Attached files

file filename
8-K - FORM 8-K - PENN VIRGINIA CORPd621278d8k.htm

Exhibit 99.1

 

LOGO

Four Radnor Corporate Center, Suite 200

Radnor, PA 19087

Ph: (610) 687-8900 Fax: (610) 687-3688

www.pennvirginia.com

 

 

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

PENN VIRGINIA CORPORATION ANNOUNCES RECORD QUARTERLY OIL PRODUCTION AND

PRELIMINARY 2014 OIL PRODUCTION GROWTH GUIDANCE OF 65 TO 85 PERCENT

CORE EAGLE FORD SHALE POSITION EXPANDED TO 67,000 NET ACRES

DRILLING INVENTORY INCREASED TO APPROXIMATELY 890 LOCATIONS

MID-YEAR 2013 EAGLE FORD SHALE PROVED RESERVES OF 51 MMBOE AND 3P RESERVES OF 170 MMBOE

CONTINUED EXCELLENT DRILLING RESULTS IN THE EAGLE FORD SHALE

BORROWING BASE INCREASED FROM $350 MILLION TO $425 MILLION

FINANCIAL LIQUIDITY OF APPROXIMATELY $330 MILLION

RADNOR, PA (Globe Newswire) October 30, 2013 – Penn Virginia Corporation (NYSE: PVA) today reported financial results for the three months ended September 30, 2013, provided updates of its operations and 2013 guidance, and provided preliminary 2014 guidance.

Third Quarter 2013 Highlights

Third quarter 2013 financial results, as compared to second quarter 2013 results, were as follows:

 

    Product revenues from the sale of oil, natural gas liquids (NGLs) and natural gas were $121.6 million, or $67.33 per barrel of oil equivalent (BOE), an increase of 11 percent compared to $109.7 million, or $62.78 per BOE.

 

    Oil and NGL revenues were $108.8 million, or 89 percent of product revenues, an increase of 15 percent compared to $94.2 million, or 86 percent of product revenues.

 

    Operating margin, a non-GAAP (generally accepted accounting principles) measure, was $50.86 per BOE, an increase of 10 percent compared to $46.09 per BOE.

 

    Operating income, excluding $132.2 million of impairment expense, was $24.4 million, an increase of 336 percent compared to operating income of $5.6 million, excluding $2.4 million of acquisition transaction expenses.

 

    Adjusted EBITDAX, a non-GAAP measure, was $88.3 million, an increase of six percent compared to $83.1 million.

 

    Net loss attributable to common shareholders (which includes our preferred stock dividend) was $100.6 million, or $1.54 per diluted share, compared to a loss of $27.2 million, or $0.43 per diluted share.

 

    Adjusted net loss attributable to common shareholders, a non-GAAP measure which includes our preferred stock dividend but excludes the effects of impairments and other costs and other gains or losses that affect comparability to other periods, was $1.5 million, or $0.02 per diluted share, compared to a loss of $10.9 million, or $0.17 per diluted share.

 

    In October 2013, the borrowing base under our revolving credit facility was increased from $350 million to $425 million. Pro forma financial liquidity at September 30, 2013 was approximately $330 million, compared to approximately $300 million of financial liquidity at June 30, 2013.

Recent operational highlights were as follows:

 

    Third quarter production was 1.8 million BOE (MMBOE), or 19,638 BOE per day (BOEPD), up two percent compared to 1.7 MMBOE, or 19,209 BOEPD, in the second quarter.

 

    Third quarter Eagle Ford Shale production was 12,489 BOEPD, up nine percent compared to 11,476 BOEPD in the second quarter.


    Record quarterly oil production of 10,373 barrels of oil per day (BOPD), an increase of 10 percent over 9,430 BOPD in the second quarter.

 

    Despite this growth, our production was less than expected during the third quarter, due primarily to less than anticipated outside operated Eagle Ford Shale production.

 

    Proved oil and gas reserves in the Eagle Ford Shale increased 34 percent to approximately 51 MMBOE at mid-year 2013 from approximately 38 MMBOE at year-end 2012, pro forma to include approximately 12 MMBOE acquired in the second quarter of 2013.

 

    Eagle Ford Shale proved, probable and possible (3P) reserves were approximately 170 MMBOE.

 

    The pre-tax present value of estimated future net cash flows from Eagle Ford Shale proved reserves, discounted at 10 percent (PV-10) and assuming an oil price of $91.60 per barrel and a natural gas price of $3.44 per MMBtu (million British thermal units), was $1,032 million.

 

    In the Eagle Ford Shale, we have a total of 158 (105.4 net) producing wells, 10 (4.8 net) operated wells completing or waiting on completion and six (3.2 net) operated wells being drilled.

 

    The average peak gross production rate per well for the 18 most recent operated wells, excluding one well that had a shortened lateral length due to drilling issues, was 1,288 BOEPD. The initial 30-day average gross production rate for the 15 of these 18 wells with a 30-day production history was 874 BOEPD. The average lateral length for these 18 operated wells was 5,920 feet, with an average of 24.2 fracturing (frac) stages.

 

    The average stimulation (completion) cost per frac stage was approximately $110,000 in the third quarter of 2013, compared to approximately $150,000 in the second quarter of 2013. The average total well cost per frac stage was approximately $350,000 in the third quarter of 2013, compared to approximately $430,000 in the second quarter of 2013. This decrease was due primarily to the reduced stimulation costs, as well as efficiency gains from increased use of pad drilling.

 

    Currently, we have a total of approximately 107,000 gross (67,000 net) acres in the Eagle Ford Shale.

 

    Over 5,000 net acres in the Eagle Ford Shale have been added since early August at a cost of approximately $1,600 per acre.

 

    We expect to add approximately 7,000 additional net Eagle Ford Shale acres in the fourth quarter of 2013 and, therefore, we increased our estimated 2013 lease acquisition capital expenditures by $11 million.

 

    We estimate that we currently have approximately 890 undeveloped drilling locations, which is a drilling inventory of approximately 10 years, assuming our ongoing drilling program.

 

    This inventory increased from approximately 750 locations reported previously.

 

    16 of our recently drilled wells were drilled off of six multi-well pads, with an average effective nominal spacing of approximately 70 acres.

Definitions of non-GAAP financial measures and reconciliations of these non-GAAP financial measures to GAAP-based measures appear later in this release.

Management Comment

H. Baird Whitehead, President and Chief Executive Officer stated, “In the third quarter, our operating cash flows and margins remained strong as a result of the continued growth in oil production, as well as lower unit operating costs. Despite this growth, our production and revenues increased less than expected during the third quarter due to several issues associated with the outside operated Eagle Ford Shale program. Our non-operated partner recently reduced its rig count from two to one and, as a result, we have increased our operated drilling rig count by one rig. We continue to expect our 2013 results to remain within our previous guidance. The increase in operated activity during the fourth quarter will have a negligible production and cash flow effect in 2013 but will, of course, provide much more of a benefit in 2014. We now expect 2014 oil production growth of between 65 and 85 percent over 2013 with the assumption that five operated rigs and one outside operated rig will be dedicated to the Eagle Ford Shale drilling program.

“Additional leasing in the Eagle Ford Shale at a cost of approximately $1,600 per net acre has further increased our net acreage and we continue to have success in finding additional opportunities to grow our position. Therefore, our stated 100,000 net acre goal remains intact and achievable at attractive costs. As a result of and in conjunction with successful downspaced drilling, we have increased our estimated drilling inventory by about 20 percent to our current estimate of approximately 890 locations.


“During the third quarter, our well costs decreased and well productivity increased as a result of lower completion costs, the increased use of multi-well pads and the use of “zipper fracs,” which have contributed to greater productivity per well and per frac stage. We continue to consider additional techniques to further optimize our well results and value.

“Our balance sheet remains sound with approximately $330 million of financial liquidity. We recently had our borrowing base increased from $350 to $425 million as the value-added drilling in the Eagle Ford Shale has beneficially impacted our reserve value. We expect to fund our capital programs over the next few years with increasing operating cash flows, net proceeds from asset sales and borrowings under our revolver, with the goals of decreasing our leverage ratio and increasing our liquidity over this same timeframe.”

Third Quarter 2013 Results

Overview of Financial Results

The $24.4 million of operating income in the third quarter, excluding $132.2 million of impairment expense, was an $18.8 million improvement over $5.6 million in the second quarter, excluding $2.4 million of acquisition transaction expenses. This improvement was due primarily to an $11.9 million increase in total product revenues, a $3.9 million decrease in exploration expense, a $1.9 million decrease in depreciation, depletion and amortization (DD&A) expense and a $1.7 million decrease in share-based compensation expense. The effect of these changes was partially offset by a $0.6 million increase in total direct operating expenses, excluding acquisition transaction expenses.

Product Revenues

Total product revenues were $121.6 million in the third quarter, an 11 percent increase compared to $109.7 million in the second quarter, due primarily to a seven percent increase in average product pricing to $67.33 per BOE from $62.78 per BOE, as well as a three percent increase in equivalent production. Oil and NGL revenues were $108.8 million in the third quarter, a 15 percent increase compared to $94.2 million in the second quarter, due to an eight percent increase in production and seven percent increase in oil and NGL prices. Oil and NGL revenues were 89 percent of product revenues in the third quarter, compared to 86 percent in the second quarter.

Operating Expenses

As discussed below, third quarter total direct operating expenses increased $0.6 million to $29.8 million, or $16.47 per BOE produced, compared to $29.2 million, excluding $2.4 million of acquisition transaction expenses, or $16.68 per BOE, in the second quarter.

 

    Lease operating expenses decreased by $0.1 million to $8.5 million, or $4.68 per BOE, from $8.6 million, or $4.94 per BOE, due to higher production contributions from the low-cost Eagle Ford Shale.

 

    Gathering, processing and transportation expenses were unchanged at $3.0 million, or $1.68 per BOE, compared to $3.0 million, or $1.70 per BOE.

 

    Production and ad valorem taxes decreased by $0.4 million to $6.6 million, or 5.4 percent of product revenues, from $7.0 million, or 6.4 percent of product revenues, due primarily to the receipt of severance tax refunds from the State of Texas for prior periods.

 

    General and administrative expenses, excluding share-based and liability-based compensation expenses of $2.1 million, increased by $0.4 million to $10.6 million, or $5.85 per BOE, from $10.2 million, or $5.81 per BOE, excluding share-based and liability-based compensation and acquisition transaction expenses of $5.5 million.

Exploration expense decreased to approximately $4.0 million in the third quarter from $7.8 million in the second quarter. The decrease was due primarily to reduced amortization on unproved properties in the Eagle Ford Shale.

DD&A expense decreased by $1.9 million to $62.5 million, or $34.57 per BOE, in the third quarter of 2013 from $64.3 million, or $36.80 per BOE, in the second quarter due primarily to the increase in mid-year 2013 Eagle Ford Shale reserves.

In the third quarter of 2013, we recognized $132.2 million of impairment expense, including the Granite Wash in the Mid-Continent region ($121.8 million), the Marcellus Shale in Pennsylvania ($9.5 million) and the Selma Chalk in Mississippi ($0.9 million), in each case due primarily to market declines in commodity prices.


Production

Production in the third quarter was 1.8 MMBOE, or 19,638 BOEPD, compared to 1.7 MMBOE, or 19,209 BOEPD, in the second quarter. As a percentage of total equivalent production, oil and NGL volumes were 67 percent in the third quarter of 2013, compared to 64 percent in the second quarter. As discussed further below in the release, we now expect outside operated production volumes for the second half of 2013 to be approximately 0.2 MMBOE less than previous expectations, causing essentially all of the variance from the midpoint of our previous production guidance. We recently added an operated rig in an attempt to mitigate the shortfall and increase fourth quarter 2013 production, as well as to benefit 2014 production.

The table below shows quarterly production detail.

 

     Total and Daily Equivalent Production for the Three Months Ended  

Region / Play Type

   Sept. 30,
2013
     June 30,
2013
     Sept. 30,
2012
     Sept. 30,
2013
     June 30,
2013
     Sept. 30,
2012
 
     (in MBOE)      (in BOEPD)  

Texas

     1,395         1,300         901         15,164         14,331         9,792   

Eagle Ford Shale

     1,149         1,044         581         12,489         11,476         6,317   

Cotton Valley

     180         184         216         1,956         2,025         2,345   

Haynesville Shale

     66         71         104         718         780         1,130   

Mid-Continent

     219         243         289         2,385         2,671         3,136   

Mississippi

     179         195         208         1,951         2,139         2,256   

Other(1)

     13         11         107         138         118         1,165   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Totals

     1,807         1,748         1,504         19,638         19,209         16,348   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Pro Forma Totals(2)

     1,807         1,748         1,388         19,638         19,209         15,089   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

(1)  Other includes Marcellus Shale and Pearsall Shale production.
(2)  Pro forma to exclude production from the Appalachian assets sold in July 2012.

Notes—Numbers may not add due to rounding.

Capital Expenditures

During the third quarter, capital expenditures were approximately $120 million, a decrease of 18 percent compared to $145 million in the second quarter, consisting of:

 

    $112 million for drilling and completion activities; and

 

    $8 million for leasehold acquisitions and other.

The approximate $25 million decrease in capital expenditures from the second quarter to the third quarter was attributable to lower lease acquisition, lower drilling and completion costs, and decreased spending on production facilities.

Capital Resources and Liquidity, Interest Expense and Impact of Derivatives

As of September 30, 2013, we had total debt of $1,203 million, consisting of $300 million principal amount of 7.25 percent senior unsecured notes due 2019, $775 million of 8.50 percent senior unsecured notes due 2020 and $128 million outstanding under our revolving credit facility (Revolver). Our leverage ratio under the Revolver was 3.6 times trailing twelve months’ pro forma Adjusted EBITDAX of approximately $340 million.

In October, the borrowing base under the Revolver was increased from $350 million to $425 million, with PVA electing to receive commitments for $400 million. As a result, together with cash and cash equivalents of $38 million, our pro forma liquidity, including the uncommitted amount, increased to approximately $330 million at September 30, 2013. The next borrowing base redetermination is scheduled for the spring of 2014.

During the third quarter, interest expense was $20.2 million, of which $19.3 million was cash interest expense, compared to $21.8 million in the second quarter.

During the third quarter, derivatives loss was $24.0 million, compared to a derivatives income of $8.6 million in the second quarter. Third quarter 2013 cash settlements of derivatives resulted in net cash outlays of $4.2 million, compared to $2.2 million of net cash receipts in the second quarter.

Derivatives Update

To support our operating cash flows, we hedge a portion of our oil and natural gas production at pre-determined prices or price ranges. Based on hedges currently in place, we have hedged approximately 9,400 barrels of daily crude oil production in the fourth quarter of 2013, or approximately 79 percent of the midpoint of guidance for fourth quarter crude oil production, at a weighted average floor/swap price of $94.69 per barrel. For 2014, we have hedged approximately 8,500 barrels of daily crude oil production, or approximately 50 percent of the midpoint of preliminary guidance, at a weighted average floor/swap price of $93.49 per barrel.


We have also hedged approximately 25,000 MMBtu of daily natural gas production in the fourth quarter of 2013, or approximately 69 percent of the midpoint of guidance for fourth quarter natural gas production, at a weighted average floor/swap price of $3.82 per MMBtu. For 2014, we have hedged approximately 12,500 MMBtu of daily natural gas production, or approximately 33 percent of the midpoint of preliminary guidance, at a weighted average floor/swap price of $4.17 per MMBtu.

Please see the Derivatives Table included in this release for our current derivative positions.

Eagle Ford Shale Operational Update

Net production from the Eagle Ford Shale was 12,489 BOEPD in the third quarter, an increase of nine percent from 11,476 BOEPD in the second quarter. During the third quarter, we completed 16 (9.7 net) operated wells and participated in the completion of one (0.4 net) outside operated well. In the Eagle Ford Shale, we have a total of 158 (105.4 net) producing wells, 10 (4.8 net) operated wells completing or waiting on completion and six (3.2 net) operated wells being drilled. During the third quarter, only one outside operated well was turned in line and the non-operated rig count decreased from two rigs to one rig. As a result, we have responded by increasing our operated rig count by one rig and, as discussed in the preliminary 2014 guidance section below, we now expect to have five operated rigs and one non-operated rig drilling during 2014.

In the fourth quarter, we also expect to further test the upper Eagle Ford Shale with a two-well pad, one well of which will be drilled in the lower Eagle Ford Shale and one well of which will be drilled in the upper Eagle Ford Shale. This test will help determine whether the upper Eagle Ford Shale is a separate reservoir from the lower Eagle Ford Shale, which is the interval in which we typically complete our wells.

Set forth below are the results and statistics for recent Eagle Ford Shale wells:

 

            Peak Gross Daily
Production Rates(3)
     30-Day Average Gross Daily
Production Rates(3)
 

Well Name

   Lateral
Length
     Frac
Stages
     Oil
Rate
     Equivalent
Rate
     Equivalent
Rate per

Frac Stage
     Oil
Rate
     Equivalent
Rate
     Equivalent
Rate per

Frac Stage
 
     Feet             BOPD      BOEPD      BOEPD/stage      BOPD      BOEPD      BOEPD/stage  

Operated wells

                    

Vana #3H

     5,138         21         1,039         1,212         57.7         562         678         32.3   

Vana #4H

     4,852         19         888         1,038         54.6         493         592         31.2   

Moose Hunter #2H

     4,326         18         1,379         1,528         84.9         793         881         48.9   

Moose Hunter #4H

     5,836         24         1,506         1,694         70.6         966         1,090         45.4   

Joseph Simper #1H

     4,281         18         655         934         51.9         441         658         36.5   

Effenberger-Schacherl #4H

     5,470         27         1,696         1,923         71.2         914         1,127         41.7   

Stag Hunter #1H

     7,796         31         1,801         2,042         65.9         1,331         1,509         48.7   

Stag Hunter #2H

     7,930         33         1,879         2,155         65.3         1,352         1,539         46.6   

Platypus Hunter #1H

     6,811         24         1,651         1,903         79.3         1,245         1,425         59.4   

Schacherl-Vana #1H

     5,573         23         1,260         1,530         66.5         697         864         37.5   

Gonzo Hunter #2H

     4,570         19         569         606         31.9         419         460         24.2   

Gonzo Hunter #3H

     5,260         22         608         665         30.2         490         533         24.2   

Gonzo Hunter #4H

     4,738         20         529         576         28.8         419         455         22.8   

Cannonade Ranch S. #17H

     5,306         22         1,131         1,213         55.1         687         752         34.2   

Cannonade Ranch S. #19H

     5,475         23         768         834         36.3         495         546         23.7   

Bongo Hunter #1H

     6,258         26         706         772         29.7         —           —           —     

Bongo North #1H

     8,026         33         1,072         1,156         35.0         —           —           —     

Bongo North #2H

     7,922         33         1,315         1,414         42.9         —           —           —     

Averages (18 most recent operated wells)

     5,920         24.2         1,136         1,288         53.2         754         874         37.2   

Averages (all 135 operated wells) (4)

     4,631         19.2         986         1,107         58.6         626         719         38.7   

Other wells(4)

                    

Cannonade Ranch S. #18H

     1,630         7         394         434         62.0         294         335         47.8   

JP Ranch #2H (Hunt)

     6,778         25         309         333         13.3         281         304         12.1   

 

(3)  Wellhead rates only; the natural gas associated with these wells is yielding between 165 and 315 barrels of NGLs per million cubic feet.
(4)  Includes a short-lateral operated well (Cannonade Ranch S. #18H) and a non-operated well (JP Ranch #2H).


Of our 19 most recent operated wells, 16 were drilled on six pads, with an average effective nominal spacing of approximately 70 acres. With continued leasing contiguous to our current acreage positions, along with the continued success of our pad drilling efforts and closer well spacing, we anticipate that, over time, additional wells will be added to our approximate 890 well drilling inventory.

Fourth Quarter 2013 Guidance

Updated guidance highlights that impact the fourth quarter of 2013 are as follows:

 

    Production is expected to be approximately 1,770 to 2,045 MBOE, or approximately 19,200 to 22,200 BOEPD.

 

    Product revenues, excluding the impact of any hedges, are expected to be approximately $118 to $135 million.

 

    Crude oil and NGL revenues are expected to be approximately 90 percent of product revenues.

 

    Settlements of current commodity hedges are expected to result in cash outlays of approximately $1 million.

 

    Adjusted EBITDAX, a non-GAAP measure, is expected to be approximately $89 to $100 million.

 

    Capital expenditures are expected to be $139 to $169 million.

 

    Fourth quarter 2013 capital expenditures are expected to include $118 to $142 million for drilling and completions, $14 to $18 million for lease acquisitions and $7 to $9 million for pipeline, gathering, seismic, facilities and other.

Please see the Guidance Table included in this release for guidance estimates for fourth quarter and full-year 2013. These estimates are meant to provide guidance only and are subject to revision as our operating environment changes.

Preliminary Full-Year 2014 Guidance

As a result of the recent borrowing base increase, we expect to have approximately $250 million of available liquidity in the form of cash and cash equivalents and borrowing base availability as we enter 2014. This liquidity estimate does not include any potential net proceeds from the sale of our Eagle Ford Shale natural gas midstream and gas lift assets. We recently received bids from a number of parties for these assets which exceeded our minimum expectation. The sale of additional assets, including the right to build an Eagle Ford Shale oil gathering system, may be pursued in the first half of 2014.

As a result of the estimated year-end 2013 liquidity, together with expected 2014 cash flows and the potential net proceeds from one or more divestitures, we believe that we will have more than sufficient funds for our 2014 capital expenditures program, which we preliminarily estimate will range between $510 and $540 million, roughly equal to the revised 2013 capital expenditures guidance range of $500 to $530 million. This 2014 range assumes a drilling program utilizing a total of six drilling rigs in the Eagle Ford Shale, five of which would be operated and one of which would be outside operated. Correspondingly, full-year 2014 production is preliminarily estimated to range between approximately 9.0 and 10.0 MMBOE, or 24,600 to 27,400 BOEPD, which is 30 to 45 percent higher than the mid-point of 2013 production guidance of approximately 6.9 MMBOE, or 18,900 BOEPD. We estimate that 2014 oil and NGL production will be approximately 75 percent of total production. Full year 2014 crude oil production is expected to be between 65 and 85 percent higher than the midpoint of 2013 production guidance, while fourth quarter 2014 oil production is expected to be between 40 and 70 percent higher than the midpoint of fourth quarter 2013 oil production guidance. These early estimates are meant to provide guidance only and are subject to revision as our operating and the product pricing environments may change.

Explanation of Non-GAAP Operating Margin per BOE

Operating margin is a non-GAAP financial measure under SEC regulations which represents total product revenues less total direct operating expenses, excluding acquisition transaction expenses. Operating margin per BOE is equal to operating margin divided by total equivalent crude oil, NGL and natural gas production. Operating margin is not adjusted for the impact of hedges. We believe that operating margin per BOE is an important measure that can be used by security analysts and investors to evaluate our operating margin per unit of production and to compare it to other oil and gas companies, as well as for comparisons to other time periods.


Explanation of Non-GAAP PV-10 Value

PV-10 value is the estimated future net cash flows from estimated proved reserves discounted at an annual rate of 10 percent before giving effect to income taxes. The standardized measure is the after-tax estimated future cash flows from estimated proved reserves discounted at an annual rate of 10 percent, determined in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). We use PV-10 value as one measure of the value of our estimated proved reserves and to compare relative values of proved reserves among exploration and production companies without regard to income taxes. We believe that securities analysts and rating agencies use PV-10 value in similar ways. Our management believes PV-10 value is a useful measure for comparison of proved reserve values among companies because, unlike standardized measure, it excludes future income taxes that often depend principally on the characteristics of the owner of the reserves rather than on the nature, location and quality of the reserves themselves. We cannot reconcile PV-10 value to the standardized measure at this time because final income tax information for mid-year 2013 is not available.

Third Quarter 2013 Conference Call

A conference call and webcast, during which management will discuss third quarter 2013 financial and operational results, is scheduled for Thursday, October 31, 2013 at 10:00 a.m. ET. Prepared remarks by H. Baird Whitehead, President and Chief Executive Officer, will be followed by a question and answer period. Investors and analysts may participate via phone by dialing toll free 1-877-316-5288 (international: 1-734-385-4977) five to 10 minutes before the scheduled start of the conference call (use the conference code 33059048), or via webcast by logging on to our website, www.pennvirginia.com, at least 15 minutes prior to the scheduled start of the call to download and install any necessary audio software. A telephonic replay will be available for two weeks beginning approximately 24 hours after the call. The replay can be accessed by dialing toll free 1-855-859-2056 (international: 1-404-537-3406) and using the replay code 33059048. In addition, an on-demand replay of the webcast will also be available for two weeks at our website beginning approximately 24 hours after the webcast.

******

Penn Virginia Corporation (NYSE: PVA) is an independent oil and gas company engaged primarily in the exploration, development and production of oil, NGLs and natural gas in various domestic onshore regions of the United States, with a primary focus in Texas, and to a lesser extent, the Mid-Continent, Mississippi and the Marcellus Shale in Appalachia. For more information, please visit our website at www.pennvirginia.com.

Certain statements contained herein that are not descriptions of historical facts are “forward-looking” statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. Because such statements include risks, uncertainties and contingencies, actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. These risks, uncertainties and contingencies include, but are not limited to, the following: the volatility of commodity prices for oil, natural gas liquids, or NGLs, and natural gas; our ability to develop, explore for, acquire and replace oil and natural gas reserves and sustain production; our ability to generate profits or achieve targeted reserves in our development and exploratory drilling and well operations; any impairments, write-downs or write-offs of our reserves or assets; the projected demand for and supply of oil, NGLs and natural gas; reductions in the borrowing base under our revolving credit facility; our ability to contract for drilling rigs, supplies and services at reasonable costs; our ability to obtain adequate pipeline transportation capacity for our oil and gas production at reasonable cost and to sell the production at, or at reasonable discounts to, market prices; the uncertainties inherent in projecting future rates of production for our wells and the extent to which actual production differs from estimated proved oil and natural gas reserves; drilling and operating risks; our ability to compete effectively against other independent and major oil and natural gas companies; our ability to successfully monetize select assets and repay our debt; leasehold terms expiring before production can be established; environmental liabilities that are not covered by an effective indemnity or insurance; the timing of receipt of necessary regulatory permits; the effect of commodity and financial derivative arrangements; our ability to maintain adequate financial liquidity and to access adequate levels of capital on reasonable terms; the occurrence of unusual weather or operating conditions, including force majeure events; our ability to retain or attract senior management and key technical employees; counterparty risk related to their ability to meet their future obligations; changes in governmental regulations or enforcement practices, especially with respect to environmental, health and safety matters; uncertainties relating to general domestic and international economic and political conditions; and other risks set forth in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

Additional information concerning these and other factors can be found in our press releases and public periodic filings with the SEC. Many of the factors that will determine our future results are beyond the ability of management to control or predict. Readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which reflect management’s views only as of the date hereof. We undertake no obligation to revise or update any forward-looking statements, or to make any other forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

 

Contact: James W. Dean

  Vice President, Corporate Development

  Ph: (610) 687-7531 Fax: (610) 687-3688

  E-Mail: invest@pennvirginia.com


PENN VIRGINIA CORPORATION

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS—unaudited

(in thousands, except per share data)

 

     Three months ended
September 30,
    Nine months ended
September 30,
 
     2013     2012     2013     2012  

Revenues

        

Crude oil

   $ 100,564      $ 56,995      $ 250,489      $ 174,100   

Natural gas liquids (NGLs)

     8,212        6,671        22,652        23,298   

Natural gas

     12,872        11,909        40,465        37,098   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total product revenues

     121,648        75,575        313,606        234,496   

(Loss) gain on sales of property and equipment, net

     (186     1,573        (479     2,407   

Other

     151        551        1,339        2,052   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total revenues

     121,613        77,699        314,466        238,955   

Operating expenses

        

Lease operating

     8,457        6,206        24,891        24,613   

Gathering, processing and transportation

     3,039        3,127        9,598        11,672   

Production and ad valorem taxes

     6,597        4,589        19,532        7,915   

General and administrative (excluding equity-classified share-based compensation) (a)

     11,667        10,352        34,495        31,289   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total direct operating expenses

     29,760        24,274        88,516        75,489   

Share-based compensation—equity classified awards (b)

     1,010        1,282        4,781        4,233   

Exploration

     3,957        9,265        18,097        26,647   

Depreciation, depletion and amortization

     62,450        49,331        178,355        151,888   

Impairments

     132,224        700        132,224        29,316   

Loss on firm transportation commitment

     —          17,332        —          17,332   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total operating expenses

     229,401        102,184        421,973        304,905   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Operating loss

     (107,788     (24,485     (107,507     (65,950

Other income (expense)

        

Interest expense

     (20,218     (14,979     (56,505     (44,837

Loss on extinguishment of debt

     —          (3,144     (29,157     (3,144

Derivatives

     (24,035     (12,271     (23,208     31,250   

Other

     35        60        79        89   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Loss before income taxes

     (152,006     (54,819     (216,298     (82,592

Income tax benefit

     53,106        22,208        75,577        32,444   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net loss

     (98,900     (32,611     (140,721     (50,148

Preferred stock dividends

     (1,725     —          (5,175     —     
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net loss applicable to common shareholders

   $ (100,625   $ (32,611   $ (145,896   $ (50,148
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net loss per share:

        

Basic

   $ (1.54   $ (0.71   $ (2.38   $ (1.09

Diluted

   $ (1.54   $ (0.71   $ (2.38   $ (1.09

Weighted average shares outstanding, basic

     65,465        46,050        61,272        46,009   

Weighted average shares outstanding, diluted

     65,465        46,050        61,272        46,009   
     Three months ended
September 30,
    Nine months ended
September 30,
 
     2013     2012     2013     2012  

Production

        

Crude oil (MBbls)

     954        573        2,411        1,693   

NGLs (MBbls)

     254        202        748        645   

Natural gas (MMcf)

     3,591        4,371        10,933        16,524   

Total crude oil, NGL and natural gas production (MBOE)

     1,807        1,504        4,982        5,092   

Prices

        

Crude oil ($ per Bbl)

   $ 105.37      $ 99.45      $ 103.87      $ 102.82   

NGLs ($ per Bbl)

   $ 32.34      $ 32.94      $ 30.27      $ 36.14   

Natural gas ($ per Mcf)

   $ 3.58      $ 2.72      $ 3.70      $ 2.25   

Prices—Adjusted for derivative settlements

        

Crude oil ($ per Bbl)

   $ 100.50      $ 107.53      $ 104.13      $ 105.45   

NGLs ($ per Bbl)

   $ 32.34      $ 32.94      $ 30.27      $ 36.14   

Natural gas ($ per Mcf)

   $ 3.71      $ 3.77      $ 3.79      $ 3.36   

 

(a) Includes liability-classified share-based compensation expense attributable to our performance-based restricted stock units that are payable in cash upon the achievement of certain market-based performance metrics. A total of $1.1 million and $0.2 million attributable to these awards is included in the three months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012 and a total of $1.5 million and $0.8 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012.
(b) Our equity-classified share-based compensation expense includes non-cash charges for our stock option expense and the amortization of common, deferred and restricted stock and restricted stock unit awards related to equity-classified employee and director compensation in accordance with accounting guidance for share-based payments.


PENN VIRGINIA CORPORATION

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS—unaudited

(in thousands)

 

     As of  
     September 30,
2013
     December 31,
2012
 

Assets

     

Current assets

   $ 195,842       $ 96,515   

Net property and equipment

     2,170,122         1,723,359   

Other assets

     40,472         23,115   
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total assets

   $ 2,406,436       $ 1,842,989   
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Liabilities and shareholders’ equity

     

Current liabilities

   $ 238,958       $ 112,025   

Revolving credit facility

     128,000         —     

Senior notes due 2016

     —           294,759   

Senior notes due 2019

     300,000         300,000   

Senior notes due 2020

     775,000         —     

Other liabilities and deferred income taxes

     168,695         241,089   

Total shareholders’ equity

     795,783         895,116   
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity

   $ 2,406,436       $ 1,842,989   
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS—unaudited

(in thousands)

 

     Three months ended
September 30,
    Nine months ended
September 30,
 
     2013     2012     2013     2012  

Cash flows from operating activities

        

Net loss

   $ (98,900     (32,611     (140,721     (50,148

Adjustments to reconcile net loss to net cash provided by operating activities:

        

Loss on extinguishment of debt

     —          3,144        29,157        3,144   

Loss on firm transportation commitment

     —          17,332        —          17,332   

Depreciation, depletion and amortization

     62,450        49,331        178,355        151,888   

Impairments

     132,224        700        132,224        29,316   

Derivative contracts:

        

Net losses (gains)

     24,035        12,271        23,208        (31,250

Cash receipts (settlements)

     (4,165     9,238        1,625        24,189   

Deferred income tax benefit

     (53,106     (22,208     (75,577     (32,444

Loss (gain) on sales of assets, net

     186        (1,573     479        (2,407

Non-cash exploration expense

     3,759        8,310        14,167        24,765   

Non-cash interest expense

     961        1,057        2,846        3,107   

Share-based compensation (equity-classified)

     1,010        1,282        4,781        4,233   

Other, net

     523        99        1,461        302   

Changes in operating assets and liabilities

     26,106        28,117        52,829        48,187   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net cash provided by operating activities

     95,083        74,489        224,834        190,214   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Cash flows from investing activities

        

Acquisition, net

     (6,713     —          (401,262     —     

Capital expenditures—property and equipment

     (127,645     (68,958     (356,964     (257,194

Proceeds from sales of assets, net

     (214     92,749        653        93,276   

Other, net

     —          —          —          180   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net cash (used in) provided by investing activities

     (134,572     23,791        (757,573     (163,738
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Cash flows from financing activities

        

Proceeds from the issuance of senior notes

     —          —          775,000        —     

Retirement of senior notes

     —          —          (319,090     —     

Proceeds from revolving credit facility borrowings

     66,000        97,000        219,000        181,000   

Repayment of revolving credit facility borrowings

     (5,000     (200,000     (91,000     (203,000

Debt issuance costs paid

     (501     (1,779     (25,199     (1,779

Dividends paid on preferred and common stock

     (1,725     —          (5,137     (5,176

Other, net

     (54     —          (164     —     
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities

     58,720        (104,779     553,410        (28,955
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents

     19,231        (6,499     20,671        (2,479

Cash and cash equivalents—beginning of period

     19,090        11,532        17,650        7,512   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Cash and cash equivalents—end of period

   $ 38,321        5,033        38,321        5,033   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Supplemental disclosures of cash paid for:

        

Interest (net of amounts capitalized)

   $ (2,544     1,209        20,671        27,865   

Income taxes (net of refunds received)

   $ —          (32,263     —          (32,574


PENN VIRGINIA CORPORATION

CERTAIN NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES—unaudited

(in thousands)

 

     Three months ended     Nine months ended  
     September 30,     September 30,  
     2013     2012     2013     2012  

Reconciliation of GAAP “Net loss” to Non-GAAP “Net loss applicable to common shareholders, as adjusted”

        

Net loss

   $ (98,900   $ (32,611   $ (140,721   $ (50,148

Adjustments for derivatives:

        

Net losses (income)

     24,035        12,271        23,208        (31,250

Cash receipts (settlements)

     (4,165     9,238        1,625        24,189   

Adjustment for acquisition transaction expenses

     —          —          2,396        —     

Adjustment for impairments

     132,224        700        132,224        29,316   

Adjustment for restructuring costs

     —          1,432        —          1,284   

Adjustment for loss (gain) on sale of assets, net

     186        (1,573     479        (2,407

Adjustment for loss on extinguishment of debt

     —          3,144        29,157        3,144   

Adjustment for loss on firm transportation commitment

     —          17,332        —          17,332   

Impact of adjustments on income taxes

     (53,202     (17,235     (66,070     (16,345

Preferred stock dividends

     (1,725     —          (5,175     —     
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net loss applicable to common shareholders, as adjusted (a)

   $ (1,547   $ (7,302   $ (22,877   $ (24,885
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Net loss applicable to common shareholders, as adjusted, per share, diluted

   $ (0.02   $ (0.16   $ (0.37   $ (0.54
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Reconciliation of GAAP “Net loss” to Non-GAAP “Adjusted EBITDAX”

        

Net loss

   $ (98,900   $ (32,611   $ (140,721   $ (50,148

Income tax benefit

     (53,106     (22,208     (75,577     (32,444

Interest expense

     20,218        14,979        56,505        44,837   

Depreciation, depletion and amortization

     62,450        49,331        178,355        151,888   

Exploration

     3,957        9,265        18,097        26,647   

Share-based compensation expense (equity-classified awards)

     1,010        1,282        4,781        4,233   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

EBITDAX

     (64,371     20,038        41,440        145,013   

Adjustments for derivatives:

        

Net losses (income)

     24,035        12,271        23,208        (31,250

Cash receipts (settlements)

     (4,165     9,238        1,625        24,189   

Adjustment for acquisition transaction expenses

     —          —          2,396        —     

Adjustment for impairments

     132,224        700        132,224        29,316   

Adjustment for loss (gain) on sale of assets, net

     186        (1,573     479        (2,407

Adjustment for loss on extinguishment of debt

     —          3,144        29,157        3,144   

Adjustment for loss on firm transportation commitment

     —          17,332        —          17,332   

Adjustment for other non-cash items

     409        —          1,263        —     
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Adjusted EBITDAX (b)

   $ 88,318      $ 61,150      $ 231,792      $ 185,337   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

(a) Net loss applicable to common shareholders, as adjusted, represents the net loss, less preferred stock dividends, adjusted to exclude the effects, net of income taxes, of non-cash changes in the fair value of derivatives, acquisition transaction expenses, impairments, restructuring costs, net gains and losses on the sale of assets, loss on extinguishment of debt and loss on firm transportation commitment. We believe this presentation is commonly used by investors and professional research analysts in the valuation, comparison, rating and investment recommendations of companies within the oil and gas exploration and production industry. We use this information for comparative purposes within our industry. Net loss applicable to common shareholders, as adjusted, is not a measure of financial performance under GAAP and should not be considered as a measure of liquidity or as an alternative to net loss applicable to common shareholders.
(b) Adjusted EBITDAX represents net loss before income tax expense or benefit, interest expense, depreciation, depletion and amortization expense, exploration expense and share-based compensation expense, further adjusted to exclude the effects of non-cash changes in the fair value of derivatives, acquisition transaction expenses, impairments, net gains and losses on the sale of assets, loss on extinguishment of debt, loss on firm transportation commitment and other non-cash items. We believe this presentation is commonly used by investors and professional research analysts in the valuation, comparison, rating and investment recommendations of companies within the oil and gas exploration and production industry. We use this information for comparative purposes within our industry. Adjusted EBITDAX is not a measure of financial performance under GAAP and should not be considered as a measure of liquidity or as an alternative to net loss. Adjusted EBITDAX represents EBITDAX as defined in our revolving credit facility.


PENN VIRGINIA CORPORATION

GUIDANCE TABLE—unaudited

(dollars in millions except where noted)

We are providing the following guidance regarding financial and operational expectations for fourth quarter and full-year 2013. These estimates are meant to provide guidance only and are subject to change as PVA’s operating environment changes.

 

     First     Second     Third                                          
     Quarter     Quarter     Quarter     Year-to-Date     Fourth Quarter     Full-Year  
     2013     2013     2013     2013     2013 Guidance     2013 Guidance  

Production:

                      

Crude oil (MBbls)

     599        858        954        2,411        989      -      1,189        3,400      -      3,600   

NGLs (MBbls)

     234        260        254        748        227      -      257        975      -      1,005   

Natural gas (MMcf)

     3,565        3,778        3,591        10,933        3,327      -      3,592        14,260      -      14,525   

Equivalent production (MBOE)

     1,427        1,748        1,807        4,982        1,770      -      2,044        6,752      -      7,026   

Equivalent daily production (BOEPD)

     15,857        19,209        19,638        18,249        19,236      -      22,216        18,498      -      19,249   

Percent crude oil and NGLs

     58.4     64.0     66.9     63.4     68.7   -      70.7     64.8   -      65.5

Production revenues (a):

                      

Crude oil

   $ 63.1        86.9        100.6        250.5        100.0      -      115.0        350.5      -      365.5   

NGLs

   $ 7.1        7.3        8.2        22.7        6.8      -      7.8        29.5      -      30.5   

Natural gas

   $ 12.0        15.6        12.9        40.5        11.5      -      12.5        52.0      -      53.0   

Total product revenues

   $ 82.2        109.7        121.6        313.6        118.4      -      135.4        432.0      -      449.0   

Total product revenues ($ per BOE)

   $ 57.61        62.78        67.33        62.95        66.90      -      66.24        61.49      -      66.50   

Percent crude oil and NGLs

     85.4     85.8     89.4     87.1     90.3   -      90.7     88.0   -      88.2

Operating expenses:

                      

Lease operating ($ per BOE)

   $ 5.47        4.94        4.68        5.00        5.58      -      5.70        5.15      -      5.20   

Gathering, processing and transportation costs ($ per BOE)

   $ 2.51        1.70        1.68        1.93        1.44      -      1.84        1.80      -      1.90   

Production and ad valorem taxes (percent of oil and gas revenues)

     7.2     6.4     5.4     6.2     6.6   -      7.1     6.3   -      6.4

General and administrative:

                      

Recurring general and administrative

   $ 9.9        10.2        10.6        30.6        8.9      -      10.9        39.9      -      41.9   

Share-based and liability-based compensation

   $ 1.1        3.1        2.1        6.3        0.8      -      1.2        6.7           7.1   

Acquisition transaction expenses

   $ —          2.4        —          2.4        0.0      -      0.0        2.4      -      2.4   

Total reported G&A

   $ 10.9        15.7        12.7        39.3        9.7      -      12.1        49.0      -      51.4   

Exploration:

                      

Total reported exploration

   $ 6.3        7.8        4.0        18.1        3.0      -      5.0        21.1      -      23.1   

Unproved property amortization

   $ 5.3        5.1        3.8        14.2        2.7      -      4.9        16.9      -      19.1   

Depreciation, depletion and amortization ($ per BOE)

   $ 36.14        36.80        34.57        35.80        33.35      -      33.87        34.95      -      35.47   

Adjusted EBITDAX (b)

   $ 60.3        83.1        88.3        231.8        88.7      -      99.7        320.5      -      331.5   

Capital expenditures:

                      

Drilling and completion

   $ 86.5        116.3        111.9        314.7        118.3      -      142.3        433.0      -      457.0   

Pipeline, gathering, facilities

   $ 3.0        6.8        1.7        11.4        6.6      -      8.4        18.0      -      19.8   

Seismic (c)

   $ 1.0        1.0        0.9        2.9        0.1      -      0.3        3.0      -      3.2   

Lease acquisitions, field projects and other

   $ 5.1        21.3        5.3        31.7        14.3      -      18.3        46.0      -      50.0   

Total capital expenditures

   $ 95.6        145.4        119.7        360.7        139.3      -      169.3        500.0      -      530.0   

End of period debt outstanding

   $ 633.1        1,142.0        1,203.0        1,203.0        1,260.0      -      1,270.0        1,260.0      -      1,270.0   

Interest expense:

                      

Total reported interest expense

   $ 14.5        21.8        20.2        56.5        23.5      -      24.5        80.0      -      81.0   

Cash interest expense

   $ 13.5        20.9        19.3        53.7        22.3      -      22.8        76.0      -      76.5   

Preferred stock dividends paid

   $ 1.7        1.7        1.7        5.1        1.7      -      1.7        6.9      -      6.9   

Income tax benefit rate

     34.9     35.0     34.9     34.9     34.9   -      35.0     34.9   -      35.0

 

(a) Assumes average benchmark prices of $98.00 per barrel for crude oil and $3.67 per MMBtu for natural gas in the fourth quarter of 2013, prior to any premium or discount for quality, basin differentials, the impact of hedges and other adjustments. NGL realized pricing is assumed to be $30.49 per barrel in the fourth quarter of 2013.
(b) Adjusted EBITDAX is not a measure of financial performance under GAAP and should not be considered as a measure of liquidity or as an alternative to net income.
(c) Seismic expenditures are also reported as a component of exploration expense and as a component of net cash provided by operating activities.


PENN VIRGINIA CORPORATION

GUIDANCE TABLE—unaudited—(continued)

 

Note to Guidance Table:

The following table shows our current derivative positions.

 

              Weighted Average Price
     Instrument Type   Average Volume
Per Day
   Floor/
Swap
   Ceiling
Natural gas:        (MMBtu)    ($ / MMBtu)

Fourth quarter 2013

   Collars   15,000    3.67    4.37

First quarter 2014

   Collars   5,000    4.00    4.50

Fourth quarter 2013

   Swaps   10,000    4.04   

First quarter 2014

   Swaps   10,000    4.28   

Second quarter 2014

   Swaps   15,000    4.10   

Third quarter 2014

   Swaps   15,000    4.10   

Fourth quarter 2014

   Swaps   5,000    4.50   

First quarter 2015

   Swaps   5,000    4.50   
Crude oil:        (barrels)    ($ / barrel)

Fourth quarter 2013

   Collars   2,400    91.04    100.02

First quarter 2014

   Collars   1,500    93.33    102.80

Second quarter 2014

   Collars   1,500    93.33    102.80

Fourth quarter 2013

   Swaps   7,000    95.94    95.94

First quarter 2014

   Swaps   7,500    93.86    93.86

Second quarter 2014

   Swaps   7,500    93.86    93.86

Third quarter 2014

   Swaps   8,000    93.18    93.18

Fourth quarter 2014

   Swaps   8,000    93.18    93.18

First quarter 2015

   Swaps   3,000    91.92    91.92

Second quarter 2015

   Swaps   3,000    91.92    91.92

Third quarter 2015

   Swaps   2,000    91.48    91.48

Fourth quarter 2015

   Swaps   2,000    91.48    91.48

First quarter 2014

   Swaption (a)   812    100.00   

Second quarter 2014

   Swaption (a)   812    100.00   

Third quarter 2014

   Swaption (a)   812    100.00   

Fourth quarter 2014

   Swaption (a)   812    100.00   

 

(a) This swaption contract gives our counterparties the option to enter into a fixed price swap with us at a future date. If the forward commodity price for calendar year 2014 is higher than or equal to $100.00 per barrel on December 31, 2013, the counterparty will exercise its option to enter into a fixed price swap at $100.00 per barrel for calendar year 2014, at which point the contract functions as a fixed price swap. If the forward commodity price for calendar year 2014 is lower than $100.00 per barrel on December 31, 2013, the option expires and no fixed price swap is in effect.

We estimate that, excluding the derivative positions described above, for every $1.00 per MMBtu increase or decrease in the natural gas price, operating income for 2013 would increase or decrease by approximately $3.2 million. In addition, we estimate that for every $10.00 per barrel increase or decrease in the crude oil price, operating income for 2013 would increase or decrease by approximately $10.2 million. This assumes that crude oil prices, natural gas prices and inlet volumes remain constant at anticipated levels. These estimated changes in operating income exclude potential cash receipts or payments in settling these derivative positions.