Attached files

file filename
8-K - FORM 8-K - PPL Corpform8k.htm
EX-99.3 - EXHIBIT 99.3 - PPL Corpform8k-exhibit99_3.htm
EX-99.1 - EXHIBIT 99.1 - PPL Corpform8k-exhibit99_1.htm
© PPL Corporation 2013
RIIO-ED1 Business Plan Review
July 1, 2013
Exhibit 99.2
 
 

 
© PPL Corporation 2013
2
Cautionary Statements and Factors
That May Affect Future Results
Any statements made in this presentation about future operating
results or other future events are forward-looking statements
under the Safe Harbor Provisions of the Private Securities
Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Actual results may differ materially
from such forward-looking statements. A discussion of factors
that could cause actual results or events to vary is contained in
the Appendix to this presentation and in the Company’s SEC
filings.
 
 

 
© PPL Corporation 2013
3
Agenda
Opening Remarks
RIIO-ED1 Business Plan Process & Overview
RIIO-ED1 Business Plan Financial Review
Closing Remarks
Q&A
Robert Symons
CEO, Western Power Distribution
Paul Farr
PPL Executive VP and CFO
Bill Spence
PPL Chairman, President and CEO
Bill Spence
PPL Chairman, President and CEO
 
 

 
© PPL Corporation 2013
RIIO-ED1
 Revenue = Incentives + Innovation + Outputs
 (Electricity Distribution 1)
 It covers the eight-year period 2015 - 2023
 The key challenges are:
  Replacing aging infrastructure and maintaining the high level of security of
 supply that customers expect
  The timing and scale of the work needed to prepare the networks for Low
 Carbon Technologies (LCTs) (e.g. electric vehicles, heat pumps and solar PV)
  The need to deliver affordable services - we must continue to be efficient
4
 
 

 
© PPL Corporation 2013
What’s New?
 Outputs
  Greater focus on the delivery of outputs with higher returns for well-
 performing efficient companies
 Stakeholder engagement
  Greater emphasis on a wide ranging consultation program
 Well-justified business plans
  Requirement to submit a high-quality, long-term “Well-Justified Business Plan”
 (WJBP)
 Three-tiered approach to companies
  Fast-track approach for excellent companies with very high-quality plans
  Proportionate treatment for good companies with high-quality plans
  Full scrutiny for low performers
5
 
 

 
© PPL Corporation 2013
Price Review Process
 The review determines the allowed revenues for all electricity
 distribution companies for the period April 1, 2015 to March
 31, 2023
 Ofgem will decide whether to accept the plan as submitted
 and fast-track the plan, or whether to subject the plan to
 further examination
 Ofgem’s examination is undertaken by its own staff and by
 technical consultants
6
 
 

 
© PPL Corporation 2013
Well-Justified Business Plan
 Ofgem has set out in detail what the plan should contain
 The submitted plan should have been subject to and reflect
 the results of significant stakeholder engagement
 Ofgem has also specified certain assumptions to ensure
 comparability between companies
 All amounts included have to be justified by external review,
 market testing or cost benefit analysis
 All expenditure numbers are shown on a cash basis (i.e., no
 distinction between capital and O&M)
 All amounts shown in 2012/13 money ignoring inflation
 No resubmission is possible until after the fast-track decision
7
 
 

 
© PPL Corporation 2013
Benefits of Fast-track
 The benefits of fast-tracking for WPD:
  2.5% of total expenditures (totex) reward (~$35 million annual average)
  All costs submitted are allowed
  Fast-tracked companies will keep more of the annual savings achieved than
 other companies
  Fast-tracked companies conclude review 9 months earlier than other
 companies
 These benefits are part of the submitted plan and
 result from the plan being fast-tracked
 Ofgem will ensure that a company that is fast-
 tracked does not secure a settlement that is worse
 than had they remained in the process
8
 
 

 
© PPL Corporation 2013
WPD Approach to RIIO-ED1
WPD will demonstrate that it is a company capable of being
fast-tracked by:
•   Delivering what was promised during DPCR5
  Continuing to be efficient
  Outperforming other Distribution Network Operators (DNOs)
•   Submitting a well-justified business plan
  A long-term plan capable of dealing with a range of future scenarios
  A plan that delivers excellent customer service and a clear set of outputs
  A plan that is efficient
  A plan that is innovative
  A plan that is supported by stakeholders
9
 
 

 
© PPL Corporation 2013
Plan Preparation
 13 Ofgem RIIO-ED1 working groups plus sub-groups, 300 meetings
 attended
 2,000 pages of Ofgem documents analyzed and responded to
  66-page requirements schedule and associated compliance audits
 120 Ofgem one-on-one meetings
 12 meetings at director level
 More than 200 cost benefit analyses prepared
 Ofgem price control review financial model, data tables and LCT
 scenarios completed
 Well-justified business plan
  160-page core document, 700 pages of supporting annexes, 2,200
 pages of sub-annexes
 Plan is supported by stakeholders, cost benefit analyses, and has
 been reviewed by external consultants
10
 
 

 
© PPL Corporation 2013
The Stakeholder Engagement Program
11
Stage 1:
Preliminary
engagement
Stage 3:
Business Plan
consultation
Stage 2:
Willingness to Pay
Customer Research
Stage 4:
Business Plan
outcome
Stage 5:
Review of our
delivery
  24 stakeholder workshops
  7 customer panel meetings
  8 focus groups (domestic customers)
  1,208 ‘willingness to pay’ interviews (domestic)
  426 ‘willingness to pay’ interviews (business)
  6 connections and distributed generation workshops
  774 distributed generation customer interviews
  408 vulnerable customer surveys
  2 energy supplier forums
  50 staff roadshows
 
 

 
© PPL Corporation 2013
Stakeholder Engagement - Key Messages
 Reliability - #1 priority for customers
  Continue to reduce the number and duration of power outages
  Improve service for worst served customers
  Improve network resilience to severe weather events
 Customers
  A quicker connections service
  Multiple communication channels
  Enhanced services to vulnerable customers
 Sustainability and Environment
  Continue undergrounding schemes in Areas of Outstanding Natural Beauty (AONB)
  Future proof the network by taking sensible incremental steps
12
All of the above must be delivered efficiently and demonstrate value for money
 
 

 
© PPL Corporation 2013
Uncertainty Mechanisms
 WPD is not proposing any additional mechanisms
 There will also be a mid-period review that is intended to cover external factors
 affecting the operation of the RIIO-ED1 price control
 In order to address the uncertainty in the 8-year RIIO-ED1 period, Ofgem has
 included uncertainty mechanisms
13
Uncertainty Mechanisms     In order to address the uncertainty in the 8 year RIIO- ED1 period, Ofgem has included uncertainty mechanisms WPD is not proposing any additional mechanisms TypeAreacoveredFrequencyMechanisticIndexationRPIindexationofallowedrevenuesCostofdebtAnnualPassthroughBusinessratesOfgemlicense feesDataandCommunicationCompany(DCC) fixedcostsAnnualVolumedriverSmartmeterroll- outcostsAnnual(aboveadefinedthreshold) AssessedReopenerStreetworksEnhancedphysicalsitesecurityHigh- valueprojectsSinglewindow– 2019Load- relatedexpenditure2017,2020Innovationroll- outmechanism2017,2019Pensiondeficitrepairmechanism2014,2017,2020TriggerTaxAtanytime There will also be a mid- period review that is intended to cover external factorsaffecting the operation of the RIIO- ED1 price control © PPLCorporation201313
 
 

 
© PPL Corporation 2013
WPD’s Plan
 The plan shows a 10.9% reduction in customer bills
 between 2014/15 and 2015/16 before inflation
 Despite this reduction among other improvements:
  Network investment will increase by 7%
  Network operating costs will decrease by 15%
  Overheads, business support and non-operational capital expenditure have decreased
 by 18%
  Power outages will be reduced by 13% and will be restored 20% quicker
  Guaranteed Standards penalties are voluntarily doubled
 This is possible because:
  Midlands capital unit costs were reduced by 24%
  Overhead costs were reduced by 20%
  Financing costs were reduced by cost of debt
14
 
 

 
© PPL Corporation 2013
WPD’s Plan - 75 Outputs
 We commit to additional voluntary output measures within each of the six
 categories:
15
= Improve current performance; = Maintain current performance
Category
Safety
Reliability
Environment
Connections
Customer
Satisfaction
Social
Obligations
Measures
10
8
14
10
16
17
Stakeholder
View
WPD’s focus
in RIIO-ED1
Reduce
staff
accident
frequency
rate by 10%
Reduce the
duration of
power outages
by 20%
 
Implement
flood defenses
at 75
substations
Reduce the
amount of waste
sent to landfill by
20% by 2017
(5%/yr thereafter)
 
Underground
55km of line in
AONB
Target zero
Guaranteed
Standard failures
 
Better
engagement with
large customers
Maintain top
position for
customer
satisfaction and
complaints
Improve data on
vulnerable
customers
 
Provide practical
support during
power failures
Voluntary
Educate
400,000
children on
electrical
safety
Reduce number
of power
outages lasting
more than 12
hours by 20%
 
Improve overall
time to deliver a
connection by
20%
Double
Guaranteed
Standard
Payments
Contact
vulnerable
customers every
two years
 
 

 
© PPL Corporation 2013
WPD’s Plan - Stakeholder Endorsement
 A series of six workshops were held across WPD in April 2013
 Stakeholders were given an overview of the draft plan and
 key outputs were presented in packages and discussed in
 detail
 Electronic voting was used to calibrate the package of outputs
 and gauge overall endorsement for the plan
 Additional specialized workshops were held covering:
  Connections
  Regulatory Distribution Use of System (DUoS) charges
  Innovation
  Social obligations
16
 
 

 
© PPL Corporation 2013
Very high overall endorsement for WPD’s plan:
•  96% agree with WPD’s plans for customer service & complaints
•  94% agree with WPD’s plans for customer communication
•  94% agree with WPD’s plans to improve connections communications
•  91% agree with WPD’s plans to enhance resilience to severe weather
•  90% agree with WPD’s plans for stakeholder engagement
•  86% agree with WPD’s plans to improve network performance
•  86% agree with WPD’s plans to make the connections service faster and more
    efficient
•  82% agree with WPD’s plans to reduce the network environmental impact
•  78% agree with WPD’s plans to reduce its business carbon footprint
•  76% agree with WPD’s plans to facilitate a competitive connections market
•  74% agree with WPD’s plans to facilitate increased volumes of LCTs
WPD’s Plan - Stakeholder Headlines
17
 
 

 
© PPL Corporation 2013
Joint statement from WPD’s Customer Panel
- June 2013
18
 
Joint  statement  from  WPD’s  Customer  Panel  –  June  2013     [Some  minor  edits  suggested  –was  this  a  public  statement? ]    Western Power Distribution (WPD) was the first DNO to adopt "open and enduring stakeholder engagement, long before RIIO-ED1.  They have led the way by giving stakeholders a clear say and involvement in strategic decisions for the future of the business.  WPD's Customer Panel was the first of its kind and currently enables us to regularly meet the senior company managers, see the company at work and learn more about what WPD is doing, where and when.  The transparent and open approach affords us the opportunity to comment on policy and feedback concerns and suggestions to management and key decisions makers directly.  Collectively the professional experience and knowledge of the invited members have enabled consideration of the outputs proposed by WPD for RIIO-ED1 in order to submit a plan that would be most beneficial for stakeholders and customers.  WPD respect both positive and negative response and address issues accordingly.  WPD's approach to engagement is transparent, genuine and well thought out, using a wide range of methods.  Meetings are a worthwhile use of our time as we see our suggestions implemented to ensure customers continue to receive the best possible overall customer service. © PPLCorporation2013 18
 
 

 
© PPL Corporation 2013
WPD’s Plan - Total Projected Expenditure
Summary
19
* Tax is not included
Core expenditure funded through DUoS (£m)
 
West
Midlands
East
Midlands
South
Wales
South
West
 
Total
Reinforcement of the network
198.0
267.2
48.6
84.7
598.5
Non-load network investment
664.2
587.3
396.9
575.1
2,223.5
Network operating costs
354.3
370.0
193.8
304.4
1,222.5
Engineering management
288.6
290.8
147.9
214.5
941.8
Corporate activities
87.0
83.2
47.3
75.8
293.3
Workforce renewal
47.7
47.7
35.6
46.9
177.9
Vehicles, IT, property &
engineering equipment
237.2
233.1
120.3
201.9
792.5
Total
1,877.0
1,879.3
990.4
1,503.3
6,250.0
Other expenditure within the price control funded through DUoS (£m)
 
West
Midlands
East
Midlands
South
Wales
South
West
 
Total
Real price effects
143.3
141.6
71.8
112.2
468.7
Smart metering
20.6
21.6
10.0
14.6
66.8
Rates
276.0
362.7
144.8
146.4
929.9
License fees
9.6
10.4
4.0
6.4
30.4
Normal pension contributions
84.7
84.5
62.3
98.8
330.3
Deficit pension contributions
180.0
176.8
204.8
331.2
892.8
Transmission exit charges
107.9
92.7
68.7
71.6
340.9
Total*
822.1
890.3
566.4
781.2
3,059.8
 WPD’s Plan –Total Projected Expenditure Summary     Core expenditure funded through DUoS(£m) West Midlands East Midlands South Wales SouthWest Total Reinforcement of the network 198.0267.248.684.7598.5 Non- load network investment 664.2587.3396.9575.12,223.5 Network operating costs 354.3370.0193.8304.41,222.5 Engineering management 288.6290.8 147.9214.5941.8 Corporate activities 87.083.247.375.8293.3 Work force renewal 47.747.735.646.9177.9 Vehicles, IT, property & engineering equipment 237.2233.1120.3201.9792.5 Total 1,877.01,879.3990.41,503.36,250.0 Other expenditure within the price control funded through DUoS (£m) West Midlands East Midlands South Wales South West Total Real price effects 143.3 141.6 71.8 112.2 468.7 Smart metering 20.6 21.6 10.0 14.6 66.8 Rates 276.0 362.7 144.8 146.4 929.9 License fees 9.6 10.4 4.0 6.4 30.4 Normal pension contributions 84.7 84.5 62.3 98.8 330.3 Deficit pension contributions 180.0 176.8 204.8 331.2 892.8 Transmission exit charges 107.9 92.7 68.7 71.6 340.9 Total* 822.1 890.3 566.4 781.2 3,059.8    * Tax is not included © PPLCorporation2013 19
 
 

 
© PPL Corporation 2013
WPD’s Plan - Financial Assumptions
Parameter
Value*
Details
Cost of Debt
2.92%
As specified by Ofgem (10-year trailing average iBoxx rate)
Cost of Equity
6.7%
The same as DPCR5 and RIIO-GD1 (Gas Distribution 1)
Gearing
65%
The same as DPCR5
Vanilla WACC
4.24%
Derived from cost of debt and cost of equity (4.7% at DPCR5)
Capitalization
80%
Comparable to DPCR5 taking into account changes in definition
RAV Depreciation
Average
of 35
years
For RIIO-ED1 we transition from the DPCR5 20-year life to a 45-
year life using the transition methodology accepted by Ofgem in
National Grid’s Electricity Transmission final proposals
20
* All amounts shown before inflation
 
 

 
© PPL Corporation 2013
 Ofgem has required that the business plan be submitted based on its
 set of regulatory assumptions
 Converting the regulatory assumptions to PPL’s U.K. Regulated
 Segment projected earnings requires a number of adjustments
 Adjustments include:
  Revenues and costs have been provided for in the business plan in real prices (2012/13)
  Ofgem has required that the WACC be based on a debt rate of 2.92% as its assumption for
 the 10-year trailing iBoxx average. The rate will likely be different at the start of RIIO-ED1. 
               (A 15bps change in the rate equates to an EPS change of approximately $0.01 per share)
  Addition of non-regulated revenues
  Pension deficit recovery is based on deficits as of December 31, 2012; revenues must be
 adjusted to reflect actual deficit amounts as of the March 31, 2013 valuation
  Annual performance incentives are not provided for in the submitted business plan
  U.S. GAAP adjustments to the regulatory financial model
  Currency conversion to U.S. dollars
  Inclusion of U.K. Holding companies and PPL domestic operating, financing and tax costs
21
U.K. Regulated Segment - PPL Adjustments
to the Ofgem Submitted Business Plan
 
 

 
© PPL Corporation 2013
 Incentives (and penalties) are a fundamental element of the
 RIIO framework
 Available incentives include:
  Fast-track award equivalent to 2.5% of annual total expenditures (totex)
  Interruptions Incentive Scheme (annual performance against targets for the number and
 duration of interruptions)
  Broad Measure of Customer Satisfaction (annual performance of customer views on
 service level)
  Efficiency incentives (IQI) from the prior price control period and RIIO-ED1
 Included in the PPL view of the RIIO-ED1 Business Plan are the
 following incentives:
22
Incentives
 IncentivesIncentives •  Incentives  (and  penalties)  are  a  fundamental  element  of  the  RIIO  framework  •  Available  incentives  include:  –  Fast- track  award  equivalent  to  2.5%  of  annual  total  expenditures  (totex)  –  Interruptions  Incentive  Scheme  (annual  performance  against  targets  for  the  number  and  duration  of  interruptions)  –  Broad  Measure  of  Customer  Satisfaction  (annual  performance  of  customer  views  on  service  level)  –  Efficiency  incentives  (IQI)  from  the  prior  price  control  period  •  Included  in  the  PPL  view  of  the  RIIO- ED1  Business  Plan  are  the  following  incentives:  ( $  in  millions,  nominal  pre- t  ax)   Revenue  Incentives  ( fiscal  year)  2015E  2016E  Fast-Track Award  25  35  Annual  Performance Incentives  from  DPCR5  100  100  Efficiency  Incentive  from  DPCR5  25  20  Total Incentives  150  155    (1)  Based  on performance  metrics set under  DPCR5  © PPLCorporation201322
 
 

 
© PPL Corporation 2013
23
RIIO-ED1 Utility Revenue Walk -
PPL Adjusted Plan
2.8%
assumed
* Assumes foreign currency exchange rate of $1.58/£.
 
Note:  Projections are presented based on Ofgem required assumptions, PPL adjustments and assumed receipt of certain incentives. Actual results may differ
materially.
 
 

 
© PPL Corporation 2013
24
U.K. Regulated Segment EPS from Ongoing
Operations Projection
Strong earnings continue in RIIO-ED1
Assumes foreign currency exchange rate of $1.58/£.
See Appendix for the reconciliation of earnings from ongoing operations to reported earnings.
Note: Projections are presented based on Ofgem required assumptions, PPL adjustments and assumed receipt of certain incentives. Actual results may differ
materially.
 
 

 
 
© PPL Corporation 2013
25
Cash Repatriation Projection
Significant and stable cash flow to parent
Assumes foreign currency exchange rate of $1.58/£.
Note: Projections are presented based on Ofgem required assumptions, PPL adjustments and assumed receipt of certain incentives. Actual results may differ
materially.
 
 

 
 
© PPL Corporation 2013
26
Concluding Remarks
 WPD well-positioned to be fast-tracked
 RIIO-ED1 business plan reflects continuation of
 WPD's standard of:
  Cost efficiency
  Excellent customer service
  Network reliability
 Strong stakeholder support for business plan
 
 

 
© PPL Corporation 2013
27
Appendix
 
 

 
© PPL Corporation 2013
28
P
U.K. Electricity Distribution Price Control
Review Schedule
RIIO-ED1 Timetable
Provisional Timing
Milestone
September 2012
Publication of Strategy Consultation
March 2013
Strategy decision published
July 2013
DNOs submit and publish business plans
November 2013
Initial assessment and fast-track Draft Determination published
March 2014
Fast-track Final Determination published
March 2014
Non-fast-track DNOs resubmit & publish business plans
July 2014
Non-fast-track Draft Determination published
November 2014
Non-fast-track Final Determination published
December 2014
Statutory Consultation on license modifications
April 1, 2015
New price control period commences
Source: Ofgem, June 2013
Completed
P
P
P
 
 

 
© PPL Corporation 2013
29
Reconciliation of U.K. Regulated Segment
Earnings from Ongoing Operations to
Reported Earnings
 Reconciliation of U. K. Regulated Segment Earnings from Ongoing Operations to Reported Earnings (Per Share - Dilute d) Forecast Earnings from Ongoing Operations Special Items: Foreign currency- related economic hedges Total Special Items Reported Earnings 2013 1.20$ 0.12 0.12 1.32 $ (1) $ $ High 2014 1.32 --1.32 $ $ Low 2014 1.25 --1.25 $ $ High 2015 1.31 --1.31 $ $ Low2015 1.19 --1.19 $ $ High 2016 1.33 --1.33 $ $ Low 2016 1.17 --1.17 (1) Midpoint Earnings from Ongoing Operations © PPL Corporation 2013 29
 
 

 
© PPL Corporation 2013
30
Definitions of Non-GAAP Financial Measures
Earnings from ongoing operations should not be considered as an alternative to reported earnings, or net income attributable to PPL
shareowners, which is an indicator of operating performance determined in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting
principles (GAAP). PPL believes that "earnings from ongoing operations," although a non-GAAP financial measure, is also useful and
meaningful to investors because it provides management's view of PPL's fundamental earnings performance as another criterion in
making investment decisions. PPL's management also uses "earnings from ongoing operations" in measuring certain corporate performance
goals. Other companies may use different measures to present financial performance.
"Earnings from ongoing operations" is adjusted for the impact of special items, as applicable. Special items include:
 Adjusted energy-related economic activity.
 Foreign currency-related economic hedges.
 Gains and losses on sales of assets not in the ordinary course of business.
 Impairment charges (including impairments of securities in the company's nuclear decommissioning trust funds).
 Workforce reduction and other restructuring effects.
 Acquisition-related adjustments.
 Other charges or credits that are, in management's view, not reflective of the company's ongoing operations.
 
 

 
 
© PPL Corporation 2013
31
Statements contained in this presentation, including statements with respect to future earnings, cash flows, financing, regulation and corporate
strategy are "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the federal securities laws. Although PPL Corporation believes that the
expectations and assumptions reflected in these forward-looking statements are reasonable, these statements are subject to a number of risks and
uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially from the results discussed in the statements. The following are among the important factors
that could cause actual results to differ materially from the forward-looking statements: market demand and prices for energy; weather conditions
affecting customer energy usage and operating costs; competition in power markets; the effect of any business or industry restructuring; new
accounting requirements or new interpretations or applications of existing requirements; operating performance of plants and other facilities; the
length of scheduled and unscheduled outages; environmental conditions and requirements and the related costs of compliance, including
environmental capital expenditures and emission allowance and other expenses; system conditions and operating costs; development of new
projects, markets and technologies; performance of new ventures; asset or business acquisitions and dispositions; any impact of hurricanes or
other severe weather on our business; receipt of necessary government permits, approvals, rate relief and regulatory cost recovery; capital market
conditions and decisions regarding capital structure; the outcome of litigation against PPL Corporation and its subsidiaries; stock price
performance; the market prices of equity securities and the impact on pension income and resultant cash funding requirements for defined benefit
pension plans; the securities and credit ratings of PPL Corporation and its subsidiaries; political, regulatory or economic conditions in states,
regions or countries where PPL Corporation or its subsidiaries conduct business, including any potential effects of threatened or actual terrorism or
war or other hostilities; foreign exchange rates; new state, federal or foreign legislation, including new tax legislation; and the commitments and
liabilities of PPL Corporation and its subsidiaries. Any such forward-looking statements should be considered in light of such important factors and
in conjunction with PPL Corporation's Form 10-K and other reports on file with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
Forward-Looking Information Statement