
$2.83 $3.12 $3.28 $3.33 0.36 (0.18) (0.02) $0.00 $0.50 $1.00 $1.50 $2.00 $2.50 $3.00 $3.50 FY 2018 Net Income FY 2018 Operating Earnings (non-GAAP)* PSE&G PSEG Power PSEG Enterprise/ Other FY 2019 Operating Earnings (non-GAAP)* FY 2019 Net Income PSEG EPS Reconciliation FY 2019 versus FY 2018 ZECs 0.18 Capacity (0.17) Re-contracting, Lower Cost to Serve (0.09) Volume (0.01) Gas Operations (0.04) O&M 0.04 Depreciation (0.04) Interest Expense (0.05) Transmission 0.17 Gas Margin 0.16 Electric Margin 0.04 Weather (0.02) Distribution O&M 0.03 Distribution Depreciation & Interest (0.08) Distribution Non-Operating Pension/OPEB 0.08 Distribution Taxes & Other (0.02) Interest Expense partially offset by Lower Taxes *See Slide A for Items excluded from Net Income to reconcile to Operating Earnings (non-GAAP).
15 |
PSE&G 2019 Q4 Review |
$0.47 $0.54 0.06 0.01 $0.00 $0.10 $0.20 $0.30 $0.40 $0.50 $0.60 Q4 2018 Net Income Q4 2019 Net Income PSE&G EPS Reconciliation Q4 2019 versus Q4 2018 Transmission 0.04 Gas Margin 0.02 Distribution O&M 0.02 Distribution Depreciation & Interest (0.02) Distribution Non-Operating Pension/OPEB 0.03 Distribution Taxes & Other (0.02) 17 |
178 650 836 288 628 786 240 511 824 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 October November December 2019 2018 normal Q4 2019 vs. Q4 2018 vs. Normal Monthly Heating Degree Days (HDD) Q4 2019 winter weather, as defined by heating degree days, was ~2% warmer than Q4 2018 and ~6% colder than normal 4,600 4,770 4,662 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 2019 2018 normal Winter Weather Summary (HDD) FY 2019 vs. FY 2018 vs. Normal 16,583 20,073 17,721 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 2019 2018 normal Summer Weather Summary (THI) FY 2019 vs. FY 2018 vs. Normal FY 2019 winter weather was ~2% warmer than 2018 and ~1% colder than normal FY 2019 summer weather was ~12% cooler than 2018 and ~7% warmer than normal 18 PSE&G Q4 & Full Year Weather Summary |
0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E Transmission Electric Distribution Gas Distribution Clean Energy PSE&Gs capital program of $11.5 billion to $15 billion focused on reliability, resiliency, grid modernization and clean energy investments CEF: EE, EC, EV & ES PSE&G Capital Spending 2020E 2024E Includes AFUDC Debt. Green hashed portion of the chart represents CEF filings to reflect a one year delay in discussions; no change to total filing position. Purple hashed portion of the chart represents the identified IIP Extension programs (GSMP III and ES III) E = Estimate. ~90% of investment receiving contemporaneous or near-contemporaneous regulatory treatment 19 Identified Infrastructure Investment Program (IIP) Extensions (ES III & GSMP III) |
0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 2019 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E Transmission Electric Distribution Gas Distribution Clean Energy 8.0% - Green hashed portion of the chart represents revised CEF filings to reflect a one year delay in discussions; no change to total filing
position. Purple hashed portion of the chart represents the identified IIP
Extension programs (GSMP III and ES III) E = Estimate. Chart excludes CWIP. Year-end 2019 CWIP balance was $1.6 B. CEF PSE&G Year-End Rate Base 2019 2024E Investment program provides opportunity for ~ 6.5% to 8% compound annual growth in rate base 6.5% - Identified IIP Extensions 20 |
PSE&G
Q4 Highlights
FERC formula rates placed into effect January 1; completed return of additional tax
reform benefits to customers in 2019
Agreement reached to extend CEF-EE procedural schedule to September
2020 NJBPU proposed procedural schedules for CEF-EC/AMI, CEF-EV
and CEF-ES 2019 Energy Master Plan finalized in January, broadly
supporting NJs clean energy initiatives Operations
PSE&G invested $2.7 billion in 2019 completing first phase of ES and GSMP and
beginning second phase of both programs
PSE&Gs Q4 2019 earnings increased by $0.07 per share, or ~15%, over Q4 2018
PSE&G 2020 earnings guidance is $1,310 million to $1,370
million Consolidated rate base grew by 6% to over $20 billion at
year-end 2019 Financial
Completed replacement of approximately 230 miles of gas main and 16,000 services during
2019, annual methane emissions reduced by approximately 40,000 metric
tons of Weather-normalized electric and gas sales were each ~1% lower
for the year Residential customer growth continues to be just under 1% per
year PSE&G
named most reliable electric utility in the Mid-Atlantic region by PA Consulting for 18 year in a row 21 Regulatory and Market Environment th CO 2 equivalent |
PSEG
Power 2019 Q4 Review |
PSEG Power
EPS Reconciliation Q4 2019 versus Q4 2018
($0.07) $0.11 $0.10 (0.05) 0.04 ~ ~ Q4 2018 Net Loss Q4 2018 Operating Earnings (non-GAAP)* Q4 2019 Net Income Q4 2019 Operating Earnings (non-GAAP)* ZECs 0.06 Capacity (0.11) Re-contracting, Lower Cost to Serve 0.02 Volume (0.02) O&M 0.03 Taxes & Other 0.01 *See Slide B for Items excluded from Net Income/(Loss) to reconcile to Operating Earnings (non-GAAP).
$0.35 $0.32 23 |
7,487 7,016 1,436 5,300 6,335 0 2,500 5,000 7,500 10,000 12,500 15,000 2018 2019 (6) PSEG Power Q4 Generation Measures Total Nuclear Total Coal**** Natural Gas & Oil *Excludes Solar, Kalaeloa and pumped storage. **Excludes peaking and steam generation. ***Includes Oil Fuel Costs of $1 million in 2018 and 2019. ****PSEG Power completed the sale of its ownership interests in Keystone and Conemaugh generation, labeled as PA Coal in the Capacity Factor table, in September 2019. PSEG Power Generation (GWh)* 14,223 13,345 PSEG Power Capacity Factors (%)* Quarter ended December 31 ($ millions) 2018 2019 Gas*** $ 125 $ 135 Coal 34 - Total Fossil 159 135 Nuclear 44 41 Total Fuel Cost $ 203 $ 176 Total Generation (GWh)*
14,223 13,345 $ / MWh 14.27 13.19 PSEG Power Fuel Costs* Quarter ended December 31 2018 2019 Combined Cycle** 50.6% 54.8% Coal PA 79.9% 0.0% CT 9.2% 0.0% Nuclear 86.9% 81.9% 24 |
31,231 30,156 5,743 3,861 18,889 22,839 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 2018 2019 Twelve Months ended December 31 2018 2019 Combined Cycle** 52.0% 52.2% Coal PA 80.1% 75.4% CT 9.9% 1.6% Nuclear 91.4% 88.7% PSEG Power Full Year Generation Measures Total Nuclear Total Coal**** Natural Gas & Oil *Excludes Solar, Kalaeloa and pumped storage. **Excludes peaking and steam generation. ***Includes Oil Fuel Costs of $29 million and $5 million in 2018 and 2019, respectively.
****PSEG Power completed the sale of its ownership interests in Keystone and Conemaugh
generation, labeled as PA Coal in the Capacity Factor table, in September 2019. PSEG Power Generation (GWh)* 55,863 56,856 PSEG Power Capacity Factors (%)* Twelve Months ended December 31 ($ millions) 2018 2019 Gas*** $ 450 $ 531 Coal 140 78 Total Fossil 590 609 Nuclear 187 178 Total Fuel Cost $ 777 $ 787 Total Generation (GWh)*
55,863 56,856 $ / MWh 13.91 13.84 PSEG Power Fuel Costs* 25 |
PSEG Power
Gross Margin Performance
ZEC revenues earned for full fourth quarter
A scheduled decline in capacity revenues from June 2019 through May 2020;
ISO-NE lower capacity prices were partially offset by addition of Bridgeport Harbor
5 Lower cost to serve partially offset re-contracting at lower market
prices Lower generation volumes related to sale of Keystone and Conemaugh
Regional Performance
Region Q4 Gross Margin ($M) Q4 2019 Performance PJM $360 Lower capacity revenues, re- contracting at lower market prices, lower volumes from sale of Keystone and Conemaugh and lower spark spreads partially offset by ZEC revenues and lower cost to serve New England $41 Higher volume from new CCGT generation partially offset by lower market prices New York $13 Lower market prices partially offset by higher demand PSEG Power Gross Margin ($/MWh) $38 $31 $31 $0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 2017 2018 2019 Quarter ended December 31 $38 $33 $32 $0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 2017 2018 2019 Twelve months ended December 31 26 |
Hedging
Update Contracted Energy*
27 2020 2021 2022 Nuclear Volume TWh 31 31 31 % Hedged 100% 80-85% 30-35% Price $/MWh $37 $36 $36 Combined Cycle Volume TWh 19-21 19-21 19-21 % Hedged 70-75% 0% 0% Price $/MWh $37 $ - $ - Total Volume TWh 50-52 50-52 50-52 % Hedged 85-90% 45-50% 20-25% Price $/MWh $37 $36 $36 *Hedge percentages and prices as of February 5, 2020 and reflect revenues of full requirement load deals based on contract price including
renewable energy credits, ancillary and transmission components but
excluding capacity. Hedges include positions with MTM accounting treatment and options. |
PSEG Power
Q4 Highlights
Q4 total output down ~6% primarily due to sale of Keystone and Conemaugh vs Q4
2018 Nuclear fleet achieved a capacity factor of 81.9% in Q4 and 88.7% for
full-year 2019 CCGT fleet achieved ~55% capacity factor in Q4; new
units operated at capacity factors > 65% Nuclear fleet produced 7.0
TWh, down ~6% due to extended Hope Creek refueling outage; CCGT fleet
produced 6.3 TWh of output
Operations Regulatory and Market Environment Financial New Jersey re-joined the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative effective January 1, 2020; Affected
generating units must purchase one allowance for every ton of
emitted PJM Compliance Filing to FERC Order regarding PJM Reliability Pricing Model auction due March 18
BGS load for 2020 projected at ~8 TWh
2020 anticipated base load output hedged at an average price ~$1/MWh lower than
2019 PSEG Powers total debt as a percentage of capitalization was
33% at December 31 PSEG Powers 2020 guidance range for non-GAAP
Operating Earnings is $345 million to $435 million; non-GAAP Adjusted
EBITDA guidance is $950 million to $1,050 million 28
CO 2 th |
PSEG |
PSEG 2020
Guidance - By Subsidiary
$ millions (except EPS)
2020E 2019 PSE&G (Net Income) $1,310 - $1,370 $1,250 PSEG Power $345 - $435 $409 PSEG Enterprise/Other ($5) $7 Operating Earnings (non-GAAP)* $1,675 - $1,775 $1,666 Operating EPS (non-GAAP)* $3.30 - $3.50 $3.28 Segment Operating Earnings Guidance and Prior Year Results (non-GAAP, except as noted)* $ millions 2020E 2019 PSEG Power $950 - $1,050 $1,035 PSEG Power Adjusted EBITDA (non-GAAP)* *See Slide A for Items excluded from Net Income to reconcile to Operating Earnings (non-GAAP) for PSEG and Slide B for Items excluded from
Net Income/(Loss) to reconcile to Operating Earnings (non-GAAP) and
Adjusted EBITDA (non-GAAP) for PSEG Power and PSEG Enterprise/Other. E = Estimate. 30 Guidance ranges are modestly wider to allow for variability by business that is often offset in consolidated results |
PSEG
Financial Highlights Business mix anticipates PSE&G contribution
approaches 80% of Operating Earnings in 2020 PSEGs 5-year
capital spending forecast of $12 - $16 billion, with over 90%
directed at PSE&G, expected to produce ~6.5% -
8% compound annual growth in rate base over 2020 -
2024 Hope Creek and Salem 1 and Salem 2 earn full year of ZECs in 2020 Increased 2020 indicative annual common dividend by $0.08 to $1.96 per share Financial position remains strong: PSEG continues to be a net beneficiary from tax reform Cash from PSEG Power and increasing cash from operations at PSE&G fund 2020 - 2024 capital spending program and support opportunity for dividend growth without the need to issue equity Debt as a percentage of capitalization was 52% at December 31 PSEG credit measures remain strong 31 Initiating 2020 non-GAAP Operating Earnings guidance of $3.30 - $3.50 per share, up ~4%
over 2019 mid-point of guidance
|
PSEG
Liquidity as of December 31, 2019 32
Expiration Total Available Company Facility Date Facility Usage Liquidity ($ Millions) PSE&G 5-year Credit Facility Mar-23 $600 (A) $379 $221 PSEG Money Pool PSEG / PSEG Power 5-year Credit Facilities (PSEG) Mar-23 $1,500 (B) $796 $704 5-year Credit Facilities (PSEG Power) Mar-23 $1,900 (C) $40 $1,860 3-year LC Facilities (PSEG Power) Sep-21 $200 $121 $79 Total Money Pool $3,600 $957 $2,643 Total $4,200 $1,336 $2,864 (A) PSE&G facility will be reduced by $4 million in March 2022. $50 (B) PSEG facilities will be reduced by $9 million in March 2022. PSE&G ST Investment $0 (C) PSEG Power facilities will be reduced by $12 million in March 2022. Total Liquidity Available $2,914 PSEG Money Pool ST Investment |
Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Operating Earnings
Please see Slide 3 for an explanation of PSEGs use of Operating Earnings as a
non-GAAP financial measure and how it differs from Net Income.
A 2019 2018 2019 2018 Net Income 437 $ 199 $ 1,693 $ 1,438 $ (Gain) Loss on Nuclear Decommissioning Trust (NDT) Fund Related Activity, pre-tax (PSEG Power) (91) 172 (255) 144 (Gain) Loss on Mark-to-Market (MTM), pre-tax (a) (PSEG Power) (90) 35 (285) 117 Plant Retirements and Dispositions, pre-tax (PSEG Power) - (54) 402 (51) Lease Related Activity, pre-tax (PSEG Enterprise/Other) - (12) 58 8 Goodwill Impairment, pre-tax (PSEG Power) 16 - 16 - Income Taxes related to Operating Earnings (non-GAAP) reconciling items (b) 58 (56) 37 (74) Operating Earnings (non-GAAP) 330 $ 284 $ 1,666 $ 1,582 PSEG Fully Diluted Average Shares Outstanding (in millions) 507 508 507 507 Net Income 0.86 $ 0.39 $ 3.33 $ 2.83 $ (Gain) Loss on NDT Fund Related Activity, pre-tax (PSEG Power) (0.18) 0.33 (0.50) 0.28 (Gain) Loss on MTM, pre-tax (a) (PSEG Power) (0.18) 0.07 (0.56) 0.23 Plant Retirements and Dispositions, pre-tax (PSEG Power) - (0.11) 0.79 (0.10) Lease Related Activity, pre-tax (PSEG Enterprise/Other) - (0.01) 0.11 0.02 Goodwill Impairment, pre-tax (PSEG Power) 0.03 - 0.03 - Income Taxes related to Operating Earnings (non-GAAP) reconciling items (b) 0.11 (0.11) 0.08 (0.14) Operating Earnings (non-GAAP) 0.64 $ 0.56 $ 3.28 $ 3.12 $ December 31, Year Ended December 31, PUBLIC SERVICE ENTERPRISE GROUP INCORPORATED Consolidated Operating Earnings (non-GAAP) Reconciliation Three Months Ended Reconciling Items ($ millions, Unaudited) ($ Per Share Impact - Diluted, Unaudited) (a) Includes the financial impact from positions with forward delivery months. (b) Income tax effect calculated at the statutory rate except for lease related activity which is calculated at a combined leveraged lease effective
tax rate and NDT related activity which is calculated at the
statutory rate plus a 20% tax on income (losses) from qualified NDT funds. $ |
Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Operating Earnings and
Non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA
Please see Slide 3 for an explanation of PSEGs use of Operating Earnings and
Adjusted EBITDA as non-GAAP financial measures and how they differ from Net Income/(Loss). (a) Income tax effect calculated at a combined leveraged lease effective tax rate. (a) Includes the financial impact from positions with forward delivery months. (b) Income tax effect calculated at the statutory rate except for NDT related activity which is calculated at the statutory rate plus a 20% tax on
income (losses) from qualified NDT funds.
(c) Excludes amounts related to Operating Earnings (non-GAAP) reconciling items.
(d) Net of capitalized interest. B 2019 2018 2019 2018 Net Income (Loss) 159 $ (35) $ 468 $ 365 $ (Gain) Loss on NDT Fund Related Activity, pre-tax (91) 172 (255) 144 (Gain) Loss on MTM, pre-tax (a) (90) 35 (285) 117 Plant Retirements and Dispositions, pre-tax - (54) 402 (51) Goodwill Impairment, pre-tax 16 - 16 - Income Taxes related to Operating Earnings (non-GAAP) reconciling items (b) 58 (61) 63 (73) Operating Earnings (non-GAAP) 52 $ 57 $ 409 $ 502 $ Depreciation and Amortization, pre-tax (c) 94 93 372 346 Interest Expense, pre-tax (c) (d) 34 26 114 72 Income Taxes (c) 18 - 140 139 Adjusted EBITDA (non-GAAP) 198 $ 176 $ 1,035 $ 1,059 $ PSEG Fully Diluted Average Shares Outstanding (in millions) 507 508 507 507 PSEG Power Operating Earnings (non-GAAP) and Adjusted EBITDA (non-GAAP) Reconciliation
Three Months Ended Year Ended December 31, Reconciling Items December 31, ($ millions, Unaudited) 2019 2018 2019 2018 Net Income (Loss) 2 $ (5) $ (25) $ 6 $ Lease Related Activity, pre-tax - (12) 58 8 Income Taxes related to Lease related activity (a) - 5 (26) (1) Operating Earnings (non-GAAP) 2 $ (12) $ 7 $ 13 $ PSEG Fully Diluted Average Shares Outstanding (in millions) 507 508 507 507 December 31, December 31, ($ millions, Unaudited) PSEG Enterprise/Other Operating Earnings (non-GAAP) Reconciliation Reconciling Items Three Months Ended Year Ended |