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SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

 
 
 

FORM 10-Q

 
 
 

Quarterly Report Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the

Securities Exchange Act of 1934


For the Quarterly Period Ended
September 30, 2003

Commission File
No. 1-13653


AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.


Incorporated under
the Laws of Ohio

 IRS Employer I.D.
No. 31-1544320



One East Fourth Street, Cincinnati, Ohio 45202

(513) 579-2121

 

 

 

 

 

       Indicate by check mark whether the Registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months, and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes   X      No       

       Indicate by check mark whether the Registrant is an accelerated filer. Yes   X      No       

       As of November 1, 2003, there were 69,700,572 shares of the Registrant's Common Stock outstanding, excluding 18,666,614 shares owned by subsidiaries.

 

 

 

 

 


AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

 

 

 

Page 

Part I - Financial Information

 

  Item 1 - Financial Statements:

 

                Consolidated Balance Sheet

2 

                Consolidated Statement of Earnings

3 

                Consolidated Statement of Changes in Shareholders' Equity

4 

                Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows

5 

                Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

6 

  Item  2 - Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition

 

            and Results of Operations

17 

  Item  3 - Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosure of Market Risk

29 

  Item  4 - Controls and Procedures

29 

   

Part II - Other Information

 

  Item  1 - Legal Proceedings

30 

  Item  6 - Exhibits and Reports on Form 8-K

30 

  Signature

31 

   

Exhibit Index

 

  Exhibit 12    - Computation of Ratio of Earnings to Fixed Charges

E-1 

  Exhibit 31(a) - Certification of the Chief Executive Officer Pursuant to

 

                  Section 302(a) of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002

E-2 

  Exhibit 31(b) - Certification of the Chief Financial Officer Pursuant to

 

                  Section 302(a) of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002

E-3 

  Exhibit 32    - Certification of the Chief Executive Officer and the

 

                  Chief Financial Officer Pursuant to Section 906 of the

 

                  Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002

E-4 

   
   
   

                                                               

 
   

 

 

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. 10-Q

PART I

FINANCIAL INFORMATION

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEET

(Dollars In Thousands)

 

September 30,

December 31,

 

        2003 

       2002 

Assets:

   

  Cash and short-term investments

$   801,668 

$   871,103 

  Investments:

   

    Fixed maturities - at market

   

      (amortized cost - $11,717,287 and $11,549,710)

12,209,187 

12,006,910 

    Other stocks - at market

 

 

      (cost - $245,279 and $174,645)

402,779 

300,445 

    Investment in investee corporations

169,996 

-    

    Policy loans

215,349 

214,852 

    Real estate and other investments

    264,649 

    257,731 

        Total investments

13,261,960 

12,779,938 

     

  Recoverables from reinsurers and prepaid

 

 

    reinsurance premiums

3,003,316 

2,866,780 

  Agents' balances and premiums receivable

571,680 

708,327 

  Deferred acquisition costs

850,906 

842,070 

  Other receivables

383,698 

307,008 

  Variable annuity assets (separate accounts)

509,036 

455,142 

  Prepaid expenses, deferred charges and other assets

312,368 

425,775 

  Goodwill

    169,331 

    248,683 

     
 

$19,863,963 

$19,504,826 

     

Liabilities and Capital:

   

  Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses

$ 4,793,333 

$ 5,203,831 

  Unearned premiums

1,670,324 

1,847,924 

  Annuity benefits accumulated

6,866,953 

6,453,881 

  Life, accident and health reserves

964,925 

902,393 

  Payable to reinsurers

404,760 

508,718 

  Long-term debt:

 

 

    Holding companies

586,171 

648,410 

    Subsidiaries

229,277 

296,771 

  Variable annuity liabilities (separate accounts)

509,036 

455,142 

  Amounts due brokers for securities purchased

505,192 

23,616 

  Accounts payable, accrued expenses and other 

   

    liabilities

    999,009 

    967,268 

        Total liabilities

17,528,980 

17,307,954 

     

  Minority interest

498,778 

471,024 

     

  Shareholders' Equity:

   

    Common Stock, no par value

   

      - 200,000,000 shares authorized

   

      - 69,688,005 and 69,129,352 shares outstanding

69,688 

69,129 

    Capital surplus

931,049 

923,042 

    Retained earnings

480,968 

409,777 

    Unrealized gain on marketable securities, net

    354,500 

    323,900 

        Total shareholders' equity

  1,836,205 

  1,725,848 

     
 

$19,863,963 

$19,504,826 

2

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. 10-Q

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF EARNINGS

(In Thousands, Except Per Share Data)

 

 

Three months ended  

Nine months ended    

 

    September 30,    

     September 30,      

 

2003 

2002 

2003 

2002 

Income:

       

  Property and casualty insurance

       

    premiums

$478,009 

$605,012 

$1,433,294 

$1,827,855 

  Life, accident and health premiums

83,887 

80,972 

246,615 

224,616 

  Investment income

189,866 

215,607 

578,881 

647,635 

  Realized gains (losses) on:

 

 

 

 

    Securities

21,792 

(23,096)

41,929 

(88,530)

    Subsidiaries

-    

(10,769)

(31,682)

(10,769)

    Other investments

-    

9,253 

-    

9,253 

  Other income

  75,865 

  66,450 

   200,028 

   177,175 

 

849,419 

943,429 

2,469,065 

2,787,235 

Costs and Expenses:

   

 

 

  Property and casualty insurance:

   

 

 

    Losses and loss adjustment expenses

325,014 

443,625 

1,014,823 

1,345,575 

    Commissions and other underwriting

 

 

 

 

      expenses

132,850 

158,848 

413,158 

495,803 

  Annuity benefits

71,523 

68,685 

227,230 

215,226 

  Life, accident and health benefits

62,964 

69,579 

185,367 

184,891 

  Annuity and life acquisition expenses

27,457 

31,112 

87,026 

81,124 

  Interest charges on borrowed money

14,613 

15,647 

42,595 

44,486 

  Other operating and general expenses

 142,667 

 104,530 

   338,014 

   293,952 

 777,088 

 892,026 

 2,308,213 

 2,661,057 

     

 

 

Operating earnings before income taxes

72,331 

51,403 

160,852 

126,178 

Provision for income taxes

  22,546 

  15,447 

    42,368 

    19,376 

     

 

 

Net operating earnings

49,785 

35,956 

118,484 

106,802 

         

Minority interest expense, net of tax

(11,094)

(6,330)

(27,137)

(18,189)

Equity in net earnings (losses)

   

 

 

  of investees, net of tax

   2,909 

  (2,746)

     5,883 

    (7,833)

Earnings before cumulative effect

 

 

 

 

  of accounting change

41,600 

26,880 

97,230 

80,780 

Cumulative effect of accounting change

    -    

    -    

      -    

   (40,360)

     

 

 

Net Earnings

$ 41,600 

$ 26,880 

$   97,230 

$   40,420 

     

 

 

Basic earnings per Common Share:

   

 

 

  Before accounting change

$.60 

$.39 

$1.40 

$1.18 

  Cumulative effect of accounting change

  -  

  -  

  -   

(.59)

  Net earnings available to Common Shares

$.60 

$.39 

$1.40 

$.59 

         

Diluted earnings per Common Share:

       

  Before accounting change

$.59 

$.39 

$1.39 

$1.17 

  Cumulative effect of accounting change

  -  

  -  

  -   

(.59)

  Net earnings available to Common Shares

$.59 

$.39 

$1.39 

$.58 

Average number of Common Shares:

       

  Basic

69,651 

68,873 

69,507 

68,717 

  Diluted

70,019 

69,155 

69,785 

69,177 

Cash dividends per Common Share

$.125 

$.125 

$.375 

$.375 

     

 

 

3

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. 10-Q

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY

(Dollars in Thousands)

 

   

Common Stock 

 

Unrealized 

 
 

Common 

and Capital 

Retained 

Gain on 

 
 

    Shares 

     Surplus 

Earnings 

Securities 

     Total 

Balance at January 1, 2003

69,129,352 

$  992,171 

$409,777 

$323,900 

$1,725,848 

           

Net earnings

-    

-    

97,230 

-    

97,230 

Change in unrealized

-    

-    

-    

30,600 

    30,600 

  Comprehensive income

       

127,830 

           

Dividends on Common Stock

-    

-    

(26,039)

-    

(26,039)

Shares issued:

         

  Exercise of stock options

14,400 

303 

-    

-    

303 

  Dividend reinvestment plan

159,429 

3,284 

-    

-    

3,284 

  Employee stock purchase plan

32,577 

701 

-    

-    

701 

  Retirement plan contributions

345,434 

6,925 

-    

-    

6,925 

  Deferred compensation distributions

3,300 

71 

-    

-    

71 

  Directors fees paid in stock

3,517 

76 

-    

-    

76 

Shares acquired and retired

(4)

-    

-    

-    

-    

Other

      -    

    (2,794)

    -    

    -    

    (2,794)

           

Balance at September 30, 2003

69,688,005 

$1,000,737 

$480,968 

$354,500 

$1,836,205 

           
           
           
           
           

Balance at January 1, 2002

68,491,610 

$  979,566 

$359,513 

$159,300 

$1,498,379 

           

Net earnings

-    

-    

40,420 

-    

40,420 

Change in unrealized

-    

-    

-    

161,600 

   161,600 

  Comprehensive income

       

202,020 

           

Dividends on Common Stock

-    

-    

(25,744)

-    

(25,744)

Shares issued:

         

  Exercise of stock options

26,537 

608 

-    

-    

608 

  Dividend reinvestment plan

201,051 

4,410 

-    

-    

4,410 

  Employee stock purchase plan

33,699 

858 

-    

-    

858 

  Retirement plan contributions

216,740 

5,599 

-    

-    

5,599 

  Directors fees paid in stock

2,875 

72 

-    

-    

72 

  Deferred compensation distributions

1,809 

45 

-    

-    

45 

Shares acquired and retired

(789)

(11)

(9)

-    

(20)

Tax effect of intercompany dividends

-    

(2,400)

-    

-    

(2,400)

Other

      -    

       244 

    -    

    -    

       244 

           

Balance at September 30, 2002

68,973,532 

$  988,991 

$374,180 

$320,900 

$1,684,071 

 

 

4

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. 10-Q

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF CASH FLOWS

(In Thousands)

 

Nine months ended     

 

        September 30,       

 

2003 

2002 

Operating Activities:

  Net earnings

$   97,230 

$   40,420 

  Adjustments:

   

    Cumulative effect of accounting change

-    

40,360 

    Equity in net (earnings) losses of investees

(5,883)

7,833 

    Minority interest

12,025 

3,149 

    Depreciation and amortization

135,023 

132,007 

    Annuity benefits

227,230 

215,226 

    Realized (gains) losses on investing activities

(19,672)

82,206 

    Deferred annuity and life policy acquisition costs

(118,765)

(121,160)

    Increase in reinsurance and other receivables

(404,718)

(514,206)

    Decrease (increase) in other assets

30,155 

(56,465)

    Increase in insurance claims and reserves

620,421 

561,134 

    Increase (decrease) in payable to reinsurers

(25,156)

168,987 

    Increase in other liabilities

56,818 

100,615 

    Dividends from investees

864 

-    

    Other, net

     8,909 

     1,280 

 

   614,481 

   661,386 

     

Investing Activities:

   

  Purchases of and additional investments in:

   

    Fixed maturity investments

(5,901,447)

(3,718,410)

    Equity securities

(113,409)

(9,217)

    Subsidiary

-    

(48,500)

    Real estate, property and equipment

(22,994)

(37,870)

  Maturities and redemptions of fixed maturity

   

    investments

1,428,014 

1,256,037 

  Sales of:

 

 

    Fixed maturity investments

3,615,671 

2,057,781 

    Equity securities

36,464 

20,144 

    Subsidiaries

247,380 

-    

    Real estate, property and equipment

14,236 

12,731 

  Cash and short-term investments of acquired

 

 

    (former) subsidiaries, net

(112,666)

4,392 

  Collection of receivable from investee

55,000 

-    

  Decrease in other investments

       531 

    26,432 

 

  (753,220)

  (436,480)

Financing Activities:

   

  Fixed annuity receipts

592,806 

599,174 

  Annuity surrenders, benefits and withdrawals

(417,590)

(410,561)

  Net transfers from variable annuity assets

4,061 

12,318 

  Additional long-term borrowings

228,715 

79,000 

  Reductions of long-term debt

(363,405)

(145,655)

  Issuances of trust preferred securities

33,943 

-    

  Issuances of Common Stock

881 

1,317 

  Subsidiary's issuance of stock in rights offering

10,632 

-    

  Cash dividends paid

(22,755)

(21,374)

  Other, net

     2,016 

       (96)

 

    69,304 

   114,123 

     

Net Increase (Decrease) in Cash and Short-term Investments

(69,435)

339,029 

     

Cash and short-term investments at beginning

   

  of period

   871,103 

   544,173 

     

Cash and short-term investments at end of period

$  801,668 

$  883,202 

5

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. 10-Q

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

_________________________________________________________________________________

INDEX TO NOTES

A.

Accounting Policies

F.

Long-Term Debt

B.

Acquisitions and Sales of Subsidiaries

G.

Minority Interest

C.

Segments of Operations

H.

Shareholders' Equity

D.

Investment in Investees

I.

Commitments and Contingencies

E.

Goodwill

J.

Subsequent Events

________________________________________________________________________________

  1. Accounting Policies
  2. Basis of Presentation  The accompanying consolidated financial statements for American Financial Group, Inc. ("AFG") and subsidiaries are unaudited; however, management believes that all adjustments (consisting only of normal recurring accruals unless otherwise disclosed herein) necessary for fair presentation have been made. The results of operations for interim periods are not necessarily indicative of results to be expected for the year. The financial statements have been prepared in accordance with the instructions to Form 10-Q and therefore do not include all information and footnotes necessary to be in conformity with generally accepted accounting principles.

    Certain reclassifications have been made to prior years to conform to the current year's presentation. All significant intercompany balances and transactions have been eliminated. All acquisitions have been treated as purchases. The results of operations of companies since their formation or acquisition are included in the consolidated financial statements.

    The preparation of the financial statements requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the amounts reported in the financial statements and accompanying notes. Changes in circumstances could cause actual results to differ materially from those estimates.

    Proposed Merger with AFC  On November 20, 2003, American Financial Corporation ("AFC") Series J preferred shareholders are scheduled to vote on a proposed merger agreement under which AFC and its parent, AFC Holding Company ("AFC Holding" or "AFCH", a direct 100%-owned subsidiary of AFG), would each merge into AFG. If approved, AFC Series J preferred shareholders will receive $26.00 in AFG Common Stock (aggregate value $75 million) in exchange for each share of Series J preferred stock. In addition, approximately $170 million in deferred tax liabilities associated with AFC's holding of AFG stock would be eliminated.

    Investments  All fixed maturity securities are considered "available for sale" and reported at fair value with unrealized gains and losses reported as a separate component of shareholders' equity. Short-term investments are carried at cost; loans receivable are carried primarily at the aggregate unpaid balance. Premiums and discounts on mortgage-backed securities are amortized over a period based on estimated future principal payments, including prepayments. Prepayment assumptions are reviewed periodically and adjusted to reflect actual prepayments and changes in expectations. The most significant determinants of prepayments are the difference between interest rates on the underlying mortgages and current mortgage loan rates and the structure of the security. Other factors affecting prepayments include the size, type and age of underlying mortgages, the geographic location of the mortgaged properties and the cr edit worthiness of the borrowers. Variations from anticipated prepayments will affect the life and yield of these securities.

    Gains or losses on securities are determined on the specific identification basis. When a decline in the value of a specific investment is considered to be other than temporary, a provision for impairment is charged to earnings (included in realized gains) and the cost basis of that investment is reduced.

    6

    AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. 10-Q

    NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS - CONTINUED

     

    Derivatives  Derivatives included in AFG's Balance Sheet consist primarily of investments in common stock warrants (valued at $5.9 million at September 30, 2003; included in other stocks), the equity-based component of certain annuity products (included in annuity benefits accumulated) and related call options (included in other investments) designed to be consistent with the characteristics of the liabilities and used to mitigate the risk embedded in those annuity products. Changes in the fair value of derivatives are included in current earnings.

    Investment in Investee Corporations  Investments in securities of 20%-to 50%-owned companies are generally carried at cost, adjusted for AFG's proportionate share of their undistributed earnings or losses.

    Goodwill  Goodwill represents the excess of cost of subsidiaries over AFG's equity in their underlying net assets. Effective January 1, 2002, AFG implemented Statement of Financial Accounting Standards ("SFAS") No. 142, under which goodwill is no longer amortized but is subject to an impairment test at least annually. As required under SFAS No. 142, AFG completed the transitional test for goodwill impairment (as of January 1, 2002) in the fourth quarter of 2002. The resulting write-down was reported by restating first quarter 2002 results for the cumulative effect of a change in accounting principle.

    Insurance  As discussed under "Reinsurance" below, unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses and unearned premiums have not been reduced for reinsurance recoverable.

           Reinsurance  Amounts recoverable from reinsurers are estimated in a manner consistent with the claim liability associated with the reinsured policies. AFG's insurance subsidiaries report as assets (a) the estimated reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses, including an estimate for losses incurred but not reported, and (b) amounts paid to reinsurers applicable to the unexpired terms of policies in force. Payable to reinsurers includes ceded premiums retained by AFG's insurance subsidiaries under contracts to fund ceded losses as they become due. AFG's insurance subsidiaries also assume reinsurance from other companies. Income on reinsurance assumed is recognized based on reports received from ceding companies.

           Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs ("DPAC")  Policy acquisition costs (principally commissions, premium taxes and other marketing and underwriting expenses) related to the production of new business are deferred. For the property and casualty companies, DPAC is limited based upon recoverability without any consideration for anticipated investment income and is charged against income ratably over the terms of the related policies.

    DPAC related to annuities and universal life insurance products is deferred to the extent deemed recoverable and amortized, with interest, in relation to the present value of expected gross profits on the policies. To the extent that realized gains and losses result in adjustments to the amortization of DPAC related to annuities, such adjustments are reflected as components of realized gains. DPAC related to annuities is also adjusted, net of tax, for the change in amortization that would have been recorded if the unrealized gains (losses) from securities had actually been realized. This adjustment is included in "Unrealized gain on marketable securities, net" in the shareholders' equity section of the Balance Sheet.

    7

    AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. 10-Q

    NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS - CONTINUED

     

    DPAC related to traditional life and health insurance is amortized over the expected premium paying period of the related policies, in proportion to the ratio of annual premium revenues to total anticipated premium revenues.

           Annuity and Life Acquisition Expenses  Annuity and life acquisition expenses on the Statement of Earnings consists primarily of amortization of DPAC related to the annuity and life, accident and health businesses. This line item also includes certain marketing and commission costs that are expensed as paid.

           Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses  The net liabilities stated for unpaid claims and for expenses of investigation and adjustment of unpaid claims are based upon (a) the accumulation of case estimates for losses reported prior to the close of the accounting period on direct business written; (b) estimates received from ceding reinsurers and insurance pools and associations; (c) estimates of unreported losses based on past experience; (d) estimates based on experience of expenses for investigating and adjusting claims; and (e) the current state of the law and coverage litigation. Establishing reserves for asbestos and environmental claims involves considerably more judgment than other types of claims due to, among other things, inconsistent court decisions, an increase in bankruptcy filings as a result of asbestos-related liabilities, novel theories of coverage, and judicial interpretations that often expand theories of recovery and broaden the scope of coverage.

    Loss reserve liabilities are subject to the impact of changes in claim amounts and frequency and other factors. Changes in estimates of the liabilities for losses and loss adjustment expenses are reflected in the Statement of Earnings in the period in which determined. In spite of the variability inherent in such estimates, management believes that the liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses are adequate.

           Annuity Benefits Accumulated  Annuity receipts and benefit payments are recorded as increases or decreases in "annuity benefits accumulated" rather than as revenue and expense. Increases in this liability for interest credited are charged to expense and decreases for surrender charges are credited to other income.

           Life, Accident and Health Reserves  Liabilities for future policy benefits under traditional life, accident and health policies are computed using the net level premium method. Computations are based on the original projections of investment yields, mortality, morbidity and surrenders and include provisions for unfavorable deviations. Reserves established for accident and health claims are modified as necessary to reflect actual experience and developing trends.

           Variable Annuity Assets and Liabilities  Separate accounts related to variable annuities represent deposits invested in underlying investment funds on which Great American Financial Resources, Inc. ("GAFRI"), an 82%-owned subsidiary, earns a fee. Investment funds are selected and may be changed only by the policyholder, who retains all investment risk.

           Premium Recognition  Property and casualty premiums are earned over the terms of the policies on a pro rata basis. Unearned premiums represent that portion of premiums written which is applicable to the unexpired terms of policies in force. On reinsurance assumed from other insurance companies or written through various underwriting organizations, unearned premiums are based on reports received from such companies and organizations. For traditional life, accident and health products, premiums are recognized as revenue when legally collectible

    8

    AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. 10-Q

    NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS - CONTINUED

     

    from policyholders. For interest-sensitive life and universal life products, premiums are recorded in a policyholder account which is reflected as a liability. Revenue is recognized as amounts are assessed against the policyholder account for mortality coverage and contract expenses.

           Policyholder Dividends  Dividends payable to policyholders are included in "Accounts payable, accrued expenses and other liabilities" and represent estimates of amounts payable on participating policies which share in favorable underwriting results. Estimates are accrued during the period in which premiums are earned. Changes in estimates are included in income in the period determined. Policyholder dividends do not become legal liabilities unless and until declared by the boards of directors of the insurance companies.

    Minority Interest  For balance sheet purposes, minority interest represents the interests of noncontrolling shareholders in consolidated AFG subsidiaries, including AFC preferred stock and preferred securities issued by consolidated trust subsidiaries of AFG. For income statement purposes, minority interest expense represents those shareholders' interest in the earnings of consolidated AFG subsidiaries as well as AFC preferred dividends and accrued distributions on the preferred securities of consolidated trusts.

    Under current guidance provided by Financial Accounting Standards Board Interpretation No. 46 ("FIN 46"), AFG believes it will be required to deconsolidate three wholly-owned subsidiary trusts because they are "variable interest entities" ("VIEs") in which AFG is not considered to be the primary beneficiary. These subsidiary trusts were formed to issue preferred securities and, in turn, purchase a like amount of subordinated debt from their parent company which provides interest and principal payments to fund the respective trust obligations. Accordingly, the subordinated debt due the trusts would be shown as a liability in the Balance Sheet and the related interest expense would be shown in the Statement of Earnings as interest on subsidiary trust obligations. The FASB has deferred implementation of FIN 46 for VIEs created before February 1, 2003, until periods ending after December 15, 2003. See Note G - "Minority Interest."

    Income Taxes  AFC files consolidated federal income tax returns which include all 80%-owned U.S. subsidiaries, except for certain life insurance subsidiaries and their subsidiaries. Because holders of AFC Preferred Stock hold in excess of 20% of AFC's voting rights, AFG (parent) and AFC Holding are not eligible to file consolidated returns with AFC, and therefore, file separately. If the proposed merger of AFG, AFC and AFC Holding is approved, AFG would file a single consolidated return and the separate filings of AFC and AFC Holding would be eliminated.

    Deferred income taxes are calculated using the liability method. Under this method, deferred income tax assets and liabilities are determined based on differences between financial reporting and tax bases and are measured using enacted tax rates. Deferred tax assets are recognized if it is more likely than not that a benefit will be realized.

    Stock-Based Compensation  As permitted under SFAS No. 123, "Accounting for Stock-Based Compensation," AFG accounts for stock options and other stock-based compensation plans using the intrinsic value based method prescribed by Accounting Principles Board Opinion No. 25, "Accounting for Stock Issued to Employees." Under AFG's stock option plan, options are granted to officers, directors and key employees at exercise prices equal to the fair value of the

    9

    AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. 10-Q

    NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS - CONTINUED

     

    shares at the dates of grant. No compensation expense is recognized for stock option grants.

    The following table illustrates the effect on net earnings (in thousands) and earnings per share had compensation cost been recognized and determined based on "fair values" at grant dates consistent with the method prescribed by SFAS No. 123. For SFAS No. 123 purposes, the "fair value" of $5.62 per option granted in 2003 and $8.52 in 2002 was calculated using the Black-Scholes option pricing model and the following assumptions: dividend yield of 2%; expected volatility of 30%; risk-free interest rate of 3.6% for 2003 and 4.9% for 2002; and expected option life of 7.4 years. There is no single reliable method to determine the actual value of options at grant date. Accordingly, actual value of the option grants may be higher or lower than the SFAS No. 123 "fair value".

     

    Three months ended 

    Nine months ended 

     

       September 30,   

      September 30,    

     

    2003 

    2002 

    2003 

    2002 

    Net earnings, as reported

    $41,600 

    $26,880 

    $97,230 

    $40,420 

    Pro forma stock option expense,

           

      net of tax

     (1,619)

     (1,868)

     (4,744)

     (4,114)

             

    Adjusted net earnings

    $39,981 

    $25,012 

    $92,486 

    $36,306 

             

    Earnings per sh