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8-K - DYNEGY INC 8-K 5-9-2011 - DYNEGY INC.form8k.htm
EX-99.1 - EXHIBIT 99.1 - DYNEGY INC.ex99_1.htm

Exhibit 99.2
 
First Quarter 2011 Results 
May 9, 2011
Investor Relations | Norelle Lundy, Vice President | Laura Hrehor, Senior Director | 713-507-6466 | ir@dynegy.com
 
 

 
Forward-Looking Statements
2
Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
  This presentation contains statements reflecting assumptions, expectations, projections, intentions
 or beliefs about future events that are intended as “forward looking statements.” You can identify
 these statements by the fact that they do not relate strictly to historical or current facts.
 Management cautions that any or all of Dynegy’s forward-looking statements may turn out to be
 wrong. Please read Dynegy’s annual, quarterly and current reports filed under the Securities
 Exchange Act of 1934, including its 2010 Form 10-K and first quarter 2011 Form 10-Q (when filed), for
 additional information about the risks, uncertainties and other factors affecting these forward-
 looking statements and Dynegy generally. Dynegy’s actual future results may vary materially from
 those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements. All of Dynegy’s forward-looking
 statements, whether written or oral, are expressly qualified by these cautionary statements and any
 other cautionary statements that may accompany such forward-looking statements. In addition,
 Dynegy disclaims any obligation to update any forward-looking statements to reflect events or
 circumstances after the date hereof.
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
 This presentation contains non-GAAP financial measures including EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA,
 Adjusted Cash Flow from Operations, Adjusted Free Cash Flow, Net Debt and Net Debt and Other
 Obligations.  Reconciliations of these measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures to
 the extent available without unreasonable effort are contained herein. To the extent required,
 statements disclosing the utility and purposes of these measures are set forth in Item 2.02 to our
 current report on form 8-K filed with the SEC on May 9, 2011, which is available on our website free
 of charge, www.dynegy.com.
 
 
 
 
 

 
Highlights and Upcoming Events
3
 Four new board members elected March 9, 2011; one new board member
 elected May 4, 2011
 - Two additional director nominees have been identified
 - New directors plus nominees will stand for election in June and, if elected, will constitute
 the new Dynegy board
 - Annual stockholder meeting will be held on June 15, 2011
 E. Hunter Harrison named interim President and CEO
 Dynegy retained restructuring advisory firms
 
 

 
Financial Results
 
 

 
Capital & Liquidity (as of 3/31/11)
 Net debt and other obligations(1) of $4.1 billion
  Net cash-on-hand and investments of $404 million
 
and restricted cash and investments of $850
 million(2)
 Collateral of $557 million posted(4)
 Liquidity of $1.44 billion
Financial Results
5
Adjusted EBITDA ($MM)
Net Income / Loss
 Net loss of $77 million for 2011 primarily due to
 lower revenues, including after-tax mark-to
   market gains of $1.8 million, and an increase in
   depreciation and amortization expense of $31
   million
 This compares to net income of $145 million for
 2010, which primarily reflects after-tax mark-to-
 market gains of $152 million, partially offset by
 an after-tax impairment charge of $23 million
(1) Net debt and other obligations is a non-GAAP measure, please see the reconciliation on the Capital
Structure page in the Appendix; and for definition and uses, please see the Debt Definitions page in the
Appendix.
(2) Restricted cash includes $850 million related to Term Letter of Credit facility. (3) Working capital
was higher in 1Q2010 primarily due to cash received from the company’s collateral clearing agent as a result
of changes in the value of financial positions, which were significantly impacted by lower power prices.
(4) For
additional information see the Collateral page in the Appendix.
First Quarter Results ($MM)
2010
2011
Adjusted EBITDA
$ 152
$87
 Interest payments
(15)
(15)
 Working capital changes(3)/Collateral(4)/Cash
 Taxes
321
28
Adjusted cash flow from operations
$ 458
$ 100
 Maintenance capital expenditures
(31)
(25)
 Environmental capital expenditures
(69)
(41)
Adjusted free cash flow
$ 358
$ 34
 
 
 
Net income/(Loss)
$ 145
$ (77)
 
 
 
Net cash provided by operating activities
$ 458
$ 83
Net cash used in investing activities
$ (241)
$ (47)
Net cash provided by financing activities
$ 0
$ 1
 
 

 
6
 
     
     
     
     
 
     
     
 
     
     
Midwest - 1Q11 Period-Over-Period
Regional Performance Drivers
Maint.
Enviro.
$ Million
Adjusted EBITDA
CapEx
 1Q Adjusted EBITDA decreased 25% period-over-period primarily
 due to
  Energy contributions from physical transactions(1) increased due to fewer
 planned outages, in addition to increased spark spreads for CCGT’s
  Energy contributions from financial transactions(1) declined due to lower
 value received per MWh in 2011
  Decreased tolling revenues of ~$20MM resulting from the early termination
 of a long-term toll on Kendall in 1Q2010
  Increased capacity revenues due to higher PJM capacity prices and more
 capacity for sale from Kendall due to the early termination of a long-term toll,
 offset by reduced capacity revenues due to lower MISO capacity prices
  Basis impact was ~$(5)MM quarter-over-quarter
  Average CIN-Avg Gen basis 1Q11 was $4.64/MWh compared to
 $2.55 for 1Q10
 1Q overall volumes increased from 6.4 MM MWhs to 7.2 MM
 MWhs or 12% period-over-period primarily due to:
  Fewer planned outages and increased spark spreads for CCGT’s
  84% , 20% and 51% capacity factors in 1Q11 compared to 86%, 9% and 29%
 capacity factors in 1Q10 for the coal fleet, Kendall and Ontelaunee,
 respectively
 1Q CapEx decreased due to reduced Consent Decree spending 
     and fewer planned outages
 Midwest coal fleet achieved in-market-availability of 92%
GAAP Measures:
 1Q11 Operating Loss reflects pre-tax MTM gains of $1 million
 1Q10 Operating Income reflects pre-tax MTM gains of $179 million
$44
(1) Financial transactions refer to hedging activities that include financial swaps and options activity, while physical transactions can be defined as generation sales
 
 

 
7
West - 1Q11 Period-Over-Period
Regional Performance Drivers
 
     
     
 
     
     
 1Q Adjusted EBITDA decreased 92% period-over-period
 primarily due to
 Less revenue of ~$15MM as a result of net sales of fewer options at lower
 premiums
 Less revenue of ~$5MM for Moss Landing due to timing of payments under a
 new agreement compared to timing of payments under the previous
 agreement
 1Q overall volumes decreased from 1.4MM MWhs to
 0.4MM MWhs or 70% period-over-period due to
 compressed spark spreads
 1Q11 capacity factor for Moss Landing 1&2 of 15% compared to 1Q10 capacity
 factor of 58%
 1Q CapEx reduced slightly due to lower maintenance and
 environmental expenditures compared to 1Q10
GAAP Measures:
 1Q11 Operating Income reflects pre-tax MTM gains of $15
 million
 1Q10 Operating Income reflects pre-tax MTM gains of $23
 million
$ Million
Adjusted EBITDA
CapEx
 
 

 
8
Northeast - 1Q11 Period-Over-Period
Regional Performance Drivers
 
     
     
 1Q Adjusted EBITDA down 17% period-over-period due to
  Energy contributions from physical transactions(1) increased due to increased
 prices and spark spreads partially offset by an outage at Casco Bay
  Energy contributions from financial transactions(1) declined due to lower
 value received per MWh in 2011
  Less revenue of ~$5MM as a result of net sales of fewer options at lower
 premiums
  Less revenue of ~$5MM from capacity sales as a result of lower capacity
 pricing
 1Q overall volumes were flat at 1.5 MM MWhs for both periods
  Increase in volumes due to improved spark spreads for CCGT’s offset by Casco
 Bay outage
  37%, 15% and 41% capacity factors in 1Q11 compared to 47%, 49% and 18%
 capacity factors in 1Q10 for Danskammer, Casco Bay and Independence,
 respectively
 1Q CapEx increased due to an outage at Casco Bay
 Danskammer achieved in-market-availability of ~95%
GAAP Measures:
 1Q11 Operating Loss reflects pre-tax MTM losses of $13 million
 1Q10 Operating Income reflects pre-tax MTM gains of $51 million
$ Million
Adjusted EBITDA
CapEx
(1) Financial transactions refer to hedging activities that include financial swaps and options activity, while physical transactions can be defined as generation sales
 
     
     
 
     
     
     
 
 

 
Financial Estimates
9
In light of recent management and board changes and the need to review and
possibly revise the company’s strategic plans, as well as the on-going consideration
of restructuring alternatives, Dynegy currently does not intend to provide guidance
estimates for 2011.  Further, we have not updated nor do we intend to update, or
otherwise revise, the financial forecasts (the “Forecasts”) provided in Dynegy’s
Solicitation/Recommendation Statement on Schedule 14D-9 filed with the SEC by
Dynegy on December 30, 2010 and its Preliminary Proxy Statement on Schedule
14A filed with the SEC by Dynegy on January 10, 2011.  Consequently, readers are
cautioned not to rely on such Forecasts.  The company will reconsider at a later time
whether it will provide guidance estimates for 2011 and future years.
 
 

 
Appendix
 
 

 
Dynegy’s Diversified Asset Portfolio
Dispatch Diversity
Peaking
33%
Intermediate
38%
Baseload
29%
Geographic Diversity
Midwest
42%
Northeast
29%
West
29%
Fuel Diversity
Combined Cycle
38%
Peaking
20%
Total Gas-Fired
58%
Coal
29%
Fuel Oil
13%
11
 
 

 
Significant Environmental Progress
12
On target to further reduce emissions in the Midwest
 Estimate of remaining cash spend is ~$193 million from
 3/31/11 through 2013; estimated total expense is ~$960
 million
 Baldwin 3 scrubber was put in service at the end of 2010 and
 is performing as expected
 All projects include installing baghouses and scrubbers with
 the exception of Hennepin, which has baghouses only
Labor
~76%
Rental Equipment
& Other ~4%
Estimated Go Forward
Cost Composition
Materials
~20%
2008
2010
2009
2011
2012
2007
Hennepin
Baldwin 3
Baldwin 1
Baldwin 2
Havana
Projects complete
Cash outflow
continues
through 2013
 
 

 
13
Mark-to-Market (Pre-tax)
($ Million)
3 Months Ending 3/31/10
3 Months Ending 3/31/11
Quarter
Midwest
West
Northeast
TOTAL
Midwest
West
Northeast
TOTAL
MTM for positions settled or to
be settled in the current year
74
22
26
122
(4)
10
(3)
3
MTM gain/(losses) for future
period positions
105
1
25
131
5
5
(10)
0
Total MTM adjustment
179
23
51
253
1
15
(13)
3
 Option premiums are recognized in period received (paid) and are excluded from MTM impacts shown above
 A significant amount of MTM for future period positions has been settled in cash through a brokerage account
Note: Table includes MTM for both continuing and discontinued operations
 
 

 
14
Commodity Pricing
Cin Hub/Cinergy ($/MWh)
New York Zone G ($/MWh)
NP-15 ($/MWh)
Natural Gas ($/MMBtu)
2011 A/F (Apr): $40.33
2011 A/F (Feb): $38.35
2010A:  $42.40
(1) Pricing as of 2/10/11. Prices reflect actual day ahead on-peak settlement prices for 1/1/11 - 2/10/2011 and quoted forward on-peak monthly prices for 2/11/2011-12/31/11 (2) Pricing as of
4/18/2011. Prices reflect actual day ahead on-peak settlement prices for 1/1/11 - 4/18/2011 and quoted forward on-peak monthly prices for 4/18/2011 - 12/31/11
2011 Actual/Forward as of 2/10/2011(1)
2011 Actual/Forward as of 4/18/2011(2)
2010 Actual
2011 A/F (Apr): $37.27
2011 A/F (Feb): $38.43
2010A:  $39.92
2011 A/F (Apr): $4.30
2011 A/F (Feb): $4.29
2010A:  $4.38
2011 A/F (Apr): $58.01
2011 A/F (Feb): $56.30
2010A:  $59.19
 
 

 
15
Spark Spreads
PJM West ($/MWh)
Mass Hub ($/MWh)
NI Hub ($/MWh)
NP-15 ($/MWh)
2011 A/F (Apr): $16.31
2011 A/F (Feb): $14.68
2010A:  $18.69
2011 Actual/Forward as of 2/10/2011(1)
2011 Actual/Forward as of 4/18/2011(2)
2010 Actual
2011 A/F (Apr): $17.34
2011 A/F (Feb): $15.02
2010A:  $18.48
2011 A/F (Apr): $8.14
2011 A/F (Feb): $7.08
2010A:  $9.82
2011 A/F (Apr): $4.35
2011 A/F (Feb): $6.44
2010A:  $6.06
(1) Pricing as of 2/10/11. Prices reflect actual day ahead on-peak settlement prices for 1/1/11 - 2/10/2011 and quoted forward on-peak monthly prices for 2/11/2011-12/31/11 (2) Pricing as of
4/18/2011. Prices reflect actual day ahead on-peak settlement prices for 1/1/11 - 4/18/2011 and quoted forward on-peak monthly prices for 4/18/2011 - 12/31/11
 
 

 
16
 Total balance sheet debt as of 3/31/11 is ~$4.8B
 - $79 million of the 2011 notes were repaid 4/1/11
 $850 million due in 2013 is a synthetic letter of credit facility supported by $850 million of
 restricted cash
 - Reclassified as current debt on consolidated balance sheet since it is likely that we will not
 be able to comply with one of the financial covenants beginning in third or fourth quarter
 2011
 Excludes $604 million related to Central Hudson lease
Debt Maturity Profile (as of 3/31/11, $MM)
 
 

 
17
Central Hudson Lease - Northeast Segment
Central Hudson Cash Payments (remaining as of 3/31/11, $MM)
Imputed Debt Equivalent at PV (10%) of
future lease payments = $604MM(1)
$112
$179
$142
$143
$143
$77
 Chart represents total cash lease payments, which are included in Operating Cash Flows
 Lease expense is approximately $50 million per year and included in Operating Expense
Central Hudson treated as Lease (2)
 
(as currently shown in GAAP financials):
 Income Statement - $50 million lease expense included in
 Adjusted EBITDA; no interest expense or depreciation &
 amortization expense
 Cash Flow Statement - $112 million cash payments in 2011
 included in Operating Cash Flows
 Balance Sheet - lease obligation not included in debt balance
Central Hudson treated as Debt (2)
 
(would require the following adjustments to GAAP financials):
Income Statement - Add back $50 million lease expense to Adjusted EBITDA; add $56
 million imputed interest expense to Interest Expense; add $23 million estimated
 depreciation & amortization expense; adjust tax expense for net difference
  Depreciation & Amortization calculated using purchase price of $920 million divided by 40 years
Cash Flow Statement - Add back $56 million of imputed principal to Operating Cash Flows
  $112 million cash payments in 2011 split between $56 million imputed interest payment
 (Operating Cash Flows) and $56 million imputed principal payment (Financing Cash Flows)
Balance Sheet - Include $604 million total PV (10%) of future lease payments
(1) PV of payments calculated as of 3/31/11 ; (2) Calculated on an annual basis
Accrual Lease Expense (2)
$27
 
 

 
18


Capital Structure
Debt & Other Obligations as of 3/31/11
Dynegy Power Corp.
 Central Hudson(2)   $604
Dynegy Holdings Inc.
$1,080 Million Revolver(1)  $0
Term L/C Facility $850
Tranche B Term $68
Sr. Unsec. Notes/Debentures  $3,450
Sub.Cap.Inc.Sec (“SKIS”) $200
Dynegy Inc.
 Senior Debentures $225
Sithe Energies
TOTALS  ($ Million)
3/31/11
Secured
$918
Secured Non-Recourse
$225
Unsecured
$3,650
Lease Obligation
$604
($ Million)
3/31/11
Total Obligations
$5,397
 Less: Cash & short-term investments
404
 Less: Restricted cash(3)
850
Net Debt & Other Obligations
$4,143
 Less: Central Hudson Lease Obligation
604
Net Debt
$3,538
(1) Represents drawn amounts under the revolver; actual capacity of revolver was $1.08 Billion as of 3/31/2011;
(2) Represents PV (10%) of future lease payments. Central Hudson lease payments are unsecured obligations of
Dynegy Inc., but are a secured obligation of an unrelated third party (“lessor”) under the lease. DHI has
guaranteed the lease payments on a senior unsecured basis;
(3) Restricted cash includes $850MM related to the
Synthetic Letter of Credit facility
 
 

 
19
Collateral Excluding Clearing Settlements
($MM)
12/31/10
 
3/31/11
 
5/2/2011
Generation
$ 377
 
$ 470
 
$ 483
Other
85
 
87
 
173
Total
$ 462
 
$ 557
 
$ 656
 
 
 
 
 
 
Cash and short-term investments
$ 87
 
$ 118
 
$ 112
LCs
375
 
439
 
544
Total
$ 462
 
$ 557
 
$ 656
 Changes in generation collateral include initial margin postings related to hedging activity for 2010-2012
  Increase in generation collateral from 12/31/10 to 3/31/11 primarily due to higher initial margin posting requirements and reduction in usage of
 bilateral first lien collateral arrangements
 Other collateral includes Sithe Debt Service Reserve of $83 million
 - Increase in other collateral from 3/31/11 to 5/2/11 primarily due to contractual obligations under certain operational agreements
 Changes in cash and short-term investments include initial margin postings related to hedging activity for 2010-2012
  Increase in cash and short-term investments from 12/31/10 to 3/31/11 reflects increased postings to our futures clearing manager primarily due
 to higher initial margin requirements
 Increase in LCs from 3/31/11 to 5/2/11 primarily due to contractual obligations under certain operational agreements
 In addition to cash and LCs posted as collateral, we have granted additional permitted first priority liens on the assets currently
 subject to first priority liens under our Credit Facility. The fair value collateralized by first priority liens, netted by counterparty,
 includes liabilities of $30 million, $14.5 million
and $8 million at 12/31/10, 3/31/11 and 5/2/11, respectively.
 
 

 
20
 Due to covenant limitations, decrease
 in revolver availability of $431 million
 at 3/31/2011
 Decrease in cash from 3/31/2011 to
 5/2/2011 due to the payment of 2011
 notes that matured on 4/1/2011 and
 debt interest payments, partially offset
 by maturity of short-term investments
 Decrease in availability from
 3/31/2011 to 5/2/2011 due to an
 increase in outstanding letters of credit
 due to contractual obligations under
 certain operational agreements
 Currently there is no availability under
 the $150MM contingent letter of
 credit facility
  Under terms of this facility, up to
 $150 million of capacity can become
 available based on increases in spark
 spreads and power prices for 2012
 positions
Liquidity
 
 

 
21
Contracted Generation Volumes
2011 Contracted Generation Volumes as of:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Dec 08
Feb 09
May 09
Aug 09
Nov 09
Jan 10
Feb 10
May 10
Jul 10
Oct 10
Feb 11
Apr 11
Midwest
5%
5%
5%
15%
50%
75%
75%
90%
100%
95%
100%
100%
West
20%
20%
20%
40%
50%
>95%
>95%
>95%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Northeast
10%
5%
5%
15%
60%
>95%
>95%
>95%
100%
85%
100%
95%
Consolidated
10%
10%
10%
20%
50%
85%
85%
95%
100%
95%
100%
100%
2012 Contracted Generation Volumes as of:
 
 
 
 
 
Nov 09
Jan 10
Feb 10
May 10
Jul 10
Oct 10
Feb 11
Apr 11
Midwest
0%
0%
0%
5%
15%
20%
25%
30%
West
15%
50%
50%
50%
50%
40%
45%
45%
Northeast
10%
10%
15%
25%
40%
35%
45%
70%
Consolidated
5%
15%
15%
15%
25%
25%
30%
40%
 
 

 
22
Debt Definitions
Debt Measures: We believe that our debt measures are useful because we consider these
measures as a way to evaluate our progress toward our strategic corporate objective of reducing
our overall indebtedness. In addition, many analysts and investors use these measures for
valuation analysis purposes. The most directly comparable GAAP financial measure to the below
measures is GAAP debt.
  “Net Debt” - We define “Net Debt” as total GAAP debt less cash and cash equivalents and restricted cash.
 Restricted cash in this case consists only of collateral posted for the credit facility at the end of each
 period.
   “Net Debt and Other Obligations” - We define “Net Debt and Other Obligations” as total GAAP debt plus
 certain operating lease commitments less cash and cash equivalents and restricted cash. Restricted cash in
 this case consists only of collateral posted for the credit facility at the end of each period.
 
 

 
 
 

 
24
Reg G Reconciliation -1st Quarter 2011 Adjusted EBITDA
 
 

 
25
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
26