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UniSource Energy Corporation
Tucson, Arizona
NYSE: UNS
December 8-10, 2009
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2
Contact Information & Safe Harbor
Paul J. Bonavia, Chairman, President and CEO
Kevin P. Larson, SVP, CFO and Treasurer
Investor Relations Contact Information
M. Jo Smith, Director Chris Norman, Lead Analyst
(520) 884.3650 (520) 884.3649
josmith@uns.com cnorman@uns.com
Investor Information
http://ir.uns.com
Safe Harbor and Non-GAAP Measures
This document contains forward-looking information that involves risks and uncertainties, that include, but are not limited to: state and federal regulatory
and legislative decisions and actions; regional economic and market conditions which could affect customer growth and energy usage; weather
variations affecting energy usage; the cost of debt and equity capital and access to capital markets; the performance of the stock market and changing
interest rate environment, which affect the value of the company's pension and other postretirement benefit plan assets and the related contribution
requirements and expense; unexpected increases in O&M expense; resolution of pending litigation matters; changes in accounting standards; changes
in critical accounting estimates; the ongoing restructuring of the electric industry; changes to long-term contracts; the cost of fuel and power supplies;
performance of TEP's generating plants; and other factors listed in UniSource Energy's Form 10-K and 10-Q filings with the Securities and Exchange
Commission. The preceding factors may cause future results to differ materially from historical results or from outcomes currently expected by UniSource
Energy.
The Company's press releases and other communications may include certain non-Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) financial
measures. A "non-GAAP financial measure" is defined as a numerical measure of a company's financial performance, financial position or cash flows
that excludes (or includes) amounts that are included in (or excluded from) the most directly comparable measure calculated and presented in
accordance with GAAP in the Company's financial statements.
Non-GAAP financial measures utilized by the Company include presentations of revenues, operating expenses, operating income and earnings (loss)
per share. The Company uses these non-GAAP measures to evaluate the operations of the Company. Certain non-GAAP financial measures utilized by
the Company exclude: the impact of non-recurring items: the effect of accounting changes or adjustments; expenses that are reimbursed by third parties;
and other items. The Company's management believes that these non-GAAP financial measures provide useful information to investors by removing
the effect of variances in GAAP reported results of operations that are not indicative of fundamental changes in the earnings or cash flow capacity of the
Company's operations. Management also believes that the presentation of the non-GAAP financial measures is largely consistent with its past practice,
as well as industry practice in general, and will enable investors and analysts to compare current non-GAAP measures with non-GAAP measures with
respect to prior periods.
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Regulated Electric and Gas Utility Businesses
UNS' Largest Subsidiary
~ 80% of Operating Revenues
~ 81% of Total Assets
Vertically Integrated Electric Utility
~ 400,000 Electric Customers
Gas & Electric T&D Businesses
~ 146,000 Gas Customers
~ 90,000 Electric Customers
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4
TEP, UNS Gas and UNS Electric Service Areas
Navajo
Sundt
Moenkopi
Peacock
Marketplace
Kayenta
Tucson
Generating Station
Coal Mine
Interconnection With Other Utility
Substation
Solar Station
TEP
UNS Gas
UNS Gas & Electric
UNS Electric
Service Areas
High Voltage
Transmission Lines
San Juan
Ship Rock
Four Corners
San Juan
Mine
Navajo
McKinley
McKinley
Mine
Coronado
Springerville
Luna
Hidalgo
Greenlee
South
Vail
Valencia
Nogales
Davis
Mead
Black Mountain
Kingman
Kingman
Black Mountain
Griffith
Griffith
N. Havasu
Lake
Havasu
City
Parker
Parker
Saguaro
West Wing
Liberty
Palo Verde
Phoenix
Pinal West
Cholla
Flagstaff
Lee Ranch
Yavapai
Prescott
MEXICO
NEVADA
UTAH
COLORADO
CALIFORNIA
NEW MEXICO
Lake
Havasu
City
Pinnacle
Peak
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5
Compelling Long-Term Value Proposition for Shareholders
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2009: A Significantly Improved Financial Profile
2009 results reflect benefits of TEP's 2008 Rate Order
2009 reported GAAP earnings guidance of $2.55-$2.70 per diluted share
2009 estimated UNS consolidated operating cash flows of $330 million
TEP's new rate structure provides more transparency into UNS' earnings profile by significantly reducing TEP's
exposure to changes in fuel and purchased power costs
UNS reported net income of $94 million in the first nine months of 2009 compared with a net loss of $9 million in the
same period last year
2009 results benefitted from: a 6% base rate increase at TEP; hot summer weather; and lower fuel and purchased
power costs compared to last year
2008 results were impacted by TEP's exposure to rising fuel and purchased power costs, as well as regulatory
revenue deferrals and amortization expense that will not recur in future periods
2008 TEP Rate Order established a new regulatory compact with the Arizona Corporation
Commission (ACC) and restored the appropriate balance of risk between customers and
shareholders
6% average base rate increase, effective December 1, 2008
Purchased Power and Fuel Adjustor Clause (PPFAC)
Full recovery of actual costs including: fuel, purchased energy, capacity charges and transmission
Off-sets: short-term wholesale sales, 10% of trading margin and 50% of SO2 sales revenues
Provisions allow for base rate and adjustor mechanism change in emergency conditions, including the imposition of
a federal carbon tax or related regulation, subject to ACC approval
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7
Tucson Electric Power
Diverse Retail Customer Base
Diverse Retail Customer Base
Diverse Retail Customer Base
Diverse Retail Customer Base
Diverse Retail Customer Base
2009 Estimated Retail kWh Sales Mix
University of Arizona
Davis Monthan Air Force Base
Freeport -McMoRan
Customer
Sector
Freeport McMoRan Mining
Asarco Mining
Univ. of Arizona Education
Fort Huachuca Military
Raytheon Defense
IBM Technology
Davis Monthan Air Force Base Military
Arizona Portland Cement Construction
Liquid Air Manufacturing
Largest Retail Customers
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Tucson Electric Power
Retail Customers and Local Economy
TEP customer base continues to grow at a
modest pace
Despite economic slowdown, TEP is still adding
customers
From 2003-2007, average annual customer growth was
2%
Expect local economy to gradually improve
Positive quarterly retail kWh sales trend
University of Arizona Economic and Business Research
Center predicts that a bottom is forming in Arizona's
economic downturn
Positive indicators in home sales and inventories
Potential for new copper mining customer
Proposed Rosemont Copper mine located SE of Tucson
Up to 100 MW load
Political and environmental opposition
If siting approved, could be operational in 2012
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Retail Customer Growth
Note: Q3 2009 kWh sales are weather normalized
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Tucson Electric Power
Energy Resources
Leased coal-fired generating resources
provide optionality
156 MW Sundt Unit 4 lease expires
January 2011
380 MW Springerville Unit 1 lease expires
2015
No near-term new base load generation
requirements
Substation and transmission line additions
are expanding access to the Palo Verde hub
No commodity price exposure for retail
fuel & purchased power costs
PPFAC allows for full recovery
Long-term contracts provide price and
supply stability for coal requirements
Protection against carbon-related costs
Carbon costs are a fuel-related cost and
can be recovered through the PPFAC
Provisions allow for base rate and adjustor
mechanism change in emergency
conditions, including carbon-related costs,
subject to ACC approval
Owned Coal - 990 MW
Luna Gas CCCT
Purchased Power
Simple Cycle Gas Units
2008 Resource Mix
2%
Generating Capacity - 2,204 MW
10,576
GWh
2,906
GWh
646 GWh
224 GWh
74%
20%
4%
Gas CCCT
190 MW - 9%
Coal/Gas
156 MW - 7%
Simple Cycle Gas
484 MW - 22%
Solar
5 MW - 0.2%
Leased Coal - 380 MW Springerville Unit 1 (expires 2015)
Leased Coal / Gas - Sundt Unit 4 (expires 2011)
Coal
1,370 MW - 62%
1,370 MW - 62%
1,370 MW - 62%
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Tucson Electric Power
Sundt Unit 4
Lease expires January 2011
Dual fuel plant located in Tucson
Coal 120 MW / Gas 156 MW
Total lease expense of ~ $8 million per year and
O&M costs of ~$8 million per year included in rates
Benefits of purchasing
Opportunity to grow rate base without regulatory lag
Provides local load support
Site also contains three gas steam units owned by
TEP which are also covered under the station-wide
operating permit
Opportunity to re-power the unit
Lease expiration options
Fair market value purchase or lease renewal
Election to purchase triggers 45-day negotiation
period; notification by January 2010
If unsuccessful, formal appraisal process begins
Purchase price under appraisal procedure is
equal to the lower of fair market sales value or
capped price of $110 million
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Renewable Energy Leadership
New renewable resources (subject to ACC approval)
Solar PPAs - TEP
20-year terms; scheduled to be in service in 2012
Contracts contain purchase options
Located in Tucson, AZ
25 MW ground-mounted, single axis tracking PV cells
5 MW parabolic trough concentrating solar
Solar ownership - TEP
1.6 MW Tucson community project
Ground-mounted, single axis tracking PV cells
Expected completion in mid - 2010
1.8 MW addition to solar installation in Springerville, AZ
Expected completion in 2010
Wind PPA - UNS Electric
20 year term
7-11 MW
Located in Kingman, AZ
Existing renewable resources
4.6 MW solar installation in Springerville, AZ
Landfill gas supplies energy to over 2,300 Tucson
homes
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Other community projects
Participant in a community project that will result in one
of the largest solar-powered neighborhoods in the
continental United States
Combined 6 MW of ground mounted and rooftop
installations will provide 75% of energy needs for 900
homes in 2010
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Building a Sustainable Business Model for Investing in
Renewable Energy
Arizona renewable energy standard
15% of annual retail energy needs by 2025
Phase-in requirements
2.00% in 2009
1/2% annual increases from 2010-2015
1% annual increases thereafter
Funded through customer surcharge
REST plan and associated surcharge approved
annually by the ACC
No income statement impact; costs offset by
surcharge collection
2009 approved plan costs & surcharge collection
$30 million @ TEP
$5 million @ UNS Electric
Renewable energy investment criteria
Must be in compliance with renewable energy
standard
Cost competitive relative to other options
Provide a balanced resource portfolio
Provide benefits to our communities
Enable us to develop a sustainable business model
for renewable energy
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Regulatory Framework
Arizona Corporation Commission
Constitutionally created branch of Arizona
government
Five commissioners elected state-wide
Limited to serve two four year terms
ACC regulatory framework for TEP, UNS Gas
& UNS Electric
Retail rates based on cost-of-service
Pass through mechanisms allow for full recovery of
fuel, purchased power , capacity and wheeling
costs
Forward-looking surcharge
True-up over subsequent 12 months
Federal Energy Regulatory Commission
Transmission rates
Long-term wholesale transactions
Commissioner Term Expires
Kristin Mayes (R) Jan 2011*
Sandra Kennedy (D) Jan 2013
Paul Newman (D) Jan 2013
Gary Pierce (R) Jan 2011
Bob Stump (R) Jan 2013
* Unable to run for re-election - two term limit
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UniSource Energy
Positive Free Cash Flow
($ millions)
Consolidated operating cash flows
expected to exceed capital expenditures
Manageable level of capital expenditures
In response to the economic slow down, actual and
planned capital expenditures were reduced by $300
million from 2008-2013
Current forecast for capital spending is under review and
may result in further reductions
No near-term new base load generation investments
TEP may add local peaking resources in 2013 and
2015 (not included in current capital expenditure
estimates)
Opportunity to grow rate base without regulatory lag
Optional purchase of Sundt Unit 4 included in
TEP's 2011 capital budget
Free cash flow provides flexibility
Historically, UniSource Energy's operating cash flows
have exceeded capital expenditures
Annual dividend increases since 2000
Operating cash used to reduce TEP debt and
capital lease obligations by approx. $500 million
over the last 10 years
Invested $85 million of equity to help fund
purchase of UES
Positive free cash flow trend expected to continue
Note: Capital expenditure estimates for 2010-2013 from 2008 10-K
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UniSource Energy Services
UNS Gas
Sales
No customer growth in 2009 vs. 2008
Averaged 3-4% annually from 2003-2007
YTD 9/30/09 retail sales 10% below 2008 due to economic
conditions and mild weather
Rate Case Activity
General rate case pending
Requested 6% base rate increase or approximately
$9.5 million
ACC Staff recommended $3.4 million rate increase
Expect ACC ruling early 2010
UNS Electric
Sales
No customer growth in 2009 vs. 2008
Averaged 3-4% annually from 2003-2007
YTD 9/30/09 residential and commercial kWh sales 2%
below 2008 due to economic conditions
YTD 9/30/09 mining sales about 100,000 MWh ahead of last
year
Rate Case Activity
2.5% base rate increase effective June 2008
Approximately $4 million annual revenue increase
In Apr. 2009, filed for base rate increase of 7.4% or $13.5
million
Expect ACC ruling in mid-2010
$4
$4
$8
$5
$5
$4
$ -
$ 2
$ 4
$ 6
$ 8
$10
$12
$14
2006
2007
2008
UNS Gas
UNS Electric
UES Net Income
($ millions)
$16
$19
$21
$22
$23
$28
$24
$23
$37
$16
$ -
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
UNS Gas
UNS Electric
Estimated Capital Expenditures
($ millions)
$4
$6
YTD 9/30/09
Note: Capital expenditure estimates for 2010-2013 from 2008 10-K
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UniSource Energy Earnings Drivers
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Tucson Electric Power
Long-Term Wholesale Sales
Margin on long-term wholesale sales benefits
shareholders
Gross margin on 2009 sales expected to be approx. $25
million
Salt River Project (SRP) 100MW
Current contract terms
Annual demand charge $22 million
Energy charge @ TEP's average generation
cost
Contract modifications effective June 2011
No demand charge
Energy charge based on Palo Verde Index
Contract expires May 2016
Navajo Tribal Utility Authority (NTUA)
NTUA's load is served from an allocation of federal
hydroelectric power and purchases from TEP
Current contract terms
No demand charge
Energy priced in mid - $50 per MWh range
No minimum purchase requirement
Contract modifications effective 2010
Energy charge for 50% of sales (June-Sept)
based on Palo Verde Index (~30 GWhs)
Contract expires December 2015
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Tucson Electric Power
Strong Coal Plant Operating Performance
Average Equivalent Availability Factor
Baghouse
-
Low NOx
Environmental
Equipment
Operator
TEP's Share (MW)
Coal Delivery
In Service Dates
TEP's Share (%)
TEP
156 MW
rail
1967
100%
TEP
770 MW
rail
Unit 1 - 1985
Unit 2 - 1990
100%
Arizona
Public Service
110 MW
mine mouth
Unit 4 - 1969
Unit 5 - 1970
7%
Salt River
Project
168 MW
mine mouth
Unit 1 - 1974
Unit 2 - 1975
Unit 3 - 1976
7.5%
Public Service
of New Mexico
322 MW
mine mouth
Unit 1 - 1976
Unit 2 - 1973
50%
Coal Supplier
Contract Term
Peabody
2020
BHP Billiton
2016
Peabody
2011
San Juan Coal
2017
Rio Tinto
Chevron Mining
2009
Annual Expected
Coal Usage
350 k tons
3.2 mil. tons
400k tons
500k tons
1.3 mil. tons
Baghouse
Scrubbers
Low NOx
Baghouse
Scrubbers
-
Precipitators
Scrubbers
-
Baghouse
Scrubbers
LowNOx
Mercury
removal
Sundt
Unit 4
coal/gas
Navajo
Units 1,2&3
coal
Industry Avg.
coal
Four Corners
Units 4&5
coal
San Juan
Units 1&2
coal
Springerville
Units 1&2
coal
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Sundt 94.3 94.5 82.6 96.2 96.5
West
North
93%
87%
87%
83%
03 04 05 06 07
04 05 06 07 08
04 05 06 07 08
04 05 06 07 08
04 05 06 07 08
93%
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
SGS 88.9 86.6 91.3 92.3 90.5
West
North
91%
04 05 06 07 08
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Four Corners 82.4 86.3 90.5 78.5 78.8
West
North
84%
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Navajo 92.7 88.6 91.2 91.2 75
West
North
88%
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
San Juan 89.1 89.5 90.7 83.1 76.7
West
North
85%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Industry Avg 84.57 85.39 85.16 85.14 83.72
West
North
85%
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Credit Ratings & Liquidity Position
Stable credit ratings - upgraded one notch by S&P in December 2008
and by Moody's in August 2009; Fitch revised outlook to positive in
November 2009
Sufficient lines of credit mature 2011
TEP - $150 million
UES - $ 60 million
UNS - $ 70 million
TEP
Fitch
Secured
BBB
-
Unsecured
BB+
Issuer
N/A
Outlook
S&P
BBB+
BBB-
BB+
Stable
Moody's
Baa1
Baa3
Baa3
Stable
Positive
UniSource Energy
Moody's
Ba1
Stable
Secured Credit Facility
Outlook
UNS Electric
Moody's
Baa3
Stable
Sr. Unsecured Notes
(guaranteed)
Outlook
UNS Gas
Moody's
Baa3
Stable
Sr. Unsecured Notes
(guaranteed)
Outlook
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Long-Term Debt Summary
Balances as of 11/30/09
Interest
Curr. Balance
Issue
Maturity
Current
Facilities
Debt Issue
Rate
(in millions)
Date
Date
Call Price
Security
Financed
TEP
Unsec. Ind. Dev. Bonds
2009 Pima A
4.950%
80
Oct-09
Oct-20
N/C
Unsecured
San Juan PC
1997 Coconino A
7.125%
37
Apr-97
Oct-32
101%
Navajo PC
2009 Coconino A
5.125%
15
Oct-09
Oct-32
N/C 10
Navajo PC
1997 Pima A
6.100%
22
Sep-97
Sep-25
100%
Local T&D
1998 Apache A
5.850%
84
Mar-98
Mar-28
100%
SGS 1 PC
1998 Apache B
5.875%
100
Mar-98
Mar-33
100%
SGS 2 PC
1998 Apache C
5.850%
16
Mar-98
Mar-26
100%
Local T&D
Subtotal
$ 445
Tax-Exempt Bonds (Var. Rate)
1982 Pima A - Irvington
0.35%
39
Oct-82
Oct-22
100%
Mortgage Bonds
Local T&D / Irvington
1982 Pima A
0.35%
40
Dec-82
Dec-22
100%
Local T&D / 4 Corners PC
1983 Apache A
0.26%
100
Dec-83
Dec-18
100%
SGS 2
1983 Apache B (Tranche A)
0.35%
80
Dec-83
Dec-18
100%
SGS 2
1983 Apache C (Tranche A)
0.26%
50
Dec-83
Dec-18
100%
SGS 2
1985 Apache A
0.26%
20
Dec-85
Dec-20
100%
SGS 2
Subtotal
$ 459
TEP TOTAL
$ 904
2008 Pima A
6.375%
91
Mar-08
Sep-29
N/C 5
Local T&D
UES
UNS Gas Unsecured Notes
6.230%
50
Aug-03
Aug-11
MW + 50
Unsecured
General Purpose
UNS Gas Unsecured Notes
6.230%
50
Aug-03
Aug-15
MW + 50
General Purpose
UNS Electric Unsecured Notes
6.500%
50
Aug-08
Aug-15
MW + 50
General Purpose
UES TOTAL
$ 200
UniSource Stand-Alone
Sr. Unsec. Convertible Notes
4.500%
150
Mar-05
Mar-35
N/C 5
Unsecured
General Purpose
Term Loan / Revolver
LIBOR + 1.25%
65
Aug-06
Aug-11
Par
Unsecured
General Purpose
UNISOURCE STAND-ALONE TOTAL
$ 215
UNISOURCE CONSOLIDATED TOTAL
$1,319
UNS Gas / UNS Elec. Revolver
LIBOR + 1%
0
Aug-06
Aug-11
N/A
General Purpose
2008 Pima B
0.26%
130
Jun-08
Sep-29
N/C 5
Local T&D
UNS Electric Unsecured Notes
7.100%
50
Aug-08
Aug-23
MW + 50
General Purpose
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Tucson Electric Power
Capital Lease Summary
As of 9/30/09
($ in millions)
LEASE
LEASE DEBT
COUPON
EXPIRATION
LOAN
LEASES:
BALANCES
RATE(S)
DATE
PARTICIPANT(S)
Springerville Coal
$ 7
14.50%
4/5/2015
TEP
Handling Facilities
-
10.62%
$ 7
TEP Investment in Lease Debt Balance
$ 7
(includes premium)
Springerville
$ 65
LIBOR + 1.625%
12/31/2017
Union Bank of CA
(Admin. Agent)
Common
(refinanced in June 2006)
and
1/1/2021
Sundt
$ 11
7.25%
1/15/2011
IDA of Pima County
Unit 4
(Tax-Exempt)
(Public Debt)
Springerville
1/1/2015
Several
Unit 1
Series B
$ -
10.21%
Series C
166
10.73%
$166
TEP Investment in Lease Debt Balance
Series B
$ -
Series C
89
$ 89
(includes premium/discount)
PURCHASE OPTION
AT LEASE EXPIRATION
Fixed Price - $120 million
Fixed Price
2017 - $38 million
2021 - $68 million
Market Value
at Expiration
(Capped at $110 million)
Market Value
at Expiration
Total Lease Debt Outstanding
$ 248
Lease Debt Owned by TEP
(96)
Net Lease Debt Outstanding
$ 152
Lease Debt Summary
Total Lease Debt Outstanding
$ 248
Balance Sheet Reconciliation
Total Lease Equity Outstanding
278
Total Capital Lease Obligations
$ 526
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