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EX-99.1 - EXHIBIT 99.1 - ASSURED GUARANTY LTDa2198694zex-99_1.htm

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Exhibit 99.2

GRAPHIC


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
March 31, 2010
Financial Supplement

Table of Contents
  Page
 

Selected Financial Highlights

  1
 

Consolidated Statements of Operations

  2
 

Consolidated Balance Sheets

  3
 

Adjusted Book Value

  4
 

Consolidated Capital and Claims Paying Resources

  5
 

New Business Production

  6
 

Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written

  7
 

Segment Consolidation

  8
 

Financial Guaranty Direct Segment

  9-10
 

Financial Guaranty Reinsurance Segment

  11-12
 

Investment Portfolio

  13
 

Estimated Net Exposure Amortization and Estimated Future Net Premium Reserve and Credit Derivative Revenues

  14
 

Present Value of Financial Guaranty Insurance Losses to be Expensed

  15
 

Financial Guaranty Profile

  16-18
 

Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile

  19
 

Consolidated U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Profile

  20
 

Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Profile

  21-25
 

Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Commercial Real Estate Profile

  26
 

Direct Consumer Receivables Profile

  27
 

Financial Guaranty Direct Credit Derivative Net Par Outstanding Profile

  28
 

Below Investment Grade Exposures

  29-32
 

Largest Exposures by Sector

  33-36
 

Financial Guaranty and Credit Derivatives Surveillance Categories

  37
 

Loss and LAE Reserves

  38
 

Financial Guaranty Direct and Reinsurance Segment Losses Incurred and Paid

  39
 

Summary Financial and Statistical Data

  40
 

Glossary

  41
 

Endnotes Related to Non-GAAP Financial Measures

  43

This financial supplement should be read in conjunction with documents filed by Assured Guaranty Ltd. ("AGL" and, together with its subsidiaries, "Assured Guaranty" or the "Company") with the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC"), including its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2009 and its Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the three months ended March 31, 2010.

March 31, 2010 and December 31, 2009 amounts in this financial supplement include the consolidated results of Assured Guaranty Municipal Holdings Inc., formerly Financial Security Assurance Holdings Ltd. ("AGMH"), which Assured Guaranty acquired on July 1, 2009.

Some amounts in this financial supplement may not add due to rounding.

Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements:

Any forward-looking statements made in this supplement reflect the current views of Assured Guaranty with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements. The Company's forward looking statements could be affected by many events. These events include (1) rating agency action, including a ratings downgrade of the Company or its affiliates and/or of transactions insured by the Company or its affiliates, both of which have occurred in the past;(2) developments in the world's financial and capital markets that adversely affect issuers' payment rates, the Company's loss experience, its ability to cede exposure to reinsurers, its access to capital, its unrealized (losses) gains on derivative financial instruments or its investment returns; (3) changes in the world's credit markets, segments thereof or general economic conditions; (4) more severe or frequent losses affecting the adequacy of the Company's loss reserves; (5) the impact of market volatility on the mark-to-market of the Company's contracts written in credit default swap form; (6) reduction in the amount of reinsurance portfolio opportunities available to the Company; (7) decreased demand or increased competition; (8) changes in applicable accounting policies or practices; (9) changes in applicable laws or regulation, including insurance and tax laws; (10) other governmental actions; (11) difficulties with the execution of the Company's business strategy; (12) contract cancellations; (13) the Company's dependence on customers; (14) loss of key personnel; (15) adverse technological developments; (16) the effects of mergers, acquisitions and divestitures; (17) natural or man-madecatastrophes; (18) other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time; (19) management's response to these factors; and (20) other risk factors identified in Assured Guaranty's filings with the SEC. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward looking statements, which speak only as of the dates on which they are made. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Selected Financial Highlights
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

 
  Quarter Ended
March 31,
   
 
 
  % Change
versus
1Q-09
 
 
  2010   2009  

Operating income reconciliation:

                   
 

Operating income

  $ 89.6   $ 63.4     41 %
 

Plus: Realized gains (losses) on investments, after tax

    6.7     (17.1 )   NM  
 

Plus: Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains on credit derivatives, after tax

    230.8     26.4     NM  
 

Plus: Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities, after tax

    (0.8 )   12.8     NM  
 

Plus: Non-economic fair value adjustments and net interest margin of consolidated variable interest entities ("VIEs"), after tax(1)

    (4.3 )       NM  
                 
 

Net income attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd

  $ 322.0   $ 85.5     277 %
                 

Return on equity ("ROE") calculations(2):

                   
 

ROE, excluding unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio

    37.5 %   11.5 %      
 

Operating ROE

    8.6 %   10.3 %      

Earnings per diluted share:

                   
 

Operating income

  $ 0.47   $ 0.69     (32 )%
 

Plus: Realized gains (losses) on investments, after tax

    0.03     (0.19 )   NM  
 

Plus: Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains on credit derivatives, after tax

    1.21     0.29     NM  
 

Plus: Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities, after tax

        0.14     NM  
 

Plus: Non-economic fair value adjustments and net interest margin of consolidated VIEs, after tax(1)

    (0.02 )       NM  
                 
 

Net income attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd.(3)

  $ 1.69   $ 0.93     82 %
                 

Other information:

                   
 

Net debt service outstanding

  $ 958,192   $ 357,216     168 %
 

Net par outstanding

    639,465     237,176     170 %
 

Claims-paying resources

    13,399     5,221     157 %
 

Gross par written

    7,188     22,276     (68 )%
 

Effective tax rate on operating income

    33.5 %   19.3 %      
 

Effective tax rate on net income

    26.3 %   14.6 %      

(1)
Effective January 1, 2010, new accounting guidance ASC 810 "Consolidation" required the deconsolidation of four previously consolidated variable interest entities ("VIEs") and the consolidation of 21 VIEs previously accounted for as insurance contracts. Operating income reverses the financial effect of consolidating these entities and accounts for them as financial guaranty insurance contracts in order to present the Company's insured obligations on a consistent basis.

(2)
Quarterly ROE calculations represent annualized returns.

(3)
Total may not add due to differences in calculating GAAP and non-GAAP per diluted share amounts.

Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures.

NM = Not meaningful

1



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Consolidated Statements of Operations
(dollars and shares in millions, except per share amounts)

 
  Quarter Ended
March 31,
   
 
 
  % Change
versus
1Q-09
 
 
  2010   2009  

Revenues:

                   
 

Net earned premiums

  $ 319.6   $ 148.4     115 %
 

Net investment income

    84.3     43.6     93 %
 

Net realized investment gains (losses)

    9.4     (17.1 )   NM  
 

Change in fair value of credit derivatives:

                   
   

Realized gains on credit derivatives

    54.7     29.7     84 %
   

Credit impairment on credit derivatives

    (76.4 )   (1.0 )   NM  
   

Non-credit impairment fair value gains on credit derivatives

    300.5     18.9     NM  
                 
 

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives

    278.8     47.6     486 %
 

Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities

    (1.3 )   19.7     NM  
 

Financial guaranty VIEs revenues

    4.2         NM  
 

Other income

    (11.1 )   0.9     NM  
                 
   

Total revenues

    683.9     243.1     181 %

Expenses:

                   
 

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

    130.5     79.8     64 %
 

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    8.2     23.4     (65 )%
 

Assured Guaranty Municipal Holdings Inc. ("AGMH") acquisition-related expenses

    4.0     4.6     (13 )%
 

Interest expense

    25.1     5.8     333 %
 

Financial guaranty VIEs expenses

    14.8         NM  
 

Other operating expenses

    64.4     29.4     119 %
                 
   

Total expenses

    247.0     143.0     73 %
                 
 

Income before provision for income taxes

   
436.9
   
100.1
   
336

%
 

Provision for income taxes

    114.9     14.6     NM  
                 
 

Net income

   
322.0
   
85.5
   
277

%
 

Less: Noncontrolling interest of variable interest entities

            NM  
                 
 

Net income attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd

    322.0     85.5     277 %
 

Less: Realized gains (losses) on investments, after tax

   
6.7
   
(17.1

)
 
NM
 
 

Less: Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains on credit derivatives, after tax

    230.8     26.4     NM  
 

Less: Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities, after tax

    (0.8 )   12.8     NM  
 

Less: Non-economic fair value adjustments and net interest margin of consolidated VIEs, after tax(1)

    (4.3 )       NM  
                 
 

Operating income

  $ 89.6   $ 63.4     41 %
                 

Weighted average shares outstanding

                   
 

Basic shares outstanding—GAAP (for net income (loss) per share calculation)

    184.3     90.8     103 %
 

Diluted shares outstanding—GAAP (for net income (loss) per share calculation)

    190.6     91.2     109 %
 

Diluted shares outstanding—non-GAAP (for operating income per share calculation)

    190.8     91.5     109 %
 

Shares outstanding at the end of period

   
184.3
   
90.1
   
105

%

Effect of refundings and accelerations, net

                   
 

Earned premiums from refundings and accelerations, net

  $ 15.4   $ 90.3     (83 )%
 

Operating income effect

  $ 9.9   $ 64.7     (85 )%
 

Operating income per diluted share effect

  $ 0.05   $ 0.71     (93 )%

(1)
Effective January 1, 2010, new accounting guidance ASC 810 "Consolidation" required the deconsolidation of four previously consolidated VIEs and the consolidation of 21 VIEs previously accounted for as insurance contracts. Operating income reverses the financial effect of consolidating these entities and accounts for them as financial guaranty insurance contracts in order to present the Company's insured obligations on a consistent basis.

        Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures.

        NM = Not meaningful

2



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Consolidated Balance Sheets
(in millions)

 
  As of :  
 
  March 31,
2010
  December 31,
2009
 

Assets

             
 

Investment portfolio, available-for-sale:

             
   

Fixed maturity securities, at fair value

  $ 9,057.3   $ 9,139.9  
   

Short-term investments

    1,421.4     1,668.3  
           
 

Total investment portfolio

    10,478.7     10,808.2  
 

Assets acquired in refinancing transactions

   
143.5
   
152.4
 
 

Cash

    90.5     44.1  
 

Premiums receivable, net of ceding commissions payable

    1,371.6     1,418.2  
 

Ceded unearned premium reserve

    926.2     1,052.0  
 

Deferred acquisition costs

    244.0     242.0  
 

Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses

    17.8     14.1  
 

Credit derivative assets

    537.1     492.5  
 

Committed capital securities, at fair value

    8.3     9.5  
 

Deferred tax asset, net

    1,132.1     1,158.2  
 

Salvage recoverable

    261.8     239.5  
 

Financial guaranty VIE assets(1)

    1,868.6     762.3  
 

Other assets

    308.3     200.4  
           

Total assets

  $ 17,388.5   $ 16,593.4  
           

Liabilities and shareholders' equity

             

Liabilities

             
 

Unearned premium reserves

  $ 7,720.9   $ 8,219.4  
 

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserve

    361.3     289.5  
 

Long-term debt

    919.5     917.4  
 

Note payable to related party

    142.4     149.1  
 

Credit derivative liabilities

    1,822.0     2,034.6  
 

Reinsurance balances payable, net

    185.4     186.7  
 

Financial guaranty VIE liabilities with recourse(1)

    2,067.2     762.7  
 

Financial guaranty VIE liabilities without recourse(1)

    205.7      
 

Other liabilities

    345.1     513.9  
           

Total liabilities

    13,769.5     13,073.3  

Shareholders' equity

             
 

Common stock

    1.8     1.8  
 

Additional paid-in capital

    2,589.5     2,585.0  
 

Retained earnings(1)

    885.3     789.9  
 

Accumulated other comprehensive income

    140.4     141.8  
 

Deferred equity compensation

    2.0     2.0  
           
 

Total shareholders' equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd.

    3,619.0     3,520.5  
 

Noncontrolling interest in consolidated VIEs(1)

        (0.4 )
           
 

Total shareholders' equity

    3,619.0     3,520.1  
           

Total liabilities and shareholders' equity

  $ 17,388.5   $ 16,593.4  
           

(1)
Effective January 1, 2010, new accounting guidance ASC 810 "Consolidation" required the deconsolidation of four previously consolidated VIEs and the consolidation of 21 VIEs previously accounted for as insurance contracts.

3



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Adjusted Book Value
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

 
  As of :    
   
 
 
  March 31, 2010   December 31,
2009
  % Change
versus
12/31/2009
 
 
  Total   Per
share
  Total   Per
share
  Total   Per
share
 

Reconciliation of book value to adjusted book value:

                                     
 

Book value attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. 

  $ 3,619.0   $ 19.63   $ 3,520.5   $ 19.12     3 %   3 %
 

Less: Non-economic fair value adjustments of consolidated VIEs, after tax(1)

    (222.4 )   (1.21 )           NM     NM  
 

Less: Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives, after tax

    (536.1 )   (2.91 )   (767.6 )   (4.17 )   (30 )%   (30 )%
 

Less: Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities, after tax

    5.4     0.03     6.2     0.03     (13 )%   0 %
 

Less: Unrealized gain (loss) on investment portfolio excluding foreign exchange effect, after tax

    127.6     0.69     139.7     0.76     (9 )%   (9 )%
                               
 

Operating shareholders' equity

  $ 4,244.5   $ 23.02   $ 4,142.2   $ 22.49     2 %   2 %
 

Less: Deferred acquisition costs, after tax

    258.8     1.40     235.3     1.28     10 %   9 %
 

Plus: Net present value of estimated net future credit derivative revenue, after tax

    499.6     2.71     520.0     2.82     (4 )%   (4 )%
 

Plus: Net unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of expected loss to be expensed, after tax

    4,362.6     23.67     4,486.8     24.36     (3 )%   (3 )%
                               
 

Adjusted book value

  $ 8,847.9   $ 48.00   $ 8,913.7   $ 48.40     (1 )%   (1 )%
                               

(1)
Effective January 1, 2010, new accounting guidance ASC 810 "Consolidation" required the deconsolidation of four previously consolidated VIEs and the consolidation of 21 VIEs previously accounted for as insurance contracts. Operating shareholder's equity reverses the financial effect of consolidating these entities and accounts for them as financial guaranty insurance contracts in order to present the Company's insured obligations on a consistent basis.

Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures.

NM = Not meaningful

4



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Consolidated Capital and Claims Paying Resources
(dollars in millions)

 
  As of March 31, 2010  
 
  Assured
Guaranty
Corp.
  Assured
Guaranty Re
Ltd.(1)
  Assured
Guaranty
Municipal
Corp.
  Eliminations(6)   Consolidated  

Claims paying resources

                               

Policyholders' surplus

  $ 1,080   $ 1,021   $ 863   $ (300 ) $ 2,664  

Contingency reserve

    587         1,357         1,944  
                       
 

Qualified statutory capital

    1,667     1,021     2,220     (300 )   4,608  

Unearned premium reserve

    890     1,052     2,229         4,171  

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves

    454     256     1,252         1,962  
                       
 

Total policyholders' surplus and reserves

    3,011     2,329     5,701     (300 )   10,741  

Present value of installment premium(2)

    584     330     846         1,760  

Standby line of credit/stop loss

    200     200     498         898  
                       
 

Total claims paying resources

  $ 3,795   $ 2,859   $ 7,045   $ (300 ) $ 13,399  
                       

Net par outstanding(3)

 
$

128,049
 
$

146,332
 
$

352,809
 
$

(1,607

)

$

625,583
 

Net debt service outstanding(3)

  $ 183,997   $ 236,390   $ 525,788   $ (3,576 ) $ 942,599  

Ratios:

                               
 

Net par insured to statutory capital

    77:1     143:1     159:1           136:1  
 

Capital ratio(4)

    110:1     232:1     237:1           205:1  
 

Financial resources ratio(5)

    48:1     83:1     75:1           70:1  

(1)
Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. ("AG Re") numbers are the Company's estimate of U.S. statutory as this company files Bermuda statutory financial statements.

(2)
Includes financial guaranty and credit derivatives.

(3)
Statutory basis.

(4)
The capital ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by qualified statutory capital.

(5)
The financial resources ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by total claims paying resources.

(6)
In 2009, Assured Guaranty Corp. issued a $300.0 million note payable to Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp.

5



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
New Business Production
(dollars in millions)

 
  Quarter Ended
March 31,
   
 
 
  % Change
versus
1Q-09
 
 
  2010   2009  

Consolidated new business production analysis:

                   
 

Present value of new business production ("PVP")

                   
 

Public finance—U.S. 

  $ 74.3   $ 217.5     (66 )%
 

Public finance—non-U.S. 

        1.8     (100 )%
 

Structured finance—U.S. 

    4.5     2.4     88 %
 

Structured finance—non-U.S. 

            NM  
                 
 

Total PVP

    78.8     221.7     (64 )%
   

Less: PVP(a) of credit derivatives

        2.4     (100 )%
                 
 

PVP of financial guaranty insurance

    78.8     219.3     (64 )%
   

Less: Financial guaranty installment premium PVP

    4.5     11.6     (61 )%
                 
 

Total: Financial guaranty upfront GWP

    74.3     207.7     (64 )%
   

Plus: Financial guaranty installment PVP adjustment(1)

    17.8     27.1     (34 )%
                 
 

Total financial guaranty GWP

    92.1     234.8     (61 )%
 

Plus: Other segment GWP

            NM  
                 
 

Total GWP

  $ 92.1   $ 234.8     (61 )%
                 

Consolidated financial guaranty gross par written:

                   
 

Public finance—U.S. 

  $ 6,188   $ 21,629     (71 )%
 

Public finance—non-U.S. 

        555     (100 )%
 

Structured finance—U.S. 

    1,000     92     987 %
 

Structured finance—non-U.S. 

            NM  
                 
   

Total

  $ 7,188   $ 22,276     (68 )%
                 

(1)
Includes the difference in management estimates for the discount rate applied to future installments compared to the discount rate used for new financial guaranty insurance accounting standard as well as the changes in estimated term for future installments.

Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures.

NM = Not meaningful

6



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written
(in millions)

Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written by Asset Type

 
  Gross Par
Written
  Avg. Rating(1)  
 
  1Q-10  

Sector:

             

U.S. Public Finance:

             
 

General obligation

  $ 2,955     A+  
 

Municipal utilities

    1,381     A+  
 

Tax backed

    1,299     A+  
 

Transportation

    288     A  
 

Healthcare

    173     A  
 

Higher education

    62     A  
 

Investor-owned utilities

    30     A-  
           
   

Total U.S. public finance

    6,188     A+  

Non-U.S. Public Finance:

             
   

Total non-U.S. public finance

         
           

Total public finance

  $ 6,188     A+  
           

U.S. Structured Finance:

             
 

Consumer receivables

  $ 1,000     AAA  
           
   

Total U.S. structured finance

    1,000     AAA  

Non-U.S. Structured Finance:

             
   

Total non-U.S. structured finance

         
           

Total structured finance

  $ 1,000     AAA  
           

Total gross par written

 
$

7,188
   

A+

 
           

(1)
Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.

    Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

7



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Segment Consolidation
(in millions)

 
  Three Months Ended March 31, 2010  
 
  Financial
Guaranty
Direct
  Financial
Guaranty
Reinsurance(1)
  Other(4)   Underwriting
Gain/(Loss)
  Consolidation
of VIEs
  Total  

Total PVP

  $ 78.8   $   $   $ 78.8   $   $ 78.8  

Income statement:

                                     

Net earned premiums

    306.6     18.4     0.6     325.6     (6.0 )   319.6  

Realized gains on credit derivatives(2)

    55.0     (0.3 )       54.7         54.7  

Other income

    (5.1 )   (7.8 )       (12.9 )       (12.9 )
                           
 

Total underwriting revenues

    356.5     10.3     0.6     367.4     (6.0 )   361.4  

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

    112.3     28.2         140.5     (10.0 )   130.5  

Incurred losses (gains) on credit derivatives(3)

    74.6     1.8         76.4           76.4  
                           
 

Total incurred losses

    186.9     30.0         216.9     (10.0 )   206.9  

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    3.8     4.3     0.1     8.2         8.2  

Operating expenses

    49.7     9.4     0.9     60.0         60.0  
                           
 

Total underwriting expenses

    240.4     43.7     1.0     285.1     (10.0 )   275.1  
                               
   

Underwriting gain (loss)

  $ 116.1   $ (33.4 ) $ (0.4 ) $ 82.3              
                               

 

 
  Three Months Ended March 31, 2009  
 
  Financial
Guaranty
Direct
  Financial
Guaranty
Reinsurance(1)
  Other(4)   Total  

Total PVP

  $ 130.9   $ 90.8   $   $ 221.7  

Income statement:

                         

Net earned premiums

    101.5     46.2     0.7     148.4  

Realized gains on credit derivatives(2)

    28.8     0.9         29.7  

Other income

    0.8     0.1         0.9  
                   
 

Total underwriting revenues

    131.1     47.2     0.7     179.0  

Loss and loss adjustment expenses

    11.7     36.8     31.3     79.8  

Incurred losses (gains) on credit derivatives(3)

    1.4     (0.4 )       1.0  
                   
 

Total incurred losses

    13.1     36.4     31.3     80.8  

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    6.2     17.1     0.1     23.4  

Operating expenses

    20.6     6.7     0.7     28.0  
                   
 

Total underwriting expenses

    39.9     60.2     32.1     132.2  
                   
   

Underwriting gain (loss)

  $ 91.2   $ (13.0 ) $ (31.4 ) $ 46.8  
                   

(1)
Due to the timing of receiving reports prepared by Assured Guaranty's ceding companies, PVP(a) for installment premiums, par written and par outstanding on treaty business in the Company's financial guaranty reinsurance segment are reported on a one-quarter lag.

(2)
Includes premiums and ceding commissions.

(3)
Includes paid and payable losses and received and receivable recoveries.

(4)
Other includes the Company's former mortgage guaranty and other segments.

Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures.

8



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Direct Segment (1 of 2)
(in millions)

 
  3Q-09   4Q-09   1Q-10  

Income statement:

                   

Net earned premiums:

                   
 

Scheduled net earned premiums

                   
   

Public finance—U.S. 

  $ 69.7   $ 77.8   $ 67.6  
   

Public finance—non-U.S. 

    17.9     15.4     13.0  
   

Structured finance—U.S. 

    208.4     202.9     203.7  
   

Structured finance—non-U.S. 

    7.6     13.1     8.7  
               
 

Total scheduled net earned premiums

    303.6     309.2     293.0  
 

Net earned premiums from refundings and accelerations

    11.1     37.3     13.6  
               

Total net earned premiums

    314.7     346.5     306.6  

Realized gains on credit derivatives(1)

    57.0     54.8     55.0  

Other income

    34.6     1.6     (5.1 )
               
 

Total underwriting revenues

    406.3     402.9     356.5  

Loss and loss adjustment expenses—financial guaranty

   
97.2
   
101.2
   
112.3
 

Incurred losses (gains) on credit derivatives(2)

    142.4     59.2     74.6  
               
 

Total incurred losses

    239.6     160.4     186.9  

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    3.0     3.5     3.8  

Operating expenses

    59.1     42.8     49.7  
               
 

Total underwriting expenses

    301.7     206.7     240.4  
               
   

Underwriting gain (loss)

  $ 104.6   $ 196.2   $ 116.1  
               

(1)
Includes premiums and ceding commissions.

(2)
Includes paid and payable losses and received and receivable recoveries.

9


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Direct Segment (2 of 2)
(in millions)

 
  3Q-09   4Q-09   1Q-10  

PVP:

                   

Public finance—U.S. 

  $ 154.9   $ 114.0   $ 74.3  

Public finance—non-U.S. 

             

Structured finance—U.S. 

    2.3     6.3     4.5  

Structured finance—non-U.S. 

    0.9     0.1      
               

Total PVP

    158.1     120.4     78.8  
 

Less: PVP of credit derivatives GWP

             
               

PVP of financial guaranty GWP

    158.1     120.4     78.8  
 

Less: Present value of insurance installment premiums

    4.2     (2.9 )   4.5  
               
 

Upfront financial guaranty GWP

    153.9     123.3     74.3  
 

Plus: Financial guaranty installment PVP adjustment(1)

    (22.3 )   (45.4 )   19.5  
               

Financial guaranty direct GWP

  $ 131.6   $ 77.9   $ 93.8  
               

Gross par written(2):

                   

Public finance—U.S. 

  $ 8,497   $ 6,736   $ 6,188  

Public finance—non-U.S. 

             

Structured finance—U.S. 

    600     1,250     1,000  

Structured finance—non-U.S. 

             
               
 

Total

  $ 9,097   $ 7,986   $ 7,188  
               

 

 
  3Q-09   4Q-09   1Q-10  

Net par outstanding:
(end of period)

                   

Public finance—U.S. 

  $ 371,748   $ 372,088   $ 380,361  

Public finance—non-U.S. 

    37,139     37,281     36,099  

Structured finance—U.S. 

    135,939     132,945     128,495  

Structured finance—non-U.S. 

    33,080     33,194     31,530  
               
 

Total

  $ 577,906   $ 575,508   $ 576,485  
               

(1)
Includes the difference in management estimates for the discount rate applied to future installments compared to the discount rate used for new financial guaranty insurance accounting standard as well as the changes in estimated term for future installments.

(2)
Includes committed amount including undrawn revolvers.

        Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures.

        Note: AGM is included in the financial guaranty direct segment.

10



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Reinsurance Segment (1 of 2)
(in millions)

 
  3Q-09   4Q-09   1Q-10  

Income statement:

                   

Net earned premiums:

                   
 

Scheduled net earned premiums

  $ 8.3   $ 17.4   $ 16.6  
 

Net earned premiums from refundings and accelerations

    6.3     8.8     1.8  
               

Total net earned premiums

    14.6     26.2     18.4  

Realized gains on credit derivatives(1)

    0.3     0.6     (0.3 )

Other income

    21.5     (1.5 )   (7.8 )
               
 

Total underwriting revenues

    36.4     25.3     10.3  

Loss and loss adjustment expenses—financial guaranty

   
35.9
   
25.5
   
28.2
 

Incurred losses (gains) on credit derivatives(2)

    (0.2 )   1.0     1.8  
               
 

Total incurred losses

    35.7     26.5     30.0  

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    (1.8 )   9.0     4.3  

Operating expenses

    6.3     5.2     9.4  
               
 

Total underwriting expenses

    40.2     40.7     43.7  
               
   

Underwriting gain (loss)

  $ (3.8 ) $ (15.4 ) $ (33.4 )
               

(1)
Includes premiums and ceding commissions.

(2)
Includes paid and payable losses and received and receivable recoveries.

11


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Reinsurance Segment(1) (2 of 2)
(in millions)

 
  3Q-09   4Q-09   1Q-10  

PVP:

                   

Public finance—U.S. 

  $   $   $  

Public finance—non-U.S. 

             

Structured finance—U.S. 

             

Structured finance—non-U.S. 

             
               

Total PVP

             
 

Less: PVP of credit derivatives GWP

             
               

PVP of financial guaranty GWP

             
 

Less: Present value of financial guaranty installment premiums

             
               
 

Upfront financial guaranty GWP

             
 

Plus: Financial guaranty installment PVP adjustment(2)

    (7.5 )   (21.5 )   (1.7 )
               

Financial guaranty reinsurance GWP

  $ (7.5 ) $ (21.5 ) $ (1.7 )
               

Gross par written:

                   

Public finance—U.S. 

  $   $   $  

Public finance—non-U.S. 

             

Structured finance—U.S. 

             

Structured finance—non-U.S. 

             
               
 

Total

  $   $   $  
               

 

 
  3Q-09   4Q-09   1Q-10  

Net par outstanding:
(end of period)

                   

Public finance—U.S. 

  $ 53,137   $ 50,990   $ 49,751  

Public finance—non-U.S. 

    6,088     5,494     5,307  

Structured finance—U.S. 

    6,244     5,356     5,049  

Structured finance—non-U.S. 

    3,255     3,074     2,873  
               
 

Total

  $ 68,724   $ 64,914   $ 62,980  
               

(1)
Due to the timing of receiving reports prepared by Assured Guaranty's ceding companies, PVP for installment premiums, par written and par outstanding on treaty business in the Company's financial guaranty reinsurance segment are reported on a one-quarter lag.

(2)
Includes the difference in management estimates for the discount rate applied to future installments compared to the discount rate used for new financial guaranty insurance accounting standard as well as the changes in estimated term for future installments.

        Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures.

        Note: AGM is included in the financial guaranty direct segment.

12



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Investment Portfolio
As of March 31, 2010
(dollars in millions)

 
  Amortized
Cost
  Pre-Tax
Book
Yield
  After-Tax
Book
Yield
  Fair
Value
  Annualized
Investment
Income(1)
 

Investment portfolio, available-for-sale:

                               

Fixed maturity securities:

                               
 

U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government agencies

  $ 503.8     2.97 %   2.28 % $ 517.9   $ 15.0  
 

Agency obligations

    515.6     3.39 %   2.95 %   530.8     17.5  
 

Foreign government securities

    348.3     3.06 %   1.99 %   335.7     10.7  
 

Obligations of states and political subdivisions

    2,501.4     3.86 %   3.66 %   2,577.2     96.6  
 

Insured obligations of state and political subdivisions(2)

    2,161.6     4.79 %   4.54 %   2,237.0     103.5  
 

Corporate securities

    628.5     3.57 %   2.92 %   642.6     22.4  
 

Mortgage-backed securities ("MBS")(3):

                               
   

Residential MBS

    1,460.5     4.43 %   3.99 %   1,466.6     64.7  
   

Commercial MBS

    240.4     5.60 %   4.70 %   247.6     13.5  
 

Asset-backed securities(4)

    505.8     2.96 %   2.26 %   501.9     15.0  
                       
     

Total fixed maturity securities

    8,865.9     4.05 %   3.64 %   9,057.3     358.9  

Short-term investments

    1,422.0     0.23 %   0.16 %   1,421.4     3.3  
                       
     

Total investment portfolio

  $ 10,287.9     3.52 %   3.16 % $ 10,478.7   $ 362.2  
                       

 

 
  Fair
Value
  %    
   
   
 

Ratings(5):

                               

Treasury and U.S. government obligations

  $ 517.9     5.7 %                  

Agency obligations

    530.8     5.8 %                  

AAA/Aaa

    3,202.7     35.4 %                  

AA/Aa

    2,827.4     31.2 %                  

A/A

    1,455.5     16.1 %                  

BBB

    144.3     1.6 %                  

Below investment grade ("BIG")

    378.7     4.2 %                  
                             
 

Total fixed maturity securities available for sale

  $ 9,057.3     100.0 %                  
                             

Duration of investment portfolio (in years):

          4.3                    
                               

Average ratings of investment portfolio

          AA                    
                               

(1)
Represents annualized investment income based on amortized cost and pre-tax book yields.

(2)
Reflects obligations of state and local political subdivisions that have been insured by other financial guarantors. The underlying ratings of these bonds average A+. Includes $379.5 million insured by AGC & AGM.

(3)
$0.5 million is U.S. subprime RMBS, which has an average rating of AAA.

(4)
Contains no CDOs of ABS.

(5)
Ratings are represented by the lower of the Moody's Investors Service and Standard & Poor's classifications.

13



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Estimated Net Exposure Amortization(1) and Estimated Future Net Premium
and Credit Derivative Revenues
(in millions)

 
   
   
  Financial Guaranty Insurance(2)    
   
 
 
   
  Estimated
Ending Net
Debt Service
Outstanding
  Future
Credit
Derivative
Revenues(3)
   
 
 
  Estimated Net
Debt Service
Amortization
  Expected PV
Net Earned
Premiums
  Accretion of
Discount
  Future Net
Premiums
Earned
  Total  

2010 (as of March 31)

        $ 958,192                                

2010 (April 1-December 31)

  $ 55,281     902,911   $ 772.5   $ 27.8   $ 800.3   $ 123.2   $ 923.5  

2011

    63,586     839,325     768.7     34.7     803.4     166.0     969.4  

2012

    69,415     769,910     608.1     32.6     640.7     132.3     773.0  

2013

    59,998     709,912     524.6     30.2     554.8     99.6     654.4  

2014

    63,764     646,148     468.7     28.2     496.9     69.5     566.4  

2010-2014

   
312,044
   
646,148
   
3,142.6
   
153.5
   
3,296.1
   
590.6
   
3,886.7
 

2015-2019

    218,625     427,523     1,687.6     113.8     1,801.4     145.2     1,946.6  

2020-2024

    160,640     266,883     1,023.5     76.7     1,100.2     69.0     1,169.2  

2025-2029

    113,116     153,767     628.6     47.3     675.9     52.6     728.5  

After 2029

    153,767         679.0     39.5     718.5     90.9     809.4  
                                 
 

Total

  $ 958,192         $ 7,161.3   $ 430.8   $ 7,592.1   $ 948.3   $ 8,540.4  
                                 

(1)
Represents the future expected amortization of current debt service outstanding (principal and interest), assuming no advance refundings, as of March 31, 2010. Actual amortization differs from expected maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay guaranteed and because of management's assumptions on structured finance amortization. obligations.

(2)
See page 15 for "Present Value of Financial Guaranty Insurance Losses to be Expensed."

(3)
Excludes UPR contracts with credit impairment or is net of expected losses to be expensed on contracts with expected losses.

14



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Present Value of Financial Guaranty Insurance Losses to be Expensed
(in millions)

 
  Expected PV of
Net Loss to be
Expensed(1)
 

Financial Guaranty Insurance Losses to be Expensed:

       

2010 (as of March 31)

       

2010 (2nd Qtr)

  $ 58.8  

2010 (3rd Qtr)

    63.0  

2010 (4th Qtr)

    61.9  

2011

    198.6  

2012

    122.2  

2013

    96.1  

2014

    90.6  

2010-2014

   
691.2
 

2015-2019

    269.3  

2020-2024

    126.2  

2025-2029

    70.3  

After 2029

    61.7  
       
 

Total expected present value

    1,218.7  

Discount

    655.8  
       
 

Total future value

  $ 1,874.5  
       

(1)
The expected present value of net loss to be expensed is discounted by weighted-average risk free rates ranging from 0% to 5.32%.

15



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (1 of 3)
As of March 31, 2010
(in millions)

Net Par Outstanding and Average Rating by Asset Type

 
  Financial Guaranty
Direct
  Financial Guaranty
Reinsurance
  Consolidated
 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Avg.
Rating(1)

U.S. Public Finance:

                     
 

General obligation

  $ 164,819   $ 16,443   $ 181,262   A+
 

Tax backed

    74,657     9,754     84,411   A+
 

Municipal utilities

    64,706     6,620     71,326   A
 

Transportation

    30,134     6,237     36,371   A
 

Healthcare

    20,658     1,884     22,542   A
 

Higher education

    12,242     2,967     15,209   A+
 

Housing

    7,079     427     7,506   AA-
 

Infrastructure finance

    2,522     1,693     4,215   BBB+
 

Investor-owned utilities

    168     1,564     1,732   BBB+
 

Other public finance

    3,376     2,162     5,538   A
                 
   

Total U.S. public finance

    380,361     49,751     430,112   A+

Non-U.S. Public Finance:

                     
 

Infrastructure finance

    13,368     2,379     15,747   BBB
 

Regulated utilities

    11,075     2,390     13,465   BBB+
 

Pooled infrastructure

    4,140         4,140   AA
 

Other public finance

    7,516     538     8,054   AA-
                 
   

Total non-U.S. public finance

    36,099     5,307     41,406   A-
                 

Total public finance

  $ 416,460   $ 55,058   $ 471,518   A
                 

U.S. Structured Finance:

                     
 

Pooled corporate obligations

  $ 72,003   $ 883   $ 72,886   AAA
 

Residential mortgage-backed and home equity

    27,876     414     28,290   BB
 

Financial products

    9,653         9,653   AA-
 

Consumer receivables

    6,009     1,358     7,367   A+
 

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

    6,982     376     7,358   AAA
 

Structured credit

    2,171     376     2,547   A-
 

Commercial receivables

    1,276     1,116     2,392   BBB+
 

Insurance securitizations

    1,314     337     1,651   A+
 

Other structured finance

    1,211     189     1,400   A+
                 
   

Total U.S. structured finance

    128,495     5,049     133,544   AA-

Non-U.S. Structured Finance:

                     
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    22,634     1,025     23,659   AAA
 

Residential mortgage-backed and home equity

    4,868     30     4,898   AAA
 

Structured credit

    1,319     602     1,921   BBB
 

Commercial receivables

    895     728     1,623   A-
 

Insurance securitizations

    964     16     980   CCC-
 

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

    394     302     696   AA
 

Consumer receivables

    161         161   AAA
 

Other structured finance

    295     170     465   AA+
                 
   

Total non-U.S. structured finance

    31,530     2,873     34,403   AA+
                 

Total structured finance

  $ 160,025   $ 7,922   $ 167,947   AA-
                 

Total net par outstanding

  $ 576,485   $ 62,980   $ 639,465   A+
                 

(1)
Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.

    Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

    NA = Not Applicable

16


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (2 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

Distribution by Ratings of Financial Guaranty Portfolio

 
  As of March 31, 2010  
 
  Public
Finance—U.S.
  Public
Finance—Non-U.S.
  Structured
Finance—U.S.
  Structured
Finance—Non-U.S.
  Consolidated  
 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  %   Net Par
Outstanding
  %   Net Par
Outstanding
  %   Net Par
Outstanding
  %   Net Par
Outstanding
  %  

Ratings(1):

                                                             

Super senior

  $     0.0 % $ 2,177     5.3 % $ 24,175     18.1 % $ 8,478     24.6 % $ 34,830     5.4 %

AAA

    6,179     1.4 %   1,406     3.4 %   42,252     31.6 %   14,389     41.8 %   64,226     10.0 %

AA

    167,991     39.1 %   1,971     4.8 %   25,752     19.3 %   2,985     8.7 %   198,699     31.1 %

A

    211,859     49.3 %   13,034     31.5 %   9,416     7.1 %   2,641     7.7 %   236,950     37.1 %

BBB

    41,085     9.5 %   22,173     53.5 %   11,084     8.3 %   4,880     14.2 %   79,222     12.4 %

BIG

    2,998     0.7 %   645     1.5 %   20,865     15.6 %   1,030     3.0 %   25,538     4.0 %
                                           
 

Total net par outstanding

  $ 430,112     100.0 % $ 41,406     100.0 % $ 133,544     100.0 % $ 34,403     100.0 % $ 639,465     100.0 %
                                           

Ceded Par Outstanding by Reinsurer and Insurer Financial Strength Rating

Reinsurer
  Moody's
Rating
  S&P
Rating
  Ceded Par
Outstanding
  Ceded Par
Outstanding as
a % of Gross
Par Outstanding
 

Radian Asset Assurance Inc. 

  Ba1   BB-   $ 23,452     30.7 %

Tokio Marine & Nichido Fire Insurance Co., Ltd. 

  Aa2   AA     21,113     27.7 %

RAM Reinsurance Co. Ltd. 

  WR   WR     14,221     18.6 %

R.V.I. Guaranty Co. Ltd. 

  WR   BBB     4,132     5.4 %

Syncora Guarantee Inc. 

  Ca   R     4,127     5.4 %

Swiss Reinsurance Company

  A1   A+     3,985     5.2 %

Mitsui Sumitomo Insurance Co. Ltd. 

  Aa3   AA     2,508     3.3 %

Other

  Various   Various     2,733     3.7 %
                   
 

Total

          $ 76,271     100.0 %
                   

(1)
Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

17


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Profile (3 of 3)
(dollars in millions)

Geographic Distribution of Financial Guaranty Portfolio as of March 31, 2010

 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total  

U.S.:

             

Public Finance:

             
 

California

  $ 61,420     9.6 %
 

New York

    35,600     5.6 %
 

Texas

    31,573     4.9 %
 

Pennsylvania

    29,146     4.6 %
 

Florida

    26,431     4.1 %
 

Illinois

    26,111     4.1 %
 

New Jersey

    18,446     2.9 %
 

Michigan

    17,256     2.7 %
 

Massachusetts

    13,381     2.1 %
 

Washington

    13,096     2.0 %
 

Other states

    157,652     24.6 %
           
   

Total Public Finance

    430,112     67.2 %

Structured finance (multiple states)

    133,544     20.9 %
           
   

Total U.S

    563,656     88.1 %
           

Non-U.S.:

             
 

United Kingdom

    29,336     4.6 %
 

Australia

    8,776     1.4 %
 

Canada

    4,974     0.8 %
 

France

    2,569     0.4 %
 

Italy

    2,394     0.5 %
 

Other

    27,760     4.2 %
           
   

Total non-U.S

    75,809     11.9 %
           

Total net par outstanding

  $ 639,465     100.0 %
           

18



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations by Ratings as of March 31, 2010

 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total   Avg. Initial
Credit
Enhancement(2)
  Avg. Current
Enhancement(2)
 

Ratings(1):

                         

Super Senior

  $ 26,271     27.8 %   31.0 %   28.8 %

AAA

    45,282     47.8 %   28.1 %   26.8 %

AA

    13,323     14.1 %   33.8 %   29.3 %

A

    2,949     3.1 %   30.6 %   24.3 %

BBB

    4,460     4.7 %   40.0 %   28.4 %

BIG

    2,352     2.5 %   43.9 %   24.1 %
                   
 

Total exposures

  $ 94,637     100.0 %   30.7 %   27.7 %
                   

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations by Asset Class as of March 31, 2010

 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total   Avg. Initial
Credit
Enhancement(2)
  Avg. Current
Enhancement(2)
  Avg.
Rating(1)

Asset class:

                           

CLOs/CBOs

  $ 56,103     59.3 %   30.5 %   27.7 % AAA

Synthetic investment grade pooled corporate

    14,365     15.2 %   19.2 %   17.7 % AAA

Synthetic high yield pooled corporate

    10,236     10.8 %   37.2 %   32.1 % AAA

Market Value CDOs(4) of corporate

    5,979     6.3 %   31.0 %   37.9 % AAA

Trust Preferred—banks and insurance

    3,683     3.9 %   46.9 %   33.9 % BBB

Trust Preferred—US Mortgage and REITs(3)

    2,381     2.5 %   50.0 %   38.0 % BB

Trust Preferred—European Mortgage and REITs

    968     1.0 %   36.8 %   31.7 % BBB-

Other Pooled Corporate

    922     1.0 %   24.4 %   24.8 % A-
                     

  $ 94,637     100.0 %   30.7 %   27.7 % AAA
                     

(1)
Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

(2)
"Average Credit Enhancement" is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinated tranches that are junior in the capital structure to Assured Guaranty's exposure, expressed as a percentage of the total transaction size, and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the amounts shown above do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Data is obtained from third-party sources such as trustee reports and may be subject to misstatement or correction.

(3)
REITs are real estate investment trusts.

(4)
CDOs are collateralized debt obligations.

19



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Consolidated U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities ("RMBS") Profile
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating(1) and by Segment as of March 31, 2010

 
  Direct
Net Par
Outstanding
  %   Reinsurance
Net Par
Outstanding
  %   Total
Net Par
Outstanding
  %  

Ratings(1):

                                     

Super senior

  $     0.0 % $     0.0 % $     0.0 %

AAA

    3,379     12.1 %   16     3.8 %   3,395     12.0 %

AA

    2,228     8.0 %   45     10.8 %   2,273     8.0 %

A

    2,089     7.5 %   61     14.7 %   2,150     7.6 %

BBB

    2,838     10.2 %   64     15.5 %   2,902     10.3 %

BIG

    17,342     62.2 %   228     55.2 %   17,570     62.1 %
                           

  $ 27,876     100.0 % $ 414     100.0 % $ 28,290     100.0 %
                           

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating(1) and Type of Exposure as of March 31, 2010

 
  Prime
First
Lien(2)
  Closed End
Seconds
("CES")
  HELOC(3)   Alt-A
First
Lien
  Alt-A
Option
ARMs
  Subprime
First Lien
  NIMs(4)   Total
Net Par
Outstanding
 

Year insured:

                                                 

Super senior

  $   $   $   $   $   $   $   $  

AAA

    164     0     464     111     155     2,500         3,395  

AA

    31     41     516     266     31     1,388         2,273  

A

    24     2     230     109     146     1,640         2,150  

BBB

    85         178     1,286     86     1,238     31     2,902  

BIG

    643     1,214     4,252     5,173     3,342     2,777     167     17,570  
                                   
 

Total exposures

  $ 948   $ 1,258   $ 5,639   $ 6,945   $ 3,759   $ 9,543   $ 197   $ 28,290  
                                   

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Year Insured and Type of Exposure as of March 31, 2010

 
  Prime
First
Lien
  CES   HELOC   Alt-A
First
Lien
  Alt-A
Option
ARMs
  Subprime
First Lien
  NIMs   Total
Net Par
Outstanding
 

Year insured:

                                                 

2004 and prior

  $ 69   $ 2   $ 414   $ 152   $ 58   $ 1,713   $   $ 2,408  

2005

    186         1,221     750     177     448     13     2,795  

2006

    152     466     1,814     544     999     4,168     87     8,230  

2007

    541     789     2,191     3,318     2,400     3,124     98     12,461  

2008

                2,181     125     91         2,397  
                                   
 

Total exposures

  $ 948   $ 1,258   $ 5,639   $ 6,945   $ 3,759   $ 9,543   $ 197   $ 28,290  
                                   

Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Rating(1) and Year Insured as of March 31, 2010

 
  Super
Senior
  AAA
Rated
  AA
Rated
  A
Rated
  BBB
Rated
  BIG
Rated
  Total  

Year insured:

                                           

2004 and prior

  $   $ 1,521   $ 91   $ 138   $ 224   $ 434   $ 2,408  

2005

        244     118     100     527     1,807     2,795  

2006

        1,316     1,100     1,767     430     3,617     8,230  

2007

        315     753     21     778     10,595     12,461  

2008

            212     125     943     1,117     2,397  
                               

  $   $ 3,395   $ 2,273   $ 2,150   $ 2,902   $ 17,570   $ 28,290  
                               

% of total

    0.0 %   12.0 %   8.0 %   7.6 %   10.3 %   62.1 %   100.0 %

(1)
Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.

(2)
Includes primarily Prime First Lien plus an insignificant amount of other miscellaneous MBS transactions.

(3)
Home equity line of credit ("HELOC") securitizations.

(4)
NIMs are net interest margin securities.

    Assured Guaranty has not insured any U.S. RMBS transactions since June 2008.

20



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Profile (1 of 5)
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS by Rating(1) and Type of Exposure as of March 31, 2010

 
  Prime First
Lien(2)
  Closed End
Seconds
  HELOC   Alt-A First
Lien
  Alt-A Option
ARMs
  Subprime
First Lien
  NIMs   Total Net Par
Outstanding
 

Ratings(1):

                                                 

Super senior

  $   $   $   $   $   $   $   $  

AAA

    156         464     107     155     2,497         3,379  

AA

    2     41     510     263     31     1,380         2,228  

A

    1         222     100     145     1,621         2,089  

BBB

    84         138     1,273     85     1,228     31     2,838  

BIG

    640     1,202     4,119     5,164     3,325     2,726     167     17,342  
                                   

Total exposures

  $ 883   $ 1,243   $ 5,454   $ 6,906   $ 3,740   $ 9,453   $ 197   $ 27,876  
                                   

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS by Year Insured as of March 31, 2010

 
  Prime First
Lien
  Closed End
Seconds
  HELOC   Alt-A First
Lien
  Alt-A Option
ARMs
  Subprime First
Lien
  NIMs   Total Net Par
Outstanding
 

Year insured:

                                                 

2004 and prior

  $ 7   $   $ 321   $ 116   $ 57   $ 1,638   $   $ 2,140  

2005

    183         1,161     748     167     447     13     2,717  

2006

    152     454     1,781     544     991     4,160     87     8,170  

2007

    541     789     2,191     3,318     2,400     3,124     98     12,461  

2008

                2,181     125     83         2,389  
                                   

  $ 883   $ 1,243   $ 5,454   $ 6,906   $ 3,740   $ 9,453   $ 197   $ 27,876  
                                   

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Net Par Outstanding by Rating(1) and Year Insured as of March 31, 2010

 
  Super
Senior
  AAA
Rated
  AA
Rated
  A
Rated
  BBB
Rated
  BIG
Rated
  Total  

Year insured:

                                           

2004 and prior

  $   $ 1,505   $ 46   $ 76   $ 162   $ 350   $ 2,140  

2005

        244     118     100     524     1,731     2,717  

2006

        1,316     1,100     1,767     430     3,557     8,170  

2007

        315     753     21     778     10,595     12,461  

2008

            212     125     943     1,109     2,389  
                               

  $   $ 3,379   $ 2,228   $ 2,089   $ 2,838   $ 17,342   $ 27,876  
                               

% of total

    0.0 %   12.1 %   8.0 %   7.5 %   10.2 %   62.2 %   100.0 %

(1)
Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.

(2)
Includes primarily Prime First Lien plus an insignificant amount of other miscellaneous MBS transactions.

21


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Profile (2 of 5)
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Mortgage-Backed Securities Insured January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of March 31, 2010(1)

U.S. Prime First Lien(2)

 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor(3)   Subordination(4)   Cumulative
Losses(5)
  60+ Day
Delinquencies(6)
  Number of
Transactions
 

Year insured:

                                     

2005

  $ 183     60.3 %   5.2 %   0.6 %   7.3 %   6  

2006

    152     69.4 %   7.8 %   0.0 %   12.0 %   1  

2007

    541     72.9 %   10.5 %   1.7 %   11.9 %   1  

2008

                         
                           

  $ 876     69.7 %   8.9 %   1.2 %   10.9 %   8  
                           

U.S. CES

 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination(7)   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 

Year insured:

                                     

2005

  $                      

2006

    454     25.4 %       52.1 %   17.0 %   2  

2007

    789     32.2 %       55.7 %   14.5 %   10  

2008

                         
                           

  $ 1,243     29.7 %       54.3 %   15.5 %   12  
                           

U.S. HELOC

 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 

Year insured:

                                     

2005

  $ 1,161     23.9 %   2.2 %   11.6 %   12.8 %   6  

2006

    1,781     41.7 %   2.0 %   23.2 %   16.6 %   7  

2007

    2,191     54.9 %   3.5 %   22.5 %   8.5 %   9  

2008

                         
                           

  $ 5,132     43.3 %   2.7 %   20.3 %   12.3 %   22  
                           

U.S. Alt-A First Lien

 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 

Year insured:

                                     

2005

  $ 748     46.0 %   12.8 %   3.7 %   19.8 %   21  

2006

    544     55.0 %   2.2 %   9.9 %   40.3 %   7  

2007

    3,318     67.7 %   10.2 %   6.1 %   35.9 %   12  

2008

    2,181     62.8 %   28.5 %   6.5 %   30.9 %   5  
                           

  $ 6,790     62.7 %   15.7 %   6.3 %   32.9 %   45  
                           

(1)
For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of March 2010. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on March 31, 2010 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to restatement or correction.

(2)
Includes primarily Prime First Lien plus an insignificant amount of other miscellaneous MBS transactions.

(3)
Pool factor is the percentage of the current collateral balance divided by the original collateral balance of the transactions at inception.

(4)
Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

(5)
Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.

(6)
60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or real estate owned ("REO") divided by net par outstanding.

(7)
Many of the CES transactions insured by the Company have unique structures whereby the collateral may be written down for losses without a corresponding write-down of the obligations insured by the Company. Many of these transactions are currently under-collateralized, with the principal amount of collateral being less than the principal amount of the obligation insured by the Company. The Company is not required to pay principal shortfalls until legal maturity (rather than making timely principal payments), and takes the under-collateralization into account when estimating expected losses for these transactions.

22


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Profile (3 of 5)
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Mortgage-Backed Securities Insured January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of March 31, 2010(1)

U.S. Alt-A Option ARMs

 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor(2)   Subordination(3)   Cumulative
Losses(4)
  60+ Day
Delinquencies(5)
  Number of
Transactions
 

Year insured:

                                     

2005

  $ 167     33.7 %   11.5 %   6.3 %   41.1 %   4  

2006

    991     62.4 %   7.9 %   7.8 %   52.2 %   7  

2007

    2,400     69.6 %   9.5 %   7.5 %   42.4 %   11  

2008

    125     69.8 %   49.5 %   5.2 %   35.6 %   1  
                           

  $ 3,683     66.1 %   10.5 %   7.5 %   44.7 %   23  
                           

U.S. Subprime First Lien

 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 

Year insured:

                                     

2005

  $ 447     36.6 %   50.6 %   4.5 %   42.2 %   7  

2006

    4,160     27.8 %   60.7 %   11.8 %   45.4 %   4  

2007

    3,124     63.5 %   28.5 %   10.3 %   51.8 %   13  

2008

    83     74.8 %   34.8 %   4.5 %   33.7 %   1  
                           

  $ 7,815     43.1 %   47.0 %   10.7 %   47.6 %   25  
                           

(1)
For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of March 2010. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on March 31, 2010 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to restatement or correction.

(2)
Pool factor is the percentage of the current collateral balance divided by the original collateral balance of the transactions at inception.

(3)
Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

(4)
Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.

(5)
60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO divided by net par outstanding.

23


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Profile (4 of 5)
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Mortgage-Backed Securities Insured January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Internal Rating(1), Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of March 31, 2010(2)

U.S. Prime First Lien(3)

 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor(4)   Subordination(5)   Cumulative
Losses(6)
  60+ Day
Delinquencies(7)
  Number of
Transactions
 

Rating:

                                     

Super senior

  $                      

AAA

    152     69.4 %   7.8 %   0.0 %   12.0 %   1  

AA

                         

A

                         

BBB

    84     59.7 %   3.8 %   0.3 %   4.3 %   3  

BIG

    640     71.0 %   9.9 %   1.6 %   11.6 %   4  
                           

  $ 876     69.7 %   8.9 %   1.2 %   10.9 %   8  
                           

U.S. CES

 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination(8)   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 

Rating:

                                     

Super senior

  $                      

AAA

                         

AA

    41     65.0 %       7.8 %   3.2 %   1  

A

                         

BBB

                         

BIG

    1,202     28.5 %       55.9 %   15.9 %   11  
                           

  $ 1,243     29.7 %       54.3 %   15.5 %   12  
                           

U.S. HELOC

 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 

Rating:

                                     

Super senior

  $                      

AAA

    431     76.1 %   7.9 %   0.5 %   1.1 %   3  

AA

    510     69.6 %   10.6 %   7.1 %   3.8 %   2  

A

    222     65.2 %       5.9 %   3.3 %   1  

BBB

    138     28.2 %   16.1 %   7.5 %   12.1 %   1  

BIG

    3,831     35.4 %   0.7 %   25.6 %   15.2 %   15  
                           

  $ 5,132     43.3 %   2.7 %   20.3 %   12.3 %   22  
                           

U.S. Alt-A First Lien

 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 

Rating:

                                     

Super senior

  $                      

AAA

    20     16.1 %   45.5 %   5.8 %   22.7 %   2  

AA

    251     61.0 %   47.3 %   9.0 %   36.5 %   2  

A

    100     36.2 %   27.6 %   3.9 %   24.7 %   1  

BBB

    1,256     59.5 %   21.6 %   5.1 %   26.8 %   6  

BIG

    5,164     64.3 %   12.4 %   6.5 %   34.4 %   34  
                           

  $ 6,790     62.7 %   15.7 %   6.3 %   32.9 %   45  
                           

(1)
Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.

(2)
For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of March 2010. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on March 31, 2010 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to restatement or correction.

(3)
Includes primarily Prime First Lien plus an insignificant amount of other miscellaneous MBS transactions

(4)
Pool factor is the percentage of the current collateral balance divided by the original collateral balance of the transactions at inception.

(5)
Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

(6)
Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.

(7)
60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO divided by net par outstanding.

(8)
Many of the CES transactions insured by the Company have unique structures whereby the collateral may be written down for losses without a corresponding write-down of the obligations insured by the Company. Many of these transactions are currently under-collateralized, with the principal amount of collateral being less than the principal amount of the obligation insured by the Company. The Company is not required to pay principal shortfalls until legal maturity (rather than making timely principal payments), and takes the under-collateralization into account when estimating expected losses for these transactions.

24


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Profile (5 of 5)
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Mortgage-Backed Securities Insured January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Internal Rating(1), Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of March 31, 2010(2)

U.S. Alt-A Option ARMs

 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor(3)   Subordination(4)   Cumulative
Losses(5)
  60+ Day
Delinquencies(6)
  Number of
Transactions
 

Rating:

                                     

Super senior

  $                      

AAA

    155     66.5 %   3.6 %   9.1 %   53.5 %   1  

AA

                         

A

    133     68.4 %   47.9 %   5.2 %   35.7 %   2  

BBB

    70     41.3 %   21.6 %   3.4 %   26.5 %   2  

BIG

    3,325     66.5 %   9.1 %   7.5 %   45.1 %   18  
                           

  $ 3,683     66.1 %   10.5 %   7.5 %   44.7 %   23  
                           

U.S. Subprime First Lien

 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor   Subordination   Cumulative
Losses
  60+ Day
Delinquencies
  Number of
Transactions
 

Rating:

                                     

Super senior

  $                      

AAA

    1,116     26.8 %   63.1 %   11.1 %   46.3 %   5  

AA

    1,380     30.1 %   57.3 %   10.8 %   43.5 %   2  

A

    1,557     27.5 %   61.3 %   12.2 %   45.6 %   1  

BBB

    1,097     42.8 %   41.8 %   9.6 %   42.1 %   7  

BIG

    2,664     65.9 %   28.6 %   10.1 %   53.9 %   10  
                           

  $ 7,815     43.1 %   47.0 %   10.7 %   47.6 %   25  
                           

(1)
Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.

(2)
For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of March 2010. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on March 31, 2010 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to restatement or correction.

(3)
Pool factor is the percentage of the current collateral balance divided by the original collateral balance of the transactions at inception.

(4)
Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

(5)
Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.

(6)
60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO divided by net par outstanding.

25



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Commercial Real Estate Profile
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Mortgage-Backed Securities Insured January 1, 2005 or Later by Exposure Type, Internal Rating(1), Average Pool Factor, Subordination, Cumulative Losses and 60+ Day Delinquencies as of March 31, 2010(2)

U.S. Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities ("CMBS")

 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Pool Factor(3)   Subordination(4)   Cumulative
Losses(5)
  60+ Day
Delinquencies(6)
  Number of
Transactions
 

Rating:

                                     

Super senior

  $ 4,185     92.8 %   32.8 %   0.2 %   5.3 %   185  

AAA

    246     86.7 %   27.0 %   0.2 %   8.5 %   7  

AA

    950     93.5 %   18.4 %   0.2 %   5.5 %   39  

A

    258     71.4 %   10.3 %   0.8 %   7.3 %   1  

BBB

                         

BIG

                         
                           

  $ 5,639     91.6 %   29.1 %   0.2 %   5.6 %   232  
                           

Collaterallized Debt Obligations ("CDOs") of U.S. Commercial Real Estate and CMBS(7)

 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total   Avg. Initial Credit
Enhancement(8)
  Avg. Current
Enhancement(8)
 

CDOs of Commercial Real Estate

  $ 729     55.4 %   49.3 %   46.4 %

CDOs of CMBS(9)

    586     44.6 %   29.2 %   44.0 %
                   

  $ 1,315     100.0 %   40.4 %   45.4 %
                   

(1)
Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

(2)
For this release, net par outstanding is based on values as of March 31, 2010. All performance information such as pool factor, subordination, cumulative losses and delinquency is based on March 31, 2010 information obtained from Intex, Bloomberg, and/or provided by the trustee and may be subject to restatement or correction.

(3)
Pool factor is the percentage of the current collateral balance divided by the original collateral balance of the transactions at inception.

(4)
Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization, expressed as a percentage of total transaction size and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

(5)
Cumulative losses are defined as net charge-offs on the underlying loan collateral divided by the original pool balance.

(6)
60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO divided by net par outstanding.

(7)
Represents other U.S. Commercial Real Estate not included in the table above.

(8)
"Average Credit Enhancement" is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinated tranches that are junior in the capital structure to Assured's exposure, expressed as a percentage of the total transaction size, and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the amounts shown above do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Data is obtained from third-party sources such as trustee reports and may be subject to misstatement or correction.

(9)
Relates to vintages 2003 and prior.

26



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Direct Consumer Receivables Profile
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Direct U.S. Consumer Receivables by Rating(1) as of March 31, 2010

 
  Credit Cards   Student
Loans
  Manufactured
Housing
  Auto   Total Net Par
Outstanding
 

Rating:

                               

Super senior

  $ 1,100   $   $   $   $ 1,100  

AAA

        1,261     89     36     1,386  

AA

            49         49  

A

                1,930     1,930  

BBB

    89             1,279     1,368  

BIG

            176         176  
                       

  $ 1,189   $ 1,261   $ 314   $ 3,245   $ 6,009  
                       

Average rating(1)

   
AAA
   
AAA
   
A
   
A
   
A+
 

Avg. initial credit enhancement(2)

    51.2 %   7.2 %   27.6 %   12.2 %   19.7 %

Avg. current enhancement(2)

    52.5 %   8.4 %   26.4 %   27.1 %   28.2 %

(1)
Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

(2)
"Average Credit Enhancement" is intended to provide a measure of the amount of equity and/or subordinated tranches that are junior in the capital structure to Assured Guaranty's exposure, expressed as a percentage of the total transaction size, and reflects any reduction of that credit support resulting from defaults or other factors. For transactions where excess spread may be available to absorb certain losses, the amounts shown above do not include any benefit from excess spread. The calculation methodologies differ for the various asset classes to reflect differences in transaction structures in order to provide a measure that management believes is comparable across asset classes. Data is obtained from third-party sources such as trustee reports and may be subject to misstatement or correction.

27



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Direct Credit Derivative Net Par Outstanding Profile
(dollars in millions)

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct Credit Derivative Net Par Outstanding by Rating(1)

 
  March 31, 2010  
 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  % of Total  

Ratings(2):

             

Super senior

  $ 32,923     28.1 %

AAA

    46,531     39.7 %

AA

    13,875     11.8 %

A

    8,189     7.0 %

BBB

    7,860     6.7 %

BIG

    7,949     6.7 %
           
 

Total direct credit derivative net par outstanding

  $ 117,327     100.0 %
           

Distribution of Financial Guaranty Direct Credit Derivative Net Par Outstanding by Sector and Average Rating

 
  March 31, 2010
 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Average
Rating(2)

Public Finance

         
 

U.S. public finance

  $ 1,385   A-
 

Non-U.S. public finance

    8,245   A+
         
 

Total public finance

  $ 9,630   A+
         

Structured Finance

         
 

U.S. Structured Finance:

         
   

Pooled corporate obligations

  $ 64,056   AAA
   

Residential mortgage-backed and home equity

    11,002   BBB-
   

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

    6,724   AAA
   

Commercial receivables

    734   BBB+
   

Consumer receivables

    545   AAA
   

Structured credit

    234   BB
   

Insurance securitizations

    169   A-
   

Other structured finance

    179   B+
         
     

Total U.S. structured finance

    83,643   AA+
 

Non-U.S. Structured Finance:

         
   

Pooled corporate obligations

    20,408   AAA
   

Residential mortgage-backed and home equity

    2,940   AAA
   

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

    394   AAA
   

Structured credit

    170   BBB
   

Commercial receivables

    60   A
   

Insurance securitizations

    82   BB
         
     

Total non-U.S. structured finance

    24,054   AAA
         

Total structured finance

  $ 107,697   AA+
         

Total direct credit derivative net par outstanding

  $ 117,327   AA+
         

(1)
Include credit derivative accounted for at fair value and excludes $3.7 billion of credit derivatives not at fair value.

(2)
Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

    Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

28



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (1 of 4)
As of March 31, 2010
(in millions)

BIG Exposures by Asset Exposure Type

 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Internal
Rating(1)

U.S. Public Finance:

         
 

Municipal utilities

  $ 691   C-
 

General obligation

    796   BB
 

Healthcare

    431   BB-
 

Tax backed

    347   BB
 

Transportation

    162   BB
 

Infrastructure finance

    26   C
 

Higher education

    22   BB
 

Housing

    8   CCC+
 

Other public finance

    515   B
         
   

Total U.S. public finance

    2,998   B-

Non-U.S. Public Finance:

         
 

Infrastructure finance

    645   BB-
         
   

Total non-U.S. public finance

    645   BB-
         

Total public finance

  $ 3,643   B
         

U.S. Structured Finance:

         
 

Residential mortgage-backed and home equity

  $ 17,570   B-
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    2,279   B
 

Consumer receivables

    488   B
 

Structured credit

    234   BB
 

Commercial receivables

    118   BB
 

Other structured finance

    176   B
         
   

Total U.S. structured finance

    20,865   B-
         

Non-U.S. Structured Finance:

         
 

Insurance securitizations

    923   CCC-
 

Pooled corporate obligations

    80   CCC
 

Commercial receivables

    22   B+
 

Residential mortgage-backed and home equity

    5   BB
         
   

Total non-U.S. structured finance

    1,030   CCC-
         

Total structured finance

  $ 21,895   B-
         

Total BIG net par outstanding

  $ 25,538   B-
         

(1)
Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.

    Please refer to Glossary for description of selected types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures.

29


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (2 of 4)
As of March 31, 2010
(dollars in millions)

Public Finance BIG Exposures Greater Than $50 Million as of March 31, 2010

Name or Description
  Net Par Outstanding   Internal Rating(1)

U.S. Public Finance:

         
 

Jefferson County Alabama Sewer

  $ 583   D
 

Detroit (City of) Michigan

    454   BB
 

Jefferson County Alabama School Limited Obligation Sales Tax

    177   BB
 

Detroit (City of) Michigan School District

    176   BB
 

San Joaquin Hills Transportation California

    162   BB
 

St. Barnabas Health System—New Jersey

    155   BB
 

Guaranteed Student Loan transaction

    136   CCC
 

Mashantucket Pequot Tribe—Connecticut

    130   B
 

Harrisburg (City of) Pennsylvania

    106   B
 

Guaranteed Student Loan transaction

    91   BB
 

Orange County Florida Tourist Development (3rd Lien)

    86   BB
 

Xenia Rural Water District, Iowa

    83   BB
 

DeKalb County Medical Center—Georgia

    78   BB
 

Guaranteed Student Loan transaction

    76   BB
 

Guaranteed Student Loan transaction

    59   BB
         
   

Total

  $ 2,552    

Non-U.S. Public Finance:

         
 

Aeroporti Di Roma (ADR) Romulus Finance S.R.L. (Rome Airport)

  $ 290   BB
 

Cross City Tunnel Motorway Finance Limited

    265   BB
         
   

Total

  $ 555    
         

Total

  $ 3,107    
         

(1)
Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.

30


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (3 of 4)
As of March 31, 2010
(dollars in millions)

Structured Finance BIG Exposures Greater Than $50 Million as of March 31, 2010

Name or Description
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Internal
Rating(1)
  Current Credit
Enhancement
  60+ Day
Delinquencies(2)
 

U.S. Structured Finance:

                       

U.S. RMBS:

                       
 

Deutsche ALT-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-2

  $ 891   CCC     5.6 %   32.7 %
 

Countrywide HELOC 2006-I

    652   CCC     0.0 %   11.6 %
 

MABS 2007-NCW

    638   BB     34.6 %   68.4 %
 

Countrywide HELOC 2006-F

    585   CCC     0.4 %   29.9 %
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    577   BB     23.5 %   28.8 %
 

MASTR 2007-3 (NEGAM) G1A

    570   CCC     7.9 %   58.0 %
 

Mortgage IT Securities Corp. Mortgage Loan 2007-2

    541   B     10.5 %   11.9 %
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    532   B     25.2 %   28.3 %
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    491   B     26.9 %   28.9 %
 

Deutsche ALT-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-3

    451   B     11.0 %   28.4 %
 

CWALT Alternative Loan Trust 2007-HY9

    411   CCC     7.6 %   47.4 %
 

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    402   B     19.0 %   35.9 %
 

Option One 2007-FXD2

    401   B     19.3 %   33.3 %
 

Countrywide Home Equity Loan Trust 2007-D

    392   CCC     0.0 %   10.9 %
 

Nomura Asset Acceptance Corp. 2007-1

    390   CCC     3.6 %   47.4 %
 

Countrywide Home Equity Loan Trust 2005-J CL 1-A

    384   CCC     0.0 %   15.9 %
 

AAA Trust 2007-2

    351   B     38.4 %   53.5 %
 

HarborView 2006-12 (NEGAM)

    348   BB     11.7 %   56.7 %
 

Countrywide HELOC 2005-D

    343   CCC     0.0 %   13.6 %
 

Countrywide HELOC 2007-A

    332   CCC     0.0 %   11.9 %
 

MARM 2007-1 (FKA MASTR 2007-OA1 NEG

    325   CCC     1.9 %   36.0 %
 

Countrywide HELOC 2007-B

    300   CCC     0.0 %   10.0 %
 

Countrywide 2007-13

    288   BB     31.4 %   59.3 %
 

GMACM 2004-HE3

    283   B     0.0 %   3.1 %
 

Terwin Mortgage Trust 2006-12SL

    254   CCC     0.0 %   18.9 %
 

IndyMac 2007-H1 HELOC

    246   CCC     0.0 %   11.9 %
 

CWABS 2007-4 (CLASS A-4W)

    222   BB     22.2 %   42.6 %
 

Terwin Mortgage Trust 2007-1SL

    209   CCC     0.0 %   12.3 %
 

Soundview 2007-WMC1

    207   CCC     14.0 %   72.4 %
 

Terwin Mortgage Trust 2006-10SL

    200   CCC     0.0 %   14.7 %
 

HarborView 2006-1 (NEGAM)

    197   CCC     7.8 %   59.8 %
 

HarborView 2007-1 (NEGAM)

    196   BB     14.7 %   55.9 %
 

CWALT Alternative Loan Trust 2007-OA10

    171   CCC     9.3 %   54.7 %
 

Countrywide HELOC 2005-C

    164   B     0.0 %   11.2 %
 

HarborView 2006-10 (NEGAM)

    160   CCC     3.0 %   38.2 %
 

CSAB 2006-3

    153   CCC     0.0 %   44.8 %
 

Flagstar HELOC 2006-2

    151   CCC     19.5 %   15.8 %
 

Renaissance (DELTA) 2007-3

    148   B     27.1 %   40.5 %
 

Lehman Excess Trust 2007-16N

    130   B     10.8 %   37.2 %
 

NAAC 2007-S2

    129   CCC     0.0 %   16.8 %
 

AHMA 2007-4 NEGAM

    120   CCC     0.0 %   30.7 %
 

ACE Home Equity Loan Trust 2007-SL3

    120   BB     4.3 %   14.6 %
 

IMSC 2007-HOA1 NEGAM A-1-2

    119   CCC     0.0 %   30.5 %
 

Taylor Bean & Whitaker 2007-2

    113   CCC     2.2 %   41.3 %
 

Countrywide ALTA 2005-22T

    96   B     6.3 %   22.0 %
 

CSAB 2006-2

    92   CCC     4.6 %   39.7 %
 

Deutsche ALT-B 2006-AB1

    90   CCC     6.0 %   31.8 %
 

Countrywide HELOC 2006-H

    88   CCC     0.0 %   22.7 %
 

Deutsche ALT-B 2006-AB4

    81   CCC     0.0 %   38.9 %
 

MASTR Asset Backed Securities Trust 2005-NC2 A4

    80   B     21.2 %   49.5 %
 

Terwin Mortgage Trust 2005-16HE

    75   BB     15.7 %   27.6 %
 

ACE 2006-GP1

    74   CCC     0.0 %   11.9 %
 

Terwin Mortgage Trust 2007-6ALT

    71   CCC     0.0 %   79.6 %
 

CSMC 2007-3

    71   CCC     0.2 %   36.1 %
 

GSAA 2005-12

    66   BB     11.3 %   23.6 %
 

ACE 2007-SL1

    65   CCC     0.0 %   15.2 %
 

CSAB Mortgage-Backed Trust 2007-1

    63   CCC     1.1 %   34.0 %
 

CWALT 2005-62 (NEGAM)

    62   CCC     12.6 %   57.2 %
 

ACE Home Equity Loan Trust 2007-SL2

    61   CCC     0.0 %   14.3 %
 

Terwin Mortgage Trust 2005-14HE

    60   BB     14.7 %   25.6 %
 

SACO I Trust 2005-GP1

    57   CCC     0.0 %   8.5 %
 

DSLA 2005-AR5 (NEGAM)

    57   CCC     3.9 %   34.3 %
 

Luminent 2006-2 (NEGAM)

    53   CCC     8.6 %   57.1 %
 

CSAB 2006-4

    53   CCC     1.7 %   38.6 %
                       
   

Total U.S. RMBS

  $ 15,702                  

(1)
Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.
(2)
60+ day delinquencies are defined as loans that are greater than 60 days delinquent and all loans that are in foreclosure, bankruptcy or REO divided by net par outstanding.

31


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Below Investment Grade Exposures (4 of 4)
As of March 31, 2010
(dollars in millions)

Structured Finance BIG Exposures Greater Than $50 Million as of March 31, 2010

Name or Description
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Internal
Rating(1)
  Current Credit
Enhancement
 

U.S. Structured Finance:

                 
 

Other:

                 
 

Taberna Preferred Funding IV, LTD. Class A-1

  $ 292   CCC     33.4 %
 

Alesco Preferred Funding XVI, LTD. 

    259   B     6.7 %
 

Taberna Preferred Funding II, LTD. 

    244   CCC     30.5 %
 

Weinstein Film Securitization

    234   BB     N/A  
 

Attentus CDO I Limited Class A-1

    233   BB     32.3 %
 

Alesco Preferred Funding XVII, LTD. 

    205   BB     17.0 %
 

Taberma Preferred Funding III, LTD. Class A-1B

    195   CCC     27.8 %
 

Attentus CDO II Limited Class A-1

    189   BB     32.2 %
 

US Capital Funding IV, Ltd. Class A-1

    160   B     15.1 %
 

NRG Peaker

    155   B     N/A  
 

National Collegiate Trust Series 2007-3

    155   CCC     N/A  
 

Taberna Preferred Funding VI, Ltd. Class A-1

    152   CCC     37.1 %
 

National Collegiate Trust Series 2007-4

    125   CCC     N/A  
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    114   CCC     9.7 %
 

Conseco Finance MH Series 2001-2

    105   BB     17.6 %
 

Taberna Preferred Funding III, LTD. Class A-1A

    93   CCC     27.8 %
 

Greenpoint 2000-4

    77   BB     15.2 %
 

Rental Car Finance Corp 2006-1

    60   BB     N/A  
 

Rental Car Finance Corp 2007-1

    50   BB     N/A  
                 
   

Total Other

  $ 3,097            
                 
     

Total

  $ 18,799            

Non-U.S. Structured Finance:

                 
 

Ballantyne Re PLC Class A-2 Floating Rate Notes

   
500
 

CC

   
N/A
 
 

Orkney Re II, PLC Series A-1 Floating Rate Notes

    423   CCC     N/A  
 

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    76   CCC     9.7 %
                 
     

Total

  $ 999            
                 
 

Total

  $ 19,798            
                 

(1)
Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.

32



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (1 of 4)
As of March 31, 2010
(in millions)

50 Largest U.S. Public Finance Exposures

 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Rating(1)

Credit Name:

         

New Jersey (State of)

  $ 4,765   AA-

California (State of)

    3,621   A-

New York (State of)

    3,499   AA

Massachusetts (Commonwealth of)

    3,421   AA

New York (City of) New York

    3,246   AA-

Chicago (City of) Illinois

    2,618   AA-

Puerto Rico (Commonwealth of)

    2,383   BBB-

Washington (State of)

    2,368   A

Houston Texas Water and Sewer Authority

    2,345   A+

Wisconsin (State of)

    2,251   AA-

Illinois (State of)

    2,228   BBB+

Port Authority of New York and New Jersey

    2,214   AA-

Los Angeles Unified School District

    2,082   AA

New York MTA Transportation Authority

    2,057   A

Miami-Dade County Florida Aviation Authority—Miami International Airport

    2,053   A+

Massachusetts (Commonwealth of) State Sales Tax

    1,949   AA

Philadelphia (City of) Pennsylvania

    1,948   BBB-

New York City Municipal Water Finance Authority

    1,947   AA+

University of California Board of Regents

    1,879   AA-

Long Island Power Authority

    1,846   A-

Pennsylvania (Commonwealth of)

    1,799   AA-

Michigan (State of)

    1,757   A+

California (State of) Department of Water Resources

    1,688   A-

Chicago Illinois Public Schools

    1,670   A+

Illinois Toll Highway Authority

    1,605   AA

Florida (State of)

    1,552   AA+

Miami-Dade County School District

    1,549   A-

Kentucky (Commonwealth of)

    1,519   AA-

Los Angeles Department of Water & Power—Electric Revenue Bonds

    1,493   AA-

Chicago-O'Hare International Airport

    1,473   A

San Francisco Airports Commission

    1,463   A

District of Columbia

    1,456   A+

New York MTA Dedicated Tax

    1,419   AA-

Hawaii (State of) Department of Hawaiian Home Lands

    1,412   AA

Puerto Rico Highway & Transportation Authority

    1,402   BBB

Massachusetts (Commonwealth of) Water Resources

    1,401   AA

New Jersey Turnpike Authority

    1,377   A

Atlanta Georgia Water & Sewer System

    1,367   BBB+

Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority

    1,332   A-

Broward County Florida School Board

    1,287   AA-

Metro Washington Airport

    1,279   AA-

Clark County Nevada School District

    1,253   AA

Arizona (State of)

    1,249   AA-

New York State Thruway Highway Trust Fund

    1,246   AA-

Philadelphia Pennsylvania School District

    1,219   A

Connecticut (State of)

    1,216   AA+

Detroit Michigan Sewer

    1,170   A+

Austin Texas Combined Utility System

    1,137   AA-

California State University System Trustee

    1,128   AA-

Houston (City of) Texas Airport System

    1,077   A+
         
 

Total top 50 U.S. public finance exposures

  $ 92,715    
         

(1)
Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.

33


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (2 of 4)
As of March 31, 2010
(dollars in millions)

50 Largest U.S. Structured Finance Exposures

 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Rating(1)   Credit
Enhancement
 

Credit Name:

                 

Fortress Credit Opportunities I, LP. 

  $ 1,302   AA     28.6 %

Stone Tower Credit Funding

    1,254   AAA     35.2 %

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    1,157   AAA     13.3 %

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    975   AA-     42.2 %

Deutsche ALT-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-2

    891   CCC     5.6 %

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    765   Super Senior     14.7 %

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    754   Super Senior     24.2 %

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    745   Super Senior     23.4 %

Mizuho II Synthetic CDO

    738   A     30.7 %

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    731   AA-     40.0 %

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    725   AAA     25.0 %

Private Structured Credit Transaction

    667   BBB+     N/A  

280 Funding I—Class A-2

    660   AAA     38.0 %

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    653   AAA     17.7 %

Countrywide HELOC 2006-I

    652   CCC     0.0 %

Citibank OMNI Trust 2007-A7

    650   Super Senior     49.4 %

MABS 2007-NCW

    638   BB     34.6 %

Anchorage Crossover Credit Finance LTD

    600   AAA     29.1 %

ARES Enhanced Credit Opportunities Fund Class A1

    595   AAA     42.9 %

Countrywide HELOC 2006-F

    585   CCC     0.4 %

Applebees Enterprises LLC

    584   BBB-     N/A  

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    577   BB     23.5 %

MASTR 2007-3 (NEGAM) G1A

    570   CCC     7.9 %

Sandelman Finance 2006-1 Limited Class A-1-A

    563   AA     38.2 %

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    562   Super Senior     24.3 %

Mortgage IT Securities Corp. Mortgage Loan 2007-2

    541   B     10.5 %

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    532   B     25.2 %

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    530   BBB-     24.5 %

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    523   Super Senior     29.7 %

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    523   Super Senior     24.5 %

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    514   Super Senior     14.2 %

Eastland CLO, LTD

    500   Super Senior     31.8 %

LIICA Holdings, LLC

    495   AA     N/A  

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    494   AA     46.7 %

Private Residential Mortgage Transaction

    491   B     26.9 %

Shenandoah Trust Capital I Term Securities

    484   A+     N/A  

Field Point IV, Limited Class A1

    481   AA-     19.9 %

Denali CLO VII, LTD. 

    464   AAA     20.2 %

AmeriCredit 2007-B-F

    460   A     19.3 %

Avenue CLO V

    451   AAA     19.4 %

Deutsche ALT-A Securities Mortgage Loan 2007-3

    451   B     11.0 %

SLM Private Credit Student Loan Trust 2007-A

    450   AAA     10.9 %

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    438   AAA     29.5 %

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    433   AAA     11.3 %

Liberty CLO LTD Series Class A-1C

    428   Super Senior     34.6 %

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    428   Super Senior     12.7 %

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    427   Super Senior     23.8 %

Synthetic High Yield Pooled Corporate CDO

    422   AAA     34.0 %

Grayson CLO

    421   Super Senior     23.2 %

CDX.NA.IG.4 5-YR 30-100%

    420   Super Senior     29.4 %
                 
 

Total top 50 U.S. structured finance exposures

  $ 30,394            
                 

(1)
Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

34


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (3 of 4)
As of March 31, 2010
(in millions)

25 Largest Non-U.S. Exposures

 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Rating(1)

Credit Name:

         

Quebec Provence

  $ 2,423   A+

Sydney Airport Finance Company

    1,569   BBB

Thames Water Utility Finance Plc

    1,318   BBB+

Prime European RMBS

    1,170   AAA

Fortress Credit Investments I Class A-1

    936   AAA

Essential Public Infrastructure Capital III

    864   Super Senior

Channel Link Enterprises Finance Plc

    858   BBB

International AAA Sovereign Debt Synthetic CDO

    821   AAA

Essential Public Infrastructure Capital II

    797   Super Senior

Southern Gas Networks Plc

    796   BBB

Reliance Rail Finance Pty. Limited

    753   BBB+

Paragon Mortgages (No.13) Plc

    752   AAA

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    697   Super Senior

United Utilities Water Plc

    668   A

Capital Hospitals (Issuer) plc

    661   BBB-

International Infrastructure Pool

    654   A-

International Infrastructure Pool

    654   A-

International Infrastructure Pool

    654   A-

Powercor Australia LLC

    646   A-

Japan Expressway Holding and Debt Repayment Agency

    586   AA

Artesian Finance II Plc (Southern)—Swap Policy

    585   A-

Synthetic Investment Grade Pooled Corporate CDO

    556   Super Senior

Campania Region—Healthcare receivable

    551   A-

Taberna Europe CDO II Plc

    550   BBB-

Global Senior Loan Index Fund 1 B.V. 

    526   Super Senior
         
 

Total top 25 non-U.S. exposures

  $ 21,045    
         

(1)
Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies. The super senior category, which is not generally used by rating agencies, is used by the Company in instances where Assured Guaranty's AAA-rated exposure has additional credit enhancement due to either (1) the existence of another security rated AAA that is subordinated to Assured Guaranty's exposure or (2) Assured Guaranty's exposure benefits from a different form of credit enhancement that would pay any claims first in the event that any of the exposures incurs a loss, and such credit enhancement, in management's opinion, causes Assured Guaranty's attachment point to be materially above the AAA attachment point.

35


Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Largest Exposures by Sector (4 of 4)
As of March 31, 2010
(in millions)

10 Largest U.S. Residential Mortgage Servicers Exposures

 
  Net Par
Outstanding
 

Servicer:

       

Bank of America N.A. 

  $ 8,945  

American Home Mortgage Acceptance, Inc. 

    2,960  

GMAC Mortgage Corporation

    2,608  

Wells Fargo Bank NA

    2,309  

Ocwen Loan Servicing, LLC

    1,196  

JPMorgan Chase Bank

    1,106  

One West Bank Group LLC

    1,016  

Specialized Loan Servicing LLC

    939  

Select Portfolio Servicing, Inc. 

    506  

First Tennessee Bank N.A. 

    458  
       
 

Total top 10 residential mortgage servicers exposures

  $ 22,043  
       

10 Largest U.S. Healthcare Exposures

 
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Rating(1)   State

Credit Name:

             

CHRISTUS Health

  $ 491   A+   TX

Methodist Healthcare System

    472   A   TN

MultiCare Health System

    420   A+   WA

Virtua Health

    370   A   NJ

Meridian Health System

    357   A-   NJ

Covenant Health

    344   A-   TN

Iowa Health System

    334   A+   IA

Bon Secours Health System Obligated Group

    314   A-   MD

Lehigh Valley Health Network

    300   A+   PA

Asante Health System

    298   A   OR
             
 

Total top 10 U.S. healthcare exposures

  $ 3,700        
             

(1)
Assured Guaranty's internal rating. Assured Guaranty's scale is comparable to that of the nationally recognized rating agencies.

36



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty and Credit Derivatives Surveillance Categories
(dollars in millions)

Net Par Outstanding by BIG Category(1)

 
  March 31, 2010   December 31, 2009  

Description:

             

BIG:

             

Category 1

             
 

U.S. public finance

  $ 1,479   $ 1,761  
 

Non-U.S. public finance

    582     600  
 

U.S. structured finance

    4,070     4,275  
 

Non-U.S. structured finance

    21     2  
           
   

Total Category 1

    6,152     6,638  

Category 2

             
 

U.S. public finance

    883     719  
 

Non-U.S. public finance

    24     4  
 

U.S. structured finance

    10,485     9,913  
 

Non-U.S. structured finance

    10     3  
           
   

Total Category 2

    11,402     10,639  

Category 3

             
 

U.S. public finance

    636     647  
 

Non-U.S. public finance

    39     40  
 

U.S. structured finance

    6,310     6,202  
 

Non-U.S. structured finance

    999     1,000  
           
   

Total Category 3

    7,984     7,889  
           
     

BIG Total

    25,538     25,166  
           

(1)
Assured Guaranty's surveillance department is responsible for monitoring our portfolio of credits and maintains a list of below investment grade ("BIG") credits. The BIG credits are divided into three categories: BIG Category 1: BIG transactions showing sufficient deterioration to make material losses possible, but for which no losses have been incurred. Non-investment grade transactions on which liquidity claims have been paid are in this category. Intense monitoring and intervention is employed, with internal credit ratings reviewed quarterly. BIG Category 2: BIG transactions for which expected losses have been established but for which no unreimbursed claims have yet been paid. Intense monitoring and intervention is employed, with internal credit ratings reviewed quarterly. BIG Category 3: BIG transactions for which expected losses have been established and on which unreimbursed claims have been paid. Transactions remain in this category when claims have been paid and only a recoverable remains. Intense monitoring and intervention is employed, with internal credit ratings reviewed quarterly.

37



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense ("LAE") Reserves by Segment/Type
(in millions)

 
  As of March 31, 2010  
 
  Financial
Guaranty
Direct
  Financial
Guaranty
Reinsurance
  Total
Financial
Guaranty
  Other   Total  

Financial Guaranty segments insurance reserves by segment and type:

                               

Gross loss and LAE reserves on financial guaranty contracts:

                               

Case

  $ 250.0   $ 106.3   $ 356.3   $ 1.0   $ 357.3  

Incurred but not reported ("IBNR") and portfolio

                4.0     4.0  
                       
 

Total gross loss and LAE reserves

    250.0     106.3     356.3     5.0     361.3  

Ceded loss and LAE reserves on financial guaranty contracts:

                               

Case

  $ 15.0   $     15.0   $ 0.9     15.9  

IBNR and portfolio

                2.0     2.0  
                       
 

Total ceded loss and LAE reserves

    15.0         15.0     2.9     17.9  

Loss and LAE reserves on financial guaranty contracts net of ceded reinsurance:

                               

Case

  $ 235.0   $ 106.3     341.3   $ 0.1     341.4  

IBNR and portfolio

                2.0     2.0  
                       
 

Total net loss and LAE reserves

  $ 235.0   $ 106.3   $ 341.3   $ 2.1   $ 343.4  
                       

Salvage and subrogation assets on financial guaranty contracts:

                               

Gross

  $ 251.2   $ 10.6   $ 261.8   $   $ 261.8  

Ceded(1)

    16.9         16.9         16.9  
                       
 

Net salvage and subrogation

  $ 234.3   $ 10.6   $ 244.9   $   $ 244.9  
                       

Credit impairment on credit derivative contracts(2):

                               

Case gross

  $ 482.7   $ 0.4   $ 483.1   $   $ 483.1  

Case ceded

    14.9         14.9         14.9  
                       
 

Case net credit derivative reserves

  $ 467.8   $ 0.4   $ 468.2   $   $ 468.2  
                       

Net loss and LAE reserves on financial guaranty and credit derivative contracts net of reinsurance(3)

                               

Net loss and LAE reserves on financial guaranty contracts net of ceded reinsurance

  $ 235.0   $ 106.3   $ 341.3              

Credit impairment on credit derivative contracts

    467.8     0.4     468.2              
                           

Net Loss and LAE reserves

  $ 702.8   $ 106.7   $ 809.5              
                           

(1)
Recorded in "reinsurance balances payable, net" on the consoladated balance sheets.

(2)
Credit derivative assets and liabilities recorded on the balance sheet incorporate estimates of expected losses.

(3)
Gross of salvage and subrogation assets.

38



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Financial Guaranty Direct and Reinsurance Segment Losses Incurred and Paid
As of March 31, 2010
(in millions)

Financial Guaranty Insurance Contracts and Credit Derivatives
  Total Net Par
Outstanding for
BIG Transactions
  1Q-10
Incurred
Losses
  1Q-10
Paid
Losses
  Net Loss
and LAE
Reserve
  Net Salvage
and Subrogation
Assets
  Net Loss
and LAE
Reserve(1)
  Expected Loss
to be
Expensed
 

Total Financial Guaranty Direct and Reinsurance:

                                           
 

First lien:

                                           
   

Prime first lien

  $ 643.4   $ 0.1   $   $ 0.3   $   $ 0.3   $  
   

Alt-A first lien

    5,173.3     35.1     14.0     174.8         174.8     182.8  
   

Alt-A option ARMs

    3,342.3     42.6     42.4     184.2     5.8     178.4     482.5  
   

Subprime first lien

    2,944.3     38.6     1.7     124.0     1.5     122.5     96.0  
                               
     

Total first lien

    12,103.3     116.4     58.1     483.3     7.3     476.0     761.3  
 

Second lien:

                                           
   

Prime closed end seconds

    1,214.3     (2.3 )   20.5     52.2     0.2     52.0     169.6  
   

Prime HELOC

    4,252.0     23.6     166.9     15.0     227.1     (212.1 )   288.8  
                               
     

Total second lien

    5,466.3     21.3     187.4     67.2     227.3     (160.1 )   458.4  
                               
   

Total U.S. RMBS

    17,569.6     137.7     245.5     550.5     234.6     315.9     1,219.7  
 

Other structured finance

    4,325.8     51.0     4.4     181.1     1.0     180.1     20.9  
 

Public finance

    3,642.6     28.2     24.8     77.9     9.3     68.6     67.1  
                               

Total Financial Guaranty Direct and Reinsurance

  $ 25,538.0   $ 216.9   $ 274.7   $ 809.5   $ 244.9   $ 564.6   $ 1,307.7  
                               

Consolidation of VIEs

        (10.0 )   (17.9 )                   (89.0 )
                                   

Total

  $ 25,538.0   $ 206.9   $ 256.8               $ 564.6   $ 1,218.7  
                                   

(1)
Includes credit impairment on credit derivative transactions. Net of reinsurance and salvage and subrogation recoverable.

39



Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Summary Financial and Statistical Data
(dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

 
   
  Year Ended December 31,  
 
  Q1 2010   2009   2008   2007   2006  

GAAP Summary Income Statement Data

                               
 

Net earned premiums

  $ 319.6   $ 930.4   $ 261.4   $ 159.3   $ 144.8  
 

Realized gains and other settlements on credit derivatives

    26.7     163.6     117.6     74.0     73.9  
 

Net investment income

    84.3     2,529.2     162.6     128.1     111.5  
 

Total expenses

    247.0     796.7     440.9     161.5     150.4  
 

Income (loss) before provision for income taxes

    436.9     132.9     112.3     (463.0 )   190.0  
 

Net income (loss) of Assured Guaranty Ltd. and subsidiaries

    322.0     97.2     68.9     (303.3 )   159.7  
 

Operating income

    89.6     316.7     74.5     178.0     157.2  
 

Net income (loss) of Assured Guaranty Ltd. and subsidiaries per diluted share

  $ 1.69   $ 0.75   $ 0.77   $ (4.38 ) $ 2.13  
 

Operating income per diluted share

  $ 0.47   $ 2.45   $ 0.84   $ 2.57   $ 2.12  

 

 

 

 

GAAP Summary Balance Sheet Data (End of Period)

                               
 

Total investments and cash

  $ 10,569.2   $ 10,852.3   $ 3,643.6   $ 3,147.9   $ 2,469.9  
 

Total assets

    17,388.5     16,593.4     4,555.7     3,762.9     2,931.6  
 

Unearned premium reserves

    7,720.9     8,219.4     1,233.7     887.2     631.0  
 

Loss and LAE reserves

    361.3     289.5     196.8     125.6     115.9  
 

Long-term debt

    919.5     917.4     347.2     347.1     347.1  
 

Shareholders' equity of Assured Guaranty Ltd. and subsidiaries

    3,619.0     3,520.5     1,926.2     1,666.6     1,650.8  
 

Book value attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. per share

  $ 19.63   $ 19.12   $ 21.18   $ 20.85   $ 24.44  

 

 

 

 

Other Financial Information (GAAP Basis):

                               
 

Net debt service outstanding (end of period)

  $ 958,192   $ 958,265   $ 348,816   $ 302,413   $ 180,174  
 

Gross debt service outstanding (end of period)

    1,078,672     1,095,037     354,858     307,657     181,503  
 

Net par outstanding (end of period)

    639,465     640,422     222,722     200,279     132,296  
 

Gross par outstanding (end of period)

    715,736     726,929     227,164     204,809     133,303  

 

 

 

 

Other Financial Information (Statutory Basis):

                               
 

Net debt service outstanding (end of period)

  $ 942,599   $ 942,193   $ 348,816   $ 302,413   $ 180,174  
 

Gross debt service outstanding (end of period)

    1,059,847     1,076,039     354,858     307,657     181,503  
 

Net par outstanding (end of period)

    625,583     626,274     222,722     200,279     132,296  
 

Gross par outstanding (end of period)

    698,959     709,786     227,164     204,809     133,303  
 

Consolidated qualified statutory capital

   
4,608
   
4,902
   
2,310
   
2,079
   
1,658
 
 

Consolidated policyholders' surplus and reserves

    10,741     10,792     3,652     3,040     2,374  
 

Ratios:

                               
   

Par insured to statutory capital

    136:1     128:1     96:1     96:1     80:1  
   

Capital ratio(1)

    205:1     192:1     151:1     145:1     109:1  
   

Financial resources ratio(2)

    70:1     70:1     70:1     68:1     53:1  
 

Gross debt service written:

                               
 

Public finance—U.S. 

  $ 10,568   $ 87,940   $ 68,265   $ 66,190   $ 13,260  
 

Public finance—non-U.S. 

        894     3,350     11,849     10,531  
 

Structured finance—U.S. 

    1,016     2,501     13,972     42,414     28,902  
 

Structured finance—non-U.S. 

            5,490     13,122     7,448  
                       
 

Total gross debt service written

  $ 11,584   $ 91,335   $ 91,077   $ 133,575   $ 60,141  
                       
 

Net debt service written

 
$

11,584
 
$

91,335
 
$

89,871
 
$

129,872
 
$

59,775
 
 

Net par written

    7,188     49,759     55,418     84,686     50,541  
 

Gross par written

    7,188     49,921     56,140     88,117     50,892  

(1)
The capital ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by qualified statutory capital.

(2)
The financial resources ratio is calculated by dividing net debt service outstanding by total claims paying resources.

Note: Please refer to endnotes for explanation of non-GAAP financial measures.

40



Glossary

        Below are the brief descriptions of selected types of U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. structured finance obligations that the Company insures and reinsures. For a more complete description, please refer to Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s 10-K report for the year ended December 31, 2009.

        General Obligation Bonds are full faith and credit bonds that are issued by states, their political subdivisions and other municipal issuers, and are supported by the general obligation of the issuer to pay from available funds and by a pledge of the issuer to levy ad valorem taxes in an amount sufficient to provide for the full payment of the bonds.

        Tax-Backed Bonds are obligations that are supported by the issuer from specific and discrete sources of taxation. They include tax-backed revenue bonds, general fund obligations and lease revenue bonds. Tax-backed obligations may be secured by a lien on specific pledged tax revenues, such as a gasoline or excise tax, or incrementally from growth in property tax revenue associated with growth in property values. These obligations also include obligations secured by special assessments levied against property owners and often benefit from issuer covenants to enforce collections of such assessments and to foreclose on delinquent properties. Lease revenue bonds typically are general fund obligations of a municipality or other governmental authority that are subject to annual appropriation or abatement; projects financed and subject to such lease payments ordinarily include real estate or equipment serving an essential public purpose. Bonds in this category also include moral obligations of municipalities or governmental authorities.

        Municipal Utility Bonds are obligations of all forms of municipal utilities, including electric, water and sewer utilities and resource recovery revenue bonds. These utilities may be organized in various forms, including municipal enterprise systems, authorities or joint action agencies.

        Transportation Bonds include a wide variety of revenue-supported bonds, such as bonds for airports, ports, tunnels, municipal parking facilities, toll roads and toll bridges.

        Healthcare Bonds are obligations of healthcare facilities, including community based hospitals and systems, as well as of health maintenance organizations and long-term care facilities.

        Higher Education Bonds are obligations secured by revenue collected by either public or private secondary schools, colleges and universities. Such revenue can encompass all of an institution's revenue, including tuition and fees, or in other cases, can be specifically restricted to certain auxiliary sources of revenue.

        Housing Revenue Bonds are obligations relating to both single and multi-family housing, issued by states and localities, supported by cash flow and, in some cases, insurance from entities such as the Federal Housing Administration.

        Infrastructure Bonds include obligations issued by a variety of entities engaged in the financing of infrastructure projects, such as roads, airports, ports, social infrastructure and other physical assets delivering essential services supported by long-term concession arrangements with a public sector entity.

        Investor-Owned Utility Bonds are obligations primarily backed by investor-owned utilities, first mortgage bond obligations of for-profit electric or water utilities providing retail, industrial and commercial service, and also include sale-leaseback obligation bonds supported by such entities.

        Regulated Utilities Obligations are issued by government-regulated providers of essential services and commodities, including electric, water and gas utilities. The majority of the Company's international regulated utility business is conducted in the UK.

        Pooled Infrastructure Obligations are synthetic asset-backed obligations that take the form of CDS obligations or credit-linked notes that reference either infrastructure finance obligations or a pool of

41



such obligations, with a defined deductible to cover credit risks associated with the referenced obligations.

        Other public finance:    primarily includes government insured student loans, government-sponsored project finance and structured municipal which includes excess of loss reinsurance on portfolios of municipal credits.

        Pooled Corporate Obligations are securities primarily backed by various types of corporate debt obligations, such as secured or unsecured bonds, bank loans or loan participations and trust preferred securities. These securities are often issued in "tranches," with subordinated tranches providing credit support to the more senior tranches. The Company's financial guaranty exposures generally are to the more senior tranches of these issues.

        Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities ("RMBS") and Home Equity Securities are obligations backed by closed-end first mortgage loans and closed- and open-end second mortgage loans or home equity loans on one-to-four family residential properties, including condominiums and cooperative apartments. First mortgage loan products in these transactions include fixed rate, adjustable rate ("ARM") and option adjustable-rate ("Option ARM") mortgages. The credit quality of borrowers covers a broad range, including "prime", "subprime" and "Alt-A". A prime borrower is generally defined as one with strong risk characteristics as measured by factors such as payment history, credit score, and debt-to-income ratio. A subprime borrower is a borrower with higher risk characteristics, usually as determined by credit score and/or credit history. An Alt-A borrower is generally defined as a prime quality borrower that lacks certain ancillary characteristics, such as fully documented income.

        Financial Products is the guaranteed investment contracts ("GICs") portion of the former financial products business of AGMH. Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp., a subsidiary of AGMH, has issued financial guaranty insurance policies on the GICs and in respect of the GICs business that cannot be revoked or cancelled. Assured Guaranty is indemnified against exposure to the former financial products business by Dexia SA and certain of its affiliates. In addition, the French and Belgian governments have issued guaranties in respect of the GICs portion of the financial products business. The financial products business is currently being run off.

        Structured Credit Securities include program-wide credit enhancement for commercial paper conduits in the U.S., and securities issued in whole business securitizations and intellectual property securitizations. Program-wide credit enhancement generally involves insuring against the default of ABS in a bank-sponsored commercial paper conduit. Securities issued in whole business and intellectual property securitizations are backed by revenue-producing assets sold to a limited-purpose company by an operating company, including franchise agreements, lease agreements, intellectual property and real property.

        Consumer Receivables Securities are obligations backed by non-mortgage consumer receivables, such as automobile loans and leases, credit card receivables and other consumer receivables.

        Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities ("CMBS") are obligations backed by pools of commercial mortgages. The collateral supporting CMBS include office, multi-family, retail, hotel, industrial and other specialized or mixed-use properties.

        Commercial Receivables Securities are obligations backed by equipment loans or leases, fleet auto financings, business loans and trade receivables. Credit support is derived from the cash flows generated by the underlying obligations, as well as property or equipment values as applicable.

        Insurance Securitization Securities are obligations secured by the future earnings from pools of various types of insurance/reinsurance policies and income produced by invested assets.

        Other Structured Finance Securities are obligations backed by assets not generally described in any of the other described categories.

42


Endnotes related to non-GAAP financial measures discussed in the financial supplement:

        This Financial Supplement references financial measures that are not in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles ("GAAP"), which management uses in order to assist analysts and investors in evaluating Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s financial results. These financial measures not in accordance with GAAP ("non-GAAP financial measures") are defined below. In each case, the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure, if available, is presented and a reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measure and GAAP financial measure is provided. This presentation is consistent with how Assured Guaranty's management, analysts and investors evaluate Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s financial results and is comparable to estimates published by analysts in their research reports on Assured Guaranty Ltd.

        (a)    PVP or present value of new business production:    PVP is a non-GAAP financial measure defined as gross upfront and installment premiums received and the present value of gross estimated future installment premiums, on insurance and credit derivative contracts written in the current period, discounted at 6%. Management believes that PVP is a useful measure for management, investors and analysts because it permits the evaluation of the value of new business production for Assured Guaranty by taking into account the value of estimated future installment premiums on all new contracts underwritten in a reporting period, whether in insurance or credit derivative contract form, which GAAP gross premiums written and the net credit derivative premiums received and receivable portion of net realized gains and other settlement on credit derivatives ("Credit Derivative Revenues") do not adequately measure. For purposes of the PVP calculation, management discounts estimated future installment premiums on insurance contracts at 6%, while under GAAP, these amounts are discounted at a risk free rate. Additionally, under GAAP, management records future installment premiums on financial guaranty insurance contracts covering non-homogeneous pools of assets based on the contractual term of the transaction, whereas for PVP purposes, management records an estimate of the future installment premiums the Company expects to receive, which may be based upon a shorter period of time than the contractual term of the transaction. Actual future net earned or written premiums and Credit Derivative Revenues may differ from PVP due to factors including, but not limited to, prepayments, amortizations, refundings, contract terminations or defaults that may or may not result from changes in market interest rates, foreign exchange rates, refinancing or refundings, prepayment speeds, policy changes or terminations, credit defaults or other factors. PVP should not be viewed as a substitute for gross written premiums determined in accordance with GAAP.

        (b)    Operating income:    Operating income is a non-GAAP financial measure defined as net income (loss) attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. (which excludes noncontrolling interests in consolidated variable interest entities), adjusted for the following:

    1)
    Elimination of the after-tax realized gains (losses) on the Company's investment portfolios;

    2)
    Elimination of the after-tax non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives accounted for as derivatives, which is the amount in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses;

    3)
    Elimination of the after-tax fair value gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities; and

    4)
    Elimination of after-tax non-economic fair value adjustments and net interest margin of consolidated financial guaranty variable interest entities.

        Management believes that operating income is a useful measure for management, investors and analysts because the presentation of operating income clarifies the understanding of the Company's results of operations by highlighting the underlying profitability of its business. Realized gains and losses on the Company's investment portfolios are excluded from operating income because the timing and amount of realized gains and losses are not directly related to the Company's insurance businesses.

43



Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains and losses on credit derivatives as well as fair value gains and losses on the Company's committed capital securities and fair value adjustments and net interest margin of financial guaranty VIEs are excluded from operating income because these gains and losses do not result in an economic gain or loss and are heavily affected by, and fluctuate, in part, according to changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other factors. Operating income should not be viewed as a substitute for net income (loss) determined in accordance with GAAP.

        (c)    Operating shareholders' equity:    Operating shareholders' equity is a non-GAAP financial measure calculated as shareholders' equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. (which excludes noncontrolling interests in consolidated variable interest entities) reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following fair value adjustments deemed to be unrelated to credit impairment:

    1)
    Elimination of the after-tax unrealized gains (losses) on the Company's investment portfolios, recorded as a component of accumulated comprehensive income, excluding foreign exchange revaluation;

    2)
    Elimination of the after-tax non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives accounted for as derivatives, which is the amount in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses;

    3)
    Elimination of the after-tax fair value gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities; and

    4)
    Elimination of after-tax non-economic fair-value adjustments of consolidated financial guaranty VIEs.

        Management believes that operating shareholders' equity is a useful measure for management, investors and analysts because the presentation of this measure clarifies the understanding of the Company's results of operations by highlighting the underlying profitability of its business. Non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains and losses on credit derivatives, fair value gains and losses on the Company's committed capital securities, non-economic fair value adjustments of consolidated financial guaranty VIEs and unrealized gains and losses on the Company's investment portfolios recorded in accumulated comprehensive income are excluded from operating shareholders' equity because these gains and losses do not result in an economic gain or loss and are heavily affected by, and fluctuate, in part, according to changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other factors. Operating shareholders' equity should not be viewed as a substitute for shareholders' equity determined in accordance with GAAP.

        (d)    Operating return on equity ("Operating ROE"):    Operating ROE is a non-GAAP financial measure that represents operating income for the specified period divided by the average of operating shareholders' equity at the beginning and the end of the specified period.

        (e)    Adjusted Book Value:    Adjusted book value is a non-GAAP financial measure calculated as shareholders' equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. (which excludes noncontrolling interests in variable interest entities) adjusted for the following:

    1)
    Elimination of after-tax non-economic fair-value adjustments of consolidated financial guaranty VIEs;

    2)
    Elimination of the after-tax non-credit impairment unrealized fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives accounted for as derivatives, which is the amount in excess of the present value of expected estimated economic credit losses;

    3)
    Elimination of the after-tax fair value gains (losses) on the Company's committed capital securities;

44


    4)
    Elimination of the after-tax unrealized gains (losses) on the Company's investment portfolios, recorded as a component of accumulated comprehensive income, excluding foreign exchange revaluation;

    5)
    Elimination of after-tax deferred acquisition costs;

    6)
    Addition of the after-tax net present value of estimated future credit derivative revenue, discounted at 6% and the addition of the after-tax value of net unearned revenue on credit derivatives; and

    7)
    Addition of the after-tax value of the net unearned premium reserve on financial guaranty contracts in excess of net expected loss to be expensed.

        Management believes that adjusted book value is a useful measure for management, investors and analysts because the calculation of adjusted book value permits an evaluation of the net present value of the Company's in force premiums and shareholders' equity. The premiums included in adjusted book value will be earned in future periods, but may differ materially from the estimated amounts used in determining current adjusted book value due to changes in market interest rates, foreign exchange rates, refinancing or refunding activity, prepayment speeds, policy changes or terminations, credit defaults and other factors. This measure should not be viewed as a substitute for shareholders' equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. determined in accordance with GAAP.

        (e)    Net present value of expected estimated future revenue on credit derivatives in force:    Net present value of expected estimated future revenue on credit derivatives in force is a non-GAAP financial measure defined as the present value of estimated future revenue from our credit derivative in-force book of business, net of reinsurance, ceding commissions and premium taxes in excess of expected losses, and discounted at 6%. Management believes that net present value of expected estimated future revenue on credit derivatives in force is a useful measure for management, investors and analysts because it permits an evaluation of the value of future estimated credit derivative revenue. Estimated future credit derivative revenues may change from period to period due to changes in par outstanding, maturity, or other factors that result from market interest rates, foreign exchange rates, refinancing or refunding activity, prepayment speeds, policy changes or terminations, credit defaults or other factors. There is no comparable GAAP financial measure.

45


GRAPHIC

    Contacts:

 

 

Equity Investors:
Sabra Purtill
Managing Director, Investor Relations
(212) 408-6044
spurtill@assuredguaranty.com

 

 

Ross Aron
Assistant Vice President, Investor Relations
(212) 261-5509
raron@assuredguaranty.com

Assured Guaranty Ltd.
30 Woodbourne Avenue
Hamilton HM 08
Bermuda
(441) 279-5705
www.assuredguaranty.com

 

Fixed Income Investors:
Robert Tucker
Managing Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations
(212) 339-0861
rtucker@assuredguaranty.com

Michael Walker
Director, Fixed Income Investor Relations
(212) 261-5575
mwalker@assuredguaranty.com

 

 

Media:
    Betsy Castenir
Managing Director, Corporate Communications
(212) 339-3424
bcastenir@assuredguaranty.com

 

 

Ashweeta Durani
Vice President, Corporate Communications
(212) 408-6042
adurani@assuredguaranty.com



QuickLinks

Assured Guaranty Ltd. March 31, 2010 Financial Supplement
Assured Guaranty Ltd. Selected Financial Highlights (dollars in millions, except per share amounts)
Assured Guaranty Ltd. Consolidated Statements of Operations (dollars and shares in millions, except per share amounts)
Assured Guaranty Ltd. Consolidated Balance Sheets (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Ltd. Adjusted Book Value (dollars in millions, except per share amounts)
Assured Guaranty Ltd. Consolidated Capital and Claims Paying Resources (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Ltd. New Business Production (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Ltd. Financial Guaranty Gross Par Written (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Ltd. Segment Consolidation (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Ltd. Financial Guaranty Direct Segment (1 of 2) (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Ltd. Financial Guaranty Reinsurance Segment (1 of 2) (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Ltd. Investment Portfolio As of March 31, 2010 (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Ltd. Estimated Net Exposure Amortization(1) and Estimated Future Net Premium and Credit Derivative Revenues (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Ltd. Present Value of Financial Guaranty Insurance Losses to be Expensed (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Ltd. Financial Guaranty Profile (1 of 3) As of March 31, 2010 (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Ltd. Direct Pooled Corporate Obligations Profile (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Ltd. Consolidated U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities ("RMBS") Profile (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Ltd. Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. RMBS Profile (1 of 5) (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Ltd. Financial Guaranty Direct U.S. Commercial Real Estate Profile (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Ltd. Direct Consumer Receivables Profile (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Ltd. Financial Guaranty Direct Credit Derivative Net Par Outstanding Profile (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Ltd. Below Investment Grade Exposures (1 of 4) As of March 31, 2010 (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Ltd. Largest Exposures by Sector (1 of 4) As of March 31, 2010 (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Ltd. Financial Guaranty and Credit Derivatives Surveillance Categories (dollars in millions)
Assured Guaranty Ltd. Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense ("LAE") Reserves by Segment/Type (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Ltd. Financial Guaranty Direct and Reinsurance Segment Losses Incurred and Paid As of March 31, 2010 (in millions)
Assured Guaranty Ltd. Summary Financial and Statistical Data (dollars in millions, except per share amounts)
Glossary