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EX-99.2 - EXHIBIT 99.2 - ASSURED GUARANTY LTDa2201094zex-99_2.htm
EX-99.4 - EXHIBIT 99.4 - ASSURED GUARANTY LTDa2201094zex-99_4.htm

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Exhibit 99.1

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Assured Guaranty Corp.
September 30, 2010
Financial Supplement

Table of Contents   Page
 

Selected Financial Highlights

  1
 

Consolidated Statements of Operations

  2
 

Consolidated Balance Sheets

  3
 

Claims Paying Resources

  4
 

New Business Production

  5
 

Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written

  6
 

Underwriting Gain (Loss)

  7
 

Investment Portfolio

  8
 

Estimated Net Exposure Amortization and Estimated Future Net Premium and Credit Derivative Revenues

  9
 

Present Value of Financial Guaranty Net Insurance Losses to be Expensed

  10
 

Financial Guaranty Profile

  11-13
 

Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile

  14
 

Consolidated U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Profile

  15
 

Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Profile

  16-17
 

Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Commercial Real Estate Profile

  18
 

Direct U.S. Consumer Receivables Profile

  19
 

Direct Credit Derivative Net Par Outstanding Profile

  20
 

Below Investment Grade Exposures

  21-23
 

Largest Exposures by Sector

  24-27
 

Loss and LAE Reserves by Segment/Type

  28
 

Financial Guaranty Insurance and Credit Derivatives U.S. RMBS Representations and Warranties Benefit Development

  29
 

Financial Guaranty Direct and Reinsurance Segment Losses Incurred and Paid

  30
 

Summary of Statutory Financial and Statistical Data

  31
 

Glossary

  32-33
 

Endnotes Related to Non-GAAP Financial Measures

  34-35

This supplement should be read in conjunction with documents filed by Assured Guaranty Ltd. (together with its subsidiaries, "Assured Guaranty") with the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC"), including Assured Guaranty's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2009 and its Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q for periods ended March 31, 2010, June 30, 2010 and September 30, 2010. For the purposes of this financial supplement, all references to the "Company" shall mean AGC.

Some amounts in this Financial Supplement may not add due to rounding.

 
    Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements:    

 

 

Any forward-looking statements made in this supplement reflect the current views of Assured Guaranty with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements. Assured Guaranty's forward looking statements could be affected by many events. These events include (1) rating agency action, including a ratings downgrade or change in outlook of Assured Guaranty Ltd. or its affiliates and/or of transactions insured by Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s subsidiaries, both of which have occurred in the past; (2) developments in the world's financial and capital markets that adversely affect issuers' payment rates, Assured Guaranty's loss experience, its ability to cede exposure to reinsurers, its access to capital, its unrealized (losses) gains on derivative financial instruments or its investment returns; (3) changes in the world's credit markets, segments thereof or general economic conditions; (4) more severe or frequent losses implicating the adequacy of Assured Guaranty's expected loss estimates; (5) the impact of market volatility on the mark-to-market of Assured Guaranty's contracts written in credit default swap form; (6) reduction in the amount of reinsurance portfolio opportunities available to Assured Guaranty; (7) deterioration in the financial condition of our reinsurers, the amount and timing of reinsurance recoverable actually received and the risk that reinsurers may dispute amount owed to us under our reinsurance agreements; (8) the possibility that Assured Guaranty will not realize insurance loss recoveries or damages expected from originators, sellers, sponsors, underwriters or servicers of residential mortgage-backed securities transactions; (9) decreased demand or increased competition; (10) changes in applicable accounting policies or practices; (11) changes in applicable laws or regulations, including insurance and tax laws; (12) other governmental actions; (13) difficulties with the execution of Assured Guaranty's business strategy; (14) contract cancellations; (15) Assured Guaranty's dependence on customers; (16) loss of key personnel; (17) adverse technological developments; (18) the effects of mergers, acquisitions and divestitures; (19) natural or man-made catastrophes; (20) other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time; (21) management's response to these factors; and (22) other risk factors identified in Assured Guaranty's filings with the SEC. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward looking statements, which speak only as of the dates on which they are made. Assured Guaranty undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by law.

 

 
 


Assured Guaranty Corp.
Selected Financial Highlights
(dollars in millions)

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,
   
  Nine Months Ended
September 30,
   
 
 
  % Change
versus
3Q-09
  % Change
versus
YTD 2009
 
 
  2010   2009   2010   2009  

Operating income reconciliation:

                                     
 

Operating income (loss) 1

    $ 12.5     $ (123.8 )   NM     $ 3.8     $ (92.6 )   NM  
 

Plus after-tax adjustments:

                                     
   

Realized gains (losses) on investments

    (0.1 )   0.4     NM     1.5     4.0     (63)%  
   

Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives

    (121.4 )   37.0     NM     45.3     (106.5 )   NM  
   

Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities

    (1.4 )   (0.8 )   75%     3.3     (27.4 )   NM  
   

Foreign exchange gains (losses) on revaluation of premiums receivable

    1.4     2.4     (42)%     (1.9 )   2.4     NM  
   

Effect of consolidating variable interest entities ("VIEs") 2

    15.7     -         NM     17.3     -         NM  
   

Goodwill impairment

    -         (85.4 )   (100)%     -         (85.4 )   (100)%  
                               
 

Net income (loss)

    $ (93.3 )   $ (170.2 )   (45)%     $ 69.3     $ (305.5 )   NM  
                               

Return on equity ("ROE") calculations 3:

                                     
 

ROE, excluding unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio

    (30.2)%     (81.8)%           7.7%     (45.3)%        
 

Operating ROE

    3.3%     (42.4)%           0.3%     (10.8)%        

Other information

                                     
 

Gross par written

    $ 1,221     $ 8,032     (85)%     $ 5,852     $ 40,142     (85)%  

 

 
  As of    
 
 
  September 30,
2010
  December 31,
2009
  % Change
versus
12/31/2009
 

Reconciliation of shareholder's equity to adjusted book value:

                   
 

Shareholder's equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Corp.

    $ 1,269.9     $ 1,226.2     4%  
 

Less after-tax adjustments:

                   
   

Effect of consolidating VIEs 2

    (22.6 )   -         NM  
   

Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives

    (335.4 )   (380.7 )   (12)%  
   

Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities

    5.9     2.6     127%  
   

Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio excluding foreign exchange effect

    81.5     27.6     195%  
                 
 

Operating shareholder's equity

    $ 1,540.5     $ 1,576.7     (2)%  
 

After-tax adjustments

                   
   

Less: Deferred acquisition costs

    34.4     29.3     17%  
   

Plus: Net present value of estimated net future credit derivative revenue

    219.2     244.8     (10)%  
   

Plus: Net unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed

    626.0     651.3     (4)%  
                 
 

Adjusted book value

    $ 2,351.3     $ 2,443.5     (4)%  
                 

Other information

                   
 

Net debt service outstanding

    $ 177,585     $ 186,606     (5)%  
 

Net par outstanding

    123,464     130,468     (5)%  
 

Claims paying resources 4

    3,586     3,759     (5)%  

1. The Company revised its definition of operating income in 2010 to exclude foreign exchange revaluation gains and losses on premiums receivable. Prior periods are presented on a basis consistent with the current definition.

2. Effective January 1, 2010, GAAP accounting required the consolidation of VIEs where the Company is determined to be the control party through rights under our financial guaranty insurance contracts. For those VIEs that the Company consolidates, it records all of the activities of the VIE and eliminates the related insurance accounting. Operating income and operating shareholder's equity reverse the financial effect of consolidating these entities and accounts for them as financial guaranty insurance contracts in order to present the Company's insured obligations on a consistent basis.

3. ROE calculations represent annualized returns.

4. See page 4.

Note: Please refer to the endnotes for an explanation of the non-GAAP financial measures.

NM = Not meaningful

Page 1



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Consolidated Statements of Operations
(dollars in millions)

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,
   
  Nine Months Ended
September 30,
   
 
 
  % Change
versus
3Q-09
  % Change
versus
YTD 2009
 
 
  2010   2009   2010   2009  

Revenues:

                                     
 

Net earned premiums

    $ 27.7     $ 13.4     107%     $ 82.3     $ 107.8     (24)%  
 

Net investment income

    19.8     19.3     3%     63.2     58.3     8%  
 

Net realized investment gains (losses)

    (0.1 )   0.6     NM     2.3     6.2     (63)%  
 

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives:

                                     
   

Credit derivative revenues

    21.2     22.4     (5)%     62.8     67.4     (7)%  
   

Losses incurred on credit derivatives

    (8.9 )   (141.9 )   (94)%     (73.1 )   (169.2 )   (57)%  
   

Net unrealized gain (loss), excluding losses incurred

    (186.8 )   56.8     NM     69.7     (163.9 )   NM  
                               
   

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives

    (174.5 )   (62.7 )   178%     59.4     (265.7 )   NM  
 

Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities

    (2.2 )   (1.2 )   83%     5.1     (42.2 )   NM  
 

Financial guaranty VIEs' revenues

    16.9     -         NM     71.4     -         NM  
 

Other income

    0.8     3.4     (76)%     (4.3 )   4.6     NM  
                               
   

Total revenues

    (111.6 )   (27.2 )   310%     279.4     (131.0 )   NM  

Expenses:

                                     
 

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

    18.0     77.8     (77)%     56.2     145.6     (61)%  
 

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    4.2     0.1     NM     9.9     2.9     241%  
 

Interest expense

    3.8     -         NM     11.3              NM  
 

Goodwill impairment

    -         85.4     (100)%     -         85.4     (100)%  
 

Financial guaranty VIEs' expenses

    (7.4 )   -         NM     44.0     -         NM  
 

Other operating expenses

    18.8     18.1     4%     65.5     66.9     (2)%  
                               
   

Total expenses

    37.4     181.4     (79)%     186.9     300.8     (38)%  
                               
 

Income (loss) before income taxes

    (149.0 )   (208.6 )   (29)%     92.5     (431.8 )   NM  
 

Provision (benefit) for income taxes

    (55.7 )   (38.4 )   45%     23.2     (126.3 )   NM  
                               
 

Net income (loss)

    $ (93.3 )   $ (170.2 )   (45)%     $ 69.3     $ (305.5 )   NM  
 

Less after-tax adjustments:

                                     
   

Realized gains (losses) on investments

    (0.1 )   0.4     NM     1.5     4.0     (63)%  
   

Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives

    (121.4 )   37.0     NM     45.3     (106.5 )   NM  
   

Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities

    (1.4 )   (0.8 )   75%     3.3     (27.4 )   NM  
   

Foreign exchange gains (losses) on revaluation of premiums receivable

    1.4     2.4     (42)%     (1.9 )   2.4     NM  
   

Effect of consolidating VIEs1

    15.7     -         NM     17.3     -         NM  
   

Goodwill impairment

    -         (85.4 )   (100)%     -         (85.4 )   (100)%  
                               
 

Operating income (loss)

    $ 12.5     $ (123.8 )   NM     $ 3.8     $ (92.6 )   NM  
                               
 

Effect of refundings and accelerations, net

                                     
 

Earned premiums from refundings and accelerations, net

    $ 0.6     $ 3.2     (81)%     $ 4.1     $ 47.4     (91)%  
 

Operating income effect

    $ 0.3     $ 1.2     (75)%     $ 2.1     $ 31.5     (93)%  

1. Effective January 1, 2010, GAAP accounting required the consolidation of VIEs where the Company is determined to be the control party through rights under our financial guaranty insurance contracts. For those VIEs that the Company consolidates, it records all of the activities of the VIE and eliminates the related insurance accounting. Operating income reverses the financial effect of consolidating these entities and accounts for them as financial guaranty insurance contracts in order to present the Company's insured obligations on a consistent basis.

Note: Please refer to the endnotes for an explanation of the non-GAAP financial measures.

NM = Not meaningful

Page 2



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Consolidated Balance Sheets
(in millions)

 
  As of  
 
  September 30,
2010
  December 31,
2009
 

Assets

             
 

Investment portfolio:

             
   

Fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale, at fair value

    $ 2,589.0     $ 2,045.2  
   

Short-term investments, at fair value

    269.7     802.6  
           
 

Total investment portfolio

    2,858.7     2,847.8  
 

Cash

   
11.1
   
2.5
 
 

Premiums receivable, net of ceding commissions payable

    329.8     351.4  
 

Ceded unearned premium reserve

    417.1     435.3  
 

Deferred acquisition costs

    52.9     45.2  
 

Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses

    62.1     50.7  
 

Credit derivative assets

    277.1     252.0  
 

Committed capital securities, at fair value

    9.1     4.0  
 

Deferred tax asset, net

    245.1     241.8  
 

Salvage and subrogation recoverable

    218.2     169.9  
 

Financial guaranty VIE assets 1

    404.4     -      
 

Other assets

    99.4     99.2  
           

Total assets

    $ 4,985.0     $ 4,499.8  
           

Liabilities and shareholder's equity

             

Liabilities

             
 

Unearned premium reserve

    $ 1,398.8     $ 1,451.6  
 

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserve

    210.7     191.2  
 

Note payable to affiliate

    300.0     300.0  
 

Credit derivative liabilities

    1,078.0     1,076.7  
 

Reinsurance balances payable, net

    150.8     166.0  
 

Financial guaranty VIE liabilities with recourse 1

    414.6     -      
 

Financial guaranty VIE liabilities without recourse 1

    12.1     -      
 

Other liabilities

    150.1     88.1  
           

Total liabilities

    3,715.1     3,273.6  

Shareholder's equity

             
 

Common stock

    15.0     15.0  
 

Additional paid-in capital

    1,037.1     1,037.1  
 

Retained earnings 1

    143.1     153.7  
 

Accumulated other comprehensive income

    74.7     20.4  
           

Total shareholder's equity

    1,269.9     1,226.2  
           

Total liabilities and shareholder's equity

    $ 4,985.0     $ 4,499.8  
           

1. Effective January 1, 2010, GAAP accounting required the consolidation of VIEs where the Company is determined to be the control party through rights under our financial guaranty insurance contracts.

Page 3



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Claims Paying Resources
(dollars in millions)

 
  As of  
 
  September 30, 2010   December 31, 2009  

Claims paying resources

             

Policyholders' surplus

    $ 973     $ 1,224  

Contingency reserve

    666     556  
           
 

Qualified statutory capital

    1,639     1,780  

Unearned premium reserve

    882     887  

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserve 2

    295     280  
           
 

Total policyholders' surplus and reserves

    2,816     2,947  

Present value of installment premium 3

    570     612  

Standby line of credit/stop loss

    200     200  
           
 

Total claims paying resources

    $ 3,586     $ 3,759  
           

Net par outstanding 1

    $ 123,464     $ 130,468  

Net debt service outstanding 1

    177,585     186,606  

Ratios:

             
 

Net par outstanding to qualified statutory capital

    75:1     73:1  
 

Capital ratio 4

    108:1     105:1  
 

Financial resources ratio 5

    50:1     50:1  

1. Net par outstanding and net debt service outstanding are presented on a statutory basis. Under statutory accounting, such amounts would be reduced both when an outstanding issue is legally defeased (i.e., the rights and interests of bondholders and their lien on pledged revenues or other security are terminated in accordance with bond documentation) and when such issue is economically defeased (i.e., bond documentation does not provide a procedure for termination of such rights, interests and lien other than through payment of all outstanding debt in full; funds are deposited in an escrow account for future payment of the debt; and if the funds deposited prove insufficient to pay the outstanding debt in full, the issuer continues to be legally obligated to make payment on such debt).

2. Reserves as of September 30, 2010 and December 31, 2009 are reduced by approximately $0.3 billion and $0.3 billion, respectively, for benefit related to representation and warranty recoverables.

3. Includes financial guaranty insurance and credit derivatives.

4. The capital ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by qualified statutory capital.

5. The financial resources ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by total claims paying resources.

Page 4



Assured Guaranty Corp.
New Business Production
(in millions)

 
  Three Month Ended
September 30,
  Nine Months Ended
September 30,
 
 
  2010   2009   2010   2009  

Consolidated new business production analysis:

                         
 

Present value of new business production ("PVP")

                         
   

Public finance - U.S.

                         
     

Primary markets

    $ 9.8     $ 138.0     $ 30.1     $ 445.0  
     

Secondary markets

    0.7     3.9     10.1     42.2  
   

Public finance - non-U.S.

                         
     

Primary markets

    -         -         -         1.6  
     

Secondary markets

    -         -         0.7     0.2  
   

Structured finance - U.S.

    2.0     1.9     11.2     16.6  
   

Structured finance - non-U.S.

    -         -         -         -      
                   
 

Total PVP

    12.5     143.8     52.1     505.6  
   

Less: PVP of credit derivatives

    -         -         -         2.4  
                   
 

PVP of financial guaranty insurance

    12.5     143.8     52.1     503.2  
   

Less: Financial guaranty installment premium PVP

    2.3     (0.2 )   12.0     33.3  
                   
 

Total: Financial guaranty upfront gross written premiums ("GWP")

    10.2     144.0     40.1     469.9  
   

Plus: Financial guaranty installment adjustment1

    0.2     (14.3 )   22.4     35.8  
                   
 

Total financial guaranty GWP

    10.4     129.7     62.5     505.7  
 

Plus: Other segment GWP

    -         -         -         -      
                   
 

Total GWP

    $ 10.4     $ 129.7     $ 62.5     $ 505.7  
                   
 

Consolidated financial guaranty gross par written:

                         
 

Public finance - U.S.

                         
     

Primary markets

    $ 981     $ 7,286     $ 2,925     $ 37,978  
     

Secondary markets

    40     146     293     874  
 

Public finance - non-U.S.

                         
     

Primary markets

    -         -         -         226  
     

Secondary markets

    -         -         34     90  
 

Structured finance - U.S.

    200     600     2,600     974  
 

Structured finance - non-U.S.

    -         -         -         -      
                   
   

Total

    $ 1,221     $ 8,032     $ 5,852     $ 40,142  
                   

1. Includes the difference in management estimates for the discount rate applied to future installments compared to the discount rate used for the new financial guaranty insurance accounting standard, as well as the changes in estimated term for future installments.

Note: Please refer to the endnotes for an explanation of the non-GAAP financial measures.

Page 5



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written
(in millions)

Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written by Asset Type

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30, 2010
  Nine Months Ended
September 30, 2010
 
 
  Gross Par
Written
  Avg. Rating 1   Gross Par
Written
  Avg. Rating 1  

Sector:

                         

U.S. Public Finance

                         
 

General obligation

    $ 567     A     $ 2,072     A  
 

Higher education

    217     A     301     A  
 

Municipal utilities

    199     A-     409     A-  
 

Tax backed

    33     A     263     A  
 

Transportation

    5     A     162     A  
 

Healthcare

    -           11     A  
                       
   

Total U.S. public finance

    1,021     A     3,218     A  

Non-U.S. Public Finance:

                         
 

Infrastructure finance

    -     -     34     BBB  
                       
   

Total non-U.S. public finance

    -     -     34     BBB  
                       

Total public finance

    $ 1,021     A     $ 3,252     A  
                       

U.S. Structured Finance

                         

Consumer receivables

    $ 200     A     $ 1,600     AAA  

Other Structured finance

    -           1,000     AAA  
                       
   

Total U.S. structured finance

    200     A     2,600     AAA  

Non-U.S. Structured Finance:

                         
   

Total non-U.S. structured finance

    -     -     -        
                       

Total structured finance

    $ 200     A     $ 2,600     AAA  
                       

Total gross par written

    $ 1,221     A     $ 5,852     AA-  
                       

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

Please refer to the Glossary for a description of select types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

Page 6



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Underwriting Gain (Loss)
(in millions)

 
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
  Nine Months  
 
  1Q-09   2Q-09   3Q-09   4Q-09   1Q-10   2Q-10   3Q-10   2009   2010  

Income statement:

                                                       

Net earned premiums:

                                                       
 

Scheduled net earned premiums

                                                       
   

Public finance - U.S.

    $ 13.0     $ 15.0     $ (0.7 )   $ 14.0     $ 10.9     $ 19.3     $ 15.7     $ 27.3     $ 45.9  
   

Public finance - non-U.S.

    0.8     0.6     0.8     0.6     6.1     (4.9 )   2.2     2.2     3.4  
   

Structured finance - U.S.

    1.1     18.2     9.2     9.0     9.6     9.1     8.1     28.5     26.8  
   

Structured finance - non-U.S.

    10.2     (8.7 )   0.9     0.9     0.8     0.9     1.4     2.4     3.1  
                                       
 

Total scheduled net earned premiums

    25.1     25.1     10.2     24.5     27.4     24.4     27.4     60.4     79.2  
 

Net earned premiums from refundings and accelerations

    42.6     1.6     3.2     6.4     2.1     1.4     0.6     47.4     4.1  
                                       

Total net earned premiums

    67.7     26.7     13.4     30.9     29.5     25.8     28.0     107.8     83.3  

Credit derivative revenues 1

    23.0     22.0     22.4     21.5     20.7     20.9     21.2     67.4     62.8  

Other income

    0.7     0.5     (0.2 )   0.2     0.4     (0.4 )   (1.3 )   1.0     (1.3 )
                                       
 

Total underwriting revenues

    91.4     49.2     35.6     52.6     50.6     46.3     47.9     176.2     144.8  

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

   
21.4
   
46.4
   
77.8
   
47.4
   
34.5
   
3.7
   
18.3
   
145.6
   
56.5
 

Losses incurred on credit derivatives 2

    1.1     26.2     141.9     61.4     64.6     (0.4 )   8.9     169.2     73.1  
                                       
 

Total incurred losses

    22.5     72.6     219.7     108.8     99.1     3.3     27.2     314.8     129.6  

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    (0.3 )   3.1     0.1     3.8     4.1     1.6     4.2     2.9     9.9  

Operating expenses

    15.2     14.2     13.8     14.6     24.5     15.8     17.4     43.2     57.7  
                                       
 

Total underwriting expenses

    37.4     89.9     233.6     127.2     127.7     20.7     48.8     360.9     197.2  
                                       
   

Underwriting gain (loss) 3

    $ 54.0     $ (40.7 )   $ (198.0 )   $ (74.6 )   $ (77.1 )   $ 25.6     $ (0.9 )   $ (184.7 )   $ (52.4 )
                                       

1. Includes premiums and ceding commissions.

2. Includes paid and payable losses and received and receivable recoveries.

3. The Company has revised its definition of underwriting gain in 2010 to exclude foreign exchange revaluation gains and losses on premiums receivable. 2009 amounts are presented on a consistent basis.

Page 7



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Investment Portfolio
As of September 30, 2010
(dollars in millions)

 
  Amortized
Cost
  Pre-Tax
Book
Yield
  After-Tax
Book
Yield
  Fair
Value
  Annualized
Investment
Income 1
 

Investment portfolio, available for sale:

                               

Fixed maturity securities:

                               
 

U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government agencies

    $ 314.6     2.36%     1.53%     $ 332.0     $ 7.4  
 

Agency obligations

    152.8     2.88%     1.87%     162.6     4.4  
 

Obligations of states and political subdivisions

    1,012.5     4.41%     4.13%     1,067.5     44.7  
 

Insured obligations of state and political subdivisions 2

    383.5     4.80%     4.55%     405.5     18.4  
 

Corporate securities

    223.0     3.49%     2.27%     234.4     7.8  
 

Mortgage-backed securities ("MBS"):

                               
   

Residential MBS ("RMBS")

    122.0     4.32%     2.81%     117.4     5.3  
   

Commercial MBS ("CMBS")

    76.0     5.44%     3.53%     81.8     4.1  
 

Asset-backed securities 3

    92.9     1.93%     1.25%     94.9     1.8  
 

Foreign government securities

    86.0     3.78%     2.46%     92.9     3.3  
                       
     

Total fixed maturity securities

    2,463.3     3.94%     3.30%     2,589.0     97.2  

Short-term investments

    269.7     0.18%     0.12%     269.7     0.5  
                       
     

Total investment portfolio

    $ 2,733.0     3.57%     2.99%     $ 2,858.7     $ 97.7  
                       

Ratings 4:

 

Fair Value

 

% of Total

 

 


 

 


 

 


 

Treasury and government obligations

    $ 332.0     12.8%                    

Agency obligations

    162.6     6.3%                    

AAA/Aaa

    655.0     25.3%                    

AA/Aa

    1,051.3     40.6%                    

A/A

    336.7     13.0%                    

BBB

    5.6     0.2%                    

Below investment grade ("BIG") 5

    45.8     1.8%                    
                             
 

Total fixed maturity securities available for sale

    $ 2,589.0     100.0%                    
                             

Duration of investment portfolio (in years):

          5.2                    
                               

Average ratings of investment portfolio

          AA                    
                               

1. Represents annualized investment income based on amortized cost and pre-tax book yields.

2. Reflects obligations of state and local political subdivisions that have been insured by other financial guarantors. The underlying ratings of these bonds, after giving effect to the lower of the rating assigned by Standard & Poor's Rating Services ("S&P") or Moody's Investors Service, Inc. ("Moody's") average AA-.

3. Contains no collateralized debt obligations ("CDOs") of asset-backed securities ("ABS").

4. Ratings are represented by the lower of the Moody's and S&P classifications.

5. Included in the investment portfolio are securities purchased or obtained as part of loss mitigation or other risk management strategies of $150.2 million in par with carrying value of $45.7 million

Page 8



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Estimated Net Exposure Amortization 1 and Estimated Future Net Premium and Credit Derivative Revenues
(in millions)

 
   
   
  Financial Guaranty Insurance 2    
   
 
 
  Estimated Net
Debt Service
Amortization
  Estimated
Ending Net
Debt Service
Outstanding
  Expected PV
Net Earned
Premiums
  Accretion of
Discount
  Future Net
Premiums
Earned
  Future
Credit
Derivative
Revenues 3
  Total  

2010 (as of September 30)

          $ 177,585                                

2010 (October 1 - December 31)

    2,252     175,333     $ 17.4     $ 1.6     $ 19.0     $ 9.1     $ 28.1  

2011

    10,569     164,764     80.6     6.0     86.6     73.3     159.9  

2012

    12,328     152,436     71.8     5.5     77.3     63.2     140.5  

2013

    12,014     140,422     66.7     5.0     71.7     51.1     122.8  

2014

    14,170     126,252     61.2     4.5     65.7     37.3     103.0  

2010-2014

    51,333     126,252     297.7     22.6     320.3     234.0     554.3  

2015-2019

    42,927     83,325     253.5     17.7     271.2     94.5     365.7  

2020-2024

    28,976     54,349     181.1     11.0     192.1     54.8     246.9  

2025-2029

    20,327     34,022     121.2     6.4     127.6     40.7     168.3  

After 2029

    34,022     -         128.0     3.7     131.7     65.7     197.4  
                                 
 

Total

    $ 177,585           $ 981.5     $ 61.4     $ 1,042.9     $ 489.7     $ 1,532.6  
                                 

1. Represents the future expected amortization of current debt service outstanding (principal and interest), assuming no advance refundings, as of September 30, 2010. Actual amortization differs from expected maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay guaranteed obligations and because of management's assumptions on structured finance amortization.

2. See page 10 for "Present Value of Financial Guaranty Net Insurance Losses to be Expensed."

3. Excludes contracts with credit impairment.

Page 9



Assured Guaranty Corp
Present Value ("PV") of Financial Guaranty Net Insurance Losses to be Expensed
(in millions)

 
  Net Expected
Loss to be
Expensed 1
 

Financial Guaranty Insurance Losses to be Expensed:

       

2010 (October 1 - December 31)

    $ 0.5  

2011

    2.0  

2012

    1.7  

2013

    1.5  

2014

    1.3  

2010-2014

   
7.0
 

2015-2019

    4.8  

2020-2024

    2.4  

2025-2029

    1.9  

After 2029

    2.5  
       
 

Total expected PV of net loss to be expensed

    18.6  

Discount

    79.7  
       
 

Total future value

    $ 98.3  
       

1. The expected present value of net loss to be expensed is discounted by weighted-average risk free rates ranging from 0% to 4.51%.

Page 10



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Financial Guaranty Profile (1 of 3)
(in millions)

Net Par Outstanding and Average Rating by Asset Type

 
  As of September 30, 2010
 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Avg. Rating 1

U.S. Public Finance:

         
 

General obligation

    $ 25,747   A
 

Tax backed

    11,965   A
 

Municipal utilities

    9,138   A-
 

Transportation

    6,739   A
 

Healthcare

    5,201   A
 

Higher education

    3,411   A
 

Infrastructure finance

    962   BBB
 

Investor-owned utilities

    638   A-
 

Housing

    330   AA
 

Other public finance

    1,699   A
         
   

Total U.S. public finance

    65,830   A

Non-U.S. Public Finance:

         
 

Pooled infrastructure

    2,532   AA+
 

Infrastructure finance

    1,326   BBB-
 

Regulated utilities

    1,125   BBB+
 

Other public finance

    117   AA-
         
   

Total non-U.S. public finance

    5,100   A+
         

Total public finance

    $ 70,930   A
         

U.S. Structured Finance:

         
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    $ 21,191   AA+
 

RMBS

    9,979   BB+
 

CMBS and other commercial real estate related exposures

    5,605   AAA
 

Consumer receivables

    2,328   AAA
 

Structured credit

    1,241   BBB+
 

Commercial receivables

    1,104   BBB+
 

Insurance securitizations

    255   A+
 

Other structured finance

    117   AA
         
   

Total U.S. structured finance

    41,820   AA-

Non-U.S. Structured Finance:

         
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    6,945   AAA
 

RMBS

    2,173   AAA
 

Commercial receivables

    579   A-
 

Structured credit

    447   BBB
 

CMBS and other commercial real estate related exposures

    288   AAA
 

Insurance securitizations

    279   CCC-
 

Other structured finance

    3   A
         
   

Total non-U.S. structured finance

    10,714   AA+
         

Total structured finance

  $ 52,534   AA-
         

Total net par outstanding

  $ 123,464   A+
         

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

Please refer to the Glossary for a description of select types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

Page 11



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Financial Guaranty Profile (2 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

Distribution by Ratings of Financial Guaranty Portfolio

 
  As of September 30, 2010  
 
  Public Finance -
U.S.
  Public Finance -
Non-U.S.
  Structured Finance -
U.S.
  Structured Finance -
Non-U.S.
  Consolidated  
Ratings 1:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  %   Net Par
Outstanding
  %   Net Par
Outstanding
  %   Net Par
Outstanding
  %   Net Par
Outstanding
  %  

Super senior

    $ -         0.0%     $ 1,631     32.0%     $ 7,512     18.0%     $ 2,332     21.8%     $ 11,475     9.3%  

AAA

    257     0.4%     16     0.3%     16,012     38.3%     5,737     53.5%     22,022     17.8%  

AA

    11,904     18.1%     22     0.4%     3,535     8.5%     446     4.2%     15,907     12.9%  

A

    42,061     63.9%     1,536     30.1%     2,735     6.5%     379     3.5%     46,711     37.8%  

BBB

    10,882     16.5%     1,681     33.0%     4,323     10.3%     1,266     11.8%     18,152     14.7%  

BIG

    726     1.1%     214     4.2%     7,703     18.4%     554     5.2%     9,197     7.5%  
                       
 

Total net par outstanding

    $ 65,830     100.0%     $ 5,100     100.0%     $ 41,820     100.0%     $ 10,714     100.0%     $ 123,464     100.0%  
                       

Ceded Par Outstanding by Reinsurer and Insurer Financial Strength Rating

Reinsurer
  Moody's
Rating
  S&P
Rating
  Ceded Par
Outstanding
  % of Total  

Affiliated Companies

    A1     AA   $ 44,605     92.5%  

Non-Affiliated Companies:

                         
 

RAM Reinsurance Co. Ltd.

    WR     WR     3,170     6.5%  
 

Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

    Ba1     BB-     184     0.4%  
 

MBIA Insurance Corporation

    B3     BB+     138     0.3%  
 

Ambac Assurance Corporation

    Caa2     R     109     0.2%  
 

Other

    Various     Various     37     0.1%  
                   

Non-Affiliated Companies

                3,638     7.5%  
                   
 

Total

                $ 48,243     100.0%  
                   

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Page 12



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Financial Guaranty Profile (3 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

Geographic Distribution of Financial Guaranty Portfolio as of September 30, 2010

 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total  

U.S.:

             

Public Finance:

             
 

California

    $ 7,878     6.4%  
 

Texas

    6,603     5.3%  
 

New York

    4,982     4.0%  
 

Pennsylvania

    4,699     3.8%  
 

Florida

    4,670     3.8%  
 

Illinois

    3,833     3.1%  
 

New Jersey

    2,677     2.2%  
 

Puerto Rico

    2,001     1.6%  
 

Alabama

    1,876     1.5%  
 

Michigan

    1,733     1.4%  
 

Other states

    24,878     20.2%  
           
   

Total U.S. Public Finance

    65,830     53.3%  

Structured finance (multiple states)

    41,820     33.9%  
           
   

Total U.S.

    107,650     87.2%  
           

Non-U.S.:

             
 

United Kingdom

    7,319     5.9%  
 

Australia

    1,065     0.9%  
 

Germany

    905     0.7%  
 

Cayman Islands

    769     0.6%  
 

Other

    5,756     4.7%  
           
   

Total non-U.S.

    15,814     12.8%  
           
 

Total net par outstanding

 
  $

123,464
   
100.0%
 
           

Page 13



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations by Ratings as of September 30, 2010

  Ratings 1:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total   Avg. Initial
Credit
Enhancement 2
  Avg. Current
Credit
Enhancement 2
   
 
 

Super Senior

    $ 5,399     19.5%     42.6%     38.3%        
 

AAA

    16,047     57.9%     34.0%     31.6%        
 

AA

    1,604     5.8%     42.7%     35.4%        
 

A

    561     2.0%     47.6%     40.1%        
 

BBB

    1,980     7.1%     45.6%     34.6%        
 

BIG

    2,138     7.7%     45.1%     25.8%        
                           
   

Total exposures

    $ 27,729     100.0%     38.1%     33.1%        
                           

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations by Asset Class as of September 30, 2010

  Asset class:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total   Avg. Initial
Credit
Enhancement
  Avg. Current
Credit
Enhancement
  Avg. Rating 1  
 

CBOs/CLOs 3

    $ 18,888     68.1%     35.3%     32.0%     AAA  
 

Market value CDOs 4 of corporate

    3,037     11.0%     42.8%     39.3%     AAA  
 

Trust preferred - banks and insurance

    2,691     9.7%     46.8%     30.9%     BBB-  
 

Trust preferred - US Mortgage and REITs 5

    1,834     6.6%     50.1%     38.4%     BB  
 

Synthetic investment grade pooled corporate

    702     2.5%     30.0%     30.1%     Super Senior  
 

Trust preferred - European Mortgage and REITs

    577     2.1%     37.3%     32.5%     BBB-  
                         
   

Total exposures

    $ 27,729     100.0%     38.1%     33.1%     AA+  
                         

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

2. "Average Credit Enhancement" is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinated tranches that are junior in the capital structure to Assured Guaranty's exposure, expressed as a percentage of the total transaction size, and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the amounts shown above do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Data is obtained from third-party sources such as trustee reports and may be subject to misstatement or correction.

3. CBOs (collateralized bond obligations) /CLOs (collateralized loan obligations) are largely non-investment grade/high yield collateral.

4. CDOs are collateralized debt obligations.

5. REITs are real estate investment trusts.

Page 14



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating 1 and Type of Exposure as of September 30, 2010

  Ratings 1:
  Prime First
Lien
  Closed End
Seconds
("CES")
  HELOC 2   Alt-A First
Lien
  Alt-A Option
ARMs
  Subprime
First Lien
  Total Net Par
Outstanding
 
 

Super senior

    $ -         $ -         $ -         $ -         $ -         $ -         $ -      
 

AAA

    3     0     13     14     1     784     816  
 

AA

    27     30     5     143     29     1,199     1,433  
 

A

    12     1     1     75     95     876     1,060  
 

BBB

    20     -         9     841     77     511     1,458  
 

BIG

    512     195     519     2,547     805     634     5,213  
                                 
   

Total exposures

    $ 574     $ 226     $ 548     $ 3,620     $ 1,006     $ 4,005     $ 9,979  
                                 

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Year Insured and Type of Exposure as of September 30, 2010

  Year insured:
  Prime First
Lien
  CES   HELOC   Alt-A First
Lien
  Alt-A Option
ARMs
  Subprime
First Lien
  Total Net Par
Outstanding
 
 

2004 and prior

    $ 43     $ 1     $ 32     $ 40     $ 42     $ 248     $ 405  
 

2005

    116     -         210     263     24     32     645  
 

2006

    -         -         -         -         33     2,989     3,022  
 

2007

    415     225     306     1,958     822     737     4,462  
 

2008

    -         -         -       1,359     86     -         1,445  
                                 
   

Total exposures

    $ 574     $ 226     $ 548     $ 3,620     $ 1,006     $ 4,005     $ 9,979  
                                 

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating 1 and Year Insured as of September 30, 2010

  Year insured:
  Super
Senior
  AAA
Rated
  AA
Rated
  A
Rated
  BBB
Rated
  BIG
Rated
  Total  
 

2004 and prior

    $ -         $ 126     $ 65     $ 122     $ 60     $ 32     $ 405  
 

2005

    -         32     -         75     55     483     645  
 

2006

    -         650     1,198     745     327     101     3,022  
 

2007

    -         8     36     32     475     3,912     4,462  
 

2008

    -         -         134     86     541     685     1,445  
                                 
   

Total exposures

    $ -         $ 816     $ 1,433     $ 1,060     $ 1,458     $ 5,213     $ 9,979  
                                 
 

% of total

   
0.0%
   
8.2%
   
14.4%
   
10.6%
   
14.6%
   
52.2%
   
100.0%
 

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

2. Home equity line of credit ("HELOC") securitizations.

AGC has not insured any U.S. RMBS transactions since 2008.

Page 15



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Profile (1 of 2)
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Insured January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of September 30, 2010 1

U.S. Prime First Lien

  Year insured:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor 2   Subordination 3   Cumulative
Losses 4
  60+ Day
Delinquencies 5
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

    $ 116     54.8%     4.8%     0.8%     7.2%     6  
 

2006

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

2007

    415     67.0%     10.4%     2.1%     14.8%     1  
 

2008

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
                             
 

    $ 531     64.3%     9.2%     1.8%     13.1%     7  
                             

U.S. CES

  Year insured:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

    $ -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

2006

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

2007

    225     33.6%     3.3%     54.7%     10.4%     5  
 

2008

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
                             
 

    $ 225     33.6%     3.3%     54.7%     10.4%     5  
                             

U.S. HELOC

  Year insured:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

    $ 210     21.7%     0.0%     18.1%     14.9%     2  
 

2006

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

2007

    306     40.6%     0.0%     34.9%     8.9%     2  
 

2008

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
                             
 

    $ 515     32.9%     0.0%     28.1%     11.3%     4  
                             

U.S. Alt-A First Lien

  Year insured:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

    $ 263     46.9%     11.6%     2.7%     15.5%     13  
 

2006

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

2007

    1,958     61.5%     10.3%     7.4%     33.0%     8  
 

2008

    1,359     57.5%     27.0%     8.6%     30.3%     5  
                             
 

    $ 3,581     58.9%     16.7%     7.5%     30.7%     26  
                             

1. For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of September 2010. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on September 30, 2010 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to restatement or correction.

2. Pool factor is the percentage of the current collateral balance divided by the original collateral balance of the transactions at inception.

3. Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

4. Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.

5. 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that have been delinquent for more than 60 days and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or real estate owned ("REO"), divided by net par outstanding.

Page 16



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Profile (2 of 2)
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Insured January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of September 30, 2010 1

U.S. Alt-A Option ARMs

  Year insured:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor 2   Subordination 3   Cumulative
Losses 4
  60+ Day
Delinquencies 5
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

    $ 24     24.4%     24.5%     3.7%     22.8%     1  
 

2006

    33     39.8%     10.8%     7.2%     23.8%     1  
 

2007

    822     64.6%     9.4%     8.6%     32.9%     5  
 

2008

    86     64.3%     49.3%     7.3%     34.5%     1  
                             
 

    $ 965     62.8%     13.4%     8.3%     32.5%     8  
                             

U.S. Subprime First Lien

  Year insured:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

2005

    $ 32     20.9%     82.1%     10.5%     58.9%     1  
 

2006

    2,989     25.6%     61.7%     13.2%     40.7%     2  
 

2007

    737     37.8%     28.9%     19.1%     47.4%     4  
 

2008

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
                             
 

    $ 3,757     27.9%     55.4%     14.3%     42.2%     7  
                             

1. For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of September 2010. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on September 30, 2010 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to restatement or correction.

2. Pool factor is the percentage of the current collateral balance divided by the original collateral balance of the transactions at inception.

3. Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

4. Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.

5. 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO divided by net par outstanding.

Page 17



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Commercial Real Estate Profile
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. CMBS Insured January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Internal Rating 1, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of September 30, 2010 2

U.S. CMBS

  Rating:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor 3   Subordination 4   Cumulative
Losses 5
  60+ Day
Delinquencies 6
  Number of
Transactions
 
 

Super senior

  $ 3,352     89.6%     33.8%     0.5%     7.7%     185  
 

AAA

    194     85.7%     28.0%     0.3%     10.2%     7  
 

AA

    712     87.8%     18.8%     0.6%     7.3%     39  
 

A

    194     64.4%     11.9%     0.9%     8.1%     1  
 

BBB

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
 

BIG

    -         -         -         -         -         -      
                             
 

Total exposures

  $ 4,452     88.1%     30.2%     0.5%     7.8%     232  
                             

CDOs of U.S. Commercial Real Estate and CMBS 7

   
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total   Avg. Initial
Credit
Enhancement 8
  Avg. Current
Credit
Enhancement 8
   
   
 
 

CDOs of Commercial Real Estate

  $ 597     53.4%     49.4%     48.3%              
 

CDO of CMBS 9

    522     46.6%     29.7%     45.3%              
                                 
 

Total exposures

  $ 1,119     100.0%     40.2%     46.9%              
                                 

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

2. For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of September 2010. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on September 30, 2010 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to restatement or correction.

3. Pool factor is the percentage of the current collateral balance divided by the original collateral balance of the transactions at inception.

4. Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

5. Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.

6. 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO divided by net par outstanding.

7. Represents U.S. other CMBS not included in the table above.

8. "Average Credit Enhancement" is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinated tranches that are junior in the capital structure to Assured Guaranty's exposure, expressed as a percentage of the total transaction size, and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the amounts shown above do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Data is obtained from third-party sources such as trustee reports and may be subject to misstatement or correction.

9. Relates to vintages 2003 and prior.

Page 18



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Direct U.S. Consumer Receivables Profile
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Direct U.S. Consumer Receivables by Rating 1 as of September 30, 2010

  Rating:
  Credit Cards   Student Loans   Auto   Total Net Par
Outstanding
 
 

Super senior

    $ 863     -         -         $ 863  
 

AAA

    -         1,029     -         1,029  
 

AA

    -         -         -         -      
 

A

    -         -         271     271  
 

BBB

    -         -         54     54  
 

BIG

    -         -         -         -      
                     
   

Total exposures

    $ 863     $ 1,029     $ 325     $ 2,217  
                     
 

Average rating 1

    Super Senior     AAA     A     AAA  
 

Avg. initial credit enhancement 2

    53.7%     7.1%     19.9%     27.1%  
 

Avg. current credit enhancement 2

    56.7%     8.3%     27.3%     29.9%  

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

2. "Average Credit Enhancement" is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinated tranches that are junior in the capital structure to Assured Guaranty's exposure, expressed as a percentage of the total transaction size, and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the amounts shown above do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Data is obtained from third-party sources such as trustee reports and may be subject to misstatement or correction.

Page 19



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Direct Credit Derivative Net Par Outstanding Profile
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Direct Credit Derivative Net Par Outstanding by Rating

   
  September 30, 2010  
  Ratings 1:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total  
 

Super senior

    $ 10,613     23.7%  
 

AAA

    18,388     41.0%  
 

AA

    3,288     7.3%  
 

A

    2,935     6.5%  
 

BBB

    3,759     8.4%  
 

BIG

    5,854     13.1%  
             
   

Total direct credit derivative net par outstanding

    $ 44,837     100.0%  
             

Distribution of Direct Credit Derivative Net Par Outstanding by Sector and Average Rating

 
  September 30, 2010  
 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Average
Rating 1
 

Public Finance

             
 

U.S. public finance

    $ -         -      
 

Non-U.S. public finance

    3,475     AA-  
           

Total public finance

    $ 3,475     AA-  
           

U.S. Structured Finance:

             
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    $ 18,435     AA+  
 

RMBS

    7,642     BBB-  
 

CMBS

    5,394     AAA  
 

Commercial receivables

    588     BBB+  
 

Consumer receivables

    462     AAA  
 

Structured credit

    191     BB  
 

Insurance securitizations

    75     BBB  
 

Other structured finance

    95     AAA  
           
   

Total U.S. structured finance

    32,882     AA-  
           

Non-U.S. Structured Finance:

             
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    6,305     AAA  
 

RMBS

    1,812     AAA  
 

CMBS

    254     AAA  
 

Structured credit

    79     BBB  
 

Insurance securitizations

    30     CCC  
           
   

Total non-U.S. structured finance

    8,480     AAA  
           

Total structured finance

    $ 41,362     AA  
           
 

Total direct credit derivative net par outstanding

    $ 44,837     AA  
           

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Please refer to the Glossary for a description of select types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

Page 20



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (1 of 3)
As of September 30, 2010
(in millions)

BIG Exposures by Asset Exposure Type:
  Net Par
Outstanding 1
 

U.S. Public Finance:

       
 

Municipal utilities

  $ 190  
 

Transportation

    162  
 

Healthcare

    101  
 

Tax backed

    101  
 

General obligation

    92  
 

Infrastructure finance

    26  
 

Higher education

    12  
 

Housing

    2  
 

Other public finance

    40  
       
   

Total U.S. public finance

    726  

Non-U.S. Public Finance:

       
 

Infrastructure finance

    214  
       
   

Total non-U.S. public finance

    214  
       

Total public finance

  $ 940  
       

U.S. Structured Finance:

       

RMBS

  $ 5,213  

Pooled corporate obligations

    2,145  

Structured credit

    244  

Commercial receivables

    68  

Consumer receivables

    13  

Other structured finance

    20  
       
   

Total U.S. structured finance

    7,703  
       

Non-U.S. Structured Finance:

       

Insurance securitizations

    279  

Pooled corporate obligations

    275  
       
   

Total non-U.S. structured finance

    554  
       

Total structured finance

  $ 8,257  
       

Total BIG net par outstanding

  $ 9,197  
       

Please refer to the Glossary for a description of select types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

Page 21



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (2 of 3)
As of September 30, 2010
(dollars in millions)

Net Par Outstanding by BIG Category 1

 
  Financial Guaranty Insurance and Credit
Derivatives Surveillance Categories
 
 
  September 30, 2010   December 31, 2009  

Category 1

             
 

U.S. public finance

    $ 460     $ 280  
 

Non-U.S. public finance

    172     65  
 

U.S. structured finance

    1,913     1,543  
 

Non-U.S. structured finance

    232     -      
           
   

Total Category 1

    2,777     1,888  

Category 2

             
 

U.S. public finance

    66     63  
 

Non-U.S. public finance

    5     4  
 

U.S. structured finance

    4,443     4,179  
 

Non-U.S. structured finance

    43     -      
           
   

Total Category 2

    4,557     4,246  

Category 3

             
 

U.S. public finance

    200     271  
 

Non-U.S. public finance

    37     36  
 

U.S. structured finance

    1,347     1,507  
 

Non-U.S. structured finance

    279     279  
           
   

Total Category 3

    1,863     2,093  
           

Total BIG net par outstanding

    $ 9,197     $ 8,227  
           

1. Assured Guaranty's surveillance department is responsible for monitoring our portfolio of credits and maintains a list of below investment grade ("BIG") credits. The BIG credits are divided into three categories: BIG Category 1: Below investment grade transactions showing sufficient deterioration to make material losses possible, but for which no losses have been incurred. Non-investment grade transactions on which liquidity claims have been paid are in this category. BIG Category 2: Below investment grade transactions for which expected losses have been established but for which no unreimbursed claims have yet been paid. BIG Category 3: Below investment grade transactions for which expected losses have been established and on which unreimbursed claims have been paid. Transactions remain in this category when claims have been paid and only a recoverable remains.

Page 22



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (3 of 3)
As of September 30, 2010
(dollars in millions)

BIG Exposures Greater Than $50 Million

Name or Description
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Internal
Rating 1
  Current Credit
Enhancement
  60+ Day
Delinquencies 2
 

U.S. Public Finance:

                         
 

Jefferson County Alabama Sewer

    $ 190     D              
 

San Joaquin Hills California Transportation

    162     BB              
 

Detroit (City of) Michigan

    87     BB+              
 

Orlando Tourist Development Tax - Florida

    57     BB+              
 

St. Barnabas Health System - New Jersey

    55     BB              
                         
     

Total

    $ 551                    

Non-U.S. Public Finance:

                         
 

Reliance Rail Finance Pty. Limited

    111     BB              
                         
     

Total

    $ 111                    

U.S. Structured Finance:

                         
 

U.S. RMBS:

                         
 

Deutsche ALT-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-2

    $ 508     CCC     2.7%     32.0%  
 

Mortgage IT Securities Corp. Mortgage Loan 2007-2

    415     B     10.4%     14.8%  
 

Deutsche ALT-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-3

    358     B     7.1%     21.9%  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    357     CCC     25.8%     31.9%  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    357     B     22.7%     28.9%  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    328     BB     22.5%     28.4%  
 

CWALT Alternative Loan Trust 2007-HY9

    326     CCC     6.5%     46.4%  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    320     CCC     16.2%     36.3%  
 

Countrywide Home Equity Loan Trust 2007-D

    291     CCC     0.0%     9.0%  
 

AAA Trust 2007-2

    279     CCC     35.9%     48.1%  
 

Countrywide Home Equity Loan Trust 2005-J

    172     CCC     0.0%     16.0%  
 

Alternative Loan Trust 2007-OA10

    139     CCC     8.6%     55.1%  
 

Lehman Excess Trust 2007-16N

    107     CCC     9.3%     40.6%  
 

Taylor Bean & Whitaker 2007-2

    92     CCC     0.0%     35.1%  
 

ACE Home Equity Loan Trust 2007-SL3

    88     BB     0.0%     10.7%  
 

MASTR Asset Backed Securities Trust 2005-NC2

    68     B     16.5%     39.1%  
 

CSAB Mortgage-Backed Trust 2007-1

    52     CCC     0.4%     34.4%  
                         
   

Total U.S. RMBS

    $ 4,257                    
 

Other:

                         
 

Taberna Preferred Funding IV, LTD.

    $ 219     CCC     33.4%     N/A  
 

Taberna Preferred Funding III, LTD.

    216     CCC     28.4%     N/A  
 

Alesco Preferred Funding XVI, LTD.

    215     B-     6.4%     N/A  
 

Trapeza CDO XI

    197     BB     28.5%     N/A  
 

Weinstein Film Securitization

    191     BB     N/A     N/A  
 

Taberna Preferred Funding II, LTD.

    179     CCC     33.8%     N/A  
 

Attentus CDO I LIMITED

    173     BB     33.8%     N/A  
 

Alesco Preferred Funding XVII, LTD.

    172     B-     10.6%     N/A  
 

Attentus CDO II LIMITED

    142     BB     31.2%     N/A  
 

Trapeza CDO X, LTD.

    133     BB     32.1%     N/A  
 

Taberna Preferred Funding VI, LTD.

    114     CCC     35.1%     N/A  
 

US Capital Funding IV, LTD.

    113     B-     14.7%     N/A  
 

Preferred Term Securities XVI, LTD.

    102     BB+     19.8%     N/A  
 

Capco - Excess SIPC Excess of Loss Reinsurance

    54     BB     N/A     N/A  
                         
   

Total Other

    $ 2,220                    
                         
     

Total

    $ 6,477                    

Non-U.S. Structured Finance:

                         
 

Orkney RE II, PLC

    $ 149     CCC     N/A     N/A  
 

Ballantyne Re PLC

    130     CC     N/A     N/A  
 

Augusta Funding Limited 05 Perpetual Note Issue

    82     BB     N/A     N/A  
 

Augusta Funding Limited 07 Perpetual Note Issue

    77     BB     N/A     N/A  
                         
     

Total

    $ 438                    
                         

Total

    $ 7,577                    
                         

1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Although the Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

2. 60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO divided by net par outstanding.

Page 23



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Largest Exposures by Sector (1 of 4)
As of September 30, 2010
(dollars in millions)

50 Largest U.S Public Finance Exposures

  Credit Name:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Internal
Rating 1
 

California (State of)

    $ 1,160   A-
 

Puerto Rico (Commonwealth of)

    908   BBB-
 

North Texas Tollway Authority

    713   A
 

Miami-Dade County Florida Aviation Authority - Miami International Airport

    684   A+
 

Miami-Dade County Florida School District

    650   A-
 

Pennsylvania Turnipke Commission

    590   A+
 

Philadelphia (City of) Pennsylvania

    578   BBB+
 

New Jersey (State of)

    575   AA-
 

Georgia Board of Regents Revenue Stream

    566   A
 

Puerto Rico Highway and Transportation Authority

    500   BBB
 

New York (State of)

    494   AA
 

Houston Texas Water and Sewer Authority

    490   A+
 

New York (City of) New York

    468   AA-
 

Dade County, Florida General Obligation

    400   AA-
 

Chicago-O'Hare International Airport

    386   A
 

San Francisco Airports Commission

    380   A
 

Denver (City and County of) Colorado Airport Revenue Bonds

    356   A+
 

Michigan (State of)

    353   A+
 

Dormitory Authority of the State of New York School District

    316   A
 

The Indianapolis Local Public Improvement Bond Bank, Indiana

    305   AA-
 

Chicago Illinois Public Schools

    290   A+
 

Puerto Rico Aqueduct & Sewer Authority

    288   BBB-
 

New York MTA Transportation Authority

    282   A
 

Chicago (City of) Illinois

    279   AA-
 

Piedmont Municipal Power Authority - South Carolina

    276   BBB
 

American Municipal Power-Ohio, Inc. - Prairie State

    269   A
 

Metro Wash Airports Authority Dulles Toll Road

    266   BBB+
 

Kentucky (Commonwealth of)

    264   AA-
 

New Jersey Higher Education Student Assistance 2008-A

    263   A
 

Massachusetts Turnpike Authority Revenue Stream

    260   A
 

Long Island Power Authority

    257   A-
 

Chicago Transit Authority Capital Grant Receipts

    252   A
 

Louisville Arena Authority Inc.

    247   BBB-
 

Dallas (City of) Texas Civic Center Convention Complex

    243   A
 

North Carolina Eastern Municipal Power Agency

    239   BBB
 

Louisiana (State of)

    237   AA-
 

Massachusetts (Commonwealth of)

    231   AA
 

Oakland (City of) California General Obligation

    225   A
 

Florida (State of) Department of Environmental Protection

    222   A+
 

Virtua Health - New Jersey

    221   A
 

Orange County Schools, Florida

    216   A+
 

Nassau County, New York

    209   A
 

District of Columbia Water and Sewer Authority Public Utility Bonds

    209   A+
 

North Carolina Turnpike Authority - Triangle Expressway

    204   BBB-
 

Orlando Tourist Development Tax - Florida

    203   A
 

Yankee Stadium LLC (New York City Industrial Development Authority)

    203   BBB-
 

Maine (State of)

    200   A
 

Iowa Health System

    195   A+
 

Jefferson County Alabama Sewer

    190   D
 

Port Authority of New York and New Jersey

    190   AA-
           
   

Total top 50 U.S. public finance exposures

    $ 18,002    
           

    1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

Page 24



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Largest Exposures by Sector (2 of 4)
As of September 30, 2010
(dollars in millions)

50 Largest U.S Structured Finance Exposures

  Credit Name:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Internal
Rating 1
  Current Credit
Enhancement
 
 

Deutsche ALT-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-2

    $ 508     CCC     2.7%  
 

ARES Enhanced Credit Opportunities Fund

    506     AAA     45.0%  
 

280 Funding I

    495     AAA     39.5%  
 

Citibank OMNI Trust 2007-A7

    488     Super Senior     49.4%  
 

MortgageIT Securities Corp. Mortgage Loan 2007-2

    415     B     10.4%  
 

Private Structured Credit Transaction

    400     BBB+     N/A  
 

Private Student Loan Transaction

    375     AAA     11.2%  
 

Deutsche ALT-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-3

    358     B     7.1%  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    357     CCC     25.8%  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    357     B     22.7%  
 

Applebees Enterprises LLC

    352     BBB-     N/A  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    347     BBB-     22.6%  
 

KKR Financial CLO 2007-1

    341     AAA     50.8%  
 

Sandelman Finance 2006-1 Limited

    338     AAA     40.7%  
 

Private Student Loan Transaction

    333     AAA     3.4%  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    328     BB     22.5%  
 

CWALT Alternative Loan Trust 2007-HY9

    326     CCC     6.5%  
 

Liberty CLO LTD Series Class A-1C

    321     Super Senior     35.1%  
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    320     CCC     16.2%  
 

ARES Enhanced Credit Opportunities Fund

    308     AAA     45.0%  
 

Private Consumer Receivable Transaction

    300     Super Senior     62.2%  
 

Symphony Credit Opportunities Fund

    295     AAA     26.9%  
 

Countrywide Home Equity Loan Trust 2007-D

    291     CCC     0.0%  
 

AAA Trust 2007-2

    279     CCC     35.9%  
 

Wasatch CLO, LTD.

    273     AAA     22.1%  
 

CDX.NA.IG.8 5-YR 30-100%

    273     Super Senior     30.3%  
 

Geer Mountain Financing, LTD.

    270     AAA     27.6%  
 

Cent CDO XI Limited

    270     AAA     21.7%  
 

Private Student Loan Transaction

    267     AAA     10.1%  
 

Southfork CLO LTD. Series 2005-A1

    266     AAA     28.8%  
 

Alesco Preferred Funding XIV

    266     BBB-     27.8%  
 

HSAM Long/Short 2007-2

    255     AAA     30.0%  
 

Babcock & Brown Air Funding I LTD. Series 2007-1

    247     A-     N/A  
 

Jupiter Securitization Company

    245     AAA     N/A  
 

Fortress Credit Funding I LP

    241     Super Senior     38.6%  
 

Fortress Credit Funding III LP

    236     Super Senior     52.7%  
 

Sandelman Finance 2006-2, LTD.

    235     AAA     34.3%  
 

Kodiak CDO II

    233     AA     49.3%  
 

Newstar Credit Opportunities Funding II LTD

    231     AAA     35.5%  
 

Blue Mountain CLO LTD. 2005-1

    227     Super Senior     34.4%  
 

CDX.NA.IG.4 7-YR 30-100%

    225     Super Senior     29.7%  
 

Kingsland IV

    225     AAA     21.0%  
 

Baker Street CLO II

    224     AAA     21.7%  
 

RAIT Preferred Funding II, LTD.

    223     AAA     48.4%  
 

Denali Credit Opportunity Fund

    221     AAA     26.5%  
 

Taberna Preferred Funding IV, LTD.

    219     CCC     33.4%  
 

Kingsland V

    219     AAA     24.5%  
 

Franklin CLO V Limited

    219     AAA     25.4%  
 

Foothill CLO I, LTD.

    217     AAA     27.0%  
 

Taberna Preferred Funding III, LTD.

    215     CCC     28.4%  
                     
   

Total top 50 U.S. structured finance exposures

    $ 14,980              
                     

    1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Page 25



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Largest Exposures by Sector (3 of 4)
As of September 30, 2010
(dollars in millions)

25 Largest Non-U.S. Exposures

  Credit Name:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Internal Rating 1  
 

PB Domicile 2006-1

    $ 847     AAA  
 

Fortress Credit Investments I

    769     AAA  
 

Essential Public Infrastructure Capital II

    748     Super Senior  
 

Essential Public Infrastructure Capital III

    659     Super Senior  
 

Global Senior Loan Index Fund 1 B.V.

    447     Super Senior  
 

Windmill CLO I PLC

    420     Super Senior  
 

Paragon Mortgages (No.13) PLC

    351     AAA  
 

Harvest CLO III

    347     AAA  
 

Broadcast Australia Finance

    326     BBB  
 

RMF Euro CDO V PLC

    324     AAA  
 

Taberna Europe CDO I PLC

    306     BBB-  
 

International Infrastructure Pool

    300     A-  
 

International Infrastructure Pool

    300     A-  
 

International Infrastructure Pool

    300     A-  
 

Wood Street CLO V B.V.

    298     Super Senior  
 

Halcyon Structured Management Europe CLO 2007-I

    290     AAA  
 

Halcyon Structured Management Europe CLO 2007-I

    280     Super Senior  
 

Airspeed Limited Series 2007-1

    277     BBB+  
 

Taberna Europe CDO II PLC

    270     BBB-  
 

Alpstar CLO 2 PLC

    268     Super Senior  
 

Highlander Euro CDO

    266     Super Senior  
 

Nemus Funding No.1 PLC

    253     AAA  
 

Dalradian European CLO IV B.V.

    239     AAA  
 

North Westerly Clo III B.V.

    232     AAA  
 

Stichting Profile Securitisation I

    224     Super Senior  
               
   

Total top 25 largest non-U.S. exposures

    $ 9,341        
               

    1. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. The Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefiting from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

Page 26



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Largest Exposures by Sector (4 of 4)
As of September 30, 2010
(dollars in millions)

10 Largest U.S. Residential Mortgage Servicers Exposures

  Servicer:
  Net Par
Outstanding
   
   
 
 

Bank of America, N.A. 1

    $ 2,701              
 

Wells Fargo Bank, N.A.

    1,463              
 

GMAC Mortgage Corporation

    1,404              
 

American Home Mortgage Servicing, Inc.

    1,127              
 

JPMorgan Chase Bank

    784              
 

Ocwen Loan Servicing, LLC.

    325              
 

Wilshire Credit Corporation

    311              
 

Carrington Mortgage Services

    305              
 

OneWest Bank Group LLC.

    243              
 

Select Portfolio Servicing, Inc.

    226              
                     
   

Total top 10 U.S. residential mortgage servicers exposures

    $ 8,889              
                     

10 Largest U.S. Healthcare Exposures

  Credit Name:
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Internal
Rating 2
  State  
 

Virtua Health

    $ 221     A     NJ  
 

Iowa Health System

    195     A+     IA  
 

CHRISTUS Health

    167     A+     TX  
 

Children's Hospital - Alabama

    162     A+     AL  
 

Integris Health, Inc.

    162     AA-     OK  
 

Fairview Health Services

    160     A     MN  
 

Spartanburg Regional Medical Center

    141     A     SC  
 

Essentia Health

    139     A-     MN  
 

Meridian Health System

    135     A-     NJ  
 

Methodist Healthcare

    135     A     TN  
                     
   

Total top 10 U.S. healthcare exposures

    $ 1,617              
                     

    1. Includes Countrywide Home Loans Servicing LP.

    2. Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Although the Company's ratings scale is similar to that used by the nationally recognized rating agencies; however, the ratings in the above table may not be the same as ratings assigned by any nationally recognized rating agency.

Page 27



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense ("LAE") Reserves by Segment/Type
(in millions)

 
  As of September 30, 2010  
 
  Financial
Guaranty
Direct
  Financial
Guaranty
Reinsurance
  Total
Financial
Guaranty
  Other   Total  

Financial Guaranty segments insurance reserves by segment and type:

                               

Gross loss and LAE reserves on financial guaranty contracts:

                               

Case

    $ 168.6     $ 41.0     $ 209.6     $ 0.7     $ 210.3  

Incurred but not reported ("IBNR") and portfolio

    -         -         -         0.4     0.4  
                       
 

Total gross loss and LAE reserves

    $ 168.6     $ 41.0     $ 209.6     $ 1.1     $ 210.7  

Ceded loss and LAE reserves on financial guaranty contracts:

                               

Case

    $ 61.0     $ -         $ 61.0     $ 0.7     $ 61.7  

IBNR and portfolio

    -         -         -         0.4     0.4  
                       
 

Total ceded loss and LAE reserves

    $ 61.0     $ -         $ 61.0     $ 1.1     $ 62.1  

Loss and LAE reserves on financial guaranty contracts net of ceded reinsurance:

                               

Case

    $ 107.6     $ 41.0     $ 148.6     $ -         $ 148.6  

IBNR and portfolio

    -         -         -         -         -      
                       
 

Total net loss and LAE reserves

    $ 107.6     $ 41.0     $ 148.6     $ -         $ 148.6  
                       

Salvage and subrogation recoverable on financial guaranty contracts:

                               

Gross

    $ 206.2     $ 12.0     $ 218.2     $ -         $ 218.2  

Ceded 1

    63.2     -         63.2     -         63.2  
                       
 

Net salvage and subrogation recoverable

    $ 143.0     $ 12.0     $ 155.0     $ -         $ 155.0  
                       

Credit impairment on credit derivative contracts 2:

                               

Case gross

    $ 398.5     $ -         $ 398.5     $ -         $ 398.5  

Case ceded

    87.5     -         87.5     -         87.5  
                       
 

Case net credit derivative reserves

    $ 311.0     $ -         $ 311.0     $ -         $ 311.0  
                       


Net loss and LAE reserves on financial guaranty insurance and credit derivative contracts, net of reinsurance 3


 

Net loss and LAE reserves on financial guaranty contracts net of ceded reinsurance

    $ 107.6     $ 41.0     $ 148.6              

Credit impairment on credit derivative contracts

    311.0     -         311.0              
                           
 

Net Loss and LAE reserves

    $ 418.6     $ 41.0     $ 459.6              
                           

1. Recorded in "reinsurance balances payable, net" on the consolidated balance sheets.

2. Credit derivative assets and liabilities recorded on the balance sheet incorporate credit impairment on credit derivatives.

3. Gross of salvage and subrogation assets.

Page 28



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Financial Guaranty Insurance and Credit Derivatives U.S. RMBS Representations and Warranties ("R&W") Benefit Development
(dollars in millions)

Financial Guaranty
Insurance
  # of Insurance
Policies as of
September 30, 2010
with R&W Benefit
Recorded
  Outstanding Principal
and Interest Policies
with R&W Benefit
Recorded as of
September 30, 2010
  Future Net R&W
Benefit at
December 31, 2009
  R&W
Development and
Accretion of
Discount during
Year
  R&W
Recovered
During 2010
  Future Net R&W
Benefit at
September 30, 2010
 

Prime first lien

    1     $ 29.2     $ -         $ 0.5     $ -         $ 0.5  

Alt-A first lien

    6     370.6     8.8     1.3     -         10.1  

Alt-A option ARMs

    1     140.0     16.3     2.6     2.1     16.8  

Subprime first lien

    -         -         -         -         -         -      

CES

    2     148.3     64.2     (1.1 )   -         63.1  

HELOC

    3     623.9     193.4     4.1     23.3     174.2  
                           
 

Total

    13     $ 1,312.0     $ 282.7     $ 7.4     $ 25.4     $ 264.7  
                           

Credit Derivatives

    5     $ 2,828.3     $ 24.4     $ 38.2     $ -         $ 62.6  
                           

Page 29



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Financial Guaranty Direct and Reinsurance Segment Losses Incurred and Paid
As of September 30, 2010
(in millions)

Financial Guaranty Insurance Contracts and
Credit Derivatives
  Total Net Par
Outstanding for
BIG
Transactions 1
  3Q-10 Incurred
Losses
  3Q-10
Paid Losses
  Net Loss and
LAE Reserve 2
  Net Salvage
and
Subrogation
Assets
  Expected Loss
to be
Expensed
 

Financial Guaranty Direct and Reinsurance:

                                     
 

First Lien:

                                     
   

Prime first lien

    $ 512.3     $ 0.3     $ -         $ 0.4     $ -         $ -      
   

Alt-A first lien

    2,547.3     5.9     -         122.6     -         1.5  
   

Alt-A option ARMs

    804.8     7.4     0.1     123.1     0.3     0.8  
   

Subprime first lien

    633.9     0.2     0.4     39.8     -         3.0  
                           
     

Total First Lien

    4,498.3     13.8     0.5     285.9     0.3     5.3  
 

Second Lien:

                                     
   

CES

    195.3     3.2     15.1     3.4     17.8     4.2  
   

HELOC

    519.4     1.0     11.3     29.2     137.5     0.1  
                           
     

Total Second Lien

    714.7     4.2     26.4     32.6     155.3     4.3  
                           
     

Total U.S. RMBS

    5,213.0     18.0     26.9     318.5     155.6     9.6  
 

Other structured finance

    3,044.1     9.2     (8.1 )   111.0     0.7     5.2  
 

Public finance

    940.2     -         1.1     30.1     10.3     3.8  
                           

Total Financial Guaranty Direct and Reinsurance

    $ 9,197.3     $ 27.2     $ 19.9     $ 459.6     $ 166.6     $ 18.6  
                           

Effect of consolidating VIEs

   
-    
   
(0.3

)
 
(7.7

)
 
-    
   
(11.6

)
 
-    
 
                           

Total excluding consolidated VIE amounts

 
  $

9,197.3
 
  $

26.9
 
  $

12.2
 
  $

459.6
 
  $

155.0
 
  $

18.6
 
                           

1. Includes credit impairment on credit derivative transactions.

Page 30



Assured Guaranty Corp.
Summary of Statutory Financial and Statistical Data
(dollars in millions)

 
    Year Ended December 31,  
 
  YTD 2010   2009   2008   2007   2006  

Statutory Data

                               
 

Net income (loss)

    $ (63.9 )   $ (243.1 )   $ 27.7     $ 71.6     $ 64.3  
 

Policyholders' surplus

    $ 973     $ 1,224     $ 378     $ 400     $ 286  
 

Contingency reserve

    666     556     712     582     631  
                       
     

Qualified statutory capital

    1,639     1,780     1,090     982     917  
 

Unearned premium reserve

    882     887     570     302     239  
 

Loss and LAE reserves

    295     280     15     12     15  
                       
     

Total policyholders' surplus and reserves

    2,816     2,947     1,675     1,296     1,171  
 

Present value of installment premium

    570     612     566     554     356  
 

Standby line of credit / stop loss

    200     200     200     280     455  
                       
     

Total claims-paying resources

    $ 3,586     $ 3,759     $ 2,441     $ 2,130     $ 1,982  
   

Statutory Financial Ratios

                               
 

Loss and LAE ratio

    113.1%     243.9%     90.3%     (13.5)%     4.5%  
 

Expense ratio

    67.4%     15.4%     11.5%     49.9%     64.8%  
                       
 

Combined ratio

    180.5%     259.3%     101.8%     36.4%     69.3%  
   

Other Financial Information (Statutory Basis):

                               
 

Net debt service outstanding (end of period)

    $ 177,585     $ 186,606     $ 164,283     $ 128,351     $ 85,522  
 

Gross debt service outstanding (end of period)

    247,845     259,867     225,152     172,046     112,115  
 

Net par outstanding (end of period)

    123,464     130,468     111,025     94,127     68,370  
 

Gross par outstanding (end of period)

    171,707     180,765     152,801     127,743     91,858  
 

Ceded par to all Assured Guaranty companies

    44,605     46,411     37,372     29,087     22,569  
 

Ratios:

                               
   

Par insured to statutory capital

    75:1     73:1     102:1     75:1     75:1  
   

Capital ratio 1

    108:1     105:1     151:1     93:1     93:1  
   

Financial resources ratio 2

    50:1     50:1     67:1     43:1     43:1  
 

Gross debt service written:

                               
   

Public finance - U.S.

    $ 5,088     $ 78,012     $ 56,865     $ 8,142     $ 3,440  
   

Public finance - non-U.S.

    49     522     771     $ 5,202     7,402  
   

Structured finance - U.S.

    1,890     2,480     13,228     35,396     26,848  
   

Structured finance - non-U.S.

    -         -         5,265     10,061     5,843  
                       
 

Total gross debt service written

    $ 7,027     $ 81,014     $ 76,128     $ 58,801     $ 43,533  
                       
   

1. The capital ratio is calculated by dividing net par and interest insured divided by qualified statutory capital.

2. The financial resources ratio is calculated by dividing net par and interest insured by total claims paying resources.

Page 31



Glossary

Below are the brief descriptions of selected types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures. For a more complete description, please refer to Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s 10-K report for the year ended December 31, 2009.

General Obligation Bonds are full faith and credit bonds that are issued by states, their political subdivisions and other municipal issuers, and are supported by the general obligation of the issuer to pay from available funds and by a pledge of the issuer to levy ad valorem taxes in an amount sufficient to provide for the full payment of the bonds.

Tax-Backed Bonds are obligations that are supported by the issuer from specific and discrete sources of taxation. They include tax-backed revenue bonds, general fund obligations and lease revenue bonds. Tax-backed obligations may be secured by a lien on specific pledged tax revenues, such as a gasoline or excise tax, or incrementally from growth in property tax revenue associated with growth in property values. These obligations also include obligations secured by special assessments levied against property owners and often benefit from issuer covenants to enforce collections of such assessments and to foreclose on delinquent properties. Lease revenue bonds typically are general fund obligations of a municipality or other governmental authority that are subject to annual appropriation or abatement; projects financed and subject to such lease payments ordinarily include real estate or equipment serving an essential public purpose. Bonds in this category also include moral obligations of municipalities or governmental authorities.

Municipal Utility Bonds are obligations of all forms of municipal utilities, including electric, water and sewer utilities and resource recovery revenue bonds. These utilities may be organized in various forms, including municipal enterprise systems, authorities or joint action agencies.

Transportation Bonds include a wide variety of revenue-supported bonds, such as bonds for airports, ports, tunnels, municipal parking facilities, toll roads and toll bridges.

Healthcare Bonds are obligations of healthcare facilities, including community based hospitals and systems, as well as of health maintenance organizations and long-term care facilities.

Higher Education Bonds are obligations secured by revenue collected by either public or private secondary schools, colleges and universities. Such revenue can encompass all of an institution's revenue, including tuition and fees, or in other cases, can be specifically restricted to certain auxiliary sources of revenue.

Housing Revenue Bonds are obligations relating to both single and multi-family housing, issued by states and localities, supported by cash flow and, in some cases, insurance from entities such as the Federal Housing Administration.

Infrastructure Bonds include obligations issued by a variety of entities engaged in the financing of infrastructure projects, such as roads, airports, ports, social infrastructure and other physical assets delivering essential services supported by long-term concession arrangements with a public sector entity.

Investor-Owned Utility Bonds are obligations primarily backed by investor-owned utilities, first mortgage bond obligations of for-profit electric or water utilities providing retail, industrial and commercial service, and also include sale-leaseback obligation bonds supported by such entities.

Regulated Utilities Obligations are issued by government-regulated providers of essential services and commodities, including electric, water and gas utilities. The majority of the Company's international regulated utility business is conducted in the UK.

Pooled Infrastructure Obligations are synthetic asset-backed obligations that take the form of CDS obligations or credit-linked notes that reference either infrastructure finance obligations or a pool of such obligations, with a defined deductible to cover credit risks associated with the referenced obligations.

Other public finance: primarily includes government insured student loans, government-sponsored project finance and structured municipal which includes excess of loss reinsurance on portfolios of municipal credits.

Pooled Corporate Obligations are securities primarily backed by various types of corporate debt obligations, such as secured or unsecured bonds, bank loans or loan participations and trust preferred securities. These securities are often issued in "tranches," with subordinated tranches providing credit support to the more senior tranches. The Company's financial guaranty exposures generally are to the more senior tranches of these issues.

Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities ("RMBS") and Home Equity Securities are obligations backed by closed-end first mortgage loans and closed- and open-end second mortgage loans or home equity loans on one-to-four family residential properties, including condominiums and cooperative apartments. First mortgage loan products in these transactions include fixed rate, adjustable rate ("ARM") and option adjustable-rate ("Option ARM") mortgages. The credit quality of borrowers covers a broad range, including "prime", "subprime" and "Alt-A". A prime borrower is generally defined as one with strong risk characteristics as measured by factors such as payment history, credit score, and debt-to-income ratio. A subprime borrower is a borrower with

Page 32



higher risk characteristics, usually as determined by credit score and/or credit history. An Alt-A borrower is generally defined as a prime quality borrower that lacks certain ancillary characteristics, such as fully documented income.

Structured Credit Securities include program-wide credit enhancement for commercial paper conduits in the U.S., and securities issued in whole business securitizations and intellectual property securitizations. Program-wide credit enhancement generally involves insuring against the default of ABS in a bank-sponsored commercial paper conduit. Securities issued in whole business and intellectual property securitizations are backed by revenue-producing assets sold to a limited-purpose company by an operating company, including franchise agreements, lease agreements, intellectual property and real property.

Consumer Receivables Securities are obligations backed by non-mortgage consumer receivables, such as automobile loans and leases, credit card receivables and other consumer receivables.

Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities ("CMBS") and other real estate related exposures are obligations backed by pools of commercial mortgages. The collateral supporting CMBS include office, multi-family, retail, hotel, industrial and other specialized or mixed-use properties.

Commercial Receivables Securities are obligations backed by equipment loans or leases, fleet auto financings, business loans and trade receivables. Credit support is derived from the cash flows generated by the underlying obligations, as well as property or equipment values as applicable.

Insurance Securitization Securities are obligations secured by the future earnings from pools of various types of insurance/reinsurance policies and income produced by invested assets.

Other Structured Finance Securities are obligations backed by assets not generally described in any of the other described categories.

Page 33


Endnotes related to non-GAAP financial measures discussed in the financial supplement:

The Company references financial measures that are not in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America ("GAAP").

Assured Guaranty's management and board of directors utilize non-GAAP measures in evaluating the Company's financial performance and as a basis for determining senior management incentive compensation. By providing these non-GAAP financial measures, investors, analysts and financial news reporters have access to the same information that management reviews internally. In addition, Assured Guaranty's presentation of non-GAAP financial measures is consistent with how analysts calculate their estimates of Assured Guaranty's financial results in their research reports on Assured Guaranty and with how investors, analysts and the financial news media evaluate Assured Guaranty's financial results.

The following paragraphs define each non-GAAP financial measure and describe why they are useful. A reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measure and the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure, if available, is presented above. Non-GAAP financial measures should not be viewed as substitutes for their most directly comparable GAAP measures.

Operating Income:    Management believes that operating income is a useful measure because it clarifies the understanding of the underwriting results of the Company's financial guaranty insurance business, and also includes financing costs and net investment income, and enables investors and analysts to evaluate the Company's financial results as compared to the consensus analyst estimates distributed publicly by financial databases. Operating income is defined as net income (loss) attributable to Assured Guaranty Corp., as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

    1)
    Elimination of the after-tax realized gains (losses) on the Company's investments, including other than temporary impairments, and credit and interest rate related gains and losses from sales of securities. Impairments and losses from sales of credit-impaired securities, the timing of which depends largely on market credit cycles, can vary considerably across periods. The timing of other sales that would result in gains or losses, such as interest rate related gains or losses, is largely subject to the Company's discretion and influenced by market opportunities, as well as the Company's tax and capital profile. Trends in the underlying profitability of the Company's business can be more clearly identified without the fluctuating effects of these transactions.

    2)
    Elimination of the after-tax non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives, which is the amount in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss. Additionally, such adjustments present all financial guaranty contracts on a more consistent basis of accounting, whether or not they are subject to derivative accounting rules.

    3)
    Elimination of the after-tax fair value gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities. Such amounts are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

    4)
    Elimination of the after-tax foreign exchange gains (losses) on revaluation of net premium receivables. Long-dated receivables constitute a significant portion of the net premium receivable balance and represent the present value of future contractual or expected collections. Therefore, the current period's foreign exchange revaluation gains (losses) are not necessarily indicative of the total foreign exchange gains (losses) that the Company will ultimately recognize.

    5)
    Elimination of the effects of consolidating certain financial guaranty VIEs in order to present all financial guaranty contracts on a more consistent basis of accounting, whether or not GAAP requires consolidation. GAAP requires the Company to consolidate certain VIEs that have issued debt obligations insured by the Company even though the Company does not own such VIEs and is not liable for such debt obligations.

    6)
    Elimination of goodwill impairment.

Operating Shareholder's Equity:    Management believes that operating shareholders' equity is a useful measure because it presents the equity of Assured Guaranty Ltd. with all financial guaranty contracts accounted for on a more consistent basis and excluding fair value adjustments that are not expected to result in economic loss. Many investors, analysts and financial news reporters use operating shareholders' equity as the principal financial measure for valuing Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s current share price or projected share price and also as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell the Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s common shares. Many of the Company's fixed income investors also use operating shareholders' equity to evaluate the Company's capital adequacy. Operating shareholders' equity is the basis of the calculation of adjusted book value (see below). Operating shareholders' equity is the basis of the calculation of adjusted book value (see below). Operating shareholders' equity is defined as shareholder's equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Corp., as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

    1)
    Elimination of the effects of consolidating certain VIEs in order to present all financial guaranty contracts on a more consistent basis of accounting, whether or not GAAP requires consolidation. GAAP requires the Company to consolidate certain VIEs that have issued debt obligations insured by the Company even though the Company does not own such VIEs and is not liable for such debt obligations.

Page 34


    2)
    Elimination of the after-tax non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives, which is the amount in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

    3)
    Elimination of the after-tax fair value gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities. Such amounts are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

    4)
    Elimination of the after-tax unrealized gains (losses) on the Company's investments, that are recorded as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income (AOCI) (excluding foreign exchange revaluation). The AOCI component of the fair value adjustment on the investment portfolio is not deemed economic because the Company generally holds these investments to maturity and therefore will not recognize an economic loss.

Operating return on equity ("Operating ROE"):    Operating ROE represents operating income for a specified period divided by the average of operating shareholders' equity at the beginning and the end of that period. Management believes that operating ROE is a useful measure to evaluate the Company's return on invested capital. Many investors, analysts and members of the financial news media use operating ROE to evaluate Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s share price and as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell the Assured Guaranty Ltd. common shares. Quarterly and year-to-date operating ROE are calculated on an annualized basis.

Adjusted Book Value:    Management believes that adjusted book value is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the net present value of the Company's in force premiums and revenues in addition to operating shareholders' equity. The premiums and revenues included in adjusted book value will be earned in future periods, but actual earnings may differ materially from the estimated amounts used in determining current adjusted book value due to changes in, foreign exchange rates, refinancing or refunding activity, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults and other factors. Many investors, analysts and financial news reporters use adjusted book value to evaluate Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s share price and as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell the Assured Guaranty Ltd. common shares. Adjusted book value is operating shareholders' equity, as defined above, further adjusted for the following:

    1)
    Elimination of after-tax deferred acquisition costs. These amounts represent net deferred expenses that have already been paid or accrued that will be expensed in future accounting periods.

    2)
    Addition of the after-tax net present value of estimated net future credit derivative revenue. See below.

    3)
    Addition of the after-tax value of the unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of net expected loss to be expensed, net of reinsurance. This amount represents the expected future net earned premiums, net of expected losses to be expensed, which are not reflected in GAAP equity.

Net present value of estimated net future credit derivative revenue:    Management believes that this amount is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the value of future estimated credit derivative revenue. There is no corresponding GAAP financial measure. This amount represents the present value of estimated future revenue from the Company's credit derivative in-force book of business, net of reinsurance, ceding commissions and premium taxes in excess of expected losses, and is discounted at 6% (which represents the Company's tax-equivalent pre-tax investment yield on its investment portfolio). Estimated net future credit derivative revenue may change from period to period due to changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation.

PVP or present value of new business production:    Management believes that PVP is a useful measure because it enables the evaluation of the value of new business production for Assured Guaranty by taking into account the value of estimated future installment premiums on all new contracts underwritten in a reporting period as well as premium supplements and additional installment premium on existing contracts as to which the issuer has the right to call the insured obligation but has not exercised such right, whether in insurance or credit derivative contract form, which GAAP gross premiums written and the net credit derivative premiums received and receivable portion of net realized gains and other settlement on credit derivatives ("Credit Derivative Revenues") do not adequately measure. PVP in respect of insurance and credit derivative contracts written in a specified period is defined as gross upfront and installment premiums received and the present value of gross estimated future installment premiums, in each case, discounted at 6% (the Company's tax-equivalent pre-tax investment yield on its investment portfolio). For purposes of the PVP calculation, management discounts estimated future installment premiums on insurance contracts at 6%, while under GAAP, these amounts are discounted at a risk free rate. Additionally, under GAAP, management records future installment premiums on financial guaranty insurance contracts covering non-homogeneous pools of assets based on the contractual term of the transaction, whereas for PVP purposes, management records an estimate of the future installment premiums the Company expects to receive, which may be based upon a shorter period of time than the contractual term of the transaction. Actual future net earned or written premiums and Credit Derivative Revenues may differ from PVP due to factors including, but not limited to, changes in foreign exchange rates, refinancing or refunding activity, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults, or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation.

Page 35


LOGO

    Contacts:

Equity Investors:
Sabra Purtill
Managing Director, Investor Relations
(212) 408-6044
spurtill@assuredguaranty.com

Ross Aron
Assistant Vice President, Investor Relations
(212) 261-5509
raron@assuredguaranty.com

 

 

 

Assured Guaranty Corp.
31 West 52nd Street
New York, NY 10019
(212) 974-0100
www.assuredguaranty.com

 

Fixed Income Investors:
Robert Tucker
Managing Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations
(212) 339-0861
rtucker@assuredguaranty.com

Michael Walker
Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations
(212) 261-5575
mwalker@assuredguaranty.com

Media:
Betsy Castenir
Managing Director, Corporate Communications
(212) 339-3424
bcastenir@assuredguaranty.com

Ashweeta Durani
Vice President, Corporate Communications
(212) 408-6042
adurani@assuredguaranty.com

 




QuickLinks

Assured Guaranty Corp. September 30, 2010 Financial Supplement
Assured Guaranty Corp. Selected Financial Highlights (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Consolidated Statements of Operations (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Consolidated Balance Sheets (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Claims Paying Resources (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. New Business Production (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Underwriting Gain (Loss) (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Investment Portfolio As of September 30, 2010 (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Estimated Net Exposure Amortization 1 and Estimated Future Net Premium and Credit Derivative Revenues (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp Present Value ("PV") of Financial Guaranty Net Insurance Losses to be Expensed (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Financial Guaranty Profile (1 of 3) (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Financial Guaranty Profile (2 of 3) (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Financial Guaranty Profile (3 of 3) (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Consolidated U.S. RMBS Profile (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Profile (1 of 2) (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Profile (2 of 2) (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Commercial Real Estate Profile (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Direct U.S. Consumer Receivables Profile (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Direct Credit Derivative Net Par Outstanding Profile (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Below Investment Grade Exposures (1 of 3) As of September 30, 2010 (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Below Investment Grade Exposures (2 of 3) As of September 30, 2010 (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Below Investment Grade Exposures (3 of 3) As of September 30, 2010 (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Largest Exposures by Sector (1 of 4) As of September 30, 2010 (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Largest Exposures by Sector (2 of 4) As of September 30, 2010 (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Largest Exposures by Sector (3 of 4) As of September 30, 2010 (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Largest Exposures by Sector (4 of 4) As of September 30, 2010 (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense ("LAE") Reserves by Segment/Type (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Financial Guaranty Insurance and Credit Derivatives U.S. RMBS Representations and Warranties ("R&W") Benefit Development (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Financial Guaranty Direct and Reinsurance Segment Losses Incurred and Paid As of September 30, 2010 (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Corp. Summary of Statutory Financial and Statistical Data (dollars in millions)
Glossary