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8-K - STATE STREET CORPORATION 8-K - STATE STREET CORPa6364598.htm
EX-99.1 - EXHIBIT 99.1 - STATE STREET CORPa6364598ex991.htm

Exhibit 99.2

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Investment Portfolio As of June 30, 2010


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Asset-backed securities (ABS)Mortgage-backed securities (MBS)Commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) $44 billion $11 billion Corporate bondsMunicipals TreasuriesAgency debenturesAgency mortgagesSmall Business Administration loansOECD governmentsFFELP Student Loans Investment Portfolio Government / Agency Structured Securities Unsecured Credit Portfolio amounts are expressed at Book Value; Book Value includes the amortized cost of the transferred securities at the time they were transferred.OECD=Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development ASSETS: INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO (PERIOD END 06/30/10) $45 billion


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Assets selected using rigorous credit processDiversified by asset class and geography 82.3% AAA / AA ratedConstructed to perform well through periods of economic weaknessUnrealized after-tax available for sale (AFS) & held to maturity (HTM) mark to market (MTM) loss = $(0.994)B(1) INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO DETAIL (PERIOD END 06/30/10) Investment Portfolio Portfolio amounts are expressed at Book Value; Book Value includes the amortized cost of the transferred securities at the time they were transferred. At 06/30/10: After-tax Unrealized MTM Gain/(Loss) includes after-tax unrealized loss on securities available for sale of $(460)M, after-tax unrealized gain on securities held to maturity of $322M and after-tax unrealized loss primarily related to securities transferred from available for sale to held to maturity of $(856)M.Certain securities previously categorized as Not Rated, are now included in the AAA category, based on Moody’s/S&P ratings.


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Investment Portfolio (1) Securities/municipals and corporate issuers added to negative credit watch within the respective quarter, excluding downgrades.(2) Securities/municipals and corporate issuers experiencing one or more downgrades in respective quarter.  We report credit profiles based on the lower of the Moody’s or S & P ratings; based on this methodology approximately $0.5 billion of the $5.7 billion has been downgraded by another rating agency and reported in previous quarters, leaving $5.2 billion net new downgrades in the second quarter. At 06/30/10: After-tax Unrealized MTM Gain/(Loss) includes after-tax unrealized loss on securities available for sale of $(460)M, after-tax unrealized gain on securities held to maturity of $322M and after-tax unrealized loss primarily related to securities transferred from available for sale to held to maturity of $(856)M.Due to Syncora wrap.Previously discounted or impaired.   INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO (AT PERIOD END)    Portfolio amounts are expressed at Book Value; Book Value includes the amortized cost of the transferred securities at the time they were transferred.


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Investment Portfolio HOLDINGS BY ASSET CLASS (PERIOD END 06/30/10) Portfolio amounts are expressed at Book Value; Book Value includes the amortized cost of the transferred securities at the time they were transferred. Certain “other” securities previously categorized as Not Rated, are now included in the AAA category, based on Moody’s/S&P ratings.At 06/30/10: After-tax Unrealized MTM Gain/(Loss) includes after-tax unrealized loss on securities available for sale of $(460)M, after-tax unrealized gain on securities held to maturity of $322M and after-tax unrealized loss primarily related to securities transferred from available for sale to held to maturity of $(856)M.


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Investment Portfolio ASSET-BACKED SECURITIES HOLDINGS (PERIOD END 06/30/10) Portfolio amounts are expressed at Book Value; Book Value includes the amortized cost of the transferred securities at the time they were transferred.RMBS = Residential Mortgage Backed Securities; CLO = Collateralized Loan Obligation; HELOC = Home Equity Line of Credit


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Investment Portfolio ASSET- BACKED SECURITIES COLLATERALIZED BY SUB-PRIME FIRST- LIEN MORTGAGES (AT PERIOD END) (1) Securities/municipals and corporate issuers added to negative credit watch within the respective quarter, excluding downgrades.Securities/municipals and corporate Issuers downgraded in respective quarter.Previously discounted or impaired. Portfolio amounts are expressed at Book Value; Book Value includes the amortized cost of the transferred securities at the time they were transferred.


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Investment Portfolio HCL = historic cumulative loss; Avg. CE = average credit enhancement; CRE= Commercial Real Estate; SFL = STT’s stressed future losses; Coverage = Avg. CE/SFLSee Appendix for additional information. STRESS COVERAGE: ASSET-BACKED SECURITIES PORTFOLIO (PERIOD END 06/30/10)


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Investment Portfolio MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITIES HOLDINGS (PERIOD END 06/30/10)


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PORTFOLIO (PERIOD END 06/30/10) HCL = historic cumulative loss; Avg. CE = average credit enhancement; SFL = STT’s stressed future losses; Coverage = CE/SFLSee Appendix for additional information. Investment Portfolio STRESS COVERAGE: MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITIES


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Investment Portfolio Philosophy: Assets are purchased based on an independent assessment of their underlying credit quality, not based on the insurance “wrap” providedAs a result, our exposure to “wraps” for protection is secondary and is relatively small Diversified by monoline insurer$3.03B of insurance covers 3,857 issuesMunicipal bonds: $1.88B (3,762 issues)Sub-prime asset-backed securities: $69M (26 issues)Home equity lines of credit: $409M (45 issues)If all securities were “unwrapped,” the 82.3% AAA/AA rating would become 81.7% AAA/AA rating* INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO - MONOLINE INSURANCE COVERAGE (PERIOD END 06/30/10) * Estimate based on rating agency methodology.


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Investment Portfolio INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO—MONOLINE INSURANCE COVERAGE (PERIOD END 06/30/10) * Estimate based on rating agency methodology.


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Investment Portfolio TOTAL MONOLINE EXPOSURE (PERIOD END 06/30/10) # - Number of cusips


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Investment Portfolio APPENDIX


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Investment Portfolio - Appendix The following is intended to provide a general overview of the terms, analysis and our monthly surveillance process used in the foregoing slides that discuss State Street Corporation’s (“State Street”) investment portfolio. As a general matter, the preceding slides summarize key performance statistics including credit enhancement and the stress analysis, as determined by State Street for each asset position. It should be noted that slides represent a point in time depiction and that results can fluctuate each month.We place our securities into asset classes using industry standard nomenclature. Some of the asset classes detailed in the slides include government student loans (“Govt. student loans”), private student loans, credit cards, automobile and equipment (“Auto/equipment”), foreign residential mortgage-backed security (“Foreign RMBS”), collateralized loan obligations (“CLOs”), sub-prime mortgages (“Sub-prime”), Home Equity Line of Credit (“HELOC”), agency mortgage-backed security (“Agency MBS”), non-agency mortgage-backed security, non-alternative A (“Non-Agency MBS, Non-Alt-A”), non-agency mortgage-backed security, alternative A (“Non-Agency MBS, Alt-A”), and commercial mortgage-backed securities (“CMBS”).As noted in the slides, State Street’s investment portfolio contains asset-backed securities (“ABS”) and mortgage-backed securities (“MBS”). ABS represent a secured interest in a pool of assets, while MBS represent ownership of an undivided interest in a group of mortgages. In evaluating each asset position for potential stressed future losses (“SFL”), State Street considers a number of factors including historical cumulative loss (“HCL”), average credit enhancement (“Avg. CE”), and State Street’s coverage amount (“Coverage”). The calculation of each of these factors is discussed in detail and with more specificity below.SFL Stressed future losses are State Street’s estimate of potential future losses under a stressed economic scenario. We can not provide a generic calculation applicable across all asset classes as our estimates for each asset class are unique and in many cases are not a calculation, but a figure based upon our subjective assessment of relevant worst case historical performance. In the cases where we calculate a projected loss ourselves we describe the calculation in the slides. As SFL can be based upon historical worst case scenarios, SFL will vary among the asset classes, which we describe in our slides. Certain assumptions made by State Street in estimating SFL for various asset classes are set forth below. INFORMATION CONCERNING OUR INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO


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Investment Portfolio - Appendix Government Student Loans:  Based on the average Sallie Mae Non-consolidation FFELP vintages 2001-2006.Private Student Loans:  Based on forecasted private student loan gross default rates of 17.85% with a recovery rate of approximately 48%.Credit Cards:  Based on the average industry projections for peak charge-offs in the current credit cycle.Auto/Equipment:  Based on the worst annual cumulative net loss vintage (2001) going back to 1997 using 65% Barclay’s prime auto index, 34% Barclay’s near prime auto index, and 1% Barclay’s sub prime index, consistent with the split of the portfolio’s prime, near prime, and sub prime auto holdings after backing out deals wrapped by monoline insurers. This is combined with the worst experience of an agency international auto index on a 33% US, 67% non-US weighted basis.Foreign RMBS:  Applied the following assumptions weighted by regional exposureAustralian MBS: 0.0% No losses expected Dutch MBS:  0.5% Based on historical Dutch performance, which in recent years has been 0.05%UK Prime MBS:  2.5% Used a simple average of five worst historical performing vintages, using historical severitiesUK Non-conforming: 7.5% No historical performance available, so used 3X Prime, which is consistent with that used by rating agenciesSpanish MBS: 3.5% Used a 2x multiple to the worst performing Spanish RMBS transaction’s cumulative default rate and a historically conservative recovery rateItalian MBS:  3.0% Used a 2x multiple to the worst performing Italian RMBS transaction’s cumulative default rate and a historically conservative recovery rateRussian MBS:  8.0% Used a 4x multiple to the worst performing Russian RMBS transaction’s cumulative default rate and a historically conservative recovery rateGreek MBS: 1.5% Used an additional 2x stress to the worst performing Greek RMBS transaction’s cumulative gross default figure,Portuguese MBS: 5.0% Used a 2x multiple to the worst performing Portuguese RMBS transaction’s cumulative default rate and a historically conservative recovery rateCLOs:  Based on an industry projection of 12% spec. grade default rate with half of the long-term recovery rate on senior secured bank loans of 70%. The average recovery rate of 70% is from data covering issues from 1982-2005.


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Subprime:  Calculated by applying projected loss assumptions to the remaining pool of mortgages based upon the stage within the delinquency pipeline, (i.e. current to foreclosure), to obtain a projected future gross loss. A 70% severity rate for 2006 and 2007 vintages, a 65% for 2005 vintages, and a 55% severity rate for vintages prior to 2005 was applied to obtain the stressed future net loss.HELOC:  Main assumptions include – 100% loss severity, projected loss rate of current 3-month average loss rate and projected payment rates at current 3-month average payment rates.Agency MBS:  No losses are assumed due to implied (Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac) or explicit (Ginnie Mae) government guarantee.Non-Agency MBS (Prime):  Calculated by applying projected loss assumptions to the remaining pool of mortgages based upon the stage within the delinquency pipeline, (i.e. current to foreclosure), to obtain a projected future gross loss. An interpolated severity based on current LTV and a future negative HPA assumption. Non-Agency MBS (Alt-A):  Calculated by applying projected loss assumptions to the remaining pool of mortgages based upon the stage within the delinquency pipeline, (i.e. current to foreclosure), to obtain a projected future gross loss. An interpolated severity based on current LTV and a future negative HPA assumption. CMBS:  Calculated by applying the highest cumulative loss experienced by any cohort vintage (1986) over the time period 1972-2002 as reported in Commercial Mortgage Defaults: 30 Years of History by Howard Esaki and Masumi Goldman, as it appeared in the Winter 2005 issue of CMBS World magazine.   Investment Portfolio - Appendix


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Investment Portfolio - Appendix HCL Historical cumulative loss is determined by State Street based upon data obtained from third party providers.Avg. CE    Credit enhancement is determined by State Street based upon data obtained from third party providers. CE can include excess spread for the most recent year, over-collateralization, cash reserves, and subordination.Coverage Coverage is calculated by dividing CE by SFL, which results in the coverage multiple.  Coverage is provided as a measure of excess enhancement above our projected future losses under a stressed economic scenario.  For subprime, non-agency prime MBS, and Alt-A, coverage is calculated by dividing the break even loss value by SFL.  The break even loss is calculated by a third party provider.  It represents  the loss value a bond can withstand before experiencing a principal loss after giving benefit to all credit enhancement, both structural and excess spread, as well as any discount to the carrying value of the bond (eg. due to purchase discount or impairment).   As noted above and in the slides, in performing these calculations we collect and use information provided by third party providers. The information we used to create these slides included information from the latest surveillance reports that included data from servicer reports received during the most recent month. Third party sources use assumptions, judgments and estimates in determining data, and different third parties may provide different data. It should be noted that certain securities report on a quarterly vs. monthly basis. For those securities, the most recent available information was used. It should be noted that industry information, rather than portfolio experience was used in certain instances where industry information resulted in a more conservative approach. State Street does not independently verify the data obtained from third party providers that is used in determining and estimating SFL, HCL, Avg. CE and Coverage and the information is subject to the risk of inaccuracy. As noted above and in the slides, State Street’s estimates are based upon various subjective assumptions, and there is no assurance that these assumptions accurately predict maximum potential or likely future losses.