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8-K - FORM 8-K - JETBLUE AIRWAYS CORP | y04789e8vk.htm |
Exhibit 99.1
Investor Update |
Investor Update: April 21, 2011
This investor update provides JetBlues investor guidance for the second quarter ending June
30, 2011 and full year 2011.
Recent Announcements
JetBlue has recently announced service between the following new city pairs:
City Pair | Frequency | Start Date | ||
Fort Lauderdale, FL Los Angeles, CA
|
1X Daily | May 11, 2011 | ||
Boston, MA Portland, OR
|
1X Daily (Seasonal) | May 26, 2011 | ||
Boston, MA Santiago, DR
|
Sunday, Tuesday, Friday | June 17, 2011 | ||
St. Maarten San Juan, P.R.
|
1X Daily | November 17, 2011 |
Specific details regarding frequency and start dates can be found on JetBlues web site,
www.jetblue.com.
Capacity
Second quarter 2011 available seat miles (ASMs) are estimated to increase 7% to 9%
year-over-year. Full year 2011 ASMs are estimated to increase 6% to 8% year-over-year.
JetBlue estimates the following distribution as a percentage of total ASMs by aircraft type:
Second Quarter 2011 | Full Year 2011 | |||||||||||||
A320 | E190 | A320 | E190 | |||||||||||
86 | % | 14 | % | 86 | % | 14 | % |
Average stage length is projected to be approximately 1,087 miles during the second quarter of 2011
versus 1,102 miles during the same prior year period and approximately 1,093 miles for the full
year 2011 versus 1,100 miles for the full year 2010.
Operational Outlook
Second Quarter | Full Year | |||||||
2011 | 2011 | |||||||
Operating Expense Year-Over-Year Percentage Change |
||||||||
Unit Operating Expense (CASM) |
18% - 20 | % | 15% - 17 | % | ||||
Unit Operating Expense Excluding Fuel (Ex-Fuel CASM) |
3% - 5 | % | 0% - 2 | % | ||||
Fuel Expense |
||||||||
Estimated Consumption (gallons) |
133 million | 525 million | ||||||
Estimated Fuel Price per Gallon, Net of Hedges * |
$ | 3.37 | $ | 3.32 |
* | Includes fuel taxes |
JetBlue Airways Investor Relations (718) 709-2202 ir@jetblue.com
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Investor Update |
Fuel Hedges
As of April 15, 2011 JetBlues advanced fuel derivative contracts for the next 12 months are
as follows
Estimated | ||||||
Percentage | ||||||
Gallons | of Consumption | Price | ||||
21% in crude call options with the average cap at $93/bbl | ||||||
10% in crude collars with the average cap at $100/bbl and the average put at $80/bbl | ||||||
2Q11 |
57 million | 43% | 5% in crude 3-way collars with the average purchased call at $100/bbl, the average sold call at $110/bbl and the average put at $85/bbl | |||
5% in heat collars with the average cap at $3.24/gal and the average put at $2.84/gal | ||||||
2% in USGC jet fuel swaps at an average of $2.32/gal | ||||||
18% in crude call options with the average cap at $94/bbl | ||||||
9% in crude collars with the average cap at $100/bbl and the average put at $80/bbl | ||||||
3Q11 |
51 million | 36% | 5% in crude 3-way collars with the average purchased call at $100/bbl, the average sold call at $110/bbl and the average put at $83/bbl | |||
4% in heat collars with the average cap at $3.27/gal and the average put at $2.87/gal | ||||||
7% in crude call options with the average cap at $92/bbl | ||||||
10% in crude collars with the average cap at $100/bbl and the average put at $81/bbl | ||||||
4Q11 |
35 million | 26% | 5% in crude 3-way collars with the average purchased call at $100/bbl, the average sold call at $110/bbl and the average put at $80/bbl | |||
4% in heat collars with the average cap at $3.31/gal and the average put at $2.91/gal | ||||||
3% in crude call options with the average cap at $99/bbl | ||||||
1Q12 |
9 million | 8% | 5% in crude collars with the average cap at $98/bbl and the average put at $78/bbl |
Capital Expenditures
(In millions)
(In millions)
Second Quarter 2011 | Full Year 2011 | ||||||||||||
Aircraft | Non-aircraft | Aircraft | Non-aircraft | ||||||||||
$ | 85 | $ | 30 | $ | 390 | $ | 110 |
JetBlue estimates total Other Income (Expense) to be between ($35) and ($40) million in the second
quarter and between ($150) and ($160) million for the full year. JetBlue expects an annual
effective tax rate of approximately
JetBlue Airways Investor Relations (718) 709-2202 ir@jetblue.com
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Investor Update |
42%. However, the actual tax rate in both first quarter and full year 2011 could differ due to the
non-deductibility of certain items for tax purposes.
Aircraft Delivery Schedule
As of March 31, 2011 JetBlues fleet was comprised of 118 Airbus A320 aircraft and 46 EMBRAER
190 aircraft. 104 aircraft were on order from Airbus and Embraer, scheduled for delivery through
2018, with options to acquire 73 additional aircraft.
Airbus A320 | EMBRAER 190 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Aircraft | Mortgage | Lease | Aircraft | Mortgage | Lease | |||||||||||||||||||
2Q11 |
1 | 1 | | 1 | 1 | (1 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
3Q11 |
| | | 2 | 2 | | ||||||||||||||||||
4Q11 |
1 | 1 | | 1 | 1 | | ||||||||||||||||||
Total at Year End* |
120 | 90 | 30 | 49 | 19 | 30 |
* | JetBlue leased two of its owned EMBRAER 190 aircraft to a third party in 2008, which are not included in the table above. |
During the first quarter, JetBlue elected to opt out of two EMBRAER 190 aircraft scheduled for
delivery in 2013. JetBlue now expects to take delivery of five EMBRAER 190 aircraft in 2013.
Share Count
Share count estimates for calculating basic and diluted earnings per share are as follows:
Second Quarter 2011 | ||||||||||||
Basic Share Count | Diluted Share Count | Interest Add-back | ||||||||||
Net Income Range | (in millions) | (in millions) | (in millions)** | |||||||||
Zero $11 million |
278.3 | 280.2 | $ | | ||||||||
$11 million $15 million |
278.3 | 307.6 | $ | 1 | ||||||||
$15 million or greater |
278.3 | 348.8 | $ | 3 |
Full Year 2011 | ||||||||||||
Basic Share Count | Diluted Share Count | Interest Add-back | ||||||||||
Net Income Range | (in millions) | (in millions) | (in millions)** | |||||||||
Zero $42 million |
278.4 | 280.3 | $ | | ||||||||
$42 million $57 million |
278.4 | 307.7 | $ | 4 | ||||||||
$57 million or greater |
278.4 | 348.9 | $ | 12 |
** | Net of taxes |
JetBlue Airways Investor Relations (718) 709-2202 ir@jetblue.com
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Investor Update |
These share count estimates assume 20% annual stock price appreciation and are based on several
other assumptions. The number of shares used in JetBlues actual earnings per share will likely be
different than those stated above.
This investor update contains statements of a forward-looking nature which represent our
managements beliefs and assumptions concerning future events. When used in this document and in
documents incorporated herein by reference, the words expects, plans, anticipates,
indicates, believes, forecast, guidance, outlook, may, will, should, seeks,
targets and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements.
Forward-looking statements involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions, and are based on
information currently available to us. Actual results may differ materially from those expressed in
the forward-looking statements due to many factors, including, without limitation, our extremely
competitive industry; volatility in financial and credit markets which could affect our ability to
obtain debt and/or lease financing or to raise funds through debt or equity issuances; increases in
fuel prices, maintenance costs and interest rates; our ability to implement our growth strategy,
including the ability to operate reliably the EMBRAER 190 aircraft and our new terminal at JFK; our
significant fixed obligations; our ability to attract and retain qualified personnel and maintain
our culture as we grow; our reliance on high daily aircraft utilization; our dependence on the New
York metropolitan market and the effect of increased congestion in this market; our reliance on
automated systems and technology; our being subject to potential unionization; our reliance on a
limited number of suppliers; changes in or additional government regulation; changes in our
industry due to other airlines financial condition; a continuance of the economic recessionary
conditions in the U.S. or a further economic downturn leading to a continuing or accelerated
decrease in demand for domestic and business air travel; and external geopolitical events and
conditions. Further information concerning these and other factors is contained in the Companys
Securities and Exchange Commission filings, including but not limited to, the Companys 2010 Annual
Report on Form 10-K. We undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statements to reflect
events or circumstances that may arise after the date of this release.
JetBlue Airways Investor Relations (718) 709-2202 ir@jetblue.com
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