Attached files

file filename
EX-23.2 - EX-23.2 - Titan Energy, LLCarp-ex232_459.htm
EX-23.1 - EX-23.1 - Titan Energy, LLCarp-ex231_458.htm
EX-99.2 - EX-99.2 - Titan Energy, LLCarp-ex992_795.htm
EX-32.1 - EX-32.1 - Titan Energy, LLCarp-ex321_260.htm
EX-21.1 - EX-21.1 - Titan Energy, LLCarp-ex211_452.htm
EX-31.1 - EX-31.1 - Titan Energy, LLCarp-ex311_258.htm
EX-32.2 - EX-32.2 - Titan Energy, LLCarp-ex322_261.htm
EX-10.2(G) - EX-10.2(G) - Titan Energy, LLCarp-ex102g_456.htm
EX-23.3 - EX-23.3 - Titan Energy, LLCarp-ex233_460.htm
EX-12.1 - EX-12.1 - Titan Energy, LLCarp-ex121_257.htm
EX-31.2 - EX-31.2 - Titan Energy, LLCarp-ex312_259.htm
10-K - 10-K - Titan Energy, LLCarp-10k_20151231.htm

                                Exhibit 99.3

Cawley, Gillespie & Associates, Inc.                  

petroleum consultants

13640 BRIARWICK DRIVE, SUITE 100306 WEST SEVENTH STREET, SUITE 3021000 LOUISIANA STREET, SUITE 625

AUSTIN, TEXAS 78729-1707FORT WORTH, TEXAS 76102-4987HOUSTON, TEXAS 77002-5008

512-249-7000817- 336-2461713-651-9944

www.cgaus.com

 

February 19, 2016

Mr. Trevor Mallernee

Atlas Resource Partners, LP

1026A Cookson Ave. SE

New Philadelphia, OH 44663

                                                                            Re:Reserve Evaluation

Atlas Resource Partners, LP Interests

Proved Reserves

Certain Properties in Colorado and Wyoming

As of December 31, 2015

 

Pursuant to the Guidelines of the

Securities and Exchange Commission for

Reporting Corporate Reserves and

Future Net Revenue

Dear Mr. Mallernee:

 

As requested, this report was prepared on February 19, 2016 for Atlas Resource Partners, LP (“Atlas”) for the purpose of submitting our estimates of proved reserves and forecasts of economics attributable to the subject interests. We evaluated 100% of Atlas Rangely Weber Sand Unit Acquisition reserves, which are made up of oil and gas properties in Colorado and Wyoming. This report utilized an effective date of December 31, 2015, was prepared using constant prices and costs, and conforms to Item 1202(a)(8) of Regulation S-K and other rules of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The results of this evaluation are presented in the accompanying tabulation, with a composite summary of the values presented below:

 

 

 

Proved

Proved

 

 

 

 

Developed

Developed

Proved

Total

 

 

Producing

Non-Producing

Undeveloped

Proved

Net Reserves

 

 

 

 

 

     Oil

– Mbbl

6,245.6

14,615.8

4,888.7

25,750.1

     Gas

– MMcf

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

     NGL

– Mbbl

679.5

1,591.9

271.9

2,543.3

Revenue

 

 

 

 

 

     Oil

– M$

290,733.6

680,364.1

227,568.8

1,198,666.4

     Gas

– M$

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

     NGL

– Mbbl

23,915.8

56,028.1

9,570.5

89,514.4

Severance Taxes

– M$

15,732.5

36,819.6

11,857.0

64,409.0

Ad Valorem Taxes

– M$

10,462.3

24,485.0

7,884.9

42,832.2

Operating Expenses

– M$

197,175.8

396,732.5

30,401.4

624,309.8

Other Deductions

– M$

23,368.4

5,839.6

11,559.7

40,767.7

Investments

– M$

0.0

212,164.0

115,202.2

327,366.2

Net Operating           Income (BFIT)

– M$

67,910.4

60,351.4

60,234.1

188,495.9

Discounted at 10%

M$

51,468.8

-5,678.0

10,416.0

56,206.8


 

 

Future revenue is prior to deducting state production taxes and ad valorem taxes. Future net cash flow is after deducting these taxes, future capital costs and operating expenses, but before consideration of federal income taxes.  In accordance with SEC guidelines, the future net cash flow has been discounted at an annual rate of ten percent to determine its “present worth”. The present worth is shown to indicate the effect of time on the value of money and should not be construed as being the fair market value of the properties.  

 

The oil reserves include oil and condensate.  Oil volumes are expressed in barrels (42 U.S. gallons).  Gas volumes are expressed in thousands of standard cubic feet (Mcf) at contract temperature and pressure base.

 

0BHydrocarbon Pricing

The base SEC oil and gas prices calculated for December 31, 2015 were $50.28/bbl and $2.587/MMBTU, respectively. As specified by the SEC, a company must use a 12-month average price, calculated as the unweighted arithmetic average of the first-day-of-the-month price for each month within the 12-month period prior to the end of the reporting period. The base oil and gas prices are based upon WTI-Cushing and Henry Hub spot prices, respectively, as published by the EIA for January 1, 2015 through December 1, 2015.

 

The base prices shown above were adjusted for differentials on a per-property basis, which may include local basis differentials, transportation, gas shrinkage, gas heating value (BTU content) and/or crude quality and gravity corrections. After these adjustments, the net realized prices for the SEC price case over the life of the proved properties was estimated to be $46.55 per barrel for oil. All economic factors were held constant in accordance with SEC guidelines.

 

1BEconomic Parameters

Ownership was accepted as furnished and has not been independently confirmed. Oil and gas price differentials, gas shrinkage, ad valorem taxes, severance taxes and lease operating expenses were calculated and prepared by Atlas and were reviewed by us for reasonableness. Capital costs for new development wells, production equipment and workovers were scheduled as provided by Atlas. Capital costs were reviewed by us for reasonableness and compared to capital costs provided in previous years. Adjustments were made as necessary after a review with Atlas. Lease operating expenses were either determined at the field or individual well level using averages calculated from historical lease operating statements. All economic parameters, including lease operating expenses and capital costs, were held constant (not escalated) throughout the life of these properties.

 

2BSEC Conformance and Regulations

The reserve classifications and the economic considerations used herein conform to the criteria of the SEC as defined in pages 3 and 4 of the Appendix. The reserves and economics are predicated on regulatory agency classifications, rules, policies, laws, taxes and royalties currently in effect except as noted herein. Government policies and market conditions different from those employed in this report may cause (1) the total quantity of oil or gas to be recovered, (2) actual production rates, (3) prices received, or (4) operating and capital costs to vary from those presented in this report. However, we do not anticipate nor are we aware of any legislative changes or restrictive regulatory actions that may impact the recovery of reserves.

This evaluation includes multiple proved undeveloped locations in the Rangely Weber Sand Unit in Rio Blanco County, Colorado. As requested, estimates of proved undeveloped reserves have only been included for properties that are economically producible at existing economic conditions. Each of these

 


 

 

drilling locations proposed as part of Atlas’ development plans conforms to the proved undeveloped standards as set forth by the SEC. In our opinion, Atlas has indicated they have every intent to complete this development plan within the next five years. Furthermore, Atlas has demonstrated that they have the proper company staffing, financial backing and prior development success to ensure this five year development plan will be fully executed. 

 

3BReserve Estimation Methods

The methods employed in estimating reserves are described in page 2 of the Appendix. Reserves for proved developed producing wells were estimated using production performance methods for the vast majority of properties. Certain new producing properties with very little production history were forecast using a combination of production performance and analogy to similar production, both of which are considered to provide a relatively high degree of accuracy.

 

Non-producing reserve estimates, for developed and undeveloped properties, were forecast using either volumetric or analogy methods, or a combination of both. These methods provide a relatively high degree of accuracy for predicting proved developed non-producing and proved undeveloped reserves for Atlas properties, due to the mature nature of their properties targeted for development and an abundance of subsurface control data. The assumptions, data, methods and procedures used herein are appropriate for the purpose served by this report.

 

4BGeneral Discussion

An on-site field inspection of the properties has not been performed. The mechanical operation or condition of the wells and their related facilities have not been examined nor have the wells been tested by Cawley, Gillespie & Associates, Inc. (“CG&A”) Possible environmental liability related to the properties has not been investigated nor considered. The cost of plugging and the salvage value of equipment at abandonment have not been included.

 

The estimates and forecasts were based upon interpretations of data furnished by your office and available from our files. To some extent information from public records has been used to check and/or supplement these data. The basic engineering and geological data were subject to third party reservations and qualifications. Nothing has come to our attention, however, that would cause us to believe that we are not justified in relying on such data. All estimates represent our best judgment based on the data available at the time of preparation. Due to inherent uncertainties in future production rates, commodity prices and geologic conditions, it should be realized that the reserve estimates, the reserves actually recovered, the revenue derived therefrom and the actual cost incurred could be more or less than the estimated amounts.

 

Cawley, Gillespie & Associates, Inc. is a Texas Registered Engineering Firm (F-693), made up of independent registered professional engineers and geologists that have provided petroleum consulting services to the oil and gas industry for over 50 years. This report has been prepared for BOLP’s use in filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. This evaluation was supervised by Robert D. Ravnaas, President at Cawley, Gillespie & Associates, Inc. and a State of Texas Licensed Professional Engineer (License #61304). We do not own an interest in the properties, Atlas Resource Partners, LP and are not employed on a contingent basis. We have used all methods and procedures that we consider necessary under the circumstances to prepare this report. Our work-papers and related data utilized in the preparation of these estimates are available in our office.

 

 


 

 

The professional qualifications of the undersigned, the technical person primarily responsible for the preparation of this report, are included as an attachment to this letter.

 

 

Sincerely,

 

CAWLEY, GILLESPIE & ASSOCIATES, INC.

Texas Registered Engineering Firm F-693

 

 

 

Robert D. Ravnaas, P.E.

President