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8-K - FORM 8-K FOR 1Q2012 EARNINGS - TRIAD GUARANTY INCform8k-1q2012earnings.htm
Exhibit 99.1
Press Release

Triad Guaranty Inc. Reports First Quarter Results

WINSTON-SALEM, N.C., May 11, 2012 -- Triad Guaranty Inc. (OTCBB: TGIC) today reported a net loss for the quarter ended March 31, 2012 of $37.7 million compared to a net loss of $60.9 million for the fourth quarter of 2011 and a net loss of $4.9 million during the first quarter of 2011.  The 2012 first quarter diluted loss per share was $2.47 compared to a diluted loss per share of $3.99 for the 2011 fourth quarter and $0.32 for the first quarter of 2011.

Ken Jones, President and CEO, said, “During the 2012 first quarter, we experienced the anticipated positive seasonal impact of lower first notices of defaults and increased cure rates normally attributed to income tax refunds and, to a lesser extent, year-end bonuses.  As a result, primary risk in default declined by 7.4% sequentially compared to a sequential decline of 4.7% in the fourth quarter of 2011. Net losses and loss adjustment expenses for the first quarter were $67.9 million, down from the $107.4 million reported in the fourth quarter of 2011 which reflected an increase in the frequency factors utilized in our reserve calculation.  Settled claims were $99.4 million during the 2012 first quarter compared to $118.3 million in the 2011 fourth quarter and $111.9 million in the first quarter of 2011. Persistency, the key driver of our earned premiums, remained at elevated levels compared to historical norms as many borrowers are finding it difficult to sell or refinance their homes.”

Mr. Jones continued, “As a company in run-off, our primary focus remains on the efficient and effective servicing of our insured portfolio, particularly with respect to loss management, in order to maximize our claims-paying ability.  Our deficit in assets remains substantial and was $737.8 million at March 31, 2012.  We believe that, absent significant positive changes in the economy and the residential real estate market, our existing assets and future premiums likely will not be sufficient to meet our current and future policyholder obligations.”

We have updated the quarterly statistical and supplemental information for the 2012 first quarter results on our web site at www.triadguaranty.com.  The supplemental information can be found under “Investors” and then under “Webcasts and Presentations” by the title “Supplemental Information – First Quarter 2012”.


 
 

 
(Relevant Triad Guaranty Inc. financial and statistical information follows)

Triad Guaranty Inc.'s wholly owned subsidiary, Triad Guaranty Insurance Corporation, is a nationwide mortgage insurer pursuing a run-off of its existing in-force book of business.  For more information, please visit the Company's web site at www.triadguaranty.com.
 

Certain of the statements contained in this release are "forward-looking statements" and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements include estimates and assumptions related to economic, competitive, regulatory, operational and legislative developments. These forward-looking statements are subject to change, uncertainty and circumstances that are, in many instances, beyond our control and they have been made based upon our current expectations and beliefs concerning future developments and their potential effect on us. Actual developments and their results could differ materially from those expected by us, depending on the outcome of a number of factors, including: the possibility that the Illinois Department of Insurance may take various actions regarding Triad if it does not operate its business in accordance with its revised financial and operating plan and the corrective orders, or for other reasons, including seeking receivership proceedings; our ability to operate our business in run-off and maintain a solvent run-off; our ability to continue as a going concern; the possibility of general economic and business conditions that are different than anticipated; legislative, regulatory, and other similar developments; changes in interest rates, employment rates, the housing market, the mortgage industry and the stock market; legal and other proceedings regarding modifications and refinancing of mortgages and/or foreclosure proceedings; the possibility that there will not be adequate interest in our common stock on the over the counter markets to ensure efficient pricing; and various factors described under "Risk Factors" and in the “Safe Harbor Statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995” in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2011 and in other reports and statements filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.  Forward-looking statements are based upon our current expectations and beliefs concerning future events and we undertake no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements to reflect the impact of circumstances or events that arise after the date the forward-looking statements are made, except as otherwise required by law.
 

 
SOURCE: Triad Guaranty Inc.
CONTACT: Bob Ogburn, Vice President and Treasurer, at 336.723.1282 ext. 1167 or bogburn@tgic.com
 
 
 
 

 
 



Triad Guaranty Inc.
 
Consolidated Statements of Operations
 
(Unaudited)
 
             
   
Three Months Ended
 
   
March 31,
 
(Dollars in thousands except per share amounts)
 
2012
   
2011
 
Revenues:
           
Earned premiums
  $ 34,537     $ 37,128  
Net investment income
    6,109       8,491  
Net realized investment gains (losses)
    173       (436 )
Other income
    3       27  
  Total revenues
    40,822       45,210  
Losses and Expenses:
               
Net settled claims
    97,131       106,909  
Decrease in reserves
    (30,531 )     (66,694 )
Loss adjustment expenses
    1,382       1,490  
Net losses and loss adjustment expenses
    67,982       41,705  
                 
Interest expense
    4,981       3,978  
Other operating expenses
    5,584       4,437  
   Total losses and expenses
    78,547       50,120  
Loss before income taxes
    (37,725 )     (4,910 )
Income tax expense
    -       -  
Net income (loss)
  $ (37,725 )   $ (4,910 )
                 
Per Share Information:
               
Diluted loss per share
  $ (2.47 )   $ (0.32 )
                 
Diluted weighted average common stock and common stock equivalents outstanding (in thousands of shares)
    15,258       15,225  

 
 
 
 

 
 
Triad Guaranty Inc.
 
Consolidated Balance Sheets
 
                   
   
(Unaudited)
         
(Unaudited)
 
   
March 31,
   
December 31,
   
March 31,
 
(Dollars in thousands)
 
2012
   
2011
   
2011
 
Assets:
                 
Invested assets:
                 
   Fixed maturities, available for sale, at market
  $ 740,802     $ 746,238     $ 810,439  
   Short-term investments
    44,094       30,102       32,469  
      784,896       776,340       842,908  
Cash and cash equivalents
    17,355       40,590       39,073  
Reinsurance recoverable
    19,712       22,988       33,499  
Other Assets
    53,732       56,309       48,528  
      Total assets
  $ 875,695     $ 896,227     $ 964,008  
                         
Liabilities:
                       
Losses and loss adjustment expenses
  $ 821,512     $ 854,188     $ 990,494  
Unearned premiums
    7,171       6,871       9,220  
Deferred payment obligation
    674,191       629,700       464,342  
Other liabilities
    110,600       109,042       93,691  
      Total liabilities
    1,613,474       1,599,801       1,557,747  
                         
Stockholders' deficit:
                       
Accumulated deficit
    (864,540 )     (826,815 )     (723,956 )
Accumulated other comprehensive income
    12,493       8,977       15,963  
Other equity accounts
    114,268       114,264       114,254  
      Deficit in assets
    (737,779 )     (703,574 )     (593,739 )
Total liabilities and stockholders' deficit
  $ 875,695     $ 896,227     $ 964,008  
                         
Common shares outstanding (in thousands)
    15,328       15,328       15,258  

 
 
 
 
 

 


Triad Guaranty Inc.
 
Consolidated Statements of Cash Flow
 
(Unaudited)
 
             
   
Three Months Ended
 
   
March 31,
 
(Dollars in thousands)
 
2012
   
2011
 
OPERATING ACTIVITIES
           
Net loss
  $ (37,725 )   $ (4,910 )
Adjustments to reconcile net loss to net cash used in operating activities:
               
Decrease in loss and unearned premium reserves
    (32,376 )     (69,379 )
Decrease in amounts due to/from reinsurer
    3,276       7,307  
Net realized investment (gains) losses
    (173 )     436  
Increase in deferred payment obligation
    44,491       48,685  
Income taxes recoverable
    -       11,707  
Other operating activities
    4,800       1,128  
Net cash used in operating activities
    (17,707 )     (5,026 )
                 
INVESTING ACTIVITIES
               
Purchases of investment securities
    (19,837 )     (27,539 )
Sales and maturities of investment securities
    28,062       26,514  
Decrease (increase) in short-term investments
    (13,970 )     7,092  
Other investing activities
    217       (730 )
Net cash (used in) provided by investing activities
    (5,528 )     5,337  
                 
Net (decrease) increase in cash
    (23,235 )     311  
Cash at beginning of year
    40,590       38,762  
Cash at end of period
  $ 17,355     $ 39,073  

 
 
 
 

 


Triad Guaranty Inc.
 
Sequential Quarterly Financial Statements
 
(unaudited)
 
                               
   
Condensed Statements of Operations For The Quarter Ended
 
   
Mar. 31,
   
Dec. 31,
   
Sept. 30,
   
Jun. 30,
   
Mar. 31,
 
(Dollars in thousands)
 
2012
   
2011
   
2011
   
2011
   
2011
 
Revenue:
                             
Earned premiums
  $ 34,537     $ 39,111     $ 49,719     $ 35,394     $ 37,128  
Net investment income
    6,109       6,779       7,364       8,126       8,491  
Realized investment gains (losses)
    173       11,296       1,349       3,000       (436 )
Other income
    3       1       10       29       27  
  Total revenues
    40,822       57,187       58,442       46,549       45,210  
Losses and Expenses:
                                       
   Net settled claims
    97,131       113,936       132,545       111,583       106,909  
   Change in reserves
    (30,531 )     (5,885 )     (44,192 )     (70,752 )     (66,694 )
   Loss adjustment (benefit) expenses
    1,382       (633 )     (511 )     469       1,490  
Net losses and LAE expense
    67,982       107,418       87,842       41,300       41,705  
Interest expense
    4,981       4,984       4,813       4,469       3,978  
Other operating expenses
    5,584       4,583       4,450       5,178       4,437  
  Total losses and expenses
    78,547       116,985       97,105       50,947       50,120  
Loss before taxes
    (37,725 )     (59,798 )     (38,663 )     (4,398 )     (4,910 )
Income tax expense (benefit)
    -       1,134       (1,134 )     -       -  
Net loss
  $ (37,725 )   $ (60,932 )   $ (37,529 )   $ (4,398 )   $ (4,910 )
                                         
   
Condensed Balance Sheets As Of
 
   
Mar. 31,
   
Dec. 31,
   
Sept. 30,
   
Jun. 30,
   
Mar. 31,
 
    2012     2011     2011     2011     2011  
Assets
                                       
Invested assets
  $ 784,896     $ 776,340     $ 773,078     $ 823,018     $ 842,908  
Cash
    17,355       40,590       65,051       40,277       39,073  
Reinsurance recoverable
    19,712       22,988       23,719       31,230       33,499  
Other assets
    53,732       56,309       56,897       46,141       48,528  
Total assets
  $ 875,695     $ 896,227     $ 918,745     $ 940,666     $ 964,008  
                                         
Liabilities and stockholders' deficit
                                       
Liabilities:
                                       
    Losses and loss adjustment expenses
  $ 821,512     $ 854,188     $ 864,049     $ 910,530     $ 990,494  
    Deferred payment obligation
    674,191       629,700       576,510       517,193       464,342  
    Accrued expenses and other liabilities
    117,771       115,913       109,095       106,271       102,911  
Total liabilities
    1,613,474       1,599,801       1,549,654       1,533,994       1,557,747  
Deficit in assets
    (737,779 )     (703,574 )     (630,909 )     (593,328 )     (593,739 )
Total liabilities and stockholders' deficit
  $ 875,695     $ 896,227     $ 918,745     $ 940,666     $ 964,008