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EX-32.01 - EX-32.01 - ML SELECT FUTURES I LPa13-19789_1ex32d01.htm
EX-32.02 - EX-32.02 - ML SELECT FUTURES I LPa13-19789_1ex32d02.htm

 

 

UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

 

FORM 10-Q

 

(Mark One)

 

x

QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

 

For the quarterly period ended September 30, 2013

 

OR

 

o

TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

 

For the transition period from               to               

 

Commission File Number 0-50269

 

ML SELECT FUTURES I L.P.

(Exact Name of Registrant as

specified in its charter)

 

Delaware

 

13-3879393

(State or other jurisdiction of

 

(IRS Employer Identification No.)

incorporation or organization)

 

 

 

c/o Merrill Lynch Alternative Investments LLC

Four World Financial Center, 11th Floor

250 Vesey Street

New York, New York 10080

(Address of principal executive offices)

(Zip Code)

 

212-449-3517

(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)

 

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.  Yes x  No o

 

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically and posted on its corporate Web site, if any, every Interactive Data File required to be submitted and posted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T (§232.405 of this chapter) during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit and post such files).  Yes x  No o

 

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, or a smaller reporting company.  See the definitions of “large accelerated filer,” “accelerated filer” and “smaller reporting company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act.

 

Large accelerated filer o

 

Accelerated filer o

 

 

 

Non-accelerated filer x

 

Smaller reporting company o

(Do not check if a smaller reporting company)

 

 

 

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act).  Yes o  No x

 

As of September 30, 2013, 243,354 units of limited partnership interest were outstanding.

 

 

 



 

ML SELECT FUTURES I L.P.

 

QUARTERLY REPORT FOR SEPTEMBER 30, 2013 ON FORM 10-Q

 

Table of Contents

 

 

 

 

PAGE

 

PART I—FINANCIAL INFORMATION

 

 

 

 

 

 

Item 1.

Financial Statements

 

1

 

 

 

 

Item 2.

Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

 

14

 

 

 

 

Item 3.

Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk

 

25

 

 

 

 

Item 4.

Controls and Procedures

 

29

 

 

 

 

 

PART II—OTHER INFORMATION

 

 

 

 

 

 

Item 1.

Legal Proceedings

 

30

 

 

 

 

Item 1A.

Risk Factors

 

30

 

 

 

 

Item 2.

Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds

 

30

 

 

 

 

Item 3.

Defaults Upon Senior Securities

 

30

 

 

 

 

Item 4.

Mine Safety Disclosures

 

30

 

 

 

 

Item 5.

Other Information

 

31

 

 

 

 

Item 6.

Exhibits

 

31

 



 

PART I - FINANCIAL INFORMATION

 

Item 1.   Financial Statements

 

ML SELECT FUTURES I L.P.

(a Delaware Limited Partnership)

 

STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION

(unaudited)

 

 

 

September 30,

 

December 31,

 

 

 

2013

 

2012

 

ASSETS:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Equity in commodity trading accounts:

 

 

 

 

 

Cash (includes restricted cash of $5,155,107 for 2013 and $5,303,414 for 2012)

 

$

54,002,040

 

$

70,840,801

 

Net unrealized profit on open futures contracts

 

46,086

 

713,463

 

Cash

 

469,572

 

499,274

 

Accrued interest receivable

 

1,048

 

5,904

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

TOTAL ASSETS

 

$

54,518,746

 

$

72,059,442

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

LIABILITIES AND PARTNERS’ CAPITAL

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

LIABILITIES:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net unrealized loss on open futures contracts

 

$

967,858

 

$

394,347

 

Net unrealized loss on open forward contracts

 

131,976

 

454,655

 

Redemptions payable

 

604,851

 

3,364,972

 

Wrap fee payable

 

255,965

 

341,217

 

Other liabilities

 

42

 

 

Total liabilities

 

1,960,692

 

4,555,191

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PARTNERS’ CAPITAL:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

General Partner (2,991 Units and 6,000 Units)

 

638,127

 

1,318,046

 

Limited Partners (243,354 Units and 301,292 Units)

 

51,919,927

 

66,186,205

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total partners’ capital

 

52,558,054

 

67,504,251

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

TOTAL LIABILITIES AND PARTNERS’ CAPITAL

 

$

54,518,746

 

$

72,059,442

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NET ASSET VALUE PER UNIT

 

 

 

 

 

(Based on 246,345 and 307,292 Units outstanding; unlimited Units authorized)

 

$

213.3512

 

$

219.6744

 

 

See notes to financial statements.

 

1



 

ML SELECT FUTURES I L.P.

(a Delaware Limited Partnership)

 

STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS

(unaudited)

 

 

 

For the three

 

For the three

 

For the nine

 

For the nine

 

 

 

months ended

 

months ended

 

months ended

 

months ended

 

 

 

September 30,

 

September 30,

 

September 30,

 

September 30,

 

 

 

2013

 

2012

 

2013

 

2012

 

TRADING PROFIT (LOSS):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Realized, net

 

$

(1,406,730

)

$

(2,206,036

)

$

2,128,138

 

$

(14,026,555

)

Change in unrealized, net

 

(921,551

)

1,663,198

 

(918,209

)

(725,644

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total trading profit (loss), net

 

(2,328,281

)

(542,838

)

1,209,929

 

(14,752,199

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

INVESTMENT INCOME (LOSS)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Interest, net

 

5,449

 

23,507

 

28,203

 

64,842

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

EXPENSES:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Wrap fee

 

810,463

 

1,296,513

 

2,670,543

 

4,426,860

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total expenses

 

810,463

 

1,296,513

 

2,670,543

 

4,426,860

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NET INVESTMENT INCOME (LOSS)

 

(805,014

)

(1,273,006

)

(2,642,340

)

(4,362,018

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NET INCOME (LOSS)

 

$

(3,133,295

)

$

(1,815,844

)

$

(1,432,411

)

$

(19,114,217

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NET INCOME (LOSS) PER UNIT:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weighted average number of General Partner and Limited Partner Units outstanding

 

256,640

 

365,553

 

278,508

 

392,483

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income (loss) per weighted average General Partner and Limited Partner Unit

 

$

(12.21

)

$

(4.97

)

$

(5.14

)

$

(48.70

)

 

See notes to financial statements.

 

2



 

ML SELECT FUTURES I L.P.

(a Delaware Limited Partnership)

 

STATEMENTS OF CHANGES IN PARTNERS’ CAPITAL

FOR THE NINE  MONTHS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2013 AND 2012

(unaudited)

 

 

 

 

 

General

 

Limited

 

 

 

 

 

Units

 

Partner

 

Partners

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PARTNERS’ CAPITAL, December 31, 2011

 

419,820

 

$

1,705,074

 

$

117,598,997

 

$

119,304,071

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Subscriptions

 

636

 

 

174,865

 

174,865

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income (loss)

 

 

(296,644

)

(18,817,573

)

(19,114,217

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Redemptions

 

(78,882

)

 

(20,184,086

)

(20,184,086

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PARTNERS’ CAPITAL, September 30, 2012

 

341,574

 

$

1,408,430

 

$

78,772,203

 

$

80,180,633

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PARTNERS’ CAPITAL, December 31, 2012

 

307,292

 

$

1,318,046

 

$

66,186,205

 

$

67,504,251

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Subscriptions

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income (loss)

 

 

(14,668

)

(1,417,743

)

(1,432,411

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Redemptions

 

(60,947

)

(665,251

)

(12,848,535

)

(13,513,786

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PARTNERS’ CAPITAL, September 30, 2013

 

246,345

 

$

638,127

 

$

51,919,927

 

$

52,558,054

 

 

See notes to financial statements.

 

3



 

ML SELECT FUTURES I L.P.

(A Delaware Limited Partnership)

 

FINANCIAL DATA HIGHLIGHTS

FOR THE THREE AND NINE MONTHS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2013 AND 2012 (unaudited)

 

The following per Unit data and ratios have been derived from information provided in the financial statements.

 

 

 

Nine months ended

 

Three months ended

 

 

 

September 30, 2013

 

September 30, 2013

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Per Unit Operating Performance:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net asset value, beginning of period

 

$

219.6744

 

$

225.6605

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Realized trading profit (loss)

 

6.7628

 

(5.5299

)

Change in unrealized, net

 

(3.5993

)

(3.6437

)

Interest income, net

 

0.0988

 

0.0211

 

Expenses (1)

 

(9.5855

)

(3.1568

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net asset value, end of period

 

$

213.3512

 

$

213.3512

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Return:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total return (2) 

 

-2.88

%

-5.45

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ratios to Average Partners’ Capital (1):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Expenses (2)

 

4.33

%

1.43

%

Net investment loss

 

-4.28

%

-1.42

%

 


(1) Includes the impact of brokerage commission expenses.

(2) Includes the impact of Performance fees of 0.0%, and 0.0%, respectively.

 

See notes to financial statements.

 

4



 

ML SELECT FUTURES I L.P.

(A Delaware Limited Partnership)

 

FINANCIAL DATA HIGHLIGHTS

FOR THE THREE AND NINE MONTHS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2012 (unaudited)

 

The following per Unit data and ratios have been derived from information provided in the financial statements.

 

 

 

Nine months ended

 

Three months ended

 

 

 

September 30, 2012

 

September 30, 2012

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Per Unit Operating Performance:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net asset value, beginning of period

 

$

284.1791

 

$

240.2625

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Realized trading profit (loss)

 

(35.5545

)

(6.1548

)

Change in unrealized, net

 

(2.8084

)

4.1108

 

Interest income

 

0.1665

 

0.0643

 

Expenses (1)

 

(11.2442

)

(3.5443

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net asset value, end of period

 

$

234.7385

 

$

234.7385

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Return:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total return (2) 

 

-17.40

%

-2.30

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ratios to Average Partners’ Capital (1):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Expenses (2)

 

4.29

%

1.44

%

Net investment loss

 

-4.22

%

-1.41

%

 


(1) Includes the impact of brokerage commission expenses.

(2) Includes the impact of Performance fees of 0.0%, and 0.0%, respectively.

 

See notes to financial statements.

 

5



 

ML SELECT FUTURES I L.P.

(a Delaware Limited Partnership)

 

NOTES TO FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

(unaudited)

 

1.              SUMMARY OF SIGNIFICANT ACCOUNTING POLICIES

 

ML Select Futures I L.P. (the “Partnership”) was organized under the Delaware Revised Uniform Limited Partnership Act in August 1995 and commenced trading activities on April 16, 1996. The Partnership engages in the speculative trading of futures and forward contracts on a wide range of commodities. Sunrise Capital Partners, LLC (“Sunrise” or Trading Advisor) is the trading advisor of the Partnership. The Trading Advisor utilizes its Expanded Diversified Program (the “Trading Program”) for the Partnership.

 

Merrill Lynch Alternative Investments LLC (“MLAI” or the “Sponsor” or the “General Partner”), is the general partner and sponsor of the Partnership. MLAI is an indirect wholly-owned subsidiary of Bank of America Corporation. Bank of America Corporation and its affiliates are referred to herein as “BAC”. Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith Incorporated (“MLPF&S”) is currently the exclusive clearing broker for the Partnership. The General Partner may select other parties as clearing broker(s). Merrill Lynch International Bank Ltd. (“MLIB”) is the primary (“F/X”) forward prime broker for the Partnership. The General Partner may select other parties as F/X or other over-the counter (“OTC”) prime brokers, including Merrill Lynch International (“MLI”). MLPF&S, MLIB and MLI are BAC affiliates. MLAI has agreed to maintain a general partner’s interest of at least 1% of the total capital accounts in the Partnership.  MLAI and each Limited Partner share in the profits and losses of the Partnership in proportion to their respective interests in it.

 

Interests in the Partnership are not insured or otherwise protected by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation or any other government authority.  Interests are not deposits or other obligations of, and are not guaranteed by, BAC or by any bank.  Interests are subject to investment risks, including the possible loss of the full amount invested.

 

In the opinion of management, these interim financial statements contain all adjustments, consisting only of normal recurring adjustments, necessary for a fair statement of the financial position of the Partnership as of  September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012 and the results of its operations for the three and nine  month periods ended September 30, 2013 and 2012.  However, the operating results for the interim periods may not be indicative of the results for the full year.

 

Certain information and footnote disclosures normally included in annual financial statements prepared in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (“U.S. GAAP”) have been omitted.  These financial statements should be read in conjunction with the financial statements and notes thereto included in the Partnership’s report on Form 10-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission for the year ended December 31, 2012.

 

Estimates

 

The preparation of financial statements in conformity with U.S. GAAP requires management to make estimates and assumptions that may affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements as well as the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the reporting period.  Actual results could differ from those estimates and such differences could be material.

 

6



 

2.              CONDENSED SCHEDULES OF INVESTMENTS

 

The Partnership’s investments, defined as net unrealized profit (loss) on open contracts on the Statements of Financial Condition, as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012, are as follows:

 

September 30, 2013

 

 

 

Long Positions

 

Short Positions

 

Net Unrealized

 

 

 

 

 

Commodity Industry

 

Number of

 

Unrealized

 

Percent of

 

Number of

 

Unrealized

 

Percent of

 

Profit (Loss)

 

Percent of

 

 

 

Sector

 

Contracts / Notional*

 

Profit (Loss)

 

Partners’ Capital

 

Contracts / Notional*

 

Profit (Loss)

 

Partners’ Capital

 

on Open Positions

 

Partners’ Capital

 

Maturity Dates

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Agriculture

 

49

 

$

(110,457

)

-0.21

%

(292

)

$

45,185

 

0.09

%

$

(65,272

)

-0.12

%

November 2013 - February 2014

 

Currencies*

 

31,338,755

 

8,665

 

0.02

%

(31,470,643

)

(323,728

)

-0.62

%

(315,063

)

-0.60

%

December 2013

 

Energy

 

39

 

(101,070

)

-0.19

%

(5

)

13,450

 

0.03

%

(87,620

)

-0.16

%

October 2013- May 2014

 

Interest rates

 

88

 

(8,812

)

-0.02

%

(354

)

(193,264

)

-0.37

%

(202,076

)

-0.39

%

December 2013 - March 2014

 

Metals

 

139

 

(41,851

)

-0.08

%

(260

)

(73,466

)

-0.14

%

(115,317

)

-0.22

%

October 2013- December 2013

 

Stock indices

 

603

 

(268,400

)

-0.51

%

 

 

0.00

%

(268,400

)

-0.51

%

October 2013- December 2013

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total, net

 

 

 

$

(521,925

)

-0.99

%

 

 

$

(531,823

)

-1.01

%

$

(1,053,748

)

-2.00

%

 

 

 

December 31, 2012

 

 

 

Long Positions

 

Short Positions

 

Net Unrealized

 

 

 

 

 

Commodity Industry

 

Number of

 

Unrealized

 

Percent of

 

Number of

 

Unrealized

 

Percent of

 

Profit (Loss)

 

Percent of

 

 

 

Sector

 

Contracts / Notional*

 

Profit (Loss)

 

Partners’ Capital

 

Contracts / Notional*

 

Profit (Loss)

 

Partners’ Capital

 

on Open Positions

 

Partners’ Capital

 

Maturity Dates

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Agriculture

 

 

$

 

0.00

%

(268

)

$

160,609

 

0.24

%

$

160,609

 

0.24

%

February 2013 - March 2013

 

Currencies*

 

80,585,876

 

(313,499

)

-0.46

%

(91,171,403

)

334,816

 

0.50

%

21,317

 

0.04

%

January 2013 - March 2013

 

Interest rates

 

569

 

(186,285

)

-0.28

%

 

 

0.00

%

(186,285

)

-0.28

%

March 2013

 

Metals

 

 

 

0.00

%

(88

)

(90,822

)

-0.13

%

(90,822

)

-0.13

%

February 2013 - March 2013

 

Stock indices

 

781

 

(40,358

)

-0.06

%

 

 

0.00

%

(40,358

)

-0.06

%

January 2013 - March 2013

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total, net

 

 

 

$

(540,142

)

-0.80

%

 

 

$

404,603

 

0.61

%

$

(135,539

)

-0.19

%

 

 

 


*Currencies are stated in notional amounts.

 

No individual contract’s unrealized profit or loss comprised greater than 5% of Partners’ Capital as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012. With respect to each commodity industry sector listed in the above chart, the net unrealized profit (loss) on open positions is the sum of the unrealized profits (loss) of long positions and short positions of the open contracts, netting unrealized losses against unrealized profits as applicable.  Net unrealized profit and loss provides an approximate measure of the exposure of the Partnership to the various sectors as of the date listed, although such exposure can change at any time.

 

7



 

3.              FAIR VALUE OF INVESTMENTS

 

Fair value of an investment is the amount that would be received to sell the investment in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date (i.e. the exit price).  All investments (including derivative financial instruments and derivative commodity instruments) are held for trading purposes.  The investments are recorded on trade date and open contracts are recorded at fair value (described below) at the measurement date. Investments denominated in foreign currencies are translated into U.S. dollars at the exchange rates prevailing at the measurement date.  Profits or losses are realized when contracts are liquidated.  Unrealized profits or losses on open contracts are included in equity in commodity trading accounts on the Statements of Financial Condition.  Any change in net unrealized profit or loss from the preceding period/year is reported in the respective Statements of Operations.

 

The fair value measurement guidance established by U.S. GAAP is a hierarchal disclosure framework which prioritizes and ranks the level of market price observability used in measuring investments at fair value. Market price observability is impacted by a number of factors, including the type of investment and the characteristics specific to the investment. Investments with readily available active quoted prices or for which fair value can be measured from actively quoted prices generally will have a higher degree of market price observability and a lesser degree of judgment used in measuring fair value.

 

Investments measured and reported at fair value are classified and disclosed in one of the following categories:

 

Level I — Quoted prices are available in active markets for identical investments as of the reporting date. The type of investments included in Level I are publicly traded investments. As required by the fair market value measurement guidance in U.S. GAAP, the Partnership does not adjust the quoted price for these investments even in situations where the Partnership holds a large position and a sale could reasonably impact the quoted price.

 

Level II — Pricing inputs are other than quoted prices in active markets, which are either directly or indirectly observable as of the reporting date, and fair value is determined through the use of generally accepted and understood models or other valuation methodologies. Investments which are generally included in this category are investments valued using market data.

 

Level III — Pricing inputs are unobservable and include situations where there is little, if any, market activity for the investment. Fair value for these investments is determined using valuation methodologies that consider a range of factors, including but not limited to the nature of the investment, local market conditions, trading values on public exchanges for comparable securities, current and projected operating performance and financing transactions subsequent to the acquisition of the investment. The inputs into the determination of fair value require significant management judgment. Due to the inherent uncertainty of these estimates, these values may differ materially from the values that would have been used had a ready market for these investments existed. Investments that are included in this category generally are privately held debt and equity securities.

 

In certain cases, the inputs used to measure fair value may fall into different levels of the fair value hierarchy. In such cases, an investment’s level within the fair value hierarchy is based on the lowest level of input that is significant to the fair value measurement. MLAI’s assessment of the significance of a particular input to the fair value measurement in its entirety requires judgment, and considers factors specific to the investment.

 

The following is a description of the valuation methodologies used for investments, as well as the general classification of such investments pursuant to the valuation hierarchy.

 

8



 

Exchange traded investments are fair valued by the Partnership by using the reported closing price on the primary exchange where such investments are traded. These closing prices are observed through the clearing broker and third party pricing services. For non-exchange traded investments, quoted values and other data provided by nationally recognized independent pricing sources are used as inputs into its process for determining fair values.

 

The independent pricing sources obtain market quotations and actual transaction prices for investments that have quoted prices in active markets. Each source has its own proprietary method for determining the fair value of investments that are not actively traded. In general, these methods involve the use of “matrix pricing” in which the independent pricing source uses observable market inputs including, but not limited to, investment yields, credit risks and spreads, benchmarking of like investments, broker-dealer quotes, reported trades and sector groupings to determine a reasonable fair market value.

 

The Partnership has determined that Level I investments would include its futures and options contracts where it believes that quoted prices are available in an active market.

 

Where the Partnership believes that quoted market prices are not available or that the market is not active, fair values are estimated by using quoted prices of investments with similar characteristics, pricing models or matrix pricing and these are generally classified as Level II investments. The Partnership determined that Level II investments would include its forward and certain futures contracts.

 

The Partnership’s net unrealized profit (loss) on open forward and futures contracts, by the above fair value hierarchy levels, as of September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012 are as follows:

 

Net unrealized profit (loss) 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

on open contracts

 

Total

 

Level I

 

Level II

 

Level III

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Futures

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Long

 

$

(467,339

)

$

(425,488

)

$

(41,851

)

$

 

Short

 

(454,432

)

(382,194

)

(72,238

)

 

 

 

$

(921,771

)

$

(807,682

)

$

(114,089

)

$

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Forwards

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Long

 

$

(54,586

)

$

 

$

(54,586

)

$

 

Short

 

(77,391

)

 

(77,391

)

 

 

 

$

(131,977

)

$

 

$

(131,977

)

$

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

September 30, 2013

 

$

(1,053,748

)

$

(807,682

)

$

(246,066

)

$

 

 

9



 

Net unrealized profit (loss)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

on open contracts

 

Total

 

Level I

 

Level II

 

Level III

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Futures

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Long

 

$

(384,296

)

$

(384,296

)

$

 

$

 

Short

 

703,412

 

703,412

 

 

 

 

 

319,116

 

319,116

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Forwards

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Long

 

$

(155,846

)

$

 

$

(155,846

)

 

Short

 

(298,809

)

 

(298,809

)

 

 

 

(454,655

)

 

(454,655

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

December 31, 2012

 

$

(135,539

)

$

319,116

 

$

(454,655

)

$

 

 

The Partnership’s volume of trading forwards and futures as of the nine month period ended September 30, 2013 and year ended December 31, 2012 are representative of the activity throughout these periods. There were no transfers to or from any level during the three or nine month periods ended September 30, 2013 or the year ended December 31, 2012.

 

The Partnership engages in the speculative trading of futures, options on futures and forward contracts on a wide range of commodities. Such contracts meet the definition of a derivative as noted in the ASC guidance for accounting for derivative and hedging activities. The fair value amounts of, and the net profits and losses on, derivative instruments is disclosed in the Statements of Financial Condition and Statements of Operations, respectively. There are no credit related contingent features embedded in these derivative contracts. The total notional, contract amount or number of contracts and fair values of derivative instruments by contract type/commodity sector are disclosed in Note 2, above.

 

The Partnership presents its futures and forward contract amounts gross on the Statement of Financial Condition. The Partnership maintains margin deposits and cash collateral with its futures and forward brokers, respectively, in amounts determined by the respective broker. At September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012, the initial margin deposits (cash) are used to satisfy the margin requirements to establish the futures or forward contracts and are presented on the Statement of Financial Condition as Cash on deposit with Broker and the variation margin on open contracts as unrealized gain or loss on futures or forward contracts, respectively.

 

10



 

The following table indicates the trading profits and losses, before brokerage commissions, by type/commodity industry sector, on derivative instruments for each of the three and nine month periods ended September 30, 2013 and 2012:

 

 

 

For the three months ended

 

For the nine months ended

 

 

 

September 30, 2013

 

September 30, 2013

 

Commodity Industry Sector

 

Profit (loss) from trading, net

 

Profit (loss) from trading, net

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Agriculture

 

$

(172,260

)

$

101,706

 

Currencies

 

(413,475

)

(401,538

)

Energy

 

(156,671

)

(1,928,778

)

Interest rates

 

(705,128

)

(1,286,552

)

Metals

 

(1,778,710

)

1,631,812

 

Stock indices

 

897,963

 

3,093,279

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total, net

 

$

(2,328,281

)

$

1,209,929

 

 

 

 

For the three months ended

 

For the nine months ended

 

 

 

September 30, 2012

 

September 30, 2012

 

Commodity Industry Sector

 

profit (loss) from trading, net

 

profit (loss) from trading, net

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Agriculture

 

3,197,384

 

2,260,604

 

Currencies

 

(743,300

)

(5,496,065

)

Energy

 

(669,532

)

(4,953,787

)

Interest rates

 

(317,973

)

(241,414

)

Metals

 

(2,155,337

)

(4,718,523

)

Stock indices

 

145,920

 

(1,603,014

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total, net

 

$

(542,838

)

$

(14,752,199

)

 

The Partnership is subject to the risk of insolvency of a counterparty, an exchange, a clearinghouse, MLPF&S or other BAC entities.  Partnership assets could be lost or impounded during lengthy bankruptcy proceedings.  Were a substantial portion of the Partnership’s capital tied up in a bankruptcy or other similar types of proceedings, MLAI might suspend or limit trading, perhaps causing the Partnership to miss significant profit opportunities.  There are increased risks in dealing with unregulated trading counterparties including the risk that assets may not benefit from the protection afforded to “customer funds” deposited with regulated dealers and brokers.

 

4.              MARKET AND CREDIT RISKS

 

The nature of this Partnership has certain risks, which cannot all be presented on the financial statements.  The following summarizes some of those risks.

 

11



 

Market Risk

 

Derivative instruments involve varying degrees of market risk.  Changes in the level or volatility of interest rates, foreign currency exchange rates or the market values of the financial instruments or commodities underlying such derivative instruments frequently result in changes in the Partnership’s Net unrealized profit (loss) on open contracts on such derivative instruments as reflected in the Statements of Financial Condition.  The Partnership’s exposure to market risk is influenced by a number of factors, including the relationships among the derivative instruments held by the Partnership as well as the volatility and liquidity of the markets in which the derivative instruments are traded.  Investments in foreign markets may also entail legal and political risks.

 

MLAI has procedures in place intended to control market risk exposure, although there can be no assurance that they will, in fact, succeed in doing so.  These procedures focus primarily on monitoring the trading of Sunrise, calculating the Net Asset Value of the Partnership as of the close of business on each day and reviewing outstanding positions for over-concentrations.  While MLAI does not intervene in the markets to hedge or diversify the Partnership’s market exposure, MLAI may urge Sunrise to reallocate positions in an attempt to avoid over-concentrations.  However, such interventions are expected to be unusual. It is expected that MLAI’s basic risk control procedures will consist of the ongoing process of Trading Advisor monitoring, with the market risk controls being applied by Sunrise.

 

Credit Risk

 

The risks associated with exchange-traded contracts are typically perceived to be less than those associated with over-the-counter (non-exchange-traded) transactions, because exchanges typically (but not universally) provide clearinghouse arrangements in which the collective credit (in some cases limited in amount, in some cases not) of the members of the exchange/clearinghouse is pledged to support the financial integrity of the exchange/clearinghouse.  In over-the-counter transactions, on the other hand, traders must rely solely on the credit of their respective individual counterparties.  Margins, which may be subject to loss in the event of a default, are generally required in exchange traded contracts and in the over the counter markets counterparties may also require margin.

 

The credit risk associated with these instruments from counterparty nonperformance is the Net unrealized profit (loss) on open contracts, if any, included in the Statements of Financial Condition.  MLAI, as sponsor of the Partnership, has a general policy of maintaining clearing and prime brokerage arrangements with BAC affiliates, such as MLPF&S and MLIB, although MLAI may engage non-BAC affiliated service providers as clearing brokers or prime brokers for the Partnership.

 

The Partnership, in its normal course of business, enters into various contracts, with MLPF&S acting as its futures clearing broker.  Pursuant to the brokerage arrangement with MLPF&S (which includes a netting arrangement), MLPF&S has the right to net receivables and payables.

 

Indemnifications

 

In the normal course of business the Partnership has entered, or may in the future enter, into agreements that obligate the Partnership to indemnify certain parties, including BAC affiliates, for breach of certain representations and warranties made by the Partnership. No claims have actually been made with respect to such indemnities and any quantification would involve hypothetical claims that have not been made. Based on the Partnership’s experience, MLAI expects the risk of loss to be remote and, therefore, no provision has been recorded.

 

12



 

5.              RELATED PARTY TRANSACTIONS

 

MLAI and the Partnership entered into a transfer agency and investor services agreement with Financial Data Services, Inc. (the “Transfer Agent”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of BAC and affiliate of MLAI. The Transfer Agent provides registrar, distribution disbursing agent, transfer agent and certain other services related to the issuance, redemption, exchange and transfer of Units. The fees charged by the Transfer Agent for its services are based on the aggregate net assets of funds managed or sponsored by MLAI.  The fee rate ranges from 0.016% to 0.02% per year of the aggregate net assets.  MLAI allocates the Transfer Agent fees to each of the managed or sponsored funds on a monthly basis, including the Partnership’, based on each fund’s net assets. The fee is payable monthly in arrears. The Transfer Agent fee, which was 0.02% of aggregate asset level, allocated to the Partnership for each of the three and nine month periods ended September 30, 2013 and 2012, are paid on behalf of the Partnership by MLAI. These fees are included in the wraps fees.

 

Wrap Fees and Interest as presented on the Statements of Operations are all received from or paid to related parties. Equity in commodity trading accounts, including cash and net unrealized profit/loss, as seen on the Statement of Financial Condition are held with a related party.

 

6.              RECENT ACCOUNTING PRONOUNCEMENTS

 

In June 2013, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (“FASB”) issued an update relating to the criteria used in defining an investment company under US GAAP. It also sets forth certain measurement and disclosure requirements.   Under the new standard the typical characteristics of an investment company will be: (i) it has more than one investment and more than one investor, (ii) it has investors that are not related parties of the entity or the investment manager, (iii) it has ownership interests in the form of equity or partnership interests, and (iv) it manages substantially all of its investments on a fair value basis. The standard also reaffirms that a noncontrolling interest in another investment company should be measured at fair value instead of the equity method. It also includes additional disclosure requirements for an entity to disclose the fact that it is an investment company, and to provide information about changes, if any, in its status as an investment company. Finally, an entity will also need to include disclosures around financial support that has been provided or is contractually required to be provided to any of its investees. The requirements of the standard are effective for interim and annual reporting periods in fiscal years that begin after December 15, 2013, with early application prohibited. The Sponsor is currently evaluating the standard and does not believe it will have a material impact to the Partnership’s financial statements.

 

7.              SUBSEQUENT EVENTS

 

The General Partner has evaluated the impact of subsequent events on the Partnership through the date the financials were able to be issued and has determined that there were no subsequent events that require adjustments to, or disclosure in, the financial statements.

 

13



 

Item 2.  Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

 

MLAI believes that the Net Asset Value used to calculate subscription and redemption value and to report performance to investors throughout the period is a useful performance measure for the investors of the Partnership.  Therefore, the charts below referencing Net Asset Value and performance measurements are based on the Net Asset Value for financial reporting purposes.

 

The Partnership calculates the Net Asset Value per Unit as of the close of business on the last business day of each  month and any other dates MLAI may determine in its discretion (each a “Calculation Date”). The Partnership’s “Net Asset Value” as of any Calculation Date generally equals the value of the Partnership’s account under the management of the Trading Advisor as of such date, plus any other assets held by the Partnership, minus accrued brokerage commissions, administrative fees, profit shares, and other liabilities of the Partnership. MLAI or its delegates are authorized to make all Net Asset Value determinations.

 

MONTH-END NET ASSET VALUE PER UNIT

 

MONTH-END NET ASSET VALUE PER INITIAL UNIT

 

 

 

Jan.

 

Feb.

 

Mar.

 

Apr.

 

May

 

Jun.

 

Jul.

 

Aug.

 

Sep.

 

2012

 

$

273.8266

 

$

272.7583

 

$

277.3155

 

$

273.4723

 

$

261.5746

 

$

240.2625

 

$

256.1229

 

$

245.2881

 

$

234.7385

 

2013

 

$

227.3940

 

$

214.0573

 

$

219.7681

 

$

221.9490

 

$

226.4065

 

$

225.6605

 

$

222.4313

 

$

219.8696

 

$

213.3512

 

 

Liquidity and Capital Resources

 

The Partnership borrows only to a limited extent and only on a strictly short-term basis in order to finance losses on non-U.S. dollar denominated trading positions pending the conversion of the Partnership’s U.S. dollar deposits. These borrowings are at a prevailing short-term rate in the relevant currency.

 

Substantially all of the Partnership’s assets are held in cash. The Net Asset Value of the Partnership’s cash is not affected by inflation. However, changes in interest rates could cause periods of strong up or down price trends, during which the Partnership’s profit potential generally increases. Inflation in commodity prices could also generate price movements, which the strategies might successfully follow.  The Partnership should be able to close out its open trading positions and liquidate its holdings relatively quickly and at market prices, except in unusual circumstances. This typically permits the Partnership to limit losses as well as reduce market exposure on short notice should its strategies indicate doing so.

 

Investors in the Partnership may redeem any or all of their Units at Net Asset Value, effective as of last day of any calendar month, upon providing notice at least 10 calendar days prior to month-end. Partial redemptions are permitted, provided that the Net Asset Value of an investor’s Units following such redemption is not less than $10,000.  Units redeemed at or prior to the twelfth full month following the purchase date will be assessed a redemption charge of 4% as of the date of redemption, paid to the General Partner. Investors will remain exposed to fluctuations in Net Asset Value during the period between submission of their redemption request and the applicable redemption date.

 

As a commodity pool, the Partnership maintains an extremely large percentage of its assets in cash, which it must have available to post initial and variation margin on futures contracts.  This cash is also used to fund redemptions.  While the Partnership has the ability to fund redemption proceeds from liquidating positions, as a practical matter positions are not liquidated to fund redemptions.  In the event that positions were liquidated to fund redemptions, MLAI, as the General Partner of the Partnership, has the ability to override decisions of the Trading Advisor to fund redemptions if necessary, but in practice the Trading Advisor would determine in its discretion which investments should be liquidated.

 

14



 

For the nine month periods ended September 30, 2013, Partnership capital decreased 22.14% from $67,504,251 to $52,558,054.  This decrease was attributable to the net loss from operations of $1,432,411 coupled with the redemption of 60,947 Redeemable Units of Interest resulting in an outflow of $13,513,786  Future redemptions could impact the amount of funds available for investment in commodity contract positions in subsequent months.

 

Critical Accounting Policies

 

Statement of Cash Flows

 

The Partnership is not required to provide a Statement of Cash Flows.

 

Investments

 

All investments (including derivatives) are held for trading purposes.  Investments are recorded on trade date and open contracts are recorded at fair value (as described below) at the measurement date.  Investments denominated in foreign currencies are translated into U.S. dollars at the exchange rates prevailing at the measurement date. Profits or losses are realized when contracts are liquidated.  Unrealized profits or losses on open contracts are included as a component of equity in commodity trading accounts on the Statements of Financial Condition. Realized profits or losses and any change in net unrealized profits or losses from the preceding period are reported in the Statements of Operations.

 

Fair Value Measurements

 

Fair value is defined as the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date. For more information on the Partnership’s treatment of fair value see Note 3, Fair Value of Investments.

 

Futures Contracts

 

The Partnership trades exchange listed futures contracts.  A listed futures contract is a firm commitment to buy or sell a standardized quantity of an underlying asset over a specified duration.  The Partnership buys and sells contracts based on indices of financial assets such as stocks, domestic and global stock indices, as well as contracts on various physical commodities. Prices paid or received on these contracts are determined by the ask or bid provided by the exchanges on which they are traded.   Contracts may be settled in physical form or cash settled depending upon the contract.  Upon the execution of a trade, margin requirements determine the amount of cash that must be on deposit to secure the transaction.  These amounts are considered restricted cash on the Partnership’s Statements of Financial Condition.  Contracts are priced daily by the Partnership and the profit or loss based on the daily mark to market are recorded as unrealized profits.  When the contract is closed, the Partnership records a realized profit or loss equal to the difference between the value of the contract at the time it was opened and the value at the time it was closed.  Because transactions in futures contracts require participants to make both initial margin deposits of cash or other assets and variation margin deposits, through the futures broker, directly with the exchange on which the contracts are traded, credit exposure is limited.  Realized profits (losses), net and changes in unrealized profits (losses), net on futures contracts are included in the Statements of Operations.  The Partnership also trades futures contracts on the London Metals Exchange (LME).  The valuation pricing for LME contracts is based on action of a committee that incorporates prices from the most liquid trading sessions of the day and can also rely on other inputs such as supply and demand factors and bid and asks from open outcry sessions.

 

15



 

Forward Foreign Currency Contracts

 

Foreign currency contracts are those contracts where the Partnership agrees to receive or deliver a fixed quantity of foreign currency for an agreed-upon price on an agreed future date.  Foreign currency contracts are valued daily, and the Partnership’s net equity therein, representing unrealized  profit or loss on the contracts as measured by the difference between the forward foreign exchange rates at the dates of entry into the contracts and the forward rates at the reporting date, is included in the Statements of Financial Condition.  Realized profits (losses) and changes in unrealized profits (losses) on foreign currency contracts are recognized in the period in which the contract is closed or the changes occur, respectively and are included in the Statements of Operations.

 

Interest Rates and Income

 

The Partnership receives an interest rate based on the 90 day T-bill rate on U.S. dollar deposits.  Other rates exist for non-U.S. dollar deposits, however most of the Partnership’s cash is held in U.S. dollars.  The current short term interest rates have remained extremely low when compared with historical rates and thus has contributed negligible amounts to overall Partnership performance.

 

Income Taxes

 

No provision for income taxes has been made in the accompanying financial statements as each Limited Partner is individually responsible for reporting income or loss based on such Partner’s share of the Partnership’s income and expenses as reported for income tax purposes.

 

The Partnership follows the Accounting Standards Codification guidance on accounting for uncertainty in income taxes.  This guidance provides how uncertain tax positions should be recognized, measured, presented and disclosed in the financial statements.  This guidance also requires the evaluation of tax positions taken or expected to be taken in the course of preparing the Partnership’s financial statements to determine whether the tax positions are “more-likely-than-not” to be sustained by the applicable tax authority.  Tax positions with respect to tax at the Partnership level not deemed to meet the “more-likely-than-not” threshold would be recorded as a tax benefit or expense in the current year.  A prospective investor should be aware that, among other things, income taxes could have a material adverse effect on the periodic calculations of the net asset value of the Partnership, including reducing the net asset value of the Partnership to reflect reserves for income taxes, such as foreign withholding taxes, that may be payable by the Partnership. This could cause benefits or detriments to certain investors, depending upon the timing of their entry and exit from the Partnership. MLAI has analyzed the Partnership’s tax positions and has concluded that no provision for income tax is required in the Partnership’s financial statements. The following is the major tax jurisdiction for the Partnership and the earliest tax year subject to examination: United States — 2010.

 

Reform Act

 

The Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act (the “Reform Act”) was signed into law on July 21, 2010. The Reform Act enacts financial regulatory reform, and may alter the way in which the Partnership conducts certain trading activities.   The Reform Act includes measures to broaden the scope of derivative instruments subject to regulation, including requiring clearing and exchange trading of certain derivatives, imposing new capital and margin reporting, registration and business conduct requirements for certain market participants and imposing position limits on certain over-the-counter derivatives. The Reform Act grants the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission and the Securities and Exchange Commission substantial new authority and requires numerous rulemakings by these agencies. The ultimate

 

16



 

impact of these derivatives regulations, and the time it will take to comply, remains uncertain. The final regulations may impose additional operational and compliance costs on the Partnership.

 

Results of Operations

 

January 1, 2013 to September 30, 2013

 

January 1, 2013 to March 31, 2013

 

The Partnership experienced a net trading profit of $990,123 before brokerage commissions and related fees in the first quarter of 2013. The Partnership’s profits were primarily attributable to the stock indices and the agriculture sectors posting profits. The metals, currencies, energy and interest rates sectors posted losses.

 

The stock indices posted profits to the Partnership. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter as investor confidence drove prices up across numerous markets traded. Leading the charge for the Trading Program were Japanese equities which continued their late 2012 run in the wake of continued efforts by the new government to stimulate its economy by weakening the Japanese yen. Losses were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter. Trading in the U.S. markets generated small profits that were offset by losses in international equities in the face of Italian politics and other perceived indicators of global economic weakness. As a result, the Trading Program continued profitable trading of U.S. stock indices and trending S&P sub-sectors was outweighed by losses in both Europe and Asia for the month. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter due to the surging U.S. stock markets. Large gains in the S&P, NASDAQ, Dow Jones and various U.S. equity sub-sectors generated the bulk of equity profits.

 

The agriculture sector posted profits to the Partnership. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter in which sugar prices spiraled downward in support of the Trading Program’s short position. Profits were posted to the Partnership in the middle of through the end of the quarter due to the Trading Program’s short positions in sugar and coffee.

 

The metals sector posted losses to the Partnership. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter as gold and copper pushed upward against the Trading Program’s short positions. Also challenging was the zinc market, wherein the Trading Program entered into a long position only to sharply reverse resulting in losses posted to the Partnership. Losses were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter with zinc losses offsetting gains in gold and copper. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter as the Trading Program’s short copper and gold positions continued to track ongoing reversals in each of those markets and offset a small loss incurred on a long zinc trade.

 

The currency sector posted losses to the Partnership. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter. The sharp downward move in the Japanese yen that began late 2012 accelerated in January and led to profit taking by the Trading Program. Complementing the Japanese yen’s productive move was a solid upward surge in the euro and European minor currencies. Profits were also found shorting the South African rand which continued a downward trend and further bolstered the Trading Program’s January performance in currency. These trading gains were more-than-sufficient to offset losses suffered when the Swiss franc and Australian dollar moved against the Trading Program’s long positions and the British pound spiked upward against the Trading Program’s short position. Losses in the euro, Swiss franc, Australian dollar and a range of minor European currencies outweighed gains in the British pound,

 

17



 

Japanese yen, and South African rand resulting in losses posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter. March began with the Trading Program’s short euro trade that caused a loss, which was offset by winning short positions in the Japanese yen, Swiss franc and South African rand.

 

The energy sector posted losses to the Partnership. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter. Most notably, crude oil spiked sharply yielding profits for the Trading Program. Supplementing these profits were favorable trades in heating oil, and various gasoline markets. Losses were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter. Strong upward trends and seemingly orderly pullbacks were disrupted by unpredicted price turmoil when an unidentified investor sold large quantities of crude oil futures within a very short time window toward the end of the month of February.  This occurrence reduced prices below the Trading Program’s risk tolerances and forced the Trading Program out of trading positions that otherwise appeared on track to produce positive returns. The Trading Program also generated losses in unleaded gas, gas oil, heating oil and Brent crude. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter as the Trading Program’s long natural gas trade toward the end of the month of March generated gains to offset losses realized by shorting the same market in early March.

 

The interest rate sector posted losses to the Partnership. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter. In particular, the U.S. and European interest rates moved downward against the Trading Program’s short bond positions. Losses were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter due to small losses in European interest rates. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter due to the Trading Program’s long bond/short interest rate positions across Europe and in Japan and long T- note/short rate positions in the U.S.

 

April 1, 2013 to June 30, 2013

 

The Partnership experienced a net trading profit of $2, 548,087 before brokerage commissions and related fees in the second quarter of 2013. The Partnership’s profits were primarily attributable to the metals, interest rate and currency sectors posting profits. The agriculture, stock indices and energy sectors posted losses.

 

The metals sector posted profits to the Partnership. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter as copper and gold continued their 2013 price free fall in line with the Trading Program’s short positions in each market. Adding to profits was a short silver position toward the end of April. Profits were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter. The metals sector diverged during May, with base metals, aluminum and copper, losing money in their short positions. Precious metals, gold and silver, conversely profited from short positions with gold dropping nearly $100 per ounce during the month of May and silver nearly $2 per ounce. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter. The Trading Program short position benefitted from Gold’s mid-month drop. Short positions in copper, nickel, aluminum and silver posted profits for the Partnership.

 

The interest rate sector posted profits to the Partnership. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter. Fixed income trading was profitable April as long bond/short rate positions in both Germany and across the U.S. yield curve all turned profits posted to the Partnership which offset losses on the Trading Program’s long bond/short rate position in Japan. Losses were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter. The interest rate sector lost money across the board, appearing to be principally driven by U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke’s comments that the Federal Reserve may reduce its bond purchasing program given recent signs of an improving economy. Markets reacted strongly to this, with the yield on the U.S. ten year rising nearly 50 basis points, to over two percent. This material move caused the Trading Program to exit its long positions held at the beginning of the month and go short U.S. treasuries across the yield curve. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the

 

18



 

end of the quarter. The Trading Program’s diversified approach captured significant profits with short positions across the U.S. yield curve and Canada.

 

The currency sector posted profits to the Partnership. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter. Currency trading was essentially flat for April as profitable trades such as long positions in the euro and Swiss franc and short positions in the Japanese yen were offset by long positions in the Australian dollar and short positions in the British pound and South African rand. Profits were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter. The Trading Program’s short trades in the Australian dollar made money as it declined amid numbers out of China that pointed to a slowing economy and the prospect of softening demand for Australian commodities. The Trading Program short Japanese yen plays against the U.S. dollar, British pound and Euro were all profitable. The South African rand weakening against the U.S. dollar benefitted the Trading Program. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter. Profits from the Trading Program’s Australian dollar and buying British pounds and Euros were not enough to offset losses incurred shorting the Japanese yen, Singapore dollar, New Zealand dollar, and South African rand.

 

The agriculture sector posted losses to the Partnership. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter resulting from the Trading Program’s long positions in cotton and short positions in soy meal and wheat. Profits were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter resulting from the Trading Program’s short positions in grains and softs. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter resulting form the Trading Program’s short position in wheat.

 

The stock indices sector posted losses to the Partnership. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter resulting from the Trading Program’s long U.S. index trades as well as various S&P sub-sectors most responsive to the ongoing U.S. stock market surge. Also, the Trading Program’s long equity positions in Japan, Taiwan and Sweden and a profitable short position in India resulted in profits. Profits were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter as U.S. and European equity markets climbed higher. Through the first two- thirds of May, the S&P, NASDAQ, DAX and EuroStoxx, among others, moved up day by day. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter as stocks dropped in June.

 

The energy sector posted losses to the Partnership. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter resulting from the downward price movement that has persisting for much of the year in oil and gas products stalled and reversed just enough to undercut many of the Trading Program’s short positions. Losses were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter. Volatility in natural gas led to losses that tipped the sector into negative territory in May. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter resulting from price fall-offs in RBOB gasoline, gasoil and Brent crude.

 

July 1, 2013 to September 30, 2013

 

The Partnership experienced a net trading loss of $2,328,281 before brokerage commissions and related fees in the third quarter of 2013. The Partnership’s profits were primarily attributable to the stock indices sector posting profits. The agriculture, energy, currency, interest rate and metal sectors posted losses.

 

The stock indices sector posted profits to the Partnership. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter. U.S. markets were profitable in July (long Dow, S&P and Nasdaq positions), as well as the Trading Program’s ongoing long positions in a wide range of S&P 500 sectors, including healthcare, consumer discretionary and consumer staples. Global equity markets lagged the United States but small profits in Asian and European markets rounded out the Trading Program’s profitable month of equity investing. Losses were posted to the Partnership in the middle of quarter. A variety of factors appeared to knock U.S equities off their bullish stride including some poor real estate numbers in the early

 

19



 

part of August and then late August uncertainty regarding potential U.S. involvement in Syria. The net result for the Partnership were losses in the S&P and Dow Jones index futures markets as well as in the health care, consumer staples, industrial, technology, utilities, consumer discretionary, and financial sub-sectors of the S&P. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter.

 

The agriculture sector posted losses to the Partnership. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter as falling corn, soybean and soymeal prices made for good trading opportunities, particularly for some of the Trading Program’s shorter term investment models. Wheat and rubber generated small losses which were overshadowed by the Trading Program’s gains in corn and the soybean complex. Profits were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter in spite of the Trading Program’s challenging trading days in several grain markets. The most profitable trades were short wheat and sugar, which collectively offset losses in soybeans for August. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter. Wheat and sugar prices spiked upward against the Trading Program’s short positions. Also  soybeans  and  soymeal  prices moved  lower  against  the Trading Program’s  long positions.

 

The energy sector posted losses to the Partnership. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter.  The energy sector was neutral for the month of July as small profits buying brent crude, crude and gasoil and selling natural gas were offset by small losses in the heating oil and rbob markets. Profits were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter as the Trading Program profited from the long positions that captured sharp price spikes in the brent and crude oil markets. The gains in these trades outpaced small losses in natural gas and heating oil. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter. After the prospect of military action in Syria seemed to subside, energy prices, which had risen due to the possibility of conflict in the Middle East, sold off across the board. Gas and crude oil proved to be particularly troublesome and heating oil, Brent crude, RBOB (gasoline) and even natural gas added to the Trading Program’s negative performance in energy for September.

 

The currency sector posted losses to the Partnership. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter as the British pound (long), Japanese yen (short), and New Zealand dollar (short) all moved against the Trading Program. Profits were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter as the Trading Program captured profits in short Australian dollar and Japanese yen positions. Long Swiss franc and short New Zealand and Singapore dollar positions also generated profits. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter. Most damaging was the Australian dollar which spiked upward sharply against the Trading Program’s short position such that it turned many of the models to the long side by month end.   Compounding the harm were losses in the Singapore dollar, South African rand, New Zealand dollar, and Japanese yen, all of which strengthened against the U.S. dollar upon the U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision not to taper quantitative easing. Diversification paid dividends however as both the British pound and Euro moved upward in support of the Trading Program’s long positions in those markets and mitigated some losses.

 

The interest rate sector posted losses to the Partnership. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter. Fixed income markets, after offering some good shorting opportunities early in July, settled into a fairly indecisive pattern that ultimately led to small Trading Program losses for the month. The least helpful markets were in Europe where bobl and bund futures turned against the Trading Program’s short positions. The Trading Program’s ongoing short positions along the U.S. yield curve garnered nearly offsetting profits as U.S. bonds continue to lose value. Profits were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter from the Trading Program’s short positions in the global bond market. The Trading Program’s short positions in the back end of the curve in the United States, Canada and Europe proved profitable. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter as the downward move in bond prices and corresponding uptick in interest rates that had characterized the previous several months reversed course sharply upon the U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision to maintain its

 

20



 

current level of quantitative easing.  Also corresponding losses in Europe’s Bund market added to the losses at the end of September.

 

The metals sector posted losses to the Partnership. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter when collapsing metal prices took a bit of a respite. Most harmful to the Trading Program was a price rally in gold and copper. Losses were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter as the downward trend that has prevailed for much of 2013 stalled and then reversed course for much of August. Losses across the board against the Trading Program’s short positions in silver, aluminum, gold, and copper drove unprofitable trading with nickel being the only metals market from which the Trading Program emerged unscathed. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter.

 

January 1, 2012 to September 30, 2012

 

January 1. 2012 to March 31, 2012

 

The Partnership experienced a net loss of $1,263,309 before brokerage commissions and related fees in the first quarter of 2011. The Partnership’s profits were primarily attributable to the stock indices, agriculture and the energy sectors posting profits. The interest rates, metals and the currencies sectors posted losses.

 

The stock indices sector posted profits to the Partnership. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter. After last year’s wild swings, equity markets had a strong start to the year and moved steadily higher. Positive data from the U.S., China and even Europe helped drove stock prices higher. The Trading Program exited all of its remaining short trades and initiated new long positions in both domestic and foreign equity markets. Profits were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter. A two month rally, driven in large part by an improving U.S. economic outlook and a stabilizing European debt situation, ultimately challenged the technically (and psychologically) important 13,000 level. Among the equity positions, the NASDAQ was the best performing market for the Trading Program’s strategy. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter. The U.S. equity markets continued to trend in March, moving up without a meaningful retracement. An improving U.S. economy combined with an increase in investor confidence and signs of stabilization in Europe appear to be influencing this rally.

 

The agriculture sector posted profits to the Partnership. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter as the winter’s unusually warm climate across much of the country has disrupted the seasonal trading patterns, ultimately causing prices to drop further. Trading in coffee was profitable as the coffee prices continued to decline on expectations of a record crop in Brazil, the world’s largest producer. Profits were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter as coffee prices ended the month of February lower, in favor of short positions which were driven by its own, weather related fundamentals. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter. The coffee market remained in a downward trend, which contributed to profits. Since hitting a near record high price in 2011, coffee prices have fallen on expectations of an extra-large Brazilian crop, the world’s largest coffee producer.

 

The energy sector posted profits to the Partnership. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter. Short natural gas positions posted profits in January. Prices dropped to their lowest level in 10 years. Overall, the boom in low-cost natural gas from shale has suppressed prices in recent months. In addition, the market appeared to be anticipating storage cost increases on the horizon as stored inventories continue to build. Losses were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter. Energy prices rallied as tensions with Iran raised fears about a possible supply disruption and/or military conflict. The Iran situation had a more pronounced impact on Brent Crude as compared to West Texas Intermediate, because the Eurozone is one of Iran’s biggest markets for its oil. The price of U.S. oil lagged behind that of Brent Crude, which rose above $125 per barrel in February while West Texas Intermediate stayed below the

 

21



 

$110 level. During the last three days of February energy prices retreated by more than which caused the sector to finish the month with a minor loss. Nevertheless, rising oil prices seem to be a key fundamental risk factor for the global economy. Unfortunately, geopolitical risks coming from the Middle East still have an oversized impact on oil prices. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter. Gasoil and Unleaded Gas (RBOB) finished the month of March higher and generated profits, while Brent Crude traded sideways and posted only marginal gains. Trading in natural gas was also profitable. The market has been chronically oversupplied and prices continued to weaken.

 

The interest rate sector posted losses to the Partnership. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter. Following the U.S. Federal Reserve’s announcement, interest rate futures rallied, pushing yields lower. Yields for 5-year Notes fell to an all-time low of 0.752%. Losses were posted to the Partnership in the middle through the end of the quarter. During the first half of the month of March, U.S. interest rates moved higher. This rate rise triggered a liquidation of the Trading program’s remaining exposure in domestic interest rate futures, which caused negative performance.

 

The metals sector posted losses to the Partnership. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter. The Partnership liquidated a substantial portion of their short positions in metals as prices bounced back from their December lows. Losses were posted to the Partnership in the middle through the end of the quarter due to volatility in the market.

 

The currency sector posted losses to the Partnership. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter as the U.S. dollar reversed course over the second half of January and weakened across the board. The Euro initially touched a 16-month low against the U.S. dollar and then climbed back above $1.30. Losses were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter. The currency sector suffered from price reversals against established market trends, particularly in the Euro and the Japanese yen. The Euro staged a rally as optimism about Greece sent the currency to a three month high against the U.S. dollar and the Euro trades were partially liquidated as a result. The Japanese yen fell against the U.S. dollar after the Bank of Japan injected more money into the economy, applying downward pressure on the Japanese yen. This is merely the Bank of Japan’s most recent effort to weaken the Japanese yen: Japan intervened three times last year to weaken the Japanese yen in the face of a post-World War II record high against the U.S. dollar (in October last year). Consequently, the Partnership was stopped out of all of its long Japanese yen positions. The Partnership also liquidated most of the short positions in minor currencies as they moved higher against the U.S. dollar. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter.  The U.S. dollar initially benefited from higher yields and gained against other currencies; however, the U.S. dollar came under pressure during the second half of March. The Partnership maintained a very low exposure in the currency sector during this month due to a lack of any sustained trends.

 

April 1, 2012 to June 30, 2012

 

The Partnership experienced a net trading loss of $12,946,052 before brokerage commissions and related fees in the second quarter of 2012. The Partnership’s profits were primarily attributable to the interest rates and the metals sectors posting profits. The currency, agriculture, stock indices and energy sectors posted losses.

 

The interest rate sector posted profits to the Partnership. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter.  Yields declined after the first quarter optimism changed to anxiety about future economic growth. The possibility of additional monetary stimulus caused the yield on 10-yr Note to fall  near a historic low. The yield on Germany’s 10-yr Bund fell to the lowest level since the creation of the Euro. Profits were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter. The concerns about Europe drove investors into perceived safe havens of U.S. and German bonds. In Germany, both the 2-yr and 10-yr government bond yields hit all-time lows, while the yield on the U.S. 30-year bond fell to its lowest level

 

22



 

on record. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter. Long interest rate positions in the U.S., Europe and Asia maintained their established trends while also posting small losses.

 

The metals sector posted profits to the Partnership. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter. Profits were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter. The metals sector was profitable due to gains from short positions in base metals. Small losses were incurred in gold. Interestingly, unlike in previous flare-ups of the European debt crises, gold prices did not rally. This time, investors preferred U.S. and German Bonds over gold. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter. In the metals sector, aluminum was a bright spot, where the Trading Program was able to capitalize on a newly established short position however was not enough to offset the losses posted to the Partnership.

 

The currency sector posted losses to the Partnership. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter.  The U.S. Dollar moved sideways, trading in a relatively narrow range.  Profits were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter. In the face of the recent European crisis, selling the Euro was the theme of May. The Euro fell to a 2-year low against the U.S. dollar. Minor currencies also weakened, contributing to profits. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter. The U.S. dollar and treasuries, recipients of significant inflows in light of the crisis in Europe, saw sharp drops at month end as investors showed more confidence that Europe could avoid fiscal collapse

 

The agriculture sector posted losses to the Partnership.  Profits were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter. The Soybean complex markets exhibited the strongest trends and were the most profitable agricultural markets as prices moved steadily higher. This trend appeared to be partly in reaction to the shortage of soybeans available for export from South America. Losses were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter. Losses were incurred in the soybean market as prices turned lower after rallying for months. Improved weather forecasts for U.S. crops and prospects of slowing Chinese demand seemed to be the contributing factors behind the price correction. The Corn market also experienced significant price swings causing our Trading Program to be whipsawed in and out of short trades. On the positive side, trading in cotton and sugar was profitable due to strong downtrends in both markets. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter. Grains and softs produced mixed results, with short positions in corn and sugar reversing in trend quickly resulting in modest losses. The ability to go long and short proved its worth again with profitable positions in short rubber and long soybean meal.

 

The stock indices posted losses to the Partnership. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter. Domestic equities initially retreated from their 2012 highs, but began to bounce back during the second half of the month. European equities, on the other hand, continued to weaken, diverging from the path of U.S. equity markets. Losses were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter. Performance was affected by a shift away from risky assets, including equities into safe haven assets, such as government bonds and the U.S. dollar. Worries about Europe emerged again, including a potential Greek exit from the Euro. Attention returned to soft U.S. economic data and slowing growth in China. In this context, global equity markets were down across the board. The uncertainty surrounding Greece’s future in the Euro zone and worries of an expanding crisis turned the global equity market into a downfall. The Trading Program was stopped out of its remaining long positions and generated negative performance.  Losses were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter.  Towards the end of June the decision in Brussels to allow European bailout funds to directly help crisis-stricken banks was seen by many as a key measure to supporting beleaguered Spanish banks. The backing of the German parliament, by passing the euro zone permanent bailout scheme and budget by a wide margin, appeared to give markets additional confidence in the plan. This news was a shot in the arm to the global economy, causing equity markets to rally sharply on the last trading day of the month in contrast to the pattern they had shown in the proceeding several weeks. Long U.S. equities positions held at the beginning of the month were flattened out for modest losses.

 

23



 

The energy sector posted losses to the Partnership. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter. Gasoline and oil prices declined as tensions appeared to ease over Iran’s nuclear program, generating losses in long positions. Natural Gas resumed its downtrend at first, then suddenly moved higher on apparent weather related demand and finished flat for April.  Losses were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter. With the worsening situation in Europe and the slowdown in Chinese manufacturing sector oil prices came under pressure. Short natural gas, the Trading Program’s only remaining energy position, ended May flat. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter. Short positions established in Brent crude, West Texas Intermediate crude and heating oil in the early part of the June gradually gained until giving back all gains and more at the end of June.

 

July 1, 2012 to September 30, 2012

 

The Partnership experienced a net trading loss of $542,838 before brokerage commissions and related fees in the third quarter of 2012. The Partnership’s profits were primarily attributable to the agriculture and the stock indices sectors posting profits. The interest rates, energy, currencies and metals sectors posted losses.

 

The agriculture sector posted profits to the Partnership.  Profits were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter. Soybeans and soymeal accounted for the bulk of the profits as prices advanced to record levels. Corn and wheat also contributed to gains through newly established long positions. Profits were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter. As the record drought continued across the U.S., upward price trends in soybeans and soymeal generated profits. Also contributing was the trading program’s short position in the Tokyo rubber market which continued its downward trend, while cotton and wheat positions generated small losses. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter. Struggles in the agricultural sector was a fairly sharp price uptick in the rubber market that eroded some of the gains made in previous months; however, short cotton position was profitable for the month but was not enough to offset losses.

 

The stock indices posted profits to the Partnership. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter. Positions in equity indices were limited, due to lack of defined trends as well as short-selling bans imposed by European regulators. Losses were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter as trading in equities was unprofitable as markets reversed. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter. Profits were generated in equities as stock markets across the globe generally approached new highs on news of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s ongoing commitment to stimulative fiscal policies.

 

The interest rate sector posted losses to the Partnership. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter. European and American long interest rate positions contributed small gains to the Partnership as investors looked for safe havens for their capital. Losses were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter as long bond/short rate positions caused moderate losses in both U.S. and German bond positions, with small losses in other bond markets. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter as the trading program was lightly positioned in the fixed income sector.

 

The energy sector posted losses to the Partnership. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter. The energy sector was mixed with the trading program’s short positions being exited in West Texas Intermediate crude, Brent Crude and heating oil at modest losses. After exiting a short position built on a multi-year decline in the price of natural gas, the trading program’s recently established long position proved to be profitable as prices jumped over 60 percent from the lows touched in April. Losses were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter. The natural gas market reversed direction after a sharp rally over the past several months, and undercut the trading program’s long position. The drivers behind this price reversal were not clear, as the demand for natural gas was strong across the U.S. and production subsided as a result of hurricane Isaac. Regardless, the market forces that had driven natural gas

 

24



 

to near 12-month highs clearly lost influence in August. The trading program’s small gains in Reformulated Gasoline Blendstock for Oxygen Blending gasoline were insufficient to offset losses in natural gas. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter. The trading program’s positions remained light with the exception of long positions in natural gas and Rbob unleaded gasoline.

 

The currency sector posted losses to the Partnership. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter.  Currencies were profitable with short positions in the Euro and Swiss Franc against the U.S. dollar performing the best. Questions about the health of the Eurozone and whether or not Greece will exit continued to play a likely role in pushing the common currency down. The trading program’s short positions in minor currencies against the U.S. dollar were slightly profitable. Several profitable cross rate trades also added to the currency sector’s overall strong performance. Losses were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter. The Euro and Swiss franc strengthened against the U.S. dollar after their July weakness and a variety of European minor currencies also followed suit, further harming performance. The trading program’s short Euro/Sterling and long Sterling/Swiss franc positions also posted small losses. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter. The upward move of the Euro currency that began in August continued in September causing further losses for the Partnership, resulting in the trading program taking out its position entirely. The Swiss franc followed the euro, generating losses and causing the trading program to reduce its position over the course of the month.

 

The metals sector posted losses to the Partnership. Profits were posted to the Partnership at the beginning of the quarter. Short positions in base metals were profitable with the biggest decliners being aluminum and nickel. Fear of a global slowdown, spurred by debt fears in Europe and the specter of a hard landing in China, appeared to cause demand to drop off. Losses were posted to the Partnership in the middle of the quarter. Profitable trends in the global metals markets retraced in August causing the trading program to give back some of the profits it had made shorting these markets over the past several months. In particular, silver and aluminum both rallied, while positions in copper, nickel and zinc finished essentially flat. Losses were posted to the Partnership at the end of the quarter as downward price trends that had been building throughout the summer sharply reversed in early September, with aluminum and nickel markets generating the largest losses. Industrial metals appeared to rally on news of ongoing stimulus measures made by the U.S. and China.

 

(The Partnership has no applicable off-balance sheet arrangements or tabular disclosure of contractual obligations of the type described in Items 303(a)(4) and 303(a)(5) of Regulation S-K.)

 

Item 3.   Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk

 

Introduction

 

The Partnership is a speculative commodity pool. The market sensitive instruments held by it are acquired for speculative trading purposes and all or substantially all of the Partnership’s assets are subject to the risk of trading loss.  Unlike an operating company, the risk of market sensitive instruments is integral, not incidental, to the Partnership’s main line of business.

 

Market movements result in frequent changes in the fair market value of the Partnership’s open positions and consequently, in its earnings and cash flow. The Partnership’s market risk is influenced by a wide variety of factors, including the level and volatility of interest rates, exchange rates, equity price levels, the market value of financial instruments and contracts, the diversification effects among the Partnership’s open positions and the liquidity of the markets in which it trades.

 

The Partnership, under the direction of Sunrise, rapidly acquires and liquidates both long and short positions in a wide range of different markets.  Consequently, it is not possible to predict how a particular

 

25



 

future market scenario will affect performance, and the Partnership’s past performance is not necessarily indicative of its future results.

 

Value at Risk is a measure of the maximum amount which the Partnership could reasonably be expected to lose in a given market sector. However, the inherent uncertainty of the Partnership’s speculative trading and the recurrence in the markets traded by the Partnership of market movements far exceeding expectations could result in actual trading or non-trading losses far beyond the indicated Value at Risk or the Partnership’s experience to date (i.e., “risk of ruin”). In light of the foregoing, as well as the risks and uncertainties intrinsic to all future projections, the quantifications included in this section should not be considered to constitute any assurance or representation that the Partnership’s losses in any market sector will be limited to Value at Risk or by the Partnership’s attempts to manage its market risk.

 

Quantifying The Partnership’s Trading Value At Risk

 

Quantitative Forward-Looking Statements

 

The following quantitative disclosures regarding the Partnership’s market risk exposures contain “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the safe harbor from civil liability provided for such statements by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 (set forth in Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934).  All quantitative disclosures in this section are deemed to be forward-looking statements for purposes of the safe harbor, except for statements of historical fact.

 

The Partnership’s risk exposure in the various market sectors traded by the Sunrise is quantified below in terms of Value at Risk.  Due to the Partnership’s fair value accounting, any loss in the fair value of the Partnership’s open positions is directly reflected in the Partnership’s earnings (realized or unrealized) and cash flow (in the case of exchange-traded contracts in which profits and losses on open positions are settled daily through variation margin).

 

Exchange maintenance margin requirements have been used by the Partnership as the measure of its Value at Risk.  Maintenance margin requirements are set by exchanges to equal or exceed the maximum loss in the fair value of any given contract incurred in 95%-99% of the one-day time periods included in the historical sample (generally approximately one year) researched for purposes of establishing margin levels.  The maintenance margin levels are established by dealers and exchanges using historical price studies as well as an assessment of current market volatility (including the implied volatility of the options on a given futures contract) and economic fundamentals to provide a probabilistic estimate of the maximum expected near-term one-day price fluctuation.

 

In the case of market sensitive instruments which are not exchange-traded (almost exclusively currencies in the case of the Partnership), the margin requirements for the equivalent futures positions have been used as Value at Risk.  In those rare cases in which a futures-equivalent margin is not available, dealers’ margins have been used.

 

100% positive correlation in the different positions held in each market risk category has been assumed.  Consequently, the margin requirements applicable to the open contracts have been aggregated to determine each trading category’s aggregate Value at Risk.  The diversification effects resulting from the fact that the Partnership’s positions are rarely, if ever, 100% positively correlated have not been reflected.

 

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Partnership’s Trading Value at Risk in Different Market Sectors

 

The following table indicates the average, highest and lowest trading Value at Risk associated with the Partnership’s open positions by market category for the fiscal period.  For the nine month periods ended September 30, 2013 and 2012, the Partnership’s average capitalization was approximately $60,865,073 and $101,855,954, respectively.

 

September 30, 2013

 

 

 

Average

 

% of Average

 

Highest Value

 

Lowest Value

 

Market Sector

 

Value at Risk

 

Capitalization

 

At Risk

 

At Risk

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Currencies

 

$

1,511,199

 

2.48

%

$

2,586,952

 

$

152,393

 

Metals

 

1,810,917

 

2.98

%

2,744,174

 

603,398

 

Stock Indices

 

785,865

 

1.29

%

1,194,354

 

505,278

 

Interest Rates

 

726,384

 

1.19

%

818,769

 

570,035

 

Energy

 

154,677

 

0.25

%

410,249

 

15,768

 

Agricultural Commodities

 

398,109

 

0.65

%

766,026

 

193,103

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

TOTAL

 

$

5,387,151

 

8.84

%

$

8,520,524

 

$

2,039,975

 

 

September 30, 2012

 

 

 

Average

 

% of Average

 

Highest Value

 

Lowest Value

 

Market Sector

 

Value at Risk

 

Capitalization

 

At Risk

 

At Risk

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Currencies

 

$

1,306,581

 

1.28

%

$

2,364,944

 

$

220,948

 

Metals

 

594,732

 

0.58

%

1,122,328

 

244,104

 

Stock Indices

 

2,967,777

 

2.91

%

4,691,664

 

1,816,519

 

Interest Rates

 

110,892

 

0.11

%

236,999

 

17,225

 

Energy

 

2,194,671

 

2.15

%

4,195,504

 

492,784

 

Agricultural Commodities

 

1,421,765

 

1.40

%

2,277,960

 

460,343

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

TOTAL

 

$

8,596,418

 

8.43

%

$

14,889,399

 

$

3,251,923

 

 

Material Limitations on Value at Risk as an Assessment of Market Risk

 

The face value of the market sector instruments held by the Partnership is typically many times the applicable maintenance margin requirement (maintenance margin requirements generally ranging between approximately 1% and 10% of contract face value) as well as many times the capitalization of the Partnership.  The magnitude of the Partnership’s open positions creates a “risk of ruin” not typically found in most other investment vehicles.  Because of the size of its positions, certain market conditions — unusual, but historically recurring from time to time — could cause the Partnership to incur severe losses over a short period of time.   The foregoing Value at Risk table — as well as the past performance of the Partnership — gives no indication of this “risk of ruin.”

 

Non-Trading Risk.

 

Foreign Currency Balances; Cash on Deposit with MLPF&S and MLIB

 

The Partnership has non-trading market risk on its foreign cash balances not needed for margin. However, these balances (as well as the market risk they represent) are immaterial.

 

27



 

The Partnership also has non-trading market risk on approximately 90% of its assets which are held in cash at MLPF&S. The value of this cash is not interest rate sensitive, but there is cash flow risk in that if interest rates decline so will the cash flow generated on these monies.

 

Qualitative Disclosures Regarding Primary Trading Risk Exposures

 

The following qualitative disclosures regarding the Partnership’s market risk exposures — except for (i) those disclosures that are statements of historical fact and (ii) the descriptions of how the Partnership manages its primary market risk exposures — constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. The Partnership’s primary market risk exposures as well as the strategies used and to be used by MLAI and Sunrise for managing such exposures are subject to numerous uncertainties, contingencies and risks, any one of which could cause the actual results of the Partnership’s risk controls to differ materially from the objectives of such strategies. Government interventions, defaults and expropriations, illiquid markets, the emergence of dominant fundamental factors, political upheavals, changes in historical price relationships, an influx of new market participants, increased regulation and many other factors could result in material losses as well as in material changes to the risk exposures and the risk management strategies of the Partnership. There can be no assurance that the Partnership’s current market exposure and/or risk management strategies will not change materially or that any such strategies will be effective in either the short- or long-term. Investors must be prepared to lose all or substantially all of the value of their investment in the Partnership.

 

The following were the primary trading risk exposures of the Partnership as of September 30, 2013 by market sector.

 

Interest Rates

 

Interest rate movements directly affect the price of derivative sovereign bond positions held by the Partnership and indirectly the value of its stock index and currency positions. Interest rate movements in one country as well as relative interest rate movements between countries materially impact the Partnership’s profitability. The Partnership’s primary interest rate exposure is to interest rate fluctuations in the United States and the other G-7 countries.  However, the Partnership also takes positions in the government debt of smaller nations (e.g., Australia).  MLAI anticipates that G-7 interest rates will remain the primary market exposure of the Partnership for the foreseeable future.

 

Currencies

 

The Partnership trades in a number of currencies. However, the Partnership’s major exposures have typically been in the U.S. dollar/Japanese yen, U.S. dollar/Euro, and U.S. dollar/Australian dollar and U.S. dollar/Swiss franc positions. The Partnership does not anticipate that the risk profile of the Partnership’s currency sector will change significantly in the future. The currency trading Value at Risk figure includes foreign margin amounts converted into U.S. dollars with an incremental adjustment to reflect the exchange rate risk of maintaining Value at Risk in a functional currency other than U.S. dollars.

 

Stock Indices

 

The Partnership’s primary equity exposure is to S&P 500, Nikkei and German DAX equity index price movements. The Partnership is primarily exposed to the risk of adverse price trends or static markets in the major U.S., European and Asian indices.

 

28



 

Metals

 

The Partnership’s metals market exposure is to fluctuations in the price of precious and non-precious metals.

 

Agricultural Commodities

 

The Partnership’s primary agricultural commodities exposure is to agricultural price movements which are often directly affected by severe or unexpected weather conditions. Soybeans, grains, cotton and sugar accounted for the substantial bulk of the Partnership’s agricultural commodities exposure as of September 30, 2013. However, it is anticipated that Sunrise will maintain an emphasis on cotton, grains and sugar, in which the Partnership has historically taken its largest positions.

 

Energy

 

The Partnership’s primary energy market exposure is to natural gas and crude oil price movements, often resulting from political developments in the Middle East. Oil prices can be volatile and substantial profits and losses have been and are expected to continue to be experienced in this market.

 

Qualitative Disclosures Regarding Non-Trading Risk Exposure

 

The following were the only non-trading risk exposures of the Partnership as of September 30, 2013

 

Foreign Currency Balances

 

The Partnership’s primary foreign currency balances are in Japanese yen, Australian dollar, Swiss franc and Euros.

 

U.S. Dollar Cash Balance

 

The Partnership holds U.S. dollars in cash at MLPF&S and MLIB. The Partnership has immaterial cash flow interest rate risk on its cash on deposit with MLPF&S in that declining interest rates would cause the income from such cash to decline.

 

Item 4. Controls and Procedures

 

MLAI, the General Partner of the Partnership with the participation of MLAI’s Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, has evaluated the effectiveness of the design and operation of its disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Rule 13a-15(e) or Rule 15d-15(e) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934) with respect to the Partnership as of the end of the period covered by this quarterly report. Based on this evaluation, the Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer have concluded that these disclosure controls and procedures are effective.  No change in internal control over financial reporting (in connection with the evaluation required by paragraph (d) of Rule 13a-15 or Rule 15d-15 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934) occurred during the quarter ended September 30, 2013 that has materially affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, the Partnership’s internal control over financial reporting.

 

29



 

PART II - OTHER INFORMATION

 

Item 1.  Legal Proceedings

 

None.

 

Item 1A.   Risk Factors

 

There are no material changes from risk factors as previously disclosed in the Partnership’s report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2012, filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on March 27, 2013.

 

Item 2.          Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds

 

(a)  Units are privately offered and sold to “accredited investors” (as defined in Rule 501(a) under the Securities Act) in reliance on the exemption from registration provided by Section 4(2) of the Securities Act and Rule 506 thereunder.  The selling agent of the Units was MLPF&S.

 

 

 

Subscription

 

 

 

 

 

Amount

 

Units

 

NAV (1)

 

Jan-13

 

$

 

 

$

219.6744

 

Feb-13

 

 

 

227.3940

 

Mar-13

 

 

 

214.0573

 

Apr-13

 

 

 

219.7681

 

May-13

 

 

 

221.9490

 

Jun-13

 

 

 

226.4065

 

Jul-13

 

 

 

225.6605

 

Aug-13

 

 

 

222.4313

 

Sep-13

 

 

 

219.8696

 

Oct-13

 

 

 

213.3512

 

 


(1) Beginning of the month Net Asset Value

 

(b)   Not applicable

(c)   Not applicable.

 

Item 3.          Defaults Upon Senior Securities

 

None.

 

Item 4.          Mine Safety Disclosures

 

Not applicable.

 

30



 

Item 5.          Other Information

 

None.

 

Item 6.          Exhibits

 

The following exhibits are filed herewith to this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q:

 

31.01 and

31.02              Rule 13a-14(a)/15d-14(a) Certifications

 

Exhibit 31.01

and 31.02:    Are filed herewith.

 

32.01 and

32.02              Section 1350 Certifications

 

Exhibit 32.01

and 32.02      Are filed herewith.

 

Exhibit 101   Are filed herewith.

The following materials from the Partnership’s quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the three and nine month periods ended September 30, 2013 formatted in XBRL (Extensible Business Reporting Language): (i) Statements of Financial Condition (ii) Statements of Operations (iii) Statements of Changes in Partners’ Capital (iv) Financial Data Highlights and (v) Notes to Financial Statements, tagged as blocks of text. (1)

 


(1)  These interactive data files shall not be deemed filed for purposes of Sections 11 or 12 of the Securities Act of 1933 or Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 or otherwise subject to liability under those sections.

 

31



 

SIGNATURES

 

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.

 

 

 

 

 

ML SELECT FUTURES I L.P.

.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

By

MERRILL LYNCH ALTERNATIVE

 

 

 

INVESTMENTS LLC

 

 

 

(General Partner)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Date: November 14, 2013

 

By:

/s/ KEITH GLENFIELD

 

 

 

Keith Glenfield

 

 

 

Chief Executive Officer and President

 

 

 

(Principal Executive Officer)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Date: November 14, 2013

 

By:

/s/ BARBRA E. KOCSIS

 

 

 

Barbra E. Kocsis

 

 

 

Chief Financial Officer

 

 

 

(Principal Financial Officer)

 

32