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UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

FORM 10-Q


ý

QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

For the quarterly period ended June 30, 2004

OR

o

TRANSITION REPORTS PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

For the transition period from                             to                              

Commission file number 1-9627

ZENITH NATIONAL INSURANCE CORP.
[Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter]

Delaware
[State or other jurisdiction of
incorporation or organization]
  95-2702776
[I.R.S. Employer
Identification No.]

21255 Califa Street, Woodland Hills, California
[Address of principal executive offices]

 

91367-5021
[Zip Code]

(818) 713-1000
[Registrant's telephone number, including area code]

        Indicate by check mark whether the registrant [1] has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and [2] has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.    Yes ý    No o

        Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an accelerated filer (as defined in Rule 12-b-2 of the Exchange Act).    Yes ý    No o

        At July 19, 2004, there were 19,278,000 shares of Zenith National common stock outstanding, net of 7,139,000 shares of treasury stock.





Zenith National Insurance Corp. and Subsidiaries
Form 10-Q
For the Quarter Ended June 30, 2004

Table of Contents

 
  Page
Part 1—Financial Information.    
 
Item 1. Financial Statements:

 

 
   
Consolidated Balance Sheets as of June 30, 2004 (Unaudited) and December 31, 2003

 

3
   
Consolidated Statements of Operations for the Three and Six Months Ended June 30, 2004 and 2003 (Unaudited)

 

4
   
Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows for the Six Months Ended June 30, 2004 and 2003 (Unaudited)

 

5
   
Consolidated Statements of Stockholders' Equity for the Three and Six Months Ended June 30, 2004 and 2003 (Unaudited)

 

7
   
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

 

8
 
Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Consolidated Financial Condition and Results of Operations

 

18
 
Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk

 

33
 
Item 4. Controls and Procedures

 

34

Part II—Other Information

 

 
 
Item 4. Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders

 

35
 
Item 6. Exhibits and Reports on Form 8-K

 

35

2



PART l
FINANCIAL INFORMATION

Item 1. Financial Statements

ZENITH NATIONAL INSURANCE CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS

(Dollars and shares in thousands)

  June 30,
2004

  December 31,
2003

 
 
  (Unaudited)

   
 
Assets:              
Investments:              
  Fixed maturity investments:              
    At amortized cost (fair value $118,049 in 2004 and $124,778 in 2003)   $ 118,703   $ 122,966  
    At fair value (amortized cost $993,796 in 2004 and $930,876 in 2003)     997,152     956,584  
  Equity securities, at fair value (cost $52,981 in 2004 and $44,452 in 2003)     78,831     62,961  
  Mortgage loans (at unpaid principal balances)     16,406     39,123  
  Short-term investments (at cost or amortized cost, which approximates fair value)     402,032     285,760  
  Investment in Advent Capital (Holdings) PLC     28,642     25,188  
  Other investments     33,460     37,912  
   
 
 
      Total investments     1,675,226     1,530,494  
Cash     5,003     8,006  
Accrued investment income     12,790     13,119  
Premiums receivable, less bad debt allowance of $480 in 2004 and $578 in 2003     71,275     70,044  
Receivable from reinsurers and state trust funds for paid and unpaid losses and prepaid reinsurance premiums     301,585     269,530  
Deferred policy acquisition costs     15,266     11,922  
Deferred tax assets     41,927     28,022  
Goodwill     20,985     20,985  
Other assets     69,133     71,582  
   
 
 
Total assets   $ 2,213,190   $ 2,023,704  
   
 
 
Liabilities:              
Policy liabilities and accruals:              
  Unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses   $ 1,354,198   $ 1,220,749  
  Unearned premiums     153,587     111,250  
Policyholders' dividends accrued     4,190     3,033  
Convertible senior notes payable, less unamortized issue costs of $4,263 in 2004 and $4,564 in 2003     120,732     120,436  
Redeemable securities, less unamortized issue costs of $1,062 in 2004 and $1,231 in 2003     57,938     65,769  
Current income tax payable     6,074     14,062  
Other liabilities     95,979     105,159  
   
 
 
      Total liabilities     1,792,698     1,640,458  
   
 
 
Commitments and contingent liabilities (Note 6)              

Stockholders' equity:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
Preferred stock, $1 par, 1,000 shares authorized; none issued or outstanding in 2004 and 2003              
Common stock, $1 par, 50,000 shares authorized; issued 26,417 in 2004 and 25,928 in 2003, outstanding 19,278 in 2004 and 18,910 in 2003     26,417     25,928  
Additional paid-in capital     315,380     300,448  
Retained earnings     196,353     157,191  
Unearned compensation (Note 2)     (3,116 )      
Accumulated other comprehensive income     22,348     31,821  
   
 
 
      557,382     515,388  
Treasury stock, at cost (7,139 shares in 2004 and 7,018 shares in 2003)     (136,890 )   (132,142 )
   
 
 
      Total stockholders' equity     420,492     383,246  
   
 
 
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity   $ 2,213,190   $ 2,023,704  
   
 
 

The accompanying notes are an integral part of these financial statements.

3



ZENITH NATIONAL INSURANCE CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS
(UNAUDITED)

 
  Three Months Ended
June 30,

  Six Months Ended
June 30,

(Dollars in thousands, except per share data)

  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
Revenues:                        
Premiums earned   $ 231,917   $ 185,457   $ 456,630   $ 358,861
Net investment income     14,041     14,366     28,916     26,933
Realized gains on investments     1,863     11,207     5,672     11,923
   
 
 
 
    Total revenues     247,821     211,030     491,218     397,717

Expenses:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
Loss and loss adjustment expenses incurred     151,079     132,277     301,349     253,938
Policy acquisition costs     29,231     25,900     58,203     52,263
Underwriting and other operating expenses     26,805     21,749     51,070     42,250
Policyholders' dividends     1,544     756     2,501     925
Interest expense     3,283     3,465     6,467     5,446
   
 
 
 
    Total expenses     211,942     184,147     419,590     354,822
  Income before tax and equity in earnings of investee     35,879     26,883     71,628     42,895
Income tax expense     12,145     9,271     24,494     14,941
   
 
 
 
  Income after tax and before equity in earnings of investee     23,734     17,612     47,134     27,954
Equity in earnings of investee, net of income tax expense     1,066     788     2,766     2,146
   
 
 
 
    Net income   $ 24,800   $ 18,400   $ 49,900   $ 30,100
   
 
 
 

Net income per common share:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
Basic   $ 1.29   $ 0.98   $ 2.61   $ 1.60
Diluted   $ 1.06   $ 0.97   $ 2.15   $ 1.60

Disclosure regarding comprehensive income:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
Net income   $ 24,800   $ 18,400   $ 49,900   $ 30,100
Net (decrease) increase in unrealized appreciation on investments     (22,729 )   18,179     (9,736 )   19,799
Change in foreign currency translation adjustment     (585 )   1,126     263     769
   
 
 
 
Comprehensive income   $ 1,486   $ 37,705   $ 40,427   $ 50,668
   
 
 
 

The accompanying notes are an integral part of these financial statements.

4



ZENITH NATIONAL INSURANCE CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
(UNAUDITED)

 
  Six Months Ended
June 30,

 
(Dollars in thousands)

 
  2004
  2003
 
Cash flows from operating activities:              
  Premiums collected   $ 564,415   $ 412,322  
  Investment income received     31,494     25,568  
  Loss and loss adjustment expenses paid     (197,629 )   (176,851 )
  Underwriting and other operating expenses paid     (185,374 )   (146,672 )
  Interest paid     (6,682 )   (3,271 )
  Income taxes paid     (40,377 )   (9,702 )
   
 
 
      Net cash provided by operating activities     165,847     101,394  
   
 
 

Cash flows from investing activities:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
  Purchases of investments:              
    Fixed maturity securities held-to-maturity     (9,834 )   (39,420 )
    Fixed maturity securities available-for-sale     (707,320 )   (643,030 )
    Equity securities available-for-sale     (58,332 )   (32,927 )
    Other investments     (6,435 )   (4,360 )
  Proceeds from maturities and redemptions of investments:              
    Fixed maturity securities held-to-maturity     13,925     16,156  
    Fixed maturity securities available-for-sale     27,113     14,653  
    Other investments     33,590     8,992  
  Proceeds from sales of investments:              
    Fixed maturity securities available-for-sale     618,047     440,750  
    Equity securities available-for-sale     52,824     26,353  
    Other investments     1,532     2,210  
  Net increase in short-term investments     (116,450 )   (4,471 )
  Capital expenditures and other, net     (4,750 )   (5,207 )
   
 
 
      Net cash used in investing activities     (156,090 )   (220,301 )
   
 
 

Cash flows from financing activities:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
  Repurchase of redeemable securities     (7,600 )      
  Net proceeds from issuance of convertible senior notes           120,136  
  Cash advanced from bank lines of credit           46,500  
  Cash repaid on bank lines of credit           (46,500 )
  Cash dividends paid to common stockholders     (10,093 )   (9,384 )
  Proceeds from exercise of stock options     4,933     417  
   
 
 
      Net cash (used in) provided by financing activities     (12,760 )   111,169  
   
 
 
  Net decrease in cash     (3,003 )   (7,738 )
  Cash at beginning of period     8,006     17,452  
   
 
 
Cash at end of period   $ 5,003   $ 9,714  
   
 
 
     
(continued)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

5



ZENITH NATIONAL INSURANCE CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS (CONTINUED)
(UNAUDITED)

 
  Six Months Ended
June 30,

 
(Dollars in thousands)

 
  2004
  2003
 
Reconciliation of net income to net cash flows provided by operating activities:              
Net income   $ 49,900   $ 30,100  
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash flows provided by operating activities:              
  Net depreciation, amortization and accretion     6,398     4,063  
  Realized gains on investments     (5,672 )   (11,923 )
  Equity in earnings of investee     (2,766 )   (2,146 )
  (Increase) decrease in:              
    Accrued investment income     329     (2,246 )
    Premiums receivable     (4,376 )   (15,827 )
    Receivable from reinsurers and state trust funds on paid and unpaid losses and prepaid reinsurance premiums     (33,410 )   (25,766 )
    Deferred policy acquisition costs     (3,344 )   (1,684 )
  Increase (decrease) in:              
    Unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses     133,449     102,710  
    Unearned premiums     42,337     18,360  
    Net federal income tax payable     (15,883 )   5,239  
    Other     (1,115 )   514  
   
 
 
      Net cash provided by operating activities   $ 165,847   $ 101,394  
   
 
 

The accompanying notes are an integral part of these financial statements.

6



ZENITH NATIONAL INSURANCE CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY
(UNAUDITED)

 
  Three Months Ended
June 30,

  Six Months Ended
June 30,

 
(Dollars in thousands)

 
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
Preferred stock, $1 par:                          
  Beginning of period     none     none     none     none  
   
 
 
 
 
    End of period     none     none     none     none  
   
 
 
 
 

Common stock, $1 par:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
  Beginning of period   $ 26,277   $ 25,786   $ 25,928   $ 25,786  
  Exercise of stock options     67     18     416     18  
  Restricted stock awards (Note 2)     73           73        
   
 
 
 
 
    End of period     26,417     25,804     26,417     25,804  
   
 
 
 
 

Additional paid-in capital:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
  Beginning of period     309,988     296,989     300,448     296,974  
  Exercise of stock options     1,696     399     9,265     399  
  Tax benefit on options exercised     451     35     2,402     35  
  Recognition of stock-based compensation on stock options     15     15     30     30  
  Conversion of convertible senior notes                 5        
  Restricted stock awards (Note 2)     3,230           3,230        
   
 
 
 
 
    End of period     315,380     297,438     315,380     297,438  
   
 
 
 
 

Retained earnings:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
  Beginning of period     176,974     116,019     157,191     109,008  
  Net income     24,800     18,400     49,900     30,100  
  Cash dividends declared to common stockholders     (5,421 )   (4,692 )   (10,738 )   (9,381 )
   
 
 
 
 
    End of period     196,353     129,727     196,353     129,727  
   
 
 
 
 

Unearned compensation (Note 2):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
  Beginning of period                          
  Restricted stock awards     (3,230 )         (3,230 )      
  Amortization to compensation expense     114           114        
   
 
 
 
 
    End of period     (3,116 )         (3,116 )      
   
 
 
 
 

Accumulated other comprehensive income:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
  Beginning of period     45,662     18,661     31,821     17,398  
  Net change in unrealized appreciation on investments, net of deferred tax expense and reclassification adjustment     (22,729 )   18,179     (9,736 )   19,799  
  Change in foreign currency translation adjustment, net of deferred tax expense     (585 )   1,126     263     769  
   
 
 
 
 
    End of period     22,348     37,966     22,348     37,966  
   
 
 
 
 

Treasury stock:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
  Beginning of period     (136,890 )   (132,142 )   (132,142 )   (132,142 )
  Acquisition of treasury shares                 (4,748 )      
   
 
 
 
 
    End of period     (136,890 )   (132,142 )   (136,890 )   (132,142 )
   
 
 
 
 
     
Total stockholders' equity

 

$

420,492

 

$

358,793

 

$

420,492

 

$

358,793

 
   
 
 
 
 

Cash dividends declared per common share:

 

$

0.28

 

$

0.25

 

$

0.56

 

$

0.50

 

The accompanying notes are an integral part of these financial statements.

7



ZENITH NATIONAL INSURANCE CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES
NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
(UNAUDITED)

Note 1. Basis of Presentation

        Zenith National Insurance Corp. ("Zenith National") is a holding company engaged, through its wholly-owned subsidiaries (primarily Zenith Insurance Company ("Zenith Insurance")), in the property and casualty insurance business. Unless otherwise indicated, all references to "Zenith," "we," "us," "our," the "Company" or similar terms refer to Zenith National together with its subsidiaries. The accompanying unaudited, consolidated financial statements of Zenith National and subsidiaries have been prepared in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America ("GAAP") for interim financial information and with the instructions to Form 10-Q and Article 10 of Regulation S-X of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. Accordingly, they do not include all of the information and notes required by GAAP for complete financial statements. In the opinion of management, all adjustments (consisting of normal, recurring adjustments) necessary for a fair statement of the financial position and results of operations of Zenith for the periods presented have been included. The results of operations for an interim period are not necessarily indicative of the results for an entire year. For further information, refer to the financial statements and notes thereto included in the Zenith National Insurance Corp. Annual Report on Form 10-K/A for the year ended December 31, 2003. Certain cash flow items in prior periods have been reclassified to conform to the 2004 presentation.

Note 2. Accounting for Employee Stock Options and Restricted Stock Awards

Employee Stock Options.

        Effective in the fourth quarter of 2002, Zenith began to expense the cost of employee stock options using the fair value based method of recording stock options in accordance with Statement of Financial Accounting Standards ("SFAS") No. 123, "Accounting for Stock-Based Compensation" and accounted for the change in accounting principle using the prospective method in accordance with SFAS No. 148, "Accounting for Stock-Based Compensation—Transition and Disclosure." Under the prospective method, all employee stock option grants beginning with January 2002 are being expensed over the stock option vesting period based on the fair value at the date the options were granted. Prior to the fourth quarter of 2002, Zenith applied the provisions of Accounting Principles Board Opinion No. 25, "Accounting for Stock Issued to Employees" ("APB No. 25") in accounting for stock options issued prior to January 2002. Under the intrinsic value method of APB No. 25, Zenith had not been required to recognize compensation expense for stock option grants.

Restricted Stock Awards.

        Under a Restricted Stock plan approved by our stockholders in May 2004, key employees are awarded shares of Zenith National common stock with restricted ownership rights. Of the shares subject to the award, 50% vest two years from the grant date. The remaining 50% of the shares vest four years from the grant date.

        On May 26, 2004, we granted 73,000 restricted stock awards with a fair value of $45.25 per share, based upon the closing price of Zenith National common stock on the grant date. In connection with the restricted stock awards, stockholders' equity was increased when we recorded $3.2 million of additional paid-in capital and reduced by $3.2 million of unearned compensation. The unearned compensation represents the fair value of the restricted stock awards on the grant date and is being amortized to compensation expense over the vesting period of the awards. Compensation expense

8



recognized in the second quarter of 2004 was $0.1 million after tax. Any forfeitures of the awards will be accounted for as they occur.

Effect of stock-based employee compensation

        The following table sets forth the effect of all stock-based employee compensation included in net income and the pro forma effect of all stock-based employee compensation if the fair value of stock options accounted for under the intrinsic value method of APB No. 25 were included in net income:

 
  Three Months Ended
June 30,

  Six Months Ended
June 30,

 
(Dollars in thousands, except per share data)

 
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
Net income as reported   $ 24,800   $ 18,400   $ 49,900   $ 30,100  
Stock-based employee compensation expense included in reported net income, net of income tax benefit(1)     145     10     155     20  
Total stock-based employee compensation expense determined under fair value method for all awards, net of income tax benefit     (179 )   (80 )   (241 )   (160 )
   
 
 
 
 
Pro forma net income   $ 24,766   $ 18,330   $ 49,814   $ 29,960  
   
 
 
 
 
Net income per share—basic                          
  Net income per share as reported   $ 1.29   $ 0.98   $ 2.61   $ 1.60  
  Net income per share—pro forma     1.29     0.98     2.61     1.60  
   
 
 
 
 
Net income per share—diluted                          
  Net income per share as reported   $ 1.06   $ 0.97   $ 2.15   $ 1.60  
  Net income per share—pro forma     1.06     0.97     2.15     1.59  
   
 
 
 
 

(1)
Represents compensation expense on all restricted stock awards and on stock option awards granted after January 1, 2002.

9


Note 3. Earnings and Dividends Per Share

        The following table sets forth the computation of basic and diluted net income per common share:

 
   
  Three Months Ended
June 30,

  Six Months Ended
June 30,

(Dollars and shares in thousands, except per share data)

  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
(A)   Net income   $ 24,800   $ 18,400   $ 49,900   $ 30,100
       
 
 
 
(B)   Interest expense on the Convertible Notes, net of tax   $ 1,267         $ 2,532      
       
 
 
 
(C)   Weighted average outstanding shares during the period     19,179     18,778     19,097     18,773
    Common shares issuable under employee stock option plan using the treasury stock method     321     127     290     69
    Common shares issuable under employee restricted stock plan using the treasury stock method     3           3      
    Common shares issuable upon conversion of the Convertible Notes     5,000           5,000      
       
 
 
 
(D)   Weighted average number of common shares outstanding assuming exercise of stock options, vesting of restricted stock awards and conversion of Convertible Notes in 2004     24,503     18,905     24,390     18,842
       
 
 
 
    Net income per common share—                        
(A)/(C)       Basic   $ 1.29   $ 0.98   $ 2.61   $ 1.60
((A)+(B))/(D)       Diluted     1.06     0.97     2.15     1.60
       
 
 
 

 

 

Cash dividends declared per common share

 

$

0.28

 

$

0.25

 

$

0.56

 

$

0.50
       
 
 
 

        Holders of our 5.75% Convertible Senior Notes due March 30, 2023 (the "Convertible Notes") had the right to convert their notes into Zenith National common stock, par value $1.00 per share, ("Zenith National common stock") during the first two quarters of 2004 because the contingent conversion condition related to our stock price was met in the fourth quarter of 2003 and the first quarter of 2004. Diluted average outstanding shares in the three and six months ended June 30, 2004 include an additional 5.0 million shares relating to all Convertible Notes that could have been converted during the periods. After tax interest expense related to the Convertible Notes of $1.3 million and $2.5 million for the three and six months ended June 30, 2004, respectively, was added back to net income in computing diluted earnings per share.

        Diluted net income per share in the three and six months ended June 30, 2003 is not comparable because the average shares outstanding for the periods do not include such additional shares. If the Convertible Notes had been convertible in the three and six months ended June 30, 2003, an additional 5.0 million shares would have been included in the computation of diluted shares outstanding for each period, and diluted net income per share would have been $0.82 and $1.32, respectively. After tax

10



interest expense of $1.3 million and $1.4 million would have been added back to net income in the three and six months ended June 30, 2003, respectively, to compute pro forma diluted net income per share.

Note 4. Outstanding Debt

        In March 2004, Zenith National repurchased $8.0 million aggregate liquidation amount of the outstanding 8.55% Capital Securities of Zenith National Insurance Capital Trust I, all of the voting securities of which are owned by Zenith National ("Redeemable Securities"), which resulted in a gain of $0.3 million before tax ($0.2 million after tax) in 2004. The gain has been recorded as a reduction of interest expense in the first quarter of 2004. Zenith National used its available cash balances to fund these purchases.

        The aggregate maturities for all of Zenith's long-term borrowings for each of the five years after December 31, 2003 are as follows:

Maturing in: (Dollars in thousands)

  Redeemable
Securities

  Convertible
Notes

  Total
2004         $ 124,995   $ 124,995
2005                  
2006                  
2007                  
2008                  
Thereafter   $ 59,000           59,000
   
 
 
Total   $ 59,000   $ 124,995   $ 183,995
   
 
 

        In March 2004, $5,000 aggregate principal amount of Convertible Notes were converted into 200 shares of Zenith National common stock at the election of certain holders thereof.

        The maturity of the outstanding Convertible Notes is presented as being due in 2004 because the holders of our Convertible Notes have the right to convert their notes into our common stock during the third quarter of 2004 since the contingent conversion condition relative to our stock price was met as of the end of the second quarter of 2004. If any holder requires Zenith National to repurchase its Convertible Notes, Zenith National may choose to pay the repurchase price in cash or shares of its common stock or a combination of cash and shares of its common stock. Whether the notes will be convertible after September 30, 2004 will depend upon the occurrence of events specified in the indenture governing the Convertible Notes, including the sale price of our common stock. If the Convertible Notes are not converted or redeemed, their scheduled maturity is March 2023.

Note 5. Segment Information

        Our business is comprised of the following segments: Investments; Workers' Compensation; Reinsurance; and Parent. Income from operations of the Investments segment includes investment income and realized gains (losses) on investments and we do not allocate investment income to our Workers' Compensation and Reinsurance segments. Income (loss) from operations of the Workers' Compensation and Reinsurance segments is determined solely by deducting from net premiums earned,

11



net losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred and underwriting and other operating expenses incurred. The combined ratio is the sum of net incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses and underwriting and other operating expenses expressed as a percentage of net premiums earned. Loss from operations of the Parent segment includes interest expense and the general operating expenses of Zenith National.

        Segment information is set forth below:

(Dollars in thousands)

  Workers'
Compensation

  Reinsurance
  Investments
  Parent
  Total
 
Three Months Ended June 30, 2004                                
Revenues:                                
Premiums earned   $ 221,246   $ 10,671               $ 231,917  
Net investment income               $ 14,041           14,041  
Realized gains on investments                 1,863           1,863  
   
 
 
 
 
 
  Total revenues     221,246     10,671     15,904           247,821  
   
 
 
 
 
 
Interest expense                     $ (3,283 )   (3,283 )
   
 
 
 
 
 
Income (loss) before tax and equity in earnings of investee     22,134     2,453     15,904     (4,612 )   35,879  
Income tax expense (benefit)     7,915     859     4,986     (1,615 )   12,145  
   
 
 
 
 
 
Income (loss) after tax and before equity in earnings of investee     14,219     1,594     10,918     (2,997 )   23,734  
Equity in earnings of investee, net of tax expense of $575                 1,066           1,066  
   
 
 
 
 
 
  Net income (loss)   $ 14,219   $ 1,594   $ 11,984   $ (2,997 ) $ 24,800  
   
 
 
 
 
 
Combined ratios     90.0 %   77.0 %                  
   
 
 
 
 
 
                                 

12



Six Months Ended June 30, 2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
Revenues:                                
Premiums earned   $ 434,432   $ 22,198               $ 456,630  
Net investment income               $ 28,916           28,916  
Realized gains on investments                 5,672           5,672  
   
 
 
 
 
 
  Total revenues     434,432     22,198     34,588           491,218  
   
 
 
 
 
 
Interest expense                     $ (6,467 )   (6,467 )
   
 
 
 
 
 
Income (loss) before tax and equity in earnings of investee     41,938     4,492     34,588     (9,390 )   71,628  
Income tax expense (benefit)     15,127     1,572     11,082     (3,287 )   24,494  
   
 
 
 
 
 
Income (loss) after tax and before equity in earnings of investee     26,811     2,920     23,506     (6,103 )   47,134  
Equity in earnings of investee, net of tax expense of $1,490                 2,766           2,766  
   
 
 
 
 
 
  Net income (loss)   $ 26,811   $ 2,920   $ 26,272   $ (6,103 ) $ 49,900  
   
 
 
 
 
 
Combined ratios     90.3 %   79.8 %                  
   
 
 
 
 
 
As of June 30, 2004                                
Total assets   $ 487,498   $ 35,787   $ 1,680,985   $ 8,920   $ 2,213,190  
   
 
 
 
 
 

Three Months Ended June 30, 2003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
Revenues:                                
Premiums earned   $ 170,862   $ 14,595               $ 185,457  
Net investment income               $ 14,366           14,366  
Realized gains on investments                 11,207           11,207  
   
 
 
 
 
 
  Total revenues     170,862     14,595     25,573           211,030  
   
 
 
 
 
 
Interest expense                     $ (3,465 )   (3,465 )
   
 
 
 
 
 
Income (loss) before tax and equity in earnings of investee     4,203     1,992     25,573     (4,885 )   26,883  
Income tax expense (benefit)     1,820     697     8,464     (1,710 )   9,271  
   
 
 
 
 
 
Income (loss) after tax and before equity in earnings of investee     2,383     1,295     17,109     (3,175 )   17,612  
Equity in earnings of investee, net of tax expense of $424                 788           788  
   
 
 
 
 
 
  Net income (loss)   $ 2,383   $ 1,295   $ 17,897   $ (3,175 ) $ 18,400  
   
 
 
 
 
 
Combined ratios     97.5 %   86.4 %                  
   
 
 
 
 
 
                                 

13



Six Months Ended June 30, 2003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
Revenues:                                
Premiums earned   $ 326,886   $ 31,975               $ 358,861  
Net investment income               $ 26,933           26,933  
Realized gains on investments                 11,923           11,923  
   
 
 
 
 
 
  Total revenues     326,886     31,975     38,856           397,717  
   
 
 
 
 
 
Interest expense                     $ (5,446 )   (5,446 )
   
 
 
 
 
 
Income (loss) before tax and equity in earnings of investee     8,036     4,388     38,856     (8,385 )   42,895  
Income tax expense (benefit)     3,422     1,536     12,919     (2,936 )   14,941  
   
 
 
 
 
 
Income (loss) after tax and before equity in earnings of investee     4,614     2,852     25,937     (5,449 )   27,954  
Equity in earnings of investee, net of tax expense of $1,156                 2,146           2,146  
   
 
 
 
 
 
  Net income (loss)   $ 4,614   $ 2,852   $ 28,083   $ (5,449 ) $ 30,100  
   
 
 
 
 
 
Combined ratios     97.5 %   86.3 %                  
   
 
 
 
 
 
As of June 30, 2003                                
Total assets   $ 469,655   $ 45,046   $ 1,382,373   $ 3,174   $ 1,900,248  
   
 
 
 
 
 

        The following table is a reconciliation of our segment results to our consolidated statements of operations:

 
  Three Months Ended
June 30,

  Six Months Ended
June 30,

 
(Dollars in thousands)

 
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
Net investment income   $ 14,041   $ 14,366   $ 28,916   $ 26,933  
Realized gains on investments     1,863     11,207     5,672     11,923  
   
 
 
 
 
  Income from investment operations     15,904     25,573     34,588     38,856  
Income (loss) from operations of:                          
  Workers' compensation     22,134     4,203     41,938     8,036  
  Reinsurance     2,453     1,992     4,492     4,388  
  Parent     (4,612 )   (4,885 )   (9,390 )   (8,385 )
   
 
 
 
 
Income before tax and equity in earnings of investee     35,879     26,883     71,628     42,895  
Income tax expense     12,145     9,271     24,494     14,941  
   
 
 
 
 
Income after tax and before equity in earnings of investee     23,734     17,612     47,134     27,954  
Equity in earnings of investee, net of tax expense     1,066     788     2,766     2,146  
   
 
 
 
 
Net income   $ 24,800   $ 18,400   $ 49,900   $ 30,100  
   
 
 
 
 

14


Note 6. Contingent Liabilities

Contingencies Surrounding Reinsurance Receivable from Reliance Insurance Company

        At June 30, 2004 and December 31, 2003, Reliance Insurance Company ("Reliance") owed Zenith Insurance $6.0 million of reinsurance recoverable on paid and unpaid losses in connection with the reinsurance arrangements assumed by Zenith Insurance in its 1996 acquisition of the Associated General Commerce Self-Insurers' Trust Fund.

        In January 2001, Reliance was subject to a Supervision Order by the Pennsylvania Department of Insurance. This is not the same as insolvency. Based on the published 1999 financial statements for Reliance, which showed considerable net worth, we had no reason to conclude that we had an impairment of our reinsurance recoverable at the time of the Supervision Order. On May 29, 2001, the Pennsylvania Department of Insurance issued an Order of Rehabilitation for Reliance. Rehabilitation raises the possibility of compromise with Reliance's creditors. Therefore, we disclosed a contingency in the second quarter of 2001 related to possible impairment of our receivable from Reliance. With no information with which to estimate our impairment (no financial statements were filed by Reliance for 2000), we concluded that we could not determine the outcome of the contingency at that time. On October 3, 2001, the Commonwealth Court of Pennsylvania approved an Order of Liquidation for Reliance, which was experiencing cash flow problems caused by slow reinsurance recoveries. At that time, an estimated balance sheet of Reliance was made available as of December 31, 2000, from which we estimated that we could expect to recover no more than 50% of our receivable. This established a range of outcomes for the amount impaired between $3.0 million and $6.0 million (i.e., we expect to recover an amount between 50% and nothing). We have no information with which to establish an estimate within that range as better than any other and, therefore, we recorded an impairment provision of $3.0 million for our receivable from Reliance. We recorded the provision in the third quarter of 2001, the period for which the information became available to estimate the impairment provision. The impairment provision was $3.0 million at June 30, 2004 and December 31, 2003. The eventual outcome of this matter will be determined by the ultimate amount of Reliance's liabilities and whether or not Reliance has sufficient assets or can obtain recoveries and investment income in an amount sufficient to pay its liabilities. We will revise our impairment provision, if necessary, upon receipt of relevant information.

Contingencies Surrounding State Guarantee Fund Assessments

        State guarantee funds ("Guarantee Funds") exist to ensure that policyholders (holders of direct insurance policies but not of reinsurance policies) receive payment of their claims if insurance companies become insolvent. The Guarantee Funds are funded primarily by statutorily prescribed assessments they bill to other insurance companies doing business in their states. Various mechanisms exist in some of these states for assessed insurance companies to recover these assessments. Upon the insolvency of an insurance company, the Guarantee Funds become primarily liable for the payment of the insolvent company's liabilities to policyholders. The declaration of an insolvency establishes the presumption that assessments by the Guarantee Funds are probable. Zenith writes workers' compensation insurance in many states in which unpaid workers' compensation liabilities are the responsibility of the Guarantee Funds and has received, and expects to continue to receive, Guarantee Fund assessments, some of which may be based on certain of the premiums it has already earned at June 30, 2004.

15



        Zenith recorded an estimate of $5.0 million (net of expected recoveries of $3.4 million recoverable before the end of 2004) for its expected liability at June 30, 2004 for Guarantee Fund assessments. Recoveries are attributable to premium tax credits in various states. The amount of the recovery we have recorded is limited to credits applicable to, and recoverable from, premiums earned at June 30, 2004. The estimated expense for Guarantee Fund assessments was $1.3 million and $2.5 million in the three and six months ended June 30, 2004, respectively, compared to $1.2 million and $2.4 million in the three and six months ended June 30, 2003, respectively. Our estimated liability is based on currently available information and could change based on additional information or reinterpretation of existing information concerning the actions of the Guarantee Funds. Zenith expects that it will continue to accrue and receive Guarantee Fund assessments; and the ultimate impact of such assessments will depend upon the amount and timing of the assessments and of any recoveries to which Zenith is entitled.

Contingencies Surrounding Recoverability of Special Disability Trust Fund Receivable

        The Florida Special Disability Trust Fund ("SDTF") is a fund established to reimburse insurance companies and employers for the cost of certain workers' compensation claims. The SDTF was established to promote the re-hiring of injured workers by providing a reimbursement for certain qualifying claims made by a previously injured worker subsequent to their re-hiring. These claims are sometimes referred to as "second injuries." We are able to submit such second injury claims to the SDTF and, if the claims are accepted, we are reimbursed for part of the cost of the claim. The SDTF stopped accepting new second injury claims dated after January 1, 1998. Approximately 550 of our Florida claims have been accepted, for which we have recorded a recoverable of $5.7 million, net of amounts due to reinsurers, at June 30, 2004. We bill the SDTF and receive reimbursements as we make payments on accepted claims. The SDTF is funded by assessing a fee of 4.52% of premiums written in Florida, and we accrue the assessment as a liability when we write Florida business. If the legislature in Florida were to decide to cease or suspend the assessment, and thereby the funding of the SDTF, any recoverable that we may have at that time which is related to un-reimbursed claims might be at risk. However, we have no current information to indicate that the SDTF assessment in Florida will not continue. We continue to collect recoveries for second injury claims from the SDTF and although the SDTF is currently about 36 to 42 months behind schedule in reimbursing claims, we expect to fully recover the remaining amount receivable.

Litigation

        Zenith National and its subsidiaries are defendants in various litigation. In the opinion of management, after consultation with legal counsel, such litigation is either without merit or the ultimate liability, if any, is not expected to have a material adverse effect on the consolidated financial condition, results of operations or cash flows of Zenith.

Note 7. Non-Cash Financing Activities

        In March 2004, a Zenith employee exercised his option to purchase from Zenith National 201,000 shares of Zenith National common stock at the exercise price of $23.63 per share, resulting in an aggregate exercise price of $4.7 million. In lieu of cash payment, 121,015 shares of Zenith National

16



common stock valued at $4.7 million previously acquired by the employee were tendered to, and accepted by, Zenith in payment of the aggregate exercise price.

        The exercise of the stock options had no net effect on consolidated stockholders' equity because the increase in treasury stock of $4.7 million for the shares tendered was offset by an increase in common stock of $0.2 million and an increase in additional paid-in capital of $4.5 million for the 201,000 shares issued.

Note 8. Proposed Sale of Zenith National Common Stock by Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited

        In June 2004, at the request of Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited, a Toronto-based financial services holding company ("Fairfax"), Zenith National filed a registration statement with the Securities and Exchange Commission relating to the sale of up to 3.5 million shares of its common stock by certain subsidiaries of Fairfax. As of the date of the filing, Fairfax and its subsidiaries owned approximately 7.8 million shares, or 41% of the total outstanding shares of Zenith National common stock (not including shares issuable upon conversion of the Convertible Notes held by such companies). After the proposed sale, if all of the 3.5 million shares are sold, Fairfax and its subsidiaries would own approximately 22% of the outstanding shares of Zenith National common stock (not including the potential impact of any shares of Zenith National common stock that may be issued in connection with the convertibility of our Convertible Notes held by such companies). Zenith National will not sell any shares in the offering. In addition, in connection with the offering, Fairfax and certain of its subsidiaries will enter into agreements with the underwriters that prohibit Fairfax and its subsidiaries from directly or indirectly transferring any of their shares of Zenith National common stock, other than pursuant to the offering, for a period of 180 days following the date of the final prospectus.

17


Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Consolidated Financial Condition and
Results of Operations

        Zenith National Insurance Corp. ("Zenith National") is a holding company engaged, through its wholly-owned subsidiaries (primarily Zenith Insurance Company ("Zenith Insurance")), in the property and casualty insurance business. Unless otherwise indicated, all references to "Zenith," "we," "us," "our," the "Company" or similar terms refer to Zenith National together with its subsidiaries.

        The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 provides a safe harbor for forward-looking statements if accompanied by meaningful cautionary statements identifying important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those discussed. Forward-looking statements include those related to the plans and objectives of management for future operations, future economic performance, or projections of revenues, income, earnings per share, capital expenditures, dividends, capital structure, or other financial items. Statements containing words such as expect, anticipate, believe, estimate, or similar words that are used in this Management's Discussion and Analysis of Consolidated Financial Condition and Results of Operations ("MD&A"), in other parts of this report or in other written or oral information conveyed by or on behalf of Zenith, are intended to identify forward-looking statements. The Company undertakes no obligation to update such forward-looking statements, which are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected. These risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, the following: (1) competition; (2) adverse state and federal legislation and regulation; (3) changes in interest rates causing fluctuations of investment income and fair values of investments; (4) changes in the frequency and severity of claims and catastrophes; (5) adequacy of loss reserves; (6) changing environment for controlling medical, legal and rehabilitation costs, as well as fraud and abuse; (7) losses associated with any terrorist attacks that impact our workers' compensation business in excess of our reinsurance protection; and (8) other risks detailed herein and from time to time in Zenith's other reports and filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Overview

        A summary of the recent performance of our business and our expectations about the trends was included under the "Overview" section of "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Consolidated Financial Condition and Results of Operations" in our Annual Report on Form 10-K/A for the year ended December 31, 2003. Following is an update:

1)
Revenues. Our workers' compensation premium revenues continued to increase in the three and six months ended June 30, 2004 as a result of higher premium rates and additional policies. We do not forecast revenues or pursue revenue goals as an independent objective; however, the portion of the premium growth that has related to premium rate increases will change because, in May 2004, Zenith Insurance filed with the California Department of Insurance a 10% reduction in its California workers' compensation premium rates effective July 1, 2004 on new and renewal policies. We discuss this matter in more detail below under California Workers' Compensation Reform Legislation.

2)
Income from Workers' Compensation and Reinsurance Operations. We derive the majority of our earnings from our investment portfolio and the results of operations of our workers' compensation and reinsurance operations. Whereas the investment portfolio produces a relatively stable source of earnings, the results of our workers' compensation operation are more variable in the long run, and losses from catastrophes can cause significant fluctuations in the results of our reinsurance operation at any time.

(a)
Workers' Compensation. Income from our workers' compensation operation in the three and six months ended June 30, 2004 showed continued improvement. We continue to focus on

18


3)
Loss Reserves. In the second quarter of 2004, our aggregate loss reserve estimates continued to be adequate but we revised the allocation of loss reserves by accident year. We review loss reserve estimates in the aggregate and by accident year every quarter. The reallocation of loss reserve estimates by accident year reflects our current view of inflation trends, but did not impact net income in the second quarter or first six months of 2004.

4)
Investment Operations. We increased our investment portfolio by about $145 million in the six months ended June 30, 2004 as a result of favorable cash flows from operations. We expect favorable cash flows to continue. In view of the uncertainty of the outlook for interest rates, we are continuing to take a cautious approach in our investment portfolio. As of June 30, 2004, we had available about $400 million of cash and short-term investments which represents about 24% of the portfolio.

5)
Stockholders' Equity. We continued to build our stockholders' equity, which increased from $20.27 per share at December 31, 2003 to $21.81 per share at June 30, 2004.

Results of Operations

Summary Results by Segment

        Our business is comprised of the following segments: Investments; Workers' Compensation; Reinsurance; and Parent. Income from operations of the Investments segment includes investment income and realized gains and losses on investments and we do not allocate investment income to the results of our Workers' Compensation and Reinsurance segments. Income from operations of the Workers' Compensation and Reinsurance segments is determined solely by deducting from net premiums earned, losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred and underwriting and other operating expenses incurred. Loss from operations of the Parent segment includes interest expense and the general operating expenses of Zenith National. The comparative results of operations by segment for the three and six months ended June 30, 2004 and 2003 were as follows:

 
  Three Months Ended
June 30,

  Six Months Ended
June 30,

 
(Dollars in thousands)

 
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
Net investment income   $ 14,041   $ 14,366   $ 28,916   $ 26,933  
Realized gains on investments     1,863     11,207     5,672     11,923  
   
 
 
 
 
  Income from investment operations     15,904     25,573     34,588     38,856  
Income (loss) from operations of:                          
  Workers' compensation     22,134     4,203     41,938     8,036  
  Reinsurance     2,453     1,992     4,492     4,388  
  Parent     (4,612 )   (4,885 )   (9,390 )   (8,385 )
   
 
 
 
 
Income before tax and equity in earnings of investee     35,879     26,883     71,628     42,895  
Income tax expense     12,145     9,271     24,494     14,941  
   
 
 
 
 
Income after tax and before equity in earnings of investee     23,734     17,612     47,134     27,954  
Equity in earnings of investee, net of tax expense     1,066     788     2,766     2,146  
   
 
 
 
 
Net income   $ 24,800   $ 18,400   $ 49,900   $ 30,100  
   
 
 
 
 

19


        The key operating goal for our insurance business is to achieve a combined ratio of 100% or lower. The combined ratio is the sum of net incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses and underwriting and other operating expenses expressed as a percentage of net premiums earned. Results of operations and the combined ratios of the workers' compensation and reinsurance operations for the three and six months ended June 30, 2004 and 2003 are set forth in the table that follows.

 
  Three Months Ended
June 30,

  Six Months Ended
June 30,

 
(Dollars in thousands)

 
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
Net premiums earned:                          
  Workers' compensation:                          
    California   $ 153,938   $ 107,162   $ 298,991   $ 202,342  
    Outside California     67,308     63,700     135,441     124,544  
   
 
 
 
 
  Total workers' compensation     221,246     170,862     434,432     326,886  
  Reinsurance     10,671     14,595     22,198     31,975  
   
 
 
 
 
    Total   $ 231,917   $ 185,457   $ 456,630   $ 358,861  
   
 
 
 
 

Income before tax from operations of:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
  Workers' compensation   $ 22,134   $ 4,203   $ 41,938   $ 8,036  
  Reinsurance   $ 2,453   $ 1,992   $ 4,492   $ 4,388  
   
 
 
 
 

Combined loss and expense ratios:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
  Workers' compensation:                          
    Loss and loss adjustment expenses     66.2 %   71.6 %   66.8 %   71.0 %
    Underwriting and other operating expenses     23.8 %   25.9 %   23.5 %   26.5 %
   
 
 
 
 
  Combined ratio     90.0 %   97.5 %   90.3 %   97.5 %
   
 
 
 
 
 
Reinsurance:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
    Loss and loss adjustment expenses     44.3 %   68.3 %   50.5 %   68.7 %
    Underwriting and other operating expenses     32.7 %   18.1 %   29.3 %   17.6 %
   
 
 
 
 
  Combined ratio     77.0 %   86.4 %   79.8 %   86.3 %
   
 
 
 
 

Workers' Compensation Operation

        Rising costs in recent years have necessitated significant rate increases, particularly in California. Overall rate increases in 2003 were 35%, including 46% in California. Overall rate increases in the six months ended June 30, 2004 were 12%, including 19% in California. Our workers' compensation net premiums earned increased in the three and six months ended June 30, 2004 compared to the corresponding periods in 2003 as a result of increases in rates and policies in-force.

        Income from operations and the combined ratio of our workers' compensation operation improved in the three and six months ended June 30, 2004 compared to the corresponding periods in 2003 as recent rate increases have exceeded the estimated increases in loss costs leading to a lower loss ratio and lower expense ratio in the three and six months ended June 30, 2004 compared to the comparable periods in 2003.

20



        Premiums and number of policies in-force in California and outside of California were as follows:

 
  California
  Outside of California
(Dollars in millions)

  Premiums
in-force

  Policies
in-force

  Premiums
in-force

  Policies
in-force

June 30, 2004   $ 695.7   26,700   $ 291.5   15,500
December 31, 2003     587.9   25,900     277.8   15,600
June 30, 2003     459.9   24,400     275.4   16,100
December 31, 2002     350.2   22,600     259.2   16,900
   
 
 
 

        Although we have increased our workers' compensation premiums significantly in 2004 and 2003, we believe that the increases in premiums in-force are substantially higher than the increases in underlying exposure to covered employees at risk of injury. We also believe that payroll is our best indicator of exposure. We estimate that the underlying payroll associated with our policies in-force increased by smaller percentages than the increases in premiums during the same periods as follows:

 
  Annual Increase in Insured Payroll
Policies in-force at June 30,

  California Only
  Total Company
2004       20%       14%
2003       21           14    
   
 

        Net premiums earned in the three and six months ended June 30, 2004 are net of $24.4 million and $47.8 million, respectively, of ceded premiums earned under a 10% quota share ceded reinsurance agreement with Odyssey America Reinsurance Corporation, a subsidiary of Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited ("Fairfax"), a Toronto-based financial services holding company, effective January 1, 2002 on policies effective on or after January 1, 2002. Net premiums earned in the three and six months ended June 30, 2003 are net of $18.8 million and $36.0 million, respectively, of the ceded premiums in connection with that agreement.

California Workers' Compensation Reform Legislation

        In California, workers' compensation reform legislation was enacted in April 2004. This legislation is in addition to the reform legislation enacted in September 2003. The principal purpose of these recent legislative changes to the California workers' compensation system was to lower the trend of increasing costs and improve the fairness of the system. Some of the provisions of the legislation of April 2004 are as follows:

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        On May 26, 2004, Zenith Insurance filed with the California Department of Insurance its workers' compensation rates for use on or after July 1, 2004. After giving effect to our current estimate of the savings from the reform legislation enacted in 2003 and 2004 and other factors, Zenith Insurance's new rates represent an overall reduction of 10% when compared to rates in effect since January 1, 2004. We believe that a measured and gradualistic response is appropriate to estimating the future impact of the California workers' compensation legislation because there is considerable uncertainty as to how some of the provisions will impact the behavior of the various participants in the California workers' compensation system and because some of the provisions do not become effective until January 1, 2005. Although we expect that, when fully implemented, the legislation should result in a lower trend of cost increases than we had experienced prior to the legislation, we cannot currently estimate the amount or the timing of the effects of such legislation.

Reinsurance Operation

        Income from operations and the combined ratio of the reinsurance operation fluctuate significantly depending upon the incidence or absence of large catastrophe losses. In the three and six months ended June 30, 2004 and 2003, there were no major catastrophes that impacted the reinsurance treaties we have written, and results of the reinsurance operation were comparable between the periods.

        Estimating catastrophe losses in the reinsurance business is highly dependent upon the nature and timing of the event and Zenith's ability to obtain timely and accurate information with which to estimate its liability to pay losses. Estimates of the impact of catastrophes on the reinsurance operation are based on the information that is currently available and such estimates could change based on new information that becomes available or based upon reinterpretation of existing information.

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Parent Operation

        Loss from operations of the parent segment before tax for the three and six months ended June 30, 2004 and 2003 were as follows:

 
  Three Months Ended
June 30,

  Six Months Ended
June 30,

 
(Dollars in thousands)

 
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
Interest expense   $ (3,283 ) $ (3,465 ) $ (6,467 ) $ (5,446 )
Parent expenses     (1,329 )   (1,420 )   (2,923 )   (2,939 )
   
 
 
 
 
Loss from operations   $ (4,612 ) $ (4,885 ) $ (9,390 ) $ (8,385 )
   
 
 
 
 

        Interest expense in the six months ended June 30, 2004 was higher than in the comparable period in 2003 because of the interest on our Convertible Notes. Interest on the Convertible Notes is added back to net income in the computation of diluted earnings per share (see Note 3 to the Consolidated Financial Statements).

Loss Reserves

        At June 30, 2004 and December 31, 2003, our loss reserves were as follows:

(Dollars in millions)

  June 30, 2004
  December 31, 2003
Workers' compensation:            
  Unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses   $ 1,234   $ 1,086
  Receivable from reinsurers and state trust funds for unpaid losses     263     230
   
 
Unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance   $ 971   $ 856
   
 
Reinsurance:            
  Unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses   $ 120   $ 135
  Receivable from reinsurers for unpaid losses        
   
 
Unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance   $ 120   $ 135
   
 
Total:            
  Unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses   $ 1,354   $ 1,221
  Receivable from reinsurers and state trust funds for unpaid losses     263     230
   
 
Unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance   $ 1,091   $ 991
   
 

        The estimate of the amount for claims arising from accidents or events which have not yet been reported is commonly known in the industry as "incurred but not reported" or "IBNR". IBNR, net of reinsurance, which was included in the net reserves at June 30, 2004 and December 31, 2003 was as follows:

(Dollars in millions)

  June 30,
2004

  December 31,
2003

Workers' compensation   $ 193.9   $ 143.2
Reinsurance     41.4     46.3
   
 
    $ 235.3   $ 189.5
   
 

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        We establish loss reserves in our financial statements that represent an estimate of amounts needed to pay and administer claims with respect to insured and reinsured events that have occurred, including events that have not yet been reported to us. Reserves are estimates and are inherently uncertain; they do not and cannot represent an exact measure of liability. Accordingly, our reserves may prove to be inadequate to cover our actual losses or they may prove to exceed the ultimate amount of our actual losses. At the end of every quarter, we perform a comprehensive review of our loss reserves and any changes in loss reserve estimates are reflected in our results of operations during the period in which the changes are made. Adverse development of previously estimated loss reserves results in a charge to our earnings and favorable development results in an increase in our earnings.

        Our actuaries produce a point estimate using the results of various methods of estimation. However, these various methods do not produce separate point estimates. The point estimate is prepared as follows: Our actuaries prepare reserve estimates based upon paid loss patterns, incurred loss patterns and claim count methods for all accident years. The actuarial point estimate is based on a selection of the results of these various methods depending upon both the age of the accident year and the geographic state of the injury. For more mature accident years, all of the methods produce very similar loss estimates and our actuarial point selections are based upon an average of these methods. For the more recent accident years, our actuarial estimate is based on both the paid loss patterns and assumed rates of inflation. Since the number of claims is relatively certain, the inflation assumption is the key assumption in establishing loss reserve estimates for these years. Management establishes loss reserve estimates in the financial statements that provide for substantial rates of inflation and at June 30, 2004 the loss reserves, net of reinsurance ceded, recorded in the financial statements were $1,090.7 million compared to the actuarial point estimate of loss reserves, of $1,082.2 million. We believe that this difference is not significant in the context of the amounts being estimated, because the difference is less than the difference that a change of 1% in the assumed inflation rate would produce.

        For our workers' compensation loss reserve estimates, considerable judgment is required in estimating losses for recent accident years because the ultimate amount we will have to pay will not be known for many years. The principal uncertainty in our workers' compensation loss reserve estimates at this time is caused by the trend of increasing severity or inflation. Severity is the average cost of a claim, which has increased consistently over recent years. We have observed this continuing inflationary trend in the amounts we have already paid out for claims in recent accident years, and we have assumed that our estimate of the ultimate cost of these claims, and, therefore, our loss reserve estimates, must reflect substantial rates of inflation.

        When we estimate our loss reserves, one important way we look at information is by accident year. This allows us to look at the year over year change in claim severity, or inflation—our most important assumption in establishing adequate loss reserve estimates. This methodology produces an estimate for total loss reserves and an allocation of the loss reserve estimate by accident year. Any changes in our assumptions about inflation rates will cause a change in the allocation of our loss reserve estimates by accident year, although our view of the adequacy of the total loss reserve estimate may be unchanged if the effect of the change in the inflation assumptions has the effect of reallocating the loss reserve estimate among accident years.

        The data in the second quarter for accident years 2002 and 2003 continues to suggest that inflation rates for these accident years may be lower than we have experienced in the preceding accident years; and therefore at the end of the second quarter we were more comfortable with lower inflation assumptions for accident years 2003 and 2004. We expect that California workers' compensation reform legislation that was enacted in September 2003 and April 2004 will cause the trend of cost increases in California to change and trend lower in the long-run. Quantifying the impact of the legislation is subject to considerable uncertainty due to many factors, among which are the role of government in operating the system and its efforts to fight fraud; the relative insensitivity of the California system to cost reductions; the experimental nature of many of the reforms; the fact that some of the reforms may

24



increase operating costs or loss costs; the fact that several key reforms will not become effective until January 1, 2005; the long learning curve which will be necessary by all participants to implement the changes; and the risk and cost of litigation. During the second quarter of 2004, we made our first preliminary estimate of some of the savings associated with the legislation in order to file our rates for use in California on or after July 1, 2004 and to make our loss reserve estimates at June 30, 2004. In our analysis, we took into consideration the fact that our workers' compensation claims are paid over many years and this provides more time over which the reform legislation may provide a favorable impact to the ultimate cost of claims for our current and some of the most recent accident years.

        At June 30, 2004, the accident year paid loss inflation rates in our paid loss data and the assumptions of accident year inflation rates in our estimates of ultimate losses were as follows:

 
   
   
   
   
   
   
  Assumed Inflation in Selected Ultimate Loss Estimate
  Assumed Inflation in Selected Ultimate Loss Estimate
 
 
  Average Paid Loss per Claim Annual Inflation
Evaluated After
(number of months)

 
Accident year

 
  18
  30
  42
  54
  66
  78
  June 30, 2004
  March 31, 2004
 
1998   8 % 11 % 9 % 9 % 10 % 12 % 13 % 13 %
1999   15   13   15   15   15       16   16  
2000   10   11   12   13           15   14  
2001   15   15   15               18   19  
2002   2   3                   6   6  
2003   4                       18   21  
2004                           16   22  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

        The changes in the inflation assumptions at June 30, 2004 compared to March 31, 2004 resulted in a reallocation of loss reserve estimates by accident year primarily from 2004 and 2003 to older accident years prior to 1998. The net effect of the change in accident year allocation had no impact on net income in the second quarter or first six months of 2004. The net increase in loss reserves during the second quarter of 2004 for accident years 2003 and prior was approximately $15.0 million or 1.6% of estimated workers' compensation reserves at March 31, 2004. In the first six months of 2003, we increased our estimate of workers' compensation losses for principally the 2000 and 2001 accident years by about $14 million. The adverse loss reserve development in the first six months of 2003 reflects an approximate 2% increase in the paid loss inflation rates for the 2000 and 2001 accident years in the first two quarters of 2003.

        Different assumptions about the inflation rate would change our workers' compensation loss reserve estimates. If the average annual inflation rates for each of the accident years 2001 through 2004 were increased or decreased by 1 percentage point in each year, our loss reserve estimates at June 30, 2004 would increase or decrease by about $29 million.

Investments Operations

        The investment portfolio increased during the three and six months ended June 30, 2004 principally as a result of favorable cash flow from workers' compensation and reinsurance operations.

        The increase in investment income in the six months ended June 30, 2004 compared to the corresponding period in 2003 was the result of the increase in our investment portfolio. The average

25



yields on the investment portfolio in the three and six months ended June 30, 2004 and 2003 were as follows:

 
  Three Months Ended
June 30,

  Six Months Ended
June 30,

 
 
  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
 
Before tax(1)   3.5 % 4.5 % 3.7 % 4.4 %
After tax   2.3 % 3.0 % 2.4 % 2.9 %
   
 
 
 
 

(1)
Reflects the pre-tax equivalent yield on tax-exempt securities.

        At June 30, 2004, our investment portfolio was comprised of 67% fixed maturity securities, 24% short-term investments, 5% equity securities and 4% other investments including mortgage loans and our investment in Advent Capital (Holdings) PLC ("Advent Capital"). At December 31, 2003, our investment portfolio was comprised of 71% fixed maturity securities, 19% short-term investments, 4% equity securities and 6% other investments including mortgage loans and our investment in Advent Capital. Fixed maturity securities include primarily corporate debt, U.S. Government securities, municipal bonds and mortgage-backed securities issued by the Government National Mortgage Association ("GNMA"). Of the fixed maturity portfolio, including short-term investments, 97% were rated investment grade at June 30, 2004 and at December 31, 2003. The average maturity of the fixed maturity portfolio, excluding short-term investments, was 6.9 years and 7.3 years at June 30, 2004 and December 31, 2003, respectively.

        Certain securities, amounting to 92% and 91% of the investments in fixed maturity securities and short-term investments at June 30, 2004 and December 31, 2003, respectively, are identified as available-for-sale. Stockholders' equity will fluctuate with changes in the fair values of available-for-sale securities. Stockholders' equity decreased by $14.5 million after deferred tax from December 31, 2003 to June 30, 2004 as a result of changes in the fair values of such fixed maturity investments.

        The unrealized net gain (loss) on held-to-maturity and available-for-sale fixed maturity investments were as follows:

 
   
  Available-for-Sale
(Dollars in thousands)

  Held-to-Maturity
Before Tax

  Before Tax
  After Tax
June 30, 2004   $ (654 ) $ 3,356   $ 2,181
December 31, 2003     1,812     25,708     16,710
   
 
 

        We monitor our portfolio continuously and actively manage our investments to preserve principal values whenever possible. However, when, in the opinion of management, a decline in the fair value of an investment is considered to be other-than-temporary, such investment is written-down to its fair value as a charge to earnings in the form of a reduction of realized gains on investments. The determination of other-than-temporary includes, in addition to other relevant factors, a presumption that if the market value is below cost by a significant amount for a period of time, a write-down is necessary. The amount of any write-downs is determined by the difference between cost, or amortized cost, of the investment and its fair value at the time the other-than-temporary decline was identified.

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        For the three and six months ended June 30, 2004 and 2003, write-downs reduced realized gains on investments as follows:

 
  Three Months Ended
June 30,

  Six Months Ended
June 30,

(Dollars in thousands)

  2004
  2003
  2004
  2003
Write-downs   $ 68   $ 0   $ 68   $ 2,600
   
 
 
 

        The write-down in 2004 was attributable to the impairment of an investment with a cost basis of $0.1 million before the write-down. The write-downs in 2003 were principally attributable to the impairment of two limited partnership investments.

        We continuously assess the prospects for individual securities as part of ongoing portfolio management, including the identification of other-than-temporary declines in fair values. This process includes reviewing the amount and length of time of unrealized losses on investments, historical and projected company financial performance, company-specific news and other developments, the outlook for industry sectors, credit ratings and macro-economic changes, including government policy initiatives. We believe that we have appropriately identified other-than-temporary declines in fair value in the three and six months ended June 30, 2004 and 2003, and that our remaining unrealized losses are not other-than-temporary. We base this conclusion on our current knowledge of the issuers of these securities and our presumption that an unrealized loss of a significant amount for a specific period of time is other-than-temporary. We have consistently applied this presumption for twelve years. We also have the ability and intent to hold securities with unrealized losses for a sufficient amount of time for them to recover their values or reach maturity.

        Future earnings would be negatively impacted by any future write-downs of securities associated with other-than-temporary declines of their fair values. Investments that we currently own could be subject to default by the issuer or could suffer declines in value that become other-than-temporary.

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Set forth below is information about unrealized gains and losses in our investment portfolio at June 30, 2004:

 
  Securities with
 
(Dollars in thousands)

  Unrealized
Losses

  Unrealized
Gains

 
Fixed maturity securities:              
  Fair value   $ 598,700   $ 516,501  
  Amortized cost     616,405     496,094  
  Unrealized (loss) gain     (17,705 )   20,407  
  Fair value as a percentage of amortized cost     97.1 %   104.1 %
  Number of security positions held     135     161  
  Number individually exceeding $0.5 million (loss) gain     7     4  
   
 
 
  Concentration of unrealized (losses) or gains by type or industry:              
    Municipal bonds   $ (4,487 ) $ 44  
    Machinery & equipment     (3,082 )   651  
    Hotels     (1,472 )    
    U.S. Government     (1,444 )   282  
    Petroleum Refining     (1,262 )   795  
    Financial Institutions     (1,233 )   893  
    Pharmaceuticals     (782 )   227  
    Chemicals     (676 )   299  
    GNMA     (663 )   1,134  
    Food and Beverages     (537 )   1,356  
    Other     (2,067 )   14,726  
   
 
 
    Total   $ (17,705 ) $ 20,407  
   
 
 

Fixed maturity securities:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
  Investment grade:              
    Fair value   $ 575,965   $ 486,784  
    Amortized cost     592,014     467,851  
    Fair value as a percentage of amortized cost     97.3 %   104.0 %
  Non-investment grade:              
    Fair value   $ 22,735   $ 29,717  
    Amortized cost     24,391     28,243  
    Fair value as a percentage of amortized cost     93.2 %   105.2 %
   
 
 
Equity securities:              
  Fair value   $ 17,711   $ 61,120  
  Cost     19,152     33,829  
  Unrealized (loss) gain     (1,441 )   27,291  
  Fair value as a percentage of cost     92.5 %   180.7 %
  Number of security positions held     12     24  
  Number individually exceeding $0.5 million (loss) gain     0     2  
   
 
 

        As of June 30, 2004, $25.6 million of the unrealized gain on equity securities is attributable to an investment in 1.0 million shares of common stock of Wynn Resorts, Limited with a cost basis of $13.0 million.

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        The table that follows sets forth the maturities of fixed maturity securities at June 30, 2004, based on their fair values:

 
  Securities with
(Dollars in thousands)

  Unrealized
losses

  Unrealized
gains

Maturity categories:            
1 year or less   $ 9,725   $ 40,041
After 1 year through 5 years     180,050     285,559
After 5 years through 10 years     309,926     152,449
After 10 years     98,999     38,452
   
 
    $ 598,700   $ 516,501
   
 

        The table below sets forth information about fixed maturity securities and equity securities with unrealized losses at June 30, 2004:

(Dollars in thousands)

  Fair
value

  Unrealized
loss

  Fair value as a
percentage of
cost basis

 
Fixed maturity securities with unrealized losses:                  
Exceeding $0.1 million at June 30, 2004 and for:                  
  Less than 3 months (35 issues)   $ 321,684   $ (8,945 ) 97.3 %
  3-6 months (14 issues)     54,061     (3,759 ) 93.5  
  Greater than 12 months (7 issues)     30,895     (2,510 ) 92.5  
Less than $0.1 million at June 30, 2004 (79 issues):     192,060     (2,491 ) 98.7  
   
 
 
 
    $ 598,700   $ (17,705 ) 97.1 %
   
 
 
 
Equity securities with unrealized losses:                  
Exceeding $0.1 million at June 30, 2004 and for:                  
  Less than 3 months (5 issues)   $ 10,857   $ (821 ) 93.0 %
  3-6 months (3 issues)     3,803     (582 ) 86.7  
Less than $0.1 million at June 30, 2004 (4 issues):     3,051     (38 ) 98.8  
   
 
 
 
    $ 17,711   $ (1,441 ) 92.5 %
   
 
 
 

        At June 30, 2004, there were six investments in corporate debt securities with unrealized losses individually exceeding $0.5 million. None of these unrealized losses meet our criteria for the presumption that they are other-than-temporary. We believe that the unrealized losses of these six investments at June 30, 2004 reflect the effect of recent market movements for interest rates.

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        The following is a summary of securities sold at a loss in the three and six months ended June 30, 2004:

(Dollars in thousands)

  Three Months Ended
June 30, 2004

  Six Months Ended
June 30, 2004

 
Fixed maturity securities:              
  Realized losses on sales   $ (1,049 ) $ (2,144 )
  Fair value at the date of sale     22,788     202,314  
  Number of securities sold     8     13  
  Losses realized on securities with an unrealized loss preceding the sale for:              
    Less than 3 months   $ (363 ) $ (1,458 )
    6-12 months     (686 )   (686 )
   
 
 
Equity securities:              
  Realized losses on sales   $ (503 ) $ (615 )
  Fair value at the date of sale     10,894     12,825  
  Number of securities sold     10     13  
  Losses realized on securities with an unrealized loss preceding the sale for:              
    Less than 3 months   $ (503 ) $ (615 )
   
 
 

        At the time we sold these investments, we had the ability to hold them for a sufficient time for them to recover their values and the sales were not related to any liquidity needs. However, our intent to hold them changed because we changed our conclusion about the outlook for the performance of the issuer or its industry. In some cases, we may have decided that our overall exposure to a particular issue or type of security or concentration within an industry should be reduced as part of ongoing portfolio management and asset allocation. At June 30, 2004, those securities which we are holding in our portfolio with an unrealized loss were compatible with our current view of appropriate asset allocation and issuer prospects. Any future changes in those assumptions could result in sales at a loss or write-downs of securities.

Liquidity and Capital Resources

        Zenith's insurance subsidiaries generally create liquidity because insurance premiums are collected prior to disbursements for claims which may take place many years after the collection of premiums. Collected premiums may be invested, prior to their use in such disbursements, and investment income provides additional cash receipts. In periods in which disbursements for claims and benefits, current policy acquisition costs and current operating and other expenses exceed operating cash receipts, cash flow is negative. Such negative cash flow is offset by cash flow from investments, principally from short-term investments and maturities of longer-term investments. The exact timing of the payment of claims and benefits cannot be predicted with certainty. The insurance subsidiaries maintain portfolios of invested assets with varying maturities and a substantial amount of short-term investments to provide adequate cash for the payment of claims. At June 30, 2004 and December 31, 2003, cash and short-term investments in the insurance subsidiaries amounted to $374.6 million and $275.6 million, respectively.

        Zenith National requires cash to pay any dividends declared to its stockholders, make interest and principal payments on its outstanding debt obligations, fund its operating expenses, and, from time to time, to make capital contributions to Zenith Insurance. Such cash requirements are generally funded in the long-run by dividends received from Zenith Insurance and financing or refinancing activities by Zenith National. Cash, short-term investments and other investments in Zenith National were $58.6 million and $72.4 million at June 30, 2004 and December 31, 2003, respectively.

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        In March 2004, Zenith National paid $7.6 million to repurchase $8.0 million aggregate liquidation amount of the outstanding Redeemable Securities. Zenith National used its available cash balances to fund these purchases.

        Zenith's Convertible Notes are convertible at each holder's option into shares of Zenith National common stock, par value $1.00 per share ("Zenith National common stock"), under certain circumstances including if the price of Zenith National common stock reaches specified thresholds. The conversion rate of 40 shares (subject to adjustment) for each $1,000 principal amount of the Convertible Notes is equivalent to an initial conversion price of $25.00 per share of Zenith common stock. The Convertible Notes were convertible during the first and second quarters of 2004; and $5,000 aggregate principal amount was converted into 200 shares of Zenith National common stock in March 2004. The sale price of Zenith common stock exceeded the conversion price of $25.00 per share at June 30, 2004 by 120% for 20 of the last 30 trading days of the second quarter of 2004. As a result of this event, each holder of the Convertible Notes will have the right to convert their Convertible Notes into Zenith National common stock at a conversion rate of 40 shares per $1,000 principal amount of Convertible Notes during the period beginning on July 1, 2004 and ending on September 30, 2004. The maximum number of shares that could be required to be issued upon conversion of all outstanding Convertible Notes is 5.0 million. Whether the Convertible Notes will be convertible after September 30, 2004 will depend upon the occurrence of the events specified in the indenture governing the Convertible Notes, including the sale price of Zenith National common stock.

        Zenith National's insurance subsidiaries are subject to insurance regulations which restrict their ability to distribute dividends. In 2004, Zenith Insurance would be able to pay up to $70.9 million of dividends to Zenith National without the prior approval of the California Department of Insurance. The restrictions on the payment of dividends have not had, and under current regulations are not expected to have, a material adverse impact on the ability of Zenith Insurance to pay dividends. In a court ruling, a California statute that allowed a deduction for the dividends received from wholly-owned insurance companies in the determination of taxable income for the California Franchise Tax was held unconstitutional in certain circumstances. The consequences of the decision are unclear, but the California Franchise Tax Board ("FTB") has taken the position that the decision has caused the statute to be invalid for all purposes and will disallow in its entirety the deduction for dividends received from insurance subsidiaries. If sustained, such action by the FTB would have the effect of imposing a tax of approximately 6% (after the benefit of a federal tax deduction) on any dividends paid from Zenith Insurance to Zenith National. We are unable to predict the ultimate outcome of this matter, which depends upon the actions of the FTB, the prospects for appropriate legislative relief and various tax strategies that may be available to Zenith to alleviate the consequences of any actions by the FTB.

Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates

        The preparation of financial statements in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America requires both the use of estimates and judgment relative to the application of appropriate accounting policies. Zenith's accounting policies are described in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in Zenith's Annual Report on Form 10-K/A for the year ended December 31, 2003 ("2003 Form 10-K/A"). We believe that certain matters related to accounting policies and estimates in the areas of loss reserves, investments, deferred policy acquisition costs and deferred income taxes are particularly important to an understanding of Zenith's financial statements. These matters are discussed under "Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates" in the MD&A section of Zenith's 2003 Form 10-K/A.

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Contractual Obligations and Contingent Liabilities

        All of Zenith's outstanding financing obligations are included in the Consolidated Financial Statements and the accompanying Notes. There are no liquidity or financing arrangements with unconsolidated entities or any off-balance sheet arrangements. Zenith National's available invested assets and other sources of liquidity are currently expected to be sufficient to meet its requirements for liquidity in the short-term and long-term.

        The table below sets forth the amounts of Zenith's contractual obligations, including interest payable, at June 30, 2004:

 
  Payments due by period
(Dollars in thousands)

  Redeemable securities
including interest

  Convertible
notes

  Operating lease
commitments

  Loss
reserves

  Total
Less than 1 year   $ 2,523   $ 128,589   $ 3,141   $ 341,041   $ 475,294
1-3 years     10,090           9,605     384,842     404,537
3-5 years     10,090           5,637     187,076     202,803
More than 5 years     159,887           1,032     441,239     602,158
   
 
 
 
 
Total   $ 182,590   $ 128,589   $ 19,415   $ 1,354,198   $ 1,684,792
   
 
 
 
 

        Our contractual obligations under the outstanding Redeemable Securities are comprised of $123.6 million of interest payments over the next 25 years and $59.0 million of principal payable in 2028. Our contractual obligations under the outstanding Convertible Notes are comprised of $3.6 million of interest payments in the third quarter of 2004 and $125.0 million of principal that may be due in the third quarter of 2004 as a result of conversion because the holders of the Convertible Notes currently have the right to convert their notes into our common stock during the third quarter of 2004 as a result of the triggering of the contingent conversion condition relative to our stock price at the end of the second quarter of 2004. Whether the notes will be convertible after September 30, 2004 will depend upon the occurrence of events specified in the indenture governing the Convertible Notes, including the sale price of our common stock. If the Convertible Notes are not converted or redeemed prior to the scheduled maturity in 2023, the total interest obligation over the remaining term would be $136.6 million. In addition, Zenith may be required to pay contingent interest during any six-month period commencing with the six-month period beginning September 30, 2008 if the average market price of a Convertible Note for the five trading days ending on the second trading day immediately preceding the relevant six-month period equals 120% or more of the principal amount of the Convertible Notes.

        Zenith's contingent liabilities are discussed in Note 6 to the Consolidated Financial Statements. Accrued guarantee fund assessments would be payable within approximately one year, if they are ultimately assessed. We cannot currently predict the timing or the outcome of the contingencies surrounding reinsurance recoverable from Reliance Insurance Company or the contingencies surrounding recoveries from the Florida Special Disability Trust Fund.

        Our loss reserves do not have contractual maturity dates. However, based upon historical payment patterns, we have included an estimate of when we expect our loss reserves to be paid in the preceding table. The exact timing of the payment of claims cannot be predicted with certainty. We maintain a portfolio of investments with varying maturities and a substantial amount of short-term investments to provide adequate cash for the payment of claims. We do not expect to have to sell securities or use our credit facilities to pay claims.

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Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk

        The fair value of the fixed maturity investment portfolio is exposed to interest rate risk—the risk of loss in fair value resulting from changes in prevailing market rates of interest for similar financial instruments. However, Zenith has the ability to hold fixed maturity investments to maturity. Zenith relies on the experience and judgment of senior management to monitor and mitigate the effects of market risk. Zenith does not utilize financial instrument hedges or derivative financial instruments to manage risks, nor does it enter into any swap, forward or option contracts, but will attempt to mitigate its exposure through active portfolio management. The allocation among various types of securities is adjusted from time to time based on market conditions, credit conditions, tax policy, fluctuations in interest rates and other factors. In addition, Zenith places the majority of its investments in high-quality, liquid securities and limits the amount of credit exposure to any one issuer.

        The table below provides information about Zenith's financial instruments for which fair values are subject to changes in interest rates. For fixed maturity investments, the table presents fair values of investments held and weighted average interest rates on such investments by expected maturity dates. Such investments include corporate bonds, municipal bonds, government bonds, redeemable preferred stock, and mortgage-backed securities. For Zenith's debt obligations, the table presents principal cash flows by expected maturity dates (including interest):

 
  Expected Maturity Date
 
(Dollars in thousands)

 
  2004
  2005
  2006
  2007
  2008
  Thereafter
  Total
 
As of June 30, 2004                                            
Investments:                                            
  Held-to-maturity and available-for-sale securities:                                            
    Fixed rate   $ 24,532   $ 158,996   $ 81,306   $ 120,665   $ 64,659   $ 665,043   $ 1,115,201  
    Weighted average interest rate     2.5 %   2.6 %   3.2 %   3.3 %   4.1 %   5.4 %   4.5 %
  Short-term investments   $ 402,032                                 $ 402,032  
Debt and interest obligations of Zenith:                                            
  Convertible Notes payable(1)     128,589                                   128,589  
  Redeemable securities     2,523   $ 5,045   $ 5,045   $ 5,045   $ 5,045   $ 159,887     182,590  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

As of December 31, 2003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
Investments:                                            
  Held-to-maturity and available-for-sale securities:                                            
    Fixed rate   $ 90,711   $ 43,934   $ 195,209   $ 80,195   $ 59,669   $ 611,644   $ 1,081,362  
    Weighted average interest rate     1.7 %   1.9 %   2.6 %   3.5 %   3.9 %   5.1 %   4.1 %
  Short-term investments   $ 285,760                                 $ 285,760  
Debt and interest obligations of Zenith:                                            
  Convertible Notes payable(1)     128,594                                   128,594  
  Redeemable securities     5,729   $ 5,729   $ 5,729   $ 5,729   $ 5,729   $ 181,580     210,225  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

(1)
The Convertible Notes are shown with an expected maturity date in 2004 because the holders have the right to convert their notes into our common stock during the third quarter of 2004 (See discussion of the Convertible Notes under "Liquidity and Capital Resources" and "Contractual Obligations and Contingent Liabilities" in this MD&A).

33


Item 4. Controls and Procedures

34



PART II
OTHER INFORMATION

Item 4. Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders

        The Annual Stockholders' Meeting of Zenith National was held on May 26, 2004. Two matters were presented to a vote of the stockholders.

        One matter was the election of Directors. The tabulation of votes for the nominees, all of whom were elected, follows:

Director

  Votes For
  Votes Withheld
Max M. Kampelman   17,350,980   151,295
Robert J. Miller   16,996,662   505,613
Leon E. Panetta   17,162,197   340,078
Catherine B. Reynolds   17,432,966   69,309
Alan I. Rothenberg   17,441,334   60,941
William S. Sessions   17,350,826   151,449
Gerald Tsai, Jr.   17,107,190   395,085
Michael Wm. Zavis   17,099,405   402,870
Stanley R. Zax   17,382,360   119,915

        With respect to the election of Directors, there were no votes cast against any Directors, no abstentions and no broker non-votes.

        The second matter was a vote to approve the adoption of the 2004 Restricted Stock Plan, which will enable Zenith to grant awards of restricted stock to certain employees. The matter was approved by the stockholders. A tabulation of votes follows:

For
  Against
  Abstain
  Brokers' Non-Votes
11,265,966   1,895,659   138,499   4,202,151

Item 6. Exhibits and Reports on Form 8-K


3.1   Certificate of Incorporation of Zenith National Insurance Corp., dated May 28, 1971. (Incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 3.1 to Zenith's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2000.)

3.2

 

Certificate of Amendment of Certificate of Incorporation of Zenith National Insurance Corp., dated September 12, 1977. (Incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 3.2 to Zenith's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2000.)

3.3

 

Certificate of Amendment of Certificate of Incorporation of Zenith National Insurance Corp., dated May 31, 1979. (Incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 3.3 to Zenith's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2000.)

3.4

 

Certificate of Amendment of Certificate of Incorporation of Zenith National Insurance Corp., dated September 6, 1983. (Incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 3.4 to Zenith's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2000.)
     

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3.5

 

Certificate of Designation of Zenith National Insurance Corp., dated September 10, 1985. (Incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 3.5 to Zenith's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2000.)

3.6

 

Certificate of Amendment of Certificate of Incorporation of Zenith National Insurance Corp., dated November 22, 1985. (Incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 3.6 to Zenith's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2000.)

3.7

 

Certificate of Amendment of Certificate of Incorporation of Zenith National Insurance Corp., dated May 19, 1987. (Incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 3.7 to Zenith's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2000.)

3.8

 

Certificate of Change of Address of Registered Office and of Registered Agent of Zenith National Insurance Corp., dated October 10, 1989. (Incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 3.8 to Zenith's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2000.)

3.9

 

By-laws of Zenith National Insurance Corp., as currently in effect. (Incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit 3.9 to Zenith's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2002.)

*10.1

 

Zenith National Insurance Corp. 2004 Restricted Stock Plan. (Incorporated by reference to Exhibit 4.1 to Zenith's Registration Statement on Form S-8, Registration No. 333-115902, filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on May 26, 2004.)

10.2

 

Registration and Indemnification Agreement, dated as of June 14, 2004, between Zenith National Insurance Corp. and Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited.

11

 

Statement re: computation of per share earnings. (Note 3 to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) included in Item 1 of Part I of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q is incorporated herein by reference.)

31.1

 

Certification of the CEO, pursuant to Exchange Act Rule13a-14(a) or Rule 15d-14(a).

31.2

 

Certification of the CFO, pursuant to Exchange Act Rule13a-14(a) or Rule 15d-14(a).

32

 

Certification of the CEO and CFO, pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.

*
Management contract or compensatory plan or arrangement

(b)
Reports on Form 8-K

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37



Signatures

        Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized, on July 21, 2004.

    ZENITH NATIONAL INSURANCE CORP.

 

 

By:

/s/  
STANLEY R. ZAX      
Stanley R. Zax
Chairman of the Board and President
(Principal Executive Officer)

 

 

By:

/s/  
WILLIAM J. OWEN      
William J. Owen
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
(Principal Financial and Accounting Officer)

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QuickLinks

Zenith National Insurance Corp. and Subsidiaries Form 10-Q For the Quarter Ended June 30, 2004
Table of Contents
PART l FINANCIAL INFORMATION
Item 1. Financial Statements
ZENITH NATIONAL INSURANCE CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
ZENITH NATIONAL INSURANCE CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS (UNAUDITED)
ZENITH NATIONAL INSURANCE CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS (UNAUDITED)
ZENITH NATIONAL INSURANCE CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS (CONTINUED) (UNAUDITED)
ZENITH NATIONAL INSURANCE CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY (UNAUDITED)
ZENITH NATIONAL INSURANCE CORP. AND SUBSIDIARIES NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)
PART II OTHER INFORMATION
Signatures