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UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 10-Q

QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15 (d)
OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

For the quarterly period ended March 31, 2005

COMMISSION FILE NUMBER     1-9838

NS GROUP, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
     
Kentucky
(State or other jurisdiction of
incorporation or organization)
  61-0985936
(I.R.S. Employer
Identification No.)

530 West Ninth Street, Newport, Kentucky 41071
(Address, including zip code, of principal executive offices)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code (859) 292-6809

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes þ No o

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an accelerated filer (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act). Yes þ No o

At April 27, 2005, there were 22,225,245 shares outstanding of the Company’s common stock.

 
 

 


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NS GROUP, INC.

         
        Page No.
  FINANCIAL INFORMATION    
 
       
  Financial Statements    
 
       
 
  Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations   3
 
       
 
  Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets   4
 
       
 
  Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows   5
 
       
 
  Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements   6
 
       
  Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations   13
 
       
  Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk   22
 
       
  Controls and Procedures   22
 
       
  OTHER INFORMATION    
 
       
  Legal Proceedings   22
 
       
  Exhibits   23
 Exhibit 12.1
 Exhibit 31.1
 Exhibit 31.2
 Exhibit 32.1
 Exhibit 32.2

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PART I – FINANCIAL INFORMATION

ITEM 1. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

NS GROUP, INC.

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS
(In thousands, except per share amounts) (Unaudited)
                 
    Three Months Ended  
    March 31,  
    2005     2004  
Net sales
  $ 139,024     $ 84,517  
Cost of products sold
    110,561       72,802  
 
           
Gross profit
    28,463       11,715  
 
               
Selling, general and administrative expenses
    5,873       4,354  
Restructuring charges
          1,897  
 
           
Operating income
    22,590       5,464  
 
               
Investment income
    239       36  
Interest expense
    (159 )     (318 )
Other, net
    37       (38 )
 
           
Income before income taxes
    22,707       5,144  
Provision for income taxes
    3,374       103  
 
           
 
               
Net income
  $ 19,333     $ 5,041  
 
           
 
               
Net income per common share -
               
Basic
  $ 0.88     $ 0.24  
Diluted
  $ 0.86     $ 0.24  
 
               
Weighted average shares outstanding -
               
Basic
    22,062       20,910  
Diluted
    22,529       21,204  

See accompanying notes to condensed consolidated financial statements.

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NS GROUP, INC.

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
(In thousands)
                 
    March 31,     December 31,  
    2005     2004  
    (Unaudited)          
ASSETS
               
Current assets:
               
Cash and equivalents
  $ 43,875     $ 30,944  
Accounts receivable, less allowances of $1,533 and $1,492, respectively
    58,464       54,134  
Inventories
    122,341       119,817  
Operating supplies and prepaid expenses
    9,019       9,498  
Deferred income taxes
    1,625       1,625  
Other current assets
    2,365       2,379  
 
           
Total current assets
    237,689       218,397  
Property, plant and equipment, net
    43,741       44,260  
Other assets
    2,117       2,190  
Assets held for sale
    2,055       2,055  
 
           
Total assets
  $ 285,602     $ 266,902  
 
           
 
               
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY
               
Current liabilities:
               
Accounts payable
  $ 38,095     $ 41,061  
Accrued liabilities and other
    24,397       25,967  
Deferred revenue
    13,896       13,641  
Current portion of restructuring liabilities
    916       896  
Current portion of long-term debt
    41       41  
 
           
Total current liabilities
    77,345       81,606  
Long-term debt
    411       421  
Deferred income taxes
    1,788       1,788  
Other long-term liabilities
    8,887       8,764  
 
           
Total liabilities
    88,431       92,579  
 
           
 
               
Shareholders’ equity:
               
Preferred stock, no par value, 2,000 shares authorized, none issued
           
Common stock, no par value, 40,000 shares authorized, 25,111 shares issued at 2005 and 2004
    288,784       287,897  
Treasury stock, at cost, 2,897 and 3,205 shares
    (24,480 )     (27,085 )
Unearned compensation
    (276 )     (307 )
Accumulated other comprehensive income
    50       58  
Accumulated deficit
    (66,907 )     (86,240 )
 
           
Shareholders’ equity
    197,171       174,323  
 
           
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity
  $ 285,602     $ 266,902  
 
           

See accompanying notes to condensed consolidated financial statements.

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NS GROUP, INC.

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
(In thousands)(Unaudited)
                 
    Three Months Ended  
    March 31,  
    2005     2004  
CASH FLOWS — OPERATING ACTIVITIES
               
Net income
  $ 19,333     $ 5,041  
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash flows provided (used) by operating activities:
               
Depreciation and amortization
    1,266       1,339  
Amortization of deferred finance costs
    72       92  
Restructuring charges
          1,897  
Changes in operating assets and liabilities:
               
Accounts receivable, net
    (4,330 )     (12,995 )
Inventories
    (2,524 )     (13,404 )
Other current assets
    471       1,078  
Accounts payable
    (2,966 )     10,084  
Accrued liabilities
    (1,213 )     3,032  
Deferred revenue
    255       2,336  
Restructuring liabilities
          (167 )
Other, net
    40       190  
 
           
Net cash flows provided (used) by operating activities
    10,404       (1,477 )
 
           
 
               
CASH FLOWS — INVESTING ACTIVITIES
               
Purchases of property, plant and equipment
    (755 )     (308 )
Proceeds from sales of assets held for sale
          3,500  
Changes in other assets
          (61 )
 
           
Net cash flows provided (used) by investing activities
    (755 )     3,131  
 
           
 
               
CASH FLOWS — FINANCING ACTIVITIES
               
Repayments of long-term debt
    (10 )     (10 )
Net repayments under revolving credit facility
          (3,464 )
Decrease in other notes payable
          (106 )
Proceeds from option exercises
    3,292       163  
Payment of financing costs
          (105 )
 
           
Net cash flows provided (used) by financing activities
    3,282       (3,522 )
 
           
 
               
Increase (decrease) in cash and equivalents
    12,931       (1,868 )
Cash and equivalents at beginning of period
    30,944       2,628  
 
           
Cash and equivalents at end of period
  $ 43,875     $ 760  
 
           
 
               
Supplemental disclosure of cash flow information:
               
Cash paid during the period for interest
  $ 2     $ 178  
Cash paid during the period for income taxes
  $ 625     $  

See accompanying notes to condensed consolidated financial statements.

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NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)

Note 1: SUMMARY OF SIGNIFICANT ACCOUNTING POLICIES

Basis of Presentation

     The condensed consolidated financial statements include the accounts of NS Group, Inc. and its wholly-owned subsidiaries (collectively referred to as the “Company”). The significant subsidiaries are Newport Steel Corporation (“Newport”) and Koppel Steel Corporation (“Koppel”). All significant intercompany balances and transactions have been eliminated.

     The accompanying condensed consolidated financial statements have been prepared in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America for interim financial information and with the rules and regulations of the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”). Accordingly, they do not include all of the information and footnotes for complete financial statements as required by accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America. In the opinion of management, all adjustments (consisting of normal recurring adjustments) considered necessary for a fair presentation have been included in the financial statements. Operating results for an interim period are not necessarily indicative of the results that may be expected for a full year. Reference should be made to NS Group, Inc.’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2004 for additional footnote disclosure, including a summary of significant accounting policies. Certain reclassifications have been made to prior period balances in order to conform to the current period presentation.

Use of Estimates

     The preparation of financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America requires that management make certain estimates and assumptions that affect the amounts reported in the consolidated financial statements and accompanying notes. Actual results could differ from those recorded estimates.

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Stock-Based Compensation

     The Company accounts for stock-based compensation using the intrinsic value method in accordance with Accounting Principles Board Opinion No. 25, “Accounting for Stock Issued to Employees,” and related interpretations.

     If the Company accounted for stock-based compensation using the fair value recognition provisions of SFAS No. 123, “Accounting for Stock-Based Compensation,” net income and diluted income per share would have been as follows:

                 
    Three Months Ended  
    March 31,  
(In thousands, except per share amounts)   2005     2004  
Net income — as reported
  $ 19,333     $ 5,014  
Add: Stock-based employee compensation included in reported net income, net of related tax effects
    27       31  
Less: Stock-based employee compensation expense determined under the fair value method for all awards, net of related tax effects
    (196 )     (399 )
 
           
Net income — pro forma
  $ 19,164     $ 4,646  
 
           
 
               
Diluted income per share — as reported
  $ 0.86     $ 0.24  
Effect of stock-based employee compensation expense determined under the fair value method for all awards, net of related tax effects
    (0.01 )     (0.02 )
 
           
Diluted income per share — pro forma
  $ 0.85     $ 0.22  
 
           

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Earnings Per Share

     Basic earnings per share is computed by dividing net income by the weighted-average number of common shares outstanding for the period. Diluted earnings per share is computed by dividing net income by the weighted average number of common shares outstanding and dilutive common stock equivalents. The following table reconciles the number of common shares outstanding at the end of each period to the number of weighted average basic common shares outstanding and the number of weighted average diluted common shares outstanding for the purposes of calculating basic and diluted earnings per common share. The table also provides the number of shares of common stock potentially issuable at the end of each period and the number of potentially issuable shares excluded from the diluted earnings per share computation for each period.

                 
    Three Months Ended  
    March 31,  
(In thousands)   2005     2004  
Number of common shares outstanding at period-end
    22,214       20,930  
Effect of using weighted average common shares outstanding
    (152 )     (20 )
 
           
Weighted average basic common shares outstanding
    22,062       20,910  
 
               
Dilutive effect of common stock options and restricted stock units
    467       294  
 
           
Weighted average diluted common shares outstanding
    22,529       21,204  
 
           
 
               
Potentially issuable shares
    559       1,730  
 
               
Number of potentially issuable shares excluded from diluted common shares outstanding
          684  

Note 2: RESTRUCTURING LIABILITIES AND ASSETS HELD FOR SALE

Restructuring Liabilities

     During the quarter ended March 31, 2001, the Company implemented restructuring initiatives involving certain operations of its business. One initiative was to purchase hot-rolled coils rather than manufacture them at the Company’s welded tubular operations. As a result, the Company discontinued the production of hot-rolled coils and closed its melt shop and hot strip mill operations at its facilities in Wilder, Kentucky, effective March 31, 2001. In addition, the Company decided to exit the special bar quality business by June 30, 2001, which was operated from its Koppel, Pennsylvania facility.

     Consequently, in the first quarter of 2001, the Company recorded $56.2 million of restructuring charges, including $43.4 million resulting primarily from asset impairment losses related to machinery, equipment and related spare parts inventories to be sold. The restructuring charges include a $0.6 million write-down of special bar quality finished goods inventories that was included in cost of products sold.

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     Following is a summary of the accrued restructuring liabilities and activity for the period presented:

                         
(In thousands)   Current     Noncurrent     Total  
December 31, 2004
  $ 896     $ 1,779     $ 2,675  
Payments
    (42 )             (42 )
Receipts
    43               43  
Reclassifications
    19       (19 )      
 
                 
March 31, 2005
  $ 916     $ 1,760     $ 2,676  
 
                 

     At March 31, 2005, the current restructuring liabilities of $0.9 million represent the estimated costs for environmental remediation and monitoring costs of a closed landfill and an operating contract. In addition, Other long-term liabilities includes $1.8 million of restructuring costs, of which $1.4 million represents the estimated costs for post-closure maintenance and monitoring of a landfill and $0.4 million pertains to the estimated costs to fulfill a natural gas transportation contract into 2009. In connection with the Company’s post-closure maintenance and monitoring obligations of the landfill, at March 31, 2005, the Company had $1.6 million of investments held in a restricted trust account which are included in Other assets on the consolidated balance sheet.

     In the first quarter of 2004, the Company recorded $1.9 million in additional restructuring charges primarily related to the settlement of an operating contract.

Assets Held for Sale

     Assets of the closed operations, consisting of machinery and equipment, spare parts and supply inventories, are classified as Assets Held for Sale in the Company’s consolidated balance sheet. The assets include the Company’s best estimates of the amounts expected to be realized on the sale of the assets less costs to sell. While the estimates are based on an analysis of the facilities, including valuations by independent appraisers, the amounts the Company will ultimately realize could differ materially from the amounts estimated. The assets are being actively marketed by an outside broker.

Note 3: SEGMENT AND CONCENTRATIONS INFORMATION

     The Company operates in a single reportable segment which consists of (i) welded and seamless tubular goods used primarily in oil and natural gas drilling and production operations (oil country tubular goods, or OCTG); and (ii) line pipe used in the transmission of oil, natural gas and other fluids. The segment reflects the aggregation of two business units which have similar economic characteristics such as products and services, manufacturing processes, customers and distribution channels and is consistent with both internal management reporting and resource and budgetary allocations. Corporate general and administrative expenses are fully absorbed by the segment.

     Net sales by product category for the three month periods presented are as follows:

                 
    Three Months Ended  
    March 31,  
(In thousands)   2005     2004  
Welded products
  $ 59,872     $ 39,409  
Seamless products
    79,152       45,108  
 
           
 
  $ 139,024     $ 84,517  
 
           

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Concentrations

     The Company’s operations are conducted principally in the United States. The Company grants trade credit to customers, the most significant of which are distributors serving the oil and natural gas exploration and production industries. Sales to the Company’s two largest customers accounted for 26% and 12% of net sales for the three months ended March 31, 2005. Sales to the Company’s three largest customers accounted for 26%, 10% and 10% of net sales for the three months ended March 31, 2004. The Company’s two largest customers in 2005 accounted for $19.4 million of the Company’s accounts receivable balances at March 31, 2005. The Company’s three largest customers in fiscal 2004 accounted for $28.1 million of the Company’s accounts receivable balances at December 31, 2004.

     The Company’s welded operations depend primarily on three suppliers for its steel coils with one supplier accounting for the majority of its purchases. If the Company would suffer the loss of a significant customer or supplier, the effect could result in reduced sales or a delay in manufacturing which could adversely affect operating results.

     Approximately 90% of the Company’s 987 hourly employees are represented by the United Steelworkers of America. The collective bargaining agreements for Newport and Koppel expire in 2009 and 2010, respectively. The collective bargaining agreement for one of the Company’s tubular finishing facilities expires in May 2006.

Note 4: INVENTORIES

     Inventories consist of the following:

                 
    March 31,     December 31,  
(In thousands)   2005     2004  
Raw materials
  $ 37,900     $ 49,054  
Semi-finished and finished products
    84,441       70,763  
 
           
 
  $ 122,341     $ 119,817  
 
           

Note 5: REVOLVING CREDIT FACILITY

     The Company has a revolving credit facility that provides up to $50.0 million under a borrowing formula that is based upon eligible inventory and accounts receivable, subject to certain reserves and satisfaction of certain conditions to each draw under the facility. Interest rates on the facility vary according to the amount of loans outstanding and range from the prime rate plus 1.00% to prime plus 1.75% with respect to domestic rate loans, and from the LIBOR rate plus 2.50% to LIBOR plus 3.25% with respect to LIBOR rate loans. The credit agreement contains financial and other covenants, including a minimum level of earnings, as defined in the agreement, and limitations on certain types of transactions, including the ability of the Company’s subsidiaries to declare and pay dividends. At March 31, 2005, the Company was in compliance with the covenants of the credit facility. The credit facility expires in March 2007.

     At March 31, 2005, the Company had $6.9 million of letters of credit outstanding under the credit facility and approximately $43.1 million in borrowing availability. The letters of credit are issued against the credit facility as collateral for the Company’s self-insured workers compensation program. The facility is secured by a first priority lien on substantially all of the Company’s inventories, accounts receivable and property, plant and equipment and related intangibles.

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Note 6: COMMITMENTS AND CONTINGENCIES

     The Company is subject to various claims, lawsuits and administrative proceedings arising in the ordinary course of business with respect to environmental matters, workers’ compensation, health care and product liability coverage (each of which is self-insured to certain levels), as well as commercial and other matters. The Company accrues for the cost of such matters when the incurrence of such costs is probable and can be reasonably estimated. Based upon its evaluation of available information, management does not believe that any such matters will have, individually or in the aggregate, a material adverse effect upon the Company’s consolidated financial position, results of operations or cash flows.

Environmental

     The Company is subject to federal, state and local environmental laws and regulations, including, among others, the Resource Conservation and Recovery Act (RCRA), the Clean Air Act, the 1990 Amendments to the Clean Air Act and the Clean Water Act, and all regulations promulgated in connection therewith. Such laws and regulations include those concerning the discharge of contaminants as air emissions or waste water effluents and the disposal of solid and/or hazardous wastes such as electric arc furnace dust. As such, the Company is from time to time involved in administrative and judicial proceedings and administrative inquiries related to environmental matters.

     The Company operates a steel mini-mill at its Koppel, Pennsylvania facility that produces dust that contains lead, cadmium and chromium and is classified as a hazardous waste. Dust produced by its electric arc furnace is collected through emission control systems and recycled at EPA-approved facilities.

     The Company has a closed hazardous waste landfill on its property in Wilder, Kentucky that is being monitored according to a post-closure permit that was approved by the Kentucky Division of Waste Management. The Company has accrued the estimated costs for the post-closure maintenance and monitoring of the landfill and escrowed the funds.

     In late 2001, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) designated Imperial Adhesives, Inc., a former subsidiary of the Company, as one of a number of potentially responsible parties under the Comprehensive Environmental Response, Compensation and Liability Act (CERCLA) at an environmental remediation site. The EPA has contended that any company linked to a CERCLA site is potentially liable for costs under the legal doctrine of joint and several liability. This environmental remediation site involves a municipal waste disposal facility owned and operated by an independent operator. A preliminary study of the site is ongoing. Consequently, it is too early to determine the Company’s ultimate liability. The Company believes, however, that the reasonably foreseeable resolution of this matter will not have a material adverse effect on its consolidated financial statements.

     The Company had accrued liabilities of $3.7 million at March 31, 2005 and December 31, 2004 for environmental remediation obligations. Based upon its evaluation of available information, management does not believe that any of the environmental contingency matters discussed above are likely, individually or in the aggregate, to have a material adverse effect upon the Company’s consolidated financial position, results of operations or cash flows. However, the Company cannot predict with certainty that new information or developments with respect to its environmental contingency matters, individually or in the aggregate, will not have a material adverse effect on the Company’s consolidated financial position, results of operations or cash flows.

Other

     The Company has entered into a fixed volume and base price contract with its major supplier of steel coils for 2005 of approximately $89.0 million, excluding raw material surcharges and extras.

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Note 7: PENSION AND OTHER POSTRETIREMENT PLANS

     Pension and post-retirement health benefit costs for the three months ended March 31, 2005 and 2004 are as follows:

                                 
    Pension     Health  
    Three Months Ended March 31,  
(In thousands)   2005     2004     2005     2004  
Service cost
  $ 99     $ 87     $ 5     $ 5  
Interest cost
    40       33       5       5  
Recognized actuarial loss
    1                    
Amortization of transition obligation
                7       7  
 
                       
 
  $ 140     $ 120     $ 17     $ 17  
 
                       

Note 8: PRODUCT WARRANTIES

     The Company’s products are used in applications which are subject to inherent risks, including well failures, performance deficiencies, line pipe leaks, personal injury, property damage, environmental contamination or loss of production. The Company warrants its products to meet certain specifications and actual or claimed deficiencies from these specifications may give rise to claims. The Company maintains reserves for asserted and unasserted product warranty and product liability claims. The product warranty and product liability claims exposure is evaluated using historical claim trends and information available on specifically known claims. The Company considers the extent of insurance coverage in its estimate of the reserve. The incurrence of an unusually large dollar claim or a large number of claims could alter the Company’s exposure and the related reserves.

     The following table identifies changes in warranty reserves for the three months ended March 31, 2005 and 2004:

                 
(In thousands)   2005     2004  
Balance, January 1
  $ 2,051     $ 3,057  
Accruals for warranties during the period
    1,736       398  
Settlements made during the period
    (857 )     (187 )
 
           
Balance, March 31
  $ 2,930     $ 3,268  
 
           

     Included in the balances at March 31, 2005 and 2004 is $0.5 million of valuation accounts that are reported against accounts receivable balances in the consolidated balance sheets.

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ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

     We make forward-looking statements in this report which represent our expectations or beliefs about future events and financial performance. You can identify these statements by forward-looking words such as “expect,” “believe,” “anticipate,” “goal,” “plan,” “intend,” “estimate,” “may,” “will” or similar words. Forward-looking statements are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and assumptions, including:

  •   world-wide and domestic supplies of and demand for natural gas and oil;
 
  •   fluctuations in industry-wide tubular inventory levels;
 
  •   domestic competitive pressures;
 
  •   the level and pricing of imports and the presence or absence of governmentally imposed trade restrictions;
 
  •   steel coil and steel scrap price volatility;
 
  •   manufacturing efficiencies;
 
  •   costs of compliance with environmental regulations;
 
  •   asserted and unasserted claims;
 
  •   the ability to maintain an internal control framework compliant with Sarbanes-Oxley Section 404;
 
  •   general economic conditions; and
 
  •   other risks and uncertainties described under “Risk Factors” included in Exhibit 99.1 of our annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2004.

     In light of these risks, uncertainties and assumptions, the future events discussed in this report might not occur. In addition, actual results could differ materially from those suggested by the forward-looking statements. Accordingly, you should not place undue reliance on the forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date on which they are made. We may not update these forward-looking statements, even though our situation may change in the future, unless we are obligated under federal securities laws to update and disclose material developments related to previously disclosed information. We qualify all of our forward-looking statements by these cautionary statements.

     For a more complete understanding of our business activities and financial results, you should read the analysis of financial condition and results of operations together with the unaudited financial statements included in this report.

OVERVIEW

Our Products and Facilities

     We are a domestic producer of seamless and welded tubular steel products serving the energy industry. We conduct our business within a single reportable business segment. Our tubular products, commonly referred to as oil country tubular goods (OCTG), are used primarily in oil and natural gas drilling exploration and production operations. We also manufacture line pipe, which is used as gathering lines for the transmission of petrochemicals and hydrocarbons.

     Our products are manufactured and sold under two brands. Our Koppel brand is our seamless tubular product manufactured at our facility located near Koppel, Pennsylvania. Our Newport brand is our welded tubular product manufactured at our tubular facilities located near Newport, Kentucky. The primary geographic market for our products is the southwestern, western and Appalachian regions of the United States, as well as western regions of Canada. We also operate tubular finishing facilities in the southwest United States, where we can provide further finishing processes to our product.

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Economic and Industry-Wide Factors that Affect our Business

Demand for Our Products

     Over 90% of our revenues were derived from the sale of OCTG in the first quarters of 2005 and 2004. Therefore, our revenue is directly dependent on the demand for OCTG, which is highly cyclical in nature. There are a number of factors that we monitor to assist us in estimating the future demand for our OCTG product. Demand for our OCTG products is dependent on the number and depth of oil and natural gas wells being drilled in the United States and globally. The level of drilling activity is, among other things, dependent on the current and anticipated supply and demand for oil and natural gas. Oil and natural gas prices are volatile and can have a substantial effect upon drilling levels and resulting demand for our energy related products. Shipments by domestic producers of OCTG products may also be positively or negatively affected by the amount of inventory held by producers, distributors and end-users, as well as by imports of OCTG products.

     The average number of oil and gas drilling rigs operating in the United States (rig count), domestic shipments of OCTG products (excluding exports), OCTG imports and inventories for the first quarters of 2005 and 2004 were as follows:

                 
    First Quarter  
    2005     2004  
Average natural gas price per mcf
  $ 6.27     $ 5.69  
 
               
Average U.S. rig count
    1,283       1,118  
 
               
Domestic OCTG shipments
(millions of tons)
    0.7       0.7  
 
               
OCTG imports
(millions of tons)
    0.3       0.2  
 
               
OCTG inventories
(millions of tons at period-end)
    1.7       1.5  
 
               
Inventory tons per rig
(at period-end)
    1,299       1,314  

     Source: Baker Hughes, Preston Pipe and Tube Report and Company estimates

     Economic conditions in the United States resulted in an estimated real GDP growth of 4.4% in 2004. Relative economic conditions continued to remain strong into the first quarter of 2005, thus supporting natural gas prices that have kept rig count at high activity levels. Based upon current settlement prices for natural gas futures, economists’ forecasts of real GDP growth in 2005, as well as other factors, we estimate the rig count will average 1,290 in 2005. The rig count as of April 29, 2005 was 1,325.

     The amount of OCTG inventory in the United States marketplace also affects demand for our products. U.S. end-users obtain OCTG from domestic and foreign tubular producers and from draw-downs of inventory from the end-user, distributor or tubular producers. While the absolute levels of OCTG inventories at March 31, 2005 of 1.7 million tons exceeded year ago levels, the amount of inventory tons per rig has remained virtually unchanged at 1,299 inventory tons per rig, which we believe represents an historically low level of inventory relative to active rigs. Therefore, we believe that current OCTG inventory levels in the marketplace will not have a detrimental effect on our 2005 shipments assuming our estimate of 2005 drilling levels.

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Imports

     Imports command a significant portion of the domestic OCTG market. We believe import levels are affected by, among other things:

  •   currency exchange rates;
 
  •   overall world-wide demand for OCTG;
 
  •   freight costs;
 
  •   the trade practices of foreign governments and producers; and
 
  •   the presence or absence of antidumping, countervailing duty or other U.S. government orders that raise the cost or impose limits on imports.

     According to published industry reports, imports of OCTG products in the first quarter of 2005 comprised an estimated 33% of total domestic market shipments, compared to 24% in the first quarter of 2004.

     Since 1995, the U.S. government has been imposing duties on imports of various OCTG products from Argentina, Italy, Japan, Korea and Mexico in response to antidumping and countervailing duty cases filed by several U.S. companies. In June 2001, the ITC voted to continue these duties for five more years.

     Under the U.S. Continued Dumping and Subsidy Offset Act (CDSOA), tariffs collected on dumped imports are required to be directed to the industries harmed. These payments are made to cover certain operating expenses and investment in manufacturing facilities.