Attached files

file filename
8-K - FORM 8-K - SOUTHERN Co GASform8_k.htm
EX-99.1 - EXHIBIT 99.1 - SOUTHERN Co GASexhibit_99-1.htm
 
Exhibit 99.2
 

4Q and Year-End 2010 Earnings Presentation
February 9, 2011
TM
 
 

 
2
Forward-Looking Statements &
Supplemental Information
Forward-Looking Statements
Certain expectations and projections regarding our future performance referenced in this presentation, in other reports or statements we file with the SEC or otherwise release to the
public, and on our website, are forward-looking statements. Senior officers and other employees may also make verbal statements to analysts, investors, regulators, the media and
others that are forward-looking. Forward-looking statements involve matters that are not historical facts, such as statements regarding our future operations, prospects, strategies,
financial condition, economic performance (including growth and earnings), industry conditions and demand for our products and services. Because these statements involve
anticipated events or conditions, forward-looking statements often include words such as "anticipate," "assume," "believe," "can," "could," "estimate," "expect," "forecast," "future,"
"goal," "indicate," "intend," "may," "outlook," "plan," "potential," "predict," "project," "seek," "should," "target," "would," or similar expressions. Forward-looking statements contained in
this presentation include, without limitation, statements regarding future earnings per share, dividend growth and EBIT contribution, our priorities for 2011, the proposed merger with
Nicor Inc. and our position as we enter 2011. Our expectations are not guarantees and are based on currently available competitive, financial and economic data along with our
operating plans. While we believe our expectations are reasonable in view of the currently available information, our expectations are subject to future events, risks and uncertainties,
and there are several factors - many beyond our control - that could cause results to differ significantly from our expectations.
Such events, risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, changes in price, supply and demand for natural gas and related products; the impact of changes in state and
federal legislation and regulation including changes related to climate change; actions taken by government agencies on rates and other matters; concentration of credit risk; utility
and energy industry consolidation; the impact on cost and timeliness of construction projects by government and other approvals, development project delays, adequacy of supply of
diversified vendors, unexpected change in project costs, including the cost of funds to finance these projects; the impact of acquisitions and divestitures; direct or indirect effects on
our business, financial condition or liquidity resulting from a change in our credit ratings or the credit ratings of our counterparties or competitors; interest rate fluctuations; financial
market conditions, including recent disruptions in the capital markets and lending environment and the current economic downturn; general economic conditions; uncertainties about
environmental issues and the related impact of such issues; the impact of changes in weather, including climate change, on the temperature-sensitive portions of our business; the
impact of natural disasters such as hurricanes on the supply and price of natural gas; acts of war or terrorism; and other factors which are provided in detail in our filings with the
Securities and Exchange Commission. Forward-looking statements are only as of the date they are made, and we do not undertake to update these statements to reflect subsequent
changes.
Supplemental Information
Company management evaluates segment financial performance based on earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT), which includes the effects of corporate expense allocations and
on operating margin. EBIT is a non-GAAP (accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America) financial measure that includes operating income, other income
and expenses. Items that are not included in EBIT are financing costs, including debt and interest expense and income taxes. The company evaluates each of these items on a
consolidated level and believes EBIT is a useful measurement of our performance because it provides information that can be used to evaluate the effectiveness of our businesses
from an operational perspective, exclusive of the costs to finance those activities and exclusive of income taxes, neither of which is directly relevant to the efficiency of those
operations. Operating margin is a non-GAAP measure calculated as operating revenues minus cost of gas, excluding operation and maintenance expense, depreciation and
amortization, and taxes other than income taxes. These items are included in the company's calculation of operating income. The company believes operating margin is a better
indicator than operating revenues of the contribution resulting from customer growth, since cost of gas is generally passed directly through to customers. EBIT and operating margin
should not be considered as alternatives to, or more meaningful indicators of, the company's operating performance than operating income or net income attributable to AGL
Resources Inc. as determined in accordance with GAAP. In addition, the company's EBIT and operating margin may not be comparable to similarly titled measures of another
company. We also present certain non-GAAP financial measures excluding the effects of our proposed merger with Nicor. Because we complete material mergers and acquisitions
only occasionally, we believe excluding these effects from certain measures is useful because they allow investors to more easily evaluate and compare the performance of the
Company's core businesses from period to period. Reconciliations of non-GAAP financial measures referenced in this presentation are available on the company’s Web site at
www.aglresources.com
 
 

 
4Q and 2010 Highlights
 Record GAAP EPS of $3.00 per diluted
 share for 2010
  Adjusted EPS of $3.05, excluding approximately
 $4 million in after-tax costs related to Nicor
 merger
  5% increase in operating income
  Solid results across business segments,
 excluding sale of AGL Networks
  Effective expense management
 4Q10 GAAP EPS of $0.81 per diluted
 share
  Adjusted diluted EPS of $0.86, excluding Nicor
 merger-related costs
  Cold weather in 4Q10 drove solid results
 Dividend increase of 2% in 2010
  Board of Directors approved $0.04 increase for
 2011
 Solid balance sheet
3
Note: Please review the AGL Resources 10-K as filed with the SEC on 2/9/11 for detailed information. EBIT, Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted EPS are non-
GAAP measures. Please see the appendix to this presentation or visit the investor relations section of www.aglresources.com for a reconciliation to GAAP.
(1) Adjusted net income and adjusted EPS exclude Nicor-related merger costs of approximately $4 million, net of tax.
 
 

 
4
Consistent EPS and Dividend Growth
Diluted EPS Growth
Dividend Growth
2011 EPS Guidance:
$3.10-$3.20 per diluted share
Dividend increase of $0.04 approved by
Board of Directors for 2011
(1)$3.00 diluted GAAP EPS; $3.05 adjusted, excluding Nicor merger costs. Please see the appendix to this presentation or visit the investor relations section of
 www.aglresources.com for a reconciliation to GAAP.
(2) Estimate excludes Nicor-related merger costs.
$3.10-
$3.20
 
 

 
5
5
EBIT by Operating Segment
1%
69%
10%
20%
Historical EBIT by Operating Segment
2010 EBIT Contribution
NOTE: EBIT is a non-GAAP measure. Please see the appendix to this presentation or the investor relations section of www.aglresources.com for a reconciliation to GAAP.
(1) AGL Resources sold AGL Networks in July 2010.
 
 

 
 2010 EBIT increased 9%; key drivers
 include:
  Magnolia and Hampton Roads Crossing pipelines
 added $27 million
  New rates and regulatory infrastructure programs
 at Atlanta Gas Light and Elizabethtown Gas
 added $15 million
  Effective O&M expense management
 4Q10 EBIT up 12% with similar drivers
 as full year
 2010 cap ex of $357 million vs. $354
 million in 2009
 Customer count stable
  2.263 million customers in 2010 vs.
 2.266 million in 2009
 Virginia Natural Gas rate case filed
 2/8/11
6
6
Distribution
NOTE: COG = Cost of Gas
 
 

 
7
7
Retail
 2010 EBIT down 2%; key drivers include:
  Migration of additional customers to lower-margin
 fixed price plans
  Higher expenses due to marketing and legal costs
  Offset by increased customer usage due to colder
 weather in 1Q and 4Q
 Net income attributable to AGL Resources
 up by $11 million vs. 2009 due to
 increased stake in SouthStar
 4Q10 EBIT down 5% with similar drivers as
 full year
 Market share and customer count:
  Georgia market share remains 33%
  Georgia customer count 496K in 2010 vs. 504K in
 2009
 Continue to explore opportunities to
 expand service offerings and customer
 base across multiple states
 
 

 
8
8
Wholesale
 Annual EBIT up 4%
  Unusually cold weather in 1Q and 4Q created asset
 optimization opportunities for Sequent
  Effective expense management
  Mark-to-market (MTM) gains on hedges in 2010 of $30
 million; $14 million lower than MTM gains in 2009
 4Q10 EBIT $11 million
  Cold December weather allowed Sequent to generate
 approximately 25% of its full year 2010 operating margin
 during 4Q
  $3 million in MTM losses in 4Q10 vs. $9 million in MTM
 gains in 4Q09 primary contributor to y/y decline
 Sequent storage rollout schedule for 2011
 strong with $16 million in economic value
 locked-in
  Five year average of $15 million locked-in at start of year
  Results and timing can change based on market
 conditions
 Increasing focus on fixed fee services
  Building sources of operating margin less impacted by
 volatility in the marketplace
 
 

 
Energy Investments
 2010 EBIT of $4 million
  Reduced EBIT primarily impacted by sale of AGL
 Networks; AGL Networks EBIT contribution in 2009
 $8 million vs. $3 million in 2010
 Golden Triangle Storage Cavern 1
 operational
  2 Bcf contracted
  Remaining 4 Bcf expected to be available in April
  Storage values remain depressed due to high supply
 of natural gas and reduced demand
 Golden Triangle Storage Cavern 2
 construction ongoing
  Expect completion early 2012
  Capex for 2011 expected to be approximately $37
 million
  Construction costs for the entire GTS project
 (Caverns 1 and 2) are estimated to be $325 million
 
 

 
Balance Sheet Highlights
10
 Solid balance sheet with significant opportunity
 to fund growth capital requirements
  $1.2 billion refinanced in 2010
  $1.05 billion bridge facility in place related to Nicor merger
  Good access to capital markets
  Company credit metrics support solid, investment-grade
 ratings
 $2.7 billion debt outstanding
  Long-term debt $1.67 billion
  Short-term debt of $732 million
  $300 million of senior notes with January 2011 expiration
 included in current liabilities
  Debt to Cap Ratio: 60%
 2010 total capital expenditures $510 million
  70% at distribution operating companies
  25% at energy investments
  5% at retail, wholesale and corporate combined
 2011 cap ex estimated at $440 million
 
 

 
11
11
2011 Guidance
 AGL Resources expects diluted EPS to be in the range of $3.10-$3.20 for
 2011, excluding mark-to-market impacts and impacts from Nicor merger-
 related costs
 Key assumptions include:
  Normal weather
  Average volatility in natural gas prices
  Successful implementation of new regulatory infrastructure and rate programs
  Immaterial impact from Virginia Natural Gas rate case
  Average diluted shares outstanding of 78.5 million
  Effective tax rate of 37.8%
 
 

 
12
12
2010 Operational Highlights
 Maintained focus on safety as top priority
  Top quartile of American Gas Association’s occupational safety ratings for 4th straight
 year
 Rate cases completed at Atlanta Gas Light and Chattanooga Gas
  Overall favorable annual impact from AGL case: $27 million
  Overall favorable annual impact from Chattanooga case: $3 million
 Retail and wholesale businesses performed well, despite extraordinarily low
 natural gas price volatility and storage spreads
  SouthStar maintained ~33% market share in Georgia
  Sequent daily physical gas sales increased 54% to 4.57 Bcf/day in 2010
 Golden Triangle Storage Cavern 1 operational with 2 Bcf under contract
 Clean energy ventures underway
  Entered into joint-venture with El Paso in July 2010 to distribute liquefied natural gas
 across the southeastern United States to the heavy-duty transportation market
 
 

 
13
13
2011 Priorities
 Close Nicor transaction in second half of 2011
 Develop and implement integration plan
 Continue safe and efficient operations at our distribution businesses
 Complete rate case at Virginia Natural Gas
  Seeking $25 million increase; mitigation plan proposes rates to be phased in over three years
  VNG customers have not seen an increase in their approved base rates since 1996
 Continue to pursue responsible growth opportunities in retail and wholesale
 businesses
M&A
Distribution
Retail &
Wholesale
Energy
Investments
Policy
Expense &
Balance Sheet
Discipline
 Increase contracted capacity at Golden Triangle Storage
 Effectively control expenses and focus on capital discipline in each of our
 business segments
 Maintain strong balance sheet and liquidity profile
 Continue to actively manage issues related to energy and environmental
 policy and regulation
 
 

 
14
14
Nicor Merger Update
 Regulatory approval process underway
  Merger approval request filed with Illinois Commerce Commission 1/18/11; requesting
 expedited approval by 10/1/11
  Registration statement filed with SEC 2/4/11
 Transition committee established and active
 Continue to anticipate closing in 2H11
Dec 2010
Q1 2011
Q2 2011
Q3 2011
Q4 2011
Transaction
Announced
Joint ICC Approval
Request Filed 1/18/11
Secure Regulatory Approvals
AGL Resources and
Nicor Shareholder
Meetings
Develop Transition Implementation Plans
Close Transaction
Long
-
Term Financing for Cash
Consideration
S-4 Registration
Statement Filed 2/4/11
 
 

 
Well-Positioned for Strong 2011
Distribution service territory
Retail service territory
Non-Utility storage facilities
Wholesale headquarters
Corporate headquarters
 Economic recovery and
 environmental benefits of
 domestic resource make natural
 gas an attractive energy choice
 Diversified business with
 distribution, retail, wholesale and
 storage assets well-positioned to
 take advantage of long-term
 trends
 2011 transformational year for
 AGL Resources
  Nicor transaction would effectively
 double size of company
  Expected to be largest LDC in U.S.
 by number of customers
  Diversifies both regulated and non-
 utility businesses
 
 

 
Additional Resources
16
Company resources
 www.aglresources.com
 Sarah Stashak
 Director, Investor Relations
 404-584-4577
 sstashak@aglresources.com
Industry resources
 www.aga.org
 www.eia.doe.gov
 
 

 
Appendix & GAAP Reconciliations
 
 

 
Detailed Utility Profile
18
State
Rate
Base
(mm)
% of
Total
Authorized
Return on
Rate Base
Est. 2010
Return on
Rate Base
Authorized
Return on
Equity
Est. 2011
Return on
Equity
Customers
(mm)
% of
Total
Regulatory Attributes
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Georgia
$1,312
52%
8.10%
7.26%
10.75%
9.10%
1.5
68%
Decoupling, Regulatory
Infrastructure Program Rates,
M&A Synergy Sharing
New Jersey
435
17%
7.64%
7.87%
10.30%
10.76%
0.3
12%
Weather Normalization,
Regulatory Infrastructure
Program Rates
Virginia
502
20%
9.24%
8.24%
10.90%
9.62%
0.3
12%
Decoupling, Weather
Normalization
Florida
164
7%
7.36%
5.04%
11.25%
6.22%
0.1
5%
Negotiated Rates Over
5-yr Period
Tennessee
91
4%
7.41%
8.98%
10.05%
13.45%
0.1
3%
Revenue Normalization
Total
$ 2,504
100%
NA
 NA
 NA
 NA
2.3
100%
 
Note: Please review the AGL Resources 10-K as filed with the SEC on 2/9/11 for detailed information.
 
 

 
19
The following table set forth a reconciliation of AGL Resources’ operating margin to operating income and earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) to earnings
before income taxes to net income to net income attributable to AGL - as reported and net income attributable to AGL - as adjusted, for the three months ended
December 31, 2010 and 2009.
GAAP Reconciliation
 
 

 
20
GAAP Reconciliation
The following table set forth a reconciliation of AGL Resources’ operating margin to operating income and earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) to earnings
before income taxes to net income to net income attributable to AGL - as reported and net income attributable to AGL - as adjusted, for the twelve months
ended December 31, 2010 and 2009.
 
 

 
21
GAAP Reconciliation
The following tables set forth a reconciliation of AGL Resources’ Statement of Income to earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) by segment for the
years ended December 31, 2010 and 2009 are shown in the following tables.
 
 

 
GAAP Reconciliation
 
 

 
23
GAAP Reconciliation
The following tables set forth a reconciliation of AGL Resources’ Basic and Diluted earnings per share - as reported (GAAP) to Basic and Diluted earnings
per share - as adjusted (Non-GAAP; excluding Nicor merger costs), for the indicated periods.
 
 

 
24
GAAP Reconciliation
A reconciliation of operating margin and EBIT by segment is available in our quarterly reports (Form 10-Q) and annual reports (Form 10-K) filed with the
Securities and Exchange Commission.
Our management evaluates segment financial performance based on EBIT, which includes the effects of corporate expense allocations. EBIT is a non-
GAAP (accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America) financial measure. Items that are not included in EBIT are financing
costs, including debt and interest expense and income taxes. We evaluate each of these items on a consolidated level and believe EBIT is a useful
measurement of our performance because it provides information that can be used to evaluate the effectiveness of our businesses from an operational
perspective, exclusive of the costs to finance those activities and exclusive of income taxes, neither of which is directly relevant to the efficiency of those
operations.
We also use EBIT internally to measure performance against budget and in reports for management and the Board of Directors. Projections of forward-
looking EBIT are used in our internal budgeting process, and those projections are used in providing forward-looking business segment EBIT projections
to investors. We are unable to reconcile our forward-looking EBIT business segment guidance to GAAP net income, because we do not predict the
future impact of unusual items and mark-to-market gains or losses on energy contracts. The impact of these items could be material to our operating
results reported in accordance with GAAP.
Operating margin is a non-GAAP measure calculated as revenues minus cost of gas, excluding operation and maintenance expense, depreciation and
amortization, taxes other than income taxes, and the gain or loss on the sale of our assets. These items are included in our calculation of operating
income. We believe operating margin is a better indicator than operating revenues of the contribution resulting from customer growth, since cost of gas is
generally passed directly through to customers.
EBIT and operating margin should not be considered as alternatives to, or more meaningful indicators of, our operating performance than operating
income or net income, as determined in accordance with GAAP. In addition, our EBIT or operating margin may not be comparable to similarly titled
measures of another company.
Net income attributable to AGL Resources, as adjusted and Basic and Diluted earnings per share, as adjusted are non-GAAP measures and exclude
transaction costs related to the Nicor Merger. We believe these financial measures are useful to investors because they provide an alternative method
for assessing the Company’s operating results in a manner that is focused on the performance of the Company’s ongoing operations. The presentation
of these financial measures is not meant to be a substitute for financial measures prepared in accordance with GAAP.