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Exhibit 99.2
NYMAGIC, INC.
Moderator: Andrew Mielach
November 3, 2009
9:00 a.m. EST
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Operator:
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Good morning. Welcome to the NYMAGIC, INC. conference call to discuss third quarter
2009 financial results. |
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All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the
speakers remarks there will be a question and answer session. If you would like to
ask a question during this time, simply press star then the number one on your
telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, press the pound key. |
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Now I would like to turn the call over to Andrew Mielach of Tiberend Strategic
Advisors, Inc. |
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Andrew Mielach:
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Thank you TK and thank you everyone for joining us today. By now all of you should
have received a copy of the companys press release which was disseminated yesterday
after the close of the financial markets. If you have not received a copy, please
contact Tiberend Strategic Advisors at 212-827-0020 and a copy will be emailed to
you immediately. |
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With us today we have George Kallop, President and Chief Executive Officer, Tom
Iacopelli, Chief Financial Officer and Paul Hart, General Counsel. |
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Before we begin, we would like to remind everyone that any forward-looking
statements concerning the companys operations, economic performance, and financial
condition contained herein, including statements related to the outlook of the
companys performance in 2009 and beyond, are made under
the Safe Harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. |
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These statements are based upon a number of assumptions and estimates which
inherently are subject to uncertainties and contingencies, many of which are beyond
the control of the company. |
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Some of these assumptions may not materialize and unanticipated events may occur
which could cause actual results to differ materially from such statements. These
include but are not limited to the cyclical nature of the insurance and reinsurance
industry, premium rates, investment yields, estimation of loss reserves and loss
reserve development, net loss retention, and the affect of competition, the ability
to collect reinsurance receivables, the availability and cost of reinsurance,
changes in the ratings assigned to the company by rating agencies, and other
reinsurance uncertainties as included in the companys filings with the Securities
and Exchange Commission. |
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These risks could cause financial results of the 2009 year and beyond to differ
materially from those expressed in any forward looking statements made. The company
undertakes no obligation to update publicly or revise any forward-looking statements
made. |
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And now I would like to turn the call over to George Kallop, President and Chief
Executive Officer of NYMAGIC. |
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George Kallop:
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Thank you. Good morning everyone. This morning Id like to make some brief
comments on the third quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2009 and
afterwards we will be happy to take any questions you may have. |
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Overall I am very pleased to report that the company had a very profitable third
quarter and a very profitable first nine months of 2009 as well. |
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The company reported net income of $14.6 million, or $1.68 per fully diluted
share, for the three months ended September 30, 2009. For the nine months ended
September 30, 2009, the company reported net income of $32.3 million, or $3.74
per diluted share. |
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Book value per share calculated on a fully diluted basis increased from $19.11 at
December 31, 2008, to $23.85 at September 30, 2009. This was an increase of $4.74
per share, or 25%. We are very pleased with the returns provided to our
shareholders during this period. |
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Focusing on insurance operations, gross premiums written totaled $49.5 million and
net premiums written totaled $37.7 million during the third quarter of 2009,
compared with gross premiums written of $55.5 million and net premiums written of
$39.8 million during the third quarter of 2008. This represented decreases of 11%
and 5% respectively. |
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Gross premiums written totaled $167.4 million and net premiums written totaled
$126.0 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2009, compared with gross
premiums written of $174.7 million and net premiums written of $134.0 million
during the first nine months of 2008. This represented decreases of 4% and 6%
respectively. |
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Within the ocean marine segment, our decision to terminate a cargo program at the
end of 2007 caused reductions in each of gross and net premiums written totaling
$3.0 million and $7.9 million for the three months and nine months ended September
30, 2009. |
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Most other marine lines posted small decreases in gross premiums during the third
quarter. However, for the nine months ending September 30, Marine Liabilities
remains flat with last year and energy is up about 10% from last year. |
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Within Inland Marine/Fire, small premium increases were achieved in surety
accounts during the third quarter while other lines remained essentially flat.
For the nine months ended September 30, however, property accounts have
registered significant increases while surety and other lines recorded smaller
increases. |
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Within Other Liabilities, MMO Agencies contributed $7.8 million to gross premiums
through September and $3.1 million during the third quarter alone, compared with
$748,000 for the third quarter and first nine months of 2008. Professional
Liability was essentially flat during the third quarter, but it has posted a
significant increase over 2008 during the first nine months of 2009. |
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Excess workers compensation is down slightly from last year for the nine months
ending September 30, but it was up significantly during the third quarter. We
appear to be recovering some lost ground in this category. |
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Our contractors liability book and our commercial auto lines have shown
consistent weakness during the year. |
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Net premiums earned totaled $38.5 million during the third quarter of 2009
compared with $40.5 million during the third quarter of 2008. This was a
decrease of $2 million, or about 5%. |
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Net premiums earned totaled $117.7 million for the nine months ended September
30, 2009, compared with net premiums earned of $128.5 million during the first
nine months of 2008. This was a decrease of 8%. |
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Most of these decreases in net premiums earned occurred within the ocean marine
segment and a substantial portion of this was attributable to termination of the
cargo program referred to above. Inland Marine/Fire also decreased by a small
amount. On the other hand, other liabilities net premiums earned showed
increases during these periods. |
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The companys combined ratio was 102.1%for the three months ended September 30,
2009, as compared with 118.2%for the same period of 2008. The companys
combined ratio was 98.3% for the nine months ended September 30, 2009, as
compared with 115.6% for the same period of 2008. |
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Hurricanes Gustav and Ike contributed 17.7% and 5.7% to the third quarter and
nine months ended September 30, 2008 combined ratio respectively. In
addition, a settlement of certain disputed reinsurance receivables contributed
9.6% to the combined ratio for the nine months ended September 30, 2008. |
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Our expense ratio continues to reflect the cost of increased staffing and
computer system implementation expenditures as we position the company for
future growth. We are hopeful that increasing premium volumes in coming
quarters will enable us to bring the expense ratio down. And it is an area we
are focused on. |
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Favorable loss reserve development amounted to $3.9 million and $13.2 million
for the third quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2009. Favorable loss
development in 2009 occurred in each business segment, primarily as a result of
favorable loss reporting trends. |
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The companys loss ratio was a very favorable 51.5% for the third quarter of
2009 and 49.2% for the nine months ended September 30, 2009. This was partly
attributable to lower current accident year loss ratios in the ocean marine and
other liability lines and partly attributable to favorable loss development. |
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Turning to investment results, net investment income amounted to $14.6 million
for the third quarter of 2009 and $34.3 million for the nine months ended
September 30, 2009. |
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Investment income for the third quarter of 2009 included $11.3 million from
limited partnership hedge funds and $2.8 million from fixed maturity securities. |
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Investment income for the nine months of 2009 included $6.6 million from
investments categorized as trading securities, which primarily included tax
exempt securities and commercial loans. In addition, $20.5 million was
recorded as income from limited partnership hedge funds. Further, the company
earned $1.5 million on its mortgage-backed securities and $7.1 million from its
portfolio of other fixed maturity securities. |
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Net income for the third quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2009
included tax benefits of $2.7 million and $5.9 million, respectively, as the
result of a partial reversal of the companys deferred tax valuation allowance
previously provided for capital losses. This resulted from capital gains
achieved in the portfolio during the first nine months of 2009. The companys
remaining deferred tax evaluation allowance amounted to $11.6 million at
September 30, 2009. To the extent that the company achieves capital gains in
the future, the company may be able to reverse additional amounts of this
allowance in future periods. |
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In sum, investment returns during the third quarter and first nine months of
2009 were truly exceptional and contributed substantially to shareholder
returns. |
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At September 30, 2009, the companys total cash investments and net receivable
for securities sold amounted to $667.2 million compared with $572.4 million at
December 31, 2008. This was an increase of about $95 million that resulted from
increase in the value of the companys investments as well as favorable cash
flows from operations. |
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In conclusion, NYMAGIC had a very profitable third quarter and a very profitable
nine months of 2009. Book value for diluted shares increased 25% since the
beginning of the year. To be sure, insurance markets remain very challenging
but we are maintaining underwriting discipline as evidenced by our excellent
loss ratios. We also remained focused on increasing premium volume by
expanding our product offerings. |
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MMO Agencies, for example, is developing at a very nice pace, and we see the
potential for significant continuing growth in this segment. We also recently
launched a new commercial trucking program and a new program to write small
private aviation accounts. We also have plans for new product offerings for the
fourth quarter. |
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At the same time, our investment strategy has paid handsome dividends so far
this year, and we remain diligent in monitoring investment markets to seek out
the most attractive risk adjusted returns. |
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In sum, what a difference a year makes. I would now be pleased to answer any
questions you may have. |
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Operator:
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At this time I would like to remind everyone, in order to ask a question, press
star then the number one on your telephone keypad. Well pause for a moment to
compile the Q and A roster. |
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Your first question comes from the line of Amit Kumar with Fox-Pitt, Kelton. |
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George Kallop:
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Good morning, Amit. |
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Amit Kumar:
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Good morning, and congratulations on the strong results. |
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George Kallop:
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Thank you. |
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Amit Kumar:
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You talked about commercial trucking and private aviation. |
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George Kallop:
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Yes. |
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Amit Kumar:
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And you also talked about new product offerings. Can you expand a bit more on
that? In a generic sense, tell us how much we can expect that number to be in
terms of top line going forward. |
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George Kallop:
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Let me first start with MMO Agencies, because thats the biggest number. As I
commented earlier in the discussion, MMO Agencies did $3.1 million during the third
quarter. So clearly, you can think about what the annualized rate of that is. I
will also tell you, that based on results in October, it is running at a rate
significantly above that. So were very optimistic about the future of MMO
Agencies as a contributor to premium growth. |
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We have also been talking with Glen Yanoff, who heads that activity, about some new
product offerings through MMO Agencies which may accelerate that growth even
further. |
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As regards to the two recently launched programs, they are brand new. Its really
too early to talk a lot about them, except to say that the commercial trucking
program is west coast based and we think we have a great partner. With careful
risk selection criteria, we would like to think that its got the
potential to add $10 million or so in annual premium. We shall see. Its very early. |
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The private aviation program is southwestern based, low limits, a million dollars
for hull, a million dollars for liability. Obviously, you get great
diversification that way. Were going to feel our way and see how far that goes. |
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So we do have a number of things that have just been launched. We have a couple of
thoughts on other things that are being considered. I might also comment that we
seem to be picking up volume in the surety area and were looking for avenues to
further increase that. |
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The loss experience in our surety business is excellent so far, and if we can find
an opportunity to build additional premium in that book of business, I think that
would be a very good contributor to future profitability. |
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Amit Kumar:
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Thats very helpful. In terms of rates, can you go through some of your lines and
talk about the rates and the renewal book and also touch upon the terms and
conditions as to how they might have changed. |
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George Kallop:
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Talking about the ocean marine area, I think its probably fair to say on the
marine liability side the rates are kind of flat. There has been some competition
on terms of conditions, particularly focused on removal of wreck provisions, which
we are standing firm on, and limiting exposure in that respect. |
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Quite frankly, weve lost a little bit of volume on that basis, but again, were
focused on profitability, and I think in the end our judgments are going to hold
sway. Weve been in the marine liability business for a very long time, and I
think our underwriters clearly know a good risk from a questionable one. |
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Rates otherwise are generally flat to soft. Id characterize them as being zero to
negative 5%. And that probably characterizes most of the lines were dealing with. |
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So its a tough market out there but, as Ive said many times before, a lot of the
business we write, particularly the liability area, is smaller insurance, lower
limits, more customer loyalty and, quite frankly, I think thats helping us to
maintain our volumes across lines of business and particularly in the other
liability area. |
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The contractor business in New York is down significantly, as you might expect, but
were letting the business go rather than write business that we think is of
questionable profitability. |
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Amit Kumar:
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Thats helpful again. You talked about the competition. When you compare Q3 to
Q2, and in Q4, what are your thoughts on the current state of the market, and when
do you foresee the rate decreases start to reverse going forward? |
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George Kallop:
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Im not a predictor of the future. So, my answer to
that, is that we react to rates as they exist, and honestly I dont know where
rates are heading at this point. The optimist obviously says theyre going up.
The pessimist says flat to down. I dont know, but what I do know is that we are
competing effectively in the environment that we live in, and as evidenced by our
loss ratios were doing a very good job. Our underwriting staff is doing an
excellent job on the underwriting front. And, as you know were ready to give up
some volume to maintain profitability, and thats what were doing. Were also
looking at new product segments to get intoto build that volume. Thats really
the focus for the present and going forward. |
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Amit Kumar:
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Thats helpful. My final question is, in terms of the reserve releases, I think
you said that it was split amongst all the segments. |
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George Kallop:
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Yes. |
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Amit Kumar:
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Did you also mention the timeframe? I might have missed that. What accident years
did that come from? |
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George Kallop:
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Why dont I ask Tom Iacopelli to respond to that? |
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Tom Iacopelli:
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Amit, primarily
the reserve releases came from the 2004 to 2006 years. Were seeing some excellent
loss development from the ocean marine class which has the largest level of reserve
releases. On a year to date basis weve also seen some reserve releases in the
auto liability class, and then lastly, the aviation class has had some very
favorable results this year, both on a year to date basis and a quarterly basis.
The aviation results would be prior to 2001. |
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Amit Kumar:
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Thanks. |
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George Kallop:
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Thank you, Amit. |
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Operator:
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Again, at this time if you would like to ask a question, press star one on your
telephone keypad. At this time if you would like to ask a question, press star
one. |
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Your next question comes from the line of Dean Evans with KBW. |
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George Kallop:
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Good morning Dean. |
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Dean Evans:
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Hi guys. Congratulations on the good quarter. |
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George Kallop:
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Thank you. |
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Dean Evans:
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I was wondering if you could touch just briefly on expenses and when you think the
expense ratio will start to trend down a bit. |
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George Kallop:
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Clearly, expenses are an item of focus here. As I did comment, we have had some
start up expenses particularly with MMO Agencies, but we have also added staff in
other areas. I do think that in coming quarters certainly our expectation is that
MMO Agencies will be increasing premium volumes, and we would hope to increase
premium volumes elsewhere. I dont envision a significant increase in staffing. I
think its more along the lines of, OK weve got the resources in place; lets
watch them develop out the production that goes along with that. |
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So thats one item. The other item is the computer system implementation which is
taking longer and costs more than we anticipated. We are coming
toward the finish line on that. I do think, starting very soon, were going to
be throttling back on the expenses on that front. We dont expect to be fully
through that process until mid year next year, but I do think were going to
start to be able to throttle back on the expense side. And so Im looking
forward to moderating expenses, which in fact means expense reductions in that
category as opposed to flat expenses. |
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Those factors combined with our hope for growth in premium production and net
premiums earned, I think, and hope and expect that that will bring the expense
ratio down. |
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Dean Evans:
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So mid to late next year, you would expect to see some reductions there. |
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George Kallop:
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I think were going to see benefits before then. But in terms of the computer system, I dont expect were
going to be through that process until midyear next year at least. That doesnt mean theres going to be no
savings between now and then. We are coming towards the end of what Ill call the heavy lifting period. |
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Dean Evans:
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That was really my only question. |
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George Kallop:
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Thank you. |
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Operator:
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Your next question comes from Morris Propp with Propp Companies. |
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Morris Propp:
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Hi George. |
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George Kallop:
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Good morning Morris |
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Morris Propp:
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Thanks for the nice quarter. My question is for Tom. Could you just briefly describe how you account for
favorable loss reserve developments, where they gowhether they go through the income statement or they just
affect the equity? |
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Tom Iacopelli:
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Our process for evaluating loss reserves is quite detailed. We have an internal actuary, we have myself, we
have outside actuaries that look at our reserves, and that includes actual development through the nine months.
This would include paid development, incurred development. We look at it by class. Its
a very thorough review. All our lines and classes are vetted thoroughly. Any
reserve releases would go right through income and were very conservative in
terms of when to release reserves. If we see actual coming in at less than
expected, at that point, especially with the property line, well release
reserves. If its a casualty line, well think about the historical development
and make sure that this is real and then well release it. |
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Through nine months weve seen some very good development on the ocean marine
side. Each of our sub classes have performed very well, and particularly the
marine liability class. From the other liability standpoint, through the year
to date weve had favorable development. However, for the quarter, we had a
small amount of unfavorable development, and thats primarily because we saw
some larger than expected losses in our commercial auto and professional
liability lines. But, that was offset by favorable development in the casualty
and excess workers comp lines. |
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Aviation continues to be strong. Its been in run off since 2001, and we feel
that all in were adequately reserved. We also look at our older umbrella book,
which includes asbestos and environmental reserves. We keep track of that
quarterly. In the end the numbers appear to be reasonable. |
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Morris Propp:
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I was just asking an accounting question, whether or not it runs through the income statement. And youre
saying that it does run through the income statement. |
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Tom Iacopelli:
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Yes, it does. |
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George Kallop:
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It does. |
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Tom Iacopelli:
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Yes. |
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Morris Propp:
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Thats all I have. Thank you, guys. |
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George Kallop:
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Morris, thank you. |
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Operator:
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Your next question comes from Lance Gad with Lance Gad and Company. |
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George Kallop:
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Good morning. |
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Lance Gad:
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Yes, good morning. From the gentlemen that introduced you, it looked like we may have a new PR firm for
NYMAGIC. If thats the case, would you consider maintaining a list of people that wish to get emails and press
releases? |
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In the past I know its really hit or miss. You have to just get the press release or see it on the internet in
order to be advised of the call, and I know Ive missed calls in the past. I would recommend that maybe we keep
an email list to get the press release, which of course has the contact information for the conference call. |
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George Kallop:
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First of all, Lance, the firm that were using has a different name because the firm was run by a gentleman who
is since deceased. |
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Lance Gad:
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Oh, I see. |
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George Kallop:
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It is the same firm. Secondly, we are aware of your interest in an email list. Quite frankly, we are
continuing to think about that. As I think you know, we primarily rely on our website for making available
current information relating to the company. |
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As I believe Tom Iacopelli related to you, we have pretty much an established cycle as regards earnings
releases, which generally, for the quarters, is the first week of the second month following the end of the
quarter. So its not a hard date to keep track of. And, in terms of our annual earnings release, that
sometimes comes the third month following the end of the year essentially. Thats pretty much the cycle weve
got. We are very cognizant of treating all investors fairly, and quite frankly, our hesitation on developing a
particular list, was if we have a list for one, we really need to have a list for absolutely everybody, and I
think thats quite frankly quite burdensome. |
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I think the best solution is that well talk further and either Tom or myself will get back to you on your
particular inquiry. But, for now, our website is the source of information and many people that do have access
to internet communications do have a variety of mechanisms to alert them automatically
to when theres a news release coming out of NYMAGIC, and I would encourage you
to do that in the interim. |
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Lance Gad:
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OK, thank you. |
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George Kallop:
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Thank you. |
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Operator:
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Your next question is a follow up question from Amit Kumar
with Fox-Pitt Kelton. |
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Amit Kumar:
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Thanks. I just very quickly wanted to go back to your
comment on the excess workers comp. I think you said you
are recovering lost ground. Can you just expand on that? |
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George Kallop:
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What I meant by that was that, if you look at the year to
date on excess workers comp were down a little bit. If
you look at the third quarter we were up significantly
relative to the third quarter last year. So what I meant
was, that we seem to be gaining lost ground, recovering
from a deficiency, if you will. Now, where we end up at
the end of the year, who knows, but suffice it to say, on a
quarter to quarter basis, it was a pretty good quarter in
the third quarter in the excess workers comp area. |
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Ill also comment that our loss experience in the excess workers comp has been
very good. We picked some high loss picks going into this thing, but there is
this constant banter going back and forth between me and the actuaries. I keep
asking where the losses are, and they keep telling me theyre coming. So, Im
very encouraged generally about the production level and also about the health
of the overall book. |
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Amit Kumar:
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Thats all I have. Thanks, and once again, congratulations on the quarter. |
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George Kallop:
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Thank you. |
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Operator:
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Again, at this time if you would like to ask a question, press star one. There are no further questions at this
time. |
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George Kallop:
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I would like to thank all of you for joining the call this morning. Its been a good three months and a good
nine months of 2009 for NYMAGIC and were very pleased with the returns provided to our shareholders. |
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We touched on some of our views about our focus for the coming quarters and look forward to speaking with all of
you again after the end of the year. Thank you very much. |
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Operator:
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This concludes todays conference call. You may now disconnect your lines. |
END
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