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8-K - FORM 8K INVESTOR UPDATE 7.24.12 - Spirit Airlines, Inc.form8-kinvestorupdate72412.htm


EXHIBIT 99.1
Investor Update
July 24, 2012

This investor update provides Spirit's investor guidance for the third quarter ending September 30, 2012 and full year 2012. All data is based on preliminary estimates.
Capacity - Available Seat Miles (ASMs)
1Q12A

 
2Q12A

 
3Q12E

 
4Q12E

 
FY2012E

 
ASMs Year-over-Year % Change
17.7
%
 
16.5
%
 
22.0
%
 
30.2
%
 
21.6
%
 
 
3Q12E
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Operating Expense per ASM (CASM) (cents)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
CASM*
10.07

-
10.12
 
 
 
 
Less: Fuel expense per ASM
4.03
 
 
CASM ex-fuel*
6.04

-
6.09
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
*Includes $4.5 million of one-time start-up costs related to the Company's seat maintenance program.  
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
Average Stage Length (miles)
892
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fuel Expense per Gallon ($)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fuel cost*
$3.15
 
 
Less: Unrealized mark-to-market (gains) and losses (1)
n/a
 
 
Economic fuel cost
$3.15
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fuel gallons (thousands)
37,730
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
*Includes fuel taxes, and into-plane fuel cost. Based on the jet fuel curve as of July 19, 2012 and includes fuel hedge (gains) and losses currently expected to be realized during the third quarter 2012.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3Q12E
 
FY2012E
Effective Tax Rate
37.5%
 
37.5%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3Q12E
 
FY2012E
Wtd. Average Share Count (thousands)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Basic
72,430
 
72,386
 
Diluted
72,611
 
72,580
 




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Capital Expenditures & Other Working Capital Requirements
 
Full Year 2012E
 
 
(millions)
 
Capital expenditures*
 
$28
 
Pre-delivery deposits for flight equipment, net of refunds
 
$12
 
Pre-paid maintenance reserves, net
 
$21
 
Pre-IPO Tax Receivable Agreement distribution
 
$27

*Includes the purchase of two spare engines that will be, or were, financed under a sale/leaseback transaction upon delivery.

Fuel Hedges
% of Est.
 
 
 
Average price
 
Period
Volume
 
Instrument
 
Call/gal
Put /gal
3Q12
19
%
 
Jet fuel collars
 
$
3.16

 
$
2.95

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Refining Margin
 
 
 
 
 
 
Hedges
% of Est.
 
 
 
Average price
 
Period
Volume
 
Instrument
 
per gallon
 
3Q12
46
%
 
Basis swaps
 
$0.0395
 
4Q12
24
%
 
Basis swaps
 
$0.0395
 


Footnotes
(1)
Unrealized mark-to-market (gains) and losses are comprised of estimated non-cash adjustments to aircraft fuel expense. The Company may have unrealized mark-to-market (gains) or losses in the third quarter 2012, but is not yet able to estimate the amount.

Forward-Looking Statements
Statements in this release contain various forward-looking statements within the meaning Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, which represent the Company's expectations or beliefs concerning future events. When used in this release, the words “expects,” “estimates,” “plans,” “anticipates,” “indicates,” “believes,” “forecast,” “guidance,” “outlook,” “may,” “will,” “should,” “seeks,” “targets” and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Similarly, statements that describe the Company's objectives, plans or goals, or actions the Company may take in the future, are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements include, without limitation, statements regarding the Company's intentions and expectations regarding the management of future maintenance costs related to the Company's seat maintenance program, the delivery schedule of aircraft on order an announced new service routes and customer savings programs, guidance and estimates for the third quarter and full year 2012, including expectations regarding capacity, CASM, CASM ex-fuel, fuel expense, economic fuel cost, expected unrealized mark-to-market gains or losses, and tax rates. All forward-looking statements in this release are based upon information available to the Company on the date of this release. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. Forward-looking statements are subject to a number of factors that could cause the Company's actual results to differ materially from the Company's expectations, including the competitive environment in the airline industry; the Company's ability to keep costs low; changes in fuel costs; the impact of worldwide economic conditions on customer travel behavior; the Company's ability to generate non-ticket revenues; and government regulation. Additional information concerning these and other factors is contained in the Company's Securities and Exchange Commission filings, including but not limited to the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2011.


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