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10-K - FORM 10-K - PERMIAN BASIN ROYALTY TRUSTd80047e10vk.htm
EX-23.1 - EX-23.1 - PERMIAN BASIN ROYALTY TRUSTd80047exv23w1.htm
EX-32.1 - EX-32.1 - PERMIAN BASIN ROYALTY TRUSTd80047exv32w1.htm
EX-31.1 - EX-31.1 - PERMIAN BASIN ROYALTY TRUSTd80047exv31w1.htm
Exhibit 99.1
(GRAPHICS)
February 17, 2011
Mr. Ron Hooper
Permian Basin Royalty Trust
901 Main Street, 17th Floor
Dallas, Texas 75020-3714
         
 
  Re:   Evaluation Summary
 
      Permian Basin Royalty Trust Interests
 
      Proved Reserves
 
      As of December 31, 2010
 
       
 
      Pursuant to the Rules and Regulations of the Securities and Exchange Commission for Reporting Corporate Reserves and Future Net Revenue
Dear Mr. Hooper:
     As requested, we are submitting this report of the estimates of proved reserves and economics forecasts attributable to the Permian Basin Royalty Trust interests effective as of December 31, 2010, completed this day February 17, 2011 for the purpose of reporting corporate reserves and future net revenue. This report has been prepared pursuant to the rules, regulations and guidelines of the Securities and Exchange Commission, Item 1202 (a) (8) of Regulation S-K, for reporting corporate reserves and future net revenue. The proved reserves estimated in this report constitute 100 percent of the proved reserves owned by the Permian Basin Royalty Trust, all of which are located in the United States.
     Composite reserve estimates and economic forecasts for the proved reserves are summarized below:
                                                 
                                            Total  
                                            Proved  
                                    Total Proved     Developed  
            Total Proved     Total Proved Developed     Total Proved Undeveloped     Developed Producing     Non-producing  
Net Reserves
                                               
Oil/Condensate
    - Mbbl     6,178       6,160       18       5,839       321  
Gas
    - MMcf     22,460       22,422       38       21,601       821  
Revenue
                                               
Oil/Condensate
    - M$       463,897       462,566       1,331       438,511       24,055  
Gas
    - M$       159,521       159,277       244       153,914       5,363  
Severance Taxes
    - M$       25,545       25,481       64       24,275       1,206  
Operating Income (BFIT)
    - M$       597,873       596,362       1,511       568,150       28,212  
Discounted at 10%
    - M$       324,326       323,649       677       311,606       12,043  

 


 

Mr. Ron Hooper
Permian Basin Royalty Trust Interests
February 17, 2011
Page 2
     In accordance with the Securities and Exchange Commission guidelines, the future net cash flow, operating income (BFIT), has been discounted at an annual rate of 10% to determine its “present worth”. The discounted value, “present worth”, is indicative of the time value of money. The discounted value, “present worth”, shown above should not be construed to represent an estimate of the fair market value by Cawley, Gillespie & Associates, Inc.
     The Permian Basin Royalty Trust consists of the Waddell Ranch Properties located in Crane County, Texas, and the Texas Royalty Properties located in various counties in Texas. Detailed forecasts of reserves and economics are presented in this report for the Permian Basin Royalty Trust interests. For the Waddell Properties, the forecasts are organized into six major field sections and three minor field sections. Within the Waddell Ranch section of the report, Tables I, II, III, IV and V report total proved, proved developed, proved developed producing, proved developed non-producing, and proved undeveloped reserves, respectively, for the Waddell Ranch Properties. Total proved reserves and economic forecasts for each of the six major fields are listed in the tables labeled “I — field name”. Following these tables are Tables “II — field name” which present summaries of pertinent data including estimates of ultimate recovery, gross and net reserves, ownership, revenue, expenses, net income and discounted cash flow for the individual properties. The minor fields reserves follow the six major fields and are grouped according to reserve classification. The reserve groups include proved developed producing, proved developed non-producing and proved undeveloped with composite tables labeled Table I — PDP Minor, Table I — PDNP Minor and Table I — PUD Minor, respectively. Lease summaries for the three categories are found in Tables II — PDP Minor, II — PDNP Minor and II — PUD Minor. For the Texas Royalty Properties, Table I is a composite forecast of proved developed producing reserves. Table II is a summary of proved developed producing reserves showing estimates of ultimate recovery, gross and net reserves, ownership, revenue, expenses, net income and discounted cash flow for the individual properties. Table II groups royalty entities together primarily by county then by field. Individual lease forecasts are presented in the Arabic numbered tables following the Tables II in each section. Page 1 of Appendix II explains the type of data in these tables.
     The Trust has instructed Cawley, Gillespie & Associates, Inc. as to the method by which reserves and net revenue should be allocated to the Permian Basin Royalty Trust Interests in preparing reserve reports and economic forecasts for the Waddell Ranch Properties and the Texas Royalty Properties. A thorough explanation of the allocation formula is included in Appendix I.
     As to the assumptions, methods and procedures used in connection with the preparation of this report, prices were forecast in accordance with Securities and Exchange Commission rules and guidelines. The prices are determined as an unweighted arithmetic average of the first-day-of-the-month benchmark price for each month of 2010. The 12-month average benchmark Henry Hub spot gas price of $4.37 per MMBtu and 12-month average benchmark WTI Cushing spot oil price of $79.43 per barrel (source: Wall Street Journal) were used. The oil and gas prices were held constant throughout the life of the properties. The prices were adjusted for gravity, quality, heating value, shrinkage, transportation and marketing. For the Texas Royalty Properties, the gas and oil prices were adjusted using a +$4.467 per MCF and a -$4.26 per barrel differential, respectively. For the Waddell Ranch Properties, the gas and oil prices were adjusted using a +$2.161 per MCF and a -$4.43 per barrel differential, respectively. For the Texas Royalty Properties, the resulting oil and gas prices are $75.17 per barrel and $8.837 per MCF respectively. For the Waddell Ranch Properties, the resulting oil and gas prices are $75.00 per barrel, and $6.531 per MCF, respectively.

 


 

Mr. Ron Hooper
Permian Basin Royalty Trust Interests
February 17, 2011
Page 3
     For the Waddell Ranch Properties, operating expenses and capital costs were based on an analysis of data provided by Schlumberger IPM and ConocoPhillips (on behalf of Burlington Resources Oil & Gas Company LP). Operating expenses include direct lease operating expenses and administrative overhead. The operating expenses range from $1735 per well per month to $6721 per well per month. Investments include drilling costs, work-over costs and production equipment costs. No operating expense or capital cost data is available for the Texas Royalty Properties since they are purely a royalty interest only. Based on an analysis of the Permian Basin Royalty Trust Monthly reports, severance taxes were forecast as 3.9% and 5.0% of oil and gas revenue, respectively, for the Waddell Ranch Properties. For the Texas Royalty Properties, severance taxes were forecast as 3.47% and 6.04% of oil and gas revenue, respectively. The ad valorem taxes were forecast as 3.95% and 5.21% for the Waddell Ranch Properties and the Texas Royalty Properties, respectively. Neither expenses nor investments were escalated. The cost of plugging and the salvage value of equipment have not been considered.
     The reserves were estimated using the production performance, volumetric or analogy methods, or a combination of these methods. In each case, we used the method or combination of methods that we considered appropriate and necessary to establish the reserves and conclusions presented. Riverhill Energy Corporation supplied the royalty production data for the Texas Royalty Properties. For these properties, the proved producing reserves are forecast using the production performance, decline analysis method to an estimated final production rate equal to approximately one-tenth of the current production rate. The producing reserves for the Waddell Ranch Properties were estimated using the production performance or analogy methods or a combination of these methods. The non-producing reserves were estimated using the analogy or volumetric methods or a combination of these methods.
     The reserve classifications conform to the definitions and criteria of the Securities and Exchange Commission. The reserves and economics are predicated on the regulatory agency classifications, rules, policies, laws, taxes and royalties in effect on the effective date except as noted herein. The possible effects of changes in legislation or other Federal or State restrictive actions which could affect the reserves and economics have not been considered. We are not aware of any legislative changes or restrictive actions that may possibly impact the reserves or economics as presented. Possible environmental liability related to the properties has not been investigated nor considered. The assumptions, data, methods and procedures as described are appropriate for the purpose of this report. All reserve estimates represent our best judgment based on data available at the time of preparation and assumptions as to future economic and regulatory conditions. Due to the inherent uncertainties of reserves estimates, future production rates, commodity prices, costs and expenses, it should be realized that the reserves actually recovered, the revenue received and the actual cost incurred could be more or less than the estimated amounts.
     The reserve estimates were based on interpretations of factual data furnished by ConocoPhillips, Schlumberger IPM, Riverhill Energy Corporation and the Permian Basin Royalty Trust. Liquid and gas price information, cost and expense history, subject wells and ownership were supplied by one or more of the above and were accepted as furnished. To some extent, information from public records has been used to check and/or supplement these data. The basic engineering and geological data were utilized subject to third party reservations and qualifications. Nothing has come to our attention, however, that would cause us to believe that we are not justified in relying on such data. An on-site inspection of these properties has not been made nor have the wells been tested by Cawley, Gillespie & Associates, Inc. We have used all methods and procedures that we consider necessary under the circumstances to prepare this report.

 


 

Mr. Ron Hooper
Permian Basin Royalty Trust Interests
February 17, 2011
Page 4
     Cawley, Gillespie & Associates, Inc. is independent with respect to the Permian Basin Royalty Trust as provided in the Standards Pertaining to the Estimating and Auditing of Oil and Gas Reserve Information promulgated by the Society of Petroleum Engineers. Neither Cawley, Gillespie & Associates, Inc. nor any of its employees has any interest in the subject properties. Neither the employment to make this study nor the compensation is contingent on the results of our work or the future performance of the subject properties. Cawley, Gillespie and Associates, Inc. is a Texas registered engineering firm, F-693, of professional engineers and geologists serving the oil and gas industry for over fifty years. This report was prepared by, or under the supervision of, Kenneth J. Mueller, a Texas licensed professional engineer, 86132.
     
 
  Respectfully submitted,
 
  (SIGNATURE)
 
  CAWLEY, GILLESPIE & ASSOCIATES, INC.
 
  Texas Registered Engineering Firm F-693
 
   
 
  (SIGNATURE)
 
  Kenneth J. Mueller, PE 86132
 
  Vice President
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