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8-K - 8-K Q4 2016 - HARLEY-DAVIDSON, INC.a2016q48-k.htm

Exhibit 99.1




Harley-Davidson Reports Fourth Quarter, Full-Year 2016 Results

Market Share Gains in the U.S. While Industry Sales Decline

MILWAUKEE, Jan. 31, 2017 - Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE:HOG) fourth quarter 2016 diluted EPS increased 22.7 percent to $0.27 compared to $0.22 in the same period of 2015. In the fourth quarter of 2016, net income was $47.2 million on consolidated revenue of $1.11 billion versus net income of $42.2 million on consolidated revenue of $1.18 billion in the year-ago period. Full-year 2016 diluted EPS increased 3.8 percent to $3.83 compared to diluted EPS of $3.69 in 2015. Full-year net income was $692.2 million on consolidated revenue of $6.0 billion versus net income of $752.2 million on consolidated revenue of $6.0 billion a year ago.

“The global competitive environment remains intense, but our 2016 results demonstrate that our increased investments to drive demand and bring impactful new products to market are working,” said Matt Levatich, president and chief executive officer, Harley-Davidson, Inc. “We are energized by our resolve to compete and win in the U.S. and in major international markets. Our market share performance gives us great confidence in the strength of our long-term strategy.”

For the full-year 2016, worldwide Harley-Davidson retail motorcycle sales were down 1.6 percent compared to 2015. U.S. retail sales decreased 3.9 percent, partially offset by international growth of 2.3 percent.

During 2016, the company reported its best-ever retail sales results in Asia Pacific and EMEA. In the 601+cc motorcycle market, the company grew its number one market share position in the U.S. and grew market share in Europe. The company added 40 new dealer points internationally and reported that U.S. dealers trained more than 65,000 new riders through the Harley-Davidson Riding Academy. The company also launched its model year 2017 lineup of motorcycles, featuring the new, highly-acclaimed Milwaukee-Eight™ engine, and upgraded suspension, on all new Touring motorcycles.

“Our long-term strategy is all about growing ridership in the U.S., growing reach and impact internationally, and growing share and profit in every market we serve,” stated Levatich. “Our goal over the next 10 years is to build the next generation of Harley-Davidson riders worldwide.”

Harley-Davidson Retail Motorcycle Sales
 
4th Quarter
Full-Year
2016
2015
Change
2016
2015
Change
U.S.
26,077
26,044
0.1%
161,658
168,240
-3.9%
Canada
1,257
1,255
0.2%
10,203
9,669
5.5%
Latin America
2,637
3,082
-14.4%
9,701
11,173
-13.2%
EMEA
7,891
7,689
2.6%
45,838
43,287
5.9%
Asia Pacific
8,748
8,787
-0.4%
32,889
32,258
2.0%
International Total
20,533
20,813
-1.3%
98,631
96,387
2.3%
Worldwide Total
46,610
46,857
-0.5%
260,289
264,627
-1.6%





In the fourth quarter, worldwide retail sales of new Harley-Davidson motorcycles declined 0.5 percent versus the prior year behind modest declines in some international markets partially offset by slight growth in the U.S.

Motorcycles and Related Products Segment Results
$ in thousands
4th Quarter
Full-Year
2016
2015
Change
2016
2015
Change
Motorcycle Shipments (vehicles)
42,414
48,149
-11.9%
262,221
266,382
-1.6%
Revenue
 
 
 
 
 
 
 Motorcycles
$685,047
$751,383
-8.8%
$4,122,113
$4,127,739
-0.1%
 Parts & Accessories
$169,445
$169,707
-0.2%
$842,637
$862,645
-2.3%
 General Merchandise
$72,919
$79,356
-8.1%
$284,583
$292,310
-2.6%
Gross Margin Percent
30.7%
31.9%
-1.2 pts
35.1%
36.8%
-1.7 pts
Operating Income
$9,271
$6,368
45.6%
$773,406
$875,490
-11.7%
Operating Margin Percent
1.0%
0.6%
0.4 pts
14.7%
16.5%
-1.8 pts

Fourth quarter revenue from motorcycles and related products was down versus the prior year behind fewer motorcycle shipments. Operating margin as a percent of revenue increased in the quarter compared to the same period in 2015, resulting from lower SG&A.

Financial Services Segment Results
$ in thousands
4th Quarter
Full-Year
2016
2015
Change
2016
2015
Change
Revenue
$177,577
$173,565
2.3%
$725,082
$686,658
5.6%
Operating Income
$60,139
$60,857
-1.2%
$275,530
$280,205
-1.7%

Financial services operating income fell 1.2 percent in the fourth quarter compared to the year ago period.

Income Tax Rate
For 2016, Harley-Davidson's effective tax rate was 32.4 percent compared to 34.6 percent the prior year. The lower effective tax rate is attributed to the successful closure of various tax audits in 2016.
    
Other Results
Cash and marketable securities amounted to $765.5 million at the end of 2016, compared to $767.4 million at the end of 2015. Harley-Davidson generated $1.17 billion of cash from operating activities in 2016 compared to $1.10 billion in 2015. On a discretionary basis, the company repurchased 1.7 million shares of its common stock during the fourth quarter of 2016 at a cost of $91.0 million. In 2016, Harley-Davidson repurchased 9.7 million shares of its common stock at a cost of $459.1 million. In the fourth quarter of 2016, there were 177.6 million weighted-average diluted common shares outstanding. At the end of 2016, 19.3 million shares remained on a board-approved share repurchase authorization.











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Guidance    
For 2017, Harley-Davidson anticipates full-year motorcycle shipments to be flat to down modestly in comparison to 2016. In the first quarter of 2017, Harley-Davidson expects to ship approximately 66,000 to 71,000 motorcycles.

Harley-Davidson expects full-year 2017 operating and gross margin as a percent of revenue to be approximately in line with 2016 and its full-year effective tax rate to be approximately 34.5 percent.

The company anticipates 2017 capital expenditures of $200 million to $220 million.

Company Background
Harley-Davidson, Inc. is the parent company of Harley-Davidson Motor Company and Harley-Davidson Financial Services. Since 1903, Harley-Davidson Motor Company has fulfilled dreams of personal freedom with custom, cruiser and touring motorcycles, riding experiences and events and a complete line of Harley-Davidson motorcycle parts, accessories, general merchandise, riding gear and apparel. Harley-Davidson Financial Services provides wholesale and retail financing, insurance, extended service and other protection plans and credit card programs to Harley-Davidson dealers and riders in the U.S., Canada and other select international markets. For more information, visit Harley-Davidson's Web site at www.harley-davidson.com.

Conference Call and Webcast Presentation
Harley-Davidson will discuss fourth quarter and full-year results on a Webcast at 8:00 a.m. CT today. The supporting slides will be posted prior to the call and can be accessed at http://investor.harley-davidson.com under "Events and Presentations." The audio portion of today's call will also be posted approximately two hours after the call concludes.

Forward-Looking Statements
The company intends that certain matters discussed in this release are "forward-looking statements" intended to qualify for the safe harbor from liability established by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements can generally be identified as such because the context of the statement will include words such as the company "believes," "anticipates," "expects," "plans," or "estimates" or words of similar meaning. Similarly, statements that describe future plans, objectives, outlooks, targets, guidance or goals are also forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially, unfavorably or favorably, from those anticipated as of the date of this release. Certain of such risks and uncertainties are described below. Shareholders, potential investors, and other readers are urged to consider these factors in evaluating the forward-looking statements and cautioned not to place undue reliance on such forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements included in this release are only made as of the date of this release, and the company disclaims any obligation to publicly update such forward-looking statements to reflect subsequent events or circumstances.


The company's ability to meet the targets and expectations noted depends upon, among other factors, the company's ability to (i) execute its business strategy, (ii) manage through changes in general economic and business conditions, including changing capital, credit and retail markets, and the






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changing political environment, (iii) accurately estimate and adjust to fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates, interest rates and commodity prices, (iv) prevent a cybersecurity breach involving consumer, employee, dealer, supplier, or company data and respond to evolving regulatory requirements regarding data security, (v) drive demand by executing its marketing strategy of appealing to and growing sales to multi-generational and multi-cultural customers worldwide in an increasingly competitive marketplace, (vi) develop and introduce products, services and experiences that are successful in the marketplace, (vii) manage the credit quality, the loan servicing and collection activities, and the recovery rates of HDFS' loan portfolio, (viii) balance production volumes for its new motorcycles with consumer demand, including in circumstances where competitors may be supplying new motorcycles to the market in excess of demand at reduced prices, (ix) manage the impact that prices for and supply of used motorcycles may have on its business, including on retail sales of new motorcycles, (x) prevent and detect any issues with its motorcycles or any associated manufacturing processes to avoid delays in new model launches, recall campaigns, regulatory agency investigations, increased warranty costs or litigation and adverse effects on its reputation and brand strength, (xi) continue to develop the capabilities of its distributors and dealers and manage the risks that its independent dealers may have difficulty obtaining capital and managing through changing economic conditions and consumer demand, (xii) manage risks that arise through expanding international manufacturing, operations and sales, (xiii) adjust to tax reform, healthcare inflation and reform and pension reform, (xiv) manage through the effects inconsistent and unpredictable weather patterns may have on retail sales of motorcycles, (xv) manage supply chain issues, including quality issues and any unexpected interruptions or price increases caused by raw material shortages or natural disasters, (xvi) implement and manage enterprise-wide information technology systems, including systems at its manufacturing facilities, (xvii) manage changes and prepare for requirements in legislative and regulatory environments for its products, services and operations, (xviii) manage its exposure to product liability claims and commercial or contractual disputes, (xix) execute its flexible production strategy, (xx) retain and attract talented employees, (xxi) successfully access the capital and/or credit markets on terms (including interest rates) that are acceptable to the company and within its expectations, and (xxii) continue to manage the relationships and agreements that the company has with its labor unions to help drive long-term competitiveness.

In addition, the company could experience delays or disruptions in its operations as a result of work stoppages, strikes, natural causes, terrorism or other factors. Other factors are described in risk factors that the company has disclosed in documents previously filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

The company's ability to sell its motorcycles and related products and services and to meet its financial expectations also depends on the ability of the company's independent dealers to sell its motorcycles and related products and services to retail customers. The company depends on the capability and financial capacity of its independent dealers and distributors to develop and implement effective retail sales plans to create demand for the motorcycles and related products and services they purchase from the company. In addition, the company's independent dealers and distributors may experience difficulties in operating their businesses and selling Harley-Davidson motorcycles and related products and services as a result of weather, economic conditions or other factors.







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Contact: Media, Katie Whitmore, +1-414-343-4480; Financial, Amy Giuffre, +1-414-343-8002




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Harley-Davidson, Inc.
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income
(In thousands, except per share amounts)
 
 
(Unaudited)
 
(Unaudited)
 
(Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
Three months ended
 
Twelve months ended
 
 
December 31,
2016
 
December 31,
2015
 
December 31,
2016
 
December 31,
2015
Motorcycles & Related Products revenue
 
$
933,023

 
$
1,007,070

 
$
5,271,376

 
$
5,308,744

Gross profit
 
286,809

 
320,932

 
1,851,666

 
1,952,460

Selling, administrative and engineering expense
 
277,538

 
314,564

 
1,078,260

 
1,076,970

  Operating income from Motorcycles & Related Products
 
9,271

 
6,368

 
773,406

 
875,490

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Financial Services revenue
 
177,577

 
173,565

 
725,082

 
686,658

Financial Services expense
 
117,438

 
112,708

 
449,552

 
406,453

    Operating income from Financial Services
 
60,139

 
60,857

 
275,530

 
280,205

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Operating income
 
69,410

 
67,225

 
1,048,936

 
1,155,695

Investment income
 
891

 
602

 
4,645

 
6,585

Interest expense
 
7,702

 
7,220

 
29,670

 
12,117

Income before income taxes
 
62,599

 
60,607

 
1,023,911

 
1,150,163

Provision for income taxes
 
15,420

 
18,411

 
331,747

 
397,956

Net income
 
$
47,179

 
$
42,196

 
$
692,164

 
$
752,207

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Earnings per common share:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Basic
 
$
0.27

 
$
0.22

 
$
3.85

 
$
3.71

    Diluted
 
$
0.27

 
$
0.22

 
$
3.83

 
$
3.69

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Weighted-average common shares:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
    Basic
 
176,616

 
189,681

 
179,676

 
202,681

  Diluted
 
177,642

 
190,621

 
180,535

 
203,686

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Cash dividends per common share
 
$
0.35

 
$
0.31

 
$
1.40

 
$
1.24






Harley-Davidson, Inc.
Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets(1) 
(In thousands)
 
 
(Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
December 31,
2016
 
December 31,
2015
ASSETS
 
 
 
 
Current assets:
 
 
 
 
Cash and cash equivalents
 
$
759,984

 
$
722,209

Marketable securities
 
5,519

 
45,192

Accounts receivable, net
 
285,106

 
247,405

Finance receivables, net
 
2,076,261

 
2,053,582

Inventories
 
499,917

 
585,907

Restricted cash
 
52,574

 
88,267

Other current assets
 
174,491

 
235,321

Total current assets
 
3,853,852

 
3,977,883

Finance receivables, net
 
4,759,197

 
4,814,571

Other long-term assets
 
1,277,191

 
1,180,523

 
 
$
9,890,240

 
$
9,972,977

LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY
 
 
 
 
Current liabilities:
 
 
 
 
Accounts payable & accrued liabilities
 
$
721,970

 
$
707,578

Short-term debt
 
1,055,708

 
1,201,380

Current portion of long-term debt, net
 
1,084,884

 
838,349

Total current liabilities
 
2,862,562

 
2,747,307

Long-term debt, net
 
4,666,975

 
4,832,469

Pension and postretirement healthcare liabilities
 
257,709

 
358,547

Other long-term liabilities
 
182,836

 
195,000

 
 
 
 
 
Total shareholders’ equity
 
1,920,158

 
1,839,654

 
 
$
9,890,240

 
$
9,972,977

(1) ASU 2015-03 Interest - Imputation of Interest (Subtopic 835-30) Simplifying the Presentation of Debt Issuance Costs was adopted retrospectively on January 1, 2016. Debt issuance costs in Other current assets and Other long-term assets have been reclassified to Current-portion of long-term debt, net and Long-term debt, net for 2015 balances to reflect the adoption of the new guidance.





Harley-Davidson, Inc.
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows
(In thousands)
 
 
(Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
Twelve months ended
 
 
December 31,
2016
 
December 31,
2015
Net cash provided by operating activities
 
$
1,174,339

 
$
1,100,118

 
 
 
 
 
Cash flows from investing activities:
 
 
 
 
  Capital expenditures
 
(256,263
)
 
(259,974
)
Finance receivables, net
 
(489,464
)
 
(614,945
)
Proceeds from sale of finance receivables
 
312,571

 

  Net change in marketable securities
 
40,014

 
11,507

Acquisition of business
 

 
(59,910
)
Other
 
411

 
7,474

Net cash used by investing activities
 
(392,731
)
 
(915,848
)
 
 
 
 
 
Cash flows from financing activities:
 
 
 
 
Proceeds from issuance of senior unsecured notes
 

 
740,385

Proceeds from issuance of medium-term notes
 
1,193,396

 
595,386

Repayments of medium-term notes
 
(451,336
)
 
(610,331
)
Proceeds from securitization debt
 

 
1,195,668

Repayments of securitization debt
 
(665,400
)
 
(1,008,135
)
Net (decrease) increase in credit facilities and unsecured commercial paper
 
(145,812
)
 
469,473

Borrowings of asset-backed commercial paper
 
62,396

 
87,442

Repayments of asset-backed commercial paper
 
(71,500
)
 
(72,727
)
Net change in restricted cash
 
43,495

 
11,410

Dividends paid
 
(252,321
)
 
(249,262
)
Purchase of common stock for treasury
 
(465,341
)
 
(1,537,020
)
Excess tax benefits from share-based payments
 
2,251

 
3,468

Issuance of common stock under employee stock option plans
 
15,782

 
20,179

Net cash used by financing activities
 
(734,390
)
 
(354,064
)
 
 
 
 
 
Effect of exchange rate changes on cash and cash equivalents
 
(9,443
)
 
(14,677
)
 
 
 
 
 
Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents
 
$
37,775

 
$
(184,471
)
 
 
 
 
 
Cash and cash equivalents:
 
 
 
 
Cash and cash equivalents - beginning of period
 
722,209

 
906,680

Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents
 
37,775

 
(184,471
)
Cash and cash equivalents - end of period
 
$
759,984

 
$
722,209












Motorcycles and Related Products Revenue and
Motorcycle Shipment Data
(Unaudited)
 
 
Three months ended
 
Twelve months ended
 
 
December 31,
2016
 
December 31,
2015
 
December 31,
2016
 
December 31,
2015
MOTORCYCLES AND RELATED PRODUCTS REVENUE (in thousands)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Motorcycles
 
$
685,047

 
$
751,383

 
$
4,122,113

 
$
4,127,739

Parts & Accessories
 
169,445

 
169,707

 
842,637

 
862,645

General Merchandise
 
72,919

 
79,356

 
284,583

 
292,310

Other
 
5,612

 
6,624

 
22,043

 
26,050

 
 
$
933,023

 
$
1,007,070

 
$
5,271,376

 
$
5,308,744

MOTORCYCLE SHIPMENTS:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
United States
 
20,131

 
28,804

 
161,839

 
170,688

International
 
22,283

 
19,345

 
100,382

 
95,694

Total
 
42,414

 
48,149

 
262,221

 
266,382

MOTORCYCLE PRODUCT MIX:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Touring
 
17,943

 
19,414

 
107,410

 
114,768

Cruiser
 
14,852

 
17,454

 
93,422

 
89,207

Sportster® / Street
 
9,619

 
11,281

 
61,389

 
62,407

Total
 
42,414

 
48,149

 
262,221

 
266,382








Worldwide Retail Sales of Harley-Davidson Motorcycles(1) 
 
 
Three months ended
 
Twelve months ended
 
 
December 31,
2016
 
December 31,
2015
 
December 31,
2016
 
December 31,
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
United States
 
26,077

 
26,044

 
161,658

 
168,240

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Europe(2)
 
6,734

 
6,174

 
39,942

 
36,894

EMEA - Other
 
1,157

 
1,515

 
5,896

 
6,393

Total EMEA
 
7,891

 
7,689

 
45,838

 
43,287

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Japan
 
2,648

 
2,506

 
10,279

 
9,700

Asia Pacific - Other
 
6,100

 
6,281

 
22,610

 
22,558

Total Asia Pacific
 
8,748

 
8,787

 
32,889

 
32,258

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Latin America
 
2,637

 
3,082

 
9,701

 
11,173

Canada
 
1,257

 
1,255

 
10,203

 
9,669

Total International Retail Sales
 
20,533

 
20,813

 
98,631

 
96,387

Total Worldwide Retail Sales
 
46,610

 
46,857

 
260,289

 
264,627

(1) Data source for retail sales figures shown above is new sales warranty and registration information provided by Harley-Davidson dealers and compiled by the Company. The Company must rely on information that its dealers supply concerning new retail sales, and this information is subject to revision. The EMEA Europe total for December 31, 2016 includes 618 units originally reported in the EMEA-Other total for the six month period ended June 30, 2016.
 
(2) Europe data includes Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, and the United Kingdom.
Motorcycle Registration Data(1) 
 
 
Twelve months ended
 
 
December 31,
2016
 
December 31,
2015
United States(2)
 
311,710

 
328,818

Europe(3)
 
391,936

 
351,773


(1) Data includes on-road 601+cc models. On-road 601+cc models include dual purpose models, three-wheeled motorcycles and autocycles.

(2) United States data is derived from information provided by Motorcycle Industry Council (MIC). This third party data is subject to revision and update.

(3) Europe data includes Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, and the United Kingdom. Industry retail motorcycle registration data includes 601+cc models derived from information provided by Association des Constructeurs Europeens de Motocycles (ACEM), an independent agency. This third-party data is subject to revision and update.