Attached files
file | filename |
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EX-32.01 - EX-32.01 - ML SELECT FUTURES I LP | a14-19602_1ex32d01.htm |
EX-32.02 - EX-32.02 - ML SELECT FUTURES I LP | a14-19602_1ex32d02.htm |
EX-31.01 - EX-31.01 - ML SELECT FUTURES I LP | a14-19602_1ex31d01.htm |
EX-31.02 - EX-31.02 - ML SELECT FUTURES I LP | a14-19602_1ex31d02.htm |
EXCEL - IDEA: XBRL DOCUMENT - ML SELECT FUTURES I LP | Financial_Report.xls |
UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
FORM 10-Q
(Mark One)
x QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the quarterly period ended September 30, 2014
OR
o TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the transition period from to
Commission File Number 0-50269
ML SELECT FUTURES I L.P.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
Delaware |
|
13-3879393 |
(State or other jurisdiction of |
|
(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.) |
incorporation or organization) |
|
|
c/o Merrill Lynch Alternative Investments LLC
250 Vesey Street, 11th Floor
New York, New York 10080
(Address of principal executive offices)
(Zip Code)
609-274-5838
(Registrants telephone number, including area code)
c/o Merrill Lynch Alternative Investments LLC
Four World Financial Center
250 Vesey Street, 11th Floor
New York, New York 10080
(Former name, former address and former fiscal year, if changed since last report)
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes x No o
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically and posted on its corporate Web site, if any, every Interactive Data File required to be submitted and posted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T (§232.405 of this chapter) during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit and post such files). Yes x No o
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, or a smaller reporting company. See the definitions of large accelerated filer, accelerated filer and smaller reporting company in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act:
Large accelerated filer o |
|
Accelerated filer o |
|
|
|
Non-accelerated filer x |
|
Smaller reporting company o |
(Do not check if a smaller reporting company) |
|
|
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act). Yes o No x
As of September 30, 2014, 134,181 units of limited partnership interest were outstanding.
ML SELECT FUTURES I L.P.
QUARTERLY REPORT FOR SEPTEMBER 30, 2014 ON FORM 10-Q
Table of Contents
|
|
PAGE |
|
|
|
PART IFINANCIAL INFORMATION | ||
|
|
|
Item 1. |
Financial Statements |
1 |
|
|
|
Item 2. |
Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations |
13 |
|
|
|
Item 3. |
Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk |
24 |
|
|
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Item 4. |
Controls and Procedures |
29 |
|
|
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PART IIOTHER INFORMATION | ||
|
|
|
Item 1. |
Legal Proceedings |
29 |
|
|
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Item 1A. |
Risk Factors |
29 |
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|
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Item 2. |
Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds |
29 |
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|
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Item 3. |
Defaults Upon Senior Securities |
30 |
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Item 4. |
Mine Safety Disclosures |
30 |
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Item 5. |
Other Information |
30 |
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Item 6. |
Exhibits |
30 |
PART I - FINANCIAL INFORMATION
ML SELECT FUTURES I L.P.
(a Delaware Limited Partnership)
STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION
(unaudited)
|
|
September 30, |
|
December 31, |
| ||
|
|
2014 |
|
2013 |
| ||
ASSETS: |
|
|
|
|
| ||
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
Equity in commodity futures trading accounts: |
|
|
|
|
| ||
Cash (includes restricted cash of $2,423,565 for 2014 and $4,742,530 for 2013) |
|
$ |
32,530,010 |
|
$ |
51,145,161 |
|
Unrealized profit on open futures contracts |
|
945,277 |
|
2,351,326 |
| ||
Unrealized profit on open forwards contracts |
|
141,732 |
|
30,892 |
| ||
Cash |
|
510,941 |
|
466,144 |
| ||
Accrued interest receivable |
|
463 |
|
3,146 |
| ||
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
TOTAL ASSETS |
|
$ |
34,128,423 |
|
$ |
53,996,669 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
LIABILITIES AND PARTNERS CAPITAL |
|
|
|
|
| ||
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
LIABILITIES: |
|
|
|
|
| ||
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
Unrealized loss on open futures contracts |
|
$ |
437,806 |
|
$ |
697,273 |
|
Unrealized loss on open forward contracts |
|
519 |
|
30,968 |
| ||
Redemptions payable |
|
561,045 |
|
5,654,679 |
| ||
Wrap fee payable |
|
161,432 |
|
255,245 |
| ||
Other liabilities |
|
34 |
|
21 |
| ||
Total liabilities |
|
1,160,836 |
|
6,638,186 |
| ||
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
PARTNERS CAPITAL: |
|
|
|
|
| ||
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
General Partner (2,991 Units and 2,991 Units) |
|
718,843 |
|
699,838 |
| ||
Limited Partners (134,181 Units and 199,410 Units) |
|
32,248,744 |
|
46,658,645 |
| ||
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
Total partners capital |
|
32,967,587 |
|
47,358,483 |
| ||
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
TOTAL LIABILITIES AND PARTNERS CAPITAL |
|
$ |
34,128,423 |
|
$ |
53,996,669 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
NET ASSET VALUE PER UNIT |
|
|
|
|
| ||
(Based on 137,172 and 202,401 Units outstanding; unlimited Units authorized) |
|
$ |
240.3376 |
|
$ |
233.9835 |
|
See notes to financial statements.
ML SELECT FUTURES I L.P.
(a Delaware Limited Partnership)
STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS
(unaudited)
|
|
For the three |
|
For the three |
|
For the nine |
|
For the nine |
| ||||
|
|
months ended |
|
months ended |
|
months ended |
|
months ended |
| ||||
|
|
September 30, |
|
September 30, |
|
September 30, |
|
September 30, |
| ||||
|
|
2014 |
|
2013 |
|
2014 |
|
2013 |
| ||||
TRADING PROFIT (LOSS): |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Realized, net |
|
$ |
1,659,945 |
|
$ |
(1,406,730 |
) |
$ |
3,069,842 |
|
$ |
2,128,138 |
|
Change in unrealized, net |
|
659,141 |
|
(921,551 |
) |
(1,005,293 |
) |
(918,209 |
) | ||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Total trading profit (loss), net |
|
2,319,086 |
|
(2,328,281 |
) |
2,064,549 |
|
1,209,929 |
| ||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
INVESTMENT INCOME (LOSS) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Interest, net |
|
2,453 |
|
5,449 |
|
12,310 |
|
28,203 |
| ||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
EXPENSES: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Wrap fee |
|
509,397 |
|
810,463 |
|
1,745,974 |
|
2,670,543 |
| ||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Total expenses |
|
509,397 |
|
810,463 |
|
1,745,974 |
|
2,670,543 |
| ||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
NET INVESTMENT INCOME (LOSS) |
|
(506,944 |
) |
(805,014 |
) |
(1,733,664 |
) |
(2,642,340 |
) | ||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
NET INCOME (LOSS) |
|
$ |
1,812,142 |
|
$ |
(3,133,295 |
) |
$ |
330,885 |
|
$ |
(1,432,411 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
NET INCOME (LOSS) PER UNIT: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Weighted average number of General Partner and Limited Partner Units outstanding |
|
152,051 |
|
256,640 |
|
178,299 |
|
278,508 |
| ||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Net income (loss) per weighted average General Partner and Limited Partner Unit |
|
$ |
11.92 |
|
$ |
(12.21 |
) |
$ |
1.86 |
|
$ |
(5.14 |
) |
See notes to financial statements.
ML SELECT FUTURES I L.P.
(a Delaware Limited Partnership)
STATEMENTS OF CHANGES IN PARTNERS CAPITAL
FOR THE NINE MONTHS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2014 AND 2013
(unaudited)
|
|
|
|
General |
|
Limited |
|
|
| |||
|
|
Units |
|
Partner |
|
Partners |
|
Total |
| |||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
PARTNERS CAPITAL, December 31, 2012 |
|
307,292 |
|
$ |
1,318,046 |
|
$ |
66,186,205 |
|
$ |
67,504,251 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
Subscriptions |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
Net income (loss) |
|
|
|
(14,668 |
) |
(1,417,743 |
) |
(1,432,411 |
) | |||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
Redemptions |
|
(60,947 |
) |
(665,251 |
) |
(12,848,535 |
) |
(13,513,786 |
) | |||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
PARTNERS CAPITAL, September 30, 2013 |
|
246,345 |
|
$ |
638,127 |
|
$ |
51,919,927 |
|
$ |
52,558,054 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
PARTNERS CAPITAL, December 31, 2013 |
|
202,401 |
|
$ |
699,838 |
|
$ |
46,658,645 |
|
$ |
47,358,483 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
Subscriptions |
|
72 |
|
|
|
16,000 |
|
16,000 |
| |||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
Net income (loss) |
|
|
|
19,005 |
|
311,880 |
|
330,885 |
| |||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
Redemptions |
|
(65,301 |
) |
|
|
(14,737,781 |
) |
(14,737,781 |
) | |||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
PARTNERS CAPITAL, September 30, 2014 |
|
137,172 |
|
$ |
718,843 |
|
$ |
32,248,744 |
|
$ |
32,967,587 |
|
See notes to financial statements.
ML SELECT FUTURES I L.P.
(A Delaware Limited Partnership)
FINANCIAL DATA HIGHLIGHTS
FOR THE THREE AND NINE MONTHS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2014 (unaudited)
The following per Unit data and ratios have been derived from information provided in the financial statements.
|
|
Three months ended |
|
Nine months ended |
| ||
|
|
September 30, 2014 |
|
September 30, 2014 |
| ||
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
Per Unit Operating Performance: |
|
|
|
|
| ||
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
Net asset value, beginning of period |
|
$ |
227.0699 |
|
$ |
233.9835 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
Realized trading profit (loss) |
|
12.2841 |
|
20.4046 |
| ||
Change in unrealized, net |
|
4.3258 |
|
(4.2968 |
) | ||
Interest income, net |
|
0.0157 |
|
0.0669 |
| ||
Expenses (1) |
|
(3.3579 |
) |
(9.8206 |
) | ||
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
Net asset value, end of period |
|
$ |
240.3376 |
|
$ |
240.3376 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
Total Return: |
|
|
|
|
| ||
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
Total return (2) |
|
5.84 |
% |
2.72 |
% | ||
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
Ratios to Average Partners Capital (1) (2): |
|
|
|
|
| ||
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
Expenses |
|
1.46 |
% |
4.34 |
% | ||
Net investment loss |
|
-1.45 |
% |
-4.31 |
% |
(1) Includes the impact of brokerage commission expenses.
(2) The ratios and total return are not annualized.
See notes to financial statements.
ML SELECT FUTURES I L.P.
(A Delaware Limited Partnership)
FINANCIAL DATA HIGHLIGHTS
FOR THE THREE AND NINE MONTHS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2013 (unaudited)
The following per Unit data and ratios have been derived from information provided in the financial statements.
|
|
Three months ended |
|
Nine months ended |
| ||
|
|
September 30, 2013 |
|
September 30, 2013 |
| ||
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
Per Unit Operating Performance: |
|
|
|
|
| ||
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
Net asset value, beginning of period |
|
$ |
225.6605 |
|
$ |
219.6744 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
Realized trading profit (loss) |
|
(5.5299 |
) |
6.7628 |
| ||
Change in unrealized, net |
|
(3.6437 |
) |
(3.5993 |
) | ||
Interest income, net |
|
0.0211 |
|
0.0988 |
| ||
Expenses (1) |
|
(3.1568 |
) |
(9.5855 |
) | ||
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
Net asset value, end of period |
|
$ |
213.3512 |
|
$ |
213.3512 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
Total Return: |
|
|
|
|
| ||
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
Total return (2) |
|
-5.45 |
% |
-2.88 |
% | ||
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
Ratios to Average Partners Capital (1) (2): |
|
|
|
|
| ||
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
Expenses |
|
1.43 |
% |
4.33 |
% | ||
Net investment loss |
|
-1.42 |
% |
-4.28 |
% |
(1) Includes the impact of brokerage commission expenses.
(2) The ratios and total return are not annualized.
See notes to financial statements.
ML SELECT FUTURES I L.P.
(a Delaware Limited Partnership)
NOTES TO FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
(unaudited)
1. SUMMARY OF SIGNIFICANT ACCOUNTING POLICIES
ML Select Futures I L.P. (the Partnership), which is an investment company as defined by Accounting Standards Codification (ASC) guidance, was organized under the Delaware Revised Uniform Limited Partnership Act in August 1995 and commenced trading activities on April 16, 1996. The Partnership engages in the speculative trading of futures and forward contracts on a wide range of commodities. Sunrise Capital Partners, LLC (the Trading Advisor) is the trading advisor of the Partnership. The Trading Advisor trades its Expanded Diversified Program (the Trading Program) for the Partnership.
Merrill Lynch Alternative Investments LLC (MLAI, the Sponsor or the General Partner), is the general partner and sponsor of the Partnership. MLAI is an indirect wholly-owned subsidiary of Bank of America Corporation. Bank of America Corporation and its affiliates are referred to herein as BAC. Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith Incorporated (MLPF&S) is currently the exclusive clearing broker for the Partnership. The General Partner may select other parties as clearing broker(s). Merrill Lynch International (MLI) is the primary foreign exchange (F/X) forward prime broker for the Partnership. The General Partner may select other of its affiliates or third parties as F/X or other over-the counter (OTC) prime brokers. MLPF&S and MLI are BAC affiliates. MLAI has agreed to maintain a general partners interest of at least 1% of the total capital accounts in the Partnership. MLAI and each limited partner share in the profits and losses of the Partnership in proportion to their respective interests in it.
Interests in the Partnership are not insured or otherwise protected by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation or any other government authority. Interests are not deposits or other obligations of, and are not guaranteed by, BAC or by any bank. Interests are subject to investment risks, including the possible loss of the full amount invested.
In the opinion of management, these interim financial statements contain all adjustments, consisting only of normal recurring adjustments, necessary for a fair statement of the financial position of the Partnership as of September 30, 2014 and December 31, 2013 and the results of its operations for the three and nine month periods ended September 30, 2014 and 2013. However, the operating results for the interim periods may not be indicative of the results for the full year.
Certain information and footnote disclosures normally included in annual financial statements prepared in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (U.S. GAAP) have been omitted. These financial statements should be read in conjunction with the financial statements and notes thereto included in the Partnerships report on Form 10-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission for the year ended December 31, 2013.
Estimates
The preparation of financial statements in conformity with U.S. GAAP requires management to make estimates and assumptions that may affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements as well as the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the reporting period. Actual results could differ from those estimates and such differences could be material. Certain prior year items have been reclassified to conform to the current year presentation.
2. CONDENSED SCHEDULES OF INVESTMENTS
The Partnerships investments, defined as unrealized profit (loss) on open contracts on the Statements of Financial Condition, as of September 30, 2014 and December 31, 2013, are as follows:
September 30, 2014
|
|
Long Positions |
|
Short Positions |
|
Net Unrealized |
|
|
|
|
| |||||||||||
Commodity Industry |
|
Number of |
|
Unrealized |
|
Percent of |
|
Number of |
|
Unrealized |
|
Percent of |
|
Profit (Loss) |
|
Percent of |
|
|
| |||
Sector |
|
Contracts / Notional* |
|
Profit (Loss) |
|
Partners Capital |
|
Contracts / Notional* |
|
Profit (Loss) |
|
Partners Capital |
|
on Open Positions |
|
Partners Capital |
|
Maturity Dates |
| |||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
Agriculture |
|
32 |
|
$ |
22,970 |
|
0.07 |
% |
(130 |
) |
$ |
224,791 |
|
0.68 |
% |
$ |
247,761 |
|
0.75 |
% |
November 2014 - March 2015 |
|
Currencies - Futures |
|
|
|
|
|
0.00 |
% |
(130 |
) |
290,887 |
|
0.88 |
% |
290,887 |
|
0.88 |
% |
December 2014 |
| |||
Currencies - Forwards* |
|
310,922 |
|
61 |
|
0.00 |
% |
(7,117,807 |
) |
141,152 |
|
0.43 |
% |
141,213 |
|
0.43 |
% |
December 2014 |
| |||
Energy |
|
|
|
|
|
0.00 |
% |
(77 |
) |
158,340 |
|
0.48 |
% |
158,340 |
|
0.48 |
% |
October 2014 - November 2014 |
| |||
Interest rates |
|
111 |
|
(312 |
) |
0.00 |
% |
|
|
|
|
0.00 |
% |
(312 |
) |
0.00 |
% |
December 2014 - March 2015 |
| |||
Metals |
|
101 |
|
(257,383 |
) |
-0.78 |
% |
(40 |
) |
171,952 |
|
0.52 |
% |
(85,431 |
) |
-0.26 |
% |
December 2014 |
| |||
Stock indices |
|
298 |
|
(103,774 |
) |
-0.31 |
% |
|
|
|
|
0.00 |
% |
(103,774 |
) |
-0.31 |
% |
October 2014 - December 2014 |
| |||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
Total, net |
|
|
|
$ |
(338,438 |
) |
-1.02 |
% |
|
|
$ |
987,122 |
|
2.99 |
% |
$ |
648,684 |
|
1.97 |
% |
|
|
December 31, 2013
|
|
Long Positions |
|
Short Positions |
|
Net Unrealized |
|
|
|
|
| |||||||||||
Commodity Industry |
|
Number of |
|
Unrealized |
|
Percent of |
|
Number of |
|
Unrealized |
|
Percent of |
|
Profit (Loss) |
|
Percent of |
|
|
| |||
Sector |
|
Contracts / Notional* |
|
Profit (Loss) |
|
Partners Capital |
|
Contracts / Notional* |
|
Profit (Loss) |
|
Partners Capital |
|
on Open Positions |
|
Partners Capital |
|
Maturity Dates |
| |||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
Agriculture |
|
22 |
|
$ |
(20,900 |
) |
-0.04 |
% |
(262 |
) |
$ |
173,687 |
|
0.37 |
% |
$ |
152,787 |
|
0.33 |
% |
February 2014 - March 2014 |
|
Currencies - Futures |
|
113 |
|
162,150 |
|
0.34 |
% |
(68 |
) |
163,250 |
|
0.34 |
% |
325,400 |
|
0.68 |
% |
March 2014 |
| |||
Currencies - Forwards* |
|
3,702,795 |
|
(30,968 |
) |
-0.07 |
% |
(2,098,996 |
) |
30,892 |
|
0.07 |
% |
(76 |
) |
0.00 |
% |
March 2014 |
| |||
Interest rates |
|
64 |
|
4,174 |
|
0.01 |
% |
(182 |
) |
6,789 |
|
0.01 |
% |
10,963 |
|
0.02 |
% |
March 2014 - June 2014 |
| |||
Energy |
|
102 |
|
(184,290 |
) |
-0.39 |
% |
|
|
|
|
0.00 |
% |
(184,290 |
) |
-0.39 |
% |
January 2014 - May 2014 |
| |||
Metals |
|
289 |
|
(144,060 |
) |
-0.30 |
% |
(489 |
) |
(62,515 |
) |
-0.13 |
% |
(206,575 |
) |
-0.43 |
% |
January 2014 - April 2014 |
| |||
Stock indices |
|
565 |
|
1,555,768 |
|
3.29 |
% |
|
|
|
|
0.00 |
% |
1,555,768 |
|
3.29 |
% |
January 2014 - March 2014 |
| |||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
Total, net |
|
|
|
$ |
1,341,874 |
|
2.84 |
% |
|
|
$ |
312,103 |
|
0.66 |
% |
$ |
1,653,977 |
|
3.50 |
% |
|
|
*Currencies-Forwards present notional amounts as converted to USD.
No individual contracts unrealized profit or loss comprised greater than 5% of Partners Capital as of September 30, 2014 and December 31, 2013. With respect to each commodity industry sector listed in the above chart, the net unrealized profit (loss) on open positions is the sum of the unrealized profits (loss) of long positions and short positions of the open contracts, netting unrealized losses against unrealized profits as applicable. Net unrealized profit and loss provides a rough measure of the exposure of the Partnership to the various sectors as of the date listed, although such exposure can change at any time.
3. FAIR VALUE OF INVESTMENTS
Fair value of an investment is the amount that would be received to sell the investment in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date (i.e. the exit price). All investments (including derivative financial instruments and derivative commodity instruments) are held for trading purposes. The investments are recorded on trade date and open contracts are recorded at fair value (described below) at the measurement date. Investments denominated in foreign currencies are translated into U.S. dollars at the exchange rates prevailing at the measurement date. Profits or losses are realized when contracts are liquidated. Unrealized profits or losses on open contracts are included in Equity in commodity trading accounts on the Statements of Financial Condition. Any change in net unrealized profit or loss from the preceding period/year is reported in the respective Statements of Operations.
The fair value measurement guidance established by U.S. GAAP is a hierarchical disclosure framework which prioritizes and ranks the level of market price observability used in measuring investments at fair value. Market price observability is impacted by a number of factors, including the type of investment and the characteristics specific to the investment. Investments with readily available active quoted prices or for which fair value can be measured from actively quoted prices generally will have a higher degree of market price observability and a lesser degree of judgment used in measuring fair value.
Investments measured and reported at fair value are classified and disclosed in one of the following categories:
Level I Quoted prices are available in active markets for identical investments as of the reporting date. The type of investments included in Level I are publicly traded investments. As required by the fair market value measurement guidance in U.S. GAAP, the Partnership does not adjust the quoted price for these investments even in situations where the Partnership holds a large position and a sale could reasonably impact the quoted price.
Level II Pricing inputs are other than quoted prices in active markets, which are either directly or indirectly observable as of the reporting date, and fair value is determined through the use of generally accepted and understood models or other valuation methodologies. Investments which are generally included in this category are investments valued using market data.
Level III Pricing inputs are unobservable and include situations where there is little, if any, market activity for the investment. Fair value for these investments is determined using valuation methodologies that consider a range of factors, including but not limited to the nature of the investment, local market conditions, trading values on public exchanges for comparable securities, current and projected operating performance and financing transactions subsequent to the acquisition of the investment. The inputs into the determination of fair value require significant management judgment. Due to the inherent uncertainty of these estimates, these values may differ materially from the values that would have been used had a ready market for these investments existed.
In certain cases, the inputs used to measure fair value may fall into different levels of the fair value hierarchy. In such cases, an investments level within the fair value hierarchy is based on the lowest level of input that is significant to the fair value measurement. MLAIs assessment of the significance of a particular input to the fair value measurement in its entirety requires judgment, and considers factors specific to the investment.
The following is a description of the valuation methodologies used for investments, as well as the general classification of such investments pursuant to the valuation hierarchy.
Exchange traded investments are fair valued by the Partnership by using the reported closing price on the primary exchange where such investments are traded. These closing prices are observed through the clearing broker and third party pricing services. For non-exchange traded investments, quoted values and other data provided by nationally recognized independent pricing sources are used as inputs into the process for determining fair values.
The Partnership has determined that Level I investments would include its futures and options contracts where it believes that quoted prices are available in an active market.
Where the Partnership believes that quoted market prices are not available or that the market is not active, fair values are estimated by using observable prices of investments with similar characteristics and these are generally classified as Level II investments. The Partnership determined that Level II investments would include its forwards and certain futures contracts.
Transfers of investments between different levels of the fair value hierarchy, if any, are recorded as of the beginning of the reporting period.
The Partnerships unrealized profit (loss) on open forwards and futures contracts, by the above fair value hierarchy levels, as of September 30, 2014 and December 31, 2013 are as follows:
Net unrealized profit (loss) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
on open contracts |
|
Total |
|
Level I |
|
Level II |
|
Level III |
| ||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Assets |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Futures |
|
$ |
945,277 |
|
$ |
822,709 |
|
$ |
122,568 |
|
$ |
|
|
Forwards |
|
141,732 |
|
|
|
141,732 |
|
|
| ||||
|
|
$ |
1,087,009 |
|
$ |
822,709 |
|
$ |
264,300 |
|
$ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Liabilities |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Futures |
|
$ |
437,806 |
|
$ |
155,398 |
|
$ |
282,408 |
|
$ |
|
|
Forwards |
|
519 |
|
|
|
519 |
|
|
| ||||
|
|
$ |
438,325 |
|
$ |
155,398 |
|
$ |
282,927 |
|
$ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
September 30, 2014 |
|
$ |
648,684 |
|
$ |
667,311 |
|
$ |
(18,627 |
) |
$ |
|
|
Net unrealized profit (loss) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
on open contracts |
|
Total |
|
Level I |
|
Level II |
|
Level III |
| ||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Assets |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Futures |
|
$ |
2,351,326 |
|
$ |
2,248,161 |
|
$ |
103,165 |
|
$ |
|
|
Forwards |
|
30,892 |
|
|
|
30,892 |
|
|
| ||||
|
|
$ |
2,382,218 |
|
$ |
2,248,161 |
|
$ |
134,057 |
|
$ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Liabilities |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
Futures |
|
$ |
697,273 |
|
$ |
328,390 |
|
$ |
368,883 |
|
$ |
|
|
Forwards |
|
30,968 |
|
|
|
30,968 |
|
|
| ||||
|
|
$ |
728,241 |
|
$ |
328,390 |
|
$ |
399,851 |
|
$ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
December 31, 2013 |
|
$ |
1,653,977 |
|
$ |
1,919,771 |
|
$ |
(265,794 |
) |
$ |
|
|
The Partnerships volume of trading forwards and futures as of the nine month period ended September 30, 2014 and year ended December 31, 2013 are representative of the activity throughout these periods presented. There were no transfers to or from any level during the three or nine month periods ended September 30, 2014 or the year ended December 31, 2013.
The Partnership engages in the speculative trading of futures, options on futures and forward contracts on a wide range of commodities. Such contracts meet the definition of a derivative as noted in the ASC guidance for accounting for derivative and hedging activities. The fair value amounts of, and the net profits and losses on, derivative instruments is disclosed in the Statements of Financial Condition and Statements of Operations, respectively. There are no credit related contingent features embedded in these derivative contracts. The total notional, number of contracts and fair values of derivative instruments by contract type/commodity sector are disclosed in Note 2.
The Partnership maintains margin deposits and cash collateral with its futures and forwards brokers, respectively, based on the greater of exchange margin or amounts determined by the respective broker. At September 30, 2014 and December 31, 2013, the initial margin deposits (cash) are used to satisfy the margin requirements to establish the futures or forward contracts and are presented on the Statements of Financial Condition in Cash in the Equity in commodity trading accounts. The variation margin on open contracts is presented on the Statements of Financial Condition in Unrealized profit or loss on futures or forwards contracts, respectively.
The following table indicates the trading profits and losses, before brokerage commissions, by type/commodity industry sector, on derivative instruments for each of the three and nine month periods ended September 30, 2014 and 2013:
|
|
For the three months ended |
|
For the nine months ended |
| ||
|
|
September 30, 2014 |
|
September 30, 2014 |
| ||
Commodity Industry Sector |
|
Profit (loss) from trading, net |
|
Profit (loss) from trading, net |
| ||
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
Agriculture |
|
$ |
795,289 |
|
$ |
632,272 |
|
Currencies |
|
1,723,050 |
|
1,249,991 |
| ||
Energy |
|
91,028 |
|
218,744 |
| ||
Interest rates |
|
(187,821 |
) |
303,628 |
| ||
Metals |
|
(89,438 |
) |
(1,020,411 |
) | ||
Stock indices |
|
(13,022 |
) |
680,325 |
| ||
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
Total, net |
|
$ |
2,319,086 |
|
$ |
2,064,549 |
|
|
|
For the three months ended |
|
For the nine months ended |
| ||
|
|
September 30, 2013 |
|
September 30, 2013 |
| ||
Commodity Industry Sector |
|
Profit (loss) from trading, net |
|
Profit (loss) from trading, net |
| ||
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
Agriculture |
|
$ |
(172,260 |
) |
$ |
101,706 |
|
Currencies |
|
(413,475 |
) |
(401,538 |
) | ||
Energy |
|
(156,671 |
) |
(1,928,778 |
) | ||
Interest rates |
|
(705,128 |
) |
(1,286,552 |
) | ||
Metals |
|
(1,778,710 |
) |
1,631,812 |
| ||
Stock indices |
|
897,963 |
|
3,093,279 |
| ||
|
|
|
|
|
| ||
Total, net |
|
$ |
(2,328,281 |
) |
$ |
1,209,929 |
|
The Partnership is subject to the risk of insolvency of a counterparty, an exchange, a clearinghouse, MLPF&S or other BAC entities. Partnership assets could be lost or impounded during lengthy bankruptcy proceedings. Were a substantial portion of the Partnerships capital tied up in a bankruptcy or other similar types of proceedings, MLAI might suspend or limit trading, perhaps causing the Partnership to miss significant profit opportunities. There are increased risks in dealing with unregulated trading counterparties including the risk that assets may not benefit from the protection afforded to customer funds deposited with regulated dealers and brokers.
4. MARKET AND CREDIT RISKS
The nature of this Partnership has certain risks, which cannot all be presented in the financial statements. The following summarizes some of those risks.
Market Risk
Derivative instruments involve varying degrees of market risk. Changes in the level or volatility of interest rates, foreign currency exchange rates or the market values of the financial instruments or commodities underlying such derivative instruments frequently result in changes in the Partnerships unrealized profit (loss) on open contracts on such derivative instruments as reflected in the Statements of Financial Condition. The Partnerships exposure to market risk is influenced by a number of factors, including the relationships among the derivative instruments held by the Partnership as well as the volatility and liquidity of the markets in which the derivative instruments are traded. Investments in foreign markets may also entail legal and political risks.
MLAI has procedures in place intended to control market risk exposure, although there can be no assurance that it will, in fact, succeed in doing so. These procedures focus primarily on monitoring the trading of the Trading Advisor, calculating the Net Asset Value of the Partnership as of the close of business on each day and reviewing outstanding positions for over-concentrations. While MLAI does not intervene in the markets to hedge or diversify the Partnerships market exposure, MLAI may urge the Trading Advisor to reallocate positions in an attempt to avoid over-concentrations. However, such interventions are expected to be unusual. It is expected that MLAIs basic risk control procedures will consist of the ongoing process of the Trading Advisors monitoring, with the market risk controls being applied by the Trading Advisor.
Credit Risk
The risks associated with exchange-traded contracts are typically perceived to be less than those associated with over-the-counter (non-exchange-traded) transactions, because exchanges typically (but not universally) provide clearinghouse arrangements in which the collective credit (in some cases limited in amount, in some cases not) of the members of the exchange/clearinghouse is pledged to support the financial integrity of the exchange/clearinghouse. In over-the-counter transactions, on the other hand, traders must rely solely on the credit of their respective individual counterparties. Margins, which may be subject to loss in the event of a default, are generally required in exchange traded contracts and in the over the counter markets counterparties may also require margin.
The credit risk associated with these instruments from counterparty nonperformance is the unrealized profit (loss) on open contracts, if any, included in the Statements of Financial Condition. MLAI, as sponsor of the Partnership, has a general policy of maintaining clearing and prime brokerage arrangements with BAC affiliates, such as MLPF&S and MLI, although MLAI may engage non-BAC affiliated service providers as clearing brokers or prime brokers for the Partnership.
The Partnership, in its normal course of business, enters into various contracts, with MLPF&S acting as its futures clearing broker.
Indemnifications
In the normal course of business, the Partnership has entered, or may in the future enter into agreements that obligate the Partnership to indemnify certain parties, including BAC affiliates. No claims have actually been made with respect to such indemnities and any quantification would involve hypothetical claims that have not been made. Based on the Partnerships experience, MLAI expects the risk of loss to be remote and, therefore, no provision has been recorded.
5. RELATED PARTY TRANSACTIONS
MLAI and the Partnership entered into a transfer agency and investor services agreement with Financial Data Services, Inc. (the Transfer Agent) a wholly-owned subsidiary of BAC and affiliate of MLAI. The Transfer Agent provides registrar, distribution disbursing agent, transfer agent and certain other services related to the issuance, redemption, exchange and transfer of Units. The fees charged by the Transfer Agent for its services are based on the aggregate net assets of funds managed or sponsored by MLAI. The fee rate ranges from 0.016% to 0.02% per year of the aggregate net assets managed or sponsored by MLAI. During the quarter ended September 30, 2014, the rate ranged from 0.018% to 0.02%. The fee is payable monthly in arrears. MLAI allocates the Transfer Agent fees to each of the managed or sponsored funds, including the Partnership, on a monthly basis based on each funds net assets. The Transfer Agent fee allocated to the Partnership for the three and nine month periods ended September 30, 2014, and 2013, is paid on behalf of the Partnership by the Sponsor. These fees are included in the wrap fees. The Partnerships brokerage commissions and administrative fees are included in a wrap fee which covers all of BACs costs and expenses, other than bid-ask spreads, certain trading fees and extraordinary expenses.
Wrap fees and Interest, as presented on the Statements of Operations, are all received from or paid to related parties. Equity in commodity trading accounts, including cash and Unrealized profit/loss, as presented on the Statements of Financial Condition are held with a related party.
6. SUBSEQUENT EVENTS
The General Partner has evaluated the impact of subsequent events on the Partnership through the date the financial statements were issued and has determined that there were no subsequent events that require adjustments to, or disclosure in, the financial statements.
Item 2. Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
MLAI believes that the Net Asset Value used to calculate subscription and redemption value and to report performance to investors is a useful performance measure for the investors of the Partnership. Therefore, the charts below referencing Net Asset Value and performance measurements are based on the Net Asset Value for financial reporting purposes.
The Partnership calculates the Net Asset Value per Unit as of the close of business on the last business day of each calendar month and such other dates as MLAI may determine in its discretion. The Partnerships Net Asset Value will generally equal the value of the Partnerships account under the management of its Trading Advisor as of such date, plus any other assets held by the Partnership, minus accrued brokerage commission, administrative fee, profit share and other liabilities of the Partnership. MLAI or its delegates are authorized to make all Net Asset Value determinations.
MONTH-END NET ASSET VALUE PER UNIT
|
|
MONTH-END NET ASSET VALUE PER INITIAL UNIT |
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
Jan. |
|
Feb. |
|
Mar. |
|
Apr. |
|
May |
|
Jun. |
|
Jul. |
|
Aug. |
|
Sept. |
| |||||||||
2013 |
|
$ |
227.3940 |
|
$ |
214.0573 |
|
$ |
219.7681 |
|
$ |
221.9490 |
|
$ |
226.4065 |
|
$ |
225.6605 |
|
$ |
222.4313 |
|
$ |
219.8696 |
|
$ |
213.3512 |
|
2014 |
|
$ |
220.9897 |
|
$ |
222.6933 |
|
$ |
220.7362 |
|
$ |
224.3074 |
|
$ |
226.4602 |
|
$ |
227.0699 |
|
$ |
225.6986 |
|
$ |
231.3856 |
|
$ |
240.3376 |
|
Liquidity and Capital Resources
The Partnership borrows only to a limited extent and only on a strictly short-term basis in order to finance losses on non-U.S. dollar denominated trading positions pending the conversion of the Partnerships U.S. dollar deposits. These borrowings are at a prevailing short-term rate in the relevant currency.
Substantially all of the Partnerships assets are held in cash. The Net Asset Value of the Partnerships cash is not affected by inflation. However, changes in interest rates could cause periods of strong up or down price trends, during which the Partnerships profit potential might increase. Inflation in commodity prices could also generate price movements, which the strategies might successfully follow.
The Partnership should be able to close out its open trading positions and liquidate its holdings relatively quickly and at market prices, except in unusual circumstances. This typically permits the Partnership to limit losses as well as reduce market exposure on short notice should its strategies indicate doing so.
Investors in the Partnership may redeem any or all of their Units at Net Asset Value, in whole or fractional Units, effective as of last day of any calendar month, upon providing notice at least 10 calendar days prior to month-end. Partial redemptions are permitted; provided that the Net Asset Value of an investors Units following such redemption is not less than $10,000. Units redeemed at or prior to the twelfth full month following the purchase date will be assessed a redemption charge of 4% as of the date of redemption, paid to the General Partner. Investors will remain exposed to fluctuations in Net Asset Value during the period between submission of their redemption requests and the applicable redemption date.
As a commodity pool, the Partnership maintains an extremely large percentage of its assets in cash, which it must have available to post initial and variation margin on futures contracts. This cash is also used to fund redemptions. While the Partnership has the ability to fund redemption proceeds from liquidating positions, as a practical matter positions are not liquidated to fund redemptions. In the event that positions were liquidated to fund redemptions, MLAI, as the General Partner of the Partnership, has the ability to override decisions of the Trading Advisor to fund redemptions if necessary, but in practice the Trading Advisor would determine in its discretion which investments should be liquidated.
For the nine month periods ended September 30, 2014, Partnership capital decreased 30.39% from $47,358,483 to $32,967,587. This decrease was attributable to the net income from operations of $330,885 coupled with the redemption of 65,301 Redeemable Units of Interest resulting in an outflow of $14,737,781. The cash outflow was offset with cash inflow of $16,000 due to subscriptions of 72 Units. Future redemptions could impact the amount of funds available for investment in commodity contract positions in subsequent months.
Critical Accounting Policies
Statement of Cash Flows
The Partnership is not required to provide a Statement of Cash Flows.
Investments
All investments (including derivatives) are held for trading purposes. Investments are recorded on trade date and open contracts are recorded at fair value (as described below) at the measurement date. Investments denominated in foreign currencies are translated into U.S. dollars at the exchange rates prevailing at the measurement date. Profits or losses are realized when contracts are liquidated. Unrealized profits or losses on open contracts are included as a component of equity in commodity trading accounts on the Statements of Financial Condition. Realized profits or losses and any change in net unrealized profits or losses from the preceding period are reported in the Statements of Operations.
Fair Value Measurements
Fair value is defined as the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date. For more information on the Partnerships treatment of fair value see Financial Statements Note 3, Fair Value of Investments.
Futures Contracts
The Partnership trades exchange listed futures contracts. A listed futures contract is a firm commitment to buy or sell a standardized quantity of an underlying asset over a specified duration. The Partnership buys and sells contracts based on indices of financial assets such as stocks, domestic and global stock indices, as well as contracts on various physical commodities. Prices paid or received on these contracts are determined by the ask or bid provided by the exchanges on which they are traded. Contracts may be settled in physical form or cash settled depending upon the contract. Upon the execution of a trade, margin requirements determine the amount of cash that must be on deposit to secure the transaction. These amounts are considered restricted cash on the Partnerships Statements of Financial Condition. Contracts are priced daily by the Partnership and the profit or loss is based on the daily mark to market and is recorded as unrealized profit (loss). When the contract is closed, the Partnership records a realized profit or loss equal to the difference between the value of the contract at the time it was opened and the value at the time it was closed. Because transactions in futures contracts require participants to make both initial
margin deposits of cash or other assets and variation margin deposits, through the futures broker, directly with the exchange on which the contracts are traded, credit exposure is limited. Realized profits (losses), net and changes in unrealized profits (losses), net on futures contracts are included in the Statements of Operations. The Partnership also trades futures contracts on the London Metals Exchange (LME). The valuation pricing for LME contracts is based on action of a committee that incorporates prices from the most liquid trading sessions of the day and can also rely on other inputs such as supply and demand factors and bids and asks from open outcry sessions.
Forward Foreign Currency Contracts
Foreign currency contracts are those contracts where the Partnership agrees to receive or deliver a fixed quantity of foreign currency for an agreed-upon price on an agreed future date. Foreign currency contracts are valued daily, and the Partnerships net equity therein, representing unrealized profit or loss on the contracts as measured by the difference between the forward foreign exchange rates at the dates of entry into the contracts and the forward rates at the reporting date, is included in the Statements of Financial Condition. Realized profits (losses) and changes in unrealized profits (losses) on foreign currency contracts are recognized in the period in which the contract is closed or the changes occur, respectively and are included in the Statements of Operations.
Interest Rates and Income
The Partnership receives an interest rate based on the 90 day T-bill rate on U.S. dollar deposits. Other rates exist for non-U.S. dollar deposits, however most of the Partnerships cash is held in U.S. dollars. The current short term interest rates have remained extremely low when compared with historical rates and thus has contributed negligible amounts to overall Partnership performance.
Income Taxes
No provision for income taxes has been made in the accompanying financial statements as each limited partner is individually responsible for reporting income or loss based on such partners share of the Partnerships income and expenses as reported for income tax purposes.
The Partnership follows the ASC guidance on accounting for uncertainty in income taxes. This guidance provides how uncertain tax positions should be recognized, measured, presented and disclosed in the financial statements. This guidance also requires the evaluation of tax positions taken or expected to be taken in the course of preparing the Partnerships financial statements to determine whether the tax positions are more-likely-than-not to be sustained by the applicable tax authority. Tax positions with respect to tax at the Partnership level not deemed to meet the more-likely-than-not threshold would be recorded as a tax benefit or expense in the current year. A prospective investor should be aware that, among other things, income taxes could have a material adverse effect on the periodic calculations of the net asset value of the Partnership, including reducing the net asset value of the Partnership to reflect reserves for income taxes, such as foreign withholding taxes, that may be payable by the Partnership. This could cause benefits or detriments to certain investors, depending upon the timing of their entry and exit from the Partnership. MLAI has analyzed the Partnerships tax positions and has concluded that no provision for income tax is required in the Partnerships financial statements. The following is the major tax jurisdiction for the Partnership and the earliest tax year subject to examination: United States 2011.
Reform Act
The Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act amended the definition of eligible contract participant, and the Partnership expects to meet the amended definition as it applies to trading in retail forex transactions so long as its total assets exceed $10 million. If the Partnership does not meet the definition of eligible contract participant for purposes of trading in retail forex transactions, it could lead to the Partnership being unable to trade such transactions in the interbank market and bearing higher upfront and mark-to-market margin, less favorable trade pricing, and the possible imposition of new or increased fees. Retail forex markets available to parties that do not meet the definition of eligible contract participant could also be significantly less liquid than the interbank market. Moreover, the creditworthiness of the counterparties with whom the Partnership may be required to trade in such circumstances could be significantly weaker than the creditworthiness of MLI and the currency forward counterparties with which the Partnership would otherwise engage for its currency forward transactions.
Results of Operations
January 1, 2014 to September 30, 2014
January 1, 2014 to March 31, 2014
The Partnership experienced a net trading loss of $2,047,833 before brokerage commissions and related fees for the first quarter of 2014. Profits were primarily attributable to the Partnership trading in the energy and agriculture sectors posting profits. The interest rate, metals, currency and stock indices sectors posted losses.
The energy sector posted profits to the Partnership. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the first quarter as the Partnership captured the price move of natural gas triggered by winter weather across the U.S. Small losses in the Partnerships long crude oil positions were insufficient to offset the strong performance in natural gas. Profits were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter due to the Partnerships long positions in natural gas, crude oil and rbob gasoline. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter as the energy sector calmed significantly in March. As a result, the Partnership was flat for March.
The agriculture sector posted profits to the Partnership. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the first quarter due to the Partnerships trading program buying cattle and soy meal and selling sugar, wheat and rubber. Gains in these markets were sufficient to outweigh January losses in coffee and corn where the Partnerships short positions were not profitable. Profits were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter due to the Partnerships long positions in coffee, cattle, the soy complex and rubber. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter. The agricultural markets offered a mixed bag that ultimately resulted in a small loss for the Partnership. The Partnerships long positions in soy beans and soy meal generated profits which was offset by losses on both sides of a choppy wheat market and long positions in the cotton market.
The interest rate sector posted losses to the Partnership. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the first quarter. The bond sector was a disappointment in January. The Partnerships directional basket of global positions failed to gain profits, even with the U.S. Federal Reserves reaffirmation of its plans to taper its easing policy. Overall, small gains in the U.S. and Japanese bond markets were insufficient to offset losses selling European markets such as the bund and gilt. Profits were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter. There were profits from the Partnerships long positions in the U.S. 5 and 10 year Treasury note markets as well as in Japanese, Canadian and British bonds that slightly outweighed losses long U.S. treasury bonds and German bunds. Profits were posted to
the Partnership at the end of the quarter. The Partnerships long positions in the German, British and longer-term U.S. treasuries generated profits that were sufficient to outweigh losses on the long side of Japanese bonds and shorter-term U.S. treasuries.
The metals sector posted losses to the Partnership. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the first quarter. The Partnerships profits in copper were not enough to offset losses from selling precious metals such as platinum, gold, silver and nickel. Losses were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter. While the Partnership generated profits in short term long position gold trades, those profits were outweighed by losses incurred shorting silver, nickel and copper. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter when gold, platinum and zinc prices failed to follow through on upward moves seized upon by the Partnerships trading program during March.
The currency sector posted losses to the Partnership. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the first quarter due to the sharp upward move in the Japanese yen that bucked 2013s downward trend and the Partnerships carryover short position from 2013. Adding to the losses were downward moves in the Swiss franc and euro that went against the Partnerships long positions. These outcomes could not be overcome by winning short trades against the Australian dollar and South African rand. Losses were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter as profits were outweighed by losses incurred shorting the Japanese yen, Australian dollar, and the South African rand. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter due to the Partnerships long positions in the British pound and on both sides of the euro market.
The stock indices sector posted losses to the Partnership. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the first quarter. The global stock markets generally had strong market corrections in January and as a result, the Partnerships long positions lost money across the board. Profits were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter due to the Partnerships long positions stock indices in Sweden, Italy, Taiwan and the Netherlands. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter due to the Partnerships long positions in the Scandinavian OMX, the Italian FTSE MIB, Taiwan, and the S&P 500.
April 1, 2014 to June 30, 2014
The Partnership experienced a net trading profit of $1,793,296 before brokerage commissions and related fees in the second quarter of 2014. The Partnerships profits were primarily attributable to the stock indices, interest rates and currency sectors posting profits. The energy, agriculture and metals sectors posted losses.
The stock indices posted profits to the Partnership. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the second quarter as positive returns were generated on the long position of the Italian Stock Index, the S&P 500 index and the Dow Jones index, as well as on the short position of the TOPIX index. Returns from these positions buffered losses incurred long the NASDAQ and short Chinese H-Shares. The Partnerships diversified approach paid off in the middle of the quarter as the profits in Asia (India and Taiwan), Europe (AEX, EuroStoxx and OMX), and the U.S. (S&P and Dow) were posted. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter. The primary drivers for the Partnerships success over the course of June were profitable positions long various indices including the NASDAQ, S&P 500, Dow, Taiwan, India and South Africa. The Nikkei position, however, had a small loss for June, but overall, the sector proved to be a positive source of return for the Partnership.
The interest rate sector posted profits to the Partnership. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the second quarter as rates largely moved downward and bond prices, conversely, upward in the U.S., Europe and Asia. In April leading the way for the Partnership were long positions of Japanese, German, and British longer-term bonds. Profits were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter
as the Partnerships long positions rose across the yield curve. In May profits with no offsetting bond losses were in Europe (Bund, Bobl and Long Gilt), Asia (JGBs), and in the U.S. (medium and long-term treasuries). Losses were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter. With the Partnership long (short interest rates) across the board, most of the markets moved sideways (Australia, Canada, and Europe) or downward (U.S.).
The currency sector posted profits to the Partnership. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the second quarter. Currencies such as the British pound and Swiss franc moved upward in April and the Partnerships long positions in both markets benefitted as a result. Gains in these two currencies outweighed small losses short the Japanese yen and long the Australian dollar. The Partnership suffered losses in the middle of the quarter due to a sharp reversal in the Euro, a downward movement in the Danish krone and New Zealand dollar, and an uptick in the South African rand. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter. In June profits were obtained from the Japanese yen, British pound, New Zealand dollar, and Australian dollar as well as the short euro.
The energy sector posted losses to the Partnership. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the second quarter as the Partnership benefitted from a generally inactive energy sector. In April profits earned on long natural gas and Brent crude oil slightly outweighed losses in U.S. crude oil and RBOB. Losses were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter as small profits were earned long the crude oil market, but were outweighed with losses incurred long Brent crude, natural gas and RBOB gasoline. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter. The Partnerships long positions across the oil and gas complex were largely bucked by a sector-wide downward price move for June. The Partnerships profits in crude oil were not enough to offset losses in other energy markets.
The agriculture sector posted losses to the Partnership. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the second quarter as rallying food-based commodities benefitted the Partnership. Specifically, the Partnerships long positions in corn, coffee, soybeans and soy meal combined to outweigh a loss long the cotton market. Complementing the gains in food products were profits generated short the rubber market. Losses were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter as downward price moves in wheat and coffee bucked the previously profitable long positions the Partnership held coming out of April. Slight profits in corn, soybeans and rubber helped to offset the larger losses in wheat and coffee. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter as the agricultural sector provided the Partnership with a mixed bag that ultimately edged in the direction of unprofitability by the end of June. The Partnership suffered the losses in the soy complex (both beans and meal) as prices reversed against the long positions.
The metals sector posted losses to the Partnership. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the second quarter as the Partnership found profits with long positions instead of shorts. Price rallies in nickel and precious metals such as gold and platinum carried April. The metals sector was flat in the middle of the quarter. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter as short positions in gold, silver and copper did not meld well with a late June price upswing across the sector. Only a relatively small long zinc position found profit for June, but not enough to offset the losses in the other metals markets.
July 1, 2014 to September 30, 2014
The Partnership experienced a net trading profit of $2,319,086 before brokerage commissions and related fees in the third quarter of 2014. The Partnerships profits were primarily attributable to the currency, agriculture, energy sectors posting profits. The stock indices, metals and interest rate sectors posted losses.
The currency sector posted profits to the Partnership. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the third quarter as short dollar positions bolstered gains. The strongest performers were short Euro and short Swiss franc, followed up by positions short Japanese yen, Czech koruna and Swedish krona. Profits were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter as the Trading Program benefitted from short the foreign currencies and long the dollar as the Euro, Japanese yen, Swiss franc, and Czech koruna all moved downward sharply in support of the Trading Programs investment approach. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter. Leading the way were short positions in Swiss franc, Euro, and Japanese yen, all of which fell sharply at various points in September. Adding to the profits were investments short the Australian dollar, Danish krone, New Zealand dollar, Czech koruna, Norwegian krone, Swedish krona, and Polish zloty, all of which moved downward sharply as the world dealt with various macro developments. Overall, but for a loss generated by investing long the British pound, the Partnership found profits in currencies in which it invested.
The agriculture sector posted profits to the Partnership. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the third quarter as short positions in wheat, corn and cotton paid off in the face of downward price pressure. Simultaneously, the Partnership found profits long the cattle market as it continued to move inversely to most other agricultural markets. Losses were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter. Losses incurred by the Trading Program involved short cotton and Kansas City wheat and long cattle. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter as profits were generated in the markets in which the Partnership invested. Other than cattle, where rising prices helped long positions generate profitable returns, short was the place to be as falling prices in corn, cotton, wheat, rubber, soy products, and sugar resulted in positive outcomes for the Partnership.
The energy sector posted profits to the Partnership. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the third quarter as investors apparently lost confidence in global energy demand. As a result, the Partnership suffered losses long Brent crude oil, WTI crude oil and RBOB gasoline. Those losses were too significant to overcome the Trading Programs gain short natural gas. Profits were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter as the Trading Program profited from the short gasoil and heating oil. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter. Global energy markets offered investment opportunities as well. Specifically, the Partnership capitalized on sagging prices with short positions in gasoil, heating oil, Brent crude, natural gas, and RBOB gasoline.
The stock indices sector posted losses to the Partnership. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the third quarter. The Trading Program found profits long various Asian markets, South Africa, and the NASDAQ. Profits were posted to the Partnership in the middle of quarter. The most profitable investments for the Trading Program in August were positions long the NASDAQ, Hong Kongs Hang Seng and the S&P 500. Additional profits were found long equity indices in China and India and long the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter. With China and Hong Kong leading the way downward, many equity markets wilted in the face of growing concern about the Chinese economy and other global macro challenges such as the battle with ISIS in the Middle East.
The metals sector posted losses to the Partnership. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the third quarter. Most productive for July were positions in long zinc, aluminum and platinum which outweighed losses incurred short copper and gold and long nickel. Profits were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter due to long aluminum investment and long nickel. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter. There was a distinct split in the sector with precious metals largely moving upward in September and industrial metals doing the opposite. As a result, larger losses long aluminum, nickel and zinc were posted.
The interest rate sector posted losses to the Partnership. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the third quarter due to long bond positions. Specifically, the Partnership found profits on three continents North America, Asia and Europe as investors took cover from market unrest in fixed income investments of various durations. Profits were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter from the global bond sector where its long bond/short interest rate combination continued to bear gains for investors. Particularly productive in August were the Trading Programs positions long the U.S. 30 year and long bonds in Japan, Canada, and Germany. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter. In the global bond markets, the price action was uniformly bad across geographies and durations. As a result, the Partnership lost money in each of its positions with the worst investments being U.S. 5, 10 and 30 years instruments.
January 1, 2013 to September 30, 2013
January 1, 2013 to March 31, 2013
The Partnership experienced a net trading profit of $990,123 before brokerage commissions and related fees in the first quarter of 2013. The Partnerships profits were primarily attributable to the stock indices and the agriculture sectors posting profits. The metals, currencies, energy and interest rates sectors posted losses.
The stock indices posted profits to the Partnership. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter as investor confidence drove prices up across numerous markets traded. Leading the charge for the Trading Program were Japanese equities which continued their late 2012 run in the wake of continued efforts by the new government to stimulate its economy by weakening the Japanese yen. Losses were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter. Trading in the U.S. markets generated small profits that were offset by losses in international equities in the face of Italian politics and other perceived indicators of global economic weakness. As a result, the Trading Program continued profitable trading of U.S. stock indices and trending S&P sub-sectors was outweighed by losses in both Europe and Asia for the month. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter due to the surging U.S. stock markets. Large gains in the S&P, NASDAQ, Dow Jones and various U.S. equity sub-sectors generated the bulk of equity profits.
The agriculture sector posted profits to the Partnership. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter in which sugar prices spiraled downward in support of the Trading Programs short position. Profits were posted to the Partnership in the middle of through the end of the quarter due to the Trading Programs short positions in sugar and coffee.
The metals sector posted losses to the Partnership. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter as gold and copper pushed upward against the Trading Programs short positions. Also challenging was the zinc market, wherein the Trading Program entered into a long position only to sharply reverse resulting in losses posted to the Partnership. Losses were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter with zinc losses offsetting gains in gold and copper. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter as the Trading Programs short copper and gold positions continued to track ongoing reversals in each of those markets and offset a small loss incurred on a long zinc trade.
The currency sector posted losses to the Partnership. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter. The sharp downward move in the Japanese yen that began late 2012 accelerated in January and led to profit taking by the Trading Program. Complementing the Japanese yens productive move was a solid upward surge in the euro and European minor currencies. Profits were also found shorting the South African rand which continued a downward trend and further bolstered the Trading Programs January performance in currency. These trading gains were more-than-sufficient to offset losses suffered when the
Swiss franc and Australian dollar moved against the Trading Programs long positions and the British pound spiked upward against the Trading Programs short position. Losses in the euro, Swiss franc, Australian dollar and a range of minor European currencies outweighed gains in the British pound, Japanese yen, and South African rand resulting in losses posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter. March began with the Trading Programs short euro trade that caused a loss, which was offset by winning short positions in the Japanese yen, Swiss franc and South African rand.
The energy sector posted losses to the Partnership. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter. Most notably, crude oil spiked sharply yielding profits for the Trading Program. Supplementing these profits were favorable trades in heating oil, and various gasoline markets. Losses were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter. Strong upward trends and seemingly orderly pullbacks were disrupted by unpredicted price turmoil when an unidentified investor sold large quantities of crude oil futures within a very short time window toward the end of the month of February. This occurrence reduced prices below the Trading Programs risk tolerances and forced the Trading Program out of trading positions that otherwise appeared on track to produce positive returns. The Trading Program also generated losses in unleaded gas, gas oil, heating oil and Brent crude. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter as the Trading Programs long natural gas trade toward the end of the month of March generated gains to offset losses realized by shorting the same market in early March.
The interest rate sector posted losses to the Partnership. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter. In particular, the U.S. and European interest rates moved downward against the Trading Programs short bond positions. Losses were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter due to small losses in European interest rates. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter due to the Trading Programs long bond/short interest rate positions across Europe and in Japan and long T- note/short rate positions in the U.S.
April 1, 2013 to June 30, 2013
The Partnership experienced a net trading profit of $2,548,087 before brokerage commissions and related fees in the second quarter of 2013. The Partnerships profits were primarily attributable to the metals, interest rate and currency sectors posting profits. The agriculture, stock indices and energy sectors posted losses.
The metals sector posted profits to the Partnership. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter as copper and gold continued their 2013 price free fall in line with the Trading Programs short positions in each market. Adding to profits was a short silver position toward the end of April. Profits were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter. The metals sector diverged during May, with base metals, aluminum and copper, losing money in their short positions. Precious metals, gold and silver, conversely profited from short positions with gold dropping nearly $100 per ounce during the month of May and silver nearly $2 per ounce. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter. The Trading Program short position benefitted from Golds mid-month drop. Short positions in copper, nickel, aluminum and silver posted profits for the Partnership.
The interest rate sector posted profits to the Partnership. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter. Fixed income trading was profitable April as long bond/short rate positions in both Germany and across the U.S. yield curve all turned profits posted to the Partnership which offset losses on the Trading Programs long bond/short rate position in Japan. Losses were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter. The interest rate sector lost money across the board, appearing to be principally driven by U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernankes comments that the Federal Reserve may reduce its bond purchasing program given recent signs of an improving economy. Markets
reacted strongly to this, with the yield on the U.S. ten year rising nearly 50 basis points, to over two percent. This material move caused the Trading Program to exit its long positions held at the beginning of the month and go short U.S. treasuries across the yield curve. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter. The Trading Programs diversified approach captured significant profits with short positions across the U.S. yield curve and Canada.
The currency sector posted profits to the Partnership. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter. Currency trading was essentially flat for April as profitable trades such as long positions in the euro and Swiss franc and short positions in the Japanese yen were offset by long positions in the Australian dollar and short positions in the British pound and South African rand. Profits were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter. The Trading Programs short trades in the Australian dollar made money as it declined amid numbers out of China that pointed to a slowing economy and the prospect of softening demand for Australian commodities. The Trading Program short Japanese yen plays against the U.S. dollar; British pound and Euro were all profitable. The South African rand weakening against the U.S. dollar benefitted the Trading Program. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter. Profits from the Trading Programs Australian dollar and buying British pounds and Euros were not enough to offset losses incurred shorting the Japanese yen, Singapore dollar, New Zealand dollar, and South African rand.
The agriculture sector posted losses to the Partnership. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter resulting from the Trading Programs long positions in cotton and short positions in soy meal and wheat. Profits were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter resulting from the Trading Programs short positions in grains and softs. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter resulting form the Trading Programs short position in wheat.
The stock indices sector posted losses to the Partnership. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter resulting from the Trading Programs long U.S. index trades as well as various S&P sub-sectors most responsive to the ongoing U.S. stock market surge. Also, the Trading Programs long equity positions in Japan, Taiwan and Sweden and a profitable short position in India resulted in profits. Profits were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter as U.S. and European equity markets climbed higher. Through the first two- thirds of May, the S&P, NASDAQ, DAX and EuroStoxx, among others, moved up day by day. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter as stocks dropped in June.
The energy sector posted losses to the Partnership. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter resulting from the downward price movement that has persisting for much of the year in oil and gas products stalled and reversed just enough to undercut many of the Trading Programs short positions. Losses were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter. Volatility in natural gas led to losses that tipped the sector into negative territory in May. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter resulting from price fall-offs in RBOB gasoline, gasoil and Brent crude.
July 1, 2013 to September 30, 2013
The Partnership experienced a net trading loss of $2,328,281 before brokerage commissions and related fees in the third quarter of 2013. The Partnerships profits were primarily attributable to the stock indices sector posting profits. The agriculture, energy, currency, interest rate and metal sectors posted losses.
The stock indices sector posted profits to the Partnership. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter. U.S. markets were profitable in July (long Dow, S&P and Nasdaq positions), as well as the Trading Programs ongoing long positions in a wide range of S&P 500 sectors, including healthcare, consumer discretionary and consumer staples. Global equity markets lagged the United States
but small profits in Asian and European markets rounded out the Trading Programs profitable month of equity investing. Losses were posted to the Partnership in the middle of quarter. A variety of factors appeared to knock U.S equities off their bullish stride including some poor real estate numbers in the early part of August and then late August uncertainty regarding potential U.S. involvement in Syria. The net result for the Partnership were losses in the S&P and Dow Jones index futures markets as well as in the health care, consumer staples, industrial, technology, utilities, consumer discretionary, and financial sub-sectors of the S&P. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter.
The agriculture sector posted losses to the Partnership. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter as falling corn, soybean and soymeal prices made for good trading opportunities, particularly for some of the Trading Programs shorter term investment models. Wheat and rubber generated small losses which were overshadowed by the Trading Programs gains in corn and the soybean complex. Profits were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter in spite of the Trading Programs challenging trading days in several grain markets. The most profitable trades were short wheat and sugar, which collectively offset losses in soybeans for August. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter. Wheat and sugar prices spiked upward against the Trading Programs short positions. Also soybeans and soymeal prices moved lower against the Trading Programs long positions.
The energy sector posted losses to the Partnership. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter. The energy sector was neutral for the month of July as small profits buying brent crude, crude and gasoil and selling natural gas were offset by small losses in the heating oil and rbob markets. Profits were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter as the Trading Program profited from the long positions that captured sharp price spikes in the brent and crude oil markets. The gains in these trades outpaced small losses in natural gas and heating oil. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter. After the prospect of military action in Syria seemed to subside, energy prices, which had risen due to the possibility of conflict in the Middle East, sold off across the board. Gas and crude oil proved to be particularly troublesome and heating oil, Brent crude, RBOB (gasoline) and even natural gas added to the Trading Programs negative performance in energy for September.
The currency sector posted losses to the Partnership. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter as the British pound (long), Japanese yen (short), and New Zealand dollar (short) all moved against the Trading Program. Profits were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter as the Trading Program captured profits in short Australian dollar and Japanese yen positions. Long Swiss franc and short New Zealand and Singapore dollar positions also generated profits. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter. Most damaging was the Australian dollar which spiked upward sharply against the Trading Programs short position such that it turned many of the models to the long side by month end. Compounding the harm were losses in the Singapore dollar, South African rand, New Zealand dollar, and Japanese yen, all of which strengthened against the U.S. dollar upon the U.S. Federal Reserves decision not to taper quantitative easing. Diversification paid dividends however as both the British pound and Euro moved upward in support of the Trading Programs long positions in those markets and mitigated some losses.
The interest rate sector posted losses to the Partnership. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter. Fixed income markets, after offering some good shorting opportunities early in July, settled into a fairly indecisive pattern that ultimately led to small Trading Program losses for the month. The least helpful markets were in Europe where bobl and bund futures turned against the Trading Programs short positions. The Trading Programs ongoing short positions along the U.S. yield curve garnered nearly offsetting profits as U.S. bonds continue to lose value. Profits were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter from the Trading Programs short positions in the global bond market. The Trading Programs short positions in the back end of the curve in the United States, Canada
and Europe proved profitable. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter as the downward move in bond prices and corresponding uptick in interest rates that had characterized the previous several months reversed course sharply upon the U.S. Federal Reserves decision to maintain its current level of quantitative easing. Also corresponding losses in Europes Bund market added to the losses at the end of September.
The metals sector posted losses to the Partnership. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter when collapsing metal prices took a bit of a respite. Most harmful to the Trading Program was a price rally in gold and copper. Losses were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter as the downward trend that has prevailed for much of 2013 stalled and then reversed course for much of August. Losses across the board against the Trading Programs short positions in silver, aluminum, gold, and copper drove unprofitable trading with nickel being the only metals market from which the Trading Program emerged unscathed. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter.
(The Partnership has no applicable off-balance sheet arrangements or tabular disclosure of contractual obligations of the type described in Items 303(a)(4) and 303(a)(5) of Regulation S-K.)
Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
Introduction
The Partnership is a speculative commodity pool. The market sensitive instruments held by it are acquired for speculative trading purposes and all or substantially all of the Partnerships assets are subject to the risk of trading loss. Unlike an operating company, the risk of market sensitive instruments is integral, not incidental, to the Partnerships main line of business.
Market movements result in frequent changes in the fair market value of the Partnerships open positions and, consequently, in its earnings and cash flow. The Partnerships market risk is influenced by a wide variety of factors, including the level and volatility of interest rates, exchange rates, equity price levels, the market value of financial instruments and contracts, the diversification effects among the Partnerships open positions and the liquidity of the markets in which it trades.
The Partnership, under the direction of the Trading Advisor, rapidly acquires and liquidates both long and short positions in a wide range of different markets. Consequently, it is not possible to predict how a particular future market scenario will affect performance, and the Partnerships past performance is not necessarily indicative of its future results.
Value at Risk is a measure of the maximum amount which the Partnership could reasonably be expected to lose in a given market sector. However, the inherent uncertainty of the Partnerships speculative trading and the recurrence in the markets traded by the Partnership of market movements far exceeding expectations could result in actual trading or non-trading losses far beyond the indicated Value at Risk or the Partnerships experience to date (i.e., risk of ruin). In light of the foregoing, as well as the risks and uncertainties intrinsic to all future projections, the quantifications included in this section should not be considered to constitute any assurance or representation that the Partnerships losses in any market sector will be limited to Value at Risk or by the Partnerships attempts to manage its market risk.
Quantifying The Partnerships Trading Value At Risk
Quantitative Forward-Looking Statements
The following quantitative disclosures regarding the Partnerships market risk exposures contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the safe harbor from civil liability provided for such statements by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 (set forth in Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 (Securities Act) and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (Securities Exchange Act)). All quantitative disclosures in this section are deemed to be forward-looking statements for purposes of the safe harbor, except for statements of historical fact.
The Partnerships risk exposure in the various market sectors traded by the Partnership is quantified below in terms of Value at Risk. Due to the Partnerships fair value accounting, any loss in the fair value of the Partnerships open positions is directly reflected in the Partnerships earnings (realized or unrealized) and cash flow (in the case of exchange-traded contracts in which profits and losses on open positions are settled daily through variation margin).
Exchange maintenance margin requirements have been used by the Partnership as the measure of its Value at Risk. Maintenance margin requirements are set by exchanges to equal or exceed the maximum loss in the fair value of any given contract incurred in 95%-99% of the one-day time periods included in the historical sample (generally approximately one year) researched for purposes of establishing margin levels. The maintenance margin levels are established by dealers and exchanges using historical price studies as well as an assessment of current market volatility (including the implied volatility of the options on a given futures contract) and economic fundamentals to provide a probabilistic estimate of the maximum expected near-term one-day price fluctuation.
In the case of market sensitive instruments which are not exchange-traded (almost exclusively currencies in the case of the Partnership), the margin requirements for the equivalent futures positions have been used as Value at Risk. In those rare cases in which a futures-equivalent margin is not available, dealers margins have been used.
100% positive correlation in the different positions held in each market risk category has been assumed. Consequently, the margin requirements applicable to the open contracts have been aggregated to determine each trading categorys aggregate Value at Risk. The diversification effects resulting from the fact that the Partnerships positions are rarely, if ever, 100% positively correlated have not been reflected.
Partnerships Trading Value at Risk in Different Market Sectors
The following table indicates the average, highest and lowest trading Value at Risk associated with the Partnerships open positions by market category. For the nine month periods ended September 30, 2014 and 2013, the Partnerships average capitalization was approximately $39,525,184 and $60,865,073, respectively.
|
|
September 30, 2014 |
| |||||||||
|
|
Average |
|
% of Average |
|
Highest Value |
|
Lowest Value |
| |||
Market Sector |
|
Value at Risk |
|
Capitalization |
|
At Risk |
|
At Risk |
| |||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
Currencies |
|
$ |
359,038 |
|
0.91 |
% |
$ |
761,777 |
|
$ |
114,944 |
|
Metals |
|
823,663 |
|
2.08 |
% |
1,772,040 |
|
438,956 |
| |||
Stock Indices |
|
1,175,027 |
|
2.97 |
% |
3,008,059 |
|
501,207 |
| |||
Interest Rates |
|
275,380 |
|
0.70 |
% |
642,800 |
|
110,127 |
| |||
Energy |
|
486,819 |
|
1.23 |
% |
1,044,418 |
|
14,652 |
| |||
Agricultural Commodities |
|
347,812 |
|
0.88 |
% |
628,160 |
|
66,239 |
| |||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
TOTAL |
|
$ |
3,467,739 |
|
8.77 |
% |
$ |
7,857,254 |
|
$ |
1,246,125 |
|
|
|
September 30, 2013 |
| |||||||||
|
|
Average |
|
% of Average |
|
Highest Value |
|
Lowest Value |
| |||
Market Sector |
|
Value at Risk |
|
Capitalization |
|
At Risk |
|
At Risk |
| |||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
Currencies |
|
$ |
1,511,199 |
|
2.48 |
% |
$ |
2,586,952 |
|
$ |
152,393 |
|
Metals |
|
1,810,917 |
|
2.98 |
% |
2,744,174 |
|
603,398 |
| |||
Stock Indices |
|
785,865 |
|
1.29 |
% |
1,194,354 |
|
505,278 |
| |||
Interest Rates |
|
726,384 |
|
1.19 |
% |
818,769 |
|
570,035 |
| |||
Energy |
|
154,677 |
|
0.25 |
% |
410,249 |
|
15,768 |
| |||
Agricultural Commodities |
|
398,109 |
|
0.65 |
% |
766,026 |
|
193,103 |
| |||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
TOTAL |
|
$ |
5,387,151 |
|
8.84 |
% |
$ |
8,520,524 |
|
$ |
2,039,975 |
|
Material Limitations on Value at Risk as an Assessment of Market Risk
The face value of the market sector instruments held by the Partnership is typically many times the applicable maintenance margin requirement (maintenance margin requirements generally ranging between approximately 1% and 10% of contract face value) as well as many times the capitalization of the Partnership. The magnitude of the Partnerships open positions creates a risk of ruin not typically found in most other investment vehicles. Because of the size of its positions, certain market conditions unusual, but historically recurring from time to time could cause the Partnership to incur severe losses over a short period of time. The foregoing Value at Risk table as well as the past performance of the Partnership gives no indication of this risk of ruin.
Non-Trading Risk
Foreign Currency Balances; Cash on Deposit with MLPF&S and MLI
The Partnership has non-trading market risk on its foreign cash balances not needed for margin. However, these balances (as well as the market risk they represent) are typically immaterial.
The Partnership also has non-trading market risk on approximately 90% of its assets which are held in cash at MLPF&S. The value of this cash is not interest rate sensitive, but there is cash flow risk in that if interest rates decline so will the cash flow generated on these monies.
Qualitative Disclosures Regarding Primary Trading Risk Exposures
The following qualitative disclosures regarding the Partnerships market risk exposures except for (i) those disclosures that are statements of historical fact and (ii) the descriptions of how the Partnership manages its primary market risk exposures constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act. The Partnerships primary market risk exposures as well as the strategies used and to be used by MLAI and the Trading Advisor for managing such exposures are subject to numerous uncertainties, contingencies and risks, any one of which could cause the actual results of the Partnerships risk controls to differ materially from the objectives of such strategies. Government interventions, defaults and expropriations, illiquid markets, the emergence of dominant fundamental factors, political upheavals, changes in historical price relationships, an influx of new market participants, increased regulation and many other factors could result in material losses as well as in material changes to the risk exposures and the risk management strategies of the Partnership. There can be no assurance that the Partnerships current market exposure and/or risk management strategies will not change materially or that any such strategies will be effective in either the short- or long-term. Investors must be prepared to lose all or substantially all of the value of their investment in the Partnership.
The following are the primary trading risk exposures of the Partnership by market sector.
Interest Rates
Interest rate movements directly affect the price of derivative sovereign bond futures positions held by the Partnership and indirectly the value of its stock index and currency positions. Interest rate movements in one country, as well as relative interest rate movements between countries can materially impact the Partnerships profitability. The Partnerships primary interest rate exposure is to interest rate fluctuations in the United States and the other G-7 countries. However, the Partnership may also take futures positions in the government debt of smaller nations e.g., Australia. MLAI anticipates that G-7 interest rates will remain the primary market exposure of the Partnership for the foreseeable future.
Currencies
The Partnership trades in a number of currencies. However, the Partnerships major exposures have typically been in the U.S. dollar/Japanese yen, U.S. dollar/Euro, U.S. dollar/Australian dollar and U.S. dollar/Swiss franc positions. The Partnership does not anticipate that the risk profile of the Partnerships currency sector will change significantly in the future. The currency trading Value at Risk figure includes foreign margin amounts converted into U.S. dollars with an incremental adjustment to reflect the exchange rate risk of maintaining Value at Risk in a functional currency other than U.S. dollars.
Stock Indices
The Partnerships primary equity exposure is to S&P 500, Nikkei and German DAX equity index price movements. The Partnership is primarily exposed to the risk of adverse price trends or static markets in the major U.S., European and Asian indices.
Metals
The Partnerships metals market exposure is to fluctuations in the price of precious and non-precious metals.
Agricultural Commodities
The Partnerships primary agricultural commodities exposure is to agricultural price movements which are often directly affected by severe or unexpected weather conditions. Soybeans, grains, cotton and sugar accounted for the substantial bulk of the Partnerships agricultural commodities exposure. However, it is anticipated that the Trading Advisor will maintain an emphasis on cotton, grains and sugar, in which the Partnership has historically taken its largest positions.
Energy
The Partnerships primary energy market exposure is to natural gas and crude oil price movements, often resulting from political developments in the Middle East. Oil prices can be volatile and substantial profits and losses have been and are expected to continue to be experienced in this market.
Qualitative Disclosures Regarding Non-Trading Risk Exposure
The following are the primary non-trading risk exposures of the Partnership.
Foreign Currency Balances
The Partnerships primary foreign currency balances are in Japanese yen, Australian dollar, Swiss franc and Euros.
U.S. Dollar Cash Balance
The Partnership holds the vast majority of its U.S. dollars in cash at MLPF&S and MLI. The Partnership has immaterial cash flow interest rate risk on its cash on deposit with MLPF&S in that declining interest rates would cause the income from such cash to decline.
Qualitative Disclosures Regarding Means of Managing Risk Exposure
Trading Risk
MLAI has procedures in place intended to control market risk, although there can be no assurance that they will, in fact, succeed in doing so. While MLAI does not intervene in the markets to hedge or diversify the Partnerships market exposure, MLAI may urge the Trading Advisor to reallocate positions in an attempt to avoid over-concentrations. However, such interventions are unusual, except in cases in which it appears that the Trading Advisor has begun to deviate from past practice and trading policies or to be trading erratically. MLAIs basic control procedures consist of the ongoing process of monitoring the Trading Advisor with the market risk controls being applied by the Trading Advisor itself.
Risk Management
While the Trading Advisor relies on mechanical technical trading systems in making investment decisions, the overall strategy does include the latitude to diverge from this approach if market conditions are such that, in the opinion of the Trading Advisor, execution of trades recommended by the mechanical systems would be difficult or unusually risky to an account.
Non-Trading Risk
The Partnership controls the non-trading exchange rate risk by regularly converting foreign balances back into U.S. dollars at least once per week, and more frequently if a particular foreign currency balance becomes unusually high.
The Partnership has cash flow interest rate risk on its cash on deposit with MLPF&S in that declining interest rates would cause the income from such cash to decline. However, a certain amount of cash or cash equivalents must be held by the Partnership in order to facilitate margin payments and pay expenses and redemptions. MLAI does not take any steps to limit the cash flow risk on its cash held on deposit at MLPF&S.
Item 4. Controls and Procedures
Disclosure Controls and Procedures
MLAIs Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer on behalf of the Partnership have evaluated the effectiveness of the design and operation of its disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Rule 13a-15(e) or Rule 15d-15(e) under the Securities Exchange Act) with respect to the Partnership as of and for the quarter which ended September 30, 2014, and, based on their evaluation, have concluded that these disclosure controls and procedures are effective.
Changes in Internal Control over Financial Reporting
No change in internal control over financial reporting (as defined in Rule 13a-15(f) or Rule 15d-15(f) under the Securities Exchange Act) occurred during the quarter ended September 30, 2014 that has materially affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, the Partnerships internal control over financial reporting.
None.
There are no material changes from risk factors as previously disclosed in the Partnerships report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2013, filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on March 25, 2014.
Item 2. Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds
(a) Units are privately offered and sold to accredited investors (as defined in Rule 501(a) under the Securities Act) in reliance on the exemption from registration provided by Section 4(2) of the Securities Act and Rule 506 thereunder. The selling agent of the Units was MLPF&S.
|
|
Subscription |
| ||||||
|
|
Amount |
|
Units |
|
NAV (1) |
| ||
Jan-14 |
|
$ |
|
|
|
|
$ |
233.9835 |
|
Feb-14 |
|
16,000 |
|
72 |
|
220.9897 |
| ||
Mar-14 |
|
|
|
|
|
222.6933 |
| ||
Apr-14 |
|
|
|
|
|
220.7362 |
| ||
May-14 |
|
|
|
|
|
224.3074 |
| ||
Jun-14 |
|
|
|
|
|
226.4602 |
| ||
Jul-14 |
|
|
|
|
|
227.0699 |
| ||
Aug-14 |
|
|
|
|
|
225.6986 |
| ||
Sep-14 |
|
|
|
|
|
231.3856 |
| ||
Oct-14 |
|
|
|
|
|
240.3376 |
| ||
(1) Beginning of the month Net Asset Value
(b) Not applicable.
(c) Not applicable.
Item 3. Defaults Upon Senior Securities
None.
Item 4. Mine Safety Disclosures
Not applicable.
None.
The following exhibits are filed herewith to this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q:
31.01 and
31.02 Rule 13a-14(a)/15d-14(a) Certifications
Exhibit 31.01
and 31.02: Are filed herewith.
32.01 and
32.02 Section 1350 Certifications
Exhibit 32.01
and 32.02 Are filed herewith.
Exhibit 101 Are filed herewith.
The following materials from the Partnerships quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the three and nine month periods ended September 30, 2014 formatted in XBRL (Extensible Business Reporting Language): (i) Statements of Financial Condition (ii) Statements of Operations (iii) Statements of Changes in Partners Capital (iv) Financial Data Highlights and (v) Notes to Financial Statements, tagged as blocks of text.
SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.
|
|
ML SELECT FUTURES I L.P. |
|
| |
|
| |
|
By |
MERRILL LYNCH ALTERNATIVE |
|
|
INVESTMENTS LLC |
|
|
(General Partner) |
|
| |
|
| |
Date: November 14, 2014 |
By: |
/s/ KEITH GLENFIELD |
|
|
Keith Glenfield |
|
|
Chief Executive Officer and President |
|
|
(Principal Executive Officer) |
|
| |
|
| |
Date: November 14, 2014 |
By: |
/s/ BARBRA E. KOCSIS |
|
|
Barbra E. Kocsis |
|
|
Chief Financial Officer |
|
|
(Principal Financial Officer) |