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8-K - CURRENT REPORT - PROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/d8k.htm

Exhibit 99

 

LOGO  

NEWS

RELEASE

 

 

The Progressive Corporation   Company Contact:
6300 Wilson Mills Road   Clark Khayat
Mayfield Village, Ohio 44143   (440) 395-2291
http://www.progressive.com  

 

 

PROGRESSIVE REPORTS MAY RESULTS

MAYFIELD VILLAGE, OHIO — June 15, 2011 — The Progressive Corporation today reported the following results for May 2011:

 

(millions, except per share amounts and ratios; unaudited)    May 2011     May 2010     Change  

Net premiums written

   $ 1,134.6     $ 1,108.6       2

Net premiums earned

   $ 1,142.1     $ 1,105.9       3

Net income

   $ 74.1     $ 44.2       68

Per share

   $ .11     $ .07       72

Total pretax net realized gains (losses) on securities (including net impairment losses)

   $ (.4   $ (15.1     (97 )% 

Combined ratio

     93.1       95.6       (2.5 )pts. 

Average diluted equivalent shares

     648.3       665.9       (3 )% 
(in thousands; unaudited)    May 2011     May 2010     Change  

Policies in Force:

      

Agency – Auto

     4,596.9       4,446.9       3

Direct – Auto

     3,759.4       3,470.0       8
                  

Total Personal Auto

     8,356.3       7,916.9       6

Total Special Lines

     3,750.4       3,576.4       5
                  

Total Personal Lines

     12,106.7       11,493.3       5
                  

Total Commercial Auto

     510.3       518.9       (2 )% 
                  

Progressive offers insurance to personal and commercial auto drivers throughout the United States. Our Personal Lines business writes insurance for personal autos and recreational vehicles. Our Commercial Auto business writes primary liability, physical damage, and other auto-related insurance for autos and trucks owned by small businesses.

See the “Income Statements” and “Supplemental Information” for further month and year-to-date information and the “Monthly Commentary” at the end of this release for additional discussion.


THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

INCOME STATEMENT

May 2011

(millions – except per share amounts)

(unaudited)

 

      Current
Month
    Comments
on  Monthly
Results
1
 

Net premiums written

   $ 1,134.6     
          

Revenues:

    

Net premiums earned

   $ 1,142.1     

Investment income

     39.7    

Net realized gains (losses) on securities:

    

Other-than-temporary impairment (OTTI) losses:

    

Total OTTI losses

     0    

Non-credit losses, net of credit losses recognized on previously recorded non-credit OTTI losses

     0    
          

Net impairment losses recognized in earnings

     0    

Net realized gains (losses) on securities

     (.4  
          

Total net realized gains (losses) on securities

     (.4  

Service revenues

     1.9    
          

Total revenues

     1,183.3    
          

Expenses:

    

Losses and loss adjustment expenses

     812.4    

Policy acquisition costs

     107.2    

Other underwriting expenses

     143.6    

Investment expenses

     1.0    

Service expenses

     1.4    

Interest expense

     10.5    
          

Total expenses

     1,076.1    
          

Income before income taxes

     107.2    

Provision for income taxes

     33.1    
          

Net income

   $ 74.1     
          

COMPUTATION OF EARNINGS PER SHARE

    

Basic:

    

Average shares outstanding

     644.0    
          

Per share

   $ .12    
          

Diluted:

    

Average shares outstanding

     644.0    

Net effect of dilutive stock-based compensation

     4.3    
          

Total equivalent shares

     648.3    
          

Per share

   $ .11     
          

 

1 

See the Monthly Commentary at the end of this release. For a description of our reporting and accounting policies, see Note 1 to our 2010 audited consolidated financial statements included in our 2010 Shareholders’ Report, which can be found at www.progressive.com/annualreport.

 

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THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

INCOME STATEMENTS

May 2011 Year-to-Date

(millions – except per share amounts)

(unaudited)

 

      Year-to-Date        
     2011     2010     % Change  

Net premiums written

   $ 6,575.0     $ 6,359.8        3  
                  

Revenues:

      

Net premiums earned

   $ 6,240.7     $ 5,981.5        4  

Investment income

     203.8       216.5        (6

Net realized gains (losses) on securities:

      

Other-than-temporary impairment (OTTI) losses:

      

Total OTTI losses

     (1.4     (9.3     (85

Non-credit losses, net of credit losses recognized on previously recorded non-credit OTTI losses

     0       6.2        NM   
                  

Net impairment losses recognized in earnings

     (1.4     (3.1     (55

Net realized gains (losses) on securities

     125.3       26.8        368  
                  

Total net realized gains (losses) on securities

     123.9       23.7        423  

Service revenues

     9.2       7.5        23  
                  

Total revenues

     6,577.6       6,229.2        6  
                  

Expenses:

      

Losses and loss adjustment expenses

     4,321.6       4,185.2        3  

Policy acquisition costs

     587.8       567.1        4  

Other underwriting expenses

     773.3       734.2        5  

Investment expenses

     5.6       5.8        (3

Service expenses

     7.1       8.8        (19

Interest expense

     52.5       58.6        (10
                  

Total expenses

     5,747.9       5,559.7        3  
                  

Income before income taxes

     829.7       669.5        24  

Provision for income taxes

     274.7       218.6        26  
                  

Net income

   $ 555.0     $ 450.9        23  
                  

COMPUTATION OF EARNINGS PER SHARE

      

Basic:

      

Average shares outstanding

     649.3       661.1        (2
                  

Per share

   $ .85     $ .68        25  
                  

Diluted:

      

Average shares outstanding

     649.3       661.1        (2

Net effect of dilutive stock-based compensation

     4.2       5.2        (19
                  

Total equivalent shares

     653.5       666.3        (2
                  

Per share

   $ .85     $ .68        25  
                  

NM = Not Meaningful

 

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THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

INCOME STATEMENT – OTHER INFORMATION

May 2011

(millions – except per share amounts)

(unaudited)

The following table sets forth the comprehensive income for the period:

 

      Current
Month
    Year-to-Date  
     2011     2010  

Net income

   $ 74.1     $ 555.0     $ 450.9  
                        

After-tax changes in:

      

Net unrealized gains (losses) on securities

     27.0       137.7       125.7  

Net non-credit related OTTI losses

     0       0       (4.0
                        

Total net unrealized gains (losses) on securities

     27.0       137.7       121.7  

Net unrealized gains on forecasted transactions

     (.2     (1.3     (1.4

Foreign currency translation adjustment

     .1       .6       (.5
                        

Comprehensive income

   $ 101.0     $ 692.0     $ 570.7  
                        

Per share

   $ .16     $ 1.06     $ .86  
                        

The following table sets forth the investment results for the period:

      Current
Month
    Year-to-Date  
     2011     2010  

Fully taxable equivalent total return:

      

Fixed-income securities

     .7     3.1     3.2

Common stocks

     (1.1 )%      8.5     (.3 )% 

Total portfolio

     .5     3.6     3.0

Pretax recurring investment book yield

     3.2     3.4     3.6

 

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THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION

May 2011

($ in millions)

(unaudited)

 

Current Month

 
      Personal Lines Business     Commercial
Auto
Business
    Other
Businesses
1
     Companywide
Total
 
   Agency     Direct     Total         

Net Premiums Written

   $ 583.6     $ 431.0     $ 1,014.6     $ 120.0      $ 0       $ 1,134.6  

% Growth in NPW

     1     5     2     2     NM         2

Net Premiums Earned

   $ 585.2      $ 445.3     $ 1,030.5     $ 111.1      $ .5       $ 1,142.1  

% Growth in NPE

     2     7     4     (3 )%      NM         3

GAAP Ratios

             

Loss/LAE ratio

     72.0       71.7       71.8       64.2        NM         71.1  

Expense ratio

     21.7       22.3       22.0       22.1        NM         22.0  
                                                 

Combined ratio

     93.7       94.0       93.8       86.3        NM         93.1  
                                                 

Actuarial Adjustments2

             

Reserve Decrease/(Increase)

             

Prior accident years

              $ 17.2  

Current accident year

                4.8  
                   

Calendar year actuarial adjustment

   $ 8.4     $ 6.3     $ 14.7     $ 7.3     $ 0       $ 22.0  
                   

Prior Accident Years Development

             

Favorable/(Unfavorable)

             

Actuarial adjustment

              $ 17.2  

All other development

                15.7  
                   

Total development

              $ 32.9  
                   

Calendar year loss/LAE ratio

                71.1  
                   

Accident year loss/LAE ratio

                74.0  
                   

Statutory Ratios

             

Loss/LAE ratio

                71.1  

Expense ratio

                22.2  
                   

Combined ratio

                93.3  
                   

 

1

The other businesses generated an underwriting loss of $0.4 million for the month. Combined ratios and % growth are not meaningful (NM) due to the low level of premiums earned by, and the variability of loss costs in, such businesses.

2

Represents adjustments solely based on our corporate actuarial reviews.

 

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THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION

May 2011 Year-to-Date

($ in millions)

(unaudited)

 

Year-to-Date

 
     Personal Lines Business     Commercial
Auto
Business
    Other
Businesses
1
     Companywide
Total
 
   Agency     Direct     Total         

Net Premiums Written

   $ 3,344.9     $ 2,566.5     $ 5,911.4     $ 663.6     $ 0       $ 6,575.0  

% Growth in NPW

     2     7     4     (1 )%      NM         3

Net Premiums Earned

   $ 3,208.9     $ 2,424.1     $ 5,633.0     $ 604.8     $ 2.9       $ 6,240.7  

% Growth in NPE

     3     9     5     (3 )%      NM         4

GAAP Ratios

             

Loss/LAE ratio

     69.4       69.9       69.6       66.0       NM         69.3  

Expense ratio

     21.0       22.7       21.7       22.3       NM         21.8  
                                                 

Combined ratio

     90.4       92.6       91.3       88.3       NM         91.1  
                                                 

Actuarial Adjustments2

             

Reserve Decrease/(Increase)

             

Prior accident years

              $ 78.9  

Current accident year

                23.7  
                   

Calendar year actuarial adjustment

   $ 42.9     $ 36.2     $ 79.1     $ 23.5     $ 0       $ 102.6  
                   

Prior Accident Years Development

             

Favorable/(Unfavorable)

             

Actuarial adjustment

              $ 78.9  

All other development

                53.3  
                   

Total development

              $ 132.2  
                   

Calendar year loss/LAE ratio

                69.3  
                   

Accident year loss/LAE ratio

                71.4  
                   

Statutory Ratios

             

Loss/LAE ratio

                69.2  

Expense ratio

                21.4  
                   

Combined ratio

                90.6  
                   

Statutory Surplus

              $ 5,701.0  
                   

NM = Not Meaningful

 

1 

For the year, the other businesses generated an underwriting loss of $0.8 million.

2

Represents adjustments solely based on our corporate actuarial reviews.

 

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THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

BALANCE SHEET AND OTHER INFORMATION

(millions – except per share amounts)

(unaudited)

 

     May 2011  

CONDENSED GAAP BALANCE SHEET:

  

Investments – Available-for-sale, at fair value:

  

Fixed maturities1 (amortized cost: $11,566.9)

   $ 11,900.8  

Equity securities:

  

Nonredeemable preferred stocks1 (cost: $499.0)

     1,056.8  

Common equities (cost: $1,166.4)

     1,675.3  

Short-term investments (amortized cost: $1,600.9)

     1,600.9  
        

Total investments2, 3

     16,233.8  

Net premiums receivable

     2,966.3  

Deferred acquisition costs

     449.0  

Other assets4

     2,244.6  
        

Total assets

   $ 21,893.7  
        

Unearned premiums

   $ 4,688.2  

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves4

     7,140.5  

Other liabilities3

     1,639.5  

Debt

     1,958.9  

Shareholders’ equity

     6,466.6  
        

Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity

   $ 21,893.7  
        

Common shares outstanding

     648.3  

Shares repurchased – May

     5.5  

Average cost per share

   $ 21.62  

Book value per share

   $ 9.97  

Trailing 12-month return on average shareholders’ equity

     18.5

Net unrealized pretax gains (losses) on investments

   $ 1,392.3  

Increase (decrease) from April 2011

   $ 41.6  

Increase (decrease) from December 2010

   $ 211.8  

Debt-to-total capital ratio

     23.2

Fixed-income portfolio duration

     2.0 years   

Weighted average credit quality

     AA-   

Year-to-date Gainshare factor

     1.25  

 

1 

As of May 31, 2011, we held certain hybrid securities and recognized a change in fair value of $8.3 million as a realized gain during the period we held these securities.

2

Includes $4.7 billion of short-term investments and U.S. Treasury securities prior to settling $17.9 million of net security transactions outstanding as of month-end.

3

Includes $17.9 million of net unsettled security transactions (as discussed in note 2 above).

4

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves are stated gross of reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses of $740.2 million, which are included in “other assets.”

 

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Monthly Commentary

 

   

During May, the Company incurred catastrophe losses of about $48 million, or 4.2 combined ratio points, compared to $27 million, or 2.4 points, last year. The states with the largest exposures were Texas, Ohio, Missouri, and Minnesota, which accounted for slightly more than half of the total catastrophe losses that occurred during the month. On a quarter-to-date basis, we have incurred approximately $102 million, or 4.0 points, of catastrophe losses, compared to $34 million, or 1.4 points, for the same period last year.

Events

As previously announced, Progressive will host a simultaneous webcast of its 2011 Investor Relations Meeting on Friday, June 17, 2011 at 9:00 a.m. eastern time. The meeting will last approximately three hours and will include a question and answer session following the presentations. The meeting will also be available simultaneously, in a listen-only format, by phone. Participants via the phone will not be able to submit questions during the question and answer session. To attend the webcast or to receive the call-in instructions, visit our website at http://investors.progressive.com/events.aspx. Information that is distributed at the meeting will be made available on the website on the morning of the meeting.

We are currently scheduled to release June results on Thursday, July 14, 2011, before the market opens.

About Progressive

The Progressive Group of Insurance Companies makes it easy to understand, buy, and use auto insurance. Progressive offers choices so consumers can reach us whenever, wherever, and however it’s most convenient for them—online at http://www.progressive.com, by phone at 1-800-PROGRESSIVE, or in-person with a local agent.

Progressive offers insurance for personal and commercial autos and trucks, motorcycles, boats, recreational vehicles, and homes. We’re the fourth largest auto insurer in the country, the largest seller of motorcycle insurance, and a leader in commercial auto insurance. Progressive also offers car insurance online in Australia at http://www.progressiveonline.com.au.

Founded in 1937, Progressive continues its long history of offering shopping tools and services that save customers time and money, like Name Your Price®, the Snapshot DiscountSM, and a concierge level of claims service.

The Common Shares of The Progressive Corporation, the Mayfield Village, Ohio-based holding company, trade publicly at NYSE:PGR.

Safe Harbor Statement Under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995: Statements in this release that are not historical fact are forward-looking statements that are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual events and results to differ materially from those reported herein. These risks and uncertainties include, without limitation, uncertainties related to estimates, assumptions, and projections generally; inflation and changes in economic conditions (including changes in interest rates and financial markets); the financial condition of, and other issues relating to the strength of and liquidity available to, issuers of securities held in our investment portfolios and other companies with which we have ongoing business relationships, including counterparties to certain financial transactions; the accuracy and adequacy of our pricing and loss reserving methodologies; the competitiveness of our pricing and the effectiveness of our initiatives to retain more customers; initiatives by competitors and the effectiveness of our response; our ability to obtain regulatory approval for requested rate changes and the timing thereof; the effectiveness of our brand strategy and advertising campaigns relative to those of competitors; legislative and regulatory developments, including, but not limited to, health care reform and tax law changes; disputes relating to intellectual property rights; the outcome of litigation pending or that may be filed against us; weather conditions (including the severity and frequency of storms, hurricanes, snowfalls, hail, and winter conditions); changes in driving patterns and loss trends; acts of war and terrorist activities; our ability to maintain the uninterrupted operation of our facilities, systems (including information technology systems), and business functions; court decisions and trends in litigation and health care and auto repair costs; and other matters described from time to time in our releases and publications, and in our periodic reports and other documents filed with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission. In addition, investors should be aware that generally accepted accounting principles prescribe when a company may reserve for particular risks, including litigation exposures. Accordingly, results for a given reporting period could be significantly affected if and when a reserve is established for one or more contingencies. Also, our regular reserve reviews may result in adjustments of varying magnitude as additional information regarding claims activity becomes known. Reported results, therefore, may be volatile in certain accounting periods.

 

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