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8-K - FORM 8-K - ZIONS BANCORPORATION, NATIONAL ASSOCIATION /UT/form_8k.htm
Goldman Sachs
Financial Services Conference
8 December 2009 ■ New York
 
 

 
Forward-Looking Statements
This presentation contains statements that relate to the projected performance of
Zions Bancorporation and elements of or affecting such performance, including
statements with respect to the beliefs, plans, objectives, goals, guidelines,
expectations, anticipations and estimates of management. These statements
constitute forward-looking information within the meaning of the Private Securities
Litigation Reform Act. Actual facts, determinations, results or achievements may
differ materially from the statements provided in this presentation since such
statements involve significant known and unknown risks and uncertainties. Factors
that might cause such differences include, but are not limited to: competitive
pressures among financial institutions; economic, market and business conditions,
either nationally or locally in areas in which Zions Bancorporation conducts its
operations, being less favorable than expected; changes in the interest rate
environment reducing expected interest margins; changes in debt, equity and
securities markets; adverse legislation or regulatory changes; and other factors
described in Zions Bancorporation’s most recent annual and quarterly reports. In
addition, the statements contained in this presentation are based on facts and
circumstances as understood by management of the company on the date of this
presentation, which may change in the future. Zions Bancorporation disclaims any
obligation to update any statements or to publicly announce the result of any
revisions to any of the forward-looking statements included herein to reflect future
events, developments, determinations or understandings.
 
 

 
A Collection of Great Banks
 
 

 
 Annual pretax, pre-credit earnings of ~$1billion
  NIM: 3.91%, ranked #2 of regional banks/peers.
  Best among peers for non-interest bearing deposits as a percent of
 earning assets
 Strong allowance for credit loss: 3.9% of loans
 Low LTV ratios on term commercial real estate loans
 Successful bidder on four FDIC assisted transactions
 Markets with nation’s strongest long term growth profile
 Competitive operating cost structure - Zions continues
 to cut costs; on target to reduce costs by $75 million by
 end of FY09.
*Peer group includes U.S. regional banks with assets greater than $20 billion and
less than $200 billion plus footprint competitors WFC and USB.
Zions’ Strengths
 
 

 
 Rising NPAs, to 5.4% of loans from 4.7% in prior
 quarter
  Total delinquent + NPA was up 13% in 3Q09 compared to the prior
 quarter
 YTD net charge-off rate of 2.8%
 Continued securities impairments (OTTI), primarily on
 bank/insurance CDOs - $56.5 million in 3Q
Zions’ Challenges
 
 

 
Footprint Population Growth Estimates from SNL Financial (2009-2014)
Our Growth Engine
 
 

 
Agenda
Key Issues Going Forward
 Net Interest Margin
 Credit Quality
 Term CRE
 Securities Portfolio
 Capital & Deferred Tax Asset
Outlook Summary
 
 

 
Source: SNL
Source: SNL
Note: Peer group includes U.S. regional banks with assets greater than $20 billion
and less than $200 billion plus footprint competitors WFC and USB.
Excluding the effects of the 2Q09 sub debt modification, NIM increased 9 basis points
A 200 basis point rise in interest rates would increase the NIM by up to 13 basis points
See Appendix for additional asset sensitivity information
Net Interest Margin
(Regional Bank Peers)
 
 

 
Source: SNL
 
 

 
Source: SNL - Estimated where data was unavailable
 
 

 
Agenda
Key Issues Going Forward
 Net Interest Margin
 Credit Quality
 Term CRE
 Securities Portfolio
 Capital & Deferred Tax Asset
Outlook Summary
 
 

 
46%
32%
22%
*Includes FDIC Supported Assets
Loan Portfolio Composition
(9/30/2009)
 
 

 
Based on Total Loan Commitments
CRE Portfolio Change Summary
(Dollar Change from 4Q07 to 3Q09 in billions)
 
 

 
Loan Portfolio Performance
(9/30/2009)
 
 

 
NPAs + Greater than 90 Days Delinquent / Loans + OREO
Note: Peer group includes U.S. regional banks with assets greater than $20 billion and
less than $200 billion plus footprint competitors WFC and USB.
Source: SNL
NPAs & Delinquency Trends
(Regional Bank Peers)
 
 

 
*Annualized
Note: Peer group includes U.S. regional banks with assets greater than $20 billion and
less than $200 billion plus footprint competitors WFC and USB.
Source: SNL
Net Charge-offs as % of Loans*
(Regional Bank Peers)
 
 

 
Note: Peer group includes U.S. regional banks with assets greater than $20 billion and less than $200 billion plus
footprint competitors WFC and USB. Source: SNL
*The C&I Loans category excludes the impact of Flying J. This $47.5 million loan was charged-off in 2Q09, but
ZION anticipates a substantial recovery on this loan.
Percentage of Zions
Total Loans
Net Charge Offs
(Regional Bank Peers)
 
 

 
Source: SNL
Reserves & Net Charge Offs
(Regional Bank Peers)
 
 

 
Credit Quality
Outlook
 Residential construction problem credits
 stable to improving
 Commercial construction problem
 credits rising, although at a slower rate
 Classified loans are stabilizing
 Continued elevated levels of NPAs,
 provisions and net losses
 Continued ALLL build likely in 4Q09, but
 less than 3Q09
 
 

 
Agenda
Key Issues Going Forward
 Net Interest Margin
 Credit Quality
 Term CRE
 Securities Portfolio
 Capital & Deferred Tax Asset
Outlook Summary
 
 

 
Percentage of Loans within each bucket that are Non-Accrual
Bucket
<50%
50-59%
60-69%
70-79%
80-89%
90-99%
100%+
NALs
0.8%
1.4%
1.2%
4.6%
22.0%
6.6%
19.2%
*Based on most recent LTV; loans are generally reappraised when downgraded to classified status
Takeaway: Limited High LTV or “Tail Risk”
 
 

 
Percentage of Loans within each bucket that are Non-Accrual
Bucket
<50%
50-59%
60-69%
70-79%
80-89%
90-99%
100%+
NALs
1.1%
1.1%
2.5%
2.6%
7.2%
2.4%
7.9%
*Based on most recent LTV; loans are generally reappraised when downgraded to classified status
**The MIT Transaction Based Index is a national index that has been applied to ZBC's mostly
regional CRE Portfolio
Takeaway: Limited High LTV or “Tail Risk”
 
 

 
Percentage of Loans within each bucket that are Non-Accrual
Bucket
<= 2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
NALs
1.6%
6.7%
4.4%
2.4%
0.4%
Term CRE Deep Dive
Vintage Stratification (as of 10/31/09 & excluding all FDIC supported assets)
Takeaway: Limited Exposure to 2007 Vintage
 
 

 
 
 

 
Agenda
Key Issues Going Forward
 Net Interest Margin
 Credit Quality
 Term CRE
 Securities Portfolio
 Capital & Deferred Tax Asset
Outlook Summary
 
 

 
Bank & Ins. Trup CDOs 3% of Assets
 
 

 
 Credit-related OTTI losses $56.5 million in 3Q09
 Noncredit-related OTTI on securities of $141.9 million in
 3Q09 recognized in OCI
Investment Securities Performance 3Q09
 
 

 
Agenda
Key Issues Going Forward
 Net Interest Margin
 Credit Quality
 Term CRE
 Securities Portfolio
 Capital & Deferred Tax Asset
Outlook Summary
 
 

 
 
 

 
 DTA = $688 million in 3Q09 vs. $644 million in 2Q09 and
 $402 million in 3Q08
 Asset/liability management strategy announced on Monday,
 November 23rd reduced net DTA by ~$148 million
 No valuation allowance currently expected
 Sources of Positive Evidence
  Track record of earnings through prior difficult cycles
  Stable income pre-tax, pre-credit
  Decelerating or declining non-accrual, classified, and special mention loans
  Taxes paid in prior years
  Tax planning strategies
    
Deferred Tax Asset
 
 

 
Source: SNL - Estimated where data was unavailable
 
 

 
3Q08
2Q09
3Q09
Tangible Common Equity
6.05%
5.66%
5.43%
Tier 1 Leverage
7.64%
9.89%
10.06%
Tier 1 Risk Based
8.07%
9.66%
10.00%
Total Risk Based
12.30%
12.87%
13.24%
Minimum Regulatory Requirement for “well capitalized”
Tier 1 Risk Based
6.0%
Total Risk Based
10.0%
Capital Ratios
 
 

 
Outlook Summary
 Continued elevated levels of credit losses, loss
 provisions, and some reserve build in a weak economy;
 rate of deterioration slowing
 Future OTTI losses likely stable, possibly declining
 Estimated 4Q09 GAAP NIM ≈ 3.8%
  continued strong core net interest margin
  impacted by new senior debt and sub debt-to-preferred
 conversion
 Reduced dividend and asset levels will help preserve
 capital ratios
 No DTA valuation allowance
 
 

 
Outlook Summary
 Long-term outlook remains strong when
 economy begins to recover
  Best long-term growth markets
  Sustainable competitive advantage in
 operating model
  Superior risk-adjusted NIM through the
 business cycle
 
 

 
Goldman Sachs
Financial Services Conference
8 December, 2009
New York
 
 

 
Appendix
 
 

 
Million
$ Per Share
Net Income To Common
($179)
($1.41)
OTTI Impairment on Securities
($57)
Provisions For Credit Losses
$566
Net Charge-offs
$381
OREO Expense
$30
Core Pretax Income (ex provision,
impairment, OREO exp, & non-recurring items)
$253
Q3 2009 Earnings Highlights
 
 

 
CRE Portfolio Composition
Loans by Product Type and Location - 9/30/09
 
 

 
Collateral Location
Arizona
Northern
California
Southern
California
Nevada
Colorado
Texas
Utah/ Idaho
Washington
Other
Total
Commercial Term
Arizona
Industrial
$30,953
$10,796
($3,662)
$10,679
($6,260)
$42,705
$26,238
$3,419
$36,357
$151,225
Office
$44,352
$54,931
$84,313
($6,233)
($52,341)
($27,283)
$15,951
$21,605
$70,137
$205,434
Retail
$44,788
$71,769
$136,873
$18,048
$50,557
$167,385
$33,161
$17,957
$179,383
$719,922
Hotel/Motel
$43,599
$67,521
$30,428
$25,020
$23,690
$80,726
$63,212
$7,004
$180,004
$521,203
A&D
$0
$0
($6,523)
$80
$0
$24,956
$0
($6,818)
$1,566
$13,261
Medical
$14,190
$22,200
$22,822
$61,957
$9,288
$10,401
$11,448
$756
($1,088)
$151,974
Recreation/Restaurant
$37,105
$7,456
$40,383
$5,858
$483
$13,420
$12,057
$2,470
$16,236
$135,468
Multifamily
$17,072
($6,596)
$101,810
$18,466
$9,543
$102,258
$6,889
$7,351
$984
$257,776
Other
($78,306)
($4,930)
($24,084)
($4,675)
($53,168)
($19,621)
$5,185
($258)
($121,665)
($301,523)
Total Commercial Term
$153,753
$223,147
$382,360
$129,200
($18,208)
$394,947
$174,141
$53,486
$361,914
$1,854,740
Location as % Total - Term
-1.7%
1.5%
0.0%
-1.3%
-2.1%
2.3%
-0.2%
0.2%
1.2%
-0.1%
Residential Construction
Single Family Housing
($809,719)
($168,964)
($441,724)
($168,347)
($93,182)
($268,268)
($320,242)
$16,693
($41,115)
($2,294,868)
Land Acquisition & Development
($469,720)
($75,039)
($176,116)
($146,639)
($19,509)
($152,347)
($99,882)
($22,358)
($40,910)
($1,202,521)
Total Residential Construction
($1,279,439)
($244,003)
($617,840)
($314,986)
($112,691)
($420,615)
($420,124)
($5,665)
($82,025)
($3,497,389)
Commercial Construction
Industrial
($45,627)
$497
($7,512)
($26,003)
($3,515)
($4,034)
($2,938)
$2,000
($167)
($87,298)
Office
($98,769)
$12,253
$18,659
($64,847)
$29,778
$91,682
($6,804)
($8,879)
($8,789)
($35,714)
Retail
($76,236)
$804
($16,504)
($115,613)
$14,346
($168,465)
($5,739)
($5,953)
($21,360)
($394,719)
Hotel/Motel
($30,455)
$21,623
$28,397
$15,153
($8,291)
$47,247
($36,068)
$0
($5,373)
$32,234
A&D
($103,220)
($24,062)
$15,248
($155,852)
$31,217
($424,635)
$50,052
($10,738)
($26,034)
($648,026)
Medical
($12,649)
$0
($13,690)
($11,098)
($2,572)
($3,643)
($2,643)
$8,400
($10,448)
($48,344)
Recreation/Restaurant
($10,899)
$0
$748
$2,173
$0
($161)
$589
$0
$0
($7,550)
Other
($66,376)
($4,150)
($39,488)
($32,803)
($2,863)
$32,390
$1,246
($9,638)
($277,446)
($399,128)
Apartments
($89,201)
($8,900)
($51,526)
($9,306)
$13,434
$40,259
($9,791)
($55,376)
($47,039)
($217,447)
Total Commercial Construction
($533,432)
($1,935)
($65,668)
($398,196)
$71,534
($389,360)
($12,096)
($80,184)
($396,656)
($1,805,992)
TOTAL CONSTRUCTION
($1,812,871)
($245,938)
($683,508)
($713,182)
($41,157)
($809,975)
($432,220)
($85,849)
($478,681)
($5,303,381)
Location as % Total -
Construction
-9.1%
-0.8%
-0.9%
-1.3%
2.7%
8.1%
2.1%
0.1%
-0.9%
0.0%
 
 

 
Loan Portfolio Net Charge Offs
(9/30/2009)
 
 

 
 
 

 
 Fixed-rate loans:
  26% of portfolio
  Duration of about 1 year
 Variable-rate loans:
  74% of portfolio
  Floors on 42% of variable-rate loans (78% of those loans are at
 the floor rate)
  Continual reduction of interest rate swaps (increasing asset
 sensitivity)
 Non-interest bearing deposits to average earning assets
 is 23% (rank #1 among peers; peer median 16%)
Peer data source: SNL
Note: Peer group includes U.S. regional banks with assets greater than $20 billion
and less than $200 billion plus footprint competitors WFC and USB.
Asset Sensitivity
 
 

 
Loans with Floors