Attached files

file filename
8-K - FORM 8-K - SAFEWAY INCd8k.htm
EX-99.1 - PRESS RELEASE - SAFEWAY INCdex991.htm
Reconciliations and Financial Slides
from the Safeway Investor Conference
March 3, 2010
Exhibit 99.2


2
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements. Such statements may
relate to topics such as sales, margins, earnings growth, earnings estimates,
guidance, free cash flow, operating profit, operating improvements, capital
spending, Lifestyle stores and other related subjects.
These statements are based on Safeway’s current plans and expectations and
are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual events and results
to
vary
significantly
from
those
implied
by
such
statements.
We
ask
you
to
refer
to Safeway’s reports and filings with the SEC for a further discussion of these
risks and uncertainties.
Safe Harbor Language


3
$ Millions
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
Net (loss) income
($1,097.5)
$965.3
$888.4
$870.6
$561.1
$560.2
($169.8)
Add (subtract):
Income taxes
144.2
539.3
515.2
369.4
287.9
233.7
310.9
Interest expense
331.7
358.7
388.9
396.1
402.6
411.2
442.4
Depreciation
1,171.2
1,141.1
1,071.2
991.4
932.7
894.6
863.6
LIFO (income) expense
(35.2)
34.9
13.9
1.2
(0.2)
(15.2)
(1.3)
Stock option expense
57.4
62.3
48.4
51.2
59.7
-
-
Property impairment charges
73.7
40.3
27.1
39.2
78.9
39.4
344.9
Miscellaneous equity investment impairment charge
-
-
-
-
-
-
10.6
Goodwill impairment charges
1,974.2
-
-
-
-
-
729.1
Equity in (earnings) losses of unconsolidated affiliate
(8.5)
2.5
(8.7)
(21.1)
(15.8)
(12.6)
7.1
Dividend received from unconsolidated affiliate
5.8
-
8.9
9.0
-
-
-
Total Adjusted EBITDA
$2,617.0
$3,144.4
$2,953.3
$2,707.0
$2,306.9
$2,111.3
$2,537.5
Adjusted EBITDA as a multiple of interest expense
7.9x
8.8x
7.6x
6.8x
5.7x
5.1x
5.7x
Reconciliation of Net (Loss) Income to Adjusted            
EBITDA (Interest Coverage)


4
Reconciliation of Net Cash Flow from Operating Activities
to Adjusted EBITDA
$ Millions
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
Net cash flow from operating activities
$2,549.7
$2,250.9
$2,190.5
$2,175.0
$1,881.0
$2,226.4
$1,609.6
Add (subtract):
Income taxes
144.2
539.3
515.2
369.4
287.9
233.7
310.9
Interest expense
331.7
358.7
388.9
396.1
402.6
411.2
442.4
Amortization of deferred finance cost
(4.8)
(5.1)
(5.3)
-
-
-
-
Excess tax benefit from exercise of                     
stock options
0.1
1.5
38.3
-
-
-
-
Deferred income taxes  
142.1
(171.7)
(130.8)
(1.1)
215.9
29.2
77.9
Net pension expense
(130.2)
(84.6)
(72.1)
(83.1)
(115.6)
(112.9)
(130.9)
Contribution to pension plans
16.7
33.8
33.0
29.2
18.1
15.1
12.1
Accrued claims and other liabilities
32.1
(24.4)
5.8
(10.8)
(44.1)
(118.1)
(52.7)
(Loss) gain on property retirements  
and lease exit activities, net
(12.7)
19.0
42.3
17.8
(13.6)
(20.6)
13.4
Changes in working capital items
(426.7)
225.5
(45.6)
(181.4)
(310.9)
(538.2)
263.0
Other
(25.2)
1.5
(6.9)
(4.1)
(14.4)
(14.5)
(8.2)
Total Adjusted EBITDA
$2,617.0
$3,144.4
$2,953.3
$2,707.0
$2,306.9
$2,111.3
$2,537.5


5
Reconciliation of Gross Margin BP Change
Excluding Fuel
Basis point (decrease) increase over prior year:
2009
2008
2007
2006
Basis point change in gross margin
24
(36)
(8)
(11)
Fuel
(59)
10
20
28
Basis point change in gross margin, excluding fuel
(35)
(26)
12
17


6
Reconciliation of Gross Margin BP Change
Excluding Fuel
2009
Basis point (decrease) increase over prior quarter:
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Basis point change in gross margin
(7)
56
78
(14)
Fuel
(79)
(99)
(84)
(2)
Basis point change in gross margin, excluding fuel
(86)
(43)
(6)
(16)
2008
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Basis point change in gross margin
(50)
(20)
(102)
9
Fuel
38
46
55
(67)
Basis point change in gross margin, excluding fuel
(12)
26
(47)
(58)


7
Excluding Fuel and Unusual Items
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
Basis point change in operating and administrative
expense
116
(38)
(29)
(93)
(53)
(7)
Unusual items:
Texas store closures
-
-
-
29
(29)
-
Impairment charges (incl. Dominick’s)
-
-
-
-
13
77
Vons strike
-
-
-
-
-
(22)
Labor buyout and health and welfare
contributions
-
-
-
15
(7)
-
Stock option expense
-
-
-
-
(15)
-
Fuel impact
(56)
11
16
13
32
39
Basis point change in operating and 
administrative expense, excluding
fuel and unusual items
60
(27)
(13)
(36)
(59)
87
Reconciliation of Operating &                         
Administrative Expense BP Change
Basis point (decrease) increase over prior year:


8
$ Millions
Reconciliation of GAAP Cash Flow
Measure to Free Cash Flow
Low
High
Low
High
Low
High
Low
High
Low
High
Low
High
Net cash flow from operating activities
2,450
$   
2,550
$   
2,350
$   
2,450
$   
2,150
$   
2,250
$   
2,050
$    
2,150
$    
1,950
$   
2,050
$    
2,200
$   
2,350
$    
2009
Original Guidance
2014F
2010G
2011F
2012F
2013F
Low
High
2,100
$   
2,250
$    
2009
Revised Guidance
Net cash flow used by investing activities
(1,150)
    
(1,050)
    
(1,150)
    
(1,050)
    
(1,050)
    
(950)
       
(1,050)
    
(950)
       
(1,050)
    
(950)
        
(1,200)
    
(1,150)
     
Free cash flow
1,300
$   
1,500
$   
1,200
$   
1,400
$   
1,100
$   
1,300
$   
1,000
$    
1,200
$    
900
$      
1,100
$    
1,000
$   
1,200
$    
(1,000)
    
(950)
        
1,100
$   
1,300
$    


9
$ Millions
Reconciliation of GAAP Cash Flow
Measure to Free Cash Flow*
*Excludes cash flow from payables related to third-party gift cards, net of receivables.  Cash from the sale of third-party gift cards is held for a short period of time and then remitted, less
Safeway’s commission, to card partners.  Because this cash flow is temporary, it is not available for other uses and therefore is excluded from the company’s calculation of free cash flow.
Net cash flow from operating activities
Increase in payables related to third party
gift cards, net of receivables
Interest earned on favorable income tax
settlement, net of tax
Net cash flow from operating activities,
as adjusted
Net cash flow used by investing activities
Cash used to acquire businesses/stores,
net of tax benefits
Net cash flow used by investing activities,
as adjusted
Free cash flow
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
2,549
$        
2,251
$        
2,190
$   
2,175
$   
1,881
$   
2,226
$   
1,609
$   
2,035
$   
2,232
$   
1,901
$   
(170)
            
(24)
              
(84)
         
(71)
         
(48)
         
-
             
-
             
-
             
-
             
-
             
-
                   
-
                   
-
             
(63)
         
-
             
-
             
-
             
-
             
-
             
-
             
2,379
          
2,227
          
2,106
     
2,041
     
1,833
     
2,226
     
1,609
     
2,035
     
2,232
     
1,901
     
(889)
            
(1,546)
         
(1,686)
    
(1,735)
    
(1,314)
    
(1,070)
    
(795)
       
(1,396)
    
(2,242)
    
(1,481)
    
-
                   
-
                   
-
             
50
          
-
             
-
             
-
             
-
             
523
        
-
             
(889)
            
(1,546)
         
(1,686)
    
(1,685)
    
(1,314)
    
(1,070)
    
(795)
       
(1,396)
    
(1,719)
    
(1,481)
    
1,490
$        
681
$           
420
$      
356
$      
519
$      
1,156
$   
814
$      
639
$      
513
$      
420
$      


10
2010G
2009G
Basis point (decrease) increase over prior year
Low
High
Low
High
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
Basis point change in operating profit margin
(5)
10
(5)
10
(574)
1
21
82
(11)
167
Unusual items:
Texas store closures
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
(29)
29
-
Goodwill impairment charges
-
-
-
-
483
-
-
-
-
(204)
Impairment charges (including Dominick’s)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
(13)
(77)
Vons strike
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
63
Labor buyout and health and  
welfare contributions
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
(15)
7
-
Stock option expense
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
15
-
Fuel impact
(5)
(5)
10
10
(4)
-
4
15
6
1
Basis point change in operating profit margin,
excluding fuel and unusual items
(10)
5
5
20
(95)
1
25
53
33
(50)
Reconciliation of Operating Profit Margin Basis Point
Change Excluding Fuel & Unusual Items


11
X-Fuel ID Sales
2.0% -
3.0%
(1.0)% -
(1.7)%
(2.5)%
Operating Profit Margin
5 -
20 bps
NG
(95)
Improvement (X-Fuel)
Cash Capital
~ $1.2B
~ $1.0B
$0.9B
Expenditures
Free
Cash
Flow
1
$1.0 -
$1.2B
$1.1 -
$1.3B
$1.5B
Earnings Per Share
$2.34 -
$2.44
$1.70 -
$1.90
$1.74
2
2009 Guidance
Original
Revised
Actual
1
Excludes Blackhawk gift card payables, net of receivables
2
Adjusted to exclude goodwill impairment charge
See website for reconciliation


12
2010 Guidance
Earnings per Share
$1.65 –
$1.85
ID
Sales
1
0.0% –
1.0%
Operating
Profit
Margin
Chg
1
(10) –
5 bps
Cash Capital Expenditures
$0.9 –
$1.0B
Free
Cash
Flow
2
$0.9 –
$1.1B
1
X-Fuel
2
See website for reconciliation


13
2010 EPS Growth Over Adjusted 2009
2009 reported earnings
$(2.66)
Add goodwill impairment charge
4.40
Adjusted 2009 earnings
$1.74
Remove tax benefit
(0.18)
$1.56
Earnings guidance increase
$1.65 -
$1.85
+6 -
19%
$0.09
-
$0.29


14
Approaching Completion of Lifestyle Rollout
19
92
293
82
80
32
21
276
232
253
20
8
20
20
17
1
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
New
Remodels
Store
Base
20
1%
8%
26%
43%
59%
73%
79%
85%
124
314
293
273
252
90
85% Complete at YE 2010
100


15
Capital spending levels will remain below
3% of sales for six years
% Sales
3.4%
3.6%
4.2%
4.2%
3.6%
2.1%
2.4%
2.3%
2.3%
2.4%
2.4%
2.3%
'04
'05
'06
'07
'08
'09
'10F
'11F
'12F
'13F
'14F
'09-
'14
$1.2
$1.4
$1.7
$1.8
$1.6
$0.9
$1.0
$1.0
$1.0
$1.1
$1.1
$ Million
11 year average = 3.0%


16
0.5
0.4
0.4
0.7
1.5
0.9 - 1.1
1.3 - 1.5
1.2 - 1.4
1.1 - 1.3
1.0 - 1.2
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010F
2011F
2012F
2013F
2014F
Free Cash Flow
$ Billions
1.4
1.7
1.7
1.6
0.9
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.1
1.1
Capital Spending
See website for reconciliation
Excludes Blackhawk gift card payables, net of receivables