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8-K - FORM 8-K - US AIRWAYS GROUP INC | c23748e8vk.htm |
Exhibit 99.1
INVESTOR RELATIONS UPDATE
October 27, 2011
October 27, 2011
General Comments
| 2011 Capacity Guidance 2011 total system capacity is expected to be up approximately one percent vs. 2010. Domestic capacity is expected to be up slightly and international up approximately three percent. |
| Cash As of September 30, 2011, the Company had $2.4 billion in total cash and investments, of which $384 million was restricted. |
| Fuel For the fourth quarter 2011, the Company anticipates paying an average of between $3.10 and $3.15 per gallon of mainline jet fuel (including taxes). Forecasted volume and fuel prices are provided in the table below. |
| Profit Sharing / CASM Profit sharing equals approximately 10% of pre-tax earnings excluding special items up to a 10% pre-tax margin and 15% above the 10% margin. Profit sharing is excluded in the CASM guidance given below. |
| Cargo / Other Revenue Cargo revenue, ticket change fees, excess / overweight baggage fees, first and second bag fees, contract services, simulator rental, airport clubs, and inflight service revenues. |
| Taxes / NOL As of December 31, 2010, net operating losses (NOL) available for use by the Company is approximately $1.9 billion, all of which is expected to be available for use in 2011. The Companys net deferred tax asset, which includes the NOL, is subject to a full valuation allowance. As of December 31, 2010, the valuation allowances associated with Federal and state NOL are $368 million and $62 million, respectively. In accordance with generally accepted accounting principles, future utilization of the NOL will result in a corresponding decrease in the valuation allowance and offset the Companys tax provision dollar for dollar. As a result, income tax benefits are not currently recognized in the Companys statement of operations. |
To the extent profitable, the Company generally will use NOL to reduce Federal and state taxable income. The Company also may be subject to AMT liability and obligated to record and pay state income tax related to certain states where NOL may be limited or not available to be used. The Company reported net income for the nine months ended September 30, 2011 and used NOL to reduce Federal and state taxable income. Accordingly, the Company did not recognize a tax provision in this period. |
In connection with the sale of the Companys final investment in auction rate securities in July 2011, the Company recorded a $21 million special non-cash tax charge in the third quarter of 2011. This recognizes in the statement of operations the tax provision recorded in Other Comprehensive Income, a subset of stockholders equity, in the fourth quarter of 2009. |
Please refer to the footnotes and the forward looking statements page of this document for additional information
MAINLINE UPDATE
October 27, 2011
October 27, 2011
Mainline Comments
| Mainline data includes US Airways operated flights and all operating expenses are for mainline operated flights only. Please refer to the following page for information pertaining to Express. |
| Full-year 2011 non-aircraft capex was increased by $10 million from previous guidance due to the timing of cash flow on two aircraft interior projects: 1) the addition of first class seating on all of our large regional jet aircraft, and 2) the addition of new Envoy seats on our A330-300 aircraft. |
Mainline Guidance | 1Q11A | 2Q11A | 3Q11A | 4Q11E | FY11E | |||||||||||||||
Available Seat Miles (ASMs) (bil) |
17.0 | 19.1 | 19.0 | ~17.4 | ~72.6 | |||||||||||||||
CASM ex fuel, special items and profit sharing (YOY % change)1 |
8.76 | 8.16 | 8.06 | +3% to +5% | 0% to +2% | |||||||||||||||
Cargo Revenues ($ mil) |
43 | 43 | 40 | ~44 | ~170 | |||||||||||||||
Other Revenues |
333 | 345 | 333 | ~312 | ~1,320 | |||||||||||||||
Percent Hedged |
| | | | | |||||||||||||||
Average Fuel Price (incl. taxes) ($/gal) (as of 10/24/2011) |
2.87 | 3.29 | 3.13 | 3.10 3.15 | 3.09 3.14 | |||||||||||||||
Fuel Gallons Consumed (mil) |
256 | 288 | 289 | ~262 | ~1,095 | |||||||||||||||
Interest Income ($ mil) |
(1 | ) | (1 | ) | (1 | ) | ~(2 | ) | ~(6 | ) | ||||||||||
Interest Expense ($ mil) |
77 | 79 | 85 | ~86 | ~327 | |||||||||||||||
Other Non-Operating (Income)/Expense ex special items ($ mil)2 |
(1 | ) | (1 | ) | 14 | ~(2 | ) | ~12 | ||||||||||||
Cash Flow/Capital Update ($ mil) Inflow/(Outflow) | 1Q11A | 2Q11A | 3Q11A | 4Q11E | FY11E | |||||||||||||||
Cash Capex (non-aircraft) |
(30 | ) | (37 | ) | (58 | ) | ~(55 | ) | ~(180 | ) | ||||||||||
Net new aircraft Capex and PDPs |
(10 | ) | 4 | (6 | ) | ~0 | ~(11 | ) | ||||||||||||
Net Other Cash Flow Adjustments3 |
(88 | ) | 37 | (1 | ) | ~(61 | ) | ~(113 | ) |
Notes:
1. | CASM ex fuel, special items and profit sharing is a non-GAAP financial measure. Please see the GAAP to non-GAAP reconciliation at the end of this document | |
2. | Other Non-Operating (Income)/Expense ex special items include primarily gains and losses from foreign currency and the disposition of assets | |
3. | Debt principal repayment, aircraft refinancing, non-cash bond discount amortization/interest deferrals (included in interest expense), and other non-cash items |
Please refer to the footnotes and the forward looking statements page of this document for additional information
EXPRESS UPDATE
October 27, 2011
October 27, 2011
Express Comments
| US Airways Express is a network of nine regional airlines (2 wholly owned) operating under code share and service agreements with US Airways. All operating expenses (including purchase agreements) associated with US Airways Express are included within the Express Non-Fuel Operating Expense line item on our income statement. |
| Express CASM excluding fuel and special items is forecasted to be up six to eight percent for the year primarily due to the timing of maintenance programs at the Companys wholly-owned subsidiary, PSA. The maintenance honeymoon for the CRJ-200 fleet ended in 2010. The additional PSA CRJ-200 maintenance expense increases Express CASM excluding fuel and special items by approximately 4 points on a year-over-year basis. |
Express Guidance | 1Q11A | 2Q11A | 3Q11A | 4Q11E | FY11E | |||||||||||||||
Available Seat Miles (ASMs) (bil) |
3.49 | 3.69 | 3.56 | ~3.32 | ~14.06 | |||||||||||||||
CASM ex fuel and special items (YOY %
change) 1 |
15.10 | 14.21 | 14.63 | +7% to +9% | +6% to +8% | |||||||||||||||
Average Fuel Price (incl. taxes) ($/gal) |
2.92 | 3.28 | 3.18 | 3.15 3.20 | 3.12 3.17 | |||||||||||||||
Fuel Gallons Consumed (mil) |
83 | 88 | 86 | ~81 | ~337 |
Express Carriers | ||
Air Wisconsin Airlines Corporation |
Piedmont Airlines, Inc. 2 | |
Chautauqua Airlines, Inc. |
PSA Airlines, Inc. 2 | |
Colgan Air, Inc. 4 |
Republic Airline Inc. | |
Mesa Airlines, Inc. 3 |
Trans States Airlines, Inc. 4 | |
Mesaba Airlines 4 |
Notes:
1. | CASM ex fuel expense and special items is a non-GAAP financial measure. Please see the GAAP to non-GAAP reconciliation at the end of this document. | |
2. | Wholly owned subsidiary of US Airways Group, Inc. | |
3. | Subsidiary of Mesa Air Group, Inc. | |
4. | Pro-rate agreement. |
Please refer to the footnotes and the forward looking statements page of this document for additional information
FLEET UPDATE
October 27, 2011
October 27, 2011
Fleet Comments
| To date, the Company has taken possession of 4 of its 12 A321 aircraft deliveries scheduled for 2011 (three in Q3 and one in Q4). The Company expects to take delivery of the remaining 8 A321 aircraft in the fourth quarter 2011 and an additional 12 A320 family aircraft in 2012. These 24 aircraft will be used to replace legacy Boeing 737 aircraft, including retiring the 737-300 fleet. The Company has financing commitments secured for these aircraft. |
Mainline Fleet Update (End of Period)
YE10A | 1Q11A | 2Q11A | 3Q11A | 4Q11E | ||||||||||||||||
Mainline |
||||||||||||||||||||
EMB-190 |
15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | |||||||||||||||
737-300 |
19 | 19 | 17 | 15 | 7 | |||||||||||||||
737-400 |
40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | |||||||||||||||
A319 |
93 | 93 | 93 | 93 | 93 | |||||||||||||||
A320 |
72 | 72 | 72 | 72 | 72 | |||||||||||||||
A321 |
51 | 51 | 51 | 54 | 63 | |||||||||||||||
A330 |
16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | |||||||||||||||
B757 |
23 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | |||||||||||||||
B767 |
10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | |||||||||||||||
Total |
339 | 340 | 338 | 339 | 340 |
Express Fleet Update (End of Period)
YE10A | 1Q11A | 2Q11A | 3Q11A | 4Q11E | ||||||||||||||||
Express |
||||||||||||||||||||
DH8 |
50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | |||||||||||||||
CRJ-200 |
112 | 112 | 112 | 112 | 112 | |||||||||||||||
CRJ-700 |
14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | |||||||||||||||
CRJ-900 |
38 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 38 | |||||||||||||||
EMB-170 |
20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | |||||||||||||||
ERJ-145 |
9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | |||||||||||||||
EMB-175 |
38 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 38 | |||||||||||||||
Total |
281 | 281 | 281 | 281 | 281 |
Please refer to the footnotes and the forward looking statements page of this document for additional information
SHARES OUTSTANDING
October 27, 2011
October 27, 2011
| The estimated weighted average shares outstanding for the remainder of the year are listed below. The interest addback to net income for purposes of computing diluted earnings per share is net of the related effect of profit sharing. |
Shares Outstanding ($ and shares mil)1 | Basic | Diluted | Interest Addback | |||||||||
For Q4 |
||||||||||||
Earnings above $70 million |
162.1 | 201.4 | $ | 7 | ||||||||
Earnings between $30 million and $70 million |
162.1 | 201.2 | 7 | |||||||||
Earnings up to $30 million |
162.1 | 163.5 | | |||||||||
Net Loss |
162.1 | 162.1 | | |||||||||
For FY 2011 (Average) |
||||||||||||
Earnings above $280 million |
162.0 | 201.8 | $ | 27 | ||||||||
Earnings between $115 million and $280 million |
162.0 | 201.6 | 27 | |||||||||
Earnings up to $115 million |
162.0 | 163.8 | | |||||||||
Net Loss |
162.0 | 162.0 | |
Notes: | 1. Shares outstanding are based upon several estimates and assumptions, including average per share stock price, stock options, stock appreciation rights, restricted stock unit award activity, and conversion of outstanding senior convertible notes. The number of shares in the actual calculation of earnings per share will likely be different from those set forth above. |
Please refer to the footnotes and the forward looking statements page of this document for additional information
GAAP to Non-GAAP RECONCILIATION
October 27, 2011
October 27, 2011
Reconciliation of GAAP to Non-GAAP Financial Information
The Company is providing disclosure of the reconciliation of reported non-GAAP financial
measures to their comparable financial measures on a GAAP basis. The Company believes that the
non-GAAP financial measures provide investors the ability to measure financial performance
excluding special items and profit sharing, which is more indicative of the Companys ongoing
performance and is more comparable to measures reported by other major airlines. The Company
believes that the presentation of mainline CASM excluding fuel, special items & profit sharing and
Express CASM excluding fuel and special items is useful to investors as both the cost and
availability of fuel are subject to many economic and political factors beyond the Companys
control.
GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliation ($ mil except ASM and CASM data) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
1Q11 | 2Q11 | 3Q11 | 4Q11 Range* | FY11 Range | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Actual | Actual | Actual | Low | High | Low | High | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Mainline |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mainline operating expenses |
$ | 2,230 | $ | 2,515 | $ | 2,462 | $ | 2,316 | $ | 2,358 | $ | 9,434 | $ | 9,567 | ||||||||||||||
Less mainline fuel (net of (gains)/losses from fuel hedges) |
734 | 948 | 905 | 812 | 825 | 3,399 | 3,412 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Less special items |
3 | 6 | 13 | | | 22 | 22 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Less Profit Sharing |
| | 10 | | | 10 | 10 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Mainline operating expense excluding fuel, special items and profit sharing |
1,493 | 1,561 | 1,534 | 1,504 | 1,533 | 6,002 | 6,123 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Mainline CASM (cts) |
13.09 | 13.15 | 12.93 | 13.31 | 13.55 | 13.00 | 13.18 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Mainline CASM excluding fuel, special items and profit sharing (Non-GAAP)
(cts) |
8.76 | 8.16 | 8.06 | 8.64 | 8.81 | 8.30 | 8.47 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Mainline ASMs (bil) |
17.0 | 19.1 | 19.0 | 17.4 | 17.4 | 72.6 | 72.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Express |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Express operating expenses |
$ | 770 | $ | 811 | $ | 794 | $ | 746 | $ | 759 | $ | 3,112 | $ | 3,155 | ||||||||||||||
Less express fuel expense |
242 | 287 | 273 | 255 | 259 | 1,057 | 1,061 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Less special items |
1 | | | | | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Express operating expenses excluding fuel and special items |
527 | 524 | 521 | 491 | 500 | 2,054 | 2,094 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Express CASM (cts) |
22.06 | 22.01 | 22.29 | 22.46 | 22.86 | 22.14 | 22.44 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Express CASM excluding fuel and special items (Non-GAAP) (cts) |
15.10 | 14.21 | 14.63 | 14.78 | 15.05 | 14.62 | 14.89 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Express ASMs (bil) |
3.49 | 3.69 | 3.56 | 3.32 | 3.32 | 14.06 | 14.06 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Other Non Operating (Income)/Expense |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Reported other non-operating (income)/expense |
$ | (1 | ) | $ | 7 | $ | (1 | ) | $ | (2 | ) | $ | (2 | ) | $ | 3 | $ | 3 | ||||||||||
Less special items |
| 8 | (15 | ) | | | (7 | ) | (7 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||
Other non-operating (income)/expense excluding special items |
(1 | ) | (1 | ) | 14 | (2 | ) | (2 | ) | 12 | 12 |
Note: Amounts may not recalculate due to rounding.
* | For 4Q11, mainline operating expenses exclude profit sharing. |
Please refer to the footnotes and the forward looking statements page of this document for additional information
FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS
October 27, 2011
October 27, 2011
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
Certain of the statements contained or referred to herein are forward-looking statements
within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking
statements may be identified by words such as may, will, expect, intend, anticipate,
believe, estimate, plan, project, could, should, would, continue and similar terms
used in connection with statements regarding, among others, the outlook, expected fuel costs,
revenue and pricing environment, and expected financial performance and liquidity position of the
Company. Such statements include, but are not limited to, statements about future financial and
operating results, the Companys plans, objectives, expectations and intentions, and other
statements that are not historical facts. These statements are based upon the current beliefs and
expectations of the Companys management and are subject to significant risks and uncertainties
that could cause the Companys actual results and financial position to differ materially from
these statements. Such risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, the following: the
impact of significant operating losses in the future; downturns in economic conditions and their
impact on passenger demand, booking practices and related revenues; increased costs of financing, a
reduction in the availability of financing and fluctuations in interest rates; the impact of the
price and availability of fuel and significant disruptions in the supply of aircraft fuel; our high
level of fixed obligations and our ability to fund general corporate requirements, obtain
additional financing and respond to competitive developments; any failure to comply with the
liquidity covenants contained in our financing arrangements; provisions in our credit card
processing and other commercial agreements that may affect our liquidity; the impact of union
disputes, employee strikes and other labor-related disruptions; our inability to maintain labor
costs at competitive levels; interruptions or disruptions in service at one or more of our hub
airports or our focus city; our reliance on third-party regional operators or third-party service
providers; our reliance on and costs, rights and functionality of third-party distribution
channels, including those provided by global distribution systems, conventional travel agents and
online travel agents; changes in government legislation and regulation; our reliance on automated
systems and the impact of any failure or disruption of these systems; the impact of changes to our
business model; competitive practices in the industry, including the impact of industry
consolidation; the loss of key personnel or our ability to attract and retain qualified personnel;
the impact of conflicts overseas or terrorist attacks, and the impact of ongoing security concerns;
our ability to operate and grow our route network; the impact of environmental laws and
regulations; costs of ongoing data security compliance requirements and the impact of any data
security breach; the impact of any accident involving our aircraft or the aircraft of our regional
operators; delays in scheduled aircraft deliveries or other loss of anticipated fleet capacity; the
impact of weather conditions and seasonality of airline travel; the impact of possible future
increases in insurance costs or reductions in available insurance coverage; the impact of global
events that affect travel behavior, such as an outbreak of a contagious disease; the impact of
foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations; our ability to use NOLs and certain other tax
attributes; and other risks and uncertainties listed from time to time in our reports to and
filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). There may be other factors not
identified above of w
hich the Company is not currently aware that may affect matters discussed in
the forward-looking statements, and may also cause actual results to differ materially from those
discussed. The Company assumes no obligation to publicly update or supplement any forward-looking
statement to reflect actual results, changes in assumptions or changes in other factors affecting
such estimates other than as required by law. Additional factors that may affect the future results
of the Company are set forth in the section entitled Risk Factors in the Companys Report on Form
10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2011 and in the Companys other filings with the SEC,
which are available at www.usairways.com.
Please refer to the footnotes and the forward looking statements page of this document for additional information