Attached files

file filename
8-K - CURRENT REPORT - Spirit Airlines, Inc.a8kshell4q11earningsrelease.htm
EX-99.1 - FOURTH QUARTER AND FULL YEAR 2011 RESULTS - Spirit Airlines, Inc.a4q11pressrelease.htm


EXHIBIT 99.2
Investor Update
February 16, 2012

This investor update provides Spirit's investor guidance for the first quarter ending March 31, 2012 and full year 2012. All data is based on preliminary estimates.
Capacity - Available Seat Miles (ASMs)
1Q12E

 
2Q12E

 
3Q12E

 
4Q12E

 
FY2012E

 
ASMs Year-over-Year % Change
17.8
%
 
17.0
%
 
25.0
%
 
30.0
%
 
23.0
%
  
 
 
1Q12E
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Operating Expense per ASM (CASM) (cents)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
CASM
10.11

10.16
 
 
 
 
Less: Fuel expense per ASM
4.14
 
 
CASM ex-fuel
5.97

6.02
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Average Stage Length (miles)
912
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fuel Expense per Gallon ($)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fuel cost*
$3.28
 
 
Less: Unrealized mark-to-market (gains) and losses (1)
n/a
 
 
Economic fuel cost
$3.28
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fuel gallons (thousands)
32,727
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
*Includes fuel taxes, and into-plane fuel cost. Based on the jet fuel curve as of February 14, 2012 and includes fuel hedge (gains) and losses currently expected to be realized during the first quarter 2012.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1Q12E
 
FY2012E
Effective Tax Rate
37.5%
 
37%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1Q12E
 
FY2012E
Wtd. Average Share Count (thousands)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Basic
72,295
 
72,380
 
Diluted
72,486
 
72,523
 





1




Capital Expenditures & Other Working Capital Requirements
 
Full Year 2012E
 
 
(millions)
 
Capital expenditures
 
$13
 
Pre-delivery deposits paid
 
$50
 
Pre-delivery deposits (refunded)
 
$(44)
 
Pre-paid maintenance reserves, net
 
$20
 
Pre-IPO Tax Receivable Agreement distribution
 
$27



Fuel Hedges
% of Est.
 
 
 
Average price
 
Period
Volume
 
Instrument
 
Call/gal
Put /gal
1Q12
41
%
 
Jet fuel collars
 
$
2.99

 
$
2.81

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 



Footnotes
(1)
Unrealized mark-to-market (gains) and losses are comprised of estimated non-cash adjustments to aircraft fuel expense. The Company may have unrealized mark-to-market (gains) or losses in the first quarter 2012, but is not yet able to estimate the amount.

Forward-Looking Statements
Statements in this release contain various forward-looking statements within the meaning Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, which represent the Company's expectations or beliefs concerning future events. When used in this release, the words “expects,” “estimates,” “plans,” “anticipates,” “indicates,” “believes,” “forecast,” “guidance,” “outlook,” “may,” “will,” “should,” “seeks,” “targets” and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Similarly, statements that describe the Company's objectives, plans or goals, or actions the Company may take in the future, are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements include, without limitation, statements regarding the Company's guidance and estimates for the first quarter and full year 2012, including expectations regarding capacity, CASM, CASM ex-fuel, fuel expense, economic fuel cost, expected unrealized mark-to-market gains or losses and tax rates. All forward-looking statements in this release are based upon information available to the Company on the date of this release. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. Forward-looking statements are subject to a number of factors that could cause the Company's actual results to differ materially from the Company's expectations, including the competitive environment in the airline industry; the Company's ability to keep costs low; changes in fuel costs; the impact of worldwide economic conditions on customer travel behavior; the Company's ability to generate non-ticket revenues; and government regulation. Additional information concerning these and other factors is contained in the Company's Securities and Exchange Commission filings, including but not limited to the Company's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2011.

2