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UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

FORM 10-Q


ý

QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

For the quarterly period ended September 30, 2004

OR

o

TRANSITION REPORTS PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

For the transition period from                             to                              

Commission file number 1-9627

ZENITH NATIONAL INSURANCE CORP.
[Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter]

Delaware
[State or other jurisdiction of
incorporation or organization]
  95-2702776
[I.R.S. Employer
Identification No.]

21255 Califa Street, Woodland Hills, California
[Address of principal executive offices]

 

91367-5021
[Zip Code]

(818) 713-1000
[Registrant's telephone number, including area code]

        Indicate by check mark whether the registrant [1] has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and [2] has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.    Yes ý    No o

        Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an accelerated filer (as defined in Rule 12-b-2 of the Exchange Act).    Yes ý    No o

        At October 21, 2004, there were 19,286,000 shares of Zenith National Insurance Corp. common stock outstanding, net of 7,139,000 shares of treasury stock.





Zenith National Insurance Corp. and Subsidiaries
Form 10-Q
For the Quarter Ended September 30, 2004

Table of Contents

 
  Page
Part I—Financial Information.    
 
Item 1. Financial Statements:

 

 
   
Consolidated Balance Sheets as of September 30, 2004 (Unaudited) and December 31, 2003

 

3
   
Consolidated Statements of Operations for the Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2004 and 2003 (Unaudited)

 

4
   
Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows for the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2004 and 2003 (Unaudited)

 

5
   
Consolidated Statements of Stockholders' Equity for the Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2004 and 2003 (Unaudited)

 

7
   
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited)

 

8
 
Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Consolidated Financial Condition and Results of Operations

 

20
 
Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk

 

38
 
Item 4. Controls and Procedures

 

39

Part II—Other Information

 

 
 
Item 6. Exhibits

 

40

2



PART l
FINANCIAL INFORMATION

Item 1. Financial Statements

ZENITH NATIONAL INSURANCE CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS

(Dollars and shares in thousands)

  September 30,
2004

  December 31,
2003

 
 
  (Unaudited)

   
 
Assets:              
Investments:              
  Fixed maturity investments:              
    At amortized cost (fair value $149,351 in 2004 and $124,778 in 2003)   $ 147,131   $ 122,966  
    At fair value (amortized cost $1,063,830 in 2004 and $930,876 in 2003)     1,083,769     956,584  
  Equity securities, at fair value (cost $49,795 in 2004 and $44,452 in 2003)     87,625     62,961  
  Mortgage loans (at unpaid principal balances)     16,107     39,123  
  Short-term investments (at cost or amortized cost, which approximates fair value)     393,846     285,760  
  Investment in Advent Capital (Holdings) PLC     30,412     25,188  
  Other investments     28,166     37,912  
   
 
 
      Total investments     1,787,056     1,530,494  
Cash     6,925     8,006  
Accrued investment income     14,816     13,119  
Premiums receivable, less bad debt allowance of $462 in 2004 and $578 in 2003     68,390     70,044  
Receivable from reinsurers and state trust funds for paid and unpaid losses and prepaid reinsurance premiums     308,257     269,530  
Deferred policy acquisition costs     16,186     11,922  
Deferred tax assets     34,672     28,022  
Goodwill     20,985     20,985  
Other assets     70,532     71,582  
   
 
 
Total assets   $ 2,327,819   $ 2,023,704  
   
 
 
Liabilities:              
Policy liabilities:              
  Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses   $ 1,424,860   $ 1,220,749  
  Unearned premiums     167,580     111,250  
Policyholders' dividends accrued     4,031     3,033  
Convertible senior notes payable, less unamortized issue costs of $4,108 in 2004 and $4,564 in 2003     120,887     120,436  
Redeemable securities, less unamortized issue costs of $1,051 in 2004 and $1,231 in 2003     57,949     65,769  
Current income tax payable     1,617     14,062  
Other liabilities     91,579     105,159  
   
 
 
      Total liabilities     1,868,503     1,640,458  
   
 
 
Commitments and contingencies (Note 7)              

Stockholders' equity:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
Preferred stock, $1 par, 1,000 shares authorized; none issued or outstanding in 2004 and 2003              
Common stock, $1 par, 50,000 shares authorized; issued 26,425 in 2004 and 25,928 in 2003, outstanding 19,286 in 2004 and 18,910 in 2003     26,425     25,928  
Additional paid-in capital     315,707     300,448  
Retained earnings     216,370     157,191  
Unearned compensation (Note 2)     (3,061 )      
Accumulated other comprehensive income     40,765     31,821  
   
 
 
      596,206     515,388  
Treasury stock, at cost (7,139 shares in 2004 and 7,018 shares in 2003)     (136,890 )   (132,142 )
   
 
 
      Total stockholders' equity     459,316     383,246  
   
 
 
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity   $ 2,327,819   $ 2,023,704  
   
 
 

The accompanying notes are an integral part of these financial statements.

3



ZENITH NATIONAL INSURANCE CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS
(UNAUDITED)

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,

  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

(Dollars in thousands, except per share data)

  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
Revenues:                        
Premiums earned   $ 239,716   $ 200,712   $ 696,346   $ 559,573
Net investment income     14,909     14,975     43,825     41,908
Realized gains on investments     6,690     2,712     12,362     14,635
   
 
 
 
    Total revenues     261,315     218,399     752,533     616,116

Expenses:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
Loss and loss adjustment expenses incurred     171,184     139,579     472,533     393,517
Policy acquisition costs     28,997     26,495     87,200     78,758
Underwriting and other operating expenses     26,070     24,081     77,140     66,331
Policyholders' dividends     1,152     768     3,653     1,693
Interest expense     3,295     3,452     9,762     8,898
   
 
 
 
    Total expenses     230,698     194,375     650,288     549,197
  Income from continuing operations before tax and equity in earnings of investee     30,617     24,024     102,245     66,919
Income tax expense     7,737     8,253     32,231     23,194
   
 
 
 
  Income from continuing operations after tax and before equity in earnings of investee     22,880     15,771     70,014     43,725
Equity in earnings of investee, net of income tax expense (Note 6)     1,234     329     4,000     2,475
   
 
 
 
  Income from continuing operations     24,114     16,100     74,014     46,200
Gain on sale of discontinued real estate segment, net of income tax expense of $692 (Note 8)     1,286           1,286      
   
 
 
 
    Net income   $ 25,400   $ 16,100   $ 75,300   $ 46,200
   
 
 
 

Net income per common share:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
Basic:                        
  Continuing operations   $ 1.25   $ 0.86   $ 3.87   $ 2.46
  Gain on sale of discontinued real estate segment     0.07           0.07      
   
 
 
 
    Net income   $ 1.32   $ 0.86   $ 3.94   $ 2.46
   
 
 
 
Diluted:                        
  Continuing operations   $ 1.04   $ 0.85   $ 3.19   $ 2.45
  Gain on sale of discontinued real estate segment     0.05           0.05      
   
 
 
 
    Net income   $ 1.09   $ 0.85   $ 3.24   $ 2.45
   
 
 
 
Disclosure regarding comprehensive income:                        
Net income   $ 25,400   $ 16,100   $ 75,300   $ 46,200
Net increase (decrease) in unrealized appreciation on investments     18,545     (9,479 )   8,809     10,320
Change in foreign currency translation adjustment     (128 )   66     135     835
   
 
 
 
Comprehensive income   $ 43,817   $ 6,687   $ 84,244   $ 57,355
   
 
 
 

The accompanying notes are an integral part of these financial statements.

4



ZENITH NATIONAL INSURANCE CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
(UNAUDITED)

 
  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 
(Dollars in thousands)

 
  2004
  2003
 
Cash flows from operating activities:              
  Premiums collected   $ 858,436   $ 663,051  
  Investment income received     46,366     40,169  
  Loss and loss adjustment expenses paid     (304,371 )   (277,890 )
  Underwriting and other operating expenses paid     (278,765 )   (216,998 )
  Interest paid     (12,869 )   (9,994 )
  Income taxes paid     (56,575 )   (18,909 )
   
 
 
      Net cash provided by operating activities     252,222     179,429  
   
 
 

Cash flows from investing activities:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
  Purchases of investments:              
    Fixed maturity securities held-to-maturity     (45,030 )   (54,270 )
    Fixed maturity securities available-for-sale     (908,199 )   (796,756 )
    Equity securities available-for-sale     (68,165 )   (46,288 )
    Other investments     (9,138 )   (21,551 )
  Proceeds from maturities and redemptions of investments:              
    Fixed maturity securities held-to-maturity     20,582     29,493  
    Fixed maturity securities available-for-sale     38,209     7,131  
    Other investments     40,375     8,992  
  Proceeds from sales of investments:              
    Fixed maturity securities available-for-sale     740,311     595,202  
    Equity securities available-for-sale     66,172     61,796  
    Other investments     4,604     2,511  
  Net increase in short-term investments     (107,945 )   (72,134 )
  Capital expenditures and other, net     (6,965 )   (8,043 )
   
 
 
      Net cash used in investing activities     (235,189 )   (293,917 )
   
 
 

Cash flows from financing activities:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
  Repurchase of redeemable securities     (7,600 )      
  Net proceeds from issuance of convertible senior notes           119,990  
  Cash advanced from bank lines of credit           46,500  
  Cash repaid on bank lines of credit           (46,500 )
  Cash dividends paid to common stockholders     (15,492 )   (14,081 )
  Proceeds from exercise of stock options     4,978     1,065  
   
 
 
      Net cash (used in) provided by financing activities     (18,114 )   106,974  
   
 
 
  Net decrease in cash     (1,081 )   (7,514 )
  Cash at beginning of period     8,006     17,452  
   
 
 
Cash at end of period   $ 6,925   $ 9,938  
   
 
 
     
(continued)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

5



ZENITH NATIONAL INSURANCE CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS (CONTINUED)
(UNAUDITED)

 
  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 
(Dollars in thousands)

 
  2004
  2003
 
Reconciliation of net income to net cash flows provided by operating activities:              
Net income   $ 75,300   $ 46,200  
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash flows provided by operating activities:              
  Net depreciation, amortization and accretion     10,498     6,582  
  Realized gains on investments     (12,362 )   (14,635 )
  Equity in earnings of investee     (4,000 )   (2,475 )
  Gain on sale of discontinued real estate segment     (1,286 )      
  (Increase) decrease in:              
    Accrued investment income     (1,697 )   (3,280 )
    Premiums receivable     (1,081 )   (5,570 )
    Receivable from reinsurers and state trust funds on paid and unpaid losses and prepaid reinsurance premiums     (40,121 )   (38,326 )
    Deferred policy acquisition costs     (4,264 )   (1,416 )
  Increase (decrease) in:              
    Unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses     204,111     149,554  
    Unearned premiums     56,330     28,628  
    Net federal income tax payable     (24,344 )   4,285  
    Accrued expenses     (4,856 )   7,396  
    Other     (6 )   2,486  
   
 
 
      Net cash provided by operating activities   $ 252,222   $ 179,429  
   
 
 

The accompanying notes are an integral part of these financial statements.

6



ZENITH NATIONAL INSURANCE CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY
(UNAUDITED)

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,

  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 
(Dollars in thousands)

 
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
Preferred stock, $1 par:                          
  Beginning of period     none     none     none     none  
   
 
 
 
 
    End of period     none     none     none     none  
   
 
 
 
 

Common stock, $1 par:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
  Beginning of period   $ 26,417   $ 25,804   $ 25,928   $ 25,786  
  Exercise of stock options     2     27     418     45  
  Restricted stock awards     6           79        
   
 
 
 
 
    End of period     26,425     25,831     26,425     25,831  
   
 
 
 
 

Additional paid-in capital:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
  Beginning of period     315,380     297,438     300,448     296,974  
  Exercise of stock options     43     622     9,308     1,021  
  Tax benefit on options exercised     12     45     2,414     80  
  Recognition of stock-based compensation on stock options     15     15     45     45  
  Conversion of convertible senior notes                 5        
  Restricted stock awards     257           3,487        
   
 
 
 
 
    End of period     315,707     298,120     315,707     298,120  
   
 
 
 
 

Retained earnings:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
  Beginning of period     196,353     129,727     157,191     109,008  
  Net income     25,400     16,100     75,300     46,200  
  Cash dividends declared to common stockholders     (5,383 )   (4,708 )   (16,121 )   (14,089 )
   
 
 
 
 
    End of period     216,370     141,119     216,370     141,119  
   
 
 
 
 

Unearned compensation (Note 2):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
  Beginning of period     (3,116 )                  
  Restricted stock awards     (257 )         (3,487 )      
  Amortization to compensation expense     312           426        
   
 
 
 
 
    End of period     (3,061 )         (3,061 )      
   
 
 
 
 

Accumulated other comprehensive income:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
  Beginning of period     22,348     37,966     31,821     17,398  
  Net change in unrealized appreciation on investments, net of deferred tax expense and reclassification adjustment     18,545     (9,479 )   8,809     10,320  
  Change in foreign currency translation adjustment, net of deferred tax expense     (128 )   66     135     835  
   
 
 
 
 
    End of period     40,765     28,553     40,765     28,553  
   
 
 
 
 

Treasury stock:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
  Beginning of period     (136,890 )   (132,142 )   (132,142 )   (132,142 )
  Acquisition of treasury shares                 (4,748 )      
   
 
 
 
 
    End of period     (136,890 )   (132,142 )   (136,890 )   (132,142 )
   
 
 
 
 
     
Total stockholders' equity

 

$

459,316

 

$

361,481

 

$

459,316

 

$

361,481

 
   
 
 
 
 

Cash dividends declared per common share:

 

$

0.28

 

$

0.25

 

$

0.84

 

$

0.75

 

The accompanying notes are an integral part of these financial statements.

7



ZENITH NATIONAL INSURANCE CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES
NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
(UNAUDITED)

Note 1. Basis of Presentation

        Zenith National Insurance Corp. ("Zenith National") is a holding company engaged, through its wholly-owned subsidiaries (primarily Zenith Insurance Company ("Zenith Insurance")), in the property and casualty insurance business. Unless otherwise indicated, all references to "Zenith," "we," "us," "our," the "Company" or similar terms refer to Zenith National together with its subsidiaries. The accompanying unaudited, consolidated financial statements of Zenith National and subsidiaries have been prepared in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America ("GAAP") for interim financial information and with the instructions to Form 10-Q and Article 10 of Regulation S-X of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. Accordingly, they do not include all of the information and notes required by GAAP for complete financial statements. In the opinion of management, all adjustments (consisting of normal, recurring adjustments) necessary for a fair statement of the financial position and results of operations of Zenith for the periods presented have been included. The results of operations for an interim period are not necessarily indicative of the results for an entire year. For further information, refer to the financial statements and notes thereto included in the Zenith National Insurance Corp. Annual Report on Form 10-K/A for the year ended December 31, 2003. Certain cash flow items in prior periods have been reclassified to conform to the 2004 presentation.

Note 2. Accounting for Employee Stock Options and Restricted Stock Awards

Employee Stock Options

        Effective in the fourth quarter of 2002, Zenith began to expense the cost of employee stock options using the fair value based method of recording stock options in accordance with Statement of Financial Accounting Standards ("SFAS") No. 123, "Accounting for Stock-Based Compensation" and accounted for the change in accounting principle using the prospective method in accordance with SFAS No. 148, "Accounting for Stock-Based Compensation—Transition and Disclosure." Under the prospective method, all employee stock option grants beginning with January 2002 are being expensed over the stock option vesting period based on the fair value at the date the options were granted. Prior to the fourth quarter of 2002, Zenith applied the provisions of Accounting Principles Board Opinion No. 25, "Accounting for Stock Issued to Employees" ("APB No. 25") in accounting for stock options issued prior to January 2002. Under the intrinsic value method of APB No. 25, Zenith was not required to recognize compensation expense for stock option grants.

Restricted Stock Awards

        Under a restricted stock plan approved by our stockholders in May 2004, key employees are awarded shares of Zenith National common stock with restricted ownership rights. Of the shares subject to the award, 50% vest two years from the grant date. The remaining 50% of the shares vest four years from the grant date.

        On May 26, 2004 and September 2, 2004, we granted 73,000 and 6,000 restricted stock awards, respectively, with a fair value per share of $45.25 and $43.75, respectively, based upon the closing price of Zenith National common stock on the grant date. In connection with these restricted stock awards, stockholders' equity was increased when we recorded $3.5 million of additional paid-in capital and reduced by $3.5 million of unearned compensation. The unearned compensation represents the fair value of the restricted stock awards on the grant date and is being amortized to compensation expense

8



over the vesting period of the awards. Compensation expense recognized in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2004 was $0.2 million and $0.3 million after tax, respectively. Any forfeitures of the awards will be accounted for as they occur.

Effect of Stock-Based Employee Compensation

        The following table sets forth the effect of all stock-based employee compensation included in net income and the pro forma effect of all stock-based employee compensation if the fair value of stock options accounted for under the intrinsic value method of APB No. 25 were included in net income for the periods presented:

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,

  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 
(Dollars in thousands, except per share data)

 
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
Net income as reported   $ 25,400   $ 16,100   $ 75,300   $ 46,200  
Stock-based employee compensation expense included in reported net income, net of income tax benefit(1)     230     10     385     30  
Total stock-based employee compensation expense determined under fair value method for all awards, net of income tax benefit     (257 )   (70 )   (498 )   (230 )
   
 
 
 
 
Pro forma net income   $ 25,373   $ 16,040   $ 75,187   $ 46,000  
   
 
 
 
 
Net income per share—basic:                          
  Net income per share as reported   $ 1.32   $ 0.86   $ 3.94   $ 2.46  
  Net income per share—pro forma     1.32     0.85     3.93     2.45  

Net income per share—diluted:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
  Net income per share as reported   $ 1.09   $ 0.85   $ 3.24   $ 2.45  
  Net income per share—pro forma     1.09     0.85     3.23     2.44  

(1)
Represents compensation expense on all restricted stock awards and on stock option awards granted after January 1, 2002.

9


Note 3. Earnings and Dividends Per Share

        The following table sets forth the computation of basic and diluted net income per common share:

 
   
  Three Months Ended
September 30,

  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

(Dollars and shares in thousands, except per share data)

  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
(A)   Income from continuing operations   $ 24,114   $ 16,100   $ 74,014   $ 46,200
(B)   Gain on sale of discontinued real estate segment     1,286           1,286      
       
 
 
 
(C)   Net income     25,400     16,100     75,300     46,200
       
 
 
 
(D)   Interest expense on the Convertible Notes, net of tax     1,268           3,800      
       
 
 
 
(E)   Weighted average outstanding shares during the period     19,207     18,798     19,133     18,781
    Common shares issuable under employee stock option plan using the treasury stock method     316     161     300     100
    Common shares issuable under employee restricted stock plan using the treasury stock method     7           3      
    Common shares issuable upon conversion of the Convertible Notes     5,000           5,000      
       
 
 
 
(F)   Weighted average number of common shares outstanding assuming exercise of stock options and, in 2004, vesting of restricted stock awards and conversion of Convertible Notes     24,530     18,959     24,436     18,881
       
 
 
 
    Net income per common share—                        
    Basic:                        
(A)/(E)       Continuing operations   $ 1.25   $ 0.86   $ 3.87   $ 2.46
(B)/(E)       Gain on sale of discontinued real estate segment     0.07           0.07      
       
 
 
 
(C)/(E)   Net income   $ 1.32   $ 0.86   $ 3.94   $ 2.46
       
 
 
 
    Diluted:                        
((A)+(D))/(F)       Continuing operations   $ 1.04   $ 0.85   $ 3.19   $ 2.45
(B)/(F)       Gain on sale of discontinued real estate segment     0.05           0.05      
       
 
 
 
((C)+(D))/(F)   Net income   $ 1.09   $ 0.85   $ 3.24   $ 2.45
       
 
 
 
    Cash dividends declared per common share   $ 0.28   $ 0.25   $ 0.84   $ 0.75
       
 
 
 

        Holders of our 5.75% Convertible Senior Notes due March 30, 2023 (the "Convertible Notes") had the right to convert their notes into Zenith National common stock, par value $1.00 per share, ("Zenith National common stock") during the first three quarters of 2004 because the contingent

10



conversion condition related to our stock price was met in the fourth quarter of 2003 and the first two quarters of 2004. Diluted average outstanding shares in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2004 include an additional 5.0 million shares relating to all Convertible Notes that could have been converted during the periods. After tax interest expense related to the Convertible Notes of $1.3 million and $3.8 million for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2004, respectively, was added back to net income in computing diluted net income per share.

        Diluted net income per share in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2003 is not comparable because the average shares outstanding for the periods do not include such additional shares. If the Convertible Notes had been convertible in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2003, an additional 5.0 million shares would have been included in the computation of diluted shares outstanding for each period, and diluted net income per share would have been $0.72 and $2.05, respectively. After tax interest expense of $1.3 million and $2.7 million would have been added back to net income in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2003, respectively, to compute pro forma diluted net income per share. These pro forma amounts represent non-GAAP information useful in analyzing our financial results and are not a substitute for GAAP measures.

Note 4. Income Tax

        In the third quarter of 2004, legislation was enacted in California to clarify the taxation of dividends received from insurance subsidiaries in the determination of taxable income for the California Franchise tax. As a result, we have reduced a provision for prior years taxes by $2.6 million in the third quarter of 2004 which reduced income tax expense in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2004.

Note 5. Outstanding Debt

        In March 2004, Zenith National repurchased $8.0 million aggregate liquidation amount of the outstanding 8.55% Capital Securities of Zenith National Insurance Capital Trust I, all of the voting securities of which are owned by Zenith National ("Redeemable Securities"), which resulted in a gain of $0.3 million before tax ($0.2 million after tax). The gain has been recorded as a reduction of interest expense in the first quarter of 2004. Zenith National used its available cash balances to fund these purchases.

        The aggregate maturities for all of Zenith's long-term borrowings for each of the five years after December 31, 2003 are as follows:

Maturing in: (Dollars in thousands)

  Redeemable
Securities

  Convertible
Notes

  Total
2004         $ 124,995   $ 124,995
2005                  
2006                  
2007                  
2008                  
Thereafter   $ 59,000           59,000
   
 
 
Total   $ 59,000   $ 124,995   $ 183,995
   
 
 

11


        In March 2004, $5,000 aggregate principal amount of Convertible Notes were converted into 200 shares of Zenith National common stock at the election of certain holders thereof.

        The maturity of the outstanding Convertible Notes is presented as being due in 2004 because the holders of our Convertible Notes have the right to convert their notes into our common stock during the fourth quarter of 2004 since the contingent conversion condition relative to our stock price was met as of the end of the third quarter of 2004. If any holder requires Zenith National to repurchase its Convertible Notes, Zenith National may choose to pay the repurchase price in cash or shares of its common stock or a combination of cash and shares of its common stock. Whether the notes will be convertible after December 31, 2004 will depend upon the occurrence of events specified in the indenture governing the Convertible Notes, including the sale price of our common stock. If the Convertible Notes are not converted or redeemed, their scheduled maturity is March 2023.

        In the third quarter of 2004, Zenith National renewed its $20.0 million one-year revolving line of credit with a bank. This line of credit expires on August 1, 2005. Interest is payable at the bank's prime rate on any borrowing under the line, and the agreement does not subject Zenith to any financial covenants. No amount was outstanding at September 30, 2004 on any of our bank lines of credit and we currently do not anticipate the need to draw on our available lines of credit because Zenith National's current cash and available invested assets are sufficient for any foreseeable requirements at this time.

Note 6. Segment Information

        Our business is comprised of the following segments: investments; workers' compensation; reinsurance; and parent. Our real estate segment was discontinued in 2002. Income from operations of the investments segment includes investment income and realized gains and losses on investments and we do not allocate investment income to the results of our workers' compensation and reinsurance segments. Income (loss) from operations of the workers' compensation and reinsurance segments is determined solely by deducting net losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred and underwriting and other operating expenses incurred from net premiums earned. The combined ratio is the sum of net incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses and underwriting and other operating expenses expressed as a percentage of net premiums earned. Loss from operations of the parent segment includes interest

12



expense and the general operating expenses of Zenith National. Segment information is set forth below:

(Dollars in thousands)

  Workers'
Compensation

  Reinsurance
  Real
Estate(1)

  Investments
  Parent
  Total
 
Three Months Ended September 30, 2004                                      
Revenues:                                      
Premiums earned   $ 227,728   $ 11,988                     $ 239,716  
Net investment income                     $ 14,909           14,909  
Realized gains on investments                       6,690           6,690  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Total revenues     227,728     11,988           21,599           261,315  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
Interest expense                           $ (3,295 )   (3,295 )
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
Income (loss) from continuing operations before tax and equity in earnings of investee     29,504     (15,776 )         21,599     (4,710 )   30,617  
Income tax expense (benefit)(2)     10,608     (5,521 )         7,050     (4,400 )   7,737  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
Income (loss) from continuing operations after tax and before equity in earnings of investee     18,896     (10,255 )         14,549     (310 )   22,880  
Equity in earnings of investee, net of tax expense of $664                       1,234           1,234  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
Income (loss) from continuing operations     18,896     (10,255 )         15,783     (310 )   24,114  
Gain on sale of discontinued real estate segment, net of tax expense of $692               $ 1,286                 1,286  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Net income (loss)   $ 18,896   $ (10,255 ) $ 1,286   $ 15,783   $ (310 ) $ 25,400  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
Combined ratios     87.0 %   231.6 %                        
   
 
 
 
 
 
 

(1)
Discontinued in 2002.

(2)
Parent segment includes $2.6 million in reduced income tax expense for a reduction of an estimated tax liability for prior years.

13


(Dollars in thousands)

  Workers'
Compensation

  Reinsurance
  Real
Estate(1)

  Investments
  Parent
  Total
 
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2004                                      
Revenues:                                      
Premiums earned   $ 662,160   $ 34,186                     $ 696,346  
Net investment income                     $ 43,825           43,825  
Realized gains on investments                       12,362           12,362  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Total revenues     662,160     34,186           56,187           752,533  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
Interest expense                           $ (9,762 )   (9,762 )
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
Income (loss) from continuing operations before tax and equity in earnings of investee     71,442     (11,284 )         56,187     (14,100 )   102,245  
Income tax expense (benefit)(2)     25,735     (3,949 )         18,132     (7,687 )   32,231  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
Income (loss) from continuing operations after tax and before equity in earnings of investee     45,707     (7,335 )         38,055     (6,413 )   70,014  
Equity in earnings of investee, net of tax expense of $2,154                       4,000           4,000  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
Income (loss) from continuing operations     45,707     (7,335 )         42,055     (6,413 )   74,014  
Gain on sale of discontinued real estate segment, net of tax expense of $692               $ 1,286                 1,286  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Net income (loss)   $ 45,707   $ (7,335 ) $ 1,286   $ 42,055   $ (6,413 ) $ 75,300  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
Combined ratios     89.2 %   133.0 %                        
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
As of September 30, 2004                                      
Total assets   $ 497,429   $ 32,675         $ 1,786,847   $ 10,868   $ 2,327,819  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 

Three Months Ended September 30, 2003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
Revenues:                                      
Premiums earned   $ 185,203   $ 15,509                     $ 200,712  
Net investment income                     $ 14,975           14,975  
Realized gains on investments                       2,712           2,712  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Total revenues     185,203     15,509           17,687           218,399  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
Interest expense                           $ (3,452 )   (3,452 )
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
Income (loss) before tax and equity in earnings of investee     8,350     2,546           17,687     (4,559 )   24,024  
Income tax expense (benefit)     3,142     891           5,814     (1,594 )   8,253  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
Income (loss) after tax and before equity in earnings of investee     5,208     1,655           11,873     (2,965 )   15,771  
Equity in earnings of investee, net of tax expense of $176                       329           329  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Net income (loss)   $ 5,208   $ 1,655         $ 12,202   $ (2,965 ) $ 16,100  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
Combined ratios     95.5 %   83.6 %                        
   
 
 
 
 
 
 

(1)
Discontinued in 2002.

(2)
Parent segment includes $2.6 million in reduced income tax expense for a reduction of an estimated tax liability for prior years.

14


(Dollars in thousands)

  Workers'
Compensation

  Reinsurance
  Real
Estate(1)

  Investments
  Parent
  Total
 
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2003                                    
Revenues:                                    
Premiums earned   $ 512,089   $ 47,484                   $ 559,573  
Net investment income                   $ 41,908           41,908  
Realized gains on investments                     14,635           14,635  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Total revenues     512,089     47,484         56,543           616,116  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
Interest expense                         $ (8,898 )   (8,898 )
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
Income (loss) before tax and equity in earnings of investee     16,386     6,934         56,543     (12,944 )   66,919  
Income tax expense (benefit)     6,564     2,427         18,733     (4,530 )   23,194  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
Income (loss) after tax and before equity in earnings of investee     9,822     4,507         37,810     (8,414 )   43,725  
Equity in earnings of investee, net of tax expense of $1,332                     2,475           2,475  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Net income (loss)   $ 9,822   $ 4,507       $ 40,285   $ (8,414 ) $ 46,200  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
Combined ratios     96.8 %   85.4 %                      
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
As of September 30, 2003                                    
Total assets   $ 480,826   $ 36,082       $ 1,442,500   $ 1,463   $ 1,960,871  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 

(1)
Discontinued in 2002.

15


        The following table is a reconciliation of our segment results to our consolidated statements of operations:

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,

  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 
(Dollars in thousands)

 
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
  Net investment income   $ 14,909   $ 14,975   $ 43,825   $ 41,908  
  Realized gains on investments     6,690     2,712     12,362     14,635  
   
 
 
 
 
Income from investment segment     21,599     17,687     56,187     56,543  
Income (loss) before tax of:                          
  Workers' compensation segment     29,504     8,350     71,442     16,386  
  Reinsurance segment     (15,776 )   2,546     (11,284 )   6,934  
  Parent segment     (4,710 )   (4,559 )   (14,100 )   (12,944 )
   
 
 
 
 
Income from continuing operations before tax and equity in earnings of investee     30,617     24,024     102,245     66,919  
Income tax expense     7,737     8,253     32,231     23,194  
   
 
 
 
 
Income from continuing operations after tax and before equity in earnings of investee     22,880     15,771     70,014     43,725  
Equity in earnings of investee, net of tax expense     1,234     329     4,000     2,475  
   
 
 
 
 
Income from continuing operations     24,114     16,100     74,014     46,200  
Gain on sale of discontinued real estate segment, net of tax expense     1,286           1,286        
   
 
 
 
 
Net income   $ 25,400   $ 16,100   $ 75,300   $ 46,200  
   
 
 
 
 

Note 7. Contingencies

Contingencies Surrounding Reinsurance Receivable from Reliance Insurance Company

        At September 30, 2004 and December 31, 2003, Reliance Insurance Company ("Reliance") owed Zenith Insurance $6.0 million of reinsurance recoverable on paid and unpaid losses in connection with the reinsurance arrangements assumed by Zenith Insurance in its 1996 acquisition of the Associated General Commerce Self-Insurers' Trust Fund.

        In January 2001, Reliance was subject to a Supervision Order by the Pennsylvania Department of Insurance. This is not the same as insolvency. Based on the published 1999 financial statements for Reliance, which showed considerable net worth, we had no reason to conclude that we had an impairment of our reinsurance recoverable at the time of the Supervision Order. On May 29, 2001, the Pennsylvania Department of Insurance issued an Order of Rehabilitation for Reliance. Rehabilitation raises the possibility of compromise with Reliance's creditors. Therefore, we disclosed a contingency in the second quarter of 2001 related to possible impairment of our receivable from Reliance. With no information with which to estimate our impairment (no financial statements were filed by Reliance for 2000), we concluded that we could not determine the outcome of the contingency at that time. On October 3, 2001, the Commonwealth Court of Pennsylvania approved an Order of Liquidation for Reliance, which was experiencing cash flow problems caused by slow reinsurance recoveries. At that

16



time, an estimated balance sheet of Reliance was made available as of December 31, 2000, from which we estimated that we could expect to recover no more than 50% of our receivable. This established a range of outcomes for the amount impaired between $3.0 million and $6.0 million (i.e., we expect to recover an amount between 50% and nothing). We have no information with which to establish an estimate within that range as better than any other and, therefore, we recorded an impairment provision of $3.0 million for our receivable from Reliance. We recorded the provision in the third quarter of 2001, the period for which the information became available to estimate the impairment provision. The impairment provision was $3.0 million at September 30, 2004 and December 31, 2003. The eventual outcome of this matter will be determined by the ultimate amount of Reliance's liabilities and whether or not Reliance has sufficient assets or can obtain recoveries and investment income in an amount sufficient to pay its liabilities. We will revise our impairment provision, if necessary, upon receipt of relevant information.

Contingencies Surrounding State Guarantee Fund Assessments

        State guarantee funds ("Guarantee Funds") exist to ensure that policyholders (holders of direct insurance policies but not of reinsurance policies) receive payment of their claims if insurance companies become insolvent. The Guarantee Funds are funded primarily by statutorily prescribed assessments they bill to other insurance companies doing business in their states. Various mechanisms exist in some of these states for assessed insurance companies to recover these assessments. Upon the insolvency of an insurance company, the Guarantee Funds become primarily liable for the payment of the insolvent company's liabilities to policyholders. The declaration of an insolvency establishes the presumption that assessments by the Guarantee Funds are probable. Zenith writes workers' compensation insurance in many states in which unpaid workers' compensation liabilities are the responsibility of the Guarantee Funds and has received, and expects to continue to receive, Guarantee Fund assessments, some of which may be based on certain of the premiums it has already earned at September 30, 2004.

        Zenith recorded an estimate of $6.7 million (net of expected recoveries of $2.4 million recoverable before the end of 2004) for its expected liability at September 30, 2004 for Guarantee Fund assessments. Recoveries are attributable to premium tax credits in various states. The amount of the recovery we have recorded is limited to credits applicable to, and recoverable from, premiums earned at September 30, 2004. The estimated expense for Guarantee Fund assessments was $1.4 million and $3.9 million in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2004, respectively, compared to $1.2 million and $3.7 million in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2003, respectively. Our estimated liability is based on currently available information and could change based on additional information or reinterpretation of existing information concerning the actions of the Guarantee Funds. Zenith expects that it will continue to accrue and receive Guarantee Fund assessments; and the ultimate impact of such assessments will depend upon the amount and timing of the assessments and of any recoveries to which Zenith is entitled.

Contingencies Surrounding Recoverability of Special Disability Trust Fund Receivable

        The Florida Special Disability Trust Fund ("SDTF") is a fund established to reimburse insurance companies and employers for the cost of certain workers' compensation claims. The SDTF was established to promote the re-hiring of injured workers by providing a reimbursement for certain

17



qualifying claims made by a previously injured worker subsequent to their re-hiring. These claims are sometimes referred to as "second injuries." We are able to submit such second injury claims to the SDTF and, if the claims are accepted, we are reimbursed for part of the cost of the claim. The SDTF stopped accepting new second injury claims dated after January 1, 1998. Approximately 550 of our Florida claims have been accepted, for which we have recorded a recoverable of $4.5 million, net of amounts due to reinsurers, at September 30, 2004. We bill the SDTF and receive reimbursements as we make payments on accepted claims. The SDTF is funded by assessing a fee of 4.52% of premiums written in Florida, and we accrue the assessment as a liability when we write Florida business. If the legislature in Florida were to decide to cease or suspend the assessment, and thereby the funding of the SDTF, any recoverable that we may have at that time which is related to un-reimbursed claims might be at risk. However, we have no current information to indicate that the SDTF assessment in Florida will not continue. We continue to collect recoveries for second injury claims from the SDTF and although the SDTF is currently about 42 to 48 months behind schedule in reimbursing claims, we expect to fully recover the remaining amount receivable.

Litigation

        Zenith National and its subsidiaries are defendants in various litigation. In the opinion of management, after consultation with legal counsel, such litigation is either without merit or the ultimate liability, if any, is not expected to have a material adverse effect on the consolidated financial condition, results of operations or cash flows of Zenith.

Note 8. Discontinued Operations—Gain on Sale of Real Estate Segment

        On October 8, 2002, Zenith closed the sale of its home-building business and related real estate assets in Las Vegas, Nevada to Meritage Corporation ("Meritage"). The business had been operated by Zenith National's indirect wholly-owned subsidiary, Zenith of Nevada, Inc. (formerly, Perma-Bilt, a Nevada corporation ("Perma-Bilt")). In the transaction, Meritage, through its wholly-owned subsidiary, MTH-Homes Nevada, Inc. ("MTH Nevada"), acquired substantially all of Perma-Bilt's assets, subject to the related liabilities, pursuant to a Master Transaction Agreement, dated as of October 7, 2002, and related asset and real property acquisition agreements (the "Agreement"). Zenith received gross proceeds of $65.0 million in connection with the sale, including $28.4 million in repayment of intercompany loans to Zenith National from Perma-Bilt, and recorded a gain on the sale in the fourth quarter of 2002 of $6.3 million after tax.

        In addition to the consideration received in October 2002, the Agreement entitles Zenith to receive 10% of MTH Nevada's pre-tax net income, subject to certain adjustments, for each of the twelve-month periods ending September 30, 2003, September 30, 2004 and September 30, 2005. We recorded additional gains on this sale of $2.0 million before tax ($1.3 million after tax) and $1.8 million before tax ($1.2 million after tax) in the third quarter of 2004 and fourth quarter of 2003, respectively. These gains represent our share of MTH Nevada's profits for the twelve months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003, respectively, under the earn-out provisions of the sale. We expect to receive an additional payment in 2005, but we are unable to estimate the amount.

18



Note 9. Non-Cash Financing Activities

        In March 2004, a Zenith employee exercised his option to purchase from Zenith National 201,000 shares of Zenith National common stock at the exercise price of $23.63 per share, resulting in an aggregate exercise price of $4.7 million. In lieu of cash payment, 121,015 shares of Zenith National common stock valued at $4.7 million previously acquired by the employee were tendered to, and accepted by, Zenith in payment of the aggregate exercise price.

        The exercise of the stock options had no net effect on consolidated stockholders' equity because the increase in treasury stock of $4.7 million for the shares tendered was offset by an increase in common stock of $0.2 million and an increase in additional paid-in capital of $4.5 million for the 201,000 shares issued.

Note 10. Sale of Zenith National Common Stock by Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited

        In June 2004, at the request of Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited, a Toronto-based financial services holding company ("Fairfax"), Zenith National filed a registration statement with the Securities and Exchange Commission relating to the sale of up to 3.5 million shares of its common stock by certain subsidiaries of Fairfax. Under this registration statement, on July 30, 2004, Fairfax and its subsidiaries sold 3.1 million shares of Zenith National common stock. Prior to the sale, Fairfax and its subsidiaries owned approximately 7.8 million shares, or 41% of the total outstanding shares of Zenith National common stock (not including shares issuable upon conversion of the Convertible Notes held by such companies). After the sale, Fairfax and its subsidiaries owned 4.7 million shares, or 24% of the total outstanding shares of Zenith National common stock (not including the shares issuable upon conversion of the Convertible Notes held by such companies). Zenith National did not sell any shares in the offering. In addition, in connection with the offering, Fairfax and certain of its subsidiaries entered into agreements with the underwriters associated with the sale to prohibit Fairfax and its subsidiaries from directly or indirectly transferring any of their shares of Zenith National common stock, other than pursuant to the offering, for a period ending on January 23, 2005.

Note 11. Recently Issued Accounting Pronouncement

        In September 2004, the Emerging Issues Task Force reached consensus on Issue No. 04-08, "The Effect of Contingently Convertible Debt on Diluted Earnings per Share" ("EITF 04-08"). The guidance requires companies to include shares issuable under convertible debt in diluted earnings per share computations (if dilutive) regardless of whether the market price trigger (or other contingent feature) has been met. EITF 04-08 is effective for reporting periods ending after December 15, 2004. We will adopt EITF 04-08 as of December 31, 2004. The initial adoption of EITF 04-08 will not have an impact on the way we report 2004 results of operations of the Company because our calculation of diluted earnings per share already includes shares issuable under our Convertible Notes (see Note 3). We will restate the 2003 diluted earnings per share amounts presented for comparative purposes.

19


Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Consolidated Financial Condition and
Results of Operations

        Zenith National Insurance Corp. ("Zenith National") is a holding company engaged, through its wholly-owned subsidiaries (primarily Zenith Insurance Company ("Zenith Insurance")), in the property and casualty insurance business. Unless otherwise indicated, all references to "Zenith," "we," "us," "our," the "Company" or similar terms refer to Zenith National together with its subsidiaries.

        The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 provides a safe harbor for forward-looking statements if accompanied by meaningful cautionary statements identifying important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those discussed. Forward-looking statements include those related to the plans and objectives of management for future operations, future economic performance, or projections of revenues, income, earnings per share, capital expenditures, dividends, capital structure, or other financial items. Statements containing words such as expect, anticipate, believe, estimate, or similar words that are used in this Management's Discussion and Analysis of Consolidated Financial Condition and Results of Operations ("MD&A"), in other parts of this report or in other written or oral information conveyed by or on behalf of Zenith, are intended to identify forward-looking statements. The Company undertakes no obligation to update such forward-looking statements, which are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected. These risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, the following: (1) competition; (2) adverse state and federal legislation and regulation; (3) changes in interest rates causing fluctuations of investment income and fair values of investments; (4) changes in the frequency and severity of claims and catastrophes; (5) adequacy of loss reserves; (6) changing environment for controlling medical, legal and rehabilitation costs, as well as fraud and abuse; (7) losses associated with any terrorist attacks that impact our workers' compensation business in excess of our reinsurance protection; and (8) other risks detailed herein and from time to time in Zenith's other reports and filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Overview

        A summary of the recent performance of our business and our expectations about the trends was included under the "Overview" section of "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Consolidated Financial Condition and Results of Operations" in our Annual Report on Form 10-K/A for the year ended December 31, 2003. Following is an update:

1)
Revenues. Our workers' compensation premium revenues continued to increase in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2004. Although we reduced our workers' compensation rates in California for new and renewal policies effective July 1, 2004, earned premiums on new policies in the quarter had a greater impact than the decrease in premiums attributable to the reduction in rates on renewal policies and the impact of policies that did not renew with us.

2)
Income (Loss) of Workers' Compensation and Reinsurance Segments. We derive the majority of our earnings from our investment portfolio and the results of operations of our workers' compensation and reinsurance segments. Whereas the investment portfolio produces a relatively stable source of earnings, the results of our workers' compensation segment are more variable in the long run, and losses from catastrophes can cause significant fluctuations in the results of our reinsurance segment at any time.

(a)
Workers' Compensation. Income from our workers' compensation segment in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2004 continued to show improvement compared to the corresponding periods in 2003. We continue to focus on achieving a favorable combined ratio in our workers' compensation segment, particularly in view of the very low level of interest rates.

20


3)
Loss Reserves. In the third quarter of 2004, our California workers' compensation paid loss data showed some preliminary signs of a favorable change in the inflation trend. We review loss reserve estimates in the aggregate and by accident year every quarter and, as of September 30, 2004, our aggregate loss reserve estimates continued to be adequate but we revised the allocation of our workers' compensation loss reserves by accident year to reflect our current view of inflation trends. Loss reserve estimates in our reinsurance segment related to estimates of the impact of the recent hurricanes are subject to the uncertainty of estimating the impact of such an unusual series of events.

4)
Investment Segment. We increased our investment portfolio by about $257 million in the nine months ended September 30, 2004 as a result of favorable cash flow from operations. We expect favorable cash flow to continue. In view of the uncertainty of the outlook for interest rates, we are continuing to take a cautious approach in our investment portfolio by maintaining substantial amounts of short-term investments. Realized gains on investments in the third quarter of 2004 include $3.1 million ($2.1 million after tax) from our participation in a real estate joint venture.

5)
Stockholders' Equity. We continued to build our stockholders' equity, which increased from $20.27 per share at December 31, 2003 to $23.82 per share at September 30, 2004.

Results of Operations

Summary Results by Segment

        Our business is comprised of the following segments: investments; workers' compensation; reinsurance; and parent. Our real estate segment was discontinued in 2002. Income from operations of the investments segment includes investment income and realized gains and losses on investments and we do not allocate investment income to the results of our workers' compensation and reinsurance segments. Income (loss) from operations of the workers' compensation and reinsurance segments is determined solely by deducting net losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred and underwriting and other operating expenses incurred from net premiums earned. Loss from operations of the parent segment includes interest expense and the general operating expenses of Zenith National. The

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comparative results of operations by segment for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003 were as follows:

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,

  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 
(Dollars in thousands)

 
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
  Net investment income   $ 14,909   $ 14,975   $ 43,825   $ 41,908  
  Realized gains on investments     6,690     2,712     12,362     14,635  
   
 
 
 
 
Income from investment segment     21,599     17,687     56,187     56,543  
Income (loss) before tax of                          
  Workers' compensation segment     29,504     8,350     71,442     16,386  
  Reinsurance segment     (15,776 )   2,546     (11,284 )   6,934  
  Parent segment     (4,710 )   (4,559 )   (14,100 )   (12,944 )
   
 
 
 
 
Income from continuing operations before tax and equity in earnings of investee     30,617     24,024     102,245     66,919  
Income tax expense     7,737     8,253     32,231     23,194  
   
 
 
 
 
Income from continuing operations after tax and before equity in earnings of investee     22,880     15,771     70,014     43,725  
Equity in earnings of investee, net of tax expense     1,234     329     4,000     2,475  
   
 
 
 
 
Income from continuing operations     24,114     16,100     74,014     46,200  
Gain on sale of discontinued real estate segment, net of tax expense     1,286           1,286        
   
 
 
 
 
Net income   $ 25,400   $ 16,100   $ 75,300   $ 46,200  
   
 
 
 
 

        The key operating goal for our insurance business is to achieve a combined ratio of 100% or lower. The combined ratio is the sum of net incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses and underwriting and other operating expenses expressed as a percentage of net premiums earned. Results

22



of operations and the combined ratios of the workers' compensation and reinsurance segments for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003 are set forth in the table that follows.

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,

  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 
(Dollars in thousands)

 
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
Net premiums earned:                          
  Workers' compensation:                          
    California   $ 157,181   $ 120,272   $ 456,172   $ 322,614  
    Outside California     70,547     64,931     205,988     189,475  
   
 
 
 
 
  Total workers' compensation     227,728     185,203     662,160     512,089  
  Reinsurance     11,988     15,509     34,186     47,484  
   
 
 
 
 
    Total   $ 239,716   $ 200,712   $ 696,346   $ 559,573  
   
 
 
 
 

Income (loss) before tax from operations of:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
  Workers' compensation   $ 29,504   $ 8,350   $ 71,442   $ 16,386  
  Reinsurance     (15,776 )   2,546     (11,284 )   6,934  
   
 
 
 
 

Combined loss and expense ratios:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
  Workers' compensation:                          
    Loss and loss adjustment expense     63.9 %   70.1 %   65.8 %   70.6 %
    Underwriting and other operating expense     23.1 %   25.4 %   23.4 %   26.2 %
   
 
 
 
 
  Combined ratio     87.0 %   95.5 %   89.2 %   96.8 %
   
 
 
 
 
 
Reinsurance:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
    Loss and loss adjustment expense     214.1 %   63.3 %   107.9 %   66.9 %
    Underwriting and other operating expense     17.5 %   20.3 %   25.1 %   18.5 %
   
 
 
 
 
  Combined ratio     231.6 %   83.6 %   133.0 %   85.4 %
   
 
 
 
 

Workers' Compensation Segment

        Rising costs in recent years have necessitated significant rate increases, particularly in California. Overall rate increases in 2003 were 35%, including 46% in California. However, effective for new and renewal polices on January 1, 2004, we left our California rates unchanged. On July 1, 2004, we reduced our California rates by 10% for new and renewal policies effective July 1, 2004 after a second round of reform legislation (discussed below under "California Workers' Compensation Reform Legislation") was enacted in California. Our workers' compensation net premiums earned increased in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2004 compared to the corresponding periods in 2003 because of the carryover effect of rate increases implemented during 2003 and because of new policies written in 2004.

        Income from operations and the combined ratio of our workers' compensation segment improved in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2004 compared to the corresponding periods in 2003 as recent rate increases have exceeded the estimated increases in loss costs leading to a lower loss ratio and lower expense ratio in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2004 compared to the comparable periods in 2003.

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        Premiums and number of policies in-force in California and outside of California were as follows:

 
  California
  Outside of California
(Dollars in millions)

  Premiums
in-force

  Policies
in-force

  Premiums
in-force

  Policies
in-force

September 30, 2004   $ 702.3   26,700   $ 304.1   15,900
December 31, 2003     587.9   25,900     277.8   15,600
September 30, 2003     532.0   25,400     283.6   15,900
December 31, 2002     350.2   22,600     259.2   16,900

        Although we have increased our workers' compensation premiums significantly in 2004 and 2003, we believe that the increases in premiums in-force are substantially higher than the increases in underlying exposure to covered employees at risk of injury. We also believe that payroll is our best indicator of exposure. We estimate that the underlying payroll associated with our policies in-force increased by smaller percentages than the increases in premiums during the same periods as follows:

 
  Annual Increase in Insured Payroll
Policies in-force at September 30,

  California Only
  Total Company
2004       21%       16%
2003       10             8    

        Net premiums earned in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2004 are net of $25.1 million and $72.8 million, respectively, of ceded premiums earned under a 10% quota share ceded reinsurance agreement with Odyssey America Reinsurance Corporation, a subsidiary of Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited ("Fairfax"), a Toronto-based financial services holding company. Net premiums earned in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2003 are net of $20.4 million and $56.4 million, respectively, of the ceded premiums in connection with that agreement. This quota share agreement will end on December 31, 2004.

California Workers' Compensation Reform Legislation

        In California, workers' compensation reform legislation was enacted in April 2004. This legislation is in addition to the reform legislation enacted in September 2003. The principal purpose of these recent legislative changes to the California workers' compensation system was to lower the trend of increasing costs and improve the fairness of the system. Some of the provisions of the legislation of April 2004 are as follows:

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        We believe that a measured and gradualistic response is appropriate to estimating the future impact of the California workers' compensation legislation because there is considerable uncertainty as to how some of the provisions will impact the behavior of the various participants in the California workers' compensation system and because some of the provisions do not become effective until January 1, 2005. Although we expect that, when fully implemented, the legislation should result in a lower trend of cost increases than we had experienced prior to the legislation, we cannot currently estimate the amount or the timing of the effects of such legislation.

        As provided for by legislation enacted in California in 2002, changes in indemnity benefits will increase total costs by 2.8% effective January 1, 2005 (and by 2.7% on January 1, 2006). After we have obtained further data about our loss cost trends though the fourth quarter of 2004, we will make a decision about what changes, if any, are appropriate for our California premium rates.

Reinsurance Segment

        Income or loss from operations and the combined ratio of the reinsurance segment fluctuate significantly depending upon the incidence or absence of large catastrophe losses. The results of the reinsurance segment for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2004 include catastrophe losses net of related reinstatement premiums from Hurricanes Charley, Frances, Ivan and Jeanne of $18.5 million, or $12.0 million after tax ($0.49 per diluted share). There were no catastrophe losses in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2003. Other than the catastrophe losses, the results of the reinsurance segment were comparable between the periods presented.

        Estimating catastrophe losses in the reinsurance business is highly dependent upon the nature and timing of the event and Zenith's ability to obtain timely and accurate information with which to estimate its liability to pay losses. Estimates of the impact of catastrophes on the reinsurance segment

25



are based on the information that is currently available and such estimates could change based on new information that becomes available or based upon any reinterpretation of existing information. A further discussion regarding the uncertainty surrounding catastrophe loss reserve estimates follows under "Loss Reserves."

Parent Segment

        Loss from operations of the parent segment before tax for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003 were as follows:

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,

  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 
(Dollars in thousands)

 
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
Interest expense   $ (3,295 ) $ (3,452 ) $ (9,762 ) $ (8,898 )
Parent expenses     (1,415 )   (1,107 )   (4,338 )   (4,046 )
   
 
 
 
 
Loss from operations   $ (4,710 ) $ (4,559 ) $ (14,100 ) $ (12,944 )
   
 
 
 
 

        Interest expense in the nine months ended September 30, 2004 was higher than in the comparable period in 2003 because of the interest on our Convertible Notes, which were issued at the end of the first quarter of 2003. Interest on the Convertible Notes is added back to net income in the computation of diluted earnings per share (see Note 3 to the Consolidated Financial Statements).

Income Taxes

        In the third quarter of 2004, legislation was enacted in California to clarify the taxation of dividends received from insurance subsidiaries in the determination of taxable income for the California Franchise tax. As a result, we have reduced a provision for prior years taxes by $2.6 million in the third quarter of 2004 which reduced income tax expense in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2004.

Equity Investee—Advent Capital

        We account for our proportionate share of Advent Capital (Holdings) PLC's ("Advent Capital") results of operations on a one quarter lag. Advent Capital also participates in assumed reinsurance for catastrophe losses and, accordingly, our share of their net income, which we will record in the fourth quarter of 2004, will reflect losses from Hurricanes Charley, Frances, Ivan and Jeanne. We are currently unable to estimate the amount of any such impact, but we expect that our equity share of Advent Capital's results will be a loss in the fourth quarter of 2004.

Discontinued Real Estate Segment

        On October 8, 2002, Zenith closed the sale of its home-building business and related real estate assets in Las Vegas, Nevada to Meritage Corporation ("Meritage"). The business had been operated by Zenith National's indirect wholly-owned subsidiary, Zenith of Nevada, Inc. (formerly, Perma-Bilt, a Nevada corporation ("Perma-Bilt")). In the transaction, Meritage, through its wholly-owned subsidiary, MTH-Homes Nevada, Inc. ("MTH Nevada"), acquired substantially all of Perma-Bilt's assets, subject to the related liabilities, pursuant to a Master Transaction Agreement, dated as of October 7, 2002, and related asset and real property acquisition agreements (the "Agreement").

        Zenith received gross proceeds of $65.0 million in connection with the sale, including $28.4 million in repayment of intercompany loans to Zenith National from Perma-Bilt, and recorded a gain on the sale in the fourth quarter of 2002 of $6.3 million after tax.

26



        In addition to the consideration received in October 2002, the Agreement entitles Zenith to receive 10% of MTH Nevada's pre-tax net income, subject to certain adjustments, for each of the twelve-month periods ending September 30, 2003, September 30, 2004 and September 30, 2005. We recorded additional gains on this sale of $2.0 million before tax ($1.3 million after tax) and $1.8 million before tax ($1.2 million after tax) in the third quarter of 2004 and fourth quarter of 2003, respectively. These gains represent our share of MTH Nevada's profits for the twelve months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003, respectively, under the earn-out provisions of the sale. We expect to receive an additional payment in 2005, but we are unable to estimate the amount.

Loss Reserves

        At September 30, 2004 and December 31, 2003, our estimated liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses ("loss reserves") were as follows:

(Dollars in millions)

  September 30, 2004
  December 31, 2003
Workers' compensation:            
  Unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses   $ 1,289   $ 1,086
  Receivable from reinsurers and state trust funds for unpaid losses     266     230
   
 
Unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance   $ 1,023   $ 856
   
 
Reinsurance:            
  Unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses   $ 136   $ 135
  Receivable from reinsurers for unpaid losses        
   
 
Unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance   $ 136   $ 135
   
 
Total:            
  Unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses   $ 1,425   $ 1,221
  Receivable from reinsurers and state trust funds for unpaid losses     266     230
   
 
Unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance   $ 1,159   $ 991
   
 

        The estimate of the amount for claims arising from accidents or events which have not yet been reported is commonly known in the industry as "incurred but not reported" or "IBNR". IBNR, net of reinsurance, which was included in the net reserves at September 30, 2004 and December 31, 2003, was as follows:

(Dollars in millions)

  September 30,
2004

  December 31,
2003

Workers' compensation   $ 219.1   $ 143.2
Reinsurance     59.0     46.3
   
 
    $ 278.1   $ 189.5
   
 

        We establish loss reserves in our financial statements that represent an estimate of amounts needed to pay and administer claims with respect to insured and reinsured events that have occurred, including events that have not yet been reported to us. Loss reserves are estimates and are inherently uncertain; they do not and cannot represent an exact measure of liability. Accordingly, our loss reserves may prove to be inadequate to cover our actual losses or they may prove to exceed the ultimate amount of our actual losses. At the end of every quarter, we perform a comprehensive review of our loss reserves and any changes in loss reserve estimates are reflected in our results of operations during the period in which the changes are made. Adverse development of previously estimated loss reserves results in a charge to our earnings and favorable development results in an increase in our earnings.

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        Our actuaries produce a point estimate using the results of various methods of estimation. However, these various methods do not produce separate point estimates. The point estimate is prepared as follows: Our actuaries prepare reserve estimates based upon paid loss patterns, incurred loss patterns and claim count methods for all accident years. The actuarial point estimate is based on a selection of the results of these various methods depending upon both the age of the accident year and the geographic state of the injury. For more mature accident years, all of the methods produce very similar loss estimates and our actuarial point selections are based upon incurred methods. For the more recent accident years, our actuarial estimate is based on both the paid loss patterns and assumed rates of inflation. Since the number of claims is relatively certain, the inflation assumption is the key assumption in establishing loss reserve estimates for these years. Management establishes loss reserve estimates in the financial statements that provide for substantial rates of inflation and at September 30, 2004 the loss reserves, net of reinsurance ceded, recorded in the financial statements were $1,159 million compared to the actuarial point estimate of loss reserves, of $1,149 million. We believe that this difference is not significant in the context of the amounts being estimated, because the difference is less than the difference that a change of 1% in the assumed inflation rate would produce.

Workers' Compensation Loss Reserves

        The principal uncertainty in our workers' compensation loss reserve estimates at this time is caused by the trend of increasing severity or inflation. Severity is the average cost of a claim, which has increased consistently over recent years. We have observed this continuing inflationary trend in the amounts we have already paid for claims in recent accident years, and we have assumed that our estimate of the ultimate cost of these claims, and, therefore, our loss reserve estimates, must reflect substantial rates of inflation. Considerable judgment is required in estimating losses for recent accident years because the ultimate amount we will have to pay will not be known for many years.

        When we estimate our loss reserves, one important way we look at information is by accident year. This allows us to look at the year over year change in claim severity, or inflation—our most important assumption in establishing adequate loss reserve estimates. By making assumptions about the annual rate of inflation, we produce an estimate for total loss reserves and an allocation of the loss reserve estimate by accident year. Any changes in our assumptions about inflation rates will cause a change in our loss reserve estimates, although our view of the adequacy of the total loss reserve estimate may be unchanged if the effect of the change in the inflation assumptions has the effect of reallocating the loss reserve estimate among accident years.

        At September 30, 2004, the accident year paid loss inflation rates in our paid loss data and the assumptions of accident year inflation rates in our estimates of ultimate losses were as follows:

 
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
  Assumed Inflation in Selected Ultimate Loss Estimate
 
 
  Average Paid Loss per Claim Annual
Inflation Evaluated After
(number of months)

 
Accident year

  September 30, 2004
 
  9
  21
  33
  45
  57
  69
  81
 
1998   18 % 8 % 10 % 9 % 9 % 11 % 12 % 13 %
1999   13   16   14   14   15   15       16  
2000   (4 ) 9   11   13   13           15  
2001   19   16   16   15               18  
2002   2   2   3                   6  
2003   12   3                       17  
2004   (8 )                         13  

        We expect that California workers' compensation reform legislation that was enacted in September 2003 and April 2004 will cause the trend of cost increases in California to change and trend lower in the long-run. Quantifying the impact of the legislation is subject to considerable uncertainty

28



due to many factors, among which are the role of government in operating the system and its efforts to fight fraud; the relative insensitivity of the California system to cost reductions; the experimental nature of many of the reforms; the fact that some of the reforms may increase operating costs or loss costs; the fact that several key reforms will not become effective until January 1, 2005; the long learning curve which will be necessary by all participants in the system to implement the changes; and the risk and cost of litigation.

        The data in the third quarter of 2004 for accident years 2002 through 2004 suggest that inflation rates for these accident years may be lower than we have experienced in the preceding accident years and lower than we have previously estimated. Therefore, at the end of the third quarter of 2004 we were more comfortable with lower inflation assumptions than we have used to estimate loss reserves in prior quarters this year for accident years 2003 and 2004, but we will continue to monitor the data and update our assumptions accordingly.

        Our inflation assumptions at September 30, 2004 resulted in a reallocation of loss reserve estimates by accident year primarily from 2004 and 2003 to older accident years prior to 1998. The net increase in loss reserves during the nine months ended September 30, 2004 for accident years 2003 and prior was approximately $20 million, or 2% of estimated workers' compensation reserves at December 31, 2003.

        Different assumptions about the inflation rates would change our workers' compensation loss reserve estimates. If the average annual inflation rates for each of the accident years 2001 through 2004 were increased or decreased by 1 percentage point in each year, our loss reserve estimates at September 30, 2004 would increase or decrease by about $34 million.

        In the first two quarters of 2003, we observed an approximate 2% increase in the paid loss inflation rates for the 2000 and 2001 accident years. In the nine month ended September 30, 2003, we increased our estimate of workers' compensation losses during the first two quarters of 2003 for principally the 2000 and 2001 accident years by about $14 million, or approximately 2% of estimated workers' compensation reserves at December 31, 2002.

Reinsurance Loss Reserves

        Loss reserve estimates in our reinsurance segment are subject to uncertainties that are inherent to the reinsurance business. As a reinsurer, we are further removed from original loss events than we would be as a primary insurer. Therefore, we are subject to longer reporting lags. We are also subject to the estimates that the companies we reinsure make before they determine when, if and how much to report to us. When we are estimating losses for catastrophes, our estimates are highly dependent upon the nature and timing of the event and our ability to obtain timely and accurate information with which to estimate our liability. Therefore, our loss reserve estimates may be subject to a higher risk of development when we report our results of operations after a large catastrophe loss has occurred.

        In the third quarter of 2004, there were four hurricanes (Charley, Frances, Ivan and Jeanne) that impacted the Southeastern United States of America and certain parts of the Caribbean. At this time there is considerable uncertainty regarding the amount of monetary loss that will be borne by reinsurance companies as a result of these hurricanes. Among the uncertainties surrounding these events, is the determination of which event may have caused particular losses in areas that were impacted by more than one of the hurricanes, given the unusually short period of time in which these events occurred.

        We have estimated our losses from these hurricanes by examining each of our reinsurance contracts and estimating the potential impact from each event. We have arrived at our estimate of the impact using reported losses and estimated losses provided by the companies we reinsure and by estimating the probable losses on other contracts that we expect to be impacted, based on published

29



estimates of the losses for each event. Estimates of the impact of these hurricanes are based on the information that is currently available and such estimates could change based on any new information that becomes available or based upon any reinterpretation of existing information.

Investment Segment

        The investment portfolio increased in the nine months ended September 30, 2004 principally as a result of favorable cash flow from the workers' compensation segment.

        The increase in investment income in the nine months ended September 30, 2004 compared to the corresponding period in 2003 was the result of the increase in our investment portfolio. The average yields on the investment portfolio in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003 were as follows:

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,

  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 
 
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
Before tax(1)   3.6 % 4.4 % 3.7 % 4.4 %
After tax   2.4 % 2.9 % 2.4 % 2.9 %

(1)
Reflects the pre-tax equivalent yield on tax-exempt securities.

        At September 30, 2004, our investment portfolio was comprised of 69% fixed maturity securities, 22% short-term investments, 5% equity securities and 4% other investments including mortgage loans and our investment in Advent Capital. At December 31, 2003, our investment portfolio was comprised of 71% fixed maturity securities, 19% short-term investments, 4% equity securities and 6% other investments including mortgage loans and our investment in Advent Capital. Fixed maturity securities include primarily corporate debt, U.S. Government securities, municipal bonds and mortgage-backed securities issued by the Government National Mortgage Association ("GNMA"). Of the fixed maturity portfolio, including short-term investments, 97% were rated investment grade at September 30, 2004 and at December 31, 2003. The average maturity of the fixed maturity portfolio, excluding short-term investments, was 6.5 years and 7.3 years at September 30, 2004 and December 31, 2003, respectively.

        Certain securities, amounting to 91% of the investments in fixed maturity securities and short-term investments at September 30, 2004 and December 31, 2003 are identified as available-for-sale. Stockholders' equity will fluctuate with changes in the fair values of available-for-sale securities. Stockholders' equity decreased by $3.8 million after deferred tax from December 31, 2003 to September 30, 2004 as a result of changes in the fair values of such fixed maturity investments.

        The unrealized net gain on held-to-maturity and available-for-sale fixed maturity investments were as follows:

 
   
  Available-for-Sale
(Dollars in thousands)

  Held-to-Maturity
Before Tax

  Before Tax
  After Tax
September 30, 2004   $ 2,220   $ 19,939   12,960
December 31, 2003     1,812     25,708   16,710

        Realized gains on investments in the third quarter of 2004 include $3.1 million from our participation in a real estate joint venture.

        We monitor our portfolio continuously and actively manage our investments to preserve principal values whenever possible. However, when, in the opinion of management, a decline in the fair value of an investment is considered to be other-than-temporary, such investment is written-down to its fair value as a charge to earnings in the form of a reduction of realized gains on investments. The

30



determination of other-than-temporary includes, in addition to other relevant factors, a presumption that if the market value is below cost by a significant amount for a period of time, a write-down is necessary. The amount of any write-downs is determined by the difference between cost, or amortized cost, of the investment and its fair value at the time the other-than-temporary decline was identified.

        For the three and nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003, write-downs reduced realized gains on investments as follows:

 
  Three Months Ended
September 30,

  Nine Months Ended
September 30,

(Dollars in thousands)

  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
Write-downs   $ 0   $ 213   $ 68   $ 2,828

        The write-down in 2004 was attributable to the impairment of an equity security with a cost basis of $0.1 million before the write-down. The write-downs in 2003 were principally attributable to the impairment of two limited partnership investments.

        We continuously assess the prospects for individual securities as part of ongoing portfolio management, including the identification of other-than-temporary declines in fair values. This process includes reviewing the amount and length of time of unrealized losses on investments, historical and projected company financial performance, company-specific news and other developments, the outlook for industry sectors, credit ratings and macro-economic changes, including government policy initiatives. We believe that we have appropriately identified other-than-temporary declines in fair value in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003, and that our remaining unrealized losses are not other-than-temporary. We base this conclusion on our current knowledge of the issuers of these securities and our presumption that an unrealized loss of a significant amount for a specific period of time is other-than-temporary. We have consistently applied this presumption for twelve years. We also have the ability and intent to hold securities with unrealized losses for a sufficient amount of time for them to recover their values or reach maturity.

        Future earnings would be negatively impacted by any future write-downs of securities associated with other-than-temporary declines of their fair values. Investments that we currently own could be subject to default by the issuer or could suffer declines in value that become other-than-temporary. Set

31



forth below is information about unrealized gains and losses in our investment portfolio at September 30, 2004:

 
  Securities with
 
(Dollars in thousands)

  Unrealized
Losses

  Unrealized
Gains

 
Fixed maturity securities:              
  Fair value   $ 424,318   $ 808,802  
  Amortized cost     429,270     781,691  
  Unrealized (loss) gain     (4,952 )   27,111  
  Fair value as a percentage of amortized cost     98.8 %   103.5 %
  Number of security positions held     62     227  
  Number individually exceeding $0.5 million (loss) gain     1     6  
 
Concentration of unrealized (losses) or gains by type or industry:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
    Municipal bonds   $ (1,375 ) $ 1,362  
    U.S. Treasury     (1,129 )   257  
    Insurance     (736 )   6,594  
    Machinery & equipment     (706 )   1,193  
    Other     (1,006 )   17,705  
   
 
 
    Total   $ (4,952 ) $ 27,111  
   
 
 

Fixed maturity securities:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
  Investment grade:              
    Fair value   $ 403,345   $ 775,419  
    Amortized cost     407,239     749,299  
    Fair value as a percentage of amortized cost     99.0 %   103.5 %
  Non-investment grade:              
    Fair value   $ 20,973   $ 33,383  
    Amortized cost     22,031     32,392  
    Fair value as a percentage of amortized cost     95.2 %   103.1 %

Equity securities:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
    Fair value   $ 19,598   $ 68,027  
    Cost     21,744     28,051  
    Unrealized (loss) gain     (2,146 )   39,976  
    Fair value as a percentage of cost     90.1 %   242.5 %
    Number of security positions held     11     19  
    Number individually exceeding $0.5 million (loss) gain     1     1  

        At September 30, 2004, $38.7 million of the unrealized gain on equity securities is attributable to an investment in 1.0 million shares of common stock of Wynn Resorts, Limited with a cost basis of $13.0 million.

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        The table that follows sets forth the maturities of fixed maturity securities at September 30, 2004, based on their fair values:

 
  Securities with
(Dollars in thousands)

  Unrealized
losses

  Unrealized
gains

Maturity categories:            
1 year or less   $ 21,181   $ 31,152
After 1 year through 5 years     206,714     352,664
After 5 years through 10 years     144,867     299,223
After 10 years     51,556     125,763
   
 
    $ 424,318   $ 808,802
   
 

        The table below sets forth information about fixed maturity securities and equity securities with unrealized losses at September 30, 2004:

(Dollars in thousands)

  Fair value
  Unrealized
loss

  Fair value as a
percentage of
cost basis

 
Fixed maturity securities with unrealized losses:                  
Exceeding $0.1 million at September 30, 2004 and for:                  
  Less than 3 months (2 issues)   $ 75,117   $ (284 ) 99.6 %
  3-6 months (3 issues)     127,981     (1,698 ) 98.7  
  6-12 months (5 issues)     22,861     (836 ) 96.5  
  Greater than 12 months (5 issues)     23,151     (915 ) 96.2  
Less than $0.1 million at September 30, 2004 (47 issues):     175,208     (1,219 ) 99.3  
   
 
 
 
    $ 424,318   $ (4,952 ) 98.8 %
   
 
 
 
Equity securities with unrealized losses:                  
Exceeding $0.1 million at September 30, 2004 and for:                  
  Less than 3 months (3 issues)   $ 5,456   $ (748 ) 87.9 %
  3-6 months (2 issues)     4,290     (483 ) 89.9  
  6-12 months (2 issues)     2,087     (667 ) 75.8  
Less than $0.1 million at September 30, 2004 (4 issues):     7,765     (248 ) 96.9  
   
 
 
 
    $ 19,598   $ (2,146 ) 90.1 %
   
 
 
 

33


        The following is a summary of securities sold at a loss in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2004:

(Dollars in thousands)

  Three Months Ended
September 30, 2004

  Nine Months Ended
September 30, 2004

 
Fixed maturity securities:              
  Realized losses on sales   $ (1 ) $ (2,145 )
  Fair value at the date of sale     1,231     203,545  
  Number of securities sold     2     15  
  Losses realized on securities with an unrealized loss preceding the sale for:              
    Less than 3 months         $ (1,458 )
    6-12 months           (686 )
    Greater than 12 months   $ (1 )   (1 )

Equity securities:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
  Realized losses on sales   $ (354 ) $ (969 )
  Fair value at the date of sale     3,369     16,194  
  Number of securities sold     5     18  
  Losses realized on securities with an unrealized loss preceding the sale for:              
    Less than 3 months   $ (162 ) $ (777 )
    3-6 months     (192 )   (192 )

        At the time we sold these investments, we had the ability to hold them for a sufficient time for them to recover their values and the sales were not related to any liquidity needs. However, our intent to hold them changed because we changed our conclusion about the outlook for the performance of the issuer or its industry. In some cases, we may have decided that our overall exposure to a particular issue or type of security or concentration within an industry should be reduced as part of ongoing portfolio management and asset allocation. At September 30, 2004, those securities which we are holding in our portfolio with an unrealized loss were compatible with our current view of appropriate asset allocation and issuer prospects. Any future changes in those assumptions could result in sales at a loss or write-downs of securities.

        In July 2003, Zenith Insurance extended a $15.0 million loan, bearing an interest rate of 12% and maturing on June 30, 2005, to a real estate limited liability company that is developing approximately 590 acres of land located in Santa Barbara County, California. Under the loan agreement, we are entitled to 20% of certain of the development company's net profits on any sale of the land. In October 2004, the development company entered into an agreement with a third party to sell the approximately 590 acres of land at a profit. The sale is expected to close in December 2004. If the transaction closes, we expect the loan to be repaid in full and to receive our share (estimated at approximately $2 million to $3 million before tax) of the development company's net profits on the sale in the fourth quarter of 2004.

Terrorism Exposure and the Terrorism Risk Insurance Act of 2002

        Under our workers' compensation policies, we are required to provide workers' compensation benefits for losses arising from acts of terrorism. The impact of any terrorist act is unpredictable, and the ultimate impact on us will depend upon the nature, extent, location and timing of such an act. Any such impact on us could be material.

        Our excess of loss reinsurance provides protection for domestic acts of terrorism (excluding nuclear, biological and chemical attacks for losses in excess of $10.0 million). We have purchased additional reinsurance for foreign acts of terrorism in the amount of $9.0 million in excess of a

34



retention of $1.0 million for 2004. In addition, for 2004, we have purchased reinsurance for foreign acts of terrorism, excluding nuclear, biological and chemical attacks, up to losses of $68.0 million in excess of $10.0 million, except that we have retained $10.0 million, or 50%, of any aggregate losses between $20.0 million and $40.0 million.

        In November 2002, the Terrorism Risk Insurance Act of 2002 (the "Act") became effective and is effective for the period from November 26, 2002 until December 31, 2005. The Act may also provide us with reinsurance protection under certain circumstances and subject to certain limitations. The Secretary of the Treasury must certify an act for it to constitute an act of terrorism. The definition of terrorism excludes domestic acts of terrorism or acts of terrorism committed in the course of a war declared by Congress. Losses arising from an act of terrorism must exceed $5.0 million to qualify for reimbursement. If an event is certified, the Federal Government will reimburse losses not to exceed $100.0 billion in any year. Each insurance company is responsible for a deductible based on a percentage of direct earned premiums in the previous calendar year. For losses in excess of the deductible, the Federal Government will reimburse 90% of the insurer's loss, up to the insurer's proportionate share of the $100.0 billion.

        The Act contemplates that affiliated insurers will be treated collectively as one entity by the U.S. Treasury Department for purposes of calculating direct earned premiums and, therefore, an insurer's deductible. As of June 30, 2004, companies controlled by Fairfax owned approximately 41% of our outstanding common stock (not including shares issuable upon conversion of Convertible Notes held by such companies). Fairfax has disclaimed any control of Zenith and has granted to a trustee a proxy to vote all of the shares of our common stock held by Fairfax and its subsidiaries in proportion to the voting of all other Zenith National stockholders. In January 2004, we received a final determination from the Treasury Department in which it determined that the direct earned premiums for U.S. exposures of the insurers controlled by Fairfax (the "Fairfax direct earned premiums") are required to be combined with our direct earned premiums for purposes of calculating our deductible under the Act. Including the Fairfax direct earned premiums with ours, our deductible for 2004 is approximately $251 million. As a result of the sale of 3.1 million shares of Zenith National common stock by subsidiaries of Fairfax during the third quarter of 2004, Fairfax owns less than 25% of our outstanding common stock at September 30, 2004 (not including shares issuable upon conversion of the Convertible Notes held by affiliates of Fairfax). We have sought a determination from the U.S. Treasury Department as to whether the Fairfax direct earned premiums will continue to be required to be combined with our direct earned premiums for purposes of calculating our deductible under the Act. If the Treasury Department determines that the Fairfax direct earned premiums no longer are required to be combined with our direct earned premiums, then our deductible in 2004 would be approximately $82 million.

        Notwithstanding the protection provided by the reinsurance we have purchased and any protection provided by the Act, the risk of severe losses to Zenith from acts of terrorism has not been eliminated because events may not be covered by, or may exceed the capacity of, our reinsurance protection. Accordingly, any acts of terrorism could materially adversely affect our business and financial condition.

Liquidity and Capital Resources

        Zenith's insurance subsidiaries generally create liquidity because insurance premiums are collected prior to disbursements for claims which may take place many years after the collection of premiums. Collected premiums may be invested, prior to their use in such disbursements, and investment income provides additional cash receipts. In periods in which disbursements for claims and benefits, current policy acquisition costs and current operating and other expenses exceed operating cash receipts, cash flow is negative. Such negative cash flow is offset by cash flow from investments, principally from short-term investments and maturities of longer-term investments. The exact timing of the payment of claims and benefits cannot be predicted with certainty. The insurance subsidiaries maintain portfolios of

35



invested assets with varying maturities and a substantial amount of short-term investments to provide adequate cash for the payment of claims. At September 30, 2004 and December 31, 2003, cash and short-term investments in the insurance subsidiaries amounted to $390.5 million and $275.6 million, respectively.

        Zenith National requires cash to pay any dividends declared to its stockholders, make interest and principal payments on its outstanding debt obligations, fund its operating expenses, and, from time to time, to make capital contributions to Zenith Insurance. Such cash requirements are generally funded in the long-run by dividends received from Zenith Insurance and financing or refinancing activities by Zenith National. Cash, short-term investments and other investments in Zenith National were $42.4 million and $72.4 million at September 30, 2004 and December 31, 2003, respectively. Zenith National's available invested assets and other sources of liquidity are currently expected to be sufficient to meet its requirements for liquidity in the short-term and long-term.

        In March 2004, Zenith National paid $7.6 million to repurchase $8.0 million aggregate liquidation amount of the outstanding Redeemable Securities. Zenith National used its available cash balances to fund these purchases.

        Zenith's Convertible Notes are convertible at each holder's option into shares of Zenith National common stock, par value $1.00 per share ("Zenith National common stock"), under certain circumstances including if the price of Zenith National common stock reaches specified thresholds. The conversion rate of 40 shares (subject to adjustment) for each $1,000 principal amount of the Convertible Notes is equivalent to an initial conversion price of $25.00 per share of Zenith common stock. The Convertible Notes were convertible during the first, second and third quarters of 2004; and $5,000 aggregate principal amount was converted into 200 shares of Zenith National common stock in March 2004. The sale price of Zenith common stock exceeded the conversion price of $25.00 per share at September 30, 2004 by 120% for 20 of the last 30 trading days of the third quarter of 2004. As a result of this event, each holder of the Convertible Notes will have the right to convert their Convertible Notes into Zenith National common stock at a conversion rate of 40 shares per $1,000 principal amount of Convertible Notes during the period beginning on October 1, 2004 and ending on December 31, 2004. The maximum number of shares that could be required to be issued upon conversion of all outstanding Convertible Notes is 5.0 million. Whether the Convertible Notes will be convertible after December 31, 2004 will depend upon the occurrence of the events specified in the indenture governing the Convertible Notes, including the sale price of Zenith National common stock.

        Since January 1, 2002, we have ceded 10% of our premiums for workers' compensation policies effective on or after January 1, 2002 under a quota share reinsurance agreement with Odyssey America Reinsurance Corporation. Quota share reinsurance allows the ceding company (Zenith Insurance) to increase the amount of business it writes while sharing the premiums and associated risks with the assuming company (Odyssey America Reinsurance Corporation). The effect of the quota share reinsurance is similar to providing capital to Zenith Insurance. Other sources of capital for Zenith Insurance are the earnings generated from its insurance and investment operations and, from time to time, contributions of capital from Zenith National. We believe that these other sources of capital are sufficient to support the current operations of Zenith Insurance and we have therefore elected to terminate, effective December 31, 2004, the quota share contract with Odyssey America Reinsurance Corporation. In connection with the termination, Zenith Insurance also elected to reassume the ceded unearned premiums in force as of December 31, 2004. Other than the effect on net premiums earned, the termination of the quota share agreement is not expected to have a material impact on our consolidated financial condition or results of operations.

36



Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates

        The preparation of financial statements in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America requires both the use of estimates and judgment relative to the application of appropriate accounting policies. Zenith's accounting policies are described in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in Zenith's Annual Report on Form 10-K/A for the year ended December 31, 2003 ("2003 Form 10-K/A"). We believe that certain matters related to accounting policies and estimates in the areas of loss reserves, investments, deferred policy acquisition costs and deferred income taxes are particularly important to an understanding of Zenith's financial statements. These matters are discussed under "Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates" in the MD&A section of Zenith's 2003 Form 10-K/A.

Contractual Obligations and Contingent Liabilities

        All of Zenith's outstanding financing obligations are included in the Consolidated Financial Statements and the accompanying Notes. There are no liquidity or financing arrangements with unconsolidated entities or any off-balance sheet arrangements.

        The table below sets forth the amounts of Zenith's contractual obligations, including interest payable, at September 30, 2004:

 
  Payments due by period
(Dollars in thousands)

  Redeemable securities
including interest

  Convertible
notes

  Operating lease
commitments

  Loss
reserves

  Total
Less than 1 year   $ 5,045   $ 124,995   $ 6,527   $ 358,056   $ 494,623
1-3 years     10,090           9,303     411,609     431,002
3-5 years     10,090           3,968     197,303     211,361
More than 5 years     154,843           330     457,892     613,065
   
 
 
 
 
Total   $ 180,068   $ 124,995   $ 20,128   $ 1,424,860   $ 1,750,051
   
 
 
 
 

        Our contractual obligations under the outstanding Redeemable Securities are comprised of $121.1 million of interest payments over the next 25 years and $59.0 million of principal payable in 2028. Our contractual obligations under the outstanding Convertible Notes are comprised of $125.0 million of principal that may be due in the fourth quarter of 2004 as a result of conversion because the holders of the Convertible Notes currently have the right to convert their notes into our common stock during the fourth quarter of 2004 as a result of the triggering of the contingent conversion condition relative to our stock price at the end of the third quarter of 2004. Whether the notes will be convertible after December 31, 2004 will depend upon the occurrence of events specified in the indenture governing the Convertible Notes, including the sale price of our common stock. If the Convertible Notes are not converted or redeemed prior to the scheduled maturity in 2023, the total interest obligation over the remaining term would be $133.0 million. In addition, Zenith may be required to pay contingent interest during any six-month period commencing with the six-month period beginning September 30, 2008 if the average market price of a Convertible Note for the five trading days ending on the second trading day immediately preceding the relevant six-month period equals 120% or more of the principal amount of the Convertible Notes.

        Zenith's contingent liabilities are discussed in Note 7 to the Consolidated Financial Statements. Accrued guarantee fund assessments would be payable within approximately one year, if they are ultimately assessed. We cannot currently predict the timing or the outcome of the contingencies surrounding reinsurance recoverable from Reliance Insurance Company or the contingencies surrounding recoveries from the Florida Special Disability Trust Fund.

37



        Our loss reserves do not have contractual maturity dates. However, based upon historical payment patterns, we have included an estimate of when we expect our loss reserves (without the benefit of any reinsurance recoveries) to be paid in the preceding table. The exact timing of the payment of claims cannot be predicted with certainty. We maintain a portfolio of investments with varying maturities and a substantial amount of short-term investments to provide adequate cash for the payment of claims. We do not expect to have to sell securities or use our credit facilities to pay claims.

Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk

        The fair value of the fixed maturity investment portfolio is exposed to interest rate risk—the risk of loss in fair value resulting from changes in prevailing market rates of interest for similar financial instruments. However, Zenith has the ability to hold fixed maturity investments to maturity. Zenith relies on the experience and judgment of senior management to monitor and mitigate the effects of market risk. Zenith does not utilize financial instrument hedges or derivative financial instruments to manage risks, nor does it enter into any swap, forward or option contracts, but will attempt to mitigate its exposure through active portfolio management. The allocation among various types of securities is adjusted from time to time based on market conditions, credit conditions, tax policy, fluctuations in interest rates and other factors. In addition, Zenith places the majority of its investments in high-quality, liquid securities and limits the amount of credit exposure to any one issuer.

        The table below provides information about Zenith's financial instruments for which fair values are subject to changes in interest rates. For fixed maturity investments, the table presents fair values of investments held and weighted average interest rates on such investments by expected maturity dates. Such investments include corporate bonds, municipal bonds, government bonds, redeemable preferred stock, and mortgage-backed securities. For Zenith's debt obligations, the table presents principal cash flows by expected maturity dates (including interest):

 
  Expected Maturity Date
 
(Dollars in thousands)

 
  2004
  2005
  2006
  2007
  2008
  Thereafter
  Total
 
As of September 30, 2004                                            
Investments:                                            
  Held-to-maturity and available-for-sale securities:                                            
    Fixed rate (at fair value)   $ 14,615   $ 163,530   $ 196,489   $ 100,919   $ 66,509   $ 691,058   $ 1,233,120  
    Weighted average interest rate     2.5 %   2.4 %   2.7 %   3.1 %   3.9 %   4.9 %   4.0 %
  Short-term investments   $ 393,846                                 $ 393,846  
Debt and interest obligations of Zenith:                                            
  Convertible Notes(1)     124,995                                   124,995  
  Redeemable securities         $ 5,045   $ 5,045   $ 5,045   $ 5,045   $ 159,888     180,068  

As of December 31, 2003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
Investments:                                            
  Held-to-maturity and available-for-sale securities:                                            
    Fixed rate (at fair value)   $ 90,711   $ 43,934   $ 195,209   $ 80,195   $ 59,669   $ 611,644   $ 1,081,362  
    Weighted average interest rate     1.7 %   1.9 %   2.6 %   3.5 %   3.9 %   5.1 %   4.1 %
  Short-term investments   $ 285,760                                 $ 285,760  
Debt and interest obligations of Zenith:                                            
  Convertible Notes(1)     128,594                                   128,594  
  Redeemable securities     5,729   $ 5,729   $ 5,729   $ 5,729   $ 5,729   $ 181,580     210,225  

(1)
The Convertible Notes are shown with an expected maturity date in 2004 because the holders have the right to convert their notes into our common stock during the fourth quarter of 2004 (See discussion of the Convertible Notes under "Liquidity and Capital Resources" and "Contractual Obligations and Contingent Liabilities" in this MD&A).

38


Item 4. Controls and Procedures

39



PART II
OTHER INFORMATION

Item 6. Exhibits

3.1   Certificate of Incorporation of Zenith National Insurance Corp., dated May 28, 1971. (Incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 3.1 to Zenith's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2000.)

3.2

 

Certificate of Amendment of Certificate of Incorporation of Zenith National Insurance Corp., dated September 12, 1977. (Incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 3.2 to Zenith's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2000.)

3.3

 

Certificate of Amendment of Certificate of Incorporation of Zenith National Insurance Corp., dated May 31, 1979. (Incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 3.3 to Zenith's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2000.)

3.4

 

Certificate of Amendment of Certificate of Incorporation of Zenith National Insurance Corp., dated September 6, 1983. (Incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 3.4 to Zenith's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2000.)

3.5

 

Certificate of Designation of Zenith National Insurance Corp., dated September 10, 1985. (Incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 3.5 to Zenith's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2000.)

3.6

 

Certificate of Amendment of Certificate of Incorporation of Zenith National Insurance Corp., dated November 22, 1985. (Incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 3.6 to Zenith's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2000.)

3.7

 

Certificate of Amendment of Certificate of Incorporation of Zenith National Insurance Corp., dated May 19, 1987. (Incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 3.7 to Zenith's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2000.)

3.8

 

Certificate of Change of Address of Registered Office and of Registered Agent of Zenith National Insurance Corp., dated October 10, 1989. (Incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 3.8 to Zenith's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2000.)

3.9

 

By-laws of Zenith National Insurance Corp., as currently in effect. (Incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 3.9 to Zenith's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2002.)

10.1

 

Change in Terms Agreement, dated July 22, 2004, between Zenith National Insurance Corp., a Delaware corporation, and City National Bank, N.A.

11

 

Statement re: computation of per share earnings. (Note 3 to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) included in Item 1 of Part I of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q is incorporated herein by reference.)

31.1

 

Certification of the CEO, pursuant to Exchange Act Rule13a-14(a) or Rule 15d-14(a).

31.2

 

Certification of the CFO, pursuant to Exchange Act Rule13a-14(a) or Rule 15d-14(a).

32

 

Certification of the CEO and CFO, pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.

40



Signatures

        Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized, on October 25, 2004.

    ZENITH NATIONAL INSURANCE CORP.

 

 

By:

/s/  
STANLEY R. ZAX      
Stanley R. Zax
Chairman of the Board and President
(Principal Executive Officer)

 

 

By:

/s/  
WILLIAM J. OWEN      
William J. Owen
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
(Principal Financial and Accounting Officer)

41



EXHIBIT INDEX

Number
  Exhibit
10.1   Change in Terms Agreement, dated July 22, 2004, between Zenith National Insurance Corp., a Delaware corporation, and City National Bank, N.A.

31.1

 

Certification of the CEO, pursuant to Exchange Act Rule13a-14(a) or Rule 15d-14(a).

31.2

 

Certification of the CFO, pursuant to Exchange Act Rule13a-14(a) or Rule 15d-14(a).

32

 

Certification of the CEO and CFO, pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.

42




QuickLinks

Zenith National Insurance Corp. and Subsidiaries Form 10-Q For the Quarter Ended September 30, 2004
Table of Contents
PART l FINANCIAL INFORMATION
Item 1. Financial Statements
ZENITH NATIONAL INSURANCE CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
ZENITH NATIONAL INSURANCE CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS (UNAUDITED)
ZENITH NATIONAL INSURANCE CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS (UNAUDITED)
ZENITH NATIONAL INSURANCE CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS (CONTINUED) (UNAUDITED)
ZENITH NATIONAL INSURANCE CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY (UNAUDITED)
ZENITH NATIONAL INSURANCE CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)
PART II OTHER INFORMATION
Signatures
EXHIBIT INDEX