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8-K - COPANO ENERGY FORM 8-K - Copano Energy, L.L.C.form8-k.htm
September 2010 Investor
Presentation

NASDAQ: CPNO
 
 
 
 
Disclaimer
This presentation includes “forward-looking statements,” as defined in the federal securities laws.
Statements that address activities, or events that Copano believes will or may occur in the future are
forward-looking statements. These statements include, but are not limited to, statements about future
producer activity and Copano’s total distributable cash flow and distribution coverage. These statements
are based on management’s experience and perception of historical trends, current conditions, expected
future developments and other factors management believes are reasonable.
Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking
statements include the following risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond Copano’s control:
The volatility of prices and market demand for natural gas and natural gas liquids; Copano’s ability to
continue to obtain new sources of natural gas supply and retain its key customers; the impact on
volumes and resulting cash flow of technological, economic and other uncertainties inherent in
estimating future production and producers’ ability to drill and successfully complete and attach new
natural gas supplies and the availability of downstream transportation systems and other facilities for
natural gas and NGLs; higher construction costs or project delays due to inflation, limited availability of
required resources, or the effects of environmental, legal or other uncertainties; general economic
conditions; the effects of government regulations and policies; and other financial, operational and legal
risks and uncertainties detailed from time to time in Copano’s quarterly and annual reports filed with the
Securities and Exchange Commission.
 
Copano undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new
information or future events.
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Introduction to Copano
  Independent midstream company founded in 1992
  Best in class service to customers
  Entrepreneurial approach
  Focus on long-term accretive growth
  Provides midstream services in multiple producing areas through
 three operating segments
  South and north Texas
  Conventional, Eagle Ford Shale and Barnett Shale Combo play
  Central and Eastern Oklahoma
  Conventional, Hunton De-Watering play and Woodford Shale
  Rocky Mountains
  Powder River Basin
3
 
 
 
 
Key Metrics
  Service throughput volumes approximate 1.8 Bcf/d of natural gas(1)
  Over 6,700 miles of active pipelines
  8 natural gas processing plants with over 1.1 Bcf/d of combined
 processing capacity
  One NGL fractionation facility with total capacity of 22,000 Bbls/d
  Equity market cap: $1.8 billion(2)
  Enterprise value: $2.8 billion(3)
4
(1) Based on 2Q 2010 results. Includes unconsolidated affiliates.
(2) As of August 24, 2010.
(3) As of August 24, 2010. Includes $300 million of convertible preferred equity issued July 2010.
 
 
 
 
Copano’s LLC Structure
5
 
 
 
 
Growth Strategy
  Goal: to become a diversified midstream company with scale and
 stability of cash flows, above-average returns on invested capital
 and “investment-grade quality distributions”
  Key tenets of growth strategy:
  Execute on organic growth opportunities around existing assets
  Explore opportunities beyond traditional gathering and processing
  Be more proactive in seeking assets and opportunities
  Reduce sensitivity of cash flows to commodity price fluctuations
  Hedging program
  Contracts - increase fee-for-service component
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Agenda
7
2010 Outlook
Commodity Prices and
Margin Sensitivities
Financing and
Commodity Risk
Management
Conclusions
 
 
 
 
2010 Outlook
  Texas
  Significant drilling and development activity in the Barnett Shale Combo play
  Ramp up of Eagle Ford Shale directed drilling
  Oklahoma
  Moderate drilling activity behind the Hunton De-Watering play
  Strong drilling activity in the Woodford Shale play
  Rocky Mountains
  Minimal new drilling; flat volumes
  Commodity prices
  Lower forward price curves for NGLs and oil compared to early 2010
  Total Distributable Cash Flow (Total DCF)
  Second half 2010 - improvement compared to first half
  Beyond 2010 - until volumes from new projects come online in second half of
 2011, Total DCF estimated to be lower than comparable 2010 periods due to
 current forward prices and lower average strike prices on hedges
8
 
 
 
 
Texas Outlook
  Saint Jo gathering system
  15 rigs running in the area with
 as many as 2 more anticipated
 later this year
  Leasing activity continues
  Crude oil play with associated
 gas requiring a full slate of
 midstream services
  Based on producer drilling
 schedule, expect steady
 increase in plant inlet volumes
 in 2010
  2Q 2010 average volumes of
 approximately 40,000
 MMbtu/d vs. 24,000 MMbtu/d
 in 1Q 2010
9
 
 
 
 
Texas Outlook
  Eagle Ford Shale play
  Copano’s current asset base strategically positioned
  Houston Central complex located within 50 miles of the rich gas core of the
 play
  22,000 BPD fractionator placed in service April 2010
  9 Eagle Ford Shale wells connected to date and expect to connect 8 - 10
 additional wells over the next three months
  Expect Eagle Ford Shale volume increases in 3Q 2010
  Currently pursuing multiple gathering and related downstream opportunities
10
 
 
 
 
Texas Recent Developments
  Saint Jo plant
  Earlier this year, executed key producer
 contract with highly rated producer
  Long-term gathering, treating and
 processing agreement
  Fee-for-service contract
  Additional 50 MMcf/d of compression
 expected to be in service early 4Q
 2010, bringing total plant capacity to
 100 MMcf/d
  Plant fully committed
  Additional expansion under
 consideration
  $30 - $35 million in fee-based cash flow
 expected by year-end 2010 (on an
 annualized basis)
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DeWitt-Karnes Header
  Nearing completion of
 previously announced DeWitt-
 Karnes header 
  38 miles of 24” pipe
  Initially 185 MMcf/d of capacity with
 ability to expand to 275 MMcf/d
  Active producers in the vicinity
 include: Pioneer, ConocoPhillips,
 Petrohawk, GeoSouthern and
 Enduring Resources
  11 rigs running in the area
  Average IP rates of wells
 connected are approximately
 7.6 MMcfe/d
  Approximately 3.5 MMcf/d of gas
  Approximately 500 - 1,000 BPD of
 condensate
12
 
 
 
 
Eagle Ford Gathering Joint Venture
  Executed joint venture
 agreements with Kinder
 Morgan in May 2010
  Gas services agreement
 between Copano/Kinder
 Morgan joint venture and SM
 Energy signed in July 2010 
  Kicked off pipeline construction -
 expected to be completed
 summer 2011
  Approximately 85 miles of 30”
 and 24” pipe
  Anticipated capex (net to
 Copano) - approximately $68.5
 million
13
 
 
 
 
Texas Fractionation Facility
  Responding to NGL transportation and fractionation constraints
 along the Texas Gulf Coast, Copano started its fractionator at
 Houston Central complex and began to deliver purity products to
 market in April 2010
  Total capacity of 22,000 Bbls/d
  Approximate cost of $17 million
  Estimated fee-based cash flow between $8 and $10 million on an
 annualized basis at current throughput volumes
  Incremental processing and fractionation capacity is expected to
 be required to meet producer demands in the Eagle Ford Shale
14
 
 
 
 
Oklahoma Outlook
  Rich gas (primarily Hunton De-Watering play)
  Drilling activity increased so far in 3Q 2010
  2 rigs currently running in the Hunton and 15 rigs in other rich gas areas
  Attractive processing upgrade and low geologic risk
  3Q 2010 volumes expected to be slightly up vs. 2Q 2010
  Lean gas (primarily Woodford Shale)
  Drilling remains active
  5 rigs currently running
  3Q 2010 volumes expected to be higher than 2Q 2010
15
 
 
 
 
Woodford Shale Activity
  Significant drilling activity in the
 Woodford Shale around
 Copano’s Cyclone Mountain
 system
  2Q 2010 average volumes of
 approximately 58,000 MMbtu/d vs.
 53,000 MMbtu/d in 1Q 2010
  Primarily lean gas that requires
 compression and CO2 treating
  Current system capacity
 approximately 80 MMcf/d with
 plans to expand to 120 MMcf/d
 by year-end 2010
  Gathering and treating expansion
 project of $10 million to be placed
 in service 4Q 2010
16
 
 
 
 
Rocky Mountains Outlook
  Drilling and dewatering will be driven by commodity prices and
 producer economics
 
  3Q 2010 volumes for Bighorn expected to be slightly lower to flat vs.
 2Q 2010
  3Q 2010 volumes for Fort Union expected to be slightly higher vs. 2Q
 2010
  2010 Adjusted EBITDA expected to be essentially flat vs. 2009
17
 
 
 
 
Commodity Prices and Margin Sensitivities
18
2010 Outlook
Commodity Prices and
Margin Sensitivities
Financing and
Commodity Risk
Management
Conclusions
 
 
 
 
Historical Commodity Prices
19
(1) Aug-10 NGL prices are month-to-date through Aug 20, 2010.
(2) NGL prices for Jan-09 through Jun-10 are calculated based on the weighted-average product mix for the period indicated. NGL prices for Jul-10 through
 Aug-10 are calculated based on the second quarter 2010 product mix.
 
 
 
 
Forward Commodity Prices
20
Note: Forward prices as of August 20, 2010
 
 
 
 
Combined Commodity-Sensitive Segment
Margins and Hedging Settlements
21
 
 
 
 
Financing and Commodity Risk Management
22
2010 Outlook
Commodity Prices and
Margin Sensitivities
Financing and
Commodity Risk
Management
Conclusions
 
 
 
 
2010 Expansion Capex
  2010 capital expansion budget increased from $130 million(1) in
 January to $172 million(1) today
  Major areas of focus include:
  Eagle Ford Shale and Houston Central complex in south Texas
  DeWitt-Karnes pipeline
  Copano/Kinder Morgan joint venture
  Saint Jo processing plant and pipelines in north Texas
  Cyclone Mountain system in Oklahoma - Compression and amine treating
 expansion
  Expect capital to be invested at a multiple of approximately 5x
  Pursuing another $300 million(1) in projects that Copano believes
 will develop over the next two years
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(1) Includes Copano’s net share for unconsolidated affiliates.
 
 
 
 
Recent Preferred Equity Offering
  In July 2010 Copano issued $300 million of convertible preferred
 equity to affiliate of TPG Capital
  Priced at $29.05 per unit - 10% premium to the 30-day volume weighted
 average price as of July 19, 2010
  Distributions paid in-kind for the first three years ($0.72625 per unit)
  Convertible to common units on a one for one basis beginning July 2013
 unless conversion would cause pro forma distribution coverage to fall below
 100%
  Copano can force conversion beginning July 2013 if market price for common
 units is at least $37.77 per unit
  No mandatory redemption
  Alignment with a strategic capital partner that has a long-term
 investment prospective
  Flexible capital to fund Eagle Ford Shale expansion strategy and
 other growth initiatives in Texas and Oklahoma
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Hedging Strategy
  Option-based, product-specific
  2010 price exposed volumes are well hedged
  Between 70% and 80% of propane, butane, natural gasoline and condensate
 price exposure is hedged
  Approximately 40% of ethane price exposure is hedged
  Expect $32 - $34 million of non-cash amortization expense in 2010 related to
 option component of hedge portfolio
  2011 hedged at or near policy limits, except for ethane
  During April and August, added puts for WTI, iso-butane and normal butane
 for calendar years 2011 and 2012 (total cost of approximately $6.8 million)
  Will continue adding to 2012 hedging positions and begin focusing
 on 2013 later this year
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Conclusions
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2010 Outlook
Commodity Prices and
Margin Sensitivities
Financing and
Commodity Risk
Management
Conclusions
 
 
 
 
Conclusions
  Growth projects recently completed are expected to contribute to
 Total DCF as volumes come online
  Volumes at Saint Jo plant increasing
  Start-up of fractionator at Houston Central complex
  Burbank plant in service
  Portions of DeWitt-Karnes header in service
  Significant future growth opportunities
  Expansion of Saint Jo plant to 100 MMcf/d expected early 4Q 2010
  Completion of DeWitt Karnes header expected late 3Q 2010
  Completion of Eagle Ford Gathering joint venture in western Eagle Ford Shale
 expected summer 2011
  Anticipating future infrastructure needs, including processing plant
 expansions, fractionation expansion and additional gas and liquids pipelines
  Ample liquidity and access to capital to support growth initiatives
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Appendix
28
 
 
 
 
Oklahoma Assets
29
OKLAHOMA
 
 
 
 
South Texas Assets
30
TEXAS
 
 
 
 
North Texas Assets
31
TEXAS
 
 
 
 
Rocky Mountains Assets
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WYOMING
 
 
 
 
Processing Modes
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Full Recovery
 
 
Texas and Oklahoma - If the value of
recovered NGLs exceeds the fuel and gas
shrinkage costs of recovering NGLs
 
Ethane Rejection
 
 
Texas and Oklahoma - If the value of ethane
is less than the fuel and shrinkage costs to
recover ethane (in Oklahoma, ethane
rejection at Paden plant is limited by nitrogen
rejection facilities)
 
Conditioning Mode
 
 
Texas - If the value of recovered NGLs is less
than the fuel and gas shrinkage cost of
recovering NGLs (available at Houston
Central plant and at Saint Jo plant)
 
 
 
 
 
Commodity-Related Margin Sensitivities
  Matrix reflects 2Q 2010 wellhead and plant inlet volumes, adjusted
 using Copano’s 2010 planning model
 
34
Note: Please see this Appendix for definitions of processing modes and additional details.
(1) Consists of Texas and Oklahoma Segment gross margins.
 
 
 
 
Combined Commodity-Sensitive Segment
Margins and Hedging Settlements
35
Note:  Weighted average NGL prices are based on Copano product mix for period indicated.
(1) Does not include non-cash expenses included in Corporate and Other for purposes of calculating Total Segment Gross Margin. See Appendix for reconciliation
 of Total Segment Gross Margin.
(2) Reflects the average of July and August (as of August 23, 2010) prices.
 
 
 
 
Oklahoma Contract Mix
36
(1) Source: Copano Energy internal financial planning models for consolidated subsidiaries.
(2) Excludes 12,689 MMBtu/d service throughput for Southern Dome, a majority-owned affiliate.
 
 
 
 
Oklahoma Net Commodity Exposure
37
Note: See explanation of processing modes in this Appendix. Values reflect rounding.
(1) Source: Copano Energy internal financial planning models for consolidated subsidiaries.
(2) Ethane rejection at Paden plant is limited by nitrogen rejection facilities.
(3) Reflects impact of producer delivery point allocations, offset by field condensate collection and stabilization.
 
 
 
 
Oklahoma Commodity Price Sensitivities
  Oklahoma segment gross margins excluding hedge settlements
  Matrix reflects 2Q 2010 volumes, adjusted using Copano’s 2010 planning
 model
 
38
Note: Please see this Appendix for definitions of processing modes and additional details.
 
 
 
 
Oklahoma Rich Gas vs. Lean Gas
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Prices as of 8/19/10
(1) Full value prior to deduction of Copano’s margin. Excludes value of condensate and crude oil recovered by the producer at the wellhead.
(2) Implied NGL prices are based on a six-year historical regression analysis.
(3) Assumes 9 GPM gas with a Btu factor of 1.375 processed at Copano’s cryogenic plant, and field fuel of 6.25%.
(4) Assumes unprocessed gas with a Btu factor of 1.0 and field fuel of 6%.
 
 
 
 
Texas Contract Mix
40
(1) Source: Copano Energy internal financial planning models for consolidated subsidiaries.
(2) Excludes 54,747 MMBtu/d service throughput for Webb Duval, a majority-owned affiliate.
 
 
 
 
Texas Net Commodity Exposure
41
Note: See explanation of processing modes in this Appendix.
(1) Source: Copano Energy internal financial planning models for consolidated subsidiaries. Based on 2Q 2010 daily wellhead/plant inlet volumes.
(2) Fractionation at Houston Central processing plant permits significant reductions in ethane recoveries in ethane rejection mode and full ethane rejection in
 conditioning mode. To optimize profitability, plant operations can also be adjusted to partial recovery mode.
(3) At the Houston Central processing plant, pentanes+ may be sold as condensate.
 
 
 
 
Texas Commodity Price Sensitivities
  Texas segment gross margins excluding hedge settlements
  Matrix reflects 2Q 2010 volumes and operating conditions, adjusted using
 Copano’s 2010 planning model
 
42
Note: Please see this Appendix for definitions of processing modes and additional details.
 
 
 
 
Rocky Mountains Sensitivities
  2Q 2010 Adjusted EBITDA volume sensitivity (positive or negative
 impact)
  Bighorn: 10,000 MMBtu/d = $245,000(1)
  Fort Union: 10,000 MMBtu/d = $70,000(1)
 
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Note: See this Appendix for reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA. Values reflect rounding.
(1) Impact on Adjusted EBITDA based on Copano’s interest in the unconsolidated affiliate.
 
 
 
 
Hedging Impact of Commodity Price
Sensitivities
44
 
 
 
 
Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial
Measures
Segment Gross Margin and Total Segment Gross Margin
  We define segment gross margin, with respect to a Copano operating segment, as segment revenue less cost of sales. Cost of sales includes the
 following: cost of natural gas and NGLs purchased from third parties, cost of natural gas and NGLs purchased from affiliates, cost of crude oil purchased
 from third parties, costs paid to third parties to transport volumes and costs paid to affiliates to transport volumes. Total segment gross margin is the
 sum of the operating segment gross margins and the results of Copano’s risk management activities that are included in Corporate and other. We view
 total segment gross margin as an important performance measure of the core profitability of our operations. Segment gross margin allows Copano’s
 senior management to compare volume and price performance of the segments and to more easily identify operational or other issues within a segment.
 The GAAP measure most directly comparable to total segment gross margin is operating income.
45
 
 
 
 
Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial
Measures
Adjusted EBITDA
  We define EBITDA as net income (loss) plus interest expense, provision for income taxes and depreciation and amortization expense. Because a portion
 of our net income (loss) is attributable to equity in earnings (loss) from our equity investees (which include Bighorn, Fort Union, Webb Duval and
 Southern Dome), our management also calculates Adjusted EBITDA to reflect the depreciation and amortization expense embedded in equity in earnings
 (loss) from unconsolidated affiliates. Specifically, our management determines Adjusted EBITDA by adding to EBITDA (i) the amortization expense
 attributable to the difference between our carried investment in each unconsolidated affiliate and the underlying equity in its net assets, (ii) the portion
 of each unconsolidated affiliate’s depreciation and amortization expense, which is proportional to our ownership interest in that unconsolidated affiliate
 and (iii) the portion of each unconsolidated affiliate’s interest and other financing costs, which is proportional to our ownership interest in that
 unconsolidated affiliate.
  External users of our financial statements such as investors, commercial banks and research analysts use EBITDA or Adjusted EBITDA, and our
 management uses Adjusted EBITDA, as a supplemental financial measure to assess:
  The financial performance of our assets without regard to financing methods, capital structure or historical cost basis;
  The ability of our assets to generate cash sufficient to pay interest costs and support our indebtedness;
  Our operating performance and return on capital as compared to those of other companies in the midstream energy sector, without regard to financing or capital
 structure; and
  The viability of acquisitions and capital expenditure projects and the overall rates of return on alternative investment opportunities.
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Definitions of Non-GAAP Financial Measures
Total Distributable Cash Flow
  We define total distributable cash flow as net income plus: (i) depreciation, amortization and impairment expense
 (including amortization expense relating to the option component of our risk management portfolio); (ii) cash
 distributions received from investments in unconsolidated affiliates and equity losses from such unconsolidated affiliates;
 (iii) provision for deferred income taxes; (iv) the subtraction of maintenance capital expenditures; (v) the subtraction of
 equity in earnings from unconsolidated affiliates and (vi) the addition of losses or subtraction of gains relating to other
 miscellaneous non-cash amounts affecting net income for the period, such as equity-based compensation, mark-to-
 market changes in derivative instruments, and our line fill contributions to third-party pipelines and gas imbalances.
 Maintenance capital expenditures are capital expenditures employed to replace partially or fully depreciated assets to
 maintain the existing operating capacity of our assets and to extend their useful lives, or other capital expenditures that
 are incurred in maintaining existing system volumes and related cash flows.
  Total distributable cash flow is a significant performance metric used by senior management to compare basic cash flows
 generated by us (prior to the establishment of any retained cash reserves by our Board of Directors) to the cash
 distributions we expect to pay our unitholders, and it also correlates with the metrics of our existing debt covenants.
 Using total distributable cash flow, management can quickly compute the coverage ratio of estimated cash flows to
 planned cash distributions. Total distributable cash flow is also an important non-GAAP financial measure for our
 unitholders because it serves as an indicator of our success in providing a cash return on investment — specifically,
 whether or not we are generating cash flow at a level that can sustain or support an increase in our quarterly distribution
 rates. Total distributable cash flow is also used by industry analysts with respect to publicly traded partnerships and
 limited liability companies because the market value of such entities’ equity securities is significantly influenced by the
 amount of cash they can distribute to unitholders.
 
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