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Supplemental Investor Package
_______________________________________________
Third Quarter 2010

 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 






Investor Contact:
Jennifer DiBerardino
Senior Vice President, Investor Relations and Treasurer
Tel:  973-948-1364
jennifer.diberardino@selective.com
 
 
 
 

 
Selective Insurance Group, Inc.
                                           
Selected Balance Sheet Data (unaudited)
                                       
($ in thousands, except per share amounts)
                                       
                                             
   
September 30,
   
September 30,
   
December 31,
 
   
2010
   
2009
   
2009
 
           
Unrealized/
             
Unrecognized/
           
Unrecognized/
 
   
Balance
 
Market
 
Unrecognized
   
Balance
 
Market
   
Unrealized
   
Balance
 
Market
 
Unrealized
 
   
Sheet
 
Value
 
Gain/(Loss)
   
Sheet
 
Value
 
(Loss)/Gain
   
Sheet
 
Value
 
(Loss)/Gain
 
Invested Assets:
                                           
  Corporate bonds1
  $ 1,548,160     1,569,975     73,054     $ 1,122,000     1,134,012       (23,009 )   $ 1,144,692     1,163,973     (13,031 )
  Government and municipal bonds
    1,939,587     1,985,217     121,589       2,170,426     2,194,067       96,828       2,201,580     2,212,107     72,101  
Total bonds
    3,487,747     3,555,192     194,643       3,292,426     3,328,079       73,819       3,346,272     3,376,080     59,070  
  Equities
    63,116     63,116     8,065       89,892     89,892       13,087       80,264     80,264     15,874  
  Short-term investments
    265,043     265,043     -       236,896     236,896       -       213,848     213,848     -  
  Other investments
    154,728     154,728     (19,452 )     147,482     147,482       (20,381 )     140,667     140,667     (25,774 )
Total invested assets
    3,970,634     4,038,079     183,256       3,766,696     3,802,349       66,525       3,781,051     3,810,859     49,170  
                                                               
                                                               
Invested assets per $ of stockholders' equity
    3.64                   3.82                     3.77              
                                                               
Total assets
    5,334,521                   5,158,303                     5,114,827              
                                                               
  Liabilities:
                                                             
  Reserve for losses and loss expenses
    2,809,797                   2,718,855                     2,745,799              
  Unearned premium reserve
    880,698                   895,446                     844,847              
                                                               
Total liabilities
    4,242,205                   4,171,974                     4,112,452              
                                                               
Stockholders' equity
    1,092,316                   986,329                     1,002,375              
                                                               
Total debt to capitalization ratio
    19.4 %                 21.0 %                   21.5 %            
Adjusted total debt to capitalization ratio 2
    13.8 %                 15.0 %                   15.6 %            
                                                               
Book value per share
    20.41                   18.58                     18.83              
                                                               
Book value per share excluding
                                                             
  unrealized gain or loss on bond portfolio
    18.87                   18.12                     18.47              
                                                               
NPW per insurance segment employee
    760                   772                     766              
                                                               
Statutory premiums to surplus ratio
    1.4 x                 1.6 x                   1.5 x            
                                                               
Statutory surplus
    1,034,321                   903,505                     981,955              
                                                               
1 Includes mortgage-backed and asset-backed securities.
                         
2 The adjusted debt to capitalization ratio reflects an estimated equity treatment of 75% applied to our $100 million Junior Subordinated Notes issued September 25, 2006.
 

 
1

 
Selective Insurance Group, Inc.
                                               
Selected Income Statement Data (unaudited)
                                               
September 2010
   
THREE MONTHS ENDED September 30,
   
NINE MONTHS ENDED September 30,
 
($ in thousands, except per share amounts)
 
2010
   
2009
   
2010
 
2009
       Per diluted share        Per diluted share            Per diluted share          Per diluted share  
Consolidated
                                                 
Revenue
    $ 389,702           $ 390,175           $ 1,170,532           $ 1,124,216        
Operating income
      18,794       0.35       23,845       0.44       47,641       0.88       49,211       0.92  
Net realized gains (losses), after tax
    37       -       (3,239 )     (0.06 )     (2,126 )     (0.04 )     (26,197 )     (0.49 )
Income from continuing operations
    18,831       0.35       20,606       0.38       45,515       0.84       23,014       0.43  
Loss on discontinued operations, after tax
    (1,634 )     (0.03 )     (7,599 )     (0.14 )     (3,749 )     (0.07 )     (7,196 )     (0.13 )
Net income
      17,197       0.32       13,007       0.24       41,766       0.77       15,818       0.30  
Operating return on equity
    7.0 %             9.9 %             6.1 %             7.0 %        
                                                                   
Insurance Operations
                                                                 
Gross premiums written
    446,684               446,419               1,295,622               1,312,630          
Net premiums written
    367,114               376,718               1,088,729               1,117,764          
Net premiums earned
    354,709               355,906               1,063,101               1,078,090          
Underwriting (loss) gain
 - before tax
    (3,933 )             (142 )             (21,699 )             2,927          
 
 - after tax
    (2,556 )     (0.05 )     (92 )     -       (14,104 )     (0.26 )     1,903       0.04  
GAAP combined ratio
    101.1 %             100.0 %             102.0 %             99.7 %        
                                                                   
Commercial lines
                                                                 
Net premiums earned
    293,225               301,279               884,134               918,069          
GAAP combined ratio
    100.0 %             99.3 %             100.9 %             98.9 %        
Personal lines
                                                                 
Net premiums earned
    61,484               54,627               178,967               160,021          
GAAP combined ratio
    106.4 %             104.2 %             107.8 %             104.5 %        
                                                                   
Investments
                                                                 
Net investment income
 - before tax
    32,986               36,585               104,237               78,670          
 
 - after tax
    25,305       0.46       28,382       0.53       80,058       1.47       65,392       1.23  
Effective tax rate
      23.3 %             22.4 %             23.2 %             16.9 %        
Annual after-tax yield on investment portfolio
                                    2.8 %             2.4 %        
Annual after-tax, after-interest expense yield
                                    2.4 %             2.0 %        
Invested assets per $ of stockholders' equity
                                    3.64               3.82          
                                                                   
Other expenses (net of other income)
                                                               
Interest expense
 - before tax
    (4,559 )             (4,751 )             (14,056 )             (14,618 )        
 
 - after tax
    (2,963 )     (0.05 )     (3,089 )     (0.06 )     (9,136 )     (0.17 )     (9,502 )     (0.18 )
                                                                   
Other - after tax
    $ (992 )     (0.01 )   $ (1,356 )     (0.03 )     (9,177 )     (0.16 )   $ (8,582 )     (0.17 )
                                                                   
Diluted weighted avg. shares outstanding
    54,573               53,548               54,390               53,312          

 
2

 
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
GAAP Investment Income
 (unaudited)
 ($ in thousands)
 
     
For the three months ended
   
%
   
Year to Date
   
%
 
     
September
   
September
   
Increase
   
September
   
September
   
Increase
 
     
2010
   
2009
   
(Decrease)
   
2010
   
2009
   
(Decrease)
 
Investment Income:
                                   
 
Interest:
                                   
 
      Fixed Maturity Securities
    31,741       34,747       (8.7 )     97,914       106,980       (8.5 )
 
      Short-term
    134       237       (43.5 )     367       1,161       (68.4 )
 
Alternative Investments
    2,359       2,660       (11.3 )     11,122       (26,744 )     141.6  
 
Dividends
    347       551       (37.0 )     1,279       1,562       (18.1 )
 
Changes in Fair Value
    -       -       N/M       -       262       (100.0 )
 
Miscellaneous
    41       53       (22.6 )     94       293       (67.9 )
        34,622       38,248       (9.5 )     110,776       83,514       32.6  
                                                   
Investment Expense
    1,636       1,663       (1.6 )     6,539       4,844       35.0  
                                                   
Net Investment Income Before Tax
    32,986       36,585       (9.8 )     104,237       78,670       32.5  
                                                   
Tax
      7,681       8,203       (6.4 )     24,179       13,278       82.1  
                                                   
Net Investment Income After Tax
  $ 25,305       28,382       (10.8 )   $ 80,058       65,392       22.4  
                                                   
Net Investment Income per Share
  $ 0.46       0.53       (13.2 )   $ 1.47       1.23       19.5  
                                                   
                                                   
Effective Tax Rate
    23.3 %     22.4 %             23.2 %     16.9 %        
                                                   
Average Yields :
                                               
                                                   
     Fixed Maturity Securities:
                                               
 
Pre Tax
                            3.60 %     4.25 %        
 
After Tax
                            2.81 %     3.35 %        
                                                   
     Portfolio:
                                                 
 
Pre Tax
                            3.59 %     2.87 %        
 
After Tax
                            2.75 %     2.39 %        
                                                   
                                                   
     
For the three months ended
            Year to date:          
     
  September
   
  September
           
   September
   
   September
         
Net Realized Gains(Losses)
    2010       2009               2010       2009          
 
     Total Fixed Maturities
    1,791       (4,392 )             (14,806 )     (38,038 )        
 
     Total Equity Securities
    (1,734 )     259               11,535       (225 )        
 
     Total Other Investments
    -       (850 )             -       (2,039 )        
                                                   
 
Total
    57       (4,983 )             (3,271 )     (40,302 )        
 
Net of Tax
    37       (3,239 )             (2,126 )     (26,197 )        
 
 
3

 
Selective Insurance Group, Inc.
                                                             
2010 Statutory Results by Line of Business
                                                       
3rd Qtr 2010 (unaudited)
                                                                 
($ in thousands)
                                                                 
                                                                   
   
Net
         
Net
                     
Underwriting
   
Dividends to
                   
   
Premiums
   
Percent
   
Premiums
   
Percent
   
Loss
   
LAE
   
Expense
   
Policyholders
   
Combined Ratio
   
Combined Ratio
   
Underwriting
 
   
Written
   
Change
   
Earned
   
Change
   
Ratio
   
Ratio
   
Ratio
   
Ratio
   
2010
   
2009
   
Gain/(Loss)
 
Personal Lines:
                                                                 
                                                                   
Homeowners
  $ 28,261       20.1 %   $ 22,544       21.1 %     70.9 %     7.6 %     29.9 %     0.0 %     108.4 %     100.1 %   $ (3,589 )
Auto
    38,445       7.9 %     35,928       7.8 %     67.6 %     11.9 %     29.5 %     0.0 %     109.0 %     110.9 %     (3,959 )
Other (including flood)
    3,403       8.6 %     3,013       11.7 %     73.8 %     (17.2 )%     (62.0 )%     0.0 %     (5.4 )%     2.5 %     3,419  
Total
  $ 70,110       12.6 %   $ 61,484       12.6 %     69.1 %     8.9 %     25.2 %     0.0 %     103.2 %     101.8 %   $ (4,129 )
                                                                                         
Commercial Lines:
                                                                                       
                                                                                         
Fire/IM
  $ 53,764       (3.2 )%   $ 49,558       (0.6 )%     50.1 %     4.6 %     35.6 %     (0.1 )%     90.2 %     81.2 %   $ 3,352  
Workers compensation
    57,997       (12.3 )%     61,179       (5.5 )%     85.9 %     15.0 %     28.0 %     1.3 %     130.2 %     110.9 %     (17,598 )
General liability
    84,141       (5.3 )%     83,249       (5.7 )%     47.6 %     17.3 %     34.2 %     0.0 %     99.1 %     103.9 %     442  
Auto
    75,425       (5.9 )%     73,440       (2.7 )%     45.0 %     9.2 %     29.1 %     0.0 %     83.3 %     98.5 %     11,688  
BOP
    15,632       (1.3 )%     16,400       3.8 %     57.5 %     13.4 %     34.8 %     0.0 %     105.7 %     101.2 %     (667 )
Bonds
    5,295       0.5 %     4,884       5.4 %     11.9 %     7.6 %     56.8 %     0.0 %     76.3 %     89.5 %     922  
Other
    2,764       5.2 %     2,529       4.2 %     0.9 %     0.2 %     46.5 %     0.0 %     47.6 %     47.1 %     1,215  
Total
  $ 295,019       (6.2 )%   $ 291,239       (3.3 )%     55.0 %     12.1 %     32.4 %     0.3 %     99.8 %     99.5 %   $ (646 )
                                                                                         
Grand Total
  $ 365,129       (3.1 )%   $ 352,723       (0.9 )%     57.4 %     11.5 %     31.2 %     0.2 %     100.3 %     99.8 %   $ (4,775 )
                                                                                         
Note: Some amounts may not foot due to rounding.
                                                           
                                                                                         
              2010       2009                                                                  
   
Losses Paid
    $ 219,404     $ 177,750                                                                  
   
LAE Paid
      40,101       38,686                                                                  
   
Total Paid
    $ 259,505     $ 216,436                                                                  
                                                                                     
 
 
4

 
Selective Insurance Group, Inc.
                                                             
2010 Statutory Results by Line of Business
                                                       
September 2010 YTD (unaudited)
                                                             
($ in thousands)
                                                                 
                                                                   
   
Net
         
Net
                     
Underwriting
   
Dividends to
                   
   
Premiums
   
Percent
   
Premiums
   
Percent
   
Loss
   
LAE
   
Expense
   
Policyholders
   
Combined Ratio
   
Combined Ratio
   
Underwriting
 
   
Written
   
Change
   
Earned
   
Change
   
Ratio
   
Ratio
   
Ratio
   
Ratio
   
2010
   
2009
   
Gain/(Loss)
 
Personal Lines:
                                                                 
                                                                   
Homeowners
  $ 71,656       19.9 %   $ 64,163       20.3 %     70.6 %     7.6 %     31.9 %     0.0 %     110.1 %     107.6 %   $ (8,840 )
Auto
    112,278       8.7 %     105,490       6.3 %     71.1 %     11.6 %     29.6 %     0.0 %     112.3 %     108.4 %   $ (14,936 )
Other (including flood)
    9,000       9.2 %     9,314       24.5 %     57.5 %     (18.0 )%     (43.1 )%     0.0 %     (3.6 )%     12.0 %     9,517  
Total
  $ 192,934       12.7 %   $ 178,967       11.8 %     70.2 %     8.6 %     27.1 %     0.0 %     105.9 %     103.6 %   $ (14,259 )
                                                                                         
Commercial Lines:
                                                                                       
                                                                                         
Fire/IM
  $ 153,405       (1.6 )%   $ 150,188       1.7 %     54.9 %     4.2 %     37.3 %     (0.1 )%     96.3 %     86.8 %   $ 4,384  
Workers compensation
    187,540       (7.6 )%     187,889       (6.9 )%     79.9 %     15.6 %     27.1 %     1.8 %     124.4 %     101.2 %     (45,833 )
General liability
    257,188       (8.5 )%     252,438       (8.0 )%     44.0 %     17.0 %     34.2 %     (0.1 )%     95.1 %     104.0 %     10,704  
Auto
    223,680       (5.3 )%     220,932       (2.5 )%     49.7 %     8.3 %     29.5 %     (0.1 )%     87.4 %     97.9 %     27,120  
BOP
    48,887       1.9 %     48,838       4.9 %     73.3 %     13.7 %     34.5 %     0.0 %     121.5 %     112.9 %     (10,532 )
Bonds
    15,136       4.6 %     14,315       3.6 %     15.2 %     6.3 %     59.8 %     0.0 %     81.3 %     91.2 %     2,178  
Other
    7,972       2.9 %     7,549       5.0 %     1.9 %     0.3 %     44.8 %     0.0 %     47.0 %     45.7 %     3,812  
Total
  $ 893,809       (5.6 )%   $ 882,148       (3.9 )%     55.7 %     11.8 %     32.7 %     0.3 %     100.5 %     98.9 %   $ (8,167 )
                                                                                         
Grand Total
  $ 1,086,744       (2.8 )%   $ 1,061,116       (1.6 )%     58.2 %     11.3 %     31.6 %     0.3 %     101.4 %     99.6 %   $ (22,426 )
                                                                                         
Note: Some amounts may not foot due to rounding.
                                                                         
                                                                                         
              2010       2009                                                                  
   
Losses Paid
    $ 588,974     $ 572,020                                                                  
   
LAE Paid
      114,703       116,193                                                                  
   
Total Paid
    $ 703,677     $ 688,213                                                                  
                                                                                       

 
5

 
SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
 
Unaudited
       
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
 
September 30,
   
December 31,
 
($ in thousands, except share amounts)
 
2010
   
2009
 
ASSETS
           
Investments:
           
Fixed maturity securities, held-to-maturity – at carry value
           
    (fair value:  $1,440,143 – 2010; $1,740,211  – 2009)
  $ 1,372,698       1,710,403  
Fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale – at fair value
               
    (amortized cost:  $2,006,685 – 2010; $1,616,456 – 2009)
    2,115,049       1,635,869  
Equity securities, available-for-sale – at fair value
               
    (cost of:  $55,051 – 2010; $64,390 – 2009)
    63,116       80,264  
Short-term investments (at cost which approximates fair value)
    265,043       213,848  
Other investments
    154,728       140,667  
Total investments
    3,970,634       3,781,051  
Cash
    422       811  
Interest and dividends due or accrued
    36,283       34,651  
Premiums receivable, net of allowance for uncollectible
               
    accounts of:  $4,856 – 2010; $5,880  – 2009
    460,394       446,577  
Reinsurance recoverables, net
    307,105       276,018  
Prepaid reinsurance premiums
    115,745       105,522  
Current federal income tax
    24,760       17,662  
Deferred federal income tax
    79,799       111,038  
Property and equipment – at cost, net of accumulated
               
    depreciation and amortization of:  $149,255 – 2010; $141,251 – 2009
    41,832       46,287  
Deferred policy acquisition costs
    218,590       218,601  
Goodwill
    7,849       7,849  
Other assets
    71,108       68,760  
    Total assets
  $ 5,334,521       5,114,827  
                 
LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY
               
Liabilities:
               
Reserve for losses and loss expenses
  $ 2,809,797       2,745,799  
Unearned premiums
    880,698       844,847  
Notes payable
    262,326       274,606  
Accrued salaries and benefits
    101,464       103,802  
Other liabilities
    187,920       143,398  
   Total liabilities
  $ 4,242,205       4,112,452  
                 
Stockholders’ Equity:
               
Preferred stock of $0 par value per share:
               
   Authorized shares 5,000,000; no shares issued or outstanding
  $ -       -  
Common stock of $2 par value per share
               
   Authorized shares 360,000,000
               
   Issued:  96,189,223 – 2010; 95,822,959 – 2009
    192,378       191,646  
Additional paid-in capital
    241,472       231,933  
Retained earnings
    1,159,496       1,138,978  
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)
    48,220       (12,460 )
Treasury stock – at cost (shares:  42,677,198 – 2010; 42,578,779 – 2009)
    (549,250 )     (547,722 )
   Total stockholders’ equity
    1,092,316       1,002,375  
Commitments and contingencies
               
    Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity
  $ 5,334,521       5,114,827  

 
6

 
SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
                       
UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME
 
Quarter ended
   
Nine Months ended
 
   
September 30,
 
September 30,
 
($ in thousands, except per share amounts)
 
2010
   
2009
   
2010
   
2009
 
Revenues:
                       
Net premiums earned
  $ 354,709       355,906       1,063,101       1,078,090  
Net investment income earned
    32,986       36,585       104,237       78,670  
Net realized gains (losses):
                               
    Net realized investment gains (losses)
    2,864       (741 )     13,960       3,515  
    Other-than-temporary impairments
    (4,091 )     (5,833 )     (16,326 )     (45,467 )
    Other-than-temporary impairments on fixed maturity securities
                               
              recognized in other comprehensive income
    1,284       1,591       (905 )     1,650  
          Total net realized gains (losses)
    57       (4,983 )     (3,271 )     (40,302 )
Other income
    1,950       2,667       6,465       7,758  
    Total revenues
    389,702       390,175       1,170,532       1,124,216  
                                 
Expenses:
                               
Losses and loss expenses incurred
    245,019       242,032       739,142       733,275  
Policy acquisition costs
    114,042       114,520       346,143       342,148  
Interest expense
    4,559       4,751       14,056       14,618  
Other expenses
    4,022       7,045       18,636       21,083  
    Total expenses
    367,642       368,348       1,117,977       1,111,124  
                                 
Income from continuing operations, before federal income tax
    22,060       21,827       52,555       13,092  
                                 
Federal income tax expense (benefit):
                               
Current
    (1,691 )     (426 )     8,475       3,818  
Deferred
    4,920       1,647       (1,435 )     (13,740 )
    Total federal income tax expense (benefit)
    3,229       1,221       7,040       (9,922 )
                                 
Net income from continuing operations
    18,831       20,606       45,515       23,014  
                                 
Loss from discontinued operations, net of tax of $(4,147) for Third
                               
         Quarter 2009 and $(4,106) for Nine Months 2009
    -       (7,599 )     -       (7,196 )
Loss on disposal of discontinued operations, net of tax of $(880) for
                               
         Third Quarter 2010 and $(2,019) for Nine Months 2010
    (1,634 )     -       (3,749 )     -  
     Total discontinued operations, net of tax
    (1,634 )     (7,599 )     (3,749 )     (7,196 )
                                 
Net income
  $ 17,197       13,007       41,766       15,818  
                                 
Earnings per share:
                               
    Basic net income from continuing operations
    0.35       0.39       0.85       0.44  
    Basic net loss from disposal of discontinued operations
    (0.03 )     (0.14 )     (0.07 )     (0.14 )
    Basic net income
  $ 0.32       0.25       0.78       0.30  
                                 
    Diluted net income from continuing operations
    0.35       0.38       0.84       0.43  
    Diluted net loss from disposal of discontinued operations
    (0.03 )     (0.14 )     (0.07 )     (0.13 )
    Diluted net income
  $ 0.32       0.24       0.77       0.30  
                                 
Dividends to stockholders
  $ 0.13       0.13       0.39       0.39  

 
7

 
SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
     
UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF
     
STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY
     
   
Nine Months ended September 30,
 
($ in thousands, except per share amounts)
 
2010
   
2009
 
Common stock:
                       
Beginning of year
  $ 191,646             190,527        
Dividend reinvestment plan
                           
(shares:  81,471 – 2010; 96,265 – 2009)
    163             193        
Stock purchase and compensation plans
                           
(shares:  284,793 – 2010; 274,517 – 2009)
    569             549        
End of period
    192,378             191,269        
                             
Additional paid-in capital:
                           
Beginning of year
    231,933             217,195        
Dividend reinvestment plan
    1,098             1,136        
Stock purchase and compensation plans
    8,441             9,873        
End of period
    241,472             228,204        
                             
Retained earnings:
                           
Beginning of year
    1,138,978             1,128,149        
Cumulative effect adjustment due to adoption of other-than-temporary
                           
    impairment guidance under ASC 320, net of deferred income tax
    -             2,380        
Net income
    41,766       41,766       15,818       15,818  
Cash dividends to stockholders ($0.39 per share – 2010;
                               
$0.39 per share – 2009)
    (21,248 )             (20,932 )        
End of period
    1,159,496               1,125,415          
                                 
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss):
                               
Beginning of year
    (12,460 )             (100,666        
Cumulative-effect adjustment due to adoption of other-than-temporary
                               
    impairment guidance under ASC 320, net of deferred income tax
    -               (2,380 )        
Other comprehensive income (loss), increase (decrease) in:
                               
   Unrealized gains on investment securities:
                               
      Non-credit portion of other-than-temporary impairment losses
                               
          recognized in other comprehensive income, net of deferred income tax
    3,026               (998 )        
      Other net unrealized gains on investment securities, net of
                               
         deferred income tax
    55,556               91,529          
             Total unrealized gains on investment securities
    58,582       58,582       90,531       90,531  
   Defined benefit pension plans, net of deferred income tax
    2,098       2,098       1,377       1,377  
End of period
    48,220               (11,138 )        
Comprehensive income
            102,446               107,726  
                                 
Treasury stock:
                               
Beginning of year
    (547,722 )             (544,712 )        
Acquisition of treasury stock
                               
(shares:  98,419 – 2010; 172,937 – 2009)
    (1,528 )             (2,709 )        
End of period
    (549,250 )             (547,421 )        
Total stockholders’ equity
  $ 1,092,316               986,329          
 
 
8

 
 
SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
     
UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOW
 
Nine Months ended
 
   
September 30,
 
($ in thousands)
  2010     2009  
Operating Activities
           
Net Income
  $ 41,766       15,818  
                 
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities:
               
Depreciation and amortization
    23,175       21,045  
Loss on disposal of discontinued operations
    3,749       -  
Stock-based compensation expense
    9,774       9,178  
Undistributed (income) losses of equity method investments
    (6,338 )     26,744  
Net realized losses
    3,271       40,302  
Postretirement life curtailment benefit
    -       (4,217 )
Unrealized gain on trading securities
    -       (262 )
Goodwill impairment
    -       12,214  
Deferred tax benefit
    (1,435 )     (17,666 )
                 
Changes in assets and liabilities:
               
Increase in reserves for losses and loss expenses, net of reinsurance recoverables
    32,912       47,631  
Increase in unearned premiums, net of prepaid reinsurance and advance premiums
    25,123       39,121  
Increase (decrease) in net federal income tax recoverable
    (5,079 )     13,252  
Increase in premiums receivable
    (13,817 )     (10,275 )
Decrease (increase) in deferred policy acquisition costs
    11       (11,375 )
(Increase) decrease in interest and dividends due or accrued
    (1,491 )     1,038  
Decrease in accrued salaries and benefits
    (2,749 )     (10,920 )
Decrease in accrued insurance expenses
    (6,872 )     (4,242 )
Sale of trading securities
    -       2,831  
Other-net
    1,284       (2,905 )
Net adjustments
    61,518       151,494  
Net cash provided by operating activities
    103,284       167,312  
                 
Investing Activities
               
Purchase of fixed maturity securities, held-to-maturity
    -       (158,827 )
Purchase of fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale
    (699,133 )     (757,538 )
Purchase of equity securities, available-for-sale
    (47,930 )     (75,856 )
Purchase of other investments
    (14,348 )     (13,466 )
Purchase of short-term investments
    (1,409,971 )     (1,600,685 )
Sale of subsidiary
    681       -  
Sale of fixed maturity securities, held-to-maturity
    -       5,819  
Sale of fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale
    157,823       470,202  
Sale of short-term investments
    1,358,779       1,561,901  
Redemption and maturities of fixed maturity securities, held-to-maturity
    238,923       197,095  
Redemption and maturities of fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale
    251,875       88,402  
Sale of equity securities, available-for-sale
    76,277       125,211  
Proceeds from other investments
    18,468       23,149  
Purchase of property and equipment
    (4,062 )     (4,139 )
Net cash used in investing activities
    (72,618 )     (138,732 )
                 
Financing Activities
               
Dividends to stockholders
    (19,516 )     (19,833 )
Acquisition of treasury stock
    (1,528 )     (2,709 )
Principal payment of notes payable
    (12,300 )     (12,300 )
Net proceeds from stock purchase and compensation plans
    3,084       2,914  
Excess tax benefits from share-based payment arrangements
    (795 )     (1,125 )
Net cash used in financing activities
    (31,055 )     (33,053 )
Net decrease in cash and cash equivalents
    (389 )     (4,473 )
Net decrease in cash and cash equivalents from discontinued operations
    -       (1,609 )
Net decrease in cash from continuing operations
    (389 )     (2,864 )
Cash from continuing operations, beginning of year
    811       3,606  
Cash from continuing operations, end of period
  $ 422       742  

 
9

 
 Selective Insurance Group, Inc.
 Combined Insurance Company Subsidiaries
 Unaudited Statutory Balance Sheets
 ($ in thousands)
 
   
Sep-30
   
Sep-30
   
Dec-31
 
   
2010
   
2009
   
2009
 
                   
ASSETS
                 
Bonds
  $ 3,355,540       3,224,083       3,289,336  
Common stocks
    63,116       89,892       80,264  
Affiliated mortgage loan
    38,944       39,559       39,408  
Other investments
    190,958       162,798       176,983  
Short-term investments
    212,664       198,818       165,957  
Total investments
    3,861,222       3,715,150       3,751,948  
                         
Cash on hand and in banks*
    (33,420 )     (31,761 )     (29,110 )
Interest and dividends due and accrued
    36,448       35,649       34,808  
Premiums receivable
    456,588       487,220       443,223  
Reinsurance recoverable on paid losses and expenses
    6,097       5,202       4,408  
Federal income tax recoverable
    14,679       369       1,608  
Deferred tax recoverable
    123,873       88,821       119,377  
EDP equipment
    1,331       2,361       2,134  
Equities and deposits in pools and associations
    7,530       8,297       4,886  
Receivable for sold securities
    23,698       5,150       19,655  
Other assets
    31,964       29,462       29,747  
Total assets
  $ 4,530,010       4,345,920       4,382,684  
                         
LIABILITIES
                       
Reserve for losses
  $ 2,100,648       2,061,817       2,072,376  
Reinsurance payable on paid loss and loss expense
    1,191       924       1,011  
Reserve for loss expenses
    404,738       397,863       399,457  
Unearned premiums
    764,953       787,390       739,325  
Reserve for commissions payable
    41,525       43,666       49,237  
Ceded balances payable
    13,313       12,437       9,856  
Premium and other taxes payable
    23,129       21,372       22,283  
Borrowed money
    13,017       -       13,016  
Reserve for dividends to policyholders
    2,568       3,657       3,718  
Reserves for unauthorized reinsurance
    1,013       1,416       1,013  
Payable for securities
    45,918       24,962       -  
Funds withheld on account of others
    5,771       5,154       6,261  
Accrued salaries and benefits
    64,405       68,323       66,847  
Other liabilities
    13,500       13,434       16,329  
Total liabilities
    3,495,689       3,442,415       3,400,729  
                         
                         
POLICYHOLDERS' SURPLUS
                       
Capital
    28,325       28,325       28,325  
Aggregate write-ins for special surplus funds
    34,971       -       33,951  
Paid in surplus
    255,792       255,792       255,792  
Unassigned surplus*
    715,233       619,388       663,887  
Total policyholders' surplus
    1,034,321       903,505       981,955  
Total liabilities and policyholders' surplus
  $ 4,530,010       4,345,920       4,382,684  
 
* Prior year balances have been adjusted for $17K elimination entry
 
 
10

 
Selective Insurance Group, Inc.
Combined Insurance Company Subsidiaries
Unaudited Statutory Statements Of Income
($ in thousands)
 
   
Three Months Ended
         
Nine Months Ended
       
   
September
         
September
       
                                                 
UNDERWRITING
 
2010
         
2009
         
2010
         
2009
       
                                                 
                                                 
Net premiums written
  $ 365,129             376,718             1,086,744             1,117,764        
                                                         
Net premiums earned
    352,723             355,906             1,061,115             1,078,090        
                                                         
                                                         
Net losses paid
    219,404             177,750             588,974             572,020        
Change in reserve for losses
    (16,787 )           20,698             28,272             29,869        
Net losses incurred
    202,617       57.4 %     198,448       55.8 %     617,246       58.2 %     601,889       55.8 %
Net loss expenses paid
    40,101               38,686               114,703               116,193          
Change in reserve for loss expenses
    608               4,925               5,281               15,067          
Net loss expenses incurred
    40,709       11.5 %     43,611       12.3 %     119,984       11.3 %     131,260       12.2 %
Net underwriting expenses incurred
    114,210       31.4 %     120,436       32.0 %     346,042       31.8 %     355,291       31.8 %
     Total deductions
    357,536               362,495               1,083,272               1,088,440          
Statutory underwriting loss
    (4,813 )             (6,589 )             (22,157 )             (10,350 )        
                                                                 
                                                                 
                                                                 
Net loss from premium balances charged off
    (1,239 )             (1,078 )             (4,085 )             (3,446 )        
Finance charges and other income
    2,005               2,656               6,683               7,720          
Total other income
    766       -0.2 %     1,578       -0.6 %     2,598       -0.2 %     4,274       -0.4 %
Policyholders' dividends incurred
    (728 )     0.2 %     (991 )     0.3 %     (2,867 )     0.3 %     (2,268 )     0.2 %
Total underwriting loss
    (4,775 )     100.3 %     (6,002 )     99.8 %     (22,426 )     101.4 %     (8,344 )     99.6 %
                                                                 
                                                                 
INVESTMENT
                                                               
Net investment income earned
    31,750               35,481               98,659               95,980          
Net realized loss
    (108 )             (4,878 )             (3,373 )             (41,392 )        
Total income before income tax
    26,867               24,601               72,860               46,244          
Federal income tax expense
    990               3,269               17,304               17,362          
                                                                 
                                                                 
Net income
  $ 25,877               21,332               55,556               28,882          
                                                                 
                                                                 
Policyholders' Surplus
                                                               
Surplus, beginning of period
  $ 1,008,534               873,365               981,955               884,431          
                                                                 
                                                                 
Net income
    25,877               21,332               55,556               28,882          
Change in deferred tax
    (8,831 )             (919 )             (772 )             14,638          
Change in unrealized losses
    6,771               10,450               13,692               (11,245 )        
Dividends to stockholders
    (12,003 )             (12,515 )             (36,008 )             (24,518 )        
Paid in surplus
    -               -               -               20,000          
Change in cum. effect of acctg principle
    -               2,540               -               2,540          
Change in non-admitted assets
    15,279               9,252               19,114               (11,282 )        
Change in additional admitted deferred tax
    (1,446 )             -               1,020               -          
Surplus adjustments
    140               -               (236 )             59          
                                                                 
                                                                 
Net change in surplus for period
    25,787               30,140               52,366               19,074          
                                                                 
                                                                 
Surplus, end of period
  $ 1,034,321               903,505               1,034,321               903,505          
                                                                 
                                                                 
Statutory underwriting loss:
  $ (4,775 )             (6,002 )             (22,426 )             (8,344 )        
                                                                 
Adjustments under GAAP:
                                                               
Deferred policy acquisition costs
    390               5,678               (11 )             11,376          
Other, net
    452               182               738               (105 )        
GAAP underwriting (loss) gain
  $ (3,933 )             (142 )             (21,699 )             2,927          
                                                                 
 
Note: Some amounts or ratios may not foot due to rounding
 
 
11

 
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
Alternative Investments (Insurance Companies' Portfolio)
as of September 30, 2010
(unaudited)
     
Paid in
           
 
Inception
Original
Contributed
Remaining
Total
Current
YTD
DPI(1)
TVPI(2)
Fund
Year
Commitment
Capital
Commitment
Distributions
Market Value
Income
Ratio
Ratio
Real Estate
                 
LEH RE II
2005
20,000,000
17,301,168
2,698,832
7,438,741
10,006,633
(283,777)
0.43
1.01
GS Whitehall 2007
2007
15,000,000
14,250,000
750,000
-
2,753,703
(1,397,182)
-
0.19
LEH RE III
2008
15,000,000
6,256,937
8,743,063
29,004
2,948,792
(374,733)
0.00
0.48
Total - Real Estate
 
50,000,000
37,808,105
12,191,895
7,467,745
15,709,128
(2,055,692)
0.20
0.61
Mezzanine Financing
                 
GS Mezz III
2003
10,000,000
4,362,674
5,637,326
7,596,979
3,722,882
197,330
1.74
2.59
LEH Euro Mezz
2004
9,000,000
9,000,000
-
12,355,149
1,740,876
(599,037)
1.37
1.57
GS Mezz 2006
2006
15,000,000
9,771,217
5,228,783
1,875,410
8,439,788
2,705,439
0.19
1.06
GS Mezz V
2007
25,000,000
9,747,331
15,252,669
3,104,720
9,505,955
702,225
0.32
1.29
Total - Mezz. Financing
 
59,000,000
32,881,222
26,118,778
24,932,258
23,409,501
3,005,957
0.76
1.47
Distressed Debt
                 
Varde LP
1997
4,000,000
4,000,000
-
12,146,213
-
16,619
3.04
3.04
Varde VIII
2006
10,000,000
10,000,000
-
-
11,719,123
(58,002)
-
1.17
GS Distressed Opp III
2007
15,000,000
10,389,138
4,610,862
512,894
8,660,524
1,236,658
0.05
0.88
Total - Distressed Debt
 
29,000,000
24,389,138
4,610,862
12,659,107
20,379,647
1,195,274
0.52
1.35
Private Equity
                 
Prospector
1997
5,000,000
5,000,000
-
13,965,078
411,566
(82,745)
2.79
2.88
Trilantic Capital Partners III
2004
10,000,000
9,076,175
923,825
5,943,965
7,097,044
48,705
0.65
1.44
NB Co-Invest
2006
15,000,000
11,190,692
3,809,308
3,685,797
8,548,788
776,035
0.33
1.09
GS PEP Asia
2007
7,000,000
2,300,371
4,699,629
25,606
2,013,111
51,342
0.01
0.89
Trilantic Capital Partners IV
2007
11,098,351
5,104,390
5,993,961
13,611
5,164,301
556,271
0.00
1.01
Total - Private Equity
 
48,098,351
32,671,628
15,426,724
23,634,057
23,234,810
1,349,609
0.72
1.43
Private Equity, Secondary Market
             
NB SOF
2005
12,000,000
11,100,506
899,494
5,255,537
7,257,635
654,808
0.47
1.13
GS Vintage IV
2007
20,000,000
14,414,450
5,585,550
2,064,628
13,650,620
2,385,301
0.14
1.09
NB SOF II
2008
12,000,000
3,972,476
8,027,524
502,534
4,422,045
656,368
0.13
1.24
GS Vintage V
2008
10,000,000
3,328,337
6,671,663
179,522
3,274,561
228,037
0.05
1.04
Total - Pvt. Eq. Sec. Mkt.
54,000,000
32,815,769
21,184,231
8,002,220
28,604,861
3,924,514
0.24
1.12
Energy/Power Generation
               
ArcLight I
2002
15,000,000
13,344,495
1,655,505
27,358,382
1,326,936
201,209
2.05
2.15
ArcLight II
2003
15,000,000
12,704,508
2,295,492
17,071,041
6,484,004
1,347,372
1.34
1.85
ArcLight III
2006
15,000,000
12,962,206
2,037,794
3,998,052
13,070,723
616,920
0.31
1.32
Quintana Energy
2006
10,000,000
7,840,628
2,159,372
392,978
6,630,326
217,049
0.05
0.90
ArcLight IV
2007
10,000,000
7,009,043
2,990,957
3,320,050
6,700,093
1,057,149
0.47
1.43
Total - Energy/Power Generation
65,000,000
53,860,880
11,139,120
52,140,503
34,212,082
3,439,699
0.97
1.60
Venture Capital
                 
Venture V
2001
10,000,000
8,600,000
1,400,000
1,999,996
6,341,205
262,870
0.23
0.97
Total - Venture Capital
 
10,000,000
8,600,000
1,400,000
1,999,996
6,341,205
262,870
0.23
0.97
TOTAL - ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS
$ 315,098,351
223,026,741
92,071,610
130,835,886
151,891,234
11,122,231
0.59
1.27
(1) Distributed to paid in ratio
             
(2) Total value to paid in ratio
                 
 
 
12

 
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
Municipal Bond Portfolio
State and Repayment Source Composition
September 30, 2010
($s in thousands)
(unaudited)
 
Exposure = 69% Held-to-Maturity; 31% Available-for-Sale
 
 
Repayment Source Composition by State %s
Market Values
 
 
 
State
 
 
 
Revenue
 
 
 
% of State
 
General
Obligation
(GO)-Local
 
 
 
% of State
 
General
Obligation
(GO)-State
 
 
 
% of State
 
 
Pre-
refunded
 
 
 
% of State
 
TX -Permanent
School Fund
(PSF)
 
 
 
% of State
 
 
 
Total
 
 
 
% of Total
TX
65,549
52%
53,910
43%
6,141
5%
-
0%
-
0%
125,600
8%
TX-PSF
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
49,894
100%
49,894
3%
WA
47,407
49%
48,679
51%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
96,086
6%
FL
82,404
99%
-
0%
515
1%
-
0%
-
0%
82,919
5%
AZ
70,483
91%
7,071
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
77,554
5%
NC
28,930
40%
42,567
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
71,497
5%
NY
70,463
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
70,463
5%
IL
46,612
69%
20,865
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
67,477
4%
OH
38,317
64%
14,069
23%
7,511
13%
-
0%
-
0%
59,897
4%
CO
23,331
39%
34,328
58%
1,712
3%
-
0%
-
0%
59,371
4%
MN
12,722
23%
5,317
10%
36,609
67%
-
0%
-
0%
54,648
4%
Pre-refunded
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
74,670
100%
-
0%
74,670
5%
Other
439,400
68%
134,013
21%
75,444
12%
-
0%
-
0%
648,857
42%
Grand Total
925,618
60%
360,819
23%
127,932
8%
74,670
5%
49,894
3%
1,538,933
100%
 
 
13

 
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
  Structured Securities
 September 30, 2010
  ($ in thousands)
    (unaudited)
 

Market Value
               606,373
Unrealized/Unrecognized Gain/(Losses)
                 17,567
Held to Maturity (HTM)
30%
Available for Sale (AFS)
70%
Structured Security Portfolio Average Rating
AA+
Structured Security % of Total Portfolio
17%

 
14

 
 Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
 Residential Mortgage Backed (RMBS) and Residential ABS (RABS) Securities
 September 30, 2010
 ($ in thousands)
  (unaudited)
 
 
Market Value
               407,574
Unrealized/Unrecognized Gain/(Losses)
                  12,993
Held to Maturity (HTM)
26%
Available for Sale (AFS)
74%
RMBS & RABS Portfolio Average Rating
AA+
RMBS & RABS % of Total Portfolio
11.5%


Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
Commercial Mortgage Backed (CMBS) Securities
September 30, 2010
($ in thousands)
(unaudited)
 
 
Market Value
               166,451
Unrealized/Unrecognized Gain/(Losses)
                    3,758
Held to Maturity (HTM)
39%
Available for Sale (AFS)
61%
CMBS Portfolio Average Rating
AA
CMBS % of Total Portfolio
4.7%
 
 
15

 
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
Credit Quality of Available-for-Sale Fixed Maturity Securities
September 30, 2010
($ in millions)
(unaudited)
 
                   
                   
   
Fair
Value
   
Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
   
Credit
Quality
 
               
AFS Fixed Maturity Portfolio:
                 
U.S. government obligations1
  $ 330.6       11.9    
AAA
 
Foreign government obligations
    8.5       0.6    
AA-
 
State and municipal obligations
    480.3       33.6    
AA+
 
Corporate securities
    869.5       48.5       A+  
Mortgage-backed securities ("MBS")
    402.1       13.1    
AA+
 
Asset-backed securities ("ABS")2
    24.0       0.7    
AA+
 
     Total AFS fixed maturity portfolio
  $ 2,115.0       108.4    
AA
 
                         
State and Municipal Obligations:
                       
Government obligations
  $ 281.8       19.5    
AA+
 
Special revenue obligations
    198.5       14.1       A+  
     Total state and municipal obligations
  $ 480.3       33.6    
AA+
 
                         
Corporate Securities:
                       
Financial
  $ 261.7       11.5       A+  
Industrials
    74.1       6.2       A-  
Utilities
    49.7       2.4       A-  
Consumer discretion
    70.2       3.9       A  
Consumer staples
    87.2       5.0       A-  
Health care
    132.1       8.7    
AA-
 
Materials
    45.3       2.5       A-  
Energy
    39.9       2.4       A+  
Information technology
    47.8       2.0       A+  
Telecommunications services
    37.5       1.5       A  
Other
    24.0       2.4       A  
     Total corporate securities
  $ 869.5       48.5       A+  
                         
Mortgage-backed securities:
                       
Gov't Guaranteed Agency CMBS
  $ 74.7       5.7    
AAA
 
Non-agency CMBS
    27.3       (2.0 )     A-  
Gov't Guaranteed Agency RMBS
    93.6       3.4    
AAA
 
Other Agency RMBS
    160.2       7.4    
AAA
 
Non-agency RMBS
    36.0       (1.1 )     A-  
Alternative-A ("Alt-A") RMBS
    10.3       (0.3 )  
AAA
 
     Total MBS
  $ 402.1       13.1    
AA+
 
                         
Asset-backed securities:
                       
ABS
  $ 23.1       0.9    
AAA
 
Sub-prime ABS2,3
    0.9       (0.2 )     D  
     Total ABS
  $ 24.0       0.7    
AA+
 
 
1 U.S. Government includes coporate securities fully guaranteed by the FDIC.
2 We define sub-prime exposure as exposure to direct and indirect investments in non-agency residential mortgages with average FICO® scores below 650.
3 Sub-prime ABS includes one security which is currently expected to defualt on its obligations according to the rating agencies.
 
 
16

 
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
Credit Quality of Held-to-Maturity Securities
September 30, 2010
($ in millions)
(unaudited)
 
                                     
   
Fair Value
   
Carry Value
   
Unrecognized
Holding
Gain (Loss)
   
Unrealized Gain
(Loss)
in Accumulated
Other
Comprehensive
Income
   
Total Unrealized
/ Unrecognized
Gain (Loss)
   
Credit
Quality
 
                                     
HTM Fixed Maturity Portfolio:
                                   
U.S. government obligations1
  $ 107.1       99.6       7.5       4.9       12.4    
AAA
 
State and municipal obligations
    1,058.6       1,020.5       38.1       25.0       63.1    
AA-
 
Corporate securities
    94.1       83.2       10.9       (4.0 )     6.9       A-  
Mortgage-backed securities ("MBS")
    167.5       157.8       9.7       (4.5 )     5.2    
AA+
 
Asset-backed securities ("ABS")2
    12.8       11.6       1.2       (2.6 )     (1.4 )     A  
     Total HTM fixed maturity portfolio
  $ 1,440.1       1,372.7       67.4       18.8       86.2    
AA-
 
                                                 
State and Municipal Obligations:
                                               
Government obligations
  $ 286.1       277.2       8.9       11.2       20.1    
AA-
 
Special revenue obligations
    772.5       743.3       29.2       13.8       43.0    
AA-
 
     Total state and municipal obligations
  $ 1,058.6       1,020.5       38.1       25.0       63.1    
AA-
 
                                                 
Corporate Securities:
                                               
Financial
  $ 29.4       25.4       4.0       (2.4 )     1.6    
BBB+
 
Industrials
    23.1       19.3       3.8       (1.3 )     2.5    
BBB+
 
Utilities
    17.6       16.2       1.4       (0.1 )     1.3       A-  
Consumer discretion
    12.8       12.2       0.6       0.2       0.8       A+  
Consumer staples
    5.4       4.9       0.5       (0.1 )     0.4       A  
Materials
    2.2       1.9       0.3       (0.1 )     0.2    
BBB-
 
Energy
    3.6       3.3       0.3       (0.2 )     0.1    
BBB-
 
     Total corporate securities
  $ 94.1       83.2       10.9       (4.0 )     6.9       A-  
                                                 
Mortgage-backed securities:
                                               
Gov't guaranteed agency CMBS
  $ 10.2       9.9       0.3       -       0.3    
AAA
 
Other agency CMBS
    3.6       3.6       -       -       -    
AA
 
Non-agency CMBS
    50.5       44.8       5.7       (6.0 )     (0.3 )  
AA+
 
Gov't guaranteed agency RMBS
    4.4       4.0       0.4       -       0.4    
AA
 
Other agency RMBS
    98.7       95.4       3.3       1.5       4.8    
AA
 
Non-agency RMBS
    0.1       0.1       -       -       -    
AA
 
     Total mortgage-backed securities
  $ 167.5       157.8       9.7       (4.5 )     5.2    
AA+
 
                                                 
Asset-backed securities:
                                               
ABS
  $ 9.9       9.1       0.8       (1.1 )     (0.3 )     A  
Alt-A ABS
    2.9       2.5       0.4       (1.5 )     (1.1 )     A+  
     Total ABS
  $ 12.8       11.6       1.2       (2.6 )     (1.4 )     A  
 
1 U.S. Government includes coporate securities fully guaranteed by the FDIC.