Attached files

file filename
8-K - FORM 8-K - CONSUMERS ENERGY COa50368ae8vk.htm
Exhibit 99.1
Deutsche Bank Alternative Energy, Utilities, & Power Conference May 11, 2011 Thomas J. Webb Executive Vice President and CFO Growing Forward


 

This presentation is made as of the date hereof and contains "forward-looking statements" as defined in Rule 3b-6 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, Rule 175 of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and relevant legal decisions. The forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties. They should be read in conjunction with "FORWARD- LOOKING STATEMENTS AND INFORMATION" and "RISK FACTORS" sections of CMS Energy's and Consumers Energy's Form 10-K for the year ended December 31 and as updated in subsequent 10-Qs. CMS Energy's and Consumers Energy's "FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS AND INFORMATION" and "RISK FACTORS" sections are incorporated herein by reference and discuss important factors that could cause CMS Energy's and Consumers Energy's results to differ materially from those anticipated in such statements. CMS Energy and Consumers Energy undertake no obligation to update any of the information presented herein to reflect facts, events or circumstances after the date hereof.The presentation also includes non-GAAP measures when describing CMS Energy's results of operations and financial performance. A reconciliation of each of these measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure is included in the appendix and posted on our website at www.cmsenergy.com.CMS Energy expects 2011 reported earnings to be about the same as adjusted earnings. Reported earnings could vary because of several factors. CMS Energy is not providing reported earnings guidance reconciliation because of the uncertainties associated with those factors. 1


 

Business Model Strong (5% to 7% growth) . . . . FinancialUse NOLs to eliminate need for equityGrow Operating Cash Flow and EPS 5% - 7% BusinessInvest in UtilityCreate JobsEnhance Customer ValueModerate Rate Increase 2 Consistent financial performance Fair and timely regulation Utility investment Customer value Safe, excellent operations . . . . and sustainable with moderate rate increases <2%.


 

Capital Investment . . . . (CHART) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015AverageRate Base (bils) $10.3 $10.9 $11.6 $12.4 $13.3 0 Rate Base Bils$ Present Rate Base 5%-7% Reliability & OthersRenewablesSmart GridEnvironmentalMaintenanceDepreciation . . . . provides earnings growth. Utility Investment (CHART) $6.4 Billion 2011-2015 3


 

$1.5 Billion Environmental Investment . . . . 4 Environmental emission reductions better than planRegulatory outlook improvedGHG Regulation - minimal impact anticipated . . . . over next 5 years.


 

Environmental Spending 2011-2015 . . . . 5 Mercury SO2 NOx Emissions Reductions 2011 - 2015 (bils) 2011 - 2015 (bils) Air NOx $0.1 SO2 0.6 Mercury 0.5 Water 0.1 Solid Waste 0.2 Total $1.5 Expenditures . . . . significantly reduced air emissions.


 

Renewable Energy Plans . . . . Michigan energy law requires:10% renewables by 2015Purchase 50% and build 50%Renewable energy surcharge reduced $55 million annuallyStill plan to invest $650 million over next five years, primarily on wind power . . . . at lower customer costs while maintaining wind investment. Renewable FacilitiesProposed Company-owned Wind FacilitiesNew Power Purchase Agreements (287 MW) ^ 6 ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ Cross Winds Energy Park Lake Winds Energy Park ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ Upper Peninsula


 

7 Smart Grid Deployment . . . . . . . . improves overall financial viability. Billing Customer Information Outage Management Work and AssetManagement Enterprise Applications MDM/MDUS Total project cost $750 millionMeter deployment begins early 2012Removed deployment of gas only metersMinimize upfront IT system cost by installing only basic functionalityExpanded functions installed laterImproved ability to scale plan


 

Intense Customer Focus . . . . 8 . . . . continues as core to success. 2011-2015 Estimated Annual Average Base Rate Increases (CHART) Productivity InitiativesCustomer Value InitiativeMaximize Energy OptimizationImprove system reliabilityCompetitive rates


 

Focus on Cost Improvement . . . . FuelWestern coal - $250 millionBase Rates and SurchargesBenefit plans - $30 millionSAP system efficiencies - $40 millionReduced workforce - $30 millionReduced customer renewable energy surcharge - $55 million energy surcharge - $55 million energy surcharge - $55 million energy surcharge - $55 million energy surcharge - $55 million energy surcharge - $55 million energy surcharge - $55 million energy surcharge - $55 million energy surcharge - $55 million energy surcharge - $55 million 9 . . . . to minimize customer rate increases. 10% Reduction in Workforce Workforce Resizing Recent Cost Reductions


 

Regulatory Progress . . . . . . . . supports growth. 2009 Filed $214 M Self-Imp $179 M Order $139 M 2010 Filed $178 M Self-Imp $150 M Order $146 M 2009 Filed $114 M Self-Imp $89 M Order $66 M 2010 Filed $55 M 78% 97% 74% 2008 2009 2010 2011 Electric Gas 2008 2009 2010 2011 Filed New Renewable Plan $55 M Reduction 2011 10 File Self-Imp Settlement


 

Best in Class Risk Management . . . . Best in Class Risk Management . . . . . . . . mitigates volatility. Old Opportunities Old Risks Decouple Decouple Cost Performance Reinvest 11 EPS 5% - 7% Base Rates <2%


 

_ _ _ _ _a Adjusted EPS (non-GAAP) excluding MTM in 2004-2006b $1.25 excluding discontinued Exeter operations and accounting changes related to Convertible debt and restricted stock 12 8% CAGR (CHART) . . . . paying off. Focus on Customers and Owners . . . . Dividend Annual ¢/sharePayout 25% 30% 40% 84¢ +68% $1.20 $1.25 $1.26 $1.35 5%-7% Growth $1.44 $1.21 b Actual aGuidance


 

(CHART) Electric Sales (weather adjusted) . . . . 2011 Sales (vs 2010) . . . . recovering, conservative outlook. (CHART) Electric Sales 0 7% decline 1979 to 1982 6% decline 2007 to 2009 Total +2.5% Up 9% 1983 &1984 Up 4% 2010 & 2011 13


 

Michigan 2010 Census Results 14 Population Change by County: 2000-2010 15-25% 5-15 0-5 < -10 Not in service territory Service Territory ChangeConsumers +3%Non-Consumers - 7State of Michigan - 1 > -10


 

Cash Flow and EPS Grow 5% to 7% . . . . 15 . . . . driven by investment. (CHART) Amount(bils)$ Gross operating cash flow a up $0.1 billion per year $1.8 Interest Working capital and taxes Base Investment $1.3 $1.6 $1.6 $1.7 $1.5 $1.9 Cash flow before dividend Investment choices _ _ _ _ _a Non-GAAP


 

Liquidity Strong With Recent Renewals . . . . 16 . . . . and substantial cash as of March 31, 2011. Renewal (CHART) Availability Capacity $2.3 Billion $2.0 Billion Among first 5-year term revolvers since 2007 CMS Energy 5-year revolver 5-year revolver 3-year revolver Letter of Credit AR Facility Consumers Energy Cash 2011 2011 2013 2016 2016 $550 mils 500 150 250 800 30 $550 mils 210 150 250 800


 

Business Model Strong (5% to 7% growth) . . . . FinancialUse NOLs to eliminate need for equityGrow Operating Cash Flow and EPS 5% - 7% BusinessInvest in UtilityCreate JobsEnhance Customer ValueModerate Rate Increase 17 Consistent financial performance Fair and timely regulation Utility investment Customer value Safe, excellent operations . . . . and sustainable with moderate rate increases <2%.


 

Appendix


 

Electric Customer Base Diversified . . . . Hemlock SemiconductorGeneral MotorsState of MichiganMeijer IncorporatedNexteer Automotive CorporationPackaging Corporation of AmericaGerdau MacSteelDenso InternationalSpectrum HealthCity of Grand RapidsPercent of 2010 electric gross margin is 2% Top Ten Customers Residential Commercial Autos Industrial Other (including ROA) 0.48 0.31 0.04 0.1 0.07 $1.95 Billion . . . . "Autos" only 4% of gross margin. 2010 Electric Gross Margin Note: "Autos" includes 180 Business Partners identified by customer account managers 19


 

Federal Tax Benefits 20


 

Ludington Upgrade to 2,200 MW . . . . 21 . . . . underway. Increase capacity by 15%Increase efficiency by 5%Operate for 30 years before next major overhaul$800 million total investment over 10 yearsConsumers Energy share $400 million


 

Consumers Capital Expenditures 22


 

2011 Cash Flow Forecast (non-GAAP) CMS Energy Parent Consumers Energy _ _ _ _ _a Includes other _ _ _ _ _b Includes cost of removal and capital leases $210 23


 

2011 Sensitivities . . . . _ _ _ _ _* Less than 0.5¢ or $500,000 . . . . partly mitigated. . . . . partly mitigated. 24 -+ -+ -+


 


 

Michigan Public Service Commission (MPSC) Composed of three members appointed by the Governor with the advice and consent of the SenateAppointed to serve staggered six-year termsNo more than two Commissioners may represent the same political partyOne Commissioner is designated as Chairman by the Governor Orjiakor Isiogu, ChairmanAppointed: 9/9/07Term Ends: 7/2/13Democrat Monica Martinez, CommissionerAppointed: 7/3/05Term Ends: 7/2/11Democrat Greg White, CommissionerAppointed: 12/4/09Term Ends: 7/2/15Independent 26


 

GAAP Reconciliation

 


 

CMS ENERGY CORPORATION
Earnings Per Share By Year GAAP Reconciliation
(Unaudited)
                                                                 
    2003     2004     2005     2006     2007     2008     2009     2010  
 
Reported earnings (loss) per share — GAAP
    ($0.30 )   $ 0.64       ($0.44 )     ($0.41 )     ($1.02 )   $ 1.20     $ 0.91     $ 1.28  
 
After-tax items:
                                                               
Electric and gas utility
    0.21       (0.39 )                 (0.07 )     0.05       0.33       0.03  
Enterprises
    0.74       0.62       0.04       (0.02 )     1.25       (0.02 )     0.09       (0.03 )
Corporate interest and other
    0.16       (0.03 )     0.04       0.27       (0.32 )     (0.02 )     0.01       *  
Discontinued operations (income) loss
    (0.16 )     0.02       (0.07 )     (0.03 )     0.40       (* )     (0.08 )     0.08  
Asset impairment charges, net
                1.82       0.76       0.60                    
Cumulative accounting changes
    0.16       0.01                                      
 
Adjusted earnings per share, including MTM — non-GAAP
  $ 0.81     $ 0.87     $ 1.39     $ 0.57     $ 0.84     $ 1.21 (a)   $ 1.26     $ 1.36  
Mark-to-market impacts
            0.03       (0.43 )     0.51                                  
 
Adjusted earnings per share, excluding MTM — non-GAAP
  NA   $ 0.90     $ 0.96     $ 1.08     NA   NA   NA   NA
 
 
*   Less than $500 thousand or $0.01 per share.
 
(a)   $1.25 excluding discontinued Exeter operations and accounting changes related to convertible debt and restricted stock.

 


 

     
CMS Energy
Reconciliation of Gross Operating Cash Flow to GAAP Operating Activities

(unaudited)
(mils)
                                                         
    2009     2010     2011     2012     2013     2014     2015  
Consumers Operating Income + Depreciation & Amortization
  $ 1,248     $ 1,498     $ 1,520     $ 1,601     $ 1,657     $ 1,757     $ 1,872  
Enterprises Project Cash Flows
    16       39       40       35       47       47       46  
 
                                         
Gross Operating Cash Flow
  $ 1,264     $ 1,537     $ 1,560     $ 1,636     $ 1,704     $ 1,804     $ 1,918  
 
                                                       
Other operating activities including taxes, interest payments and working capital
    (416 )     (578 )     (410 )     (406 )     (472 )     (439 )     (835 )
 
                                         
Net cash provided by operating activities
  $ 848     $ 959     $ 1,150     $ 1,230     $ 1,232     $ 1,365     $ 1,083  
 
                                         

 


 

CMS ENERGY CORPORATION
Earnings By Quarter and Year GAAP Reconciliation
(Unaudited)
                                         
(In millions, except per share amounts)   2010
  1Q     2Q     3Q     4Q     YTD Dec  
     
Reported net income — GAAP
  $ 85     $ 80     $ 134     $ 25     $ 324  
 
After-tax items:
                                       
Electric and gas utility
    6       *                   6  
Enterprises
    1       (31 )     (2 )     24       (8 )
Corporate interest and other
    *       *             *       *  
Discontinued operations loss
    1       16       *       6       23  
 
Adjusted income — non-GAAP
  $ 93     $ 65     $ 132     $ 55     $ 345  
 
 
                                       
Average shares outstanding, basic
    228.0       228.2       229.0       240.7       231.5  
Average shares outstanding, diluted
    246.5       247.6       254.7       258.4       252.9  
 
                                       
 
Reported earnings per share — GAAP
  $ 0.34     $ 0.32     $ 0.53     $ 0.09     $ 1.28  
 
After-tax items:
                                       
Electric and gas utility
    0.03       *                   0.03  
Enterprises
    *       (0.13 )     (0.01 )     0.10       (0.03 )
Corporate interest and other
    *       *             *       *  
Discontinued operations loss
    0.01       0.07       *       0.02       0.08  
 
Adjusted earnings per share — non-GAAP
  $ 0.38     $ 0.26     $ 0.52     $ 0.21     $ 1.36  
 
         
(In millions, except per share amounts)   2011
  1Q
Reported net income — GAAP
  $ 135  
 
After-tax items:
       
Electric and gas utility
     
Enterprises
    *  
Corporate interest and other
     
Discontinued operations (income) loss
    (2 )
 
Adjusted income — non-GAAP
  $ 133  
 
 
       
Average shares outstanding, basic
    250.0  
Average shares outstanding, diluted
    261.7  
 
       
 
Reported earnings per share — GAAP
  $ 0.52  
 
After-tax items:
       
Electric and gas utility
     
Enterprises
    *  
Corporate interest and other
     
Discontinued operations (income) loss
    (0.01 )
 
Adjusted earnings per share — non-GAAP
  $ 0.51  
 
 
Note: Year-to-date (YTD) EPS may not equal sum of quarters due to share count differences.

 


 

CMS Energy Corporation
Earnings Segment Results GAAP Reconciliation
(Unaudited)
                 
    Three Months Ended  
March 31   2011     2010  
Electric Utility
               
Reported
  $ 0.25     $ 0.16  
Downsizing Program and Other, net
          0.02  
 
           
Adjusted
  $ 0.25     $ 0.18  
 
           
 
               
Gas Utility
               
Reported
  $ 0.33     $ 0.27  
Downsizing Program and Other, net
          0.01  
 
           
Adjusted
  $ 0.33     $ 0.28  
 
           
 
               
Enterprises
               
Reported
  $ 0.01     $ 0.04  
Downsizing Program and Other, net
    *       *  
 
           
Adjusted
  $ 0.01     $ 0.04  
 
           
 
               
Corporate Interest and Other
               
Reported
  $ (0.08 )   $ (0.12 )
Downsizing Program and Other, net
          *  
 
           
Adjusted
  $ (0.08 )   $ (0.12 )
 
           
 
               
Discontinued Operations
               
Reported
  $ 0.01     $ (0.01 )
Discontinued Operations (Income) Loss
    (0.01 )     0.01  
 
           
Adjusted
  $     $  
 
           
 
               
Totals
               
Reported
  $ 0.52     $ 0.34  
Discontinued Operations (Income) Loss
    (0.01 )     0.01  
Downsizing Program and Other, net
    *       0.03  
 
           
Adjusted
  $ 0.51     $ 0.38  
 
           
 
               
Average Common Shares Outstanding — Diluted (in millions)
    261.7       246.5  
 
           
 
*   Less than $0.01 per share.


 

     
Consumers Energy
2011 Forecasted Cash Flow GAAP Reconciliation (in millions) (unaudited)
                                                                             
            Reclassifications From Sources and Uses to Statement of Cash Flows        
Presentation Sources and Uses     Tax     Interest     Other Working     Capital     Securitization     Preferred     Common     Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows
    non-GAAP     Sharing     Payments     Capital     Lease Pymts     Debt Pymts     Dividends     Dividends     GAAP      
Description   Amount     Operating     as Operating     as Investing     as Financing     as Financing     as Financing     as Financing     Amount     Description
Cash at year end 2010
  $ 71     $     $     $     $     $     $     $     $ 71     Cash at year end 2010
 
                                                                           
Sources
                                                                           
Operating
  $ 1,520     $ 50     $ (233 )   $     $ 23     $ 37     $     $     $ 1,397      
Other working capital
    (15 )                 20                               5     Net cash provided by
 
                                                       
Sources
  $ 1,505     $ 50     $ (233 )   $ 20     $ 23     $ 37     $     $     $ 1,402     operating activities
 
                                                                           
Uses
                                                                           
Interest and preferred dividends
  $ (235 )   $     $ 233     $ (20 )   $     $     $ 2     $     $ (20 )    
Capital expenditures
    (1,065 )                                               (1,065 )    
Dividends/tax sharing to CMS
    (315 )     (50 )                                   365           Net cash provided by
 
                                                       
Uses
  $ (1,615 )   $ (50 )   $ 233     $ (20 )   $     $     $ 2     $ 365     $ (1,085 )   investing activities
 
                                                                           
 
                                                                          Cash flow from
 
                                                       
Cash flow
  $ (110 )   $     $     $     $ 23     $ 37     $ 2     $ 365     $ 317     operating and
 
                                                                          investing activities
 
                                                                           
Financing
                                                                           
Equity
  $ 125     $     $     $     $     $     $     $     $ 125      
New Issues
                                                         
Retirements
                            (23 )     (37 )           (365 )     (425 )    
Net short-term financing & other
    (47 )                                   (2 )           (49 )   Net cash provided by
 
                                                       
Financing
  $ 78     $     $     $     $ (23 )   $ (37 )   $ (2 )   $ (365 )   $ (349 )   financing activities
 
                                                                           
 
                                                       
Net change in cash
  $ (32 )   $     $     $     $     $     $     $     $ (32 )   Net change in cash
 
                                                                           
 
                                                       
Cash at year end 2011
  $ 39     $     $     $     $     $     $     $     $ 39     Cash at year end 2011
 
                                                       


 

CMS Energy Parent
2011 Forecasted Cash Flow GAAP Reconciliation (in millions) (unaudited)
                                                                 
            Reclassifications From Sources and Uses to Statement of Cash Flows        
Presentation Sources and Uses     Interest     Overheads &     Other     Preferred     Cash From     Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows  
    non-GAAP     Payments     Tax Payments     Uses (a)     Dividends     Consolidated     GAAP        
Description   Amount     as Operating     as Operating     as Operating     as Financing     Companies     Amount     Description  
Cash at year end 2010
  $ 163     $     $     $     $     $ 13     $ 176     Cash at year end 2010
 
                                                               
Sources
                                                               
Consumers Energy dividends/tax sharing
  $ 315     $ (125 )   $ (15 )   $     $     $     $ 175          
Enterprises
    35                   (90 )           7       (48 )   Net cash provided by operating activities
 
                                                 
Sources
  $ 350     $ (125 )   $ (15 )   $ (90 )   $     $ 7     $ 127          
 
                                                               
Uses
                                                               
Interest and preferred dividends
  $ (125 )   $ 125     $     $     $     $     $          
Overhead and Federal tax payments
    (15 )           15                                  
Equity infusions
    (125 )                 90             (60 )     (95 )   Net cash provided by investing activities
 
                                                 
Uses (a)
  $ (355 )   $ 125     $ 15     $ 90     $     $ (60 )   $ (185 )        
 
                                                               
 
                                                          Cash flow from operating and investing activities
 
                                                 
Cash flow
  $ (5 )   $     $     $     $     $ (53 )   $ (58 )        
 
                                                               
Financing and dividends
                                                               
New Issues
  $ 250     $     $     $     $     $ 53     $ 303          
Retirements
    (150 )                                   (150 )        
Net short-term financing & other
    20                                     20          
Common dividend
    (210 )                                   (210 )   Net cash provided by financing activities
 
                                                 
Financing
  $ (90 )   $     $     $     $     $ 53     $ (37 )        
 
                                                               
 
                                                 
Net change in cash
  $ (95 )   $     $     $     $     $     $ (95 )   Net change in cash
 
                                                               
 
                                               
Cash at year end 2011
  $ 68     $     $     $     $     $ 13     $ 81     Cash at year end 2011
 
                                                 
 
                                                               
 
(a)   Includes other and roundings

 


 

Consolidated CMS Energy
2011 Forecasted Consolidation of Consumers Energy and CMS Energy Parent Statements of Cash Flow (in millions) (unaudited)
                                                         
                    Eliminations/Reclassifications to Arrive at the Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows        
Statements of Cash Flows     Consumers     Consumers     Equity        
    Consumers     CMS Parent     Common Dividend     Preferred Dividend     Infusions to     Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows  
Description   Amount     Amount     as Financing     as Operating     Consumers     Amount     Description  
Cash at year end 2010
  $ 71     $ 176     $     $     $     $ 247     Cash at year end 2010
 
                                                       
Net cash provided by operating activities
  $ 1,402     $ 127     $ (365 )   $ (2 )   $     $ 1,162     Net cash provided by operating activities
 
                                                       
Net cash provided by investing activities
    (1,085 )     (185 )                 125       (1,145 )   Net cash provided by investing activities
 
 
                                         
Cash flow from operating and investing activities
  $ 317     $ (58 )   $ (365 )   $ (2 )   $ 125     $ 17     Cash flow from operating and investing activities
 
                                                       
Net cash provided by financing activities
  $ (349 )   $ (37 )   $ 365     $ 2     $ (125 )   $ (144 )   Net cash provided by financing activities
 
                                                       
 
                                         
Net change in cash
  $ (32 )   $ (95 )   $     $     $     $ (127 )   Net change in cash
 
                                                       
 
                                         
Cash at year end 2011
  $ 39     $ 81     $     $     $     $ 120     Cash at year end 2011