Attached files
| file | filename |
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| 8-K - WEC ENERGY GROUP FORM 8-K - WEC ENERGY GROUP, INC. | wecenergygroupform8-k01112.htm |
January 2017
1
Cautionary Statement Regarding
Forward-Looking Information
Much of the information contained in this presentation is forward-looking information based upon management’s
current expectations and projections that involve risks and uncertainties. Forward-looking information includes, among
other things, information concerning earnings per share, rate case activity, earnings per share growth, cash flow,
dividend growth and dividend payout ratios, construction costs and capital expenditures, investment opportunities,
corporate initiatives, and rate base. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on this forward-looking
information. Forward-looking information is not a guarantee of future performance and actual results may differ
materially from those set forth in the forward-looking information.
In addition to the assumptions and other factors referred to in connection with the forward-looking information, factors
that could cause WEC Energy Group’s actual results to differ materially from those contemplated in any forward-
looking information or otherwise affect our future results of operations and financial condition include, among others,
the following: general economic conditions, including business and competitive conditions in the company’s service
territories; timing, resolution and impact of future rate cases and other regulatory decisions; the company’s ability to
successfully integrate the operations of the Integrys companies with its own operations; availability of the company’s
generating facilities and/or distribution systems; unanticipated changes in fuel and purchased power costs; key
personnel changes; varying weather conditions; continued industry consolidation; cyber-security threats; the value of
goodwill and its possible impairment; construction risks; equity and bond market fluctuations; the impact of any
legislative and regulatory changes, including changes to existing and/or anticipated environmental standards and tax
laws; current and future litigation and regulatory investigations; changes in accounting standards; and other factors
described under the heading “Factors Affecting Results, Liquidity, and Capital Resources” in Management’s
Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations and under the headings “Cautionary
Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Information” and “Risk Factors” contained in WEC Energy Group’s Form 10-K
for the year ended December 31, 2015 and in subsequent reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
WEC Energy Group expressly disclaims any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking information.
2
Well Positioned for the Future
WEC Energy Group
Focused on the fundamentals:
World-class reliability
Operating efficiency
Financial discipline
Exceptional customer care
3
Well Positioned for the Future
A Compelling Value Proposition
For 2016, targeting earnings per share growth of 6-8 percent
Longer term, earnings per share growth is expected to be a
5-7 percent compound annual growth rate off 2015 base
Earnings in 2017 are expected to be in a range of $3.06 to $3.12 per share
More than 99 percent of earnings from regulated operations
Projecting dividend growth in line with earnings growth
In December 2016, the board announced plans to increase the quarterly
dividend by 2.5 cents per share or 5.1%
This represents a compound annual growth rate of 6.6% from 2015
fourth quarter annual rate of $1.83
4
Well Positioned for the Future
WEC Energy Group
$18.5 billion market cap (1)
1.6 million electric customers
2.8 million gas customers
60% ownership of ATC
70,000 miles electric distribution
44,000 miles gas distribution
$17 billion of rate base (2)
99+% of earnings from regulated
operations
Company Statistics Service Territory
(1) As of 12/31/16
(2) 2015 average rate base
We Energies
Michigan Gas Utilities Corporation
Minnesota Energy Resources Corporation
North Shore Gas Company
The Peoples Gas Light and Coke Company
Wisconsin Public Service Corporation
Upper Michigan Energy Resources Corporation
5
Well Positioned for the Future
Earnings Growth Drivers
Plus Additional Growth Opportunities
Outside ATC Traditional Footprint
Environmental goal investment
Natural gas storage investment
$2.7
$5.7
2015 average rate base
($ billions)
$12.4
$2.8
$1.8
Utilities PTF Transmission
Note: Power the Future value represents investment book value
Core Investment
Rate Base: Projected rate base
investment from 2016 – 2020 is
$9 – $9.5 billion
ATC – Traditional Footprint
$3.6 – $4.4 billion 10 year capital plan
WEC Ownership 60%
Power the Future: ROE of 12.7% on
historical and new investment
$17 billion
6
Well Positioned for the Future
Our Portfolio of Regulated Businesses
Electric Generation
and Distribution
65%
Gas
Distribution
26%
Electric
Transmission
9%
Based on 2015 regulated earnings
71%
13%
12%
4%
WI FERC IL MI/MN
By Jurisdiction By Business
7
Balanced Regulatory Environment
Rate-Making Parameters by Company
Utility Equity Layer(1) Authorized ROE
Wisconsin Electric 48.5% - 53.5% 10.2%
WPS 49.0% - 54.0% 10.0%
Wisconsin Gas 47.0% - 52.0% 10.3%
Peoples Gas 50.33% 9.05%
North Shore Gas 50.48% 9.05%
Minnesota Energy Resources 50.32% 9.11%
Michigan Gas Utilities 52% 9.9%
1. Represents equity layer in rates
8
Well Positioned for the Future
Power the Future Investments
Natural Gas Coal
Capacity 1,090 MW 1,030 MW
1
Investment $664 million $2 billion
1
ROE 12.7% 12.7%
Equity 53% 55%
In Service Dates Unit 1 – July 2005
Unit 2 – May 2008
Unit 1 – February 2010
Unit 2 – January 2011
Lease Terms 25 years 30 years
Cost Per Unit of Capacity $609/kW $1,950/kW
1. All capacity and investment amounts reflect WEC ownership only.
Demonstrated capacity for the coal units is 1,056 MW – value shown in table is amount guaranteed in lease agreement.
9
Balanced Regulatory Environment
Rate Case Update
Wisconsin
Rate case plans under evaluation
Illinois
No rate case filing in 2017
Michigan
MGU settlement approved by commission
on Dec. 11, 2015, for rates effective January 1, 2016
Minnesota
Order issued Oct. 31 setting ROE at 9.11% and authorizing rate
increase of approximately 3% or $6.8 million
10
Line of Business View
Five Year Capital Projection 2016-2020
$309 $343 $412 $317 $337
$396
$517 $502 $529 $515
$771
$1,090 $1,041 $1,052 $1,035
$-
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Gas Delivery
Electric Delivery
Generation
In millions
Total capital spend over the five-year period of $9.0 - $9.5 billion
$1,476
$1,950 $1,955 $1,898 $1,887
*Excludes ATC projected capital expenditures
11
State View
Five Year Capital Projection 2016-2020
$309 $343 $412 $317 $337
$732
$933
$914
$944 $904
$360
$575 $525 $529 $535
$75
$99 $104 $108 $111
$-
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
MERC/MGU
Illinois
WI/MI Delivery
WI/MI Generation
In millions
Depreciation at the utilities expected to average $790 million annually
over the five-year period
$1,898
$1,476
$1,950 $1,955 $1,887
*Excludes ATC projected capital expenditures
12
$516
$543
$489
$399
$311 $327 $295
$241
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
2016 2017 2018 2019
ATC WEC portion 60%
Well Positioned for the Future
American Transmission Company
Key Assumptions
ATC 2015 average rate base:
$3.1 billion
Implies average $197 million
effective annual (FERC) rate base
growth for WEC from 2016 to 2019
ROE currently under FERC review
Projected Capital Expenditures
(Millions of Dollars)
$3.6 – $4.4 billion projected investment from 2016 – 2025
13
Well Positioned for the Future
American Transmission Company –
Outside the Traditional Footprint
Joint venture between Duke Energy and ATC (DATC)
Ownership split 50/50 between Duke and ATC
WEC interest: 30%
Investment opportunities:
Potential expansion of California’s Path 15 transmission line
Zephyr Power Transmission Project
Other transmission projects throughout the U.S.
14
Well Positioned for the Future
Sample Merger Driven Initiatives
Category Activity
Supply Chain Achieving savings in consolidated vendor and supplier
contracts, negotiating most favorable terms
Information Technology Consolidating IT infrastructure
Implementing uniform processes and consolidating to
a single Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) system
Customer Care Established consistent measurements of customer
satisfaction across all six utilities
Rolling out advanced metering functionality
Expanding mobile options for our customers
Operations Implementing improved, standard order dispatch
Upgrading work management capabilities across the
Wisconsin fleet
15
A Track Record of Performance
Industry-Leading Dividend Growth
Raised the dividend by 17.3% in 2015 and 8.2% in 2016
Continuing to target dividend payout of 65-70% of earnings
Dividend expected to grow in line with earnings
*Annualized based on 4th quarter 2015 dividend of $0.4575
Annualized Dividends Per Share
$0.80
$1.04
$1.20
$1.445
$1.56
$1.83*
$1.98
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
16
Poised for Growth
Key Takeaways for WEC Energy Group
Leading electric and natural gas utility in the Midwest
The eighth largest natural gas distribution company
in the nation
Projected long-term earnings per share growth of
5-7 percent compound annual growth rate off 2015 base
Targeting dividend growth in line with growth in
earnings per share
Majority ownership of American Transmission Company
brings additional transmission investment opportunity
Positioned to deliver among the best risk-adjusted returns
in the industry
Appendix
18
Electric Distribution Electric
Transmission
60% ownership
Natural Gas Distribution Electric Generation
19
Strategic Rationale
Transaction Overview
WEC Energy Group formed in 2015 when Wisconsin Energy
acquired Integrys in a transaction valued at $9 billion
Acquisition created the leading electric and natural gas
utility in the Midwest
Meets or exceeds WEC’s acquisition criteria
Accretive to earnings per share starting in first full calendar year of
combined operations
Largely credit neutral
Long-term growth prospects of combined entity equal to or greater than
stand-alone company
20
An “Earn and Return” Company with a Low Risk Profile
Well Positioned for the Future
Diversified across four state jurisdictions
and FERC
Strong financial condition
Top-tier record of producing shareholder
value
Strong, experienced management
Larger transmission
and gas business
No required equity
issuances
Attractive EPS
growth potential
Continued strong
dividend growth
potential
21
Major Construction Projects
Delivering the Future
Committed to infrastructure
investment that will:
Renew and modernize our
delivery networks
Meet new environmental
standards
Reduce operating costs
for customers
22
Major Construction Projects - Wisconsin Public Service
System Modernization and Reliability Project
$220 million of projected investment
from 2014-2018
Converting more than 1,000 miles of
overhead distribution power lines to
underground in northern Wisconsin
Adding distribution automation
equipment on 400 miles of lines
Proposed $200 million extension
2018-2021
23
Major Construction Projects – Upper Michigan Energy Resources Corp. (UMERC)
Proposed New Generation in the Upper Peninsula
Provides a long-term generation solution for electric reliability in
Upper Peninsula
~170 MW of clean, natural gas-fired Reciprocating Internal
Combustion Engine (RICE) generation
Estimated $255 million investment is made by the new Michigan utility
– UMERC
Half of the investment recovered in retail rates
Half of the investment recovered by a 20-year agreement with
Cliffs Natural Resources
Commercial operation targeted for 2019
Expect to file for approval with the Michigan Commission
in January 2017
270 day approval timeline based on state statute
Allows for the retirement of Presque Isle Power Plant
24
Major Construction Projects – Peoples Gas
Natural Gas System Modernization Program
Extensive effort to modernize
natural gas infrastructure in
City of Chicago
Ultimately replace 2,000 miles
21 percent complete
Investment recovery under
a monthly bill rider
Project $250 – $280 million
average annual investment
Enabling legislation in effect
from 2014 – 2023
25
Well Positioned for the Future
State-of-the-Art Generation Fleet
Natural gas – 3,753 megawatts
Port Washington Generating Station among the
lowest cost combined-cycle plants in country
Coal – 5,044 megawatts
Oak Creek heat rate is top 5% in country
Renewables – 483 megawatts
Wisconsin’s two largest wind farms and biomass plant
Hydro – 169 megawatts
*Owned nameplate capacity
26
Well Positioned for the Future
Supporting a Clean Energy Future
WEC Energy Group has implemented a
multi-emission strategy to achieve greater
environmental benefit for lower cost
Retired older, less efficient coal-fired generation
Added two combined cycle natural gas units
Added state-of-the-art, coal-fired generation with
performance that ranks among the most thermally
efficient coal-fired units in the nation
Invested more than $1 billion in renewable energy –
including biomass and the state’s two largest
wind energy sites
Invested more than $1.5 billion in air quality systems
27
Reducing Emissions
Environmental Performance
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
SO2 (88% reduction)
NOx (81% reduction)
Mercury (84% reduction)
P
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ta
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f
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iss
io
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28
Planning for Carbon Regulations
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
2
0
0
2
2
0
0
3
2
0
0
4
2
0
0
5
2
0
0
6
2
0
0
7
2
0
0
8
2
0
0
9
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
1
2
0
1
2
2
0
1
3
2
0
1
4
2
0
1
5
P
erce
n
ta
g
e
C
omp
a
red
t
o
2
0
0
0
L
e
v
el
s
CO2 rate - lbs/mwh
23% Reduction in Carbon Intensity
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2015 Fuel Sources
Coal
Nuclear
Natural
Gas
Renewables
Other
29
EPA’s Clean Power Plan
Plan calls for Wisconsin to reduce CO2 emissions by 41%
Approximately two-thirds of the reductions must be
achieved by 2022
Stay by U.S. Supreme Court introduces delay and
additional uncertainty
30
Committed to Protecting the Environment
Balancing the delivery of safe, reliable and affordable energy
Working to develop alternative generation solutions so we can
retire coal-fueled units over time
Examples – Presque Isle and Pulliam Power Plants
Continuing evaluation of possible future retirements of other
coal-fueled units
Received research and test exemptions to evaluate co-firing of
natural gas in some of our coal units – testing began June
2016
As regulations of GHG emissions take shape, our plan is to
work with our industry partners, environmental groups, and
the State of Wisconsin with a goal of reducing CO2 emissions
by approximately 40 percent below 2005 levels by 2030
31
Line of Business View
Ten Year Capital Projection 2016-2025
$309 $343 $412 $317 $337 $250 $350 $250 $250 $250
$396
$517
$502
$529 $515
$538
$476
$476 $476 $476
$771
$1,090 $1,041 $1,052 $1,035
$1,016 $956
$951 $951 $951
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
$1,600
$1,800
$2,000
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
In millions
Total capital spend over the 10-year period of approximately $18 billion
*Excludes ATC projected capital expenditures
32
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
AA - A A- BBB+ BBB BBB- Below
Investment
Grade
A Track Record of Performance
Strong Financial Condition
Number of
Issuers
*Source: Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC (April 2016)
Utilities
Electric and Gas Utilities Credit Ratings Distribution*
Utility Rating
Wisconsin Electric A-
Wisconsin Gas A
Wisconsin Public Service A-
Peoples Gas A-
North Shore Gas A-
33
Paper 21%
Mining/Minerals 13%
Foundry (SIC 33) 11%
Other Manufacturing 9%
Food/Agriculture 8%
Metal (SIC 34,35,37) 7%
Medical 5%
Office 5%
Education 4%
Chemical 4%
Printing 3%
Other 10%
37% Large C&I by Segment
Wisconsin Retail Deliveries
Balanced Sales Mix
Large C&I
37%
Residential
and Farm
28%
Small C&I
35%
2015 Retail Mwh Deliveries Mix*
*Wisconsin segment includes Michigan electric and retail choice customers in the Upper Peninsula
34
35.5%
16.5%
16.2%
10.6%
6.6%
1.4%
1.2%
1.2%
10.8%
Wisconsin Electric
Power the Future
Wisconsin Public Service Corporation
Peoples Gas
Wisconsin Gas
Minnesota Energy Resources
North Shore Gas
Michigan Gas Utilities
ATC
Composition of Rate Base
Total 2015 Rate Base of $17.0 billion
35
Key Rate Making Components
Area PGL NSG MERC MGU
Wisconsin –
Electric
Wisconsin –
Gas Michigan
Gas Pipeline
Replacement Rider X
Bad Debt Rider X X
Bad Debt Escrow
Accounting WE WG
Decoupling X X X
Fuel Cost Recovery 1 for 1 recovery of prudent fuel costs +/- 2% band
1 for 1 recovery of prudent fuel
costs
Manufactured Gas
Plant Site Clean Up
Recovery X X X X N/A X X
Forward-looking test
years X X X X 2 years 2 years X
36
Regulatory Environment
Wisconsin
Governor Scott Walker (R)
Commission
Gubernatorial appointment,
Senate confirmation
Chairman: Gubernatorial appointment
6-year staggered terms
Michigan
Governor Rick Snyder (R)
Commission
Gubernatorial appointment,
Senate confirmation
Chairman: Gubernatorial appointment
6-year staggered terms
Wisconsin Commissioners
Name Party
Began
Serving
Term
Ends
Ellen Nowak
Chair
R 07/2011 03/2019
Mike Huebsch
R 03/2015 03/2021
Phil Montgomery
R 03/2011 03/2017
Michigan Commissioners
Name Party
Began
Serving
Term
Ends
Sally Talberg
Chair
I 07/2013 07/2019
Norm Saari R 08/2015 07/2021
Rachel Eubanks I 08/2016 07/2017
37
Regulatory Environment
Illinois
Governor Bruce Rauner (R)
Commission
Gubernatorial appointment, Senate
confirmation
Chairman: Gubernatorial appointment
5-year staggered terms
Minnesota
Governor Mark Dayton (D)
Commission
Gubernatorial appointment, Senate
confirmation
Chairman: Gubernatorial appointment
6-year staggered terms
Illinois Commissioners
Name Party
Began
Serving
Term
Ends
Brien Sheahan
Chair
R 01/2015 01/2019
Miguel del Valle D 02/2013 01/2018
Sherina Maye I 03/2013 01/2018
Ann McCabe R 03/2012 01/2017
John Rosales D 03/2015 01/2019
Minnesota Commissioners
Name Party
Began
Serving
Term
Ends
Beverly Jones
Heydinger
Chair
D 07/2012 01/2017
John Tuma R 02/2015 01/2021
Nancy Lange D 02/2013 01/2019
Dan Lipschultz R 01/2014 01/2020
Matt Schuerger R 01/2016 02/2022
38
Regulatory Environment
FERC
Presidential appointment, Senate confirmation
5-year term
FERC Commissioners
Name Party
Began
Serving
Term
Ends
Norman Bay Chair D 08/2014 06/2018
Cheryl LaFleur D 07/2014 06/2019
Colette Honorable D 01/2015 06/2017
Open
Open
39
Key Provisions in Merger Approval
• Earnings cap at Wisconsin Electric and Wisconsin Gas
• Joint Resource Plan for capacity needs of Wisconsin Electric and
Wisconsin Public Service
Wisconsin
• 2-year requirement for minimum level of jobs
• 2-year base rate freeze
• 3-year capital commitment
• Follow the recommendations of the 3rd party audit of the gas pipeline
replacement program
Illinois
• If requested, either invest in and/or purchase power from a new power
plant (which would enable retirement of the Presque Isle Plant)
• Pursue the formation of a Michigan-only utility for our customers in
Michigan’s Upper Peninsula
Michigan
• No workforce reductions beyond normal attrition for two years Minnesota
• For policy issues, WEC will only vote legacy TEG ownership of 34% of
ATC FERC
40
Precedent Transactions
Announce
Date
Closing
Date
Target Acquiror 1-Day
Premium
FY1
P/E
FY2
P/E
Transaction
Value ($mm)
Equity
Value
($mm)
Price/Book Enterprise
Value/
Rate Base
07/29/2016 Pending Oncor NEE n/a 26.5x 23.8x $18,400 $11,898 1.6x 1.77x
05/31/2016 Pending WR GXP 36%(1) 24.6x 23.7x $12,231 $8,600 2.3x 1.72x
02/09/2016 Pending EDE AQN.CN 50%(1) 22.4x 21.1x $2,366 $1,489 1.9x 1.49x
02/09/2016 Pending ITC FTS.CN 33%(1) 21.6x 20.0x $11,269 $6,889 4.1x 1.98x
02/01/2016 09/16/2016 STR D 23% 19.1x 18.9x $5,960 $4,371 3.4x 2.29x(2)
10/26/2015 Pending PNY DUK 42% 29.8x 28.0x $6,700 $4,916 3.5x 2.5x
09/04/2015 07/01/2016 TE EMA.CN 48%(1) 23.3x 21.5x $10,361 $6,480 2.5x 1.60x(3)
08/24/2015 07/01/2016 GAS SO 38% 21.5x 20.6x $11,978 $7,926 2.0x n/a
02/25/2015 12/16/2015 UIL Iberdrola 25%(1) 21.7x 20.4x $4,674 $2,983 2.2x 1.95x
10/20/2014 04/13/2016 CNL Multiple n/a(4) 20.5x 18.7x $4,700 $3,343 2.1x 1.68x
06/23/2014 06/29/2015 TEG WEC 17% 20.0x 18.5x $9,020 $5,758 1.7x 1.55x
04/30/2014 03/26/2016 POM EXC 25%(1) 22.5x 20.8x $12,193 $6,872 1.6x 1.58x
12/11/2013 08/15/2014 UNS FTS.CN 30% 18.0x 17.9x $4,282 $2,515 2.2x 1.55x
05/29/2013 12/19/2013 NVE Berkshire 20% 18.3x 17.6x $10,465 $5,592 1.6x 1.45x
Average 32% 22.1x 20.8x 2.3x 1.78x
Median 32% 21.6x 20.5x 2.1x 1.68x
1. Based on unaffected date.
2. Historical rate base. Includes E&P investment base.
3. Based on press releases.
4. Company disclosed engagement in strategic transaction discussions prior to announcement of transactions.
41
Contact Information
M. Beth Straka
Senior Vice President – Investor Relations and Corporate Communications
Beth.Straka@wecenergygroup.com
414-221-4639