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S-1 - FORM S-1 - Sunshine Bancorp, Inc.d679025ds1.htm
EX-2 - EX-2 - Sunshine Bancorp, Inc.d679025dex2.htm
EX-5 - EX-5 - Sunshine Bancorp, Inc.d679025dex5.htm
EX-4 - EX-4 - Sunshine Bancorp, Inc.d679025dex4.htm
EX-1.1 - EX-1.1 - Sunshine Bancorp, Inc.d679025dex11.htm
EX-21 - EX-21 - Sunshine Bancorp, Inc.d679025dex21.htm
EX-8.2 - EX-8.2 - Sunshine Bancorp, Inc.d679025dex82.htm
EX-3.1 - EX-3.1 - Sunshine Bancorp, Inc.d679025dex31.htm
EX-8.1 - EX-8.1 - Sunshine Bancorp, Inc.d679025dex81.htm
EX-23.3 - EX-23.3 - Sunshine Bancorp, Inc.d679025dex233.htm
EX-23.2 - EX-23.2 - Sunshine Bancorp, Inc.d679025dex232.htm
EX-99.2 - EX-99.2 - Sunshine Bancorp, Inc.d679025dex992.htm
EX-3.2 - EX-3.2 - Sunshine Bancorp, Inc.d679025dex32.htm
EX-10.3 - EX-10.3 - Sunshine Bancorp, Inc.d679025dex103.htm
EX-99.1 - EX-99.1 - Sunshine Bancorp, Inc.d679025dex991.htm
EX-10.1 - EX-10.1 - Sunshine Bancorp, Inc.d679025dex101.htm
EX-10.2 - EX-10.2 - Sunshine Bancorp, Inc.d679025dex102.htm

Exhibit 99.3

 

LOGO

PRO FORMA VALUATION REPORT STANDARD CONVERSION Sunshine Bancorp, Inc. ¦Plant City, Florida PROPOSED HOLDING COMPANY FOR: Sunshine State Bank ¦ Plant City, Florida Dated as of February 21, 2014 1100 North Glebe Road Suite 600 Arlington, Virginia 22201 703.528.1700 rpfinancial.com


RP® FINANCIAL, LC.

Advisory | Planning | Valuation

February 21, 2014

Board of Directors

Sunshine State Bank

102 West Baker Street

Plant City, FL 33563

Members of the Board of Directors:

At your request, we have completed and hereby provide an independent appraisal (“Appraisal”) of the estimated pro forma market value of the common stock which is to be issued in connection with the mutual-to-stock conversion transaction described below.

This Appraisal is furnished pursuant to the requirements stipulated in the Code of Federal Regulations and has been prepared in accordance with the “Guidelines for Appraisal Reports for the Valuation of Savings and Loan Associations Converting from Mutual to Stock Form of Organization” of the Office of Thrift Supervision (“OTS”) and reissued by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (“OCC”), and applicable regulatory interpretations thereof. Such Valuation Guidelines are relied upon by the Federal Reserve Board (“FRB”) in the absence of separate written valuation guidelines.

Description of Plan of Conversion and Reorganization

On December 18, 2013, the Board of Directors of Sunshine State Federal Savings and Loan Association (the “Association”), adopted the plan of conversion, whereby the Association will convert from a federally-chartered mutual savings association to a federally-chartered stock savings bank. As a result of the conversion, the Association will be owned by a Maryland corporation with the name of Sunshine Bancorp, Inc. (“Bancorp” or the “Company”). In connection with the completion of the conversion, the Association intends to change its name to Sunshine State Bank. For purposes of this document, the existing consolidated entity will hereinafter be referred to as “Sunshine State“ or the “Bank”.

Sunshine Bancorp will offer its common stock in a subscription offering to Eligible Account Holders, Tax-Qualified Employee Stock Benefit Plans including Sunshine State’s employee stock ownership plan (the “ESOP”), Supplemental Eligible Account Holders and Other Members, as such terms are defined for purposes of applicable federal regulatory guidelines governing mutual-to-stock conversions. To the extent that shares remain available for purchase after satisfaction of all subscriptions received in the subscription offering, the shares may be offered for sale to members of the general public in a community offering and/or a syndicated community offering. A portion of the net proceeds received from the sale of the common stock will be used to purchase all of the then to be issued and outstanding capital stock of Sunshine State Bank and the balance of the net proceeds will be retained by the Company.

 

 

 

Washington Headquarters   

Three Ballston Plaza

   Telephone: (703) 528-1700

1100 North Glebe Road, Suite 600

   Fax No.: (703) 528-1788

Arlington, VA 22201

   Toll-Free No.: (866) 723-0594

www.rpfinancial.com

   E-Mail: mail@rpfinancial.com


Boards of Directors

February 21, 2014

Page 2

 

At this time, no other activities are contemplated for the Company other than the ownership of the Bank, a loan to the newly-formed ESOP, and reinvestment of the proceeds that are retained by the Company. In the future, Sunshine State Bancorp may acquire or organize other operating subsidiaries, diversify into other banking-related activities, pay dividends, or repurchase its stock, although there are no specific plans to undertake such activities at the present time.

RP® Financial, LC.

RP® Financial, LC. (“RP Financial”) is a financial consulting firm serving the financial services industry nationwide that, among other things, specializes in financial valuations and analyses of business enterprises and securities, including the pro forma valuation for savings institutions converting from mutual-to-stock form. The background and experience of RP Financial is detailed in Exhibit V-1. For its appraisal services, RP Financial is being compensated on a fixed fee basis for the original appraisal and for any subsequent updates, and such fees are payable regardless of the valuation conclusion or the completion of the conversion offering transaction. We believe that we are independent of the Company, Sunshine State Bank, and the other parties engaged by Sunshine State Bank or the Company to assist in the stock conversion process.

Valuation Methodology

In preparing our Appraisal, we have reviewed the regulatory applications of Sunshine Bancorp and Sunshine State Bank, including the prospectus as filed with the FRB, OCC and the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”). We have conducted a financial analysis of the Bank that has included a review of audited financial information for the past two years through the year ended December 31, 2013, and a review of various unaudited information and internal financial reports through December 31, 2013. We have also conducted due diligence related discussions with Sunshine State’s management; Hacker, Jonson & Smith PA, Sunshine State’s independent auditor; Luse Gorman Pomerenk & Schick, P.C., Sunshine State’s conversion counsel; and Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, Inc., the Bank’s financial and marketing advisor in connection with the stock offering. All assumptions and conclusions set forth in the Appraisal were reached independently from such discussions. In addition, where appropriate, we have considered information based on other available published sources that we believe are reliable. While we believe the information and data gathered from all these sources are reliable, we cannot guarantee the accuracy and completeness of such information.

We have investigated the competitive environment within which Sunshine State operates, and have assessed the Bank’s relative strengths and weaknesses. We have monitored all material regulatory and legislative actions affecting financial institutions generally and analyzed the potential impact of such developments on Sunshine State and the industry as a whole, to the extent we were aware of such matters. We have analyzed the potential effects of the stock conversion on the Bank’s operating characteristics and financial performance, as they relate to the pro forma market value of Sunshine State. We have reviewed the economy and demographic characteristics of the primary market area in which the Bank currently operates. We have compared the Bank’s financial performance and condition with publicly-traded thrift institutions evaluated and selected in accordance with the Valuation Guidelines, as well as all publicly-traded thrifts and thrift holding companies. We have reviewed conditions in the securities markets, in general, and the market for thrifts and thrift holding companies, including the market for new issues.


Boards of Directors

February 21, 2014

Page 3

 

The Appraisal is based on Sunshine State’s representation that the information contained in the regulatory applications and additional information furnished to us by the Bank and its independent auditors, legal counsel, investment bankers, and other authorized agents are truthful, accurate, and complete. We did not independently verify the financial statements and other information provided by the Bank, or its independent auditors, legal counsel, investment bankers, and other authorized agents, nor did we independently value the assets or liabilities of Sunshine State. The valuation considers Sunshine State only as a going concern and should not be considered as an indication of the Bank’s liquidation value.

Our appraised value is predicated on a continuation of the current operating environment for the Bank and for all thrifts and their holding companies. Changes in the local and national economy, the federal and state legislative and regulatory environments for financial institutions, the stock market, interest rates, and other external forces (such as natural disasters or significant world events) may occur from time to time, often with great unpredictability, and may materially impact the value of thrift stocks as a whole or the Bank’s value alone. It is our understanding that Sunshine State intends to remain an independent institution and there are no current plans for selling control of the Bank as a converted institution. To the extent that such factors can be foreseen, they have been factored into our analysis.

The estimated pro forma market value is defined as the price at which the Bank’s stock, immediately upon completion of the offering, would change hands between a willing buyer and a willing seller, neither being under any compulsion to buy or sell and both having reasonable knowledge of relevant facts.

Valuation Conclusion

It is our opinion that, as of February 21, 2014, the estimated aggregate pro forma market value and offering range of the shares to be issued immediately following the conversion equaled $32,000,000 at the midpoint, equal to 3,200,000 shares offered at a per share value of $10.00. Pursuant to conversion guidelines, the 15% offering range indicates a minimum value of $27,200,000 and a maximum value of $36,800,000. Based on the $10.00 per share offering price determined by the Board, this valuation range equates to total shares outstanding of 2,720,000 at the minimum and 3,680,000 at the maximum. In the event the appraised value is subject to an increase, the aggregate pro forma market value may be increased up to a supermaximum value of $42,320,000 without a resolicitation. Based on the $10.00 per share offering price, the supermaximum value would result in total shares outstanding of 4,232,000.

Limiting Factors and Considerations

The valuation is not intended, and must not be construed, as a recommendation of any kind as to the advisability of purchasing shares of the common stock. Moreover, because such valuation is determined in accordance with applicable regulatory guidelines and is necessarily based upon estimates and projections of a number of matters, all of which are subject to change from time to time, no assurance can be given that persons who purchase shares of common


Boards of Directors

February 21, 2014

Page 4

 

stock in the conversion will thereafter be able to buy or sell such shares at prices related to the foregoing valuation of the estimated pro forma market value thereof. The appraisal reflects only a valuation range as of this date for the pro forma market value of Sunshine State immediately upon issuance of the stock, and does not take into account any trading activity with respect to the purchase and sale of common stock in the secondary market on the date of issuance of such securities or at anytime thereafter following the completion of the public stock offering.

The valuation prepared by RP Financial, in accordance with applicable regulatory guidelines, was based on the financial condition and operations of Sunshine State as of December 31, 2013, the date of the financial data included in the prospectus.

RP Financial is not a seller of securities within the meaning of any federal and state securities laws and any report prepared by RP Financial shall not be used as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities. RP Financial maintains a policy which prohibits RP Financial, its principals or employees from purchasing stock of its financial institution clients.

The valuation will be updated as provided for in the conversion regulations and guidelines. These updates will consider, among other things, any developments or changes in the financial performance and condition of Sunshine State, management policies, and current conditions in the equity markets for thrift stocks, both existing issues and new issues. These updates may also consider changes in other external factors which impact value including, but not limited to: various changes in the federal and state legislative and regulatory environments for financial institutions, the stock market in general, the market for thrift stocks and interest rates. Should any such new developments or changes be material, in our opinion, to the valuation of the shares, appropriate adjustments to the estimated pro forma market value will be made. The reasons for any such adjustments will be explained in the update at the date of the release of the update.

 

Respectfully submitted,
RP® FINANCIAL, LC
LOGO
James P. Hennessey
Director


RP® Financial, LC.   

TABLE OF CONTENTS

i

 

TABLE OF CONTENTS

SUNSHINE BANCORP, INC.

SUNSHINE STATE BANK

Plant City, Florida

 

DESCRIPTION

   PAGE
NUMBER
 

CHAPTER ONE                        OVERVIEW AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

  

Introduction

     I.1   

Plan of Conversion

     I.2   

Use of Conversion Proceeds

     I.3   

Strategic Overview

     I.3   

Balance Sheet Trends

     I.8   

Income and Expense Trends

     I.14   

Interest Rate Risk Management

     I.19   

Lending Activities and Strategy

     I.20   

Asset Quality

     I.24   

Funding Composition and Strategy

     I.25   

Legal Proceedings

     I.26   

CHAPTER TWO                      MARKET AREA ANALYSIS

  

Introduction

     II.1   

National Economic Factors

     II.2   

Interest Rate Environment

     II.4   

Market Area Demographics

     II.4   

Regional Economy

     II.7   

Unemployment Trends

     II.9   

Real Estate Trends

     II.10   

Market Area Deposit Characteristics

     II.11   

Deposit Competition

     II.13   

CHAPTER THREE                  PEER GROUP ANALYSIS

  

Peer Group Selection

     III.1   

Financial Condition

     III.8   

Income and Expense Components

     III.12   

Loan Composition

     III.15   

Credit Risk

     III.17   

Interest Rate Risk

     III.19   

Summary

     III.21   

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

TABLE OF CONTENTS

ii

 

TABLE OF CONTENTS

SUNSHINE BANCORP, INC.

SUNSHINE STATE BANK

Plant City, Florida

(continued)

 

DESCRIPTION

        PAGE
NUMBER
 

CHAPTER FOUR                 VALUATION ANALYSIS

  

Introduction

     IV.1   

Appraisal Guidelines

     IV.1   

RP Financial Approach to the Valuation

     IV.1   

Valuation Analysis

     IV.2   

1.     Financial Condition

     IV.2   

2.     Profitability, Growth and Viability of Earnings

     IV.4   

3.     Asset Growth

     IV.6   

4.     Primary Market Area

     IV.6   

5.     Dividends

     IV.7   

6.     Liquidity of the Shares

     IV.8   

7.     Marketing of the Issue

     IV.8   

A.     The Public Market

     IV.9   

B.     The New Issue Market

     IV.12   

C.     The Acquisition Market

     IV.15   

8.     Management

     IV.16   

9.     Effect of Government Regulation and Regulatory Reform

     IV.16   

Summary of Adjustments

     IV.16   

Valuation Approaches

     IV.17   

1.     Price-to-Earnings (“P/E”)

     IV.18   

2.     Price-to-Book (“P/B”)

     IV.19   

3.     Price-to-Assets (“P/A”)

     IV.21   

Valuation Conclusion

     IV.21   

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

LIST OF TABLES

iii

 

LIST OF TABLES

SUNSHINE BANCORP, INC.

SUNSHINE STATE BANK

Plant City, Florida

 

TABLE
NUMBER

  

DESCRIPTION

   PAGE  

1.1

  

Historical Balance Sheets

     I.10   

1.2

  

Historical Income Statements

     I.15   

2.1

  

Summary Demographic/Economic Information

     II.6   

2.2

  

Major Employers in the Hillsborough County

     II.7   

2.3

  

Primary Market Area Employment Sectors

     II.9   

2.4

  

Market Area Unemployment Trends

     II.10   

2.5

  

Deposit Summary

     II.12   

2.6

  

Market Area Deposit Competitors

     II.14   

3.1

  

Peer Group of Publicly-Traded Thrifts

     III.4   

3.2

  

Balance Sheet Composition and Growth Rates

     III.9   

3.3

  

Income as a % of Average Assets and Yields, Costs, Spreads

     III.13   

3.4

  

Loan Portfolio Composition and Related Information

     III.16   

3.5

  

Credit Risk Measures and Related Information

     III.18   

3.6

  

Interest Rate Risk Measures and Net Interest Income Volatility

     III.20   

4.1

  

Recent Conversions Completed in Last Three Months

     IV.14   

4.2

  

Public Market Pricing Versus Peer Group

     IV.20   

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

OVERVIEW AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

I.1

 

I. OVERVIEW AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

Introduction

Sunshine State Federal Savings and Loan Association is a federally chartered mutual savings and loan association organized in 1954 under the name First Federal Savings and Loan Association, and has operated continuously in Plant City, Florida, and other nearby contiguous areas of Hillsborough County, Florida, since its founding. In 1975, First Federal Savings and Loan Association opened a branch office in Zephyrhills, expanding its footprint into Pasco County, Florida and it concurrently changed its name to Sunshine State Federal Savings and Loan Association. In connection with the completion of the conversion, the Association intends to change its name to Sunshine State Bank (hereinafter referred to as “Sunshine State” or the “Bank”). The Bank conducts business from its main office in Plant City, and a total of 4 branch offices, with the main office and 3 branches located in Hillsborough County and one branch located in Pasco County of Florida.

Plant City, Florida, is located in Hillsborough County in southwest Florida, approximately 30 miles east of Tampa in the I-4 corridor. The Bank’s branch banking locations are located in Hillsborough and Pasco Counties, in areas east and northeast of the downtown Tampa area. Lending operations have been focused over broader area but have generally been in Hillsborough and Pasco Counties. In January 2010, the Bank relocated its Zephyrhills office to a newly owned building complete with ATM and drive-in facilities. In addition, the Bank delivers its banking products and services and related information services through alternative delivery channels including the Internet, remote deposit capture and ATMs.

Pursuant to the conversion transaction (the “Conversion”), a new holding company will be formed called Sunshine Bancorp, Inc. (the “Company”), which will own all of the outstanding shares of common stock of the Bank. Hereinafter, unless otherwise noted, the discussion contained herein reflects the assets and liabilities of the Bank Sunshine Federal Savings and Loan Association, which will be consolidated into the Company as part of the standard mutual-to-stock conversion transaction, and the consolidated entity will be referred to as Sunshine State or the Bank, unless specifically indicated otherwise.

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

OVERVIEW AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

I.2

 

Sunshine State is a member of the Federal Home Loan Bank (“FHLB”) system and its deposits are insured up to the regulatory maximums by the Deposit Insurance Fund of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (“FDIC”). The Bank operates as a community-oriented financial institution offering traditional financial services to consumers and businesses in the regional market area, thereby attracting retail deposits from the general public and primarily using those funds to originate 1-4 family, commercial real estate, and commercial business loans to their customers, and invest in securities such as U.S. Government and agency securities. At December 31, 2013, the Bank had $194.4 million of total assets, $111.3 million in loans, $164.9 million of total deposits, and retained earnings of $26.6 million, equal to 13.7% of total assets. The Bank does not have any intangible assets. For the year ended December 31, 2013, the Bank reported net income equal to $141,000, or 0.07% of average assets. The Bank’s audited financial statements are included by reference as Exhibit I-1 and key operating ratios are shown in Exhibit I-2.

Plan of Conversion

On December 18, 2013, the Board of Directors of the Bank adopted a plan of conversion, incorporated herein by reference, in which the Bank will convert from a federally-chartered mutual savings association to a federally-chartered stock savings bank and become a wholly-owned subsidiary of Sunshine Bancorp, Inc. (“Bancorp” or the “Company”), a newly formed Maryland corporation. Bancorp will offer 100% of its common stock to qualifying depositors of Sunshine State in a subscription offering and, if necessary, to members of the general public through a community offering and/or a syndicated community offering. Going forward, Bancorp will own 100% of the Bank’s stock, and the Bank will initially be Bancorp’s sole subsidiary. A portion of the net proceeds received from the sale of common stock will be used to purchase all of the then to be issued and outstanding capital stock of the Bank and the balance of the net proceeds will be retained by the Bank.

At this time, no other activities are contemplated for the Company other than the ownership of the Bank, extending a loan to the newly-formed employee stock ownership plan (the “ESOP”) and reinvestment of the proceeds that are retained by the Bank. In the future, the Bank may acquire or organize other operating subsidiaries, diversify into other banking-related activities, pay dividends or repurchase its stock, although there are no specific plans to undertake such activities at the present time.

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

OVERVIEW AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

I.3

 

Use of Conversion Proceeds

Management has indicated that both the increased capital from the Conversion as well as being in the stock form of organization will facilitate the Bank’s compliance with its capital requirements as required by regulations. Over the longer term, the capital will facilitate the Bank’s ability to expand the balance sheet and achieve other key corporate objectives. The projected uses of proceeds from the Conversion are highlighted below.

 

    Sunshine Bancorp, Inc. The Bank is expected to retain up to 50% of the net offering proceeds. The Bank intends to fund a loan to the ESOP, with 8% of proceeds, to purchase shares of the common stock in the stock offering. The funds may also be utilized for various corporate purposes, including investments in short-term and other securities, payment of cash dividends, and repurchases of common stock.

 

    Sunshine State Bank. The Bank is expected to receive a capital contribution equal to at least 50% of the net proceeds of the offering. Cash proceeds infused into the Bank are anticipated to become part of general operating funds, and may be utilized for various corporate purposes, including funding new commercial real estate and commercial business loans, enhancing existing products and services, investing in U.S. treasuries and agency securities, and expanding its retail banking franchise.

Initially, a substantial portion of the net proceeds at both the Bank and Bancorp levels will be invested in securities issued by U.S. Government agencies, U.S. treasuries and obligations issued by U.S. Government agencies and U.S. Government-sponsored enterprises generally consistent with the Bank’s historical investment securities portfolio composition. Over the longer term, the Bank will seek to undertake loan and deposit growth and other strategies to leverage the newly-raised capital and enhance Sunshine State’s long term earnings potential and shareholder returns.

Strategic Overview

Throughout much of the Bank’s corporate history, Sunshine State’s strategic focus has been that of a community-oriented financial institution with a primary focus on meeting the borrowing, savings, and other financial needs of its local customers in Hillsborough and Pasco Counties, where the Bank maintains branch offices. The Bank has historically pursued a traditional thrift business model pursuant to which Sunshine State has emphasized the origination of 1-4 family first mortgage loans for portfolio, as well as commercial real estate and commercial business loans, for portfolio investment. The Bank has funded its investment activities principally by retail deposits generated through the branch network. The Bank has sought to emphasize high quality and flexible service, capitalizing on its local orientation, competitive rates, and safety and soundness.

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

OVERVIEW AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

I.4

 

For the 30 year period from its chartering into the early 1980s, the Bank pursued a portfolio residential lending strategy typical of a thrift institution, with a moderate level of diversification into commercial real estate and commercial business lending. However, beginning in the early 1980s, the Bank commenced a gradual evolution of its strategy designed to stabilize its earnings through a variety of interest rate and economic environments, while simultaneously enhancing Sunshine State’s earnings potential. From a funding perspective, the Bank focused on increasing the balance of low-cost interest-bearing and non-interest bearing checking accounts through a variety of marketing initiatives. From a lending perspective, the Bank sought to expand the commercial loan portfolio both through mortgage and non-mortgage lending.

Importantly, the emphasis on commercial lending coupled with various market factors have resulted in a gradual shift in the loan portfolio mix, particularly since fiscal 2009. In this regard, residential mortgage loans have been diminishing, both in terms of the outstanding dollar balance and in proportion to the total loan portfolio. While historically low market interest rates have fostered demand for long term fixed rate loan, the Bank has been unwilling to originate longer term fixed rate loans at the prevailing market rate owing to interest rate risk considerations. While the commercial loan balances have also declined since 2009, the reduction reflects the limited demand for commercial loans by commercial borrowers with strong credit characteristics that the Bank seeks to serve.

The financial crisis and subsequent national recession, which significantly affected the Bank’s market, also impacted Sunshine State’s loan portfolio in several ways. First, demand for Sunshine State’s commercial loan products was significantly curtailed and the Bank became more vigilant in its commercial loan underwriting. Moreover, a portion of the Bank’s 1-4 family mortgages were “underwater” as the underlying collateral values of the homes were depressed to levels below the outstanding loan balance. This latter factor coupled with local job losses and increasing rates of unemployment resulted in increasing loan delinquency rates, foreclosures and loan chargeoffs. As a result, while the Bank has historically maintained strong credit quality ratios, the level of non-performing assets (“NPAs”) have increased from 0.60% of assets as of the end of fiscal 2007, to a fiscal year end peak level of 3.14% of assets as of December 31, 2012, excluding performing troubled debt restructurings (“TDRs”). The adverse asset quality

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

OVERVIEW AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

I.5

 

trends have also impacted the Bank’s operating condition as a result of increasing levels of loan loss provisions. Moreover, diminishing loan balances have led to spread compression for Sunshine State. These factors together have limited Sunshine State’s profitability and the Bank reported net losses in fiscal 2009, 2010 and 2012, while modest positive earnings were reported in fiscal 2011 and 2013.

Going forward, following a comprehensive evaluation of the 1-4 family mortgage product line, including an evaluation of the interest rate risk inherent in fixed rate residential mortgage lending for portfolio, as well as other considerations related to the local market and asset quality, the Bank has substantially ceased originating 1-4 family residential mortgage loans for portfolio, electing to focus on increasing the originations of commercial real estate and commercial business loans. In lieu of the prior portfolio lending strategy, beginning in the fourth quarter of 2013, Sunshine State commenced utilizing the services of an unaffiliated mortgage banking company to underwrite and fund one- to four-family residential mortgage loans. Through this third party relationship, which will be more fully described in a section to follow, the Bank is able to offer a full line of competitively priced residential mortgage products to its customers while simultaneously generating non-interest fee income and also limiting the interest rate risk exposure of holding long term fixed rate mortgage loans.

While retrenching from fixed rate residential mortgage lending, the Bank has simultaneously determined to gradually restructure the loan portfolio to include a greater proportion of commercial loans. Sunshine State’s objective is to provide a more diverse array of loan products to facilitate growth and the Bank’s ability to compete, especially in view of the apparent credit and interest rate risk of fixed rate residential mortgage lending in comparison to the yields available on such loans. Moreover, commercial mortgage and business loans frequently have larger balances, as well as shorter repricing terms, in comparison to the fixed rate mortgage loans that comprise the majority of the loan portfolio.

The Bank began its commercial lending practice in the early 1980s, and Sunshine State has continued to emphasize commercial loan originations in recent years though the portfolio balances have been diminishing as weak market demand has limited the overall origination volume. In the future, the Bank’s intent will be to expand the commercial loan portfolio, including both the commercial mortgage and non-mortgage portfolios. The Bank’s expectation will be to generate growth on an organic basis from existing customers, and potentially new customers, as the Bank’s loan officers and staff intensify their efforts to build broad-based

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

OVERVIEW AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

I.6

 

commercial loan and deposit relationships. Management has indicated that its success in this regard may likely be contingent upon continued improvements in the local economy which would be supportive of increasing commercial loan demand.

The Bank focuses its commercial lending on small business located in the local market area, such as farming and agricultural businesses, schools and church services, while targeting owner occupied business, such as professional and medical service providers. Commercial business loans also include equipment financing, automobile term loans, and working capital lines of credit. The Bank believes it has the experience and expertise to expand the commercial loan portfolio, and is expected to employ additional commercial lending expertise in the near future, to increase market penetration within existing markets and expand lending presence into new adjacent markets. Important from a valuation perspective, the Bank’s business plan to expand the commercial loan portfolio may enhance Sunshine State’s earnings over the long term, but management has indicated that realization of its commercial lending goals will be dependent upon improving market conditions to support loan demand, as well as management’s ability to attract and retain skilled and motivated loan originators. At the same time, the expanded commercial lending may increase Sunshine State’s credit risk exposure

The Bank’s cash, liquidity and securities portfolios consist of interest-earning time deposits with other banks, as well as intermediate-to long-term investment securities. All of the Bank’s investment securities are currently classified as held to maturity (“HTM”), in order to avoid the impact on capital of the erratic swings related to changing market values. The investment portfolio includes securities issued by U.S. Government agencies, U.S. treasuries and obligations issued by U.S. Government agencies and U.S. Government-sponsored enterprises.

Retail deposits have consistently served as the primary interest-bearing funding source. The Bank began offering deposit checking accounts in the early 1980s, and has continuously sought to increase the deposit base through competitive pricing and periodic promotions. Due to their lower cost of funds, core deposits have always been the focus of the Company. Low-cost transaction deposit accounts are generally less sensitive to withdrawal during interest rate fluctuations, and also provide the opportunity for deposit-related fee income generation. Going forward, the Bank’s strategy is to attract and retain core deposits, including growing demand and checking accounts, primarily by offering competitive rates, implementing marketing programs, and providing a high level of service. The Bank’s strategy also focuses on increasing

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

OVERVIEW AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

I.7

 

penetration of the Bank’s deposits further into its existing markets, with an emphasis on growing the Zephyrhills branch market in Pasco County. In addition, the Bank intends to expand its commercial deposit base in the future, through further development of broad-based banking relationships and cross-selling of products, especially as it expands its commercial real estate and commercial business lending activities.

Although the Bank has access to Federal Home Loan Bank advances as well as lines of credit at two financial institutions, the Bank does not utilize borrowings as a supplemental funding source, and has no quantified intention to undertake borrowings or debt in the near future.

The post-Offering business plan of the Bank reflects the intent to continue to offer the products and services which have been the Bank’s emphasis in recent years. In addition, Sunshine State expects to eliminate residential mortgage loans as a portfolio investment product, while expanding commercial mortgage and commercial business lending over time. The increased capital from the Offering is expected to facilitate additional balance sheet growth and enhanced profitability, as well as increase the Bank’s competitive posture and financial strength. In terms of specific strategies, the Bank plans to undertake the following key elements of its business plan on a post-Offering basis:

 

    Expand commercial real estate and commercial business lending. The Bank will utilize the expertise of its in-house loan officers to expand commercial real estate and commercial business lending, in order to increase its loan portfolio yield and reduce the term to repricing. Over the near term, the Bank will seek to accomplish its commercial lending objectives with in-house staff. The expansion in this area of lending is in an attempt to diversify the loan portfolio, improve interest rate risk exposure, and increase the Bank’s presence in the local market area. The commercial lending will be focused on small businesses and owner occupied real estate located in the market area. The additional capital raised in the offering will further increase the Bank’s commercial lending capacity by enabling large number of loan originations and large loan portfolio balances.

 

    Increase non-interest income through the closing of 1-4 family residential real estate loans with a mortgage banking company. The Bank has largely ceased originating 1-4 family residential mortgage loans for portfolio, and expects the remaining legacy portfolio to diminish over time through amortization and prepayments. In order to maintain a full product line, Sunshine State continues to offer 1-4 family mortgage loans through a correspondent relationship it has developed with an unaffiliated mortgage banking company. These loans are funded by the mortgage banking company, while the loan applications are reviewed and prepared by Sunshine State’s current lending staff. The Bank intends to source borrowers from small businesses and homeowners in the local market, and will earn a referral fee in the range of 2% to 3% of the loan balance per loan closed, which will bolster the level of non-interest fee income in future periods.

 


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OVERVIEW AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

I.8

 

    Minimize exposure to risk factors. Sunshine State has traditionally maintained strong credit quality. Although asset quality deteriorated and Sunshine State experienced loan losses and chargeoffs in 2009 and 2010, asset quality has subsequently improved and the Bank will seek to maintain strong asset quality in the future. At the same time, the expanded commercial lending may result in incremental credit risk exposure for Sunshine State if the commercial portfolio balance were to increase significantly. Likewise, Sunshine State is conscious of its potential interest rate risk exposure and has thus been reluctant to fund longer term fixed rate loans in a market environment where long term interest rates are at or near their historical lows.

 

    Continue to attract low-cost transaction account deposits. Sunshine State will continue to focus on offering demand deposits, savings and money market accounts, which generally are lower cost sources of funds than certificates of deposit. The Bank will continue to concentrate on increasing the core deposit base of savings and transaction accounts, by continuing existing and/or implementing new marketing and promotional programs, emphasizing high quality service, continuing to offer online and mobile services to current and prospective customers, as well as broadening business banking relationships with commercial real estate and commercial business lending customers.

 

    Expand the banking franchise. While currently operating from five retail banking offices, Sunshine State will seek to undertake balance sheet growth in order to be more competitive, grow the Bank’s earnings capacity and to realize economies of scale. In this regard, Sunshine State will seek to develop broad-based commercial and consumer deposit and loan relationships in the future. Additionally, the Bank may consider potential mergers or acquisitions of either branches or whole institutions, and believes that its status as a full stock company will facilitate these efforts. Generally, Sunshine State would seek to expand its presence in Hillsborough and Pasco Counties, Florida, including adjacent counties.

Balance Sheet Growth Trends

Table 1.1 shows the Bank’s historical balance sheet data for the most recent five fiscal years ended December 31, 2013. Over this period, assets fluctuated in a narrow range from a low of $194.0 million as of December 31, 2012 to a high of $198.1 million as of December 31, 2010, and equaled $194.4 million as of the fiscal 2013 year end. The limited growth is the result of several factors including slack demand for commercial loans in the Bank’s local market, and the Bank’s reluctance to offer highly competitive rates on 1-4 family residential mortgage loans at a point in time when long term interest rates were diminishing to historically low levels. As a result of the limited investment opportunities, Sunshine State sought to restrain deposit growth since fiscal 2009, through less competitive deposit pricing.

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

OVERVIEW AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

I.9

 

Since December 31, 2009, the Bank’s 1-4 family mortgages have decreased from $84.3 million to $60.0 million, as of December 31, 2013, or at a 8.5% annual pace. The commercial (both mortgage and non-mortgage) and multi-family mortgage loan portfolios have diminished from $65.4 million to $44.6 million, over the corresponding timeframe, equivalent to a 9.1% annual pace. Overall, the loan portfolio has declined from $161.0 million as of December 31, 2009, to $111.3 million as of December 31, 2013, which reflects an 8.8% annual reduction.

The Bank’s cash and cash equivalents balances fluctuated based on changing liquidity balances including loan repayments. In view of the loan portfolio shrinkage experienced throughout the past five years, the Bank redeployed excess liquidity and investable funds into time deposits with banks and investment securities, which primarily included government and agency securities. Commencing in fiscal 2011, the Bank invested in CDs issued by other financial institutions, which increased to $9.5 million (4.9% of assets) as of December 31, 2013. However, the largest component of growth was in the investment securities portfolio, which increased at a 62.0% annual rate since the end of 2009, to equal $48.4 million as of December 31, 2013. All securities are held to maturity, in order to avoid the impact on GAAP capital of the erratic swings in market valuations of bonds.

The Bank’s assets are funded through deposits and retained earnings. Deposits have historically comprised the majority of funding liabilities, and have decreased at an annual rate of 0.4% since the end of fiscal 2009, reflecting the limited need for funds in view of the shrinkage realized in the loan portfolio. Consistent with the Bank’s strategy to focus on building core deposits, the Bank’s deposit mix has shifted as higher costing certificates of deposit have decreased at an annual rate of 7.8% from 2009 to 2013. Comparatively, core deposit accounts including savings and transaction accounts have realized modest growth over the past five fiscal years. Sunshine State’s equity balance is substantially unchanged since the end of fiscal 2009, reflecting the near breakeven level of earnings since fiscal 2010. More specifically, while equity decreased 2009 and 2010, due to the net losses experienced by the Bank, such losses have been offset by Sunshine State’s profitable operations in subsequent periods. As of December 31, 2013, Sunshine State’s capital base equaled $26.6 million, or 13.7% of total assets. Going forward, equity will be increased with the completion of the Conversion. The post-offering equity growth rate will largely be a function of the Bank’s ability to continue to improve asset quality and realize growth in the loan portfolio reversing the shrinking trend for loans in place since fiscal 2009.

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

OVERVIEW AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

I.10

 

Table 1.1

Sunshine State Federal Savings & Loan Association

Historical Balance Sheet Data

 

    As of the Fiscal Year Ended December 31,    

12/31/09-
12/31/13
Annual

 
    2009     2010     2011     2012     2013     Growth Rate  
    Amount     Pct(1)     Amount     Pct(1)     Amount     Pct(1)     Amount     Pct(1)     Amount     Pct(1)     Pct  
    ($000)     (%)     ($000)     (%)     ($000)     (%)     ($000)     (%)     ($000)     (%)     (%)  

Total Amount of:

                     

Assets

  $ 196,825        100.00   $ 198,081        100.00   $ 198,243        100.00   $ 194,047        100.00   $ 194,439        100.00     -0.30

Loans receivable, net

    160,955        81.78     137,561        69.45     125,772        63.44     114,038        58.77     111,263        57.22     -8.82

Cash and cash equivalents

    15,040        7.64     23,834        12.03     24,223        12.22     12,301        6.34     11,054        5.69     -7.41

Time Deposits with Banks

    —          0.00     0        0.00     7,105        3.58     9,038        4.66     9,528        4.90     NA   

Investment securities (HTM)

    7,042        3.58     21,164        10.68     25,331        12.78     44,701        23.04     48,436        24.91     61.95

FHLB stock

    580        0.29     518        0.26     365        0.18     302        0.16     237        0.12     -20.05

Bank-owned life insurance

    2,413        1.23     2,495        1.26     3,841        1.94     3,967        2.04     4,089        2.10     14.09

Real estate owned

    155        0.08     2,898        1.46     2,434        1.23     990        0.51     1,422        0.73     74.04

Premises and Equipment

    6,770        3.44     6,752        3.41     6,505        3.28     6,114        3.15     6,150        3.16     -2.37

Deferred Income Taxes

    993        0.50     1,180        0.60     1,301        0.66     1,369        0.71     1,290        0.66     6.76

Deposits

    167,466        85.08     169,481        85.56     168,372        84.93     164,222        84.63     164,919        84.82     -0.38

Borrowings

    0        0.00     0        0.00     0        0.00     0        0.00     0        0.00     NA   

Retained Earnings

    26,235        13.33     25,902        13.08     26,448        13.34     26,411        13.61     26,552        13.66     0.30

Loans/deposits

      96.11       81.17       74.70       69.44       67.47  

Banking offices

    5          5          5          5          5       

 

(1) Ratios are as a percent of ending assets.

Sources: Sunshine State’s audited financial reports.

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

OVERVIEW AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

I.11

 

Loans Receivable

Loans receivable totaled $111.3 million, or 57.2% of total assets, as of December 31, 2013, and reflects an 8.8% annual decrease since the end of fiscal 2009. Over this period, the Bank’s loan portfolio declined from a high of $161.0 million in fiscal 2009 to a low of $111.3 million as of December 31, 2013. As noted previously, the Bank experienced a declining loan balance over the past five years, as commercial loan demand has been suppressed in the recessionary economic environment, while Sunshine State was not competitive in 1-4 family mortgage lending from an interest rate perspective owing to the interest rate risk management considerations.

Sunshine State’s lending strategy has historically reflected a high concentration of 1-4 family first mortgage loans, the majority of which have been fixed-rate loans. The ratio of 1-4 family first mortgage loans to total loans has consistently been above 50% of total loans. The Bank has also traditionally been a portfolio mortgage lender and has not been active in the secondary market.

As described in the Strategic Discussion, the Bank has largely ceased originating 1-4 family residential mortgage loans for portfolio and expects the remaining legacy portfolio to diminish over time. In order to maintain a full product line, Sunshine State continues to offer 1-4 family mortgage loans through a correspondent relationship it has developed with an unaffiliated mortgage banking company. Accordingly, Sunshine State will seek to increase its focus on commercial real estate and commercial business loans, which are generally secured by small businesses in the local market.

At December 31, 2013, 1-4 family mortgages equaled $59.2 million, or 52.2% of total loans. At the same time, commercial real estate loans and commercial business loans equaled $23.9 million and $17.4 million respectively, or 21.1% and 15.3% of total loans. Since fiscal year end 2009, the Bank has experienced shrinkage in all segments of its loan portfolio, especially in 1-4 family and commercial real estate loans, which declined at annual rates of 8.5% and 11.7%, respectively. Comparatively, multi-family and commercial business loans have exhibited comparatively smaller declines over the last five years, decreasing at 4.2% and 5.8% annual rates, respectively. Overall, the Bank’s mortgage lending emphasis is evidenced by the fact that 82.7% of the loan portfolio is secured by mortgage loans (including construction loans) as of December 31, 2013. Conversely, non-mortgage consumer loans and commercial business loans only comprised 17.3% of the loan portfolio.

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

OVERVIEW AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

I.12

 

Cash and Investments

The intent of the Bank’s investment policy is to provide adequate liquidity, to generate a favorable return on excess investable funds, and to support the established credit and interest rate risk objectives. The ratio of cash and investments (including time deposits with banks) has increased significantly from 11.5% of assets at the end of fiscal 2009 to 35.6% as of December 31, 2013. The increase in the cash and investment portfolio in proportion to total assets is primarily attributable to the redeployment of funds into investment securities during the period of loan portfolio shrinkage.

Cash and cash equivalents, which consisted of cash and due from banks, interest-bearing deposits with banks, and federal funds sold, equaled $11.1 million, or 5.7% of total assets, as of December 31, 2013. At the same date, investment securities, including U.S. Treasury securities, FHLB bonds, and U.S. government enterprise and agency bonds, equaled $48.4 million, or 24.9% of total assets (see Exhibit I-3 for the investment portfolio composition). All of the Bank’s investment securities are classified as held-to-maturity (“HTM”), and are recorded at amortized cost, and have maturities less than five years, as Sunshine State has sought to minimize its interest rate risk exposure. Additionally, the Bank has time deposits with banks and an investment in FHLB of Atlanta stock, which equaled $9.5 million and $0.2 million, or 4.9% and 0.1% of assets, respectively, as of December 31, 2013.

No major changes to the composition and practices with respect to the management of the investment portfolio are anticipated over the near term, except that the level of cash and investments is anticipated to increase initially following the Conversion. As mentioned previously, the Bank intends to invest a substantial portion of the net proceeds of the Conversion in securities that are consistent with the current investment policy. Over the longer term, the Bank will seek to redeploy funds from investments into higher yielding whole loans.

Bank-Owned Life Insurance

As of December 31, 2013, bank-owned life insurance (“BOLI”) totaled $4.1 million, or 2.1% of assets. BOLI has increased at an annual rate of 14.1% since the end of fiscal 2009, owing to the Bank’s additional purchases of BOLI and the increases in the cash surrender value of the policies.

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

OVERVIEW AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

I.13

 

Funding Structure

Since fiscal year end 2009, deposits have declined at a 0.4% annual rate, which was consistent with the asset shrinkage over the past five years. While the total deposit balance remained somewhat stable despite year-to-year fluctuations, the composition has changed modestly as the Bank strived to increase savings and transaction accounts and reduce reliance on time deposits. The decrease in CDs resulted primarily from management’s decision to not match competitors’ higher rates in order to reduce interest expense, as well as customers’ preference of short-term flexibility of non-certificate accounts in the current low interest rate environment. The Bank’s current strategy has been to emphasize low-cost transaction account deposits, which include NOW, savings and money market accounts.

As a result of the foregoing, the proportion of CDs to total deposits has gradually decreased from 36.6% to 26.8% from December 31, 2009 through December 31, 2013, reflecting a declining balance from $61.3 million to $44.2 million. At the same time, the balances of checking, savings and money market accounts experienced growth from 2009 to 2013, with non-interest-bearing and savings accounts reporting the largest annual growth rates of 14.1% and 6.1%, respectively. As of December 31, 2013, the Bank’s core deposits consisted of non-interest-bearing accounts (17.7% of total deposits compared to 10.3% in 2009), NOW accounts (18.3% of deposits compared to 20.5% in 2009), money market accounts (21.6% of deposits compared to 20.5% in 2009), and savings accounts (15.6% of deposits compared to 12.1% in 2009). Over the last twelve months, the Bank’s core deposits increased by $5.0 million, or 4.4%, both as a result of typical variations in customer liquidity and their related deposit balances and the gradually improving economic conditions for businesses in its market area.

In the future, the Bank’s strategy is to continue to attract transaction account deposits, as they provide a lower cost source of funds in comparison to CDs, and also provide the opportunity for generation of deposit-related fee income. In addition, the Bank intends to increase its commercial deposits, such as farming and agriculture related money market business accounts, by broadening its banking relationships with lending customers, as it expands it commercial real estate and commercial business lending activities.

Although the Bank has access to Federal Home Loan Bank of Atlanta advances as well as lines of credit at two financial institutions, it has not utilized borrowed funds over the last five fiscal years.

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

OVERVIEW AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

I.14

 

Equity

Retained earnings totaled $26.6 million, equal to 13.7% of assets, as of December 31, 2013. As noted previously, Sunshine State’s capital base has realized little change reflecting the near breakeven level of operating returns on average over the last five fiscal years. The offering proceeds from the conversion will substantially enhance Sunshine State’s already strong level of capitalization on a pre-conversion basis.

At December 31, 2013, the Bank’s core capital equaled $25.4 million, or 13.1% of adjusted total assets, which is above the level of 5.0% which is the statutorily defined minimum level to be well-capitalized. The disparity between the Bank’s reported GAAP capital balance and the Tier 1 capital level is attributable to disallowed deferred tax assets equal to $1.2 million.

Income and Expense Trends

Table 1.2 shows the Bank’s historical income statements for the past five fiscal years ended December 31, 2013. Over this timeframe, the Bank has reported operating losses in the aggregate and posted modest earnings in only fiscal 2011 and 2013. In this regard, losses in fiscal 2009 and 2010 were primarily the result of high loan loss provisions attributable to an increase in NPAs experienced from 2008 to 2011. Notwithstanding subsequent improvement in Sunshine State’s asset quality, the Bank has operated with weak earnings over the fiscal 2011 to fiscal 2013 timeframe as the Bank realized spread compression as the loan portfolio shrank and the cost of deposits have bottomed out, which has adversely affected Sunshine State’s core earnings capacity.

Overall, net income ranged from a high of $0.5 million (0.27% of average assets) in fiscal 2011 to a low of a loss of $1.5 million (-0.78% of average assets) in fiscal 2009. Net income equaled $141,000 (0.07% of average assets) for the year ended December 31, 2013. Sunshine State’s core earnings, i.e., net income excluding net non-operating items on a tax effected basis, reflects a similar trend, as non-operating income and expenses have represented a limited factor in Sunshine State’s operations.

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

OVERVIEW AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

I.15

 

Table 1.2

Sunshine State Federal Savings & Loan Association

Historical Income Statements

 

    As of the Fiscal Year Ended December 31,  
    2009     2010     2011     2012     2013  
    Amount     Pct(1)     Amount     Pct(1)     Amount     Pct(1)     Amount     Pct(1)     Amount     Pct(1)  
    ($000)     (%)     ($000)     (%)     ($000)     (%)     ($000)     (%)     ($000)     (%)  

Interest income

  $ 9,647        4.96   $ 8,516        4.09   $ 7,845        3.88   $ 6,605        3.57   $ 6,095        3.03

Interest expense

    (2,402     -1.24     (1,782     -0.86     (996     -0.49     (560     -0.30     (374     -0.19
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net interest income

  $ 7,245        3.73   $ 6,734        3.24   $ 6,849        3.39   $ 6,045        3.27   $ 5,721        2.84

Provision for loan losses

    (3,473     -1.79     (1,544     -0.74     (153     -0.08     0        0.00     0        0.00
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net interest income after provisions

  $ 3,772        1.94   $ 5,190        2.49   $ 6,696        3.31   $ 6,045        3.27   $ 5,721        2.84

Other operating income

  $ 1,163        0.60   $ 1,222        0.59   $ 1,138        0.56   $ 891        0.48   $ 927        0.46

Operating expense

    (7,437     -3.82     (7,022     -3.37     (6,931     -3.43     (7,001     -3.78     (6,405     -3.18
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net operating income

  $ (2,502     -1.29   $ (610     -0.29   $ 903        0.45   $ (65     -0.04   $ 243        0.12

Net gain/(loss) on sale of OREO

  $ 86        0.04   $ 93        0.04   $ (12     -0.01   $ 6        0.00   $ 3        0.00

Net income before tax

  $ (2,416     -1.24   $ (517     -0.25   $ 891        0.44   $ (59     -0.03   $ 246        0.12

Income taxes

    899        0.46     184        0.09     (345     -0.17     22        0.01     (105     -0.05
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net income (loss)

  $ (1,517     -0.78   $ (333     -0.16   $ 546        0.27   $ (37     -0.02   $ 141        0.07

Estimated Core Net Income

                   

Net income

  $ (1,517     -0.78   $ (333     -0.16   $ 546        0.27   $ (37     -0.02   $ 141        0.07

Add back/(deduct): Non-recurring (income)/expense

    (86     -0.04     (93     -0.04     12        0.01     (6     0.00     (3     0.00

Tax effect (2)

    34        0.02     37        0.02     (5     0.00     2        0.00     1        0.00
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Estimated core net income

  $ (1,569     -0.81   $ (389     -0.19   $ 553        0.27   $ (41     -0.02   $ 139        0.07

Memo:

                   

Efficiency ratio (3)

    88.45       88.26       86.78       100.94       96.34  

Effective tax rate

    NA          NA          38.72       NA          42.68  

Return on average equity

    -5.53       -1.27       2.09       -0.14       0.53  

 

(1) Ratios are as a percent of average assets.
(2) Assumes a marginal tax rate of 40%.
(3) Efficiency ratio calculated as operating expenses divided by the sum of net interest income before provisions for loan losses plus other income (excluding net gains).

Sources: Sunshine State’s audited financial reports.

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

OVERVIEW AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

I.16

 

Net Interest Income

Over the period from fiscal 2009 to fiscal 2013, net interest income trended downward, decreasing both in terms of the dollar amount and as a percentage of average assets. Specifically, net interest income diminished from a high of $7.2 million, or 3.73% of average assets in 2009, to a low of $5.7 million, or 2.84% of average assets, during fiscal 2013. As noted above, Sunshine State’s net interest income has been declining owing in part to spread compression, as asset yields have diminished more rapidly than funding costs. In this regard, interest income has reduced over the last five fiscal years reflecting the impact of declining asset yields, which resulted from lower loan yields and declining loan balances. Additionally, while Sunshine State has benefited from declining funding costs, the reduction in funding costs has recently slowed as the overall cost of funds reached near zero levels (i.e., 0.28% in the most recent fiscal year). The Bank’s decreasing yield-cost spread was a significant factor leading to the decrease in net interest income, as Sunshine State’s spreads decreased from 3.58% in fiscal 2012 to 3.11% in fiscal 2013 (see Exhibit I-4).

Several factors may impact the Bank’s future spreads and net interest income. First, the benefit of declining funding costs appears to have ceased as the overall cost of funds equaled 0.28% for the year ended December 31, 2013, and the potential for further improvement is limited. At the same time, Sunshine State’s intensified focus on expanding the commercial real estate and business loan portfolios may result in enhanced yields and overall earnings although the earnings benefit, to the extent targeted growth in those loan portfolios can be achieved will necessarily be gradual. Lastly, the completion of the Conversion will have a dual benefit of providing Sunshine State with additional interest-free funds to reinvest, while over the longer term, the Bank has indicated the intent to use the additional capital to support balance sheet and loan growth, including expansion of interest-earning assets at a positive spread.

Loan Loss Provisions

Over the past five years, loan loss provisions have decreased from a high of $3.5 million, or 1.79% of average assets in 2009, to a zero level in fiscal 2012 and 2013. The reduction in loan loss provisions has been the result of diminishing NPAs and loan chargeoffs, as well as the shrinking loan portfolio and modest level of loan originations which has diminished the need for allowances for loan and lease losses (“ALLL”) pursuant to the Bank’s policies and procedures.

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

OVERVIEW AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

I.17

 

Going forward, the Bank will continue to evaluate the adequacy of the level of allowance for loan losses on a regular basis, and establish additional loan loss provisions in accordance with the Bank’s asset classification and loss reserve policies. Exhibit I-5 sets forth the Bank’s loan loss allowance activity during the review period.

Non-Interest Income

Over the period shown in Table 1.2, non-interest operating income has diminished modestly, from $1.2 million (0.60% of average assets) in fiscal 2009, to $927,000 (0.46% of average assets) for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2013. Sources of non-interest operating income consist substantially of fees and service charges generated from deposit accounts, income from BOLI investments, and fees and charges on loans. Going forward, the Bank will be seeking to increase the level of non-interest income by taking residential mortgage loan applications and having such loans originated and sold by a third party mortgage banking company. Given the Bank’s limited track record with the program, it is uncertain as to the amount and timing of revenues which may be generated from this new line of business.

Operating Expenses

The Bank’s operating expenses have fluctuated in a relatively narrow range from fiscal 2009 through fiscal 2012, but diminished modestly in the most recent fiscal year as other real estate owned (“OREO”) expenses declined and as cost cutting initiatives took effect in fiscal 2013. Specifically, operating expenses decreased, from $7.4 million, or 3.82% of average assets, in fiscal 2009 to equal $6.4 million, or 3.18% of average assets, during the year ended December 31, 2013.

The Bank’s operating costs over the last five fiscal years have been impacted by Sunshine State’s relatively high level of NPAs and the related workout costs. Importantly, such costs have been diminishing in recent periods concurrent with the Bank’s improving asset quality. Additionally, in view of the earnings pressures resulting in part from the diminishing loan balances and subsequent spread compression, the Bank has undertaken several cost cutting initiatives including the reduction of salaries and employee benefits, education expenses for officers and directors, office occupancy and equipment expenses, as well as advertising and public relations expenses. As a result of both these factors, Sunshine State’s operating expenses declined by $596,000 in fiscal 2013 relative to the levels reported in fiscal 2012.

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

OVERVIEW AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

I.18

 

Operating expenses are expected to increase on a post-Offering basis, as a result of the additional expenses of the stock-related benefit plans and increased salary and benefits from the additional lending staff. At the same time, Sunshine State will seek to offset anticipated growth in expenses from a profitability standpoint through balance sheet growth, and by reinvestment of the Offering proceeds into investment securities over the near term and into loans over the longer term.

Non-Operating Income/Expense

Non-operating income and expenses have typically had a minimal impact on earnings since fiscal 2009. The Bank reported minimal non-operating income resulting from net gains on the sale of OREO, equaled $3,000, or 0.00% of average assets, for the year ended December 31, 2013. Likewise, net non-operating income and expense were at modest levels in the fiscal 2009 to the fiscal 2013 period.

Taxes

Due to the Bank’s pre-tax net losses experienced in fiscal years 2009, 2010 and 2012, the Bank reported income tax benefits. After its return to profitability during fiscal 2013, the Bank’s effective tax rate equaled to 42.7% for the year ended December 31, 2013. The Bank is fully taxable with regard to state and federal corporate income taxes, pursuant to its GAAP financial reporting.

As of December 31, 2013, the Bank’s deferred tax asset totaled $2.0 million, with deferred tax liabilities of $0.7 million, resulting in a net deferred tax asset equal to $1.3 million. For regulatory capital purposes, the net deferred tax asset balance is excluded from Tier 1 capital. As of December 31, 2013, the Bank has net operating loss carryforwards (“NOLs”) of approximately $323,000 available to offset future Florida taxable income but no NOLs for federal corporate tax purposes.

Efficiency Ratio

The Bank’s efficiency ratio decreased over the last year, largely owing to the reduction of operating expenses, as well as a slight increase in non-interest income, and was realized notwithstanding the ongoing erosion of the net interest margin. Specifically, the efficiency ratio diminished from 88.5% in fiscal 2009 to 86.8% in fiscal 2011, and subsequently increased to 100.9% in 2012, before decreasing to 96.3% for the year ended December 31,

 


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2013. On a post-offering basis, the efficiency ratio may show some improvement from the benefit of reinvesting the proceeds from the Offering. However, a portion of the benefit is expected to be offset by the increased expense of the stock benefit plans.

Interest Rate Risk Management

The primary aspects of the Bank’s interest rate risk management include:

 

    Originating commercial real estate and commercial business loans, which tend to have relatively shorter terms and typically have relatively favorable spreads to the Bank cost of funds;

 

    Building a large base of savings and transaction accounts which have relatively low interest costs and generate non-interest fee income by focusing on developing broad-based customer account relationships;

 

    Retrenching from 1-4 family mortgage lending for portfolio where customer demand is primarily focused on long term fixed rate loans while continuing to offer such loans through a third party mortgage banking company in order to generate non-interest fee income;

 

    Reducing dependence on certificates of deposit to support lending and investment activity; and

 

    Utilizing a short-to-medium term investment portfolio which more closely matches the duration of funding liabilities, with the entire investment portfolio with maturities of less than five years.

The rate shock analysis as of December 31, 2013 (see Exhibit I-6) reflects that in the event of an increase in interest rates from the current low levels, Sunshine State’s net interest income would diminish. A 100 basis point and 200 basis point increase in interest rates would decrease net interest income by 2.48% and 5.30%, respectively, reflecting that notwithstanding the Bank’s recent efforts to minimize its exposure to rising interest rates, Sunshine State continues to maintain a liability sensitive repricing structure over the short to intermediate term. Conversely, decreasing interest rates are estimated to have a favorable impact on Sunshine State’s net interest income with a 100 basis point increase in interest rates would increase net interest income by 0.23%. Similarly, the interest rate risk shock analysis as of December 31, 2013, reflects that the Company’s economic value of equity (“EVE”) would decline by 9.50% pursuant to a 200 basis point increase in interest rates, and increase by 2.01% pursuant to a 100 basis point decrease in interest rates. Overall, the projected impact to the Company’s net interest income and EVE suggests that the Bank would be adversely impacted by rising interest rates. At the same time, the Bank’s interest rate risk exposure is mitigated to an extent by Sunshine State’s high capital ratio, on both a pre- and post-conversion basis.

 


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Lending Activities and Strategy

Historically, the Bank’s lending activities have been focused on residential mortgage lending, and commercial real estate and commercial business loans, and to a lesser extent, multi-family, land and construction, and consumer loans. It is management’s intent to further diversify the loan portfolio in the coming years by increasing commercial real estate and commercial business lending through the existing lending staff, while reducing the focus on residential mortgage lending. Details regarding the Bank’s loan portfolio composition and characteristics are included in Exhibits I-7 and I-8. As of December 31, 2013, the components of the loan portfolio were as follows:

 

    Permanent 1-4 family first mortgage loans secured by residential properties including home equity loans totaled $60.0 million, or 52.9% of total loans, thus comprising the majority of the loan portfolio;

 

    Multi-family and commercial mortgages totaled $27.3 million, or 24.1% of total loans;

 

    Commercial business loans totaled $17.4 million, or 15.3% of total loans;

 

    Construction and land development loans, which primarily consisted of land loans, totaled $6.5 million, or 5.7% of total loans.

 

    Consumer loans totaled $2.3 million, or 2.0% of total loans; and,

Residential Lending

The Bank has historically been active in the origination of 1-4 family residential real estate loans for portfolio. As of December 31, 2013, the majority of the residential mortgage loans were fixed rate mortgages, with typical original maturities terms of 15 to 30 years. The Bank primarily originated fixed-rate residential mortgage loans, but also offered adjustable-rate residential mortgage loans and home equity loans, to a smaller extent. Substantially all of the Bank’s 1-4 family residential mortgage loans are secured by properties in the local market area. As of December 31, 2013, the majority of the 1-4 family residential mortgage loans held in the Bank’s portfolio were comprised of fixed rate loans (76%) while adjustable rate loans comprised only 24% of residential mortgage loans. The majority of the 1-4 family residential loans in the Bank’s loan portfolio were underwritten pursuant to Freddie Mac guidelines.

As previously described, the Bank’s residential loan portfolio has been diminishing over the last five fiscal years, as loan demand has been focused on long term fixed rate loans but Sunshine State has been reluctant to originate such loans for portfolio at a time when market interest rates have approached their historical lows. As a result, new originations of 1-4 family

 


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mortgage loans have been well below the level of amortization and prepayments realized in the portfolio. Moreover, Sunshine State anticipates that the portfolio balance of 1-4 family mortgage loans will continue to diminish as the Bank has largely ceased originated such loans for portfolio and instead, has instituted a program to refer residential loan applicants to a third party mortgage banking company earning a fee in the range 2% to 3% of the loan balance on all loans closed.

As a complement to 1-4 family permanent mortgage lending, the Bank also has offered a small amount of home equity loans, including fixed rate amortizing term loans and variable rate lines of credit tied to the prime rate. Home equity loans are primarily adjustable with repricing characteristics similar to portfolio ARM loans, but with a shorter amortization period and higher interest yield. As of December 31, 2013, home equity loans totaled $0.8 million, equal to 0.7% of total loans.

Multi-Family and Commercial Real Estate Lending

Commercial real estate loans totaled $23.9 million, equal to 21.1% of total loans, while multi-family mortgage loans totaled $3.4 million, equal to 3.0% of total loans. Commercial real estate and multi-family loans originated by Sunshine State are extended up to a LTV ratio between 75% (80% for multi-family mortgage loans). Sunshine State originates both fixed and adjustable rate commercial real estate loans, with the majority of the portfolio in adjustable rate loans. Commercial real estate and multi-family loans have amortization terms of up to 20 years, with the majority of the portfolio with maturities of more than 15 years. Adjustable rate loans generally have a fixed rate for the first five years, with the rate repriced annually thereafter, relative to a margin above the prime rate. The initial fixed rate is also set as the floor, while the rate adjustments are limited to 2% each year, with a 6% overall lifetime limit.

Sunshine State’s commercial real estate loans are typically secured by retail, industrial, warehouse, agricultural, schools, churches, service, medical or other commercial properties. The Bank specifically targets small businesses located in its market area, and owner occupied businesses, such as professional service providers. The Bank also originates a significant portion of its commercial real estate portfolio to churches, temples and other religious organizations. The Bank’s multi-family loans are typically secured by mobile home parks, with land and infrastructure included. The typical commercial or multi-family loans that the Bank seeks to originate or purchase has a principal balance of up to 2.0 million, but may be larger, particularly if the loan is well-collateralized or extended to a very credit-worthy borrower. At

 


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December 31, 2013, the largest commercial real estate loan in the Bank’s portfolio had an outstanding balance of $3.5 million loan, which was an accruing troubled debt restructuring, secured by a mini-warehouse in its market area.

Pursuant to its loan underwriting standards, the Bank considers a number of factors in originating commercial real estate and multi-family loans, such as the financial condition of the borrower, the borrower’s experience in managing similar property, and the net operating income of the mortgaged property. The Bank requires a debt service ratio of at least 1.25x, and generally require personal guarantees from the principals.

Construction and Land Loans

Construction and land development lending is a modest component of the mortgage loan portfolio, totaled $6.5 million, or 5.7% of the loan portfolio as of December 31, 2013. Of these, $2.3 million were loans where land serves as collateral for agricultural use, $2.3 million were loans for raw land and home construction and $1.9 million were loans for land for speculative and commercial use.

The Bank makes land loans on a limited basis, most typically to farmers within its market area. These loans generally have terms of less than five years, and maximum LTV of 65%. The Bank’s residential construction loans generally have initial interest-only terms of 12 months, and these loans convert to conventional amortizing mortgage loans upon completion of construction. Residential construction loans have rates and terms comparable to the Bank’s 1-4 family residential mortgage loans, with maximum LTV of 80%. Also, the Bank’s commercial construction loans have terms up to 18 months with a maximum LTV of 80%.

For adjustable rate loans, the interest rate is generally fixed for the first five years, and is adjusted annually thereafter based on an index such as the prime rate. There is also a rate floor, in addition to rate adjustment limits of 2% per year and 6% in the loan’s lifetime.

Commercial Business Loans

Commercial business loans totaled $17.4 million, or 15.3% of total loans, as of December 31, 2013. Commercial business loans consist of regular and revolving lines of credit for working capital, as well as term loans for equipment financing, vehicles, furniture and other fixtures. Commercial lines of credit generally have a short one year maturity, with an adjustable rate priced on a floating rate basis utilizing the prime rate. Due to its conservative underwriting

 


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OVERVIEW AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

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policy, Sunshine State also seeks for personal guarantees in originating lines of credit, which may be unsecured in nature. Commercial term loans are primarily fixed rate, with a short maturity as well. Overall, 71.2% of the loans have maturities of one year or less in the Bank’s commercial business loan portfolio.

Consumer Lending

To a much lesser extent, the Bank offers a variety of consumer loans to individuals who reside or work in the market area. Consumer and other loans totaled $2.3 million, or 2.0% of total loans as of December 31, 2013. Consumer loans generally have a fixed rate of interest, with terms of up to 5 years. Secured consumer loans, which totaled $2.0 million, are secured by deposits, automobiles, boats, motorcycles or recreational vehicles, while the remaining balance of the portfolio ($0.3 million) were unsecured term loans.

Origination, Purchasing, and Servicing of Loans

The Bank’s loan originations are typically generated by its loan personnel operating at its main office and other banking office locations. While the Bank originates both fixed-rate and adjustable-rate loans, its ability to generate each type of loan depends upon relative borrower demand and the pricing levels as set in the local marketplace by competing banks, thrifts, credit unions, and mortgage banking companies. The volume of loan originations is influenced significantly by market interest rates, market demand as well as the level of competition provided by competing lenders and, accordingly, the volume of loan originations can vary from period to period.

The Bank holds all of the loans originated in its portfolio, and has not sold any loans that it has originated since 2010. Similarly, the Bank has not purchased any loans or entered into any participations with other banks.

In the future, Sunshine State intends to continue to expand commercial lending building on its historical experience in such lending and its local orientation and longstanding customer relationships. The Bank began its commercial lending practice in the early 1980s, and Sunshine State has continued to emphasize commercial loan originations in recent years, though the portfolio balances have been diminishing as weak market demand has limited the overall origination volume. However, in the future, the Bank’s expectation will be to generate growth on an organic basis from existing customers, and potentially new customers as the Bank’s loan officers intensify efforts to build broad-based commercial loan and deposit

 


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OVERVIEW AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

I.24

 

relationships. Management has indicated that it expects that its success in this regard may likely be contingent upon continued improvements in the local economy which would be supportive of increasing loan demand. In support of its business strategy to focus on commercial lending, the Bank also intends to hire additional commercial lending expertise in the next few years.

Asset Quality

Historically, the Bank’s credit quality measures have implied limited credit risk exposure, given the focus on 1-4 family residential mortgage loans and the nature of Sunshine State’s commercial lending. However, Sunshine State realized an increase in the level of non-performing assets (“NPAs”) in 2008 to 2011 period, which was largely the result of the erosion of real estate values which impacted the collateral value of the Bank’s loans, as well as the overall economic recession, which has resulted in job losses and lower personal income levels, both of which have adversely impacted borrower’s ability to repay their loans with the Company. However, since fiscal 2011, a gradually improving economy coupled with management’s efforts to achieve problem asset resolutions, the balance of NPAs have diminished.

As reflected in Exhibit I-9, total NPAs, which consisted of non-accruing loans and OREO, decreased from $6.1 million, or 3.14% of assets, in fiscal 2012, to $5.2 million, or 2.70% of assets, as of December 31, 2013. The ratio of allowances to total loans decreased over the last fiscal year, from 1.95% at the end of 2012, to 1.52% as of December 31, 2013, reflecting the impact of loan chargeoffs in the absence of offsetting loan loss provisions. However, reserve coverage in relation to non-performing loans was substantially unchanged over the last fiscal year and equaled 44.95% as of December 31, 2013.

The Bank also maintains a significant balance of performing restructured loans (“Troubled Debt Restructures” or “TDRs”), which equaled $4.6 million as of December 31, 2013. As a result, the ratio of NPAs including performing TDRs equaled 5.06% as of December 31, 2013. The reserve coverage ratio in relation to NPAs including performing TDRs equaled 20.39%, as of December 31, 2013.

The Bank’s management reviews and classifies loans on a regular basis and establishes loan loss provisions based on the overall quality, size, and composition of the loan portfolio, as well as other factors such as historical loss experience, industry trends, and local real estate market and economic conditions. In addition, as mentioned previously, the Bank has continued to emphasize a disciplined credit culture based on intimate market knowledge, close ties to its

 


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customers, sound underwriting standards and experienced loan officers. Management is committed to actively monitoring and managing all segments of its loan portfolio, and to proactively identify and mitigate credit risk.

Funding Composition and Strategy

Deposits have consistently served as the Bank’s primary funding source, and are generated primarily form residents and businesses in its primary market area. As of December 31, 2013, deposits totaled $164.9 million (see Exhibit I-10). In contrast to the Bank’s overall loan portfolio shrinkage over the past five years, deposits have remained relatively stable, with a slight annual rate of decrease of 0.38%. The Bank’s prior efforts in increasing the balances of savings and transaction accounts are apparent. As of December 31, 2013, the balance of the Bank’s savings and transaction accounts was $120.7 million, or 73.2% of total deposits. Comparatively, the balance of savings and transaction accounts was $106.2 million, or 63.4% of total deposits, for fiscal year 2009. All segments of the Bank’s core deposits, including checking, money market and savings accounts, experienced growth, both with respect to the balance and as a percentage of total deposits, over the last five fiscal years. Money market accounts comprise the largest segment of Sunshine State’s core deposit base totaling $35.7 million or 21.7% of total deposits. Checking accounts including non-interest bearing and interest bearing accounts together totaled $59.3 million or 35.9% of total deposits. Within checking accounts, the balance of non-interest bearing checking accounts increased by 14.13% annually from fiscal 2009 to 2013, while NOW deposits decreased slightly by 3.27%.

As noted previously, while the Bank’s core deposits have generally been increasing, the CD portfolio has been shrinking, with the balance of CDs decreasing from $61.3 million, or 36.6% of total deposits as of fiscal 2009, to $44.2 million, or 26.8% of deposits, at December 31, 2013. The majority of CDs have remaining maturities of one year or less, and jumbo CDs (balances of $100,000 or more) equaled $14.8 million, or 33.4% of total CDs. The Bank does not hold any brokered CDs.

Going forward, the Bank intends to continue to emphasize on offering transaction and savings account deposits, which are lower cost sources of funds than CDs. In relation to management’s goal to expand commercial lending, the Bank also expects to increase its deposit relationships with more commercial deposit customers, especially through commercial money market accounts. In addition, the Bank also intends to further increase its deposit penetration into its existing markets, with an emphasis on growing the Zephyrhills branch market in Pasco County, where the Bank currently holds a much smaller deposit market share compared to Hillsborough County.

 


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Borrowings have not been employed as a source of funds for the Company over the last five fiscal years. However, the Bank may also use borrowings, primarily Federal Home Loan Bank of Atlanta advances, to supplement cash flow needs, as necessary. At December 31, 2013, based on available collateral and its ownership of FHLB stock, the Bank had access to additional FHLB advances of up to $35.6 million. The Bank also has lines of credit at two financial institutions that would allow it to borrow up to $8.7 million and $6.0 million, respectively, at December 31, 2013.

Legal Proceedings

As of December 31, 2013, the Bank is not currently involved in any litigation which is expected to have a material impact on the Bank’s financial condition or operations.

 


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II.1

 

II. MARKET AREA ANALYSIS

Introduction

Sunshine State is headquartered in Plant City, Florida, and serves areas within the Tampa Metropolitan area through a headquarters office and four full-serve branch offices. The main offices and three branch offices are located in Hillsborough County, in the cities of Plant City, Brandon and Riverview. The Bank also serves nearby Pasco County through a branch office is located in Zephyrhills. Details regarding the Bank’s offices are set forth in Exhibit II-1.

The Bank’s primary market area of Hillsborough County is located in western Florida, and is the largest county within the metropolitan Tampa Bay Area. Hillsborough County encompasses the City of Tampa, and is the fourth most populous county in Florida. Agriculture has traditionally been a significant element of the Hillsborough County which continues to this day as Hillsborough County had the second largest agricultural output in of any county in Florida in 2012. But with its evolution into a major metropolitan area, the local economy has expanded to include such elements as finance, health care, government, tourism, etc.

Plant City, where the Bank is headquartered, is located approximately 30 miles east of Tampa on the I-4 corridor, is close enough to Tampa for commuters to reside in the local market but agriculture remains important. The area’s semi-tropical Gulf Coast climate has facilitated the development of many nurseries and production of a variety of fruits and vegetables on a seasonal basis. In this regard, Hillsborough County is one of the world’s largest strawberry producers and there are numerous farmers in the Plant City area actively involved in the cultivation of strawberries. In addition, given the proximity to Tampa, there are numerous employers in a variety of sectors as referenced above, and the close proximity of Brandon and Riverview to MacDill Air Force Base provides for a significant military presence to the employment base.

Pasco County, where the Zehyrhills branch is located, is also part of the Tampa Bay Metropolitan Area in western Florida, situated to the north of Hillsborough County. Zephyrhills has a significant retired population with the presence of two large retirement communities.

The regional economy has a strong agricultural history that is still prominent in the area’s economy, but services, health care and finance/insurance/real estate sectors, as well as tourism and the government sector also play leading roles in the regional economy. The regional banking environment is highly competitive, and includes a wide range of thrifts, commercial banks, credit unions and other financial services companies, some of which have a national presence.

 


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MARKET AREA ANALYSIS

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Future business and growth opportunities will be partially influenced by economic and demographic characteristics of the markets served by the Bank, particularly the future growth and stability of the regional economy, demographic growth trends, and the nature and intensity of the competitive environment for financial institutions. These factors have been examined to help determine the growth potential that exists for the Bank, the relative economic health of the Bank’s market area, and the impact on market value.

National Economic Factors

The business potential of a financial institution is partially dependent on the future operating environment and growth opportunities for the financial services industry and the economy as a whole. The national economy experienced a severe downturn during 2008 and 2009, as the fallout of the housing crisis caused the wider economy to falter, with most significant indicators of economic activity declining by substantial amounts. The overall economic recession was the worst since the great depression of the 1930s. Approximately 8 million jobs were lost during the recession, as consumers cut back on spending, causing a reduction in the need for many products and services. Total personal wealth declined notably due to the housing crisis and the drop in real estate values. As measured by the nation’s gross domestic product (“GDP”), the recession officially ended in the fourth quarter of 2009, after the national GDP expanded for two consecutive quarters. The economic expansion has continued since that date, with GDP growth of 2.2% for calendar year 2012, 1.1% for the first quarter of 2013, 2.5% for the second quarter, and higher at 4.1% and 3.2% for the third and fourth quarter of 2013, respectively. Notably, a large portion of GDP growth during 2009 through 2012 was generated through federal stimulus programs, bringing into question the sustainability of the recovery without government support.

For 2012, the national inflation rate averaged a lower annual rate of 2.07% which diminished to 1.48%. The national unemployment rate equaled 6.7% as of December 2013, a moderate decline from 7.8% as of December 2012, but still high compared to the long term historical averages. Notwithstanding the improvement, there remains uncertainty about the near term future, particularly in terms of the speed at which the economy will recover, the impact of the housing crisis on longer term economic growth, and the near-term future performance of the real estate industry, including both residential and commercial real estate prices, all of which have the potential to impact future economic growth. The current and projected size of government spending and deficits also has the ability to impact the longer-term economic performance of the country.

 


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MARKET AREA ANALYSIS

II.3

 

The major stock exchange indices have reflected strong appreciation over the last 12 months albeit with significant period-to-period volatility. As an indication of the changes in the nation’s stock markets over the last 12 months, as of December 31, 2013, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 16,577, an increase of 26.5% from December 31, 2012, while the NASDAQ Composite Index stood at 4,177, an increase of 38.3% over the same time period. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index totaled 1,848 as of December 31, 2013, an increase of 29.6% from December 31, 2012.

Based on the consensus outlook of 51 economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal in December 2013, economic growth is expected to improve from an annualized growth rate of 2.1% in 2013 to 2.8% and 2.9% in 2014 and 2015, respectively. The economists projected that the unemployment rate will decrease to 6.5% in 2014 and to 6.0% at the end of 2015 with the improving pace of job growth will serve to bring the unemployment rate down steadily. On average, the economists expect that the unemployment rate will be 6.5% by the end of 2014, with the economy adding around 2.4 million jobs from December 2013 to December 2014. On average, the economists did not expect the Federal Reserve to begin raising its target rate until late 2014 at the earliest, and the yield on the 10-year Treasury would increase to 3.9% by the end of 2015. The Federal Housing Finance Agency Index was projected to rise by 5.1% in 2014, and projections for housing starts were mostly steady.

The December 2013 mortgage finance forecast from the Mortgage Bankers Association (the “MBA”) was for existing home sales to increase in 2014 by approximately 4.7% from 2013 levels, and new home sales were expected to increase by 9.9% in 2014 from levels in 2013. The MBA forecast showed overall increases in the median sale price for new and existing homes in 2013. Total mortgage production is forecasted to be down in 2014 to $1.2 trillion, compared to $1.8 trillion in 2013. The reduction in 2014 originations is largely due to a 58% reduction in refinancing volume, with refinancing volume forecasted to total $463 billion in 2014. Comparatively, house purchase mortgage originations are predicted to increase by 9.0% in 2014, with purchase lending forecasted to total $711 billion in 2014.

 


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MARKET AREA ANALYSIS

II.4

 

Interest Rate Environment

Beginning in August 2007 and through December 2008, the Federal Reserve decreased market interest rates a total of 12 times in an effort to stimulate the economy which fell into a deep recession. As of January 2009, the Discount Rate had been lowered to 0.50%, and the Federal Funds rate target was 0.25%. These historically low rates were intended to facilitate a recovery of the housing industry, while at the same time lower business borrowing costs, and such rates remained in effect through early 2010. The effect of the targeted short term rate reductions in benchmark interest rates has been part of a strategy to stimulate the economy by keeping both personal and business borrowing costs as low as possible. As of December 31, 2013, one- and ten-year U.S. government bonds were yielding 0.13% and 3.04%, respectively, compared to 0.16% and 1.78%, as of December 31, 2012. The impact on many financial institutions of the reduction in short term rates was favorable early on in the process. However, many community-based financial institutions such as Sunshine State have experienced spread compression as high yielding loans have refinanced or matured and the funds have necessarily been invested at lower market rates while funding costs have bottomed out at many institutions. Data on historical interest rate trends is presented in Exhibit II-2.

Market Area Demographic and Economic Characteristics

Table 2.1 presents information regarding the demographic and economic trends for the Bank’s market area from 2010 to 2013 and projected through 2018. Data for the nation and the state of Florida is included for comparative purposes.

As shown in Table 2.1, the Bank’s primary market area of Hillsborough County contains a large population base of 1.27 million, and is ranked as the fourth most populous county in Florida. In addition, the county has grown at a relatively high annualized rate of 1.2% over the last three years, compared to the comparable growth rates of the nation and the state, and is expected to further increase over the next five years through 2018. The number of households in Hillsborough County has likewise exhibited favorable growth trends.

In the future, the Tampa Bay Area is expected to be a leading region of population growth in Florida facilitated by both the proximity to water, and influx of new residents and businesses attracted by the relatively mild climate and the relatively low cost of living in comparison to other major metropolitan areas on the east and west coasts of the U.S. Pasco County, which is less urbanized in nature and which has a more limited economic base, has exhibited more limited growth trends, with population and household growth rates falling below the state and national averages.

 


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MARKET AREA ANALYSIS

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Income figures for the Bank’s market area show that the median household income and per capita income of Hillsborough County are slightly above the comparable state averages, but below the national aggregates, indicative of the county’s mixed urban and suburban nature. However, income measures for Pasco County indicate lower income levels compared to the state and nation, which is reflective of its comparatively rural environment. Over the next five years, the median household income levels for both counties are expected to increase strongly, exceeding the national growth rate, while the per capita income levels are forecast to increase at rates below the national growth rate.

In addition, Hillsborough County maintains a relatively higher percentage of younger residents (under 34 years old) and a lower percentage of residents over 55 years old, as compared to the state and nation. This is indicative of the young and urban demographics of Tampa; however, the agricultural and suburban communities of Plant City, Brandon and Riverview consist of relatively older populations. Pasco County, and especially Zephyrhills, also consists of larger population portions of older age, due to its retirement community.

 


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MARKET AREA ANALYSIS

II.6

 

Table 2.1

Sunshine State Federal Savings & Loans Association

Summary Demographic Data

 

     Year      Growth Rate  
     2010      2013      2018      2010-2013     2013-2018  
                          (%)     (%)  

Population (000)

             

USA

     308,746         314,468         325,844         0.6     0.7

Florida

     18,801         19,204         20,175         0.7     1.0

Hillsborough County

     1,229         1,273         1,357         1.2     1.3

Pasco County

     465         474         494         0.7     0.8

Households (000)

             

USA

     116,716         118,979         123,465         0.6     0.7

Florida

     7,421         7,568         7,945         0.7     1.0

Hillsborough County

     474         490         521         1.1     1.3

Pasco County

     190         192         199         0.4     0.7

Median Household Income ($)

             

USA

     NA         51,314         59,580         NA        3.0

Florida

     NA         44,894         53,253         NA        3.5

Hillsborough County

     NA         47,483         55,450         NA        3.2

Pasco County

     NA         42,266         50,874         NA        3.8

Per Capita Income ($)

             

USA

     NA         27,567         32,073         NA        3.1

Florida

     NA         25,615         29,832         NA        3.1

Hillsborough County

     NA         26,236         30,427         NA        3.0

Pasco County

     NA         23,615         27,170         NA        2.8

2013 Age Distribution (%)

   0-14 Yrs.      15-34 Yrs.      35-54 Yrs.      55-69Yrs.     70+ Yrs.  

USA

     19.4         27.5         26.7         17.1        9.4   

Florida

     16.9         25.4         26.2         18.7        12.9   

Hillsborough County

     19.2         28.9         27.5         15.8        8.6   

Pasco County

     16.9         21.4         26.4         20.1        15.2   

2013 HH Income Dist. (%)

   Less Than
25,000
     $25,000 to
50,000
     $50,000 to
100,000
     $100,000+        

USA

     24.0         24.6         30.2         21.2     

Florida

     26.5         27.6         29.4         16.5     

Hillsborough County

     24.8         27.2         29.8         18.3     

Pasco County

     28.3         28.5         29.3         14.0     

Source: SNL Financial

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

MARKET AREA ANALYSIS

II.7

 

Regional/Local Economy

Table 2.2 presents a list of the largest employers in the primary market area of Hillsborough County. The Bank’s market area contains a cross section of employment sectors, with a mix of services, agriculture, wholesale/retail trade, federal and local government, health care facilities and finance related employment.

Table 2.2

Sunshine State Federal Savings & Loans Association

Hillsborough County Largest Employers

 

Company/Institution

   Industry    Employees  

School District of Hillsborough County

   Education      25,473   

MacDill Air Force Base

   Government      12,000   

Hillsborough County Government

   Government      10,600   

University of South Florida

   Education      9,000   

Tampa International Airport

   Transportation      7,500   

Publix Supermarkets

   Retail Trade      6,086   

Tampa General Hospital

   Health Care      6,000   

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

   Finance      4,733   

Busch Gardens

   Entertainemnt      3,750   

St. Joseph’s Hospital

   Health Care      3,501   

Moffitt Cancer Center

   Health Care      3,218   

Citi

   Finance      2,900   

Source: Tampa Hillsborough Economic Development Corporation

According to various demographic research reports such as projections from Florida’s Office of Economic and Demographic Research and the University of Florida, Hillsborough County consists of one of the fastest growing populations and economies of the country. The Tampa Bay metropolitan area is home to 19 corporate headquarters, four of which are Fortune 500 companies. Hillsborough County also has a large military presence, such as the MacDill Air Force Base, which serves as the global headquarters of the U.S. Central Command and the U.S. Special Operations Command. Furthermore, the historically robust industries of manufacturing and agriculture still play a significant role in the county’s economy, as Hillsborough County hosts a number of modern manufacturing and technology companies, including various commercial and construction machinery, as well as defense and security contractors.

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

MARKET AREA ANALYSIS

II.8

 

As previously noted, agriculture remains an important component of the Hillsborough county economy as Hillsborough County agriculture productions ranks second in the state with significant outputs in various crops such as strawberries, vegetables, fruits and ornamental plants. As mentioned previously, strawberries are a significant crop produce in the Plant City market, and Plant City is thus home to a number of farmers, wholesalers and distributers of strawberries, such as Wishnatzki Farms, the largest single strawberry producer in Florida. Plant City also hosts the annual Florida Strawberry Festival in the late winter which has become a regional attraction. Activity such as fruit and vegetable production is frequently seasonal in nature with planting; harvesting and packaging take place from fall to spring, which takes advantage of the region’s mild climate and high prices for fresh produce in the winter and spring.

Market Area Employment Sectors

As noted previously, the Bank’s market area economy is based on a variety of employment sectors. Employment data presented in Table 2.3 indicates that similar to many areas of the country, services are the most prominent sector for the State of Florida, as well as Hillsborough and Pasco Counties. Wholesale/retail trade and health care provide the second and third largest sources of employment in the market area counties and the state. Compared to the state of Florida and Pasco County, Hillsborough County displayed higher levels of employment in services, finance/insurance/real estate and manufacturing. Compared to the state and Hillsborough County, Pasco County displayed higher concentrations of jobs in health care, wholesale/retail trade, construction and agriculture.

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

MARKET AREA ANALYSIS

II.9

 

Table 2.3

Sunshine State Federal Savings & Loans Association

Primary Market Area Employment Sectors

(Percent of Labor Force)

 

Employment Sector

   Florida     Hillsborough
County
    Pasco
County
 
     (% of Total Employment)  

Services

     30.4     32.5     29.8

Healthcare

     10.6     11.5     13.9

Government

     6.3     3.4     6.3

Wholesale/Retail Trade

     27.3     28.3     29.3

Finance/Insurance/Real Estate

     8.0     8.0     5.3

Manufacturing

     5.0     5.8     2.9

Construction

     5.3     4.8     6.5

Information

     1.1     1.0     0.4

Transportation/Utility

     3.6     2.8     2.7

Agriculture

     1.4     1.2     2.2

Other

     1.0     0.7     0.7
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 
     100.0     100.0     100.0

Source: SNL Financial

Unemployment Trends

Comparative unemployment rates for Hillsborough and Pasco Counties, as well as for the U.S. and Florida are shown in Table 2.4. As of December 2013, Hillsborough County exhibited a favorable unemployment rate of 5.7%, as compared to both the nation and state aggregate. The unemployment rate of Pasco County at 6.7% was higher than that of Florida, and approximated the national rate. However, consistent with nationwide and statewide trends, the market area counties showed evidence of economic recovery as unemployment rates were below the rate reported a year ago. Coupled with the higher population growth of Hillsborough County, the Hillsborough County economy appears to be creating new jobs at a relatively strong rate.

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

MARKET AREA ANALYSIS

II.10

 

Table 2.4

Sunshine State Federal Savings & Loans Association

Unemployment Trends

 

Region

   December 2012
Unemployment
    December 2013
Unemployment
 

USA

     7.8     6.7

Florida

     7.9     5.9

Hillsborough, FL

     7.6     5.7

Pasco, FL

     8.7     6.7

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Real Estate Trends

1. Home Sales

Home sales activity across Florida during the third quarter of 2013 surpassed the mark posted during the same period in 2012, a positive indicator for an industry that has been impacted by the recession that commenced in 2008. According to statistics provided by the Florida Association of Realtors, closed sales of single-family homes during the quarter ended September 2013 totaled 60,661, a 17.3% increase from the same period posted in 2012 (when the market recorded 51,735 sales). The median sales price also increased notably, by 18.6% to $175,000 for the third quarter of 2013, from the level for the third quarter of 2012 ($147,500).

Similarly, home sales in the Bank’s market area reflected an improving trend, as characterized by the favorable real estate trends of the Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater MSA, which includes the market area counties of Hillsborough and Pasco Counties, in addition to the neighboring Hernando and Pinellas Counties. In the Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater MSA, closed single family home sales in the third quarter of 2013 totaled 10,106, up 16.6% from the homes sold during the same quarter a year prior. Home prices mirrored the statewide trend, reflecting a strong increasing trend in the Bank’s market area over the third quarter of 2013, as the median sales price for single-family homes in the MSA was $159,900, up 23.0% from the median sales price for the third quarter of 2012. The overall favorable increasing trends in home sales and sales prices reflect the strong growth and recovery of the local economy and real estate market of the market area.

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

MARKET AREA ANALYSIS

II.11

 

In addition, management of the Bank indicated their observation of fast housing development in the local area of Plant City. Housing prices have experienced overall growth in Plant City and the surrounding areas, with the most significant increases shown in housing in the waterfront area, Southern Tampa, and school districts. According to RealtyTrac, the median home sales price in Plant City was $120,000 in November 2013, which represented a 22.5% year-over-year increase. Similarly, the cities of Brandon and Riverview also experienced increases in median home sales prices, at 8.8% and 15.9% respectively, from November 2012 to November 2013.

2. Foreclosure Trends

As reported by RealtyTrac, during November 2013, foreclosure filings fell 37% from a year earlier to the lowest level in over six years across the nation, as one in every 1,155 housing units in the U.S. reported a foreclosure filing. However, Florida ranked as the top state in the country with the highest level of foreclosure filing, with one in every 392 housing units with a foreclosure filing as of November 2013. Nevertheless, foreclosures in Florida have exhibited an overall decreasing trend, as the number of foreclosure filings in November 2013 was 23% lower than the same time last year.

Locally, foreclosures trended downward during the eleven months ended November 2013. In Hillsborough County, the number of properties that received a foreclosure filing in November 2013 was 22% lower than the same time last year. Hillsborough County reported one in every 390 housing units with a foreclosure filing, which represented a slightly higher foreclosure percentage than the state. However, in Plant City, the number of foreclosure filings in November 2013 was 15% higher than the same time last year, and Plant City also reported one in every 363 housing units with a foreclosure filing, which is a significantly higher percentage than the state and the nation. Furthermore, Pasco County reported one in every 323 housing units with a foreclosure filing, and an 11% increase in filings in November 2013 compared to last year. This presents an unfavorable trend of the high number of foreclosures in the Bank’s local market area counties as well as the state, despite the increasing home sales and housing prices in the area.

Market Area Deposit Characteristics

The Bank’s retail deposit base is closely tied to the economic fortunes of Hillsborough and Pasco Counties, and, in particular, the areas that are nearby to each of the office facilities. Table 2.5 displays deposit market trends from June 30, 2009 through June 30, 2013 for Hillsborough and Pasco Counties, as well as the State of Florida. Florida bank and thrift deposits increased at a 2.4% annual rate during the four year period, with savings institutions

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

MARKET AREA ANALYSIS

II.12

 

declining by 13.8% annually and commercial banks reporting annual deposit growth of 4.0%. Overall, savings institutions held a small market share of 5.7% of total deposits statewide as of June 30, 2013.

Similar to the statewide trends, Hillsborough County experienced an overall increase in total county deposits at an annual rate of 4.9% over the four year period. However, deposits at savings institutions declined significantly at 14.4% annually, while commercial banks reported annual deposit growth of 5.5%. Similar to statewide patterns, commercial banks held dominating deposit market shares in the market area counties. Pasco County reported overall deposit decreases from 2009 to 2013, with both commercial bank and savings institutions reporting declines in deposit balances.

Table 2.5

Sunshine State Federal Savings & Loans Association

Deposit Summary

 

     As of June 30,         
     2009      2013      Deposit  
            Market     No. of             Market     No. of      Growth Rate  
     Deposits      Share     Branches      Deposits      Share     Branches      2009-2013  
     (Dollars in Thousands)      (%)  

Florida

   $ 400,978,730         100.0     5,820       $ 441,108,264         100.0     5,548         2.4

Commercial Banks

     355,136,632         88.6     5,286         415,835,826         94.3     5,321         4.0

Savings Institutions

     45,842,098         11.4     534         25,272,438         5.7     227         -13.8

Hillsborough County

   $ 21,203,579         100.0     322       $ 25,666,733         100.0     318         4.9

Commercial Banks

     20,319,481         95.8     296         25,192,691         98.2     303         5.5

Savings Institutions

     884,098         4.2     26         474,042         1.8     15         -14.4

Sunshine State FSLA

     150,186         0.7     4         160,902         0.6     4         1.7

Pasco County

   $ 5,727,120         100.0     121       $ 5,310,103         100.0     110         -1.9

Commercial Banks

     5,299,741         92.5     109         4,980,995         93.8     106         -1.5

Savings Institutions

     427,379         7.5     12         329,108         6.2     4         -6.3

Sunshine State FSLA

     15,890         0.3     1         13,328         0.3     1         -4.3

Source: FDIC.

Due to the large size of the region and the presence of the Tampa metropolitan area, the Bank maintains a modest market share in terms of market area deposits. The Bank’s deposit market share in Hillsborough County of $160.9 million of deposits represented a 0.6% market share of bank and thrift deposits at June 30, 2013. The Bank’s deposit market share in Pasco County of $13.3 million of deposits represented a 0.3% market share. Over the four year period shown in Table 2.5, the Bank experienced annual deposit growth of 1.7% in Hillsborough County, but reported annual deposit decline of 4.3% in Pasco County. At the same time, the

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

MARKET AREA ANALYSIS

II.13

 

Bank reported overall losses in deposit market share in both market area counties with the reduction largely the result of Sunshine’s conscious decision to limit growth in view of ongoing shrinkage of the loan portfolio over the period.

Deposit Competition

The competitive environment for financial institution products and services on a national, regional and local level can be expected to become even more competitive in the future. Consolidation in the banking and thrift industries provides economies of scale to the larger institutions, while the increased presence of investment options provides consumers with attractive investment alternatives to financial institutions. The Bank faces notable competition in both deposit gathering and lending activities, including direct competition with financial institutions that primarily have a local, regional or national presence. Securities firms and mutual funds also represent major sources of competition in raising deposits. In many cases, these competitors are also seeking to provide some or all of the community-oriented services as the Bank. With regard to lending competition, the Bank encounters the most significant competition from the same institutions providing deposit services. In addition, the Bank competes with mortgage companies, independent mortgage brokers, and credit unions. Management has also indicated that the presence of credit unions in the Bank’s market area contributes to a formidable level of deposit competition, as a number of them also have long histories of operation in the region and have developed loyal customer relationships. There are 15 credit unions that are headquartered in Hillsborough County, with an average asset size of $706.6 million, and hold an average balance of $623.6 million of shares and deposits, as of December 31, 2013.

From a competitive standpoint, the Bank benefits from its status of a locally owned financial institution, longstanding customer relationships, and continued efforts to offer competitive products and services. However, competitive pressures will also likely continue to build as the financial services industry continues to consolidate and as additional non-bank investment options for consumers become available. Table 2.6 below lists the Bank’s largest competitors in Hillsborough and Pasco Counties. Among the Bank’s competitors are much larger and more diversified institutions, which have greater resources than maintained by the Bank, including the three largest deposit holding institutions in both market area counties, Wells Fargo & Co., Bank of America Corp. and SunTrust Banks Inc. In Hillsborough County, Sunshine State is ranked 19th in deposit market share, maintaining a modest 0.6% market share. In Pasco County, the Bank is ranked 21st in deposit market share, maintaining a minimal 0.3% market share.

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

MARKET AREA ANALYSIS

II.14

 

Table 2.6

Sunshine State Federal Savings & Loans Association

Market Area Deposit Competitors

 

Location

  

Name

   Market Share     Rank  
Hillsborough County    Wells Fargo & Co.      20.70  
   Bank of America Corp.      19.68  
   SunTrust Banks Inc.      16.55  
   Sunshine State Federal Savings & Loans Association      0.63     19 out of 47   
Pasco County    Wells Fargo & Co.      21.66  
   Bank of America Corp.      20.04  
   SunTrust Banks Inc.      16.33  
   Sunshine State Federal Savings & Loans Association      0.25     21 out of 24   

Source: SNL

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

PEER GROUP ANALYSIS

III.1

 

III. PEER GROUP ANALYSIS

This section presents an analysis of Sunshine State’s operations versus a group of comparable savings institutions (the “Peer Group”) selected from the universe of all publicly-traded savings institutions in a manner consistent with the regulatory valuation guidelines. The basis of the pro forma market valuation of Sunshine State is derived from the pricing ratios of the Peer Group institutions, incorporating valuation adjustments to account for key differences in relation to the Peer Group. Since no Peer Group can be exactly comparable to Sunshine State, individually or as a whole, key areas examined for differences to determine if valuation adjustments are appropriate were in the following areas: financial condition; profitability, growth and viability of earnings; asset growth; primary market area; dividends; liquidity of the shares; marketing of the issue; management; and, effect of government regulations and regulatory reform.

Peer Group Selection

The Peer Group selection process is governed by the general parameters set forth in the regulatory valuation guidelines. Accordingly, the Peer Group is comprised of only those publicly-traded thrifts whose common stock is either listed on a national exchange (NYSE or AMEX) or is NASDAQ listed, since their stock trading activity is regularly reported and generally more frequent than “non-listed thrifts” i.e., those listed on the Over-the-Counter Bulletin Board or Pink Sheets, as well as those that are non-publicly traded and closely-held. Institutions that are not listed on the NYSE or NASDAQ are inappropriate, since the trading activity for thinly-traded or closely-held stocks is typically highly irregular in terms of frequency and price and thus may not be a reliable indicator of market value. We have also excluded from the Peer Group those companies under acquisition or subject to rumored acquisition, MHCs, and recent conversions, since their pricing ratios are subject to unusual distortion and/or have limited trading history. We also excluded those companies that were converted less than one year ago, as their financial results do not reflect a full year of reinvestment benefit and since the stock trading activity is not seasoned. A recent listing of the universe of all publicly-traded savings institutions is included as Exhibit III-1.

Ideally, the Peer Group should be comprised of regionally-based institutions with relatively comparable resources, strategies and financial characteristics. There are 119 publicly-traded thrift institutions nationally, which includes 15 publicly-traded MHCs. Given the limited number of public full stock thrifts, it is typically the case that the Peer Group will be

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

PEER GROUP ANALYSIS

III.2

 

comprised of institutions which are not directly comparable, but the overall group will still be the “best fit” peer group. To the extent that key differences exist between the converting institution and the Peer Group, valuation adjustments will be applied to account for such key differences. Since Sunshine State will be a full stock public company upon completion of the Conversion, we considered only full stock companies to be viable candidates for inclusion in the Peer Group, excluding those in MHC form.

Based on the foregoing, from the universe of publicly-traded thrifts, we selected ten institutions with characteristics similar to those of Sunshine State. The Peer Group selection process focused on companies with similar assets sizes, similar geographic region characteristics, and relatively high tangible equity/assets ratios. We believe these characteristics are given significant weight by investors in evaluating Sunshine State and similarly situated institutions. In the selection process, we applied two “screens” to the universe of all public companies that were eligible for consideration:

 

    Screen #1: Southeast Institutions. Given the impact of the regional market on investors’ perception of a financial institution’s value, we first looked to publicly traded thrifts in the Southeast regional market with the following characteristics:

 

    Assets less than $1 billion. Given the Bank’s small and limited resources, we limited the size of the comparable group to relatively smaller thrift institutions with asset sizes of less than $1 billion;

 

    Tangible Equity/Tangible Assets greater than 10%. Given the Bank’s relatively high tangible equity ratio of 13.7% on a pre-conversion basis, and that its equity position is expected to increase further after the completion of the Conversion, we focused on selecting comparable public thrifts with similarly strong capital ratios; and

 

    While First Federal Bancshares of Arkansas qualified under the above criteria, it was not selected into the Peer Group, due to its relatively unusual ownership structure which included a large shareholder which held a controlling interest in First Federal Bancshares.

 

    Screen #2: Midwest Institutions. Since the selection criteria for publicly traded thrifts yielded a total of five institutions which is below the minimum of ten required pursuant to the conversion criteria, we also decided to include institutions within the Midwest regional market, which resembles the Bank’s local market area, with characteristics such as an agricultural and industrial based economy, as well as similar levels of housing prices and income measures. From the universe of publicly traded thrifts in the Midwest, we selected companies with the following characteristics for inclusion in Sunshine State’s valuation peer group:

 

    Assets less than $1 billion. Based on the Bank’s relatively small asset size in comparison to the majority of publicly-traded companies;

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

PEER GROUP ANALYSIS

III.3

 

    Tangible Equity/Tangible Assets greater than 13%. Similarly, we focused on selecting comparable public thrifts with strong capital positions due to the Bank’s high capital levels on a pre- and post-conversion basis.

 

    Return on Average Assets (“ROAA”) less than 1%. In view of the Bank’s low levels of profitability (ROAA of 0.07% on a trailing twelve month basis), we excluded companies reporting very high levels of earnings with objective of enhancing the financial comparability of the Peer Group to the Bank.

Table 3.1 shows the general characteristics of each of the ten Peer Group companies and Exhibit III-4 provides summary demographic and deposit market share data for the primary market areas served by each of the Peer Group companies. While there are expectedly some differences between the Peer Group companies and Sunshine State, we believe that the Peer Group companies, on average, provide a good basis for the valuation subject to valuation adjustments. The following sections present a comparison of Sunshine State’s financial condition, income and expense trends, loan composition, interest rate risk, and credit risk versus the Peer Group, as of the most recent publicly available date.

In addition to the selection criteria used to identify the Peer Group companies, a summary description of the key comparable characteristics of each of the Peer Group companies is detailed in the following pages.

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

PEER GROUP ANALYSIS

III.4

 

Table 3.1

Peer Group of Publicly-Traded Thrifts

As of December 31, 2013

 

                                       As of  
                                       February 21, 2014  
                     Total         Fiscal   Conv.   Stock     Market  

Ticker

  

Financial Institution

  Exchange   City   State   Assets     Offices   Year End   Date   Price     Value  
                     ($Mil)                 ($)     ($Mil)  
ASBB    ASB Bancorp, Inc.   NASDAQ   Asheville   NC     733      13   Dec   10/12/11     17.50        88.2   
CHEV    Cheviot Financial Corp.   NASDAQ   Cheviot   OH     587      12   Dec   1/18/12     10.53        72.0   
HBCP    Home Bancorp, Inc.   NASDAQ   Lafayette   LA     984      30   Dec   10/3/08     20.61        146.3   
HFBL    Home Federal Bancorp, Inc. of Louisiana   NASDAQ   Shreveport   LA     286      4   Jun   12/22/10     17.56        39.5   
IROQ    IF Bancorp, Inc.   NASDAQ   Watseka   IL     568      5   Jun   7/8/11     16.46        72.9   
LPSB    LaPorte Bancorp, Inc.   NASDAQ   La Porte   IN     527      8   Dec   10/5/12     10.83        64.0   
LABC    Louisiana Bancorp, Inc.   NASDAQ   Metairie   LA     317      4   Dec   7/10/07     18.99        54.8   
PBSK    Poage Bankshares, Inc.   NASDAQ   Ashland   KY     291         (1)    6   Sep   9/13/11     14.02        47.0   
SIBC    State Investors Bancorp, Inc.   NASDAQ   Metairie   LA     259      4   Dec   7/7/11     15.50        37.1   
WBKC    Wolverine Bancorp, Inc.   NASDAQ   Midland   MI     291         (1)    4   Dec   1/20/11     21.50        51.6   

 

(1) Financial data as of September 30, 2013.

Source: SNL Financial, LC.

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

PEER GROUP ANALYSIS

III.5

 

    ASB Bancorp, Inc. of NC (“ASBB”) is headquartered in North Carolina and operates 13 branches in Western North Carolina. ASBB’s asset composition is relatively similar to the Bank’s with a high proportion of cash and investments and a relatively low proportion of loans. For the twelve months ended December 31, 2013, ASBB reported modestly higher earnings than the Bank with a ROAA of 0.19% of average assets. Similar to Sunshine State, ASBB’s loan composition was focused on 1-4 family and commercial real estate mortgages. Asset quality measures were more favorable for ASBB, both in terms of the level of NPAs and the reserve coverage ratios. As of December 31, 2013, ASBB had total assets of $733 million and a tangible equity to assets ratio of 13.79%. ASBB’s market capitalization was $88.2 million as of February 21, 2014.

 

    Cheviot Financial Corp. of OH (“CHEV”) operates 12 branches in suburban Cincinnati, Ohio. CHEV’s asset composition reflected similar levels of cash and loans as compared to Sunshine State, while their respective funding composition was also comparable with deposits comprising the majority of interest-bearing liabilities for both. For the year ended December 31, 2013, CHEV reported return on average assets (“ROAA”) of 0.24%, with CHEV’s lower operating expenses offset by weak net interest income and high levels of loan loss provisions. CHEV’s loan portfolio was relatively undiversified, with high concentrations in 1-4 family mortgages, with little diversification in other high-risk loans. CHEV’s asset quality measures were more favorable than the Bank’s in terms of the ratio of NPAs, although its reserve coverage was less favorable. As of December 31, 2013, CHEV had total assets of $587 million, and a market capitalization of $72.0 million as of February 21, 2014.

 

    Home Bancorp, Inc. of LA (“HBCP”) operates 22 branches in southern Louisiana. HBCP maintains a higher level of loans in its asset base compared to the Bank, with a relatively high level of diversification into construction and land loans, commercial real estate and commercial business loans. HBCP’s asset quality measures were slightly more favorable than the Bank’s measures, both in terms of the NPAs and reserve coverage ratios. Earnings were comparatively favorable for HBCP in relation to the Bank, supported by a very strong level of net interest income (highest of any peer company) which was partially mitigated by its relatively high ratio of operating expenses to average assets. HBCP was the largest Peer Group company in terms of asset size and market capitalization, based on total assets of $984 million as of December 31, 2013, and its market capitalization of $146.3 million as of February 21, 2014.

 

    Home Federal Bancorp, Inc. of Louisiana of LA (“HFBL”) is the second smallest company in the Peer Group, with an asset size of $286 million as of December 31, 2013, and operates four branches, in northwestern Louisiana. HFBL’s balance sheet composition reflected higher levels of loans but lower deposits relative to the Bank. HFBL’s reported the highest level of earnings among the Peer Group, with an ROAA of 0.94%, reflecting its strong net interest margin and gains on the sale of loans. HFBL’s loan composition is similar to the Bank’s portfolio, but it reported much more favorable asset quality measures than the Bank, including the lowest ratio of NPA/assets and highest reserve coverage ratio in relation to NPAs of any Peer Group company. As of February 21, 2014, HFBL had a market capitalization of $39.5 million.

 

   

IF Bancorp, Inc. of IL (“IROQ”) operates five branch offices in eastern Illinois. Enhancing the comparability to Sunshine State, IROQ had a comparatively high level of mortgage-backed securities (“MBS”) and investments (38.59% of assets, compared to 24.91% of the Bank) while loan balances were comparatively modest (56.70% of assets

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

PEER GROUP ANALYSIS

III.6

 

 

which compared closely to the Bank’s ratio of 57.22% of assets). IROQ reported higher levels of earnings than the Bank, despite a similar level of net interest income, due to IROQ’s much lower level of non-interest expense. As of December 31, 2013, IROQ had total assets of $568 million and a tangible equity to assets ratio of 15.22%. Its market capitalization was $72.9 million as of February 21, 2014.

 

    LaPorte Bancorp, Inc. of IN (“LPSB”) operates eight branches in northwestern Indiana, and is within the Chicago metropolitan area. Enhancing the comparability to the Bank, the ratio of loans-to-assets was low and approximated the level at the Bank while offset by a relatively high ratio of MBS and investment securities. LPSB reported higher profitability than the Bank, with an ROAA of 0.83% for the year ended December 31, 2013, primarily due to low levels operating expenses and supported by gains on sale. As of December 31, 2013, LPSB had total assets of $527 million and a tangible equity to assets ratio of 14.95%. Its market value was $64.0 million as of February 21, 2014.

 

    Louisiana Bancorp, Inc. of LA (“LABC”) is located in the southeast region of the US and maintains four branch offices in the New Orleans metropolitan area. LABC’s asset composition differs from the Bank’s based on higher level of loans and lower level of investment securities. At the same time, LABC relies on borrowings to fund operations to a greater extent. Compared to Sunshine State, LABC held a much higher level of 1-4 family mortgages, with limited diversification in construction and land loans, commercial business and consumer loans. The high ratio of loans supported LABC’s net interest margin, which coupled with its more moderate operating expense ratio, supported LABC’s comparatively more favorable ROAA of 0.86% for the year ended December 31, 2013. LABC’s asset quality was more favorable than the Bank’s based on its lower ratio of NPAs/assets and higher reserve coverage in relation to NPAs. As of December 31, 2013, LABC had total assets of $317 million, and reported a market capitalization of $54.8 million as of February 21, 2014.

 

    Poage Bankshares, Inc. of KY (“PBSK”) operates six branches in northeastern Kentucky. Compared to Sunshine State, PBSK held higher levels of investments and loans, but lower levels of deposits. For the year ended December 31, 2013, PBSK reported relatively high ROAA of 0.70% compared to the Bank, which was primarily due to low levels of loan loss provisions and operating expenses. PBSK held a relatively high concentration of loans in 1-4 family mortgages, with limited diversification in construction and land loans, multi-family, commercial real estate or commercial business loans. Compared to the Bank, PBSK reported more favorable asset quality measures, both with respect to the ratio of NPAs-to-assets and the related reserve coverage ratios to non-performing loans and assets. As of September 30, 2013, PBSK had total assets of $291 million and a tangible equity to assets ratio of 19.90%. Its market capitalization was $47.0 million as of February 21, 2014.

 

   

State Investors Bancorp, Inc. of LA (“SIBC”) is the smallest company in the Peer Group, with an asset size of $259 million and thus compares most closely to Sunshine State from an asset size perspective. SIBC operated through 4 branches within the New Orleans metropolitan area. Compared to Sunshine State, SIBC held higher levels of loans, but lower levels of deposits, as SIBC maintained a significant amount of borrowings, at 21.64% of assets. For the year ended December 31, 2013, SIBC reported modest earnings with an ROAA of 0.20%, with the slight advantage relative to the Bank’s earnings levels resulting from its more efficient operating expense ratio mitigated in part by low non-interest fee income levels. Like the Bank, SIBC’s loan portfolio was primarily comprised of 1-4 family and commercial real estate loans, albeit with higher

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

PEER GROUP ANALYSIS

III.7

 

 

concentrations of each. Compared to the Bank, SIBC exhibited more favorable asset quality measures. SIBC’s market capitalization was also the smallest among the Peer Group, at $37.1 million as of February 21, 2014, and thus compares closely to the Bank’s pro forma market capitalization at conversion.

 

    Wolverine Bancorp, Inc. of MI (“WBKC”) operates four branches in central Michigan. In comparison to the Bank, WBKC had a higher level of loans and borrowings, and lower level of deposits. Moreover, WBKC’s loan portfolio reflected significant diversification into multi-family and commercial mortgages, well beyond the level of Sunshine State. Enhancing the comparability to the Bank from a valuation perspective, WBKC’s recorded the highest level of tangible equity among the Peer Group, at 21.66% of assets. WBKC reported strong earnings in comparison to the Bank (ROAA of 0.60% for the year ended December 31, 2013), which was supported by a high level of net interest income generated through its mortgage lending. Asset quality ratios were similar to the Bank’s in terms of the ratio of NPAs/assets while WBKC’s reserve coverage in relation to NPAs was more favorable. As of September 30, 2013, WBKC had total assets of $291 million, and a total market capitalization of $51.6 million as of February 21, 2014.

In aggregate, the Peer Group companies maintained a higher tangible equity level, in comparison to the industry median (14.40% of assets versus 11.75% for all non-MHC public companies), and generated a slightly higher level of core profitability (0.62% of assets versus 0.59% for all non-MHC public companies). The Peer Group’s higher tangible equity translated into a lower median core ROE ratio (3.49% for the Peer Group versus 4.31% for all non-MHC public companies), notwithstanding the lower ROA. Overall, the Peer Group’s pricing ratios were relatively similar to all full stock publicly-traded thrifts, as the median price/tangible book (“P/TB”) ratio was at a modest discount to the industry median, while the Peer Group’s price/core earnings (“P/Core”) ratio was at a slight premium to the industry median. The Peer Group’s price/assets (“P/A”) ratio was also at a modest premium to the industry median.

 

     All Non-MHC        
     Public-Thrifts     Peer Group  

Financial Characteristics (Medians)

    

Assets ($Mil)

   $ 771      $ 422   

Market Capitalization ($Mil)

   $ 94.59      $ 59.02   

Tangible Equity/Assets (%)

     11.75     14.40

Core Return on Average Assets (%)

     0.59     0.62

Core Return on Average Equity (%)

     4.31     3.49

Pricing Ratios (Medians)(1)

    

Price/Core Earnings (x)

     17.12     19.77

Price/Tangible Book (%)

     99.25     89.74

Price/Assets (%)

     12.53     14.07

 

(1) Based on market prices as of February 21, 2014.

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

PEER GROUP ANALYSIS

III.8

 

The thrifts selected for the Peer Group were relatively comparable to Sunshine State in terms of all of the selection criteria and are considered the “best fit” group. While there are many similarities between Sunshine State and the Peer Group on average, there are some notable differences that lead to the valuation adjustments discussed herein. The following comparative analysis highlights key similarities and differences between Sunshine State and the Peer Group.

Financial Condition

Table 3.2 shows comparative balance sheet measures for Sunshine State and the Peer Group, reflecting balances as of December 31, 2013, or the most recent date available. On a reported basis, Sunshine State’s equity-to-assets ratio of 13.7% was below the Peer Group’s median and average equity-to-assets ratios of 15.4% and 16.3%, respectively. The Bank did not have any intangible assets while intangibles for the Peer Group were modest, resulting in median and average tangible equity ratios of 14.7% and 16.1%, respectively.

The Bank’s pro forma capital position will increase with the addition of stock proceeds, providing the Bank with an equity and tangible equity-to-assets ratio that is expected to increase to levels in excess of the Peer Group’s median and average ratios. As a result of the Conversion, the increase in Sunshine State’s pro forma equity position will be favorable from a risk perspective and in terms of future earnings potential that could be realized through leverage and lower funding costs. At the same time, the Bank’s higher pro forma capitalization will initially depress the Bank’s potential return on equity. Both Sunshine State’s and the Peer Group’s capital ratios reflected capital surpluses with respect to the regulatory capital requirements. On a pro forma basis, the Bank’s regulatory surpluses will become more significant. Additionally, the ability to leverage the increased equity and improve the ROE will be dependent upon the ability of the Bank to execute a business plan focused on loan and earnings growth.

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

PEER GROUP ANALYSIS

III.9

 

Table 3.2

Balance Sheet Composition and Growth Rates

Comparable Institution Analysis

As of December 31, 2013 or most recent available

 

    Balance Sheet as a Percent of Assets  
    Cash &
Equivalents
    MBS &
Invest
    BOLI     Net
Loans
    Deposits     Borrowed
Funds
    Sub.
Debt
    Total
Equity
    Goodwill &
Intang
    Tangible
Equity
 

Sunshine State Federal Savings & Loan Association

                   

December 31, 2013

    5.69     29.93     2.10     57.22     84.82     0.00     0.00     13.66     0.00     13.66

All Public Companies

                   

Averages

    6.03     20.83     1.86     66.92     74.39     10.80     0.38     13.23     0.71     12.52

Medians

    3.76     16.71     1.94     69.25     75.80     8.67     0.00     12.35     0.02     11.33

State of FL

                   

Averages

    10.19     16.43     1.10     66.49     68.94     20.56     0.29     9.06     0.15     8.91

Medians

    10.19     16.43     1.10     66.49     68.94     20.56     0.29     9.06     0.15     8.91

Comparable Group

                   

Averages

    4.53     22.81     1.31     67.21     70.29     12.39     0.10     16.32     0.38     16.10

Medians

    3.50     22.57     1.60     65.92     71.52     12.99     0.00     15.37     0.00     14.70

Comparable Group

                   

ASBB ASB Bancorp, Inc.

    7.20     26.50     0.02     56.84     78.14     6.93     0.00     13.79     0.00     13.79

CHEV Cheviot Financial Corp.

    3.77     31.46     2.64     57.37     79.95     3.28     0.00     15.49     1.85     13.64

HBCP Home Bancorp, Inc.

    3.61     16.94     1.80     71.37     75.32     9.86     0.00     14.42     0.21     14.37

HFBL Home Federal Bancorp, Inc. of Louisiana

    2.41     15.73     2.14     76.14     78.84     6.46     0.00     14.46     0.00     14.46

IROQ IF Bancorp, Inc.

    1.28     38.59     1.39     56.70     68.35     16.82     0.00     13.89     0.00     13.89

LPSB LaPorte Bancorp, Inc.

    4.72     32.01     2.72     55.88     65.80     16.93     0.98     15.25     1.75     14.95

LABC Louisiana Bancorp, Inc.

    2.20     18.65     0.00     78.14     63.94     16.12     0.00     18.29     0.00     18.29

PBSK Poage Bankshares, Inc. (1)

    2.82     30.89     2.37     60.47     74.69     4.55     0.00     19.90     0.00     19.90

SIBC State Investors Bancorp, Inc.

    3.38     15.75     0.00     77.03     61.52     21.64     0.00     16.07     0.00     16.07

WBKC Wolverine Bancorp, Inc. (1)

    13.92     1.55     0.00     82.16     56.31     21.27     0.00     21.66     0.00     21.66

 

    Balance Sheet Annual Growth Rates     Regulatory Capital  
    Assets     MBS, Cash &
Investments
    Loans     Deposits     Borrows.
&Subdebt
    Total
Equity
    Tangible
Equity
    Tangible     Tier 1
Risk-Based
    Risk-Based
Capital
 

Sunshine State Federal Savings & Loan Association

                   

December 31, 2013

    0.20     4.36     -2.43     0.42     0.00     0.53     0.53     13.14     24.00     25.26

All Public Companies

                   

Averages

    3.34     4.23     5.06     3.80     1.71     4.67     3.78     12.60     19.42     20.52

Medians

    1.01     -0.58     3.31     1.18     -2.09     -0.76     -0.59     12.30     18.11     19.32

State of FL

                   

Averages

    -4.17     10.16     -11.92     -3.52     -17.63     37.23     37.59     9.73     19.22     20.47

Medians

    -4.17     10.16     -11.92     -3.52     -17.63     37.23     37.59     9.73     19.22     20.47

Comparable Group

                   

Averages

    1.48     -0.36     5.06     1.61     16.45     -5.67     -0.59     14.77     24.61     25.46

Medians

    2.35     -17.55     5.43     -0.80     0.43     -4.44     -4.43     14.18     25.00     25.80

Comparable Group

                   

ASBB ASB Bancorp, Inc.

    -2.18     -17.47     6.54     -0.95     0.75     -9.36     -9.36     12.67     24.14     25.39

CHEV Cheviot Financial Corp.

    -7.10     -17.64     -1.05     -4.33     -20.78     -15.73     -17.31     13.46     25.00     25.26

HBCP Home Bancorp, Inc.

    2.21     -5.50     4.31     -3.90     109.70     0.24     0.26     14.17     21.33     21.88

HFBL Home Federal Bancorp, Inc. of Louisiana

    4.88     -21.62     12.38     14.88     -38.97     -8.68     -8.68     14.18     24.19     23.77

IROQ IF Bancorp, Inc.

    9.13     3.17     13.13     9.54     26.61     -8.06     -8.06     14.10     25.00     26.20

LPSB LaPorte Bancorp, Inc.

    6.93     34.91     -6.49     -0.65     74.19     -4.43     47.89     13.00     18.01     19.13

LABC Louisiana Bancorp, Inc.

    1.55     -31.42     16.10     3.21     -4.52     2.17     2.17     14.80     25.37     26.58

PBSK Poage Bankshares, Inc. (1)

    -8.25     -18.16     -2.63     -8.09     -25.14     -4.42     -4.42     16.16     30.87     32.12

SIBC State Investors Bancorp, Inc.

    5.18     -18.84     13.98     -1.25     42.52     -4.45     -4.45     14.81     25.86     26.65

WBKC Wolverine Bancorp, Inc. (1)

    2.49     88.98     -5.67     7.66     0.11     -3.95     -3.95     20.35     26.35     27.58

 

(1) Financial data as of September 30, 2013.

Source: SNL Financial, LC. and RP® Financial, LC. calculations. The information provided in this table has been obtained from sources we believe are reliable, but we cannot guarantee the accuracy or completeness of such information.

Copyright (c) 2014 by RP® Financial, LC.

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

PEER GROUP ANALYSIS

III.10

 

The interest-earning assets (“IEA”) composition reflects differences in terms of the proportion of loans, as Sunshine State’s ratio of loans to assets of 57.2% is notably lower than the Peer Group average and median ratio of 67.2% and 65.9%, respectively. Conversely, Sunshine State’s level of cash and investments (including BOLI), equal to 35.6% of assets, was higher than the Peer Group median of 27.7%. The Bank’s asset strategy primarily revolves around investment securities and loans, with loans primarily consisting of one-to-four family mortgages, commercial mortgages and commercial business loans, all of which are primarily secured by properties and businesses within the Bank’s local market area. As noted in the financial analysis in Section I, the Bank has revamped its lending strategy to reduce the 1-4 family residential mortgage portfolio over time, and instead emphasize the commercial mortgage and commercial business lending for portfolio. Accordingly, since the Bank has largely ceased residential lending for portfolio, the proportion of residential mortgage loans comprising the loan portfolio is expected to diminish over time.

Overall, Sunshine State’s IEA amounted to 92.8% of assets, which was slightly lower than the Peer Group’s average ratio of 94.5%. Both the Bank’s and the Peer Group’s IEA ratios exclude BOLI as an interest-earning asset. On a pro forma basis, immediately following the Conversion, a portion of the proceeds will initially be invested into shorter-term investment securities, further increasing the relative proportion of cash and investments for the Bank in comparison to the Peer Group over the short term, pending longer term deployment into higher yielding commercial loans. Furthermore, the IEA ratio for the Bank will improve will improve modestly with the completion of the Conversion.

Sunshine State’s funding liabilities reflected a funding strategy that was similar to the Peer Group, except that the Bank did not utilize borrowings given its limited need for funds in recent periods owing to a shrinking loan portfolio. The Bank’s deposits equaled 84.8% of assets, which exceeded the average and median for the Peer Group of 70.3% and 71.5% of assets. As noted previously, the Bank did not utilize borrowed funds, while borrowings equaled a 12.4% and 13.0% of assets (inclusive of subordinated debt) for the Peer Group based on the average and median respectively. As noted in the financial analysis in Section I, the Bank intends to continue to attract low-cost transaction deposit accounts, which form the majority of its current deposit portfolio, and has indicated no intention to undertake borrowings in the near future. Total interest-bearing liabilities (“IBL”) maintained were slightly higher for Sunshine State than the Peer Group average, at 84.8% and 82.8% of assets, respectively, with the Bank’s higher ratio reflecting the Bank’s slightly lower capital position. The ratio of IBL will be reduced on a post-Offering basis as the Bank funds a greater portion of its operations with equity.

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

PEER GROUP ANALYSIS

III.11

 

A key measure of balance sheet strength for a financial institution is the IEA/IBL ratio, with higher ratios often facilitating stronger profitability levels, depending on the overall asset/liability mix. Presently, the Bank’s IEA/IBL ratio of 109.5% fell below the Peer Group’s average ratio of 114.4%, which is the result of the Bank’s lower levels of IEA and higher levels of IBL which is attributable in part, to Sunshine State’s lower equity/assets ratio on a pre-conversion basis. The additional equity realized from stock proceeds will increase the Bank’s IEA/IBL ratio, as the net proceeds realized from Sunshine State’s Offering are expected to be reinvested into interest-earning assets, and the increase in the Bank’s equity position will also result in a lower level of interest-bearing liabilities funding assets.

The growth rate section of Table 3.2 shows annual growth rates for key balance sheet items. During the last twelve months, the Bank recorded minimal change in its asset base (0.20% growth), versus modest asset growth of 2.35% for the Peer Group based on the median. While the growth in total assets was minimal for Sunshine State, the composition of assets was changing more notably. In this regard, the Bank’s loan portfolio decreased by 2.43%, which was a result of the Bank’s strategy to reduce its residential mortgage portfolio and the limited ability to originate new loans in the current economic environment. Available liquid funds were thus deployed into cash and investments instead, which increased at an annual pace of 4.36%. In contrast to the shrinkage in the retail elements of the balance sheet experienced by the

The Peer Group reported growth in assets and loans with average annual growth rates of 1.5% and 5.1%, respectively. In contrast, the Peer Group’s cash and investments was relatively stable diminishing by less than 1% on average. Reflecting the limited need for funds in view of a shrinking loan portfolio, Sunshine State’s deposits balance was substantially unchanged over the 12 months ended December 31, 2013. The Bank also did not utilize borrowings to fund any potential asset growth. Like the Bank, limited growth in the Peer Group’s asset base limited the need for expanded funding liabilities, such that the median growth rate for the Peer Group’s deposits and borrowings were both less than 1%.

Sunshine State’s equity increased by less than 1% during the most recent year, reflecting the Bank’s low profitability. At the same time, the Peer Group’s equity and tangible equity diminished by 4.44% and 4.43% respectively, based on the median, over the last twelve months ended December 31, 2013, notwithstanding their stronger profitability ratios in comparison to the Bank primarily owing to the Peer Group’s adoption of various capital management strategies including adoption of regular dividend policies and share repurchase programs.

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

PEER GROUP ANALYSIS

III.12

 

The Bank’s post-Offering equity growth rate will initially be constrained by maintenance of a comparatively higher pro forma equity position and the low reinvestment yields available in the current market environment. While the Bank has targeted earnings to improve over time,primarily by expanded commercial lending, Sunshine State’s high capital ratio on a pro forma basis (well above the Peer Group average and median capital ratios) will tend to limit the near term improvement.

Income and Expense Components

Table 3.3 shows comparative income statement measures for the Bank and the Peer Group, reflecting earnings for the twelve months ended December 31, 2013, or the most recent date available. Sunshine State operated at a near breakeven level of earnings in fiscal 2013, reporting net income equal to 0.07% of average assets, which was lower than the Peer Group’s earnings of 0.67% of average assets, based on the median. In this regard, the Bank was outperformed by the Peer Group in some key areas of core earnings reporting lower levels of net interest income as well as higher operating expenses. These negative aspects of Sunshine State’s core operating results were mitigated by the Bank’s higher ratio of non-interest income and lower loan loss provisions in comparison to the Peer Group.

The Bank’s interest income to average assets fell below the Peer Group’s average and median, while the ratio of interest expense to average assets was also below the Peer Group’s average and median, albeit to a smaller extent. Overall, the Bank’s ratio of net interest income to average assets, equal to 2.84%, was lower than the Peer Group’s average and median ratios of 3.14% and 3.03%, respectively. The Bank’s lower interest income ratio is primarily due to the lower loans/assets ratio maintained, along with the lower yield on interest-earning assets. The lower ratio of interest expense to average assets reflects the Bank’s lower cost of funds, with the majority of deposits consisting of lower costing transaction accounts. Importantly, while the Bank’s recent initiatives to expand the commercial loan portfolio may enhance asset yields, management has indicated that it expects the related growth to be gradual which will tend to limit the near term earnings improvement.

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

PEER GROUP ANALYSIS

III.13

 

Table 3.3

Income as Percent of Average Assets and Yields, Costs, Spreads

Comparable Institution Analysis

For the 12 Months Ended December 31, 2013 or most recent available

 

    Net
Income
    Net Interest Income     NII
After
Provis.
    Non-Interest Income     Total
Non-Int
Expense
 
      Income     Expense     NII     Loss
Provis.
on IEA
      Gain
on Sale of
Loans
    Other
Non-Int
Income
   
    (%)     (%)     (%)     (%)     (%)     (%)     (%)     (%)     (%)  

Sunshine State Federal Savings & Loan Association

                 

December 31, 2013

    0.07     3.03     0.19     2.84     0.00     2.84     0.00     0.46     3.18

All Public Companies

                 

Averages

    0.62     3.69     0.69     3.00     0.14     2.86     0.38     0.61     2.95

Medians

    0.65     3.68     0.66     3.04     0.11     2.92     0.07     0.44     2.71

State of FL

                 

Averages

    -0.40     3.98     1.35     2.64     0.51     2.13     1.34     1.55     3.88

Medians

    -0.40     3.98     1.35     2.64     0.51     2.13     1.34     1.55     3.88

Comparable Group

                 

Averages

    0.60     3.90     0.76     3.14     0.15     3.00     0.29     0.36     2.81

Medians

    0.67     3.92     0.74     3.03     0.07     2.98     0.20     0.34     2.72

Comparable Group

                 

ASBB ASB Bancorp, Inc.

    0.19     3.06     0.56     2.50     -0.09     2.59     0.25     0.70     3.32

CHEV Cheviot Financial Corp.

    0.24     3.19     0.72     2.48     0.24     2.24     0.11     0.38     2.38

HBCP Home Bancorp, Inc.

    0.76     4.54     0.36     4.18     0.38     3.80     0.16     0.59     3.42

HFBL Home Federal Bancorp, Inc. of Louisiana

    0.94     4.59     0.87     3.72     0.15     3.57     0.78     0.17     3.12

IROQ IF Bancorp, Inc.

    0.64     3.33     0.56     2.77     0.06     2.71     0.10     0.55     2.38

LPSB LaPorte Bancorp, Inc.

    0.83     3.63     0.71     2.92     0.00     2.92     0.17     0.39     2.45

LABC Louisiana Bancorp, Inc.

    0.86     4.13     0.92     3.21     0.08     3.12     0.30     0.29     2.50

PBSK Poage Bankshares, Inc. (1)

    0.70     3.83     0.76     3.07     0.03     3.03     0.23     0.26     2.78

SIBC State Investors Bancorp, Inc.

    0.20     4.02     1.03     2.99     0.06     2.93     0.00     0.09     2.67

WBKC Wolverine Bancorp, Inc. (1)

    0.60     4.71     1.13     3.59     0.55     3.04     0.84     0.15     3.11

 

    Non-Op. Items     Provision
for
Taxes
    Yields, Costs, and Spreads     MEMO:
Assets/
FTE Emp.
    MEMO:
Effective
Tax Rate
 
    Net Gains/
Losses
(2)
    Extrao.
Items
      Yield
On IEA
    Cost
Of IBL
    Yld-Cost
Spread
     
    (%)     (%)     (%)     (%)     (%)     (%)           (%)  

Sunshine State Federal Savings & Loan Association

               

December 31, 2013

    0.00     0.00     0.05     3.39     0.28     3.11   $ 3,188        42.68

All Public Companies

               

Averages

    0.09     0.00     0.23     3.98     0.92     3.10   $ 5,588        23.53

Medians

    0.03     0.00     0.28     4.01     0.91     3.15   $ 4,890        32.93

State of FL

               

Averages

    0.15     0.00     0.22     4.23     1.56     2.68   $ 4,920        37.29

Medians

    0.15     0.00     0.22     4.23     1.56     2.68   $ 4,920        37.29

Comparable Group

               

Averages

    0.07     0.00     0.28     4.17     1.00     3.16   $ 4,954        32.04

Medians

    0.04     0.00     0.30     4.16     0.91     3.02   $ 4,552        33.92

Comparable Group

               

ASBB ASB Bancorp, Inc.

    0.18     0.00     0.08     3.25     0.67     2.58   $ 4,237        30.06

CHEV Cheviot Financial Corp.

    -0.04     0.00     0.07     3.68     0.90     2.78   $ 5,196        22.72

HBCP Home Bancorp, Inc.

    0.08     0.00     0.39     5.08     0.55     4.53   $ 3,892        33.87

HFBL Home Federal Bancorp, Inc. of Louisiana

    0.01     0.00     0.48     4.88     1.23     3.65   $ 5,606        33.97

IROQ IF Bancorp, Inc.

    0.01     0.00     0.35     3.44     0.67     2.77   $ 6,110        35.16

LPSB LaPorte Bancorp, Inc.

    0.15     0.00     0.25     3.97     0.88     3.09   $ 4,591        23.42

LABC Louisiana Bancorp, Inc.

    0.09     0.00     0.45     4.24     1.34     2.90   $ 4,512        34.62

PBSK Poage Bankshares, Inc. (1)

    0.25     0.00     0.29     4.07     0.92     3.07   $ 3,704        NM   

SIBC State Investors Bancorp, Inc.

    0.00     0.00     0.15     4.28     1.31     2.97   $ 7,832        42.47

WBKC Wolverine Bancorp, Inc. (1)

    0.00     0.00     0.31     4.83     1.57     3.21   $ 3,864        NM   

 

(1) Financial data as of September 30, 2013.
(2) Net gains/losses includes gain/loss on sale of securities and nonrecurring income and expense. Source: SNL Financial, LC. and RP® Financial, LC. calculations. The information provided in this table has been obtained from sources we believe are reliable, but we cannot guarantee the accuracy or completeness of such information.

Source: SNL Financial, LC. and RP® Financial, LC. calculations. The information provided in this table has been obtained from sources we believe are reliable, but we cannot guarantee the accuracy or completeness of such information.

Copyright (c) 2014 by RP® Financial, LC.

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

PEER GROUP ANALYSIS

III.14

 

Sources of non-interest operating income provided a larger contribution to the Bank’s earnings than the Peer Groups, with such income amounting to 0.46% and 0.34%, respectively. However, Sunshine State and the Peer Group generate lower levels of income in comparison to the average of all publicly traded thrift institutions equal to 0.61% of average assets. The Bank’s non-interest operating income consists substantially of fees and service charges generated from the Bank’s retail banking activities, as well as income from the cash surrender of BOLI. Going forward, the Bank will be seeking to build non-interest income by continuing to develop core deposit account relationships, and by generating fee income through the referral of residential loan applications to a third party and having such loans originated and sold by a third party mortgage banking company. However, the growth of non-interest income through these sources to the extent it can be achieved is expected to be gradual.

Sunshine State’s operating expense ratio equaled 3.18% for the twelve months ended December 31, 2013, which was higher than the level of the Peer Group median of 2.72%. The Bank’s operating expenses have been elevated due to asset quality related expenses, and increased professional and legal fees related to foreclosure processes. At the same time, the Bank has undertaken efforts to limit operating expenses, through cost-cutting initiatives of salaries and employee benefit expenses, equipment expenses and advertising costs. Operating expenses are expected to increase modestly on a post-Conversion basis as a result of the expense of the additional stock-related benefit plans, which the Bank will seek to offset through future loan growth and by reinvestment of the Conversion proceeds.

Sunshine State’s efficiency ratio (operating expenses as a percent of the sum of non-interest operating income and net interest income) of 96.3% is less favorable than the Peer Group’s median ratio of 81.0%, as a result of the Bank’s lower net interest income and higher operating expenses, despite being partially offset by its higher ratio of non-interest income. Loan loss provisions were modestly lower for the Bank as compared to the Peer Group median, as the Bank recorded no loan loss provisions, while the Peer Group reported small loan loss provisions of 0.07% of average assets.

Non-operating income/expense for the Bank was at minimal levels, as net non-operating gains were immaterial for Sunshine State, in comparison to the Peer Group’s average and median net non-operating gains of 0.29% and 0.20%, respectively. The Bank’s non-operating income consisted of a small net gain on the sale of OREO.

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

PEER GROUP ANALYSIS

III.15

 

Taxes had a greater impact on the Bank’s earnings in comparison to the Peer Group, with average tax rates of 42.7% and 33.9%, respectively, for the most recent twelve month period. Accordingly, both the Bank and the Peer Group appear to be in a fully taxable position for financial reporting purposes. As indicated in the prospectus, the Bank’s effective marginal tax rate is equal to 37.6%.

Loan Composition

Table 3.4 on the following page presents data related to the comparative loan portfolio composition (including the investment in MBS). The Bank’s loan portfolio composition reflected a lower concentration of 1-4 family permanent mortgage loans than the Peer Group based on ratios of 30.43% and 34.25% of assets, respectively. Moreover, Sunshine State did not have any investments in residential MBS whereas the Peer Group’s investment in MBS averaged 11.41% The Bank did not report a balance of loans serviced for others or servicing assets, while five of the ten Peer Group companies reported a balance of loans serviced for others, and eight of the ten Peer Group companies maintained modest balances of loan servicing intangibles.

Diversification into higher risk and higher yielding types of lending was slightly lower for the Bank compared to the Peer Group, as the ratio of such loans equaled 27.47% versus 31.97% for the Peer Group based on the average. The lower ratio is partially the result of its lower ratio of loans to assets, which is also reflected in the Bank’s lower risk weighted assets-to-assets ratio of 54.41% versus the Peer Group’s average and median ratios of 60.67% and 58.13%. The majority of the Bank’s higher risk lending is in commercial real estate and commercial business lending, while commercial mortgage and multi-family loans make up the majority of the Peer Group’s higher risk loans. Despite the Bank’s smaller total balance of loans as a percentage of assets compared to the Peer Group, Sunshine State held higher levels of construction and land loans, commercial business and consumer loans as a percentage of assets. The management of Sunshine State has indicated intent to actively focus the loan portfolio concentrations on commercial real estate and commercial business lending, and cease origination and reduce the portfolio of 1-4 family residential mortgage.

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

PEER GROUP ANALYSIS

III.16

 

Table 3.4

Loan Portfolio Composition and Related Information

Comparable Institution Analysis

As of December 31, 2013 or most recent available

 

     Portfolio Composition as a Percent of Assets                     
           1-4     Constr.     Multi-           Commerc.           RWA/     Serviced      Servicing  
     MBS     Family     & Land     Family     Comm RE     Business     Consumer     Assets     For Others      Assets  
     (%)     (%)     (%)     (%)     (%)     (%)     (%)     (%)     ($000)      ($000)  

Sunshine State Federal Savings & Loan Association

                     

December 31, 2013

     0.00     30.43     3.35     1.73     12.29     8.93     1.17     54.41   $ 0       $ 0   

All Public Companies

                     

Averages

     12.38     33.17     2.92     7.27     17.31     4.13     1.86     64.55   $ 1,583,919       $ 15,855   

Medians

     10.41     32.22     2.00     2.48     17.76     2.87     0.32     65.28   $ 30,304       $ 275   

State of FL

                     

Averages

     15.29     37.75     1.05     0.94     12.28     1.63     4.06     54.54   $ 26,390,933       $ 253,470   

Medians

     15.29     37.75     1.05     0.94     12.28     1.63     4.06     54.54   $ 26,390,933       $ 253,470   

Comparable Group

                     

Averages

     11.41     34.25     3.77     5.72     17.91     2.93     1.64     60.67   $ 41,888       $ 428   

Medians

     13.58     31.66     2.49     3.44     17.99     1.95     0.75     58.13   $ 11,767       $ 328   

Comparable Group

                     

ASBB ASB Bancorp, Inc.

     13.59     27.92     3.32     1.37     23.44     2.01     3.88     58.51   $ 0       $ 0   

CHEV Cheviot Financial Corp.

     2.13     40.27     0.68     3.89     10.76     1.42     0.43     52.66   $ 149,712       $ 1,290   

HBCP Home Bancorp, Inc.

     10.84     21.10     10.02     1.69     27.45     7.89     4.08     66.79   $ 0       $ 513   

HFBL Home Federal Bancorp, Inc. of Louisiana

     15.29     35.09     10.19     6.88     17.29     7.43     0.17     60.49   $ 23,533       $ 172   

IROQ IF Bancorp, Inc.

     13.56     27.50     0.38     10.49     13.64     3.69     1.63     56.58   $ 75,815       $ 533   

LPSB LaPorte Bancorp, Inc.

     16.08     10.49     1.91     3.00     14.31     3.47     1.04     66.79   $ 64,718       $ 368   

LABC Louisiana Bancorp, Inc.

     15.93     53.05     0.06     6.86     18.69     0.06     0.16     57.75   $ 105,104       $ 1,031   

PBSK Poage Bankshares, Inc. (1)

     11.92     47.70     1.32     0.35     5.76     1.89     4.14     52.58   $ 0       $ 288   

SIBC State Investors Bancorp, Inc.

     14.79     51.18     3.06     2.11     20.48     0.26     0.47     57.17   $ 0       $ 0   

WBKC Wolverine Bancorp, Inc. (1)

     0.00     28.23     6.76     20.61     27.27     1.14     0.38     77.40   $ 0       $ 89   

 

(1) Financial data as of September 30, 2013.

 

Source: SNL Financial LC. and RP® Financial, LC. calculations. The information provided in this table has been obtained from sources we believe are reliable, but we cannot guarantee the accuracy or completeness of such information.

Copyright (c) 2014 by RP® Financial, LC.

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

PEER GROUP ANALYSIS

III.17

 

Credit Risk

Overall, based on a comparison of credit quality measures, the Bank’s credit risk exposure was considered to be less favorable in comparison to the Peer Group. As mentioned previously in Section I, Sunshine State realized an increase in the level of non-performing assets (“NPAs”) in the 2008 to 2011 period, which was largely the result of the erosion of real estate values which impacted the collateral value of the Bank’s loans, as well as the overall economic recession, which has resulted in job losses and lower personal income levels, both of which have adversely impacted borrower’s ability to repay their loans with the Company.

As shown in Table 3.5 on the following page, the Bank’s NPAs/Assets and NPLs/Loans ratios equaled 5.06% and 7.46%, respectively, versus comparable median measures of 1.46% and 1.60% for the Peer Group. Importantly, as discussed in Section I, the Bank maintained a significant balance of performing TDRs, which equaled 2.36% of assets and 4.14% of total loans, as of December 31, 2013. Accordingly, the Bank’s adjusted NPAs, excluding performing TDRs, equaled 2.70% of assets, which was still above the comparable median ratio of 0.92% for the Peer Group.

Reserve coverage in relation to NPAs was less favorable for the Bank (17.45%) than the Peer Group (55.74% based on the median and 99.45% based on the average). Excluding performing TDRs, reserve coverage in relation to adjusted NPAs was also less favorable for the Bank (32.70%) than the Peer Group (89.84% based on the median and 118.05% based on the average). However, the Bank’s reserves as a percentage of total loans, at 1.52%, was slightly higher than that of the Peer Group (1.10%). Net loan charge-offs as a percent of loans were slightly higher for the Bank, at 0.50% of loans, compared to the Peer Group (0.14% of loans).

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

PEER GROUP ANALYSIS

III.18

 

Table 3.5

Credit Risk Measures and Related Information

Comparable Institution Analysis

As of December 31, 2013 or most recent available

 

           NPAs &     Adj NPAs &                       Rsrves/     Rsrves/              
     REO/     90+Del/     90+Del/     NPLs/     Rsrves/     Rsrves/     NPAs &     Adj. NPAs &     Net Loan     NLCs/  
     Assets     Assets (2)     Assets (3)     Loans (4)     Loans HFI     NPLs (4)     90+Del (2)     90+Del (3)     Chargeoffs (5)     Loans  
     (%)     (%)     (%)     (%)     (%)     (%)     (%)     (%)     ($000)     (%)  

Sunshine State Federal Savings & Loan Association

                    

December 31, 2013

     0.73     5.06     2.70     7.46     1.52     20.39     17.45     32.70   $ 558        0.50

All Public Companies

                    

Averages

     0.41     2.67     1.72     3.29     1.43     68.48     55.00     85.54   $ 6,321        0.43

Medians

     0.16     1.74     1.28     2.32     1.25     52.57     44.95     61.35   $ 1,219        0.23

State of FL

                    

Averages

     0.45     1.09     0.65     3.72     1.16     33.35     33.20     55.41   $ 18,661        1.31

Medians

     0.45     1.09     0.65     3.72     1.16     33.35     33.20     55.41   $ 18,661        1.31

Comparable Group

                    

Averages

     0.37     1.71     1.28     1.90     1.23     142.43     99.45     118.05   $ 637        0.19

Medians

     0.16     1.46     0.92     1.60     1.10     75.79     55.74     89.84   $ 460        0.14

Comparable Group

                    

ASBB ASB Bancorp, Inc.

     1.89     2.82     2.10     1.60     1.63     113.25     35.33     47.36   $ 525        0.12

CHEV Cheviot Financial Corp. (1)

     0.71     2.60     2.02     3.30     0.47     14.06     10.20     13.16   $ 1,646        0.49

HBCP Home Bancorp, Inc.

     0.15     2.19     2.14     2.92     0.98     34.41     32.16     32.81   $ 2,054        0.31

HFBL Home Federal Bancorp, Inc. of Louisiana

     0.00     0.18     0.18     0.16     1.08     639.78     437.57     437.57   $ 28        0.01

IROQ IF Bancorp, Inc.

     0.05     1.00     0.69     1.61     1.23     74.32     68.45     99.31   $ 373        0.12

LPSB LaPorte Bancorp, Inc.

     0.24     1.74     1.16     2.55     1.31     59.59     48.52     73.12   $ 409        0.15

LABC Louisiana Bancorp, Inc.

     0.18     0.95     0.60     0.99     0.89     89.85     72.59     115.55   ($ 19     -0.01

PBSK Poage Bankshares, Inc. (1)

     0.13     0.38     0.38     0.40     1.12     277.02     181.98     181.98   $ 121        0.07

SIBC State Investors Bancorp, Inc. (1)

     0.05     1.17     0.56     1.51     0.59     44.74     44.74     93.47   $ 726        0.40

WBKC Wolverine Bancorp, Inc. (1)

     0.27     4.07     2.97     3.91     3.03     77.27     62.95     86.20   $ 511        0.20

 

(1) Financial data as of September 30, 2013.
(2) NPAs are defined as nonaccrual loans, performing TDRs, and OREO.
(3) Adjusted NPAs are defined as nonaccrual loans and OREO (performing TDRs are excluded).
(4) NPLs are defined as nonaccrual loans and performing TDRs.
(5) Net loan chargeoffs are shown on a last twelve month basis.

 

Source: SNL Financial, LC and RP® Financial, LC. calculations. The information provided in this table has been obrained from sources we believe are reliable, but we cannot guarantee the accuracy or completeness of such information.

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

PEER GROUP ANALYSIS

III.19

 

Interest Rate Risk

Table 3.6 reflects various key ratios highlighting the relative interest rate risk exposure of the Bank versus the Peer Group on a pre-Offering basis. In terms of balance sheet composition, Sunshine State’s interest rate risk characteristics were considered to be less favorable than the comparable measures for the Peer Group. Most notably, the Bank’s tangible equity-to-assets ratio and IEA/IBL ratio were lower than the comparable Peer Group ratios, while the Bank’s non-interest earning assets were higher than the Peer Group average and median. On a pro forma basis, the infusion of stock proceeds should serve to provide the Bank with comparative advantages over the Peer Group’s balance sheet interest rate risk characteristics, with respect to the increases that will be realized in the Bank’s equity-to-assets and IEA/IBL ratios.

To analyze interest rate risk associated with the net interest margin, we reviewed quarterly changes in net interest income as a percent of average assets for Sunshine State and the Peer Group. In general, the fluctuations in the Bank’s ratios were more significant than those experienced by the Peer Group, implying that the interest rate risk associated with the Bank’s net interest income was slightly larger in comparison to the Peer Group, especially during the earlier quarters shown, based on the interest rate environment that prevailed during the period covered in Table 3.6. However, the stability of the Bank’s net interest margin should be enhanced by the infusion of stock proceeds, as interest rate sensitive liabilities will be funding a lower portion of Sunshine State’s assets and the proceeds will be substantially deployed into interest-earning assets.

Importantly, the Bank’s revamped lending strategy, which will more heavily emphasize on commercial mortgage and commercial business lending with generally shorter loan terms and adjustable rate features, should serve to reduce the Bank’s interest rate risk exposure over the long term if the strategy is successful and gradually restructured. While the relative risk exposure in comparison to the Peer Group is difficult to quantify, it is believed that the Bank’s earnings and capital would be similarly impacted by rising interest rates relative to the Peer Group.

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

PEER GROUP ANALYSIS

III.20

 

Table 3.6

Interest Rate Risk Measures and Net Interest Income Volatility

Comparable Institution Analysis

As of December 31, 2013 or most recent available

 

         Balance Sheet Measures                                           
         Tangible           Non-Earn.     Quarterly Change in Net Interest Income  
         Equity/     IEA/     Assets/                                           
         Assets     IBL     Assets     12/31/2013      9/30/2013      6/30/2013      3/31/2013      12/31/2012      9/30/2012  
         (%)     (%)     (%)     (change in net interest income is annualized in basis points)  

Sunshine State Federal Savings & Loan Association

                       

December 31, 2013

     13.7     109.5     7.2     -4         15         2         -29         -1         20   

All Public Companies

     12.2     109.6     6.6     2         2         -2         -7         -2         -1   

State of FL

     8.9     103.7     6.5     6         -10         -6         -4         -12         -17   

Comparable Group

                       

Average

     16.2     114.4     6.3     4         0         -1         -4         -5         5   

Median

     14.8     112.3     6.8     6         -3         0         -2         -6         3   

Comparable Group

                       

ASBB

 

ASB Bancorp, Inc.

     13.8     106.4     6.7     7         10         -2         0         11         -2   

CHEV

 

Cheviot Financial Corp.

     13.9     111.3     12.9     7         -4         -4         -4         1         0   

HBCP

 

Home Bancorp, Inc.

     14.4     107.9     9.2     -17         24         1         -18         -20         34   

HFBL

 

Home Federal Bancorp, Inc. of Louisiana

     14.5     110.5     7.9     -1         -14         0         -9         3         11   

IROQ

 

IF Bancorp, Inc.

     13.9     113.4     -0.9     2         10         5         0         -7         -16   

LPSB

 

LaPorte Bancorp, Inc.

     15.2     110.6     8.8     5         -13         -3         -25         -12         14   

LABC

 

Louisiana Bancorp, Inc.

     18.3     123.6     3.0     13         -3         2         6         -6         7   

PBSK

 

Poage Bankshares, Inc. (1)

     19.9     118.9     7.0     15         14         6         9         -9         -7   

SIBC

 

State Investors Bancorp, Inc.

     16.1     115.6     5.2     10         -9         -19         23         -19         -3   

WBKC

 

Wolverine Bancorp, Inc. (1)

     21.7     125.8     3.2     3         -18         7         -22         12         12   

 

(1) Financial data as of September 30, 2013.

NA=Change is greater than 100 basis points during the quarter.

 

Source: SNL Financial LC. and RP® Financial, LC. calculations. The information provided in this table has been obtained from sources we believe are reliable, but we cannot guarantee the accuracy or completeness of such information.

Copyright (c) 2014 by RP® Financial, LC.

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

PEER GROUP ANALYSIS

III.21

 

Summary

Based on the above analysis and the criteria employed in the selection of the companies for the Peer Group, RP Financial concluded that the Peer Group forms a reasonable basis for determining the pro forma market value of Sunshine State. In those areas where notable differences exist, we will apply appropriate valuation adjustments in the next section.

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

VALUATION ANALYSIS

IV.1

 

IV. VALUATION ANALYSIS

Introduction

This section presents the valuation analysis and methodology, prepared pursuant to the regulatory valuation guidelines, and valuation adjustments and assumptions used to determine the estimated pro forma market value of the common stock to be issued in conjunction with the Bank’s conversion transaction.

Appraisal Guidelines

The regulatory written appraisal guidelines by the FRB and the OCC specify the market value methodology for estimating the pro forma market value of a converting thrift. Pursuant to this methodology: (1) a peer group of comparable publicly-traded institutions is selected; (2) a financial and operational comparison of the subject company to the peer group is conducted to discern key differences; and (3) a valuation analysis in which the pro forma market value of the subject company is determined based on the market pricing of the peer group as of the date of valuation, incorporating valuation adjustments for key differences. In addition, the pricing characteristics of recent conversions, both at conversion and in the aftermarket, must be considered.

RP Financial Approach to the Valuation

The valuation analysis herein complies with such regulatory approval guidelines. Accordingly, the valuation incorporates a detailed analysis based on the Peer Group, discussed in Section III, which constitutes “fundamental analysis” techniques. Additionally, the valuation incorporates a “technical analysis” of recently completed stock conversions, including closing pricing and aftermarket trading of such offerings. It should be noted that these valuation analyses cannot possibly fully account for all the market forces which impact trading activity and pricing characteristics of a particular stock on a given day.

The pro forma market value determined herein is a preliminary value for the Bank’s to-be-issued stock. Throughout the conversion process, RP Financial will: (1) review changes in Sunshine State’s operations and financial condition; (2) monitor Sunshine State’s operations and financial condition relative to the Peer Group to identify any fundamental changes; (3) monitor the external factors affecting value including, but not limited to, local and national

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

VALUATION ANALYSIS

IV.2

 

economic conditions, interest rates, and the stock market environment, including the market for thrift stocks; and (4) monitor pending conversion offerings (including those in the offering phase), both regionally and nationally. If material changes should occur during the conversion process, RP Financial will evaluate if updated valuation reports should be prepared reflecting such changes and their related impact on value, if any. RP Financial will also prepare a final valuation update at the closing of the offering to determine if the prepared valuation analysis and resulting range of value continues to be appropriate.

The appraised value determined herein is based on the current market and operating environment for the Bank and for all thrifts. Subsequent changes in the local and national economy, the legislative and regulatory environment, the stock market, interest rates, and other external forces (such as natural disasters or major world events), which may occur from time to time (often with great unpredictability) may materially impact the market value of all thrift stocks, including Sunshine State’s value, or Sunshine State’s value alone. To the extent a change in factors impacting the Bank’s value can be reasonably anticipated and/or quantified, RP Financial has incorporated the estimated impact into the analysis.

Valuation Analysis

A fundamental analysis discussing similarities and differences relative to the Peer Group was presented in Chapter III. The following sections summarize the key differences between the Bank and the Peer Group, and how those differences affect the pro forma valuation. Emphasis is placed on the specific strengths and weaknesses of the Bank relative to the Peer Group, in such key areas as financial condition, profitability, growth and viability of earnings, asset growth, primary market area, dividends, liquidity of the shares, marketing of the issue, management, and the effect of government regulations and/or regulatory reform. We have also considered the market for thrift stocks, in particular new issues, to assess the impact on value of the Bank coming to market at this time.

 

1. Financial Condition

The financial condition of an institution is an important determinant in pro forma market value because investors typically look to such factors as liquidity, capital, asset composition and quality, and funding sources in assessing investment attractiveness. The similarities and differences in the Bank’s and the Peer Group’s financial strengths are noted as follows:

 

   

Overall A/L Composition. In comparison to the Peer Group, the Bank’s IEA composition showed a lower concentration of loans and a higher concentration of

 


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cash and investments. Lending diversification into higher risk and higher yielding types of loans was lower for the Bank, as it reported a modestly lower level of multi-family and commercial mortgage loans, which was partially offset by a high concentration of loans in commercial business lending. Sunshine State reported a lower RWA ratio in comparison to the Peer Group, reflecting both its lower level of loans overall and lower concentration of high risk-weight loans. The Bank’s IEA composition also resulted in a lower comparative yield. While the Bank has indicated the intent to expand the higher yielding commercial mortgage and commercial business loan portfolios over time, the change is expected to be gradual and subject to market and competitive constraints. The Bank’s IBL cost was also lower than the Peer Group’s cost of funds, due to the Bank’s reliance on low-cost transaction deposits and lack of borrowings. Overall, the Bank maintained a lower level of interest-earning assets and a slightly higher level of interest-bearing liabilities compared to the Peer Group’s ratios, which resulted in a modestly lower IEA/IBL ratio for the Bank of 109.5% versus 114.4% for the Peer Group. After factoring in the impact of the net stock proceeds, the Bank’s IEA/IBL ratio is expected to increase relative to the Peer Group.

 

    Credit Quality. Key credit quality measures for Sunshine State were generally less favorable than the Peer Group. Specifically, the ratios of other real estate owned (“OREO”)/assets, NPAs/assets and NPLs/loans were higher than the comparable Peer Group ratios. Loss reserves as a percent of NPLs and NPAs also fell below the Peer Group’s average and median ratios, while reserve coverage in terms of total loans was slightly more favorable than the Peer Group. Importantly, the Bank maintained a significant balance of performing TDRs, but the comparable adjusted NPAs and NPLs ratios, as well as the comparable adjusted reserve coverage ratios, which excluded the performing TDRs, were still higher for the Bank relative to those of the Peer Group. Net loan charge-offs as a percent of loans for the Bank also exceeded the average and median of the Peer Group. In addition, Sunshine State’s future strategy to expand the portfolio of commercial mortgage and non-mortgage loans may tend to increase the relative credit risk exposure of the Bank but the change, if it occurs, will necessarily be gradual.

 

    Balance Sheet Liquidity. The Bank’s currently higher level of cash and investment securities will increase on a post conversion basis. Sunshine State’s entire investment portfolio is classified as HTM, which limits its ability to convert a significant portion of the portfolio to cash except by utilizing the portfolio as collateral for potential borrowings. Following the infusion of net stock proceeds, the Bank’s cash and investments ratio is expected to increase as the proceeds retained at the holding company level will be initially deployed into shorter term investment securities, while proceeds infused into the Bank will also be initially deployed into investments, pending the longer-term deployment into loans. The Bank’s future borrowing capacity is considered to be greater than the Peer Group, given the lower level of borrowings.

 

   

Funding Liabilities. The Bank’s interest-bearing funding composition reflected a higher concentration of deposits and a lower ratio of borrowings relative to the comparable Peer Group ratios, with the Bank maintaining a lower cost of funds than the Peer Group. Total interest-bearing liabilities as a percent of assets were slightly

 


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higher for the Bank compared to the Peer Group’s ratio, which was attributable to Sunshine State’s lower capital position on a pre-conversion basis. Following the stock offering, the increase in the Bank’s capital position will reduce the level of interest-bearing liabilities funding the Bank’s assets and the IEA/IBL ratio will increase.

 

    Capital. The Bank currently operates with a modestly lower equity-to-assets ratio than the Peer Group. However, following the stock offering, Sunshine State’s pro forma capital position can be expected to exceed the Peer Group’s equity-to-assets ratio. The Bank’s pro forma capital position implies higher leverage capacity relative to the Peer Group, smaller dependence on interest-bearing liabilities to fund assets and a larger capital cushion to absorb credit quality related losses than the Peer Group.

On balance, Sunshine State’s overall balance sheet strength was considered to be similar to that of the Peer Group on a pro forma basis. While the Bank was operating at a lower IEA/IBL ratio on a pre-conversion basis, both ratios will be improved relative to the Peer Group with the infusion of the proceeds from the conversion. Additionally, the Bank’s ability to increase loans and the earnings power of the balance sheet to leverage the newly-raised capital will be dependent on both and improving market environment and the Bank’s ability to successfully compete with other lenders for such loans. Sunshine State’s credit quality ratios which are generally less favorable than the Peer Group were also considered in developing the overall adjustment for this factor. Thus, no adjustment was applied for the Bank’s financial condition in comparison to the Peer Group.

 

2. Profitability, Growth and Viability of Earnings

Earnings are a key factor in determining pro forma market value, as the level and risk characteristics of an institution’s earnings stream and the prospects and ability to generate future earnings heavily influence the multiple that the investment community will pay for earnings. The major factors considered in the valuation are described below.

 

   

Earnings. Sunshine State reported ROAA of 0.07% for the last twelve months fell below the Peer Group’s median ratio of 0.67%. There was limited difference between reporting and estimated core earnings for both the Bank and the Peer Group. The Bank’s lower profitability was a result of lower net interest income and higher non-interest expense, which was partially offset by lower loan loss provisions and higher non-interest income, in comparison to the Peer Group. Importantly, the Bank has reported minimal levels of earnings over the past five fiscal years, which included reported net losses on operations in three of the last five years. Future earnings growth may likely be dependent upon Sunshine State’s ability to stem shrinkage in the loan portfolio, through the planned expansion of commercial lending, although targeted expansion is expected to be gradual. Additionally, reinvestment

 


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and leveraging of the pro forma equity position will serve to increase the Bank’s earnings, although the expense of the stock benefit plans will limit the initial earnings increase.

 

    Interest Rate Risk. Quarterly changes in the Bank’s and the Peer Group’s net interest income to average assets ratios indicated that the degree of volatility associated with the Bank’s net interest margin was slightly higher than the range exhibited by the Peer Group average. Other measures of interest rate risk such as the capital and the IEA/IBL ratio were less favorable for the Bank, thereby indicating that the Bank maintained a higher dependence on the yield-cost spread to sustain net interest income. On a pro forma basis, the Bank’s capital position and IEA/IBL ratio will be enhanced by the infusion of stock proceeds and, thus, diminish the Peer Group’s relative advantage in this regard and improve the Bank’s interest rate risk exposure position. The Bank’s interest rate risk position may also realize further improvements if non-interest fee income can be enhanced via the referral of residential mortgage loan to a third party mortgage banking company, and if the Bank can successfully execute its strategy to increase commercial loans.

 

    Credit Risk. Loan loss provisions were a less significant factor in the Bank’s profitability, in comparison to the Peer Group, as the Bank has not established loan loss provisions in the last two fiscal years. In terms of future exposure to credit quality related losses, the Bank maintained a lower concentration of assets in loans and a modestly lower level of lending diversification into higher credit risk loans, which resulted in a lower risk weighted assets-to-assets ratio than the Peer Group’s average and median ratio. NPAs and NPLs were higher for the Bank compared to the Peer Group, and reserve coverage in relation to NPAs and NPLs was lower, indicative of the Bank’s less favorable credit quality.

 

    Earnings Growth Potential. Several factors were considered in assessing earnings growth potential. First, the Bank maintained a less favorable interest rate spread than the Peer Group. Second, the infusion of stock proceeds will increase the Bank’s earnings growth potential with respect to increasing earnings through leverage. While the Bank will be implementing a business plan to pursue earnings growth based on moderate loan growth, including diversification focused on expansion of the commercial loan portfolio, the impact to earnings is expected to be realized only gradually and the plan will entail execution risk.

 

    Return on Equity. The Bank has operated at a near break even level of earnings over the last three fiscal years and growth of Sunshine State’s capital base has been limited as a result. The Peer Group reported more favorable ROE measures reflecting its more favorable profitability levels. The improvement of Sunshine State’s earnings which would translate into a higher ROE measure will be dependent on the factors impacting the earnings growth potential described above, Coupled with the higher level of capitalization resulting from the conversion transaction, the Bank will be challenged to improve the return on equity to levels reported by the Peer Group over the short to intermediate term.

On balance, Sunshine State’s pro forma earnings strength was considered to be slightly less favorable than the Peer Group’s, primarily considering the Company’s the low level of earnings which largely is the result of a shrinking loan portfolio. Accordingly, a slight downward adjustment was applied for profitability, growth and viability of earnings.

 


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VALUATION ANALYSIS

IV.6

 

3. Asset Growth

Sunshine State’s assets were substantially unchanged, increasing by less than 1% which is modestly below the Peer Group’s asset growth of 2.35%, based on the median over the same time period. Seven of the ten Peer Group companies reported asset growth over the most recent twelve month period while three Peer Group companies realized asset shrinkage. More importantly, Sunshine State realized shrinkage in the loan portfolio (2.4% in the most recent year), versus modest growth in the loan portfolio reported by the Peer Group equal to 5.4% based on the median. On a pro forma basis, the Bank’s tangible equity-to-assets ratio will exceed the Peer Group’s tangible equity-to-assets ratio, indicating greater leverage capacity for the Bank.

On balance, we considered the Bank’s lower asset growth relative to the Peer Group but also considered the potential impact of Sunshine State’s strategies to reverse the shrinkage through development of commercial account relationships. Coupled with the Bank’s high pro forma tangible equity-to-assets ratio, we applied no adjustment for asset growth in comparison to the Peer Group.

 

4. Primary Market Area

The general condition of an institution’s market area has an impact on value, as future success is in part dependent upon opportunities for profitable activities in the local market served. Sunshine State’s primary market area for loans and deposits is considered to be central Florida where the Bank maintains its five branch offices. The Bank operates through four branches in Hillsborough County and one branch in Pasco County. Within these markets, the Bank faces significant competition for loans and deposits from other financial institutions, including similarly or smaller sized community banks and credit unions with a more focused market, along with larger institutions which provide a broader array of services and have significantly larger branch networks. However, the Peer Group companies also face numerous and/or larger competitors.

 


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IV.7

 

Demographic and economic trends in the Bank’s primary market area are comparable to the primary market areas served by the Peer Group companies (see Exhibit III-2), as similar market characteristics were a screening criteria for the Peer Group selection, as discussed in Section III. Accordingly, the Peer Group companies are located either in the Southeast region, where Sunshine State operates, or in the Midwest region, where the demographic and economic profiles are similar to those of central Florida. In this regard, the populations of the both market area counties of the Bank are higher than the average of the Peer Group’s primary markets. The 2010-2013 population growth rates for Hillsborough and Pasco Counties exceeded the Peer Group markets’ average, while the projected growth rates for the 2013-2018 period are also more favorable for both market counties, in comparison to the Peer Group’s markets. Per capita income levels in the Bank’s primary market area shows that income levels in Hillsborough County were above the Peer Group market average, while that of Pasco County were below the Peer Group measures, reflective of the diverse nature of the Bank’s markets which include both urban and inner city areas, as well as suburban and rural markets. The deposit market shares exhibited by the Bank in both Hillsborough and Pasco Counties were significantly lower than the Peer Group average, indicative of the large and highly competitive market served by Sunshine State.

Unemployment rates for the markets served by the Peer Group companies were broadly similar to the Hillsborough County market. The unemployment rate reported in Pasco County was less favorable than the Peer Group market average and median.

On balance, we concluded that a slight upward adjustment was appropriate for the Company’s market area.

 

5. Dividends

The Bank plans to issue a quarterly cash dividend conditioned upon the adequacy of earnings and capital. Future declarations of dividends by the Board of Directors will depend upon a number of factors, including investment opportunities, growth objectives, financial condition, profitability, tax considerations, minimum capital requirements, regulatory limitations, stock market characteristics and general economic conditions.

Six out of ten of the Peer Group companies pay regular cash dividends, with implied dividend yields ranging from 0.61% to 3.44%. The average dividend yield on the stocks of the Peer Group institutions was 0.94% as of February 21, 2014, factoring in the impact of the four of Peer Group companies that do not pay a dividend. As of February 21, 2014, approximately 70% of all fully-converted publicly-traded thrifts had adopted cash dividend policies (see Exhibit IV-1), exhibiting an average yield of 1.73%. The dividend paying thrifts generally maintain higher than average profitability ratios, facilitating their ability to pay cash dividends.

 


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IV.8

 

While the Bank has not quantified a definitive dividend policy prior to converting, the Bank will have the capacity to pay a dividend comparable to the Peer Group’s average dividend yield after considering both its higher pro forma capitalization and its lower pro forma earnings. On balance, we concluded that no adjustment was warranted for this factor.

 

6. Liquidity of the Shares

The Peer Group is by definition composed of companies that are traded in the public markets. All ten of the Peer Group members trade on the NASDAQ. Typically, the number of shares outstanding and market capitalization provide an indication of how much liquidity there will be in a particular stock. The market capitalization of the Peer Group companies ranged from $37.1 million to $146.3 million as of February 21, 2014, with average and median market values of $67.2 million and $59.0 million, respectively. The shares issued and outstanding to the public shareholders of the Peer Group members ranged from 2.3 million to 7.1 million, with average and median shares outstanding of 4.3 million and 3.9 million, respectively. The Bank’s stock offering is expected to have a pro forma market value and shares outstanding that will fall below the Peer Group averages and medians. Like the Peer Group companies, the Bank’s stock is expected to be quoted on the NASDAQ Capital Market following the stock offering. Overall, we anticipate that the Bank’s stock will have a similar level of liquidity in comparison to the Peer Group and concluded with no adjustment for this factor.

 

7. Marketing of the Issue

We believe that three separate markets exist for thrift stocks, including those coming to market such as Sunshine State: (1) the after-market for public companies, in which trading activity is regular and investment decisions are made based upon financial condition, earnings, capital, ROE, dividends and future prospects; (2) the new issue market in which converting thrifts are evaluated on the basis of the same factors, but on a pro forma basis without the benefit of prior operations as a fully-converted publicly-held company and stock trading history; and (3) the acquisition market for thrift franchises in Florida. All three of these markets were considered in the valuation of the Bank’s to-be-issued stock.

 


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VALUATION ANALYSIS

IV.9

 

  A. The Public Market

The value of publicly-traded thrift stocks is easily measurable, and is tracked by most investment houses and related organizations. Exhibit IV-1 provides pricing and financial data on all publicly-traded thrifts. In general, thrift stock values react to market stimuli such as interest rates, inflation, perceived industry health, projected rates of economic growth, regulatory issues, and stock market conditions in general. Exhibit IV-2 displays historical stock market trends for various indices and includes historical stock price index values for thrifts and commercial banks. Exhibit IV-3 displays historical stock price indices for thrifts only.

In terms of assessing general stock market conditions, the overall stock market has generally trended higher in recent quarters, although there has been some pullback in the market year-to-date. The rally in the broader stock market that started at the end of the second quarter of 2013 continued during the first half of July 2013, as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (“DJIA”) closed at multiple new highs in mid-July. Some favorable economic data and assurances from the Federal Reserve that it would continue its easy monetary policies were noteworthy factors that fueled the gains in the broader stock market. The broader stock market traded in a narrow range during the second half of July, as investors digested some mixed second quarter earnings reports and awaited fresh data on the economy. Economic data showing a pick-up in manufacturing activity and new unemployment claims hitting a five-year low propelled the DJIA to a new record high at the beginning of August. Following sluggish job growth reflected in the July employment report and lowered sales forecast by some retailers, stocks retreated heading into mid-August. The downward trend in stocks continued through the second half of August, with the DJIA hitting a two-month low in late-August. Ongoing worries about the tapering of economic stimulus by the Federal Reserve and the prospect of a military strike on Syria were noteworthy factors that contributed to the downturn. Favorable economic reports, as well as subsiding investor concerns about Syria and the news of the Federal Reserve scaling back its easy monetary policies, helped stocks regain some upward momentum during the first half of September. Stocks reversed course and traded down to close out the third quarter, which was attributed to renewed fears over the Federal Reserve scaling back its financial stimulus program and mounting concerns over the budget standoff in Washington.

Stocks fell broadly at the beginning of the fourth quarter of 2013, as investors weighed the consequences of the budget impasse in Washington and the possibility of an extended shutdown of the U.S. Government. Indications that lawmakers were nearing a deal to

 


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IV.10

 

raise the federal debt ceiling and end the shutdown of the U.S. Government fueled a stock market rally heading into mid-October. A last minute compromise to raise the debt ceiling, which averted a default on the national debt and allowed for the re-opening of the U.S. government, sustained the positive trend in stocks through late-October. The DJIA closed at a record high in late-October, as weaker-than-expected job growth reflected in the September employment data and subdued inflation readings raised expectations that the Federal Reserve would stay the course on its easy money policies at its end of October meeting. An overall strong month for stocks closed with consecutive losses at the end of October, as investors who were expecting the Federal Reserve to downgrade its economic outlook were surprised that the Federal Reserve’s assessment of the economy was unchanged and, thereby, raised expectations that it could taper its stimulus efforts as early as its next policy meeting in December. Favorable reports on manufacturing and nonmanufacturing activity in October, along with comments from a Federal Reserve President suggesting that the Federal Reserve should wait for stronger evidence of economic momentum before tapering its bond-buying program, contributed to a rebound in stocks at the start of November. The DJIA closed at multiple record highs through mid-November, with a better-than-expected employment report for October and comments made by Federal Reserve Chairman nominee Janet Yellen during confirmation hearings that the Federal Reserve’s economic stimulus efforts would continue under her leadership contributed to the rally that included the DJIA closing above 16,000 for the first time. Stocks edged higher in the final week of November, as positive macroeconomic news contributed to the gains. Stocks traded lower at the start of December 2013, as a number of favorable economic reports stoked concerns that the Federal Reserve would start to wind down its stimulus efforts in the near future. After five consecutive losses in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (“DJIA)”, the stock market rebounded on news of the strong employment report for November. The rebound was temporary, as stocks eased lower ahead of the Federal Reserve’s mid-December meeting. Stocks surged at the conclusion of the Federal Reserve’s meeting, as investors approved of the Federal Reserve’s action to begin measured paring of its $85 billion a-month bond buying program. The DJIA moved to record highs in late-December, as more favorable economic reports helped to sustain the stock market rally through the end of 2013. Overall, the DJIA was up 30% during 2013, which was its strongest performance in 18 years.

Stocks retreated at the start of 2014, as profit taking and a disappointing employment report for December weighed on the broader stock market. Mixed fourth quarter earnings

 


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IV.11

 

reports translated into an up and down stock market in mid-January. Concerns about weakening economies in emerging market countries precipitated a global stock market selloff heading into the second half of January, as the DJIA posted five consecutive losses. News that the Federal Reserve voted again to scale back its monthly bond buying program by another $10 billion, despite recent turmoil in emerging markets and soft jobs data, added to the selloff to close out January. A significant decline in January manufacturing activity drove stocks sharply lower at the start of February. Stocks rebounded heading into mid-February, as disappointing job growth reflected in the January employment report and congressional testimony by the new Federal Reserve Chairwoman eased investor concerns that the Federal Reserve would not continue on its current course of easy monetary policies. On February 21, 2014, the DJIA closed at 16,103.30, an increase of 16.0% from one year ago and a decrease of 2.9% year-to-date, and the NASDAQ closed at 4,263.41, an increase of 34.8% from one year ago and an increase of 2.1% year-to-date. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index closed at 1,836.25 on February 21, 2014, an increase of 22.2% from one year ago and a decrease of 0.7% year-to-date.

The market for thrift stocks has also generally shown a positive trend in recent quarters, while pulling back in January 2014. The rally in thrift stocks started at the end of the second quarter of 2013 gained momentum early in the third quarter of 2013, as June employment data showed job growth beating expectations. Financial shares led the broader stock market higher heading into the second half of July, as some large banks beat second quarter earnings estimates. Thrift stocks edged lower at the end of July, as investors took some profit following the extended run-up in thrift prices. Some favorable economic data boosted thrift shares at the beginning of August, which was followed by a downturn amid indications from the Federal Reserve that tapering of quantitative easing was becoming more likely. After trading in a narrow range through mid-August, financial shares sold-off in late-August on the threat of a military strike on Syria and a weak report on consumer spending. Thrift stocks rebounded along with the broader stock market during the first half of September, which was followed by a slight downturn on expectations that the Federal Reserve could begin tapering its monthly asset purchases at its next meeting and the looming threat of the budget impasse shutting down the U.S. government.

Thrift issues stabilized at the start of the fourth quarter of 2013 and then traded lower as the budget impasse in Washington continued into a second week. A deal to raise the federal debt ceiling and re-open the U.S. Government lifted thrift stocks and the broader stock market to

 


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healthy gains in mid-October. Third quarter earnings reports and signs of merger activity picking in the thrift sector boosted thrift shares in late-October, which was followed by a slight downturn at the end of October and into early-November as the Federal Reserve concluded its two day meeting by staying the course on quantitative easing and the benchmark interest rate. Thrift shares followed the broader stock market higher through mid-November, as the financial sector benefited from the better-than-expected employment report for October and a continuation of low interest rates. A larger-than-expected increase in a November consumer sentiment index and a decline in weekly jobless claims supported a modest gain for the thrift sector in late-November. Thrift issues generally followed trends in the broader stock market throughout December 2013, declining in early-December on the uncertain outlook for the Federal Reserve’s stimulus efforts and then rallying higher on the stronger-than-expected job growth reflected in the November employment data. After trading in a narrow range into mid-December, the rally in thrift issues resumed following the Federal Reserve’s mid-December meeting and announcement that it will begin to taper its bond buying. Thrift stocks participated in the broader stock market rally to close out 2013, with the SNL Index for all publicly-traded thrifts posting a gain of 25% for all of 2013.

Shares of thrift issues traded down at the start of 2014, as the 10-year Treasury yield approached 3.0% in early-January. Thrift stocks were also hurt by the disappointing employment report for December and then traded in a narrow range in mid-January, as investors reacted to mixed fourth quarter earnings reports coming out the banking sector at the start of the fourth quarter earnings season. Financial shares participated in the selloff experienced in the broader stock market during the second half of January and the first trading day of February. Janet Yellen’s debut congressional testimony as Federal Reserve Chairwoman helped to spark a rally in thrift stocks heading into mid-February, as she indicated that there no plans to change course from the Federal Reserve’s current monetary policies. On February 21, 2014, the SNL Index for all publicly-traded thrifts closed at 687.5, an increase of 17.8% from one year ago and a decrease of 2.7% year-to-date.

 

  B. The New Issue Market

In addition to thrift stock market conditions in general, the new issue market for converting thrifts is also an important consideration in determining the Bank’s pro forma market value. The new issue market is separate and distinct from the market for seasoned thrift stocks in that the pricing ratios for converting issues are computed on a pro forma basis, specifically:

 


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(1) the numerator and denominator are both impacted by the conversion offering amount, unlike existing stock issues in which price change affects only the numerator; and (2) the pro forma pricing ratio incorporates assumptions regarding source and use of proceeds, effective tax rates, stock plan purchases, etc. which impact pro forma financials, whereas pricing for existing issues are based on reported financials. The distinction between pricing of converting and existing issues is perhaps no clearer than in the case of the price/book (“P/B”) ratio in that the P/B ratio of a converting thrift will typically result in a discount to book value whereas in the current market for existing thrifts the P/B ratio may reflect a premium to book value. Therefore, it is appropriate to also consider the market for new issues, both at the time of the conversion and in the aftermarket.

Over the past three months, two standard conversion offerings and one second-step conversion offering have been completed, as shown in Table 4.1. The two standard conversion offerings are considered to be more relevant for our analysis. Both offerings were completed in January 2014, and closed at an average pro forma price/tangible book ratio of 63.6%, and closed at an average of 5.0% above the offering price after one week of trading.

Importantly, there are some similarities and some key differences between the Bank and these two recent conversions. Edgewater Bancorp, Inc. of Michigan, which closed its offering in January 2014 at a P/TB ratio of 55.0%, had a similar asset size as the Bank at $200 million on a pre-conversion basis. However, Edgewater Bancorp, Inc. had a lower equity/assets ratio of 8.15% than that of the Bank, and was reporting losses on a trailing twelve month basis (pro forma core ROA equal to -1.40%). The lower ROA was attributable to a high level of NPAs (even in comparison to Sunshine State) and the related loan losses. As a result of its smaller market capitalization, Edgewater Bancorp was listed on the over-the-counter bulletin board instead of NASDAQ, and its offering generated relatively small gross proceeds of only $6.7 million.

Coastway Bancorp, Inc. of Rhode Island closed its offering in January 2014 at a pro forma P/TB ratio of 72.1%, at the supermaximum of the offering range, raising gross proceeds of $49.5 million. Enhancing the comparability to Sunshine State, Coastway Bancorp was reporting modest profitability on a pre-conversion basis, with a core ROA equal to 0.10%. At the same time, there were some differences from Sunshine State in terms of Coastway Bancorp’s large asset size ($381 million), lower equity/assets ratio (7.24%), as well as a more favorable NPA/assets ratio (2.16%).

 


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Table 4.1

Pricing Characteristics and After-Market Trends

Conversions Completed in the Last Three Months

 

Institutional Information

  Pre-Conversion Data     Offering Information     Contribution to     Insider Purchases         
                Financial
Info.
    Asset
Quality
   

 

    Char. Found.     % Off Incl. Fdn.+Merger
Shares
   

 

 
                      Excluding Foundation           % of     Benefit Plans     Initial  
     Conversion                Equity/     NPAs/     Res.     Gross     %     % of     Exp./           Public Off.           Recog.     Stk     Mgmt.&     Div.  

Institution

   Date     

Ticker

  Assets     Assets     Assets     Cov.     Proc.     Offer     Mid.     Proc.     Form     Excl. Fdn.     ESOP     Plans     Option     Dirs.     Yield  
                ($Mil)     (%)     (%)     (%)     ($Mil.)     (%)     (%)     (%)    

 

    (%)     (%)     (%)     (%)     (%)(1)     (%)  

Standard Conversions

                                   

Edgewater Bancorp, Inc. - MI

     1/17/14       EGDW-OTCBB   $ 200        8.15     3.84     33   $ 6.7        100     86     19.5     N.A        N.A.        8.0     4.0     10.0     13.5     0.00

Coastway Bancorp, Inc. - RI*

     1/15/14       CWAY-NASDAQ   $ 381        7.24     2.16     25   $ 49.5        100     132     3.2     C/S      $ 300K/2.5     8.0     4.0     10.0     1.8     0.00
      Averages - Standard Conversions:   $ 290        7.70     3.00     29   $ 28.1        100     109     11.3     N.A.        N.A.        8.0     4.0     10.0     7.6     0.00
      Medians - Standard Conversions:   $ 290        7.70     3.00     29   $ 28.1        100     109     11.3     N.A.        N.A.        8.0     4.0     10.0     7.6     0.00

Second Step Conversions

                                   

Waterstone Financial, Inc.—WI*

     1/23/14       WSBF-NASDAQ   $ 1,598        13.32     5.04     43   $ 344.1        74     115     3.4     N.A.        N.A.        8.0     4.0     10.0     0.8     0.00
      Averages - Second Step Conversions:   $ 1,598        13.32     5.04     43   $ 344.1        74     115     3.4     N.A.        N.A.        8.0     4.0     10.0     0.8     0.00
      Medians - Second Step Conversions:   $ 1,598        13.32     5.04     43   $ 344.1        74     115     3.4     N.A.        N.A.        8.0     4.0     10.0     0.8     0.00
      Averages - All Conversions:   $ 726        9.57     3.68     34   $ 133.4        91     111     8.7     N.A.        N.A.        8.0     4.0     10.0     5.4     0.00
      Medians - All Conversions:   $ 381        8.15     3.84     33   $ 49.5        100     115     3.4     N.A.        N.A.        8.0     4.0     10.0     1.8     0.00

 

Institutional Information

  Pro Forma Data            Post-IPO Pricing Trends  
                Pricing
Ratios(2)(5)
    Financial Charac.    

 

    Closing Price:  
                                                          First           After           After                    
     Conversion                Core           Core           Core     IPO     Trading     %     First     %     First     %     Thru     %  

Institution

   Date     

Ticker

  P/TB     P/E     P/A     ROA     TE/A     ROE     Price     Day     Chge     Week(3)     Chge     Month(4)     Chge     2/21/14     Chge  
                (%)     (x)     (%)     (%)     (%)     (%)     ($)     ($)     (%)     ($)     (%)     ($)     (%)     ($)     (%)  

Standard Conversions

                                   

Edgewater Bancorp, Inc. - MI

     1/17/14       EGDW-OTCBB     55.0     NM        5.5     -1.4     10.0     -13.1   $ 10.00      $ 10.00        0.0   $ 10.25        2.5   $ 10.25        2.5   $ 10.25        2.5

Coastway Bancorp, Inc. - RI*

     1/15/14       CWAY-NASDAQ     72.1     114.2x        11.7     0.1     16.3     0.6   $ 10.00      $ 10.92        9.2   $ 10.75        7.5   $ 10.19        1.9   $ 10.25        2.5
      Averages - Standard Conversions:     63.6     114.2x        8.6     -0.6     13.1     -6.2   $ 10.00      $ 10.46        4.6   $ 10.50        5.0   $ 10.22        2.2   $ 10.25        2.5
      Medians - Standard Conversions:     63.6     114.2x        8.6     -0.6     13.1     -6.2   $ 10.00      $ 10.46        4.6   $ 10.50        5.0   $ 10.22        2.2   $ 10.25        2.5

Second Step Conversions

                                   

Waterstone Financial, Inc.—WI*

     1/23/14       WSBF-NASDAQ     80.7     23.05        19.0     0.8     23.5     3.5   $ 10.00      $ 10.66        6.6   $ 10.58        5.8   $ 10.60        6.0   $ 10.59        5.9
      Averages - Second Step Conversions:     80.7     23.1x        19.0     0.8     23.5     3.5   $ 10.00      $ 10.66        6.6   $ 10.58        5.8   $ 10.60        6.0   $ 10.59        5.9
      Medians - Second Step Conversions:     80.7     23.1x        19.0     0.8     23.5     3.5   $ 10.00      $ 10.66        6.6   $ 10.58        5.8   $ 10.60        6.0   $ 10.59        5.9
      Averages - All Conversions:     69.3     68.6x        12.1     -0.1     16.6     -3.0   $ 10.00      $ 10.53        5.3   $ 10.53        5.3   $ 10.35        3.5   $ 10.36        3.6
      Medians - All Conversions:     72.1     68.6x        11.7     0.1     16.3     0.6   $ 10.00      $ 10.66        6.6   $ 10.58        5.8   $ 10.25        2.5   $ 10.25        2.5

Note: * - Appraisal performed by RP Financial; BOLD = RP Fin. Did the business plan, “NT” - Not Traded; “NA” - Not Applicable, Not Available; C/S-Cash/Stock.

 

(1) As a percent of MHC offering for MHC transactions.

 

(2) Does not take into account the adoption of SOP 93-6.

 

(3) Latest price if offering is less than one week old.

 

(4) Latest price if offering is more than one week but less than one month old.

 

(5) Mutual holding company pro forma data on full conversion basis.

 

(6) Simultaneously completed acquisition of another financial institution.

 

(7) Simultaneously converted to a commercial bank charter.

 

(8) Former credit union.

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

VALUATION ANALYSIS

IV.15

 

We believe that the negative factors of Edgewater Bancorp as referenced above in comparison to Sunshine State (i.e. negative earnings and lower capital) suggest that its conversion should be at a discount relative to the Bank’s pro forma conversion pricing ratios. On the other hand, the various positive factors of Coastway Bancorp compared to Sunshine State (i.e. larger franchise value, more leveraged pre-conversion equity, and more favorable asset quality) suggest that its conversion should be at a premium relative to the Bank’s pro forma pricing.

 

  C. The Acquisition Market

Also considered in the valuation was the potential impact of recently completed and pending acquisitions of other thrift institutions operating in Florida on Sunshine State’s conversion value. As shown in Exhibit IV-4, there were six thrift acquisitions completed from the beginning of 2008 through February 21, 2014. Additionally, there were 47 acquisitions of commercial banks in Florida over the corresponding timeframe. The recent acquisition activity may imply a certain degree of acquisition speculation for the Bank’s stock. To the extent that acquisition speculation may impact the Bank’s offering, we have largely taken this into account in selecting companies for the Peer Group which operate in markets that have experienced a comparable level of acquisition activity as the Bank’s market and, thus, are subject to the same type of acquisition speculation that may influence Sunshine State’s stock. However, since converting thrifts are subject to a three-year regulatory moratorium from being acquired, acquisition speculation in Sunshine State’s stock would tend to be less, compared to the stocks of the Peer Group companies.

* * * * * * * * * * *

In determining our valuation adjustment for marketing of the issue, we considered trends in both the overall thrift market, the new issue market including the new issue market for thrift conversions and the local acquisition market for thrift and bank stocks. Taking these factors and trends into account, RP Financial concluded that no adjustment was appropriate in the valuation analysis for purposes of marketing of the issue.

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

VALUATION ANALYSIS

IV.16

 

8. Management

The Bank’s management team appears to have experience and expertise in all of the key areas of the Bank’s operations. Exhibit IV-5 provides summary resumes of the Bank’s Board of Directors and senior management. The financial characteristics of the Bank suggest that the Board and senior management have been effective in implementing an operating strategy that can be well managed by the Bank’s present organizational structure. The Bank currently does not have any senior management positions that are vacant. Similarly, the returns, equity positions and other operating measures of the Peer Group companies are indicative of well-managed financial institutions, which have Boards and management teams that have been effective in implementing competitive operating strategies. Therefore, on balance, we concluded no valuation adjustment relative to the Peer Group was appropriate for this factor.

 

9. Effect of Government Regulation and Regulatory Reform

In summary, as a fully-converted regulated institution, Sunshine State will operate in substantially the same regulatory environment as the Peer Group members — all of whom are adequately capitalized institutions and are operating with no apparent restrictions. Exhibit IV-6 reflects the Bank’s pro forma regulatory capital ratios. On balance, no adjustment has been applied for the effect of government regulation and regulatory reform.

Summary of Adjustments

Overall, based on the factors discussed above, we concluded that the Bank’s pro forma market value should reflect the following valuation adjustments relative to the Peer Group:

 

Key Valuation Parameters:

  

Valuation Adjustment

Financial Condition    No Adjustment
Profitability, Growth and Viability of Earnings    Slight Downward
Asset Growth    No Adjustment
Primary Market Area    Slight Upward
Dividends    No Adjustment
Liquidity of the Shares    No Adjustment
Marketing of the Issue    No Adjustment
Management    No Adjustment
Effect of Govt. Regulations and Regulatory Reform    No Adjustment

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

VALUATION ANALYSIS

IV.17

 

Valuation Approaches

In applying the accepted valuation methodology originally promulgated by the OCC, i.e, the pro forma market value approach, we considered the three key pricing ratios in valuing the Bank’s to-be-issued stock — price/earnings (“P/E”), price/book (“P/B”), and price/assets (“P/A”) approaches — all performed on a pro forma basis including the effects of the stock proceeds. In computing the pro forma impact of the conversion and the related pricing ratios, we have incorporated the valuation parameters disclosed in the Bank’s prospectus for reinvestment rate, effective tax rate, stock benefit plan assumptions and expenses (summarized in Exhibits IV-7 and IV-8). In our estimate of value, we assessed the relationship of the pro forma pricing ratios relative to the Peer Group and recent conversion offerings. RP Financial’s valuation placed an emphasis on the following:

 

    P/E Approach. The P/E approach is generally the best indicator of long-term value for a stock. Given certain similarities between the Company’s and the Peer Group’s earnings composition and overall financial condition, the P/E approach was carefully considered in this valuation. At the same time the Bank operates with a near breakeven level of core profitability while the Peer Group’s earnings, while higher than the Bank’s on average, are comparatively modest. Accordingly, the earnings approach has been rendered less meaningful to the Bank’s pro forma valuation and we have given comparatively greater weight to the other valuation approaches.

 

    P/B Approach. P/B ratios have generally served as a useful benchmark in the valuation of thrift stocks, particularly in the context of an initial public offering, as the earnings approach involves assumptions regarding the use of proceeds. RP Financial considered the P/B approach to be a valuable indicator of pro forma value, particularly as the earnings approach has been rendered less meaningful to the Bank’s valuation in view of Sunshine State’s recent low earnings. We have also modified the P/B approach to exclude the impact of intangible assets (i.e., price/tangible book value or “P/TB”), in that the investment community frequently makes this adjustment in its evaluation of this pricing approach.

 

    P/A Approach. P/A ratios are generally a less reliable indicator of market value, as investors typically assign less weight to assets and attribute greater weight to book value and earnings. Furthermore, this approach as set forth in the regulatory valuation guidelines does not take into account the amount of stock purchases funded by deposit withdrawals, thus understating the pro forma P/A ratio. At the same time, the P/A ratio is an indicator of franchise value, and, can be a valuable indicator of value when earnings are low, which is the case for Sunshine State.

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

VALUATION ANALYSIS

IV.18

 

The Bank will adopt “Employers’ Accounting for Employee Stock Ownership Plans” (“ASC 718-40”) which causes earnings per share computations to be based on shares issued and outstanding, excluding unreleased ESOP shares. For purposes of preparing the pro forma pricing analyses, we have reflected all shares issued in the Offering, including all ESOP shares, to capture the full dilutive impact, particularly since the ESOP shares are economically dilutive, receive dividends, and can be voted. However, we did consider the impact of the adoption of ASC 718-40 in the valuation.

Based on the application of the three valuation approaches, RP Financial concluded that, as of February 21, 2014, the pro forma market value of Sunshine State’s conversion stock equaled $32,000,000 at the midpoint, equal to 3,200,000 shares offered at a per share value of $10.00.

1. Price-to-Earnings (“P/E”). The application of the P/E valuation method requires calculating the Bank’s pro forma market value by applying a valuation P/E multiple (fully-converted basis) to the pro forma earnings base. In applying this technique, we considered both reported earnings and a recurring earnings base, that is, earnings adjusted to exclude any one-time non-operating items, plus the estimated after-tax earnings benefit of the reinvestment of the net proceeds. The reinvestment rate of 1.75% was based on the Bank’s assumption that the proceeds would initially be invested in short-to-intermediate term U.S. Treasury securities and the 1.75% yield assumption reflects the rate prevailing on five year U.S. Treasury securities as of December 31, 2013.

The Bank’s reported low earnings equal to $141,000, or 0.07% of average assets, for the most recent twelve month period, which was substantially equivalent to estimated core earnings equal to $139,000 reflecting the impact of modest non-operating gains on sale. While all of the ten Peer Group reported trailing twelve month positive operating earnings, only seven Peer Group companies reported a meaningful Price/Earnings multiple based on modest operating returns. In this regard, a P/E multiple above 35 times for the Peer Group was considered to be not meaningful. Similar to Sunshine State, the Peer Group’s reported and core earnings compared closely.

In concluding with the pro forma midpoint value, we have given consideration to the potential future impact of strategies being implemented by the Bank to increase core earnings, including the effort to expand commercial loan balances and to generate fee income through referral of residential mortgage loan applications to a third party originator.

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

VALUATION ANALYSIS

IV.19

 

The P/E multiples for the Bank were not highly meaningful, ranging from 623.01x at the minimum of the offering range to 2804.29 times at the maximum of the offering range. The Bank reported a slight loss on a pro forma basis at the supermaximum of the offering range owing to the incremental cost of the stock-related benefit plans. By comparison, the seven Peer Group companies reporting meaningful P/E multiples had an average P/E multiple equal to 19.68 times earnings based on reported earnings and 21.11 times core earnings.

Overall, we have primarily relied on the remaining valuation approaches to derive the Bank’s pro forma market value but given consideration to recent earnings trends and impact of cost reductions as the benefits are fully realized into earnings for Sunshine State in evaluating the appropriate pro forma P/B, P/TB and P/A ratios.

2. Price-to-Book (“P/B”). The application of the P/B valuation method requires calculating the Bank’s pro forma market value by applying a valuation P/B ratio, derived from the Peer Group’s P/B ratio, to the Bank’s pro forma book value. In applying the P/B approach, we considered both reported book value and tangible book value. Based on the $32.00 million midpoint valuation, Sunshine State’s pro forma P/B and P/TB ratios equaled 59.88%. In comparison to the respective average P/B and P/TB ratios indicated for the Peer Group of 88.49% and 90.68%, the Bank’s ratios reflected discounts of 32.33% and 33.96%, respectively. In comparison to the Peer Group’s median P/B and P/TB ratios of 88.19% and 89.74%, respectively, the Bank’s pro forma P/B and P/TB ratios at the midpoint value reflected discounts of 32.10% and 33.28%, respectively. At the top of the super range, the Bank’s P/B and P/TB ratio equaled 67.80%, which was discounted by 25.23% relative to the Peer Group P/TB average and by 24.45% relative to the Peer Group P/TB median.

RP Financial considered the discounts under the P/B approach to be reasonable given the nature of the calculation of the P/B ratio, which tends to mathematically result in a ratio discounted to book value, and in consideration of the Company’s relative asset quality and earnings performance in relation to the Peer Group, as well as its smaller asset size ($221 million versus the Peer Group average of $484 million) and pro forma market capitalization ($32.0 million at the midpoint of the offering range versus an average of $67.2 million for the Peer Group).

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

VALUATION ANALYSIS

IV.20

 

Table 4.2

Public Market Pricing Versus Peer Group

Sunshine Bancorp, Inc.

As of February 21, 2014

 

    Market
Capitalization
                                  Dividends(3)  
    Price/     Market     Pricing Ratios(2)     Amount/           Payout  
    Share     Value     P/E     P/B     P/A     P/TB     P/Core     Share     Yield     Ratio(4)  
    ($)     ($Mil)     (x)     (%)     (%)     (%)     (x)     ($)     (%)     (%)  

Sunshine Bancorp, Inc.

                   

Supermaximum

  $ 10.00      $ 42.320        NM        67.80     18.38     67.80     NM      $ 0.00        0.00     0.00

Maximum

  $ 10.00      $ 36.800        2804.29x        63.90     16.32     63.90     3308.53x      $ 0.00        0.00     0.00

Midpoint

  $ 10.00      $ 32.000        1127.13x        59.88     14.46     59.88     1212.55x      $ 0.00        0.00     0.00

Minimum

  $ 10.00      $ 27.200        623.01x        55.22     12.53     55.22     652.93x      $ 0.00        0.00     0.00

All Non-MHC Public Companies(6)

                   

Averages

  $ 16.58      $ 344.65        16.88x        104.87     13.46     113.27     18.24x      $ 0.29        1.72     47.76

Median

  $ 15.01      $ 94.59        16.32x        95.69     12.53     99.25     17.12x      $ 0.24        1.50     42.53

State of FL

                   

Averages

  $ 10.94      $ 1,109.59        17.48x        148.63     12.50     154.15     14.72x      $ 0.06        0.34     10.78

Medians

  $ 10.94      $ 1,109.59        17.48x        148.63     12.50     154.15     14.72x      $ 0.06        0.34     10.78

Comparable Group

                   

Averages

  $ 16.35      $ 67.24        19.68x        88.49     14.36     90.68     21.11x      $ 0.13        0.93     42.86

Medians

  $ 16.98      $ 59.02        19.44x        88.19     14.07     89.74     19.77x      $ 0.13        0.83     21.43

Comparable Group

                   

ASBB

  ASB Bancorp, Inc.   $ 17.50      $ 88.20        NM        87.25     12.03     87.25     NM      $ 0.00        0.00     NM   

CHEV

  Cheviot Financial Corp.   $ 10.53      $ 71.63        NM        79.18     12.26     89.91     NM      $ 0.36        3.42     171.43

HBCP

  Home Bancorp, Inc.   $ 20.61      $ 146.32        19.44x        103.11     14.87     104.51     19.66x      $ 0.00        0.00     NM   

HFBL

  Home Federal Bancorp, Inc. of Louisiana   $ 17.56      $ 40.10        14.39x        95.62     13.82     95.62     14.52x      $ 0.24        1.37     19.67

IROQ

  IF Bancorp, Inc.   $ 16.46      $ 72.88        19.60x        92.96     12.91     92.96     19.77x      $ 0.10        0.61     11.90

LPSB

  LaPorte Bancorp, Inc.   $ 10.83      $ 64.18        15.70x        79.86     12.18     89.58     17.76x      $ 0.16        1.48     23.19

LABC

  Louisiana Bancorp, Inc.   $ 18.99      $ 53.87        18.44x        94.62     17.31     94.62     19.86x      $ 0.20        1.05     4.85

PBSK

  Poage Bankshares, Inc.   $ 14.02      $ 46.60        20.32x        81.13     16.14     81.13     26.31x      $ 0.20        1.43     26.09

SIBC

  State Investors Bancorp, Inc.   $ 15.50      $ 37.05        NM        89.14     14.32     89.14     NM      $ 0.00        0.00     NM   

WBKC

  Wolverine Bancorp, Inc.   $ 21.50      $ 51.57        29.86x        82.08     17.77     82.08     29.86x      $ 0.00        0.00     NM   

 

    Financial Characteristics(5)  
    Total     Equity/     Tang. Eq./     NPAs/     Reported     Core  
    Assets     Assets     Assets     Assets     ROAA     ROAE     ROAA     ROAE  
    ($Mil)     (%)     (%)     (%)     (%)     (%)     (%)     (%)  

Sunshine Bancorp, Inc.

               

Supermaximum

  $ 230        27.10     27.10     2.28     0.00     -0.01     0.00     -0.01

Maximum

  $ 225        25.55     25.55     2.33     0.01     0.02     0.00     0.02

Midpoint

  $ 221        24.14     24.14     2.37     0.01     0.05     0.01     0.05

Minimum

  $ 217        22.68     22.68     2.42     0.02     0.09     0.02     0.08

All Non-MHC Public Companies(6)

               

Averages

  $ 2,478        13.24     12.49     2.97     0.55     4.13     0.50     3.97

Median

  $ 771        12.29     11.75     2.23     0.63     4.68     0.59     4.31

State of FL

               

Averages

  $ 9,187        9.06     8.92     2.62     -0.40     -10.79     0.89     10.41

Medians

  $ 9,187        9.06     8.92     2.62     -0.40     -10.79     0.89     10.41

Comparable Group

               

Averages

  $ 484        16.32     16.02     1.66     0.60     3.55     0.56     3.37

Medians

  $ 422        15.37     14.40     1.46     0.67     3.92     0.62     3.49

Comparable Group

               

ASBB

  ASB Bancorp, Inc.   $ 733        13.79     13.79     2.82     0.19     1.37     0.16     1.13

CHEV

  Cheviot Financial Corp.   $ 587        15.49     13.90     2.60     0.24     1.46     0.29     1.77

HBCP

  Home Bancorp, Inc.   $ 984        14.42     14.34     2.19     0.76     5.14     0.75     5.09

HFBL

  Home Federal Bancorp, Inc. of Louisiana   $ 286        14.46     14.46     0.18     0.94     6.18     0.93     6.12

IROQ

  IF Bancorp, Inc.   $ 568        13.89     13.89     0.97     0.64     4.22     0.63     4.18

LPSB

  LaPorte Bancorp, Inc.   $ 527        15.25     13.87     1.74     0.83     4.81     0.73     4.25

LABC

  Louisiana Bancorp, Inc.   $ 317        18.29     18.29     0.95     0.86     4.81     0.80     4.47

PBSK

  Poage Bankshares, Inc.   $ 291        19.90     19.90     0.38     0.70     3.62     0.54     2.80

SIBC

  State Investors Bancorp, Inc.   $ 259        16.07     16.07     1.17     0.20     1.19     0.20     1.19

WBKC

  Wolverine Bancorp, Inc.   $ 291        21.66     21.66     3.59     0.60     2.73     0.60     2.73

 

(1) Core income, on a diluted per-share basis. Core income is net income after taxes and before extraordinary items, less net income attributable to noncontrolling interest, gain on the sale of securities, amortization of intangibles, goodwill and nonrecurring items. Assumed tax rate is 35%.

 

(2) P/E = Price to earnings; P/B = Price to book; P/A = Price to assets; P/TB = Price to tangible book value; and P/Core = Price to core earnings. P/E and P/Core =NM if the ratio is negative or above 35x.

 

(3) Indicated 12 month dividend, based on last quarterly dividend declared.

 

(4) Indicated 12 month dividend as a percent of trailing 12 month earnings.

 

(5) ROAA (return on average assets) and ROAE (return on average equity) are indicated ratios based on trailing 12 month earnings and average equity and assets balances.

 

(6) Excludes from averages and medians those companies the subject of actual or rumored acquisition activities or unusual operating characteristics.

Source: SNL Financial, LC. and RP Financial, LC. calculations. The information provided in this report has been obtained from sources we believe are reliable, but we cannot guarantee the accuracy or completeness of such information.

Copyright (c) 2014 by RP® Financial, LC.

 

 


RP® Financial, LC.   

VALUATION ANALYSIS

IV.21

 

3. Price-to-Assets (“P/A”). The P/A valuation methodology determines market value by applying a valuation P/A ratio to the Bank’s pro forma asset base, conservatively assuming no deposit withdrawals are made to fund stock purchases. In all likelihood there will be deposit withdrawals, which results in understating the pro forma P/A ratio which is computed herein. At the $32.00 million midpoint of the valuation range, the Bank’s value equaled 14.46% of pro forma assets. Comparatively, the Peer Group companies also exhibited a similar average P/A ratio of 14.36%. In comparison to the Peer Group’s median P/A ratio of 14.07%, the Bank’s pro forma P/A ratio at the midpoint value reflects a similar level with a small premium of 2.74%.

Valuation Conclusion

It is our opinion that, as of February 21, 2014, the estimated aggregate pro forma market value and offering range of the shares to be issued immediately following the conversion equaled $32,000,000 at the midpoint, equal to 3,200,000 shares offered at a per share value of $10.00. Pursuant to conversion guidelines, the 15% offering range indicates a minimum value of $27,200,000 and a maximum value of $36,800,000. Based on the $10.00 per share offering price determined by the Board, this valuation range equates to total shares outstanding of 2,720,000 at the minimum and 3,680,000 at the maximum. In the event the appraised value is subject to an increase, the aggregate pro forma market value may be increased up to a supermaximum value of $42,320,000 without a resolicitation. Based on the $10.00 per share offering price, the supermaximum value would result in total shares outstanding of 4,232,000.

The pro forma valuation calculations relative to the Peer Group are shown in Table 4.2 and are detailed in Exhibit IV-7 and Exhibit IV-8.