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8-K - CURRENT REPORT - SWISS HELVETIA FUND, INC.swisshelvetia-8k_061512.htm
The Swiss Helvetia Fund, Inc.
Shareholders Meeting
New York, June 20, 2012
 
 

 
Agenda
 Swiss Market Review & Analysis
 SWZ Portfolio Review
 Stock Repurchase Program - Basic Data
 Private Equity - An Alternative Asset Class
 Investment Strategy
 Marketing
 Market Price / NAV / Discount
 
 

 
World economy growth mediocre and falling back into a stalemate
scenario
 4 years after the financial crisis economies of developed countries remain below par:
 ü US doing somewhat better than the others
 Global Manufacturing PMI slowed down in May to its lowest reading in five months:
 ü Europe remained the main drag falling to three-year lows
  NB: ECB usually reacts when PMI is below 47
 ü Signs of slowdown in the U.S. and Asia (conditions deteriorated in China)
 ü Global growth of new orders remained lackluster, while global manufacturing production increased
 ü Marked drop in inflationary pressures due to recent reductions in some commodities’ prices
Source: BLOOMBERG
Purchasing Managers Index Manufacturing (PMI)
 
 

 
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Risky assets impacted by very negative global economic surprises
 The Citigroup Economic Surprise Indices:
  Weighted historical standard deviations of data surprises (actual releases vs Bloomberg survey median)
  Pointed out to substantial disappointments in terms of economic surprises in US, Europe, China and Emerging
 markets that led to the recent risky assets correction
  Worst macro surprises data in 3 years
  Equity markets had recovered substantially since last November through March but were slightly overbought
Citigroup Economic Surprise Indices US, Euro, China and EM
Source: BLOOMBERG
 
 

 
and Eurozone GDP growth still impacted by the tightening of credit
conditions
 ECB’s Bank Lending Survey showed continued tightening credit standards by euro banks as they are deleveraging:
 ü Albeit in a less aggressive and broad-based manner than in the prior three months:
 Ø LTRO prevents liquidity squeeze and softens credit conditions in Q1 2012
 Ø Pressures from cost of funding and balance sheet constraints are reduced
 ü Bank loan officers expect credit standards to remain little changed in Q2:
 Ø Demand for household credit should fall further in Q2, albeit far less sharply than in Q1
 Ø But a small net increase in business demand for loans/credit is reported
Changes in quarterly demand for loans or credit lines to enterprises (green) & Eurozone GDP growth YOY
Source: BLOOMBERG
 
 

 
6
risk aversion is back especially in the banking sector
 The mean for global equities has reversed to the 200 day moving average with emerging markets lagging both US and
 European equity markets year-to-date
 Risk-on rally ended abruptly on the back of Spanish public deficit and Greek elections
 Fears of renewed European crisis will reinforce pro-growth policies supporting global equities if the contagion from Greece is
 avoided
  Political negotiations will probably end-up with a restructuration of the Greek debt
 Global equity markets could rebuild some potential when looking at the very high equity risk premium
Source: BLOOMBERG
Volatility of the S&P 500, Euro Stoxx 50 and SMI indices
 
 

 
 
 

 
Underlying pace of global economic growth lukewarm - Part II
 
 

 
9
European sovereign debt crisis
  EU-wide coordination of domestic bank regulatory frameworks into a European banking union
  European banking supervision to avoid moral hazard and thus transfer of sovereignty:
  Reluctance of some governments
  Increasingly stressed by the European Commission and the ECB
 Ireland: over 60% approved the Irish referendum on the EU fiscal compact
 ECB: still reluctant to further increase the size of its balance sheet amounting to 30% of Eurozone GDP
 Eurozone main issue : grouping in a single monetary union economies whose per capita income, productivity, labor market,
 current account and social system are not similar
 Current account and competitiveness: key issues to address and more adjustment expected
 Greece and Portugal remain an issue in terms of long run solvency
Two scenarios
 
 

 
Spain: too big to fail
 
 

 
Switzerland leading in key worldwide indicators
WORLD BANK INDEX
Government Efficiency
-2.5 (weak) - +2.5 (strong)
 
 

 
Swiss consumer sentiment stabilizing
 Sustained private consumption stance on the back of:
 ü Retail sales reached new all-time high, while posting a slight positive growth in April
 Ø signs of slowing momentum after 7 month of positive yearly growth rate
 Consumer confidence recovered from depressed levels late last year on the back of:
 ü Solid real income growth
 ü Historically elevated savings rates
 ü Solid state of the Swiss labor market
 ü Sustained Swiss housing prices
Consumer Sentiment Indicators (Switzerland, US and Eurozone)
Source: BLOOMBERG
 
 

 
Swiss GDP growth encouraging
Source: BLOOMBERG
Swiss GDP growth yoy & PMI
 
 

 
SNB 1.2 EUR/CHF under pressure but resilient
14
SNB inflation forecasts
 
 

 
Agenda
 Macro-Economic Conditions
 SWZ Portfolio Review
 Stock Repurchase Program - Basic Data
 Private Equity - An Alternative Asset Class
 Investment Strategy
 Marketing
 Market Price / NAV / Discount
 
 

 
16
   Swiss Equity Valuations
 
 

 
17
Bloomberg estimates
Sector Valuation
 
 

 
 
 

 
Agenda
 Macro-Economic Conditions
 Swiss Market Review & Analysis
 Stock Repurchase Program - Basic Data
 Private Equity - An Alternative Asset Class
 Investment Strategy
 Marketing
 Market Price / NAV / Discount
 
 

 
20
SWZ Sector Exposure Sector Weight versus SPI as of 06/08/12
 
 

 
SWZ Total Return Comparison versus SPI
12/31/10-12/31/11 (CHF) Monthly Data and Cumulative Spread
21
 
 

 
SWZ Total Return Comparison versus SPI
22
 
 

 
SWZ shareholders' return analysis
YTD 12/31/11 - 5/31/12 (USD)
S&P 500 total return : + 5.16 %
23
 
 

 
SWZ shareholders’ return analysis
1 year 12/31/10 - 12/31/11 (USD)
S&P 500 total return : +2.11 %
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25
 
 

 
Agenda
 Macro-Economic Conditions
 Swiss Market Review & Analysis
 SWZ Portfolio Review
 Stock Repurchase Program - Basic Data
 Investment Strategy
 Marketing
 Market Price / NAV / Discount
 
 

 
 Opportunities in private equity and venture capital financing in different industries and
 various stages of development
 Closely networked, internationally oriented and infrastructure to support transactions
 Strong expertise in certain niche markets with the predominance of mid-market segments,
 going along with reasonably priced transaction
 SWZ exposure in private equity is balanced between investments in Funds and direct holdings
 European economic environment has slow down the private activity. Exit opportunities
 through IPOs remains very challenging and M&A activity has not recovered
Attractiveness of Switzerland for Private Equity
27
 
 

 
SWZ Exposure to Private Equity
 Private equity exposure has increased from 6% in ‘11 to 8% of the NAV of the Fund in June ‘12
 Diversification through investments in funds and in direct holdings
 Buy out and late stage ventures create investment opportunities across investment cycles
 Limited Partnerships totaling investment of CHF 13mn (5%) with total commitment of CHF
 17mn, unchanged from 2011
 ü Zurmont Madison Private Equity LP
 - Portfolio companies invested in mid-sized industrial and consumer goods companies
 - Investment focus on MBOs, successions and corporate spin offs
 ü Aravis LP
 - One of the most active venture capital in the Swiss market
 Illiquid direct Investments totaling investments of CHF15mn (4.5%)
 ü Six different holdings
 ü One exit in ‘11 through the merger with a listed company on the Finnish stock exchange
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29
SWZ 2012 performance review YTD (as of 6/8/12)
without private Equity
 
 

 
30
SWZ 2012 performance review YTD (as of 6/8/12)
with private Equity
 
 

 
Agenda
 Macro-Economic Conditions
 Swiss Market Review & Analysis
 SWZ Portfolio Review
 Stock Repurchase Program - Basic Data
 Private Equity - An Alternative Asset Class
 Marketing
 Market Price / NAV / Discount
 
 

 
Market environment
32
 
 

 
Market outlook : scenario analysis
 
 

 
Scenarios outcome the market most likely prices in
Markets already price in returns that are skewed on the downside because
of macro imbalances are clearly visible although their severity is quite difficult to assess :
as a consequence downside appears limited but fat tails are larger than in the past
Portfolio strategy is to have:
A) Core holdings in defensive sectors even though relative valuation is high
 
B) Satellite holdings with higher earnings volatility and medium to low balance sheet risk
 because their relative valuation is very low, exposures to these holdings depends on underlying
 industry cycles
 
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Investment Strategy
35
 
 

 
36
Investment strategy : valuation - main holdings as of 6/8/12
 
 

 
37
Investment strategy : valuation - main holdings as of 6/8/12 (II)
 
 

 
Agenda
 Macro-Economic Conditions
 Swiss Market Review & Analysis
 SWZ Portfolio Review
 Private Equity - An Alternative Asset Class
 Investment Strategy
 Marketing
 Market Price / NAV / Discount
 
 

 
SWZ 25 Years Distribution History (USD)
39
*two for one stock split
*
 
 

 
SWZ 25 Years Distribution History (USD)
Total contributions by shareholders
 
299,483,721.16
Dividend Reinvested
 
75,877,681.71
Buy-backs
 
(91,964,914.30)
Total Net contributions by shareholders
 
283,396,488.57
Total distributions to shareholders
 
434,942,562.02
 
 
 
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Stock repurchase program 2009 - 2011
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Agenda
 Macro-Economic Conditions
 Swiss Market Review & Analysis
 SWZ Portfolio Review
 Stock Repurchase Program - Basic Data
 Private Equity - An Alternative Asset Class
 Investment Strategy
 Market Price / NAV / Discount
 
 

 
43
 On July 30, 2011 The Fund participated in Swiss National Day 2011 which was organized by
 the Swiss Benevolent Society of New York (SBS). The SBS sent out 9,000 flyers advertising
 the event which was held at the Central Park Zoo in New York City, and was attended by
 approximately 2,500 people. Three representatives of the Fund manned an information
 booth handing out SWZ quarterly reports, logo key chains and historical information on the
 Fund. Many attendees showed interest in the Fund’s investment strategy.
 Ongoing efforts in keeping www.swz.com up to date with current news and statistics
 Conducted Shareholder visits
Marketing efforts since June 2011
 
 

 
Agenda
 Macro-Economic Conditions
 Swiss Market Review & Analysis
 SWZ Portfolio Review
 Stock Repurchase Program - Basic Data
 Private Equity - An Alternative Asset Class
 Investment Strategy
 Marketing
 
 

 
45
Basic data