Attached files
file | filename |
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10-K - FORM 10-K - DOMINION RESOURCES BLACK WARRIOR TRUST | d80362e10vk.htm |
EX-32.1 - EX-32.1 - DOMINION RESOURCES BLACK WARRIOR TRUST | d80362exv32w1.htm |
EX-23.1 - EX-23.1 - DOMINION RESOURCES BLACK WARRIOR TRUST | d80362exv23w1.htm |
EX-31.1 - EX-31.1 - DOMINION RESOURCES BLACK WARRIOR TRUST | d80362exv31w1.htm |
Exhibit 99.2
DOMINION BLACK WARRIOR BASIN 1994-1
ESTIMATED RESERVES AND NON ESCALATED
FUTURE NET REVENUE
AS OF DECEMBER 31, 2010
RALPH E. DAVIS ASSOCIATES, INC.
Texas Registered Engineering Firm F-1529
Texas Registered Engineering Firm F-1529
DOMINION BLACK WARRIOR TRUST 1994-1
TABLE OF CONTENTS
TABLE OF CONTENTS
ENGINEERING LETTER
RESERVE SUMMARIES
PROVED RESERVES
ONE LINE SUMMARY
QUALIFICATIONS OF TECHNICAL PERSON
RESERVE SUMMARIES
PROVED RESERVES
ONE LINE SUMMARY
QUALIFICATIONS OF TECHNICAL PERSON
RALPH E. DAVIS ASSOCIATES, INC.
Texas Registered Engineering Firm F-1529
Texas Registered Engineering Firm F-1529
March 4, 2011
Dominion Black Warrior Trust 1994-1
c/o U.S. Trust, Bank of America Private Wealth Management
P. O. Box 830650
Dallas, Texas 75283
c/o U.S. Trust, Bank of America Private Wealth Management
P. O. Box 830650
Dallas, Texas 75283
Attn: | Mr. Ron E. Hooper
Sr. Vice President, Trustee |
Re: Estimated Reserves and Non Escalated Future
Net Revenue Remaining as of December 31, 2010
Dominion Black Warrior Trust 1994-1
Net Revenue Remaining as of December 31, 2010
Dominion Black Warrior Trust 1994-1
Gentlemen:
At your request the firm of Ralph E. Davis Associates, Inc. of Houston, Texas has prepared an
estimate of the natural gas reserves on specific leaseholds in which Dominion Black Warrior Trust
1994-1 (the Trust) has certain interests. The interests evaluated are a royalty interest ownership
position applicable to specific gas properties in the Black Warrior Basin, Tuscaloosa County,
Alabama. This report presents our estimate of the proved reserves anticipated to be produced from
those leaseholds and remaining as of December 31, 2010.
Davis has reviewed 100% of the Trusts proved developed properties located in the Black Warrior
Basin area of Alabama. It is our opinion that these properties represent all of the Trusts
natural gas assets that may be classified as proved as per the Securities Exchange Commission
directives as detailed later in this report.
The reserves associated with this review have been classified in accordance with the definitions of
the Securities and Exchange Commission as found in Part 210Form and Content of and Requirements
for Financial Statements, Securities Act of 1933, Securities Exchange Act of 1934, Public Utility
Holding Company Act of 1935, Investment Company Act of 1940, Investment Advisers Act of 1940, and
Energy Policy and Conservation Act of 1975, under Rules of General Application § 210.4-10
Financial accounting and reporting for oil and gas producing activities pursuant to the Federal
securities laws and the Energy Policy and Conservation Act of 1975. A summation of these
definitions is included as a portion of this letter.
RALPH E. DAVIS ASSOCIATES, INC.
Texas Registered Engineering Firm F-1529
Texas Registered Engineering Firm F-1529
We have also estimated the future net revenue and discounted present value associated with
these reserves as of December 31, 2010, utilizing a scenario of non-escalated product prices as
well as non-escalated costs of operations, i.e., prices and costs were not escalated above current
values as detailed later in this report. The present value is presented for your information and
should not be construed as an estimate of the fair market value.
The results of our study may be summarized as follows:
Non Escalated Pricing Scenario
Estimated Reserves and Future Net Income
Net to Dominion Black Warrior Basin Trust 1994-1
As of December 31, 2010
Estimated Reserves and Future Net Income
Net to Dominion Black Warrior Basin Trust 1994-1
As of December 31, 2010
Total Proved | ||||
Net Remaining Sales Gas Reserves: |
||||
Gas: Mcf |
14,689,997 | |||
Future Revenue: |
||||
Sales Revenue |
$ | 64,160,156 | ||
Tax Credit Revenue |
0 | |||
Total Revenue |
$ | 64,160,156 | ||
Production Taxes |
$ | 3,849,610 | ||
Other Deductions |
0 | |||
Future Net Income |
$ | 60,310,551 | ||
Future Net Income Discounted @ 10% |
$ | 36,496,504 |
The Section 29 Tax Credit that was in effect in previous years is no longer applicable as of
January 1, 2003.
Gas volumes are expressed in millions of standard cubic feet (MMSCF) at the official temperature
and pressure bases of the areas wherein the gas reserves are located.
DATA SOURCE
Basic well and field data used in the preparation of this report were furnished by Walter Black
Warrior Basin LLC (Walter), the operator and successor to HighMount Exploration &
RALPH E. DAVIS ASSOCIATES, INC.
Texas Registered Engineering Firm F-1529
Texas Registered Engineering Firm F-1529
Production LLC, or were obtained from commercial sources. Records as they pertain to
factual matters such as acreage controlled, the number and depths of wells, production history, the
existence of contractual obligations to others and similar matters were accepted as presented.
Ownership interest, operating costs and information related to contractual obligations regarding
the sale of produced gas were furnished by Walter. No physical inspection of the properties was
made nor any well tests conducted.
RESERVE ESTIMATES
The estimate of reserves included in this report is based primarily upon production history, or
analogy with wells in the area producing from the same or similar formations. Individual well
production histories were analyzed and an appropriate daily producing rate was utilized for each
individual well in the preparation of a forecast of future producing rates.
Recent lifting costs not borne by the Trust but applicable to the operators cost of operation have
exceeded the sales prices of gas at various times during the past year. However, the Trust has
informed Davis that the operator, in the context of their overall operations in the area that
encompasses the Trust properties, has indicated that the Trust wells are not being affected by the
uneconomic occurrence. Therefore, the data utilized, assumptions made and methods and procedures
used are considered appropriate and necessary for the estimates made and purposes for which this
report was prepared.
The reserves included in this report are estimates only and should not be construed as being exact
quantities. The accuracy of the estimates is dependent upon the quality of available data and upon
the independent geological and engineering interpretation of that data. The quantities presented
herein are estimated reserves of natural gas that geologic and engineering data demonstrate can be
recovered from known reservoirs under current economic conditions with reasonable certainty.
Reserve estimates presented in this report are calculated using acceptable methods and procedures
and are believed to be appropriate and reasonable; however, future reservoir performance may
justify revision of these estimates.
PRODUCING RATES
For the purpose of this report, estimated reserves are scheduled for recovery primarily on the
basis of actual producing rates or appropriate well test information. They were prepared giving
consideration to engineering and geological data such as reservoir pressure, anticipated producing
mechanisms, the number and types of completions, as well as past performance of analogous
reservoirs.
These and other future rates may be subject to regulation by various agencies, changes in market
demand or other factors; consequently, reserves recovered and the actual rates of recovery may
RALPH E. DAVIS ASSOCIATES, INC.
Texas Registered Engineering Firm F-1529
Texas Registered Engineering Firm F-1529
vary from the estimates included herein. Scheduled dates of future well completions may
vary from that provided by Walter due to changes in market demand or the availability of materials
and/or capital; however, the timing of the wells and their estimated rates of production are
reasonable and consistent with established performance to date.
PRICING PROVISIONS
Prices utilized in the evaluation results presented in the letter portion of this report and
summarized in the various tables included in this evaluation were based upon certain data furnished
by the operator. Prices received for products sold, adjustments due to the BTU content of the gas,
shrinkage for transportation, etc., were accepted as presented.
Natural Gas - The unit price used throughout this report for natural gas is an initial price of
$4.38 per MMBTU, based upon the appropriate price in effect the first trading of each month during
calendar 2010, and averaged for the year. This price is representative of the price in effect for
sales based upon the Sonat T1 price on that trading day. A basis differential was applied to all
sales volumes, and this differential as well as the price for gas was held constant throughout the
producing life of the property. Prices for gas reserves scheduled for initial production at some
future date were estimated using this same price.
FUTURE NET INCOME
Future net income is based upon gross income from future production, less appropriate taxes
(production, severance, ad valorem or other). Operating costs and any estimated future capital
requirements were not considered in the estimation of net income due to the Trusts royalty
ownership position. No allowance was made for depletion, depreciation, income taxes or
administrative expense.
Future net income has been discounted for present worth at values ranging from 0 to 100 percent
using monthly discounting. In this report the future net income is discounted at a primary rate of
ten (10.0) percent.
GENERAL
Walter Black Warrior Basin LLC as operator has provided access to all of its accounts, records,
geological and engineering data, reports and other information as required for this investigation.
The ownership interests, product classifications relating to prices and other factual data were
accepted as furnished without verification.
No consideration was given in this report to either gas contract disputes including take or pay
demands or gas sales imbalances.
No consideration was given in this report to potential environmental liabilities which may exist,
RALPH E. DAVIS ASSOCIATES, INC.
Texas Registered Engineering Firm F-1529
Texas Registered Engineering Firm F-1529
nor were any costs included for potential liability to restore and clean up damages, if any,
caused by past operating practices.
The estimates of reserves and the forecasted rates of production may be subject to regulation by
various agencies, changes in market demand or other factors; consequently, the volumes of reserves
recovered and the actual rates of recovery may vary from the estimates included herein.
If investments or business decisions are to be made in reliance on these estimates by anyone other
than our client, such person with the approval of our client is invited to arrange a visit so that
he can evaluate the assumptions made and the completeness and extent of the data available on which
the estimates are made.
Neither Ralph E. Davis Associates, Inc. nor its employees has any interest in the subject
properties and neither the employment to make this study nor our compensation is contingent on our
estimates of reserves and future income for the subject properties.
This report has been prepared for the exclusive use of Dominion Black Warrior Basin Trust 1994-1
and shall not be reproduced, distributed or made available to any other company without the written
consent of Ralph E. Davis Associates, Inc. Such consent will not be unreasonably withheld if the
report is utilized in its entirety.
Very truly yours, | ||
RALPH E. DAVIS ASSOCIATES, INC. | ||
Allen C. Barron, P.E.
President |
RALPH E. DAVIS ASSOCIATES, INC.
Texas Registered Engineering Firm F-1529
Texas Registered Engineering Firm F-1529
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
DEFINITIONS OF RESERVES
DEFINITIONS OF RESERVES
The following information is taken from the United States Securities and Exchange Commission:
PART 210FORM AND CONTENT OF AND REQUIREMENTS FOR FINANCIAL STATEMENTS, SECURITIES ACT OF
1933, SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934, PUBLIC UTILITY HOLDING COMPANY ACT OF 1935, INVESTMENT
COMPANY ACT OF 1940, INVESTMENT ADVISERS ACT OF 1940, AND ENERGY POLICY AND CONSERVATION ACT OF
1975
Rules of General Application
§ 210.4-10 Financial accounting and reporting for oil and gas producing activities pursuant
to the Federal securities laws and the Energy Policy and Conservation Act of 1975.
Reserves
Reserves are estimated remaining quantities of oil and gas and related substances
anticipated to be economically producible, as of a given date, by application of development
projects to known accumulations. In addition, there must exist, or there must be a reasonable
expectation that there will exist, the legal right to produce or a revenue interest in the
production, installed means of delivering oil and gas or related substances to market, and all
permits and financing required to implement the project.
Reserves should not be assigned to adjacent reservoirs isolated by major, potentially sealing,
faults until those reservoirs are penetrated and evaluated as economically producible. Reserves
should not be assigned to areas that are clearly separated from a known accumulation by a
non-productive reservoir (i.e., absence of reservoir, structurally low reservoir, or negative
test results). Such areas may contain prospective resources (i.e., potentially recoverable
resources from undiscovered accumulations).
Proved Oil and Gas Reserves
Proved oil and gas reserves are those quantities of oil and gas, which, by analysis of
geoscience and engineering data, can be estimated with reasonable certainty to be economically
produciblefrom a given date forward, from known reservoirs, and under existing economic
conditions, operating methods, and government regulationsprior to the time at which contracts
providing the right to operate expire, unless evidence indicates that renewal is reasonably
certain, regardless of whether deterministic or probabilistic methods are used for the
estimation. The project to extract the hydrocarbons must have commenced or the operator must be
reasonably certain that it will commence the project within a reasonable time.
(i) The area of the reservoir considered as proved includes:
(A) The area identified by drilling and limited by fluid contacts, if any, and
(B) Adjacent undrilled portions of the reservoir that can, with reasonable certainty, be
judged to be continuous with it and to contain economically producible oil or gas on the basis
of available geoscience and engineering data.
(ii) In the absence of data on fluid contacts, proved quantities in a reservoir are limited by
the lowest known hydrocarbons (LKH) as seen in a well penetration unless geoscience,
engineering, or performance data and reliable technology establishes a lower contact with
reasonable certainty.
(iii) Where direct observation from well penetrations has defined a highest known oil (HKO)
elevation and the potential exists for an associated gas cap, proved oil reserves may be
assigned in the structurally higher portions of the reservoir only if geoscience, engineering,
or performance data and reliable technology establish the higher contact with reasonable
certainty.
RALPH E. DAVIS ASSOCIATES, INC.
Texas Registered Engineering Firm F-1529
Texas Registered Engineering Firm F-1529
(iv) Reserves which can be produced economically through application of improved recovery
techniques (including, but not limited to, fluid injection) are included in the proved
classification when:
(A) Successful testing by a pilot project in an area of the reservoir with properties no
more favorable than in the reservoir as a whole, the operation of an installed program in the
reservoir or an analogous reservoir, or other evidence using reliable technology establishes
the reasonable certainty of the engineering analysis on which the project or program was based;
and
(B) The project has been approved for development by all necessary parties and entities,
including governmental entities.
(v) Existing economic conditions include prices and costs at which economic producibility from
a reservoir is to be determined. The price shall be the average price during the 12-month
period prior to the ending date of the period covered by the report, determined as an
unweighted arithmetic average of the first-day-of-the-month price for each month within such
period, unless prices are defined by contractual arrangements, excluding escalations based upon
future conditions.
Reasonable certainty. If deterministic methods are used, reasonable certainty means a high
degree of confidence that the quantities will be recovered. If probabilistic methods are used,
there should be at least a 90% probability that the quantities actually recovered will equal or
exceed the estimate. A high degree of confidence exists if the quantity is much more likely to
be achieved than not, and, as changes due to increased availability of geoscience (geological,
geophysical, and geochemical), engineering, and economic data are made to estimated ultimate
recovery (EUR) with time, reasonably certain EUR is much more likely to increase or remain
constant than to decrease.
Reliable technology. Reliable technology is a grouping of one or more technologies (including
computational methods) that has been field tested and has been demonstrated to provide
reasonably certain results with consistency and repeatability in the formation being evaluated
or in an analogous formation.
Probable Reserves
Probable reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than
proved reserves but which, together with proved reserves, are as likely as not to be recovered.
(i) When deterministic methods are used, it is as likely as not that actual remaining
quantities recovered will exceed the sum of estimated proved plus probable reserves. When
probabilistic methods are used, there should be at least a 50% probability that the actual
quantities recovered will equal or exceed the proved plus probable reserves estimates.
(ii) Probable reserves may be assigned to areas of a reservoir adjacent to proved reserves
where data control or interpretations of available data are less certain, even if the
interpreted reservoir continuity of structure or productivity does not meet the reasonable
certainty criterion. Probable reserves may be assigned to areas that are structurally higher
than the proved area if these areas are in communication with the proved reservoir.
(iii) Probable reserves estimates also include potential incremental quantities associated
with a greater percentage recovery of the hydrocarbons in place than assumed for proved
reserves.
Possible Reserves
Possible reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered
than probable reserves.
(i) When deterministic methods are used, the total quantities ultimately recovered from a
project have a low probability of exceeding proved plus probable plus possible reserves. When
probabilistic methods are used, there should be at least a 10% probability that the total
quantities ultimately recovered will equal or exceed the proved plus probable plus possible
reserves estimates.
(ii) Possible reserves may be assigned to areas of a reservoir adjacent to probable
reserves where data control and interpretations of available data are progressively less
certain. Frequently, this will be in
areas where geoscience and engineering data are unable to define clearly the area and
vertical limits of commercial production from the reservoir by a defined project.
RALPH E. DAVIS ASSOCIATES, INC.
Texas Registered Engineering Firm F-1529
Texas Registered Engineering Firm F-1529
(iii) Possible reserves also include incremental quantities associated with a greater
percentage recovery of the hydrocarbons in place than the recovery quantities assumed for
probable reserves.
(iv) The proved plus probable and proved plus probable plus possible reserves estimates must be
based on reasonable alternative technical and commercial interpretations within the reservoir
or subject project that are clearly documented, including comparisons to results in successful
similar projects.
(v) Possible reserves may be assigned where geoscience and engineering data identify
directly adjacent portions of a reservoir within the same accumulation that may be separated
from proved areas by faults with displacement less than formation thickness or other geological
discontinuities and that have not been penetrated by a wellbore, and the registrant believes
that such adjacent portions are in communication with the known (proved) reservoir. Possible
reserves may be assigned to areas that are structurally higher or lower than the proved area if
these areas are in communication with the proved reservoir.
(vi) Pursuant to paragraph (a)(22)(iii) of this section, where direct observation has
defined a highest known oil (HKO) elevation and the potential exists for an associated gas cap,
proved oil reserves should be assigned in the structurally higher portions of the reservoir
above the HKO only if the higher contact can be established with reasonable certainty through
reliable technology. Portions of the reservoir that do not meet this reasonable certainty
criterion may be assigned as probable and possible oil or gas based on reservoir fluid
properties and pressure gradient interpretations.
Developed Oil and Gas Reserves
Developed oil and gas reserves are reserves of any category that can be expected to
be recovered:
(i) Through existing wells with existing equipment and operating methods or in which the
cost of the required equipment is relatively minor compared to the cost of a new well; and
(ii) Through installed extraction equipment and infrastructure operational at the time of
the reserves estimate if the extraction is by means not involving a well.
Undeveloped Oil and Gas Reserves
Undeveloped oil and gas reserves are reserves of any category that are expected to be
recovered from new wells on undrilled acreage, or from existing wells where a relatively major
expenditure is required for recompletion.
(i) Reserves on undrilled acreage shall be limited to those directly offsetting
development spacing areas that are reasonably certain of production when drilled, unless
evidence using reliable technology exists that establishes reasonable certainty of economic
producibility at greater distances.
(ii) Undrilled locations can be classified as having undeveloped reserves only if a
development plan has been adopted indicating that they are scheduled to be drilled within five
years, unless the specific circumstances, justify a longer time.
(iii) Under no circumstances shall estimates for undeveloped reserves be attributable to
any acreage for which an application of fluid injection or other improved recovery technique is
contemplated, unless such techniques have been proved effective by actual projects in the same
reservoir or an analogous reservoir, as defined in paragraph (a)(2) of this section, or by
other evidence using reliable technology establishing reasonable certainty.
Additional Definitions:
Deterministic Estimate
The method of estimating reserves or resources is called deterministic when a single
value for each parameter (from the geoscience, engineering, or economic data) in the reserves
calculation is used in the reserves estimation procedure.
Probabilistic Estimate
RALPH E. DAVIS ASSOCIATES, INC.
Texas Registered Engineering Firm F-1529
Texas Registered Engineering Firm F-1529
The method of estimation of reserves or resources is called probabilistic when the full
range of values that could reasonably occur for each unknown parameter (from the geoscience and
engineering data) is used to generate a full range of possible outcomes and their associated
probabilities of occurrence.
Reasonable Certainty
If deterministic methods are used, reasonable certainty means a high degree of confidence
that the quantities will be recovered. If probabilistic methods are used, there should be at
least a 90% probability that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the
estimate. A high degree of confidence exists if the quantity is much more likely to be achieved
than not, and, as changes due to increased availability of geoscience (geological, geophysical,
and geochemical), engineering, and economic data are made to estimated ultimate recovery (EUR)
with time, reasonably certain EUR is much more likely to increase or remain constant than to
decrease.
RALPH E. DAVIS ASSOCIATES, INC.
Texas Registered Engineering Firm F-1529
Texas Registered Engineering Firm F-1529