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EX-99.1 - EXHIBIT 99.1 - DTE ENERGY CO | exhibit991-09302016.htm |
8-K - 8-K - DTE ENERGY CO | a8-kearningsrelease3rdqtr2.htm |
3rd Quarter 2016
Earnings Conference Call
October 26, 2016
EXHIBIT 99.2
Safe Harbor Statement
Many factors impact forward-looking statements including, but not limited to, the following: impact of regulation by the EPA, FERC, MPSC, NRC,
and CFTC, as well as other applicable governmental proceedings and regulations, including any associated impact on rate structures; the
amount and timing of cost recovery allowed as a result of regulatory proceedings, related appeals, or new legislation, including legislative
amendments and retail access programs; economic conditions and population changes in our geographic area resulting in changes in demand,
customer conservation, and thefts of electricity and, for DTE Energy, natural gas; environmental issues, laws, regulations, and the increasing
costs of remediation and compliance, including actual and potential new federal and state requirements; health, safety, financial, environmental,
and regulatory risks associated with ownership and operation of nuclear facilities; changes in the cost and availability of coal and other raw
materials, purchased power, and natural gas; volatility in the short-term natural gas storage markets impacting third-party storage revenues
related to DTE Energy; impact of volatility of prices in the oil and gas markets on DTE Energy's gas storage and pipelines operations; impact of
volatility in prices in the international steel markets on DTE Energy's power and industrial projects operations; volatility in commodity markets,
deviations in weather, and related risks impacting the results of DTE Energy's energy trading operations; changes in the financial condition of
DTE Energy's significant customers and strategic partners; the potential for losses on investments, including nuclear decommissioning and
benefit plan assets and the related increases in future expense and contributions; access to capital markets and the results of other financing
efforts which can be affected by credit agency ratings; instability in capital markets which could impact availability of short and long-term
financing; the timing and extent of changes in interest rates; the level of borrowings; the potential for increased costs or delays in completion of
significant capital projects; changes in, and application of, federal, state, and local tax laws and their interpretations, including the Internal
Revenue Code, regulations, rulings, court proceedings, and audits; the effects of weather and other natural phenomena on operations and sales
to customers, and purchases from suppliers; unplanned outages; the cost of protecting assets against, or damage due to, terrorism or cyber
attacks; employee relations and the impact of collective bargaining agreements; the risk of a major safety incident at an electric distribution or
generation facility and, for DTE Energy, a gas storage, transmission, or distribution facility; the availability, cost, coverage, and terms of
insurance and stability of insurance providers; cost reduction efforts and the maximization of plant and distribution system performance; the
effects of competition; changes in and application of accounting standards and financial reporting regulations; changes in federal or state laws
and their interpretation with respect to regulation, energy policy, and other business issues; contract disputes, binding arbitration, litigation, and
related appeals; and the risks discussed in our public filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. New factors emerge from time to
time. We cannot predict what factors may arise or how such factors may cause results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-
looking statement. Any forward-looking statements speak only as of the date on which such statements are made. We undertake no obligation to
update any forward-looking statement to reflect events or circumstances after the date on which such statement is made or to reflect the
occurrence of unanticipated events. This presentation should also be read in conjunction with the Forward-Looking Statements section of the
joint DTE Energy and DTE Electric 2015 Form 10-K and 2016 Forms 10-Q (which sections are incorporated by reference herein), and in
conjunction with other SEC reports filed by DTE Energy and DTE Electric.
2
• Peter Oleksiak – Senior Vice President and CFO
• Barbara Tuckfield – Director, Investor Relations
Participants
3
* Reconciliation to GAAP reported earnings included in the appendix
Strong year-to-date financial results
− Raised 2016 operating EPS* guidance in
September
− Investing in infrastructure improvements
− Updating cash and capital guidance
Employee safety performance best in
company’s history
Midstream assets acquired in the SW Marcellus /
Dry Utica region
4
We continue to make progress on many fronts
3Q 2015 3Q 2016 Change
DTE Electric 214$ 285$ 71$
DTE Gas (11) (4) 7
Gas Storage & Pipelines 27 28 1
Power & Industrial Projects 32 35 3
Corporate & Other (9) (1) 8
Growth segments** 253$ 343$ 90$
Growth segments operating EPS 1.40$ 1.91$ 0.51$
Energy Trading (1) 10 11
DTE Energy 252$ 353$ 101$
Operating EPS 1.40$ 1.96$ 0.56$
Avg. Shares Outstanding 180 180
Operating Earnings Drivers
DTE Electric
• Primarily weather and rate
implementation
DTE Gas
• Primarily main replacement surcharge
and storage and transport services
Power & Industrial Projects
• Higher REF earnings offset by lower
steel related earnings
Corporate & Other
• Timing of taxes
Energy Trading
• Primarily higher realized power results
(millions, except EPS)
5
3rd Quarter 2016 Operating Earnings* Variance
** Total DTE Energy excluding Energy Trading
* Reconciliation to GAAP reported earnings included in the appendix
** Total DTE Energy excluding Energy Trading
We are confident in achieving our 2016 operating
EPS* guidance
2016
YTD 3Q
Actuals
DTE Electric
DTE Gas
Gas Storage & Pipelines
Power & Industrial Projects
Corporate & Other
Growth segments**
Growth segments operating EPS
Energy Trading
DTE Energy
Operating EPS
Avg. Shares Outstanding
$547
96
93
73
(31)
$778
$4.33
26
$804
180
$4.47
2016
Guidance
$5.01 - $5.21
$5.09 - $5.35
$615 - $625
135 - 141
115 - 120
90 - 100
(55) - (51)
$900 - $935
15 - 25
$915 - $960
180
6
* Reconciliation to GAAP reported earnings included in the appendix
(millions, except EPS)
Capital Expenditures Summary
Prior
Guidance
Revised
Guidance
DTE Electric
Distribution Infrastructure $610 $610
New Generation 150 150
Maintenance & Other 790 790
$1,550 $1,550
DTE Gas
Base Infrastructure $220 $220
NEXUS Related 110 110
Main Replacement** 100 100
$430 $430
Non-Utility $520 – 720 $1,800
Total $2,500 – 2,700 $3,780
(millions)
Cash Flow Summary
Prior
Guidance
Revised
Guidance
Cash From Operations* $1.8 $2.0
Capital Expenditures (2.7) (3.8)
Free Cash Flow ($0.9) ($1.8)
Asset Sales & Other - -
Dividends (0.5) (0.5)
Net Cash ($1.4) ($2.3)
Debt Financing:
Issuances $1.9 $2.7
Redemptions (0.5) (0.4)
Change in Debt $1.4 $2.3
7
We are updating our 2016 cash flow and capital
expenditures guidance
(billions)
** Includes Main Renewal / Meter Move-out / Pipeline Integrity
* Prior guidance included ~$0.1b of equity issued for employee benefit programs
25%
21%
2014 2015 2016E
51% 52%
2014 2015 2016E
Leverage*
Funds from Operations** / Debt*
Target
50% - 53%
Target
20% +
Strong balance sheet remains a key priority
and supports growth
8
• 2016 equity issuance not
required due to stronger than
planned earnings and cash
flow
• In early October, DTE Energy
issued $1.0 billion of senior
notes and $675 million of
mandatory convertible
securities
• $1.6 billion of available liquidity
as of September 30, 2016
** Funds from Operations (FFO) is calculated using operating earnings
* Debt excludes securitization, a portion of DTE Gas’ short-term debt, and considers 50% of the Junior Subordinated Notes as equity
• Achieving our 2016 operating EPS* guidance...
...as a result of strong year-to-date performance
• Investing in aging utility infrastructure...
...driving increased customer reliability
• Executing on strategic growth opportunities at our non-utility businesses...
...as evidenced by the recent acquisition
• Maintaining strong cash flow and balance sheet...
...supporting our future growth opportunities
Summary
EEI conference presentation is November 8th with
Gerry Anderson – Chairman & CEO
Webcast access: www.dteenergy.com/investors
9
* Reconciliation to GAAP reported earnings included in the appendix
DTE Energy Investor Relations
www.dteenergy.com/investors
(313) 235-8030
Contact Us
10
Appendix
Drivers
• Warmer weather
Variance to normal weather
- 3Q 2015: $4
- 3Q 2016: $53
• August 1, 2016 rate
implementation supporting
infrastructure improvements to
enhance customer reliability
• Other consists primarily of rate
base growth (depreciation,
property tax and interest)
Operating Earnings* Variance
(millions)
$214
$285
$49
$30 ($8)
DTE Electric Variance Analysis
12
* Reconciliation to GAAP reported earnings included in the appendix
3Q 2015
Operating
Earnings
3Q 2016
Operating
Earnings
Weather Rate
Implementation
Other
3Q 2015 3Q 2016 % change 3Q 2015 3Q 2016 % change
Actuals 605 823 36% Actuals 74 47 (36%)
Normal 580 580 0% Normal 134 125 (7%)
Deviation from normal 4% 42% Deviation from normal (45%) (62%)
YTD 2015 YTD 2016 % change YTD 2015 YTD 2016 % change
Actuals 835 1,098 31% Actuals 4,564 3,802 (17%)
Normal 795 795 0% Normal 4,138 4,220 2%
Deviation from normal 5% 38% Deviation from normal 10% (10%)
3Q YTD 3Q YTD
$4 $12 ($1) $17
$53 $59 ($1) ($12)
3Q YTD 3Q YTD
$0.02 $0.07 ($0.01) $0.09
$0.29 $0.33 ($0.01) ($0.07)
(Includes Electric Choice) (GWh)
YTD 2015 YTD 2016 % change
Residential 11,568 11,633 1%
Commercial 15,197 15,441 2%
Industrial** 9,117 9,001 (1%)
Other 209 193 (8%)
TOTAL SALES*** 36,091 36,268 0%
Cooling degree days Heating degree days
DTE Electric service territory DTE Gas service territory
Earnings impact of weather - DTE Electric Earnings impact of weather - DTE Gas
Variance from normal weather Variance from normal weather
($ millions, after-tax) ($ millions, after-tax)
2015 2015
2016 2016
($ per share) ($ per share)
2015 2015
2016 2016
Weather Normal Electric Sales* - DTE Electric Service Area
Weather and DTE Electric Weather Normal Sales
13
*** Includes choice of 3,723 YTD 2015 and 3,694 YTD 2016
** 2015 includes sales adjusted for steel resolution
* Includes adjustments for temperature normalization and customer outages due to weather
Capital Expenditures Summary
YTD
2015
YTD
2016
DTE Electric
Distribution Infrastructure $433 $381
New Generation 261 101
Maintenance & Other 591 517
$1,285 $999
DTE Gas
Base Infrastructure $134 $138
NEXUS Related - 45
Main Replacement** 61 85
$195 $268
Non-Utility $219 $274
Total $1,699 $1,541
(millions)
Cash Flow Summary
YTD
2015
YTD
2016
Cash From Operations* $1.5 $1.8
Capital Expenditures (1.7) (1.5)
Free Cash Flow ($0.2) $0.3
Asset Sales & Other 0.1 -
Dividends (0.4) (0.4)
Net Cash ($0.5) ($0.1)
Debt Financing:
Issuances $1.0 $0.6
Redemptions (0.5) (0.5)
Change in Debt $0.5 $0.1
14
September YTD 2016 Cash Flow and Capital
Expenditures
(billions)
** Includes Main Renewal / Meter Move-out / Pipeline Integrity
* Includes ~$0.2b and $0 of equity issued for employee benefit programs in 2015 and 2016, respectively
3Q 2016 Economic
Net Income
Accounting
Adjustments**
3Q 2016 Operating
Earnings*
($1)
$14
• Economic net income
equals economic gross
margin*** minus O&M
expenses and taxes
• DTE Energy management
uses economic net income
as one of the performance
measures for external
communications with
analysts and investors
• Internally, DTE Energy
uses economic net income
as one of the measures to
review performance
against financial targets
and budget
Operating Earnings*
Realized
Unrealized
O&M / Other
3Q 2016 3Q 2015
$17 ($3)
14 2
(9) (12)
(millions, after-tax)
$10 ($1)
3Q 2015 Operating
Earnings*
3Q 2015 Economic
Net Income
Accounting
Adjustments**
$15
$10 ($9)
$1
3rd Quarter Trading Reconciliation of Operating
Earnings* to Economic Net Income
(millions)
15
*** Economic gross margin is the change in net fair value of realized and unrealized purchase and sale contracts including certain non-derivative contract costs
** Consists of 1) the income statement effect of not recognizing changes in the fair market value of certain non-derivative contracts including physical inventory and capacity contracts
for transportation, transmission and storage. These contracts are not marked-to-market, instead are recognized for accounting purposes on an accrual basis; and 2) operating
adjustments for unrealized marked-to-market changes of certain derivative contracts
* Reconciliation to GAAP reported earnings included in the appendix
YTD 2016 Economic
Net Income
Accounting
Adjustments**
YTD 2016 Operating
Earnings*
$14
$53
• Economic net income
equals economic gross
margin*** minus O&M
expenses and taxes
• DTE Energy management
uses economic net income
as one of the performance
measures for external
communications with
analysts and investors
• Internally, DTE Energy
uses economic net income
as one of the measures to
review performance
against financial targets
and budget
Operating Earnings*
Realized
Unrealized
O&M / Other
YTD 2016 YTD 2015
$52 $25
24 6
(32) (35)
(millions, after-tax)
$26 $14
YTD 2015 Operating
Earnings*
YTD 2015 Economic
Net Income
Accounting
Adjustments**
$39
$26 $5 $31
September YTD Trading Reconciliation of Operating
Earnings* to Economic Net Income
(millions)
16
*** Economic gross margin is the change in net fair value of realized and unrealized purchase and sale contracts including certain non-derivative contract costs
** Consists of 1) the income statement effect of not recognizing changes in the fair market value of certain non-derivative contracts including physical inventory and capacity contracts
for transportation, transmission and storage. These contracts are not marked-to-market, instead are recognized for accounting purposes on an accrual basis; and 2) operating
adjustments for unrealized marked-to-market changes of certain derivative contracts
* Reconciliation to GAAP reported earnings included in the appendix
Use of Operating Earnings Information – DTE Energy management believes that operating earnings provide a more meaningful representation of the company’s earnings from ongoing
operations and uses operating earnings as the primary performance measurement for external communications with analysts and investors. Internally, DTE Energy uses operating
earnings to measure performance against budget and to report to the Board of Directors. Operating earnings are presented both with and without Energy Trading. The term “Growth
Segments” refers to DTE Energy without Energy Trading and represents the business segments that management expects to generate earnings growth going forward.
3rd Quarter 2016 Reconciliation of Reported to
Operating Earnings
17
** Total tax impact of adjustments to reported EPS: $0.05
* Total tax impact of adjustments to reported earnings: $9m
Q 2016
DTE Electric DTE Gas
Gas Storage
and Pipelines
Power and
Industrial
Projects
Corporate
and Other
Growth
Segments
Energy
Trading DTE Energy
Reported Earnings 285$ (4)$ 28$ 34$ (1)$ 342$ (4)$ 338$
Plant closure - - - 1 - 1 - 1
Certain mark-to-market transactions - - - - - - 14 14
Operating Earnings 285$ (4)$ 28$ 35$ (1)$ 343$ 10$ 353$
Net Income (millions)
3Q 2016
DTE Electric DTE Gas
Gas Storage
and Pipelines
Power and
Industrial
Projects
Corporate
and Other
Growth
Segments
Energy
Trading DTE Energy
Reported Earnings 1.58$ (0.03)$ 0.16$ 0.19$ -$ 1.90$ (0.02)$ 1.88$
Plant closure - - - 0.01 - 0.01 - 0.01
Certain mark-to-market transactions - - - - - - 0.07 0.07
Operating Earnings 1.58$ (0.03)$ 0.16$ 0.20$ -$ 1.91$ 0.05$ 1.96$
EPSAfter-tax items:
After-tax items:
*
**
September YTD 2016 Reconciliation of Reported to
Operating Earnings
18
** Total tax impact of adjustments to reported EPS: $0.23
* Total tax impact of adjustments to reported earnings: $42m
Use of Operating Earnings Information – DTE Energy management believes that operating earnings provide a more meaningful representation of the company’s earnings from ongoing
operations and uses operating earnings as the primary performance measurement for external communications with analysts and investors. Internally, DTE Energy uses operating
earnings to measure performance against budget and to report to the Board of Directors. Operating earnings are presented both with and without Energy Trading. The term “Growth
Segments” refers to DTE Energy without Energy Trading and represents the business segments that management expects to generate earnings growth going forward.
YTD September Actual
DTE Electric DTE Gas
Gas Storage
and Pipelines
Power and
Industrial
Projects
Corporate
and Other
Growth
Segments
Energy
Trading DTE Energy
Reported Earnings 547$ 96$ 93$ 66$ (31)$ 771$ (34)$ 737$
Plant closure - - - 7 - 7 - 7
Certain mark-to-market transactions - - - - - - 60 60
Operating Earnings 547$ 96$ 93$ 73$ (31)$ 778$ 26$ 804$
Net Income (millions)
YTD September Actual
DTE Electric DTE Gas
Gas Storage
and Pipelines
Power and
Industrial
Projects
Corporate
and Other
Growth
Segments
Energy
Trading DTE Energy
Reported Earnings 3.04$ 0.53$ 0.52$ 0.37$ (0.17)$ 4.29$ (0.19)$ 4.10$
Plant closure - - - 0.04 - 0.04 - 0.04
Certain mark-to-market transactions - - - - - - 0.33 0.33
Operating Earnings 3.04$ 0.53$ 0.52$ 0.40$ (0.17)$ 4.33$ 0.14$ 4.47$
EPS
After-tax items:
After-tax items:
*
**
3rd Quarter 2015 Reconciliation of Reported to
Operating Earnings
19
** Total tax impact of adjustments to reported EPS: ($0.05)
* Total tax impact of adjustments to reported earnings: ($8)m
Use of Operating Earnings Information – DTE Energy management believes that operating earnings provide a more meaningful representation of the company’s earnings from ongoing
operations and uses operating earnings as the primary performance measurement for external communications with analysts and investors. Internally, DTE Energy uses operating
earnings to measure performance against budget and to report to the Board of Directors. Operating earnings are presented both with and without Energy Trading. The term “Growth
Segments” refers to DTE Energy without Energy Trading and represents the business segments that management expects to generate earnings growth going forward.
3Q 2015 A tual
DTE Electric DTE Gas
Gas Storage
and Pipelines
Power and
Industrial
Projects
Corporate
and Other
Growth
Segments
Energy
Trading DTE Energy
Reported Earnings 214$ (11)$ 27$ 32$ (9)$ 253$ 12$ 265$
Certain mark-to-market transactions - - - - - - (13) (13)
Operating Earnings 214$ (11)$ 27$ 32$ (9)$ 253$ (1)$ 252$
Net Income (millions)
3Q 2015 Actual
DTE Electric DTE Gas
Gas Storage
and Pipelines
Power and
Industrial
Projects
Corporate
and Other
Growth
Segments
Energy
Trading DTE Energy
Reported Earnings 1.19$ (0.06)$ 0.15$ 0.17$ (0.05)$ 1.40$ 0.07$ 1.47$
Certain mark-to-market transactions - - - - - - (0.07) (0.07)
Operating Earnings 1.19$ (0.06)$ 0.15$ 0.17$ (0.05)$ 1.40$ 0.00$ 1.40$
EPS
After-tax items:
After-tax items:
*
**
September YTD 2015 Reconciliation of Reported to
Operating Earnings
20
YTD September Actual
DTE
Electric DTE Gas
Gas Storage
and Pipelines
Power and
Industrial
Projects
Corporate
and Other
Growth
Segments
Energy
Trading DTE Energy
Reported Earnings 449$ 93$ 79$ 73$ (47)$ 647$ -$ 647$
PSCR disallowances 12 - - - - 12 - 12
Contract termination - - - 10 - 10 - 10
Natural gas pipeline refund - - - - - - (10) (10)
Certain mark-to-market transactions - - - - - - 24 24
Operating Earnings 461$ 93$ 79$ 83$ (47)$ 669$ 14$ 683$
Net Income (millions)
YTD September Actual
DTE
Electric DTE Gas
Gas Storage
and Pipelines
Power and
Industrial
Projects
Corporate
and Other
Growth
Segments
Energy
Trading DTE Energy
Reported E rnings 2.51$ 0.52$ 0.44$ 0.40$ (0.26)$ 3.61$ 0.00$ 3.61$
PSCR disallowances 0.07 - - - - 0.07 - 0.07
Contract termination - - - 0.05 - 0.05 - 0.05
Natural gas pipeline refund - - - - - - (0.06) (0.06)
Certain mark-to-market transactions - - - - - - 0.14 0.14
Operating Earnings 2.58$ 0.52$ 0.44$ 0.45$ (0.26)$ 3.73$ 0.08$ 3.81$
EPS
After-tax items:
After-tax items:
** Total tax impact of adjustments to reported EPS: $0.13
* Total tax impact of adjustments to reported earnings: $23m
Use of Operating Earnings Information – DTE Energy management believes that operating earnings provide a more meaningful representation of the company’s earnings from ongoing
operations and uses operating earnings as the primary performance measurement for external communications with analysts and investors. Internally, DTE Energy uses operating
earnings to measure performance against budget and to report to the Board of Directors. Operating earnings are presented both with and without Energy Trading. The term “Growth
Segments” refers to DTE Energy without Energy Trading and represents the business segments that management expects to generate earnings growth going forward.
*
**
Use of Operating Earnings Information – DTE Energy management believes that operating earnings
provide a more meaningful representation of the company’s earnings from ongoing operations and uses
operating earnings as the primary performance measurement for external communications with analysts
and investors. Internally, DTE Energy uses operating earnings to measure performance against budget
and to report to the Board of Directors.
In this presentation, DTE Energy provides guidance for future period operating earnings. It is likely that
certain items that impact the company’s future period reported results will be excluded from operating
results. A reconciliation to the comparable future period reported earnings is not provided because it is not
possible to provide a reliable forecast of specific line items. These items may fluctuate significantly from
period to period and may have a significant impact on reported earnings.
Reconciliation of Other Reported to Operating
Earnings
21