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UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
Form 10-K
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ANNUAL REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
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For the fiscal year ended December 31, 2004 |
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or |
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TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
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For the transition period
from to |
Commission File Number 0-6612
ProCentury Corporation
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
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Ohio
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31-1718622 |
(State or other jurisdiction of
incorporation or organization) |
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(I.R.S. Employer
Identification No.) |
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465 Cleveland Ave. Westerville, Ohio
(Address of principal executive offices) |
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43082
(Zip Code) |
Registrants telephone number, including area code
(614) 895-2000
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the
Act:
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| Title of Each Class |
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Name of Each Exchange on Which Registered |
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Common Shares, without par value
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NASDAQ |
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(g) of the
Act:
NONE
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed
all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of
the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding
12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant
was required to file such reports), and (2) has been
subject to such filing requirements for the past
90 days. Yes þ No o
Indicate by check mark if disclosure of delinquent filers
pursuant to Item 405 of Regulation S-K is not
contained herein, and will not be contained, to the best of
registrants knowledge, in definitive proxy or information
statements incorporated by reference in Part III of this
Form 10-K or any amendment to this
Form 10-K. þ
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an accelerated
filer (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange
Act). Yes o No þ
The aggregate market value of the voting stock held by
non-affiliates of the Registrant as of June 30, 2004, based
upon the closing sale price of the Common Shares on
June 30, 2004 as reported on the NASDAQ National Market,
was $107,624,114.
The number of shares outstanding of the Registrants Common
Shares, without par value, on March 23, 2005 was 13,155,195.
DOCUMENTS INCORPORATED BY REFERENCE.
Portions of the Registrants definitive Proxy Statement for
the 2005 annual meeting of shareholders to be held May 19,
2005, are incorporated herein by reference into Part III of
this document.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
2
PART I
General
ProCentury Corporation (ProCentury,) is a specialty
property and casualty insurance holding company. We market and
underwrite general liability, commercial property, multi-peril
insurance and garage liability for small and mid-sized
businesses primarily through Century Surety Company
(Century), our operating insurance subsidiary.
References to Company, we,
us, and our refer to ProCentury and its
subsidiaries, unless the context requires otherwise. We are
either authorized as an admitted insurer or approved as an
excess and surplus lines insurer by the state insurance
regulators in 48 states plus the District of Columbia. We
primarily write specialty excess and surplus lines insurance
through a select group of general agents. The excess and surplus
lines market provides an alternative market for customers with
hard-to-place risks that insurance companies licensed by the
state in which the insurance policy is sold, which are also
referred to as admitted insurers, typically do not
cover. Our goal is to be selective in the classes of business
and the coverages we write within the excess and surplus lines
market. The insurance needs of this market are serviced by
retail insurance brokers who maintain relationships with the
general agents with whom we do business.
As a niche company, we offer specialty insurance
products designed to meet specific insurance needs of targeted
insured groups. These targeted insured markets are often not
served or are underserved by standard companies. We focus on
serving the insurance needs of small and mid-sized businesses,
including habitational risks, hospitality businesses, artisan
contractors, daycare facilities, retail and wholesale stores,
fitness centers and special event providers. Typically, the
development of these specialty insurance products is generated
through proposals brought to us by an agent or broker seeking
coverage for a specific group of clients. We have disciplined
underwriting that considers all of our applicants for insurance
coverages on an individual basis. For each class we insure, we
employ a number of customized limiting endorsements, rating
surcharges and decreased limits to align our product offerings
to the risk profile of the class and the specific insured being
underwritten.
We seek to achieve a balance between our property and casualty
premiums. Property business has an inherently shorter tail than
casualty business, and we emphasize short tail classes of
casualty business in order to reduce pricing and reserving risk.
For example, our primary casualty business is dominated by
premises liability risks known in the industry as Owners,
Landlords & Tenants (OL&T) risks, which
presents a much shorter tail than a traditional excess and
surplus lines book of business, which is predominated by
Manufacturers & Contractors (M&C)
risks. Short tail risks are generally known to occur at a
definite point in time, and while the extent of the injury and
associated costs may be unknown for some period of time, the
actual occurrence is usually reported fairly quickly. In
contrast, with longer tail risk the injury occurs away from the
premises owned by the insured, may not be known for some period
of time and may result in cumulative or progressive damage.
We avoid high-hazard, long tail lines of business such as
product liability, occurrence coverage for general contractor
liability and construction contractor liability business and
medical malpractice. We believe that construction trades may no
longer be profitably underwritten on an occurrence general
liability form in any state.
As of December 31, 2004, we had consolidated assets of
$394.9 million and consolidated shareholders equity
of $115.2 million. For the year ended December 31,
2004, we produced gross written premiums of $191.4 million,
and we had net income of $15.0 million
Our principal executive offices are located at 465 Cleveland
Ave., Westerville, Ohio 43082, and the telephone number at that
address is (614) 895-2000. The Company files annual,
quarterly, special reports and proxy statements with the SEC.
These filings are available to the public over the Internet on
the SECs Web site at http://www.sec.gov and
at our Web site at http://www.procentury.com.
3
Pursuant to Rule 12b-23 under the Securities and Exchange
Act of 1934, as amended, the industry segment information
included in Item 8, note 14 of Notes to Consolidated
Financial Statements, is incorporated by reference in partial
response to this Item 1.
Company History
Century was formed in 1978 as a specialty insurance carrier for
inland marine, surety and fidelity coverages for the surface
mining industry. In 1984, Century expanded its original focus
and initiated a business strategy centered on hard to place
property/casualty risks. In 1992, Century acquired Continental
Heritage Insurance Company (Continental), which
wrote specialty surety and bail bond business. In 1993, Century
acquired Evergreen National Indemnity Company
(Evergreen), which wrote landfill and specialty
surety business. These combined entities constituted the Century
Insurance Group®.
In 1996, Century was acquired by Century Business Services, Inc.
(Nasdaq: CBIZ). In 1997, as part of a growth initiative by its
former parent, Century Insurance Group® acquired the assets
of the managed care workers compensation business of the
Anthem Casualty Insurance Group.
ProCentury was formed as an Ohio corporation in July 2000 by
certain of our current shareholders and members of management.
Pursuant to our management-led buyout in October 2000,
ProCentury acquired Century and its subsidiaries, including
Evergreen and Continental, from Century Business Services, Inc.
The financing of this transaction included equity investments by
five community bank holding companies, a private equity firm and
other private investors, including members of current management.
Following this transaction, the strategic direction of
ProCentury focused primarily on the excess and surplus lines and
involved exiting certain unprofitable businesses such as
commercial automobile beginning in May 2000 and workers
compensation in January 2002. As a result of this change in
strategy, we sought to take advantage of the increase in volume
and rates in the excess and surplus lines market, which began in
2001.
On April 26, 2004, we issued 8,000,000 common shares at
$10.50 per share in an initial public offering
(IPO) and received net proceeds (before expenses) of
$77.9 million. Immediately prior to the IPO, Evergreen and
Continental, were spun-off to ProCenturys existing
Class A shareholders. The operations of Evergreen and
Continental consisted of ProCenturys historical surety and
assumed workers compensation lines of insurance, which
were re-classified (net of minority interest and income taxes)
as discontinued operations in the accompanying financial
information for all periods presented. As a result of these
transactions, Century is the remaining operating subsidiary of
ProCentury.
Industry Overview
The excess and surplus lines insurance market differs
significantly from the standard market. In the standard market,
insurance products and coverages are largely uniform with broad
coverage grants due to highly regulated rates and forms.
Standard market companies tend to compete for customers
primarily on the basis of rate, retain close relationships with
retail insurance agents and make accommodations to the insureds
to maintain the marketability of their product for their
contracted direct agent.
In contrast, the excess and surplus lines market provides
coverage for risks that either do not fit the underwriting
criteria of standard carriers with which the retail agent has a
direct relationship, or they are of a class or risk that the
standard market generally avoids since the regulated nature of
that market does not allow for customized terms or rates.
Non-standard risks can be underwritten profitably, however, by
the excess and surplus market, by using highly specific coverage
forms with terms based on individual risk assessment, rather
than the risk profile of the most desirable members of the
class. When a certain risk has been excluded from the standard
market, the retail agents needs quick placement with the excess
and surplus lines market in order to maintain coverage for the
insured. As a result, the primary basis for competition within
the excess and surplus lines industry can be focused more on
service and availability than rate.
The insurance industry has historically been cyclical. From 1987
to 2001, the industry generally experienced intensified
competition for standard and excess and surplus lines insurers,
resulting in rate decreases in many lines. In early 2001, a
return to risk-based underwriting disciplines in the standard
market
4
caused a noticeable increase in submissions to the excess and
surplus lines market of risks that no longer qualified for
coverage from the standard carriers and higher premium rates.
Since 2001, we have benefited from this increase in rates and
volume, as well as reduced capacity in the excess and surplus
lines market, insurance industry consolidation, corporate
downsizing and the increased use of communications technology
and personal computers, which, among other factors, have
contributed to the high growth in the number of small
businesses. In addition, low interest rates have resulted in
increased rates and more conservative coverage terms because, as
investment returns have moderated over the past few years,
property and casualty carriers have been forced to adopt more
profitable underwriting practices. For property business, this
pattern continued until the second half of 2003, when rates
first plateaued, and then slowly began to decline. This moderate
decline continued throughout much of 2004, with some
stabilization seen after the October hurricanes in Florida. For
casualty business, rates remained firm throughout 2003 and
stabilized in 2004 with only slight declines.
We expect that rate adequacy for our specialty and excess and
surplus lines products will continue, as a result of the
following factors:
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our commitment to underwriting profitability; |
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our re-underwriting of our binding policies; |
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continued low interest rates; |
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close monitoring or downgrading of many insurers and reinsurers
by rating agencies; |
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new corporate governance requirements; and |
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industry focus on rate adequacy and the negative effects of
under-priced business on the industry as a whole. |
Lines of Business
The following table sets forth an analysis of gross and net
written premiums by segment and major product groupings during
the periods indicated:
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Gross Written Premiums | |
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Net Written Premiums | |
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Years Ended December 31, | |
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Years Ended December 31, | |
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2004 | |
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2003 | |
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2002 | |
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2004 | |
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2003 | |
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2002 | |
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(In thousands) | |
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Property/casualty:
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Casualty
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$ |
122,996 |
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$ |
83,713 |
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$ |
53,780 |
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$ |
107,576 |
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$ |
74,930 |
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$ |
44,731 |
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Property
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67,595 |
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67,187 |
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44,508 |
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58,444 |
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57,080 |
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33,601 |
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Other (including exited lines)
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814 |
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(1,192 |
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2,254 |
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4 |
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(171 |
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30 |
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$ |
191,405 |
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$ |
149,708 |
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$ |
100,542 |
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$ |
166,024 |
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$ |
131,839 |
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$ |
78,362 |
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Casualty Business. We target shorter tail classes of
casualty business focusing on what are commonly referred to as
OL&T (owners, landlords and tenants) classes of
business and have de-emphasized what are commonly referred to as
M&C (manufacturers and contractors) classes of
business. We believe these shorter tail OL&T classes of
business present less rating and reserving risk to us compared
to longer tail casualty lines. At the time of our management-led
buyout in October 2000, 46.5% of our property/casualty gross
written premiums comprised OL&T or shorter tail classes. For
the year ended December 31, 2004, 71.8% of our
property/casualty gross written premiums comprised OL&T or
shorter tail classes. With respect to the M&C classes of
business we continue to write, we focus on artisan contractors
and light manufacturers that present no significant durable
products liability exposure.
5
Our insurance policies provide coverage limits generally ranging
from $25,000 to $1.0 million per occurrence, with the
majority of our policies having limits between $500,000 and
$1.0 million. Generally, through reinsurance, we are
subject to the first $500,000 of an individual loss for the
current accident year. Our general liability policies usually
provide coverage for defense and related expenses in addition to
per occurrence and aggregate policy limits. For certain
products, defense expenses are included in the policy limits.
Other Casualty Business. We also offer garage liability
and commercial umbrella policies to supplement our commercial
multi-peril and commercial general liability writings. On garage
liability we write up to a maximum of $1.0 million per
occurrence or accident. This product is only offered by surplus
lines carriers. Commercial umbrella policies provide excess
liability coverage above the limits of standard liability
policies and may also provide coverage for risks not covered
under standard liability policies. We write commercial umbrella
insurance for limits up to $5.0 million total aggregate
above the minimum underlying limits of $1.0 million per
occurrence and $2.0 million aggregate. Although most of our
umbrella and excess business is written to support our primary
policies, we will occasionally accept other carriers as primary,
provided they are rated A- or better by A.M. Best.
Property Business. Following our management-led buyout in
October 2000, we have increased our property gross written
premiums as a percentage of our total property/casualty written
premiums. For the nine months ended September 30, 2000,
property business and casualty business accounted for 17.9% and
82.1%, respectively, of our total property/casualty gross
written premiums. For the year ended December 31, 2004,
35.5% and 64.5% of our total property/casualty gross written
premiums comprised property business and casualty business,
respectively. Consistent with our focus on shorter tail casualty
lines, we believe that the inherent short tail property business
presents less rating and reserving risk to us. Our property
business represents classes of business that were chronically
under-priced by the standard market admitted insurers in the
late 1990s and have since been pushed to the excess and surplus
lines market. These classes include apartments, commercial
buildings and low value dwellings
Our commercial property lines provide coverage limits of up to
$25.0 million, but the vast majority of our written
premiums in 2004 were written at limits of less than
$2.0 million. Through the use of reinsurance, we retain the
first $500,000 of each individual loss for the current accident
year.
Package Business. We write commercial multi-peril
policies that provide our insureds with commercial property and
general liability coverages bundled together as a
package. The targeted classes, limits and pricing on
these policies are the same as if written separately.
Other (Including Exited Lines) We write a limited amount
of landfill and specialty surety bond business on a direct and
assumed basis. As of December 31, 2004, these bonds are
ceded through a 100% quota share reinsurance agreement with
Evergreen. We continue to write surety business in order to
maintain our U.S. Treasury Listing. We do not expect our
surety segment to exceed 4% of our total gross written premium
for any given year.
In addition, in connection with our management-led buyout in
October 2000, we changed our strategic direction to focus
primarily on the excess and surplus lines and the exiting of
certain unprofitable business. As a result, we exited the
commercial automobile line in May 2000 and the workers
compensation line effective as of January 1, 2002.
6
The following table sets forth the geographic distribution of
our gross written premiums for the periods indicated:
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Years Ended December 31, | |
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2004 | |
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2003 | |
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2002 | |
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(Dollars in thousands) | |
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Midwest
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$ |
38,458 |
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20.1 |
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$ |
32,285 |
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21.6 |
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$ |
24,298 |
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24.2 |
% |
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Southeast
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51,841 |
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27.1 |
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42,805 |
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28.6 |
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26,339 |
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26.2 |
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Southwest
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34,916 |
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18.2 |
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30,850 |
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20.6 |
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20,842 |
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20.7 |
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West
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61,062 |
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31.9 |
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42,458 |
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28.4 |
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26,475 |
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26.3 |
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Northeast
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5,128 |
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2.7 |
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2,286 |
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1.5 |
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1,086 |
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1.1 |
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Assumed reinsurance
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(976 |
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(0.7 |
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1,502 |
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1.5 |
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Total
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$ |
191,405 |
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100.0 |
% |
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$ |
149,708 |
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100.0 |
% |
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$ |
100,542 |
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100.0 |
% |
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We attempt to minimize catastrophic risk by diversifying in
different geographical regions. Our primary catastrophic risk is
structural property exposures as a result of hurricanes,
tornados, hail storms, winter storms and freezing. We maintain
property catastrophe coverage by evaluating the probable maximum
loss using a catastrophe exposure model developed by independent
experts. We do not write wind coverage in Florida or within two
counties of the Gulf of Mexico and the eastern seaboard states.
Underwriting and Pricing
We underwrite our commercial property/casualty business on a
binding authority and a brokerage basis.
Binding Authority. Binding authority business represents
risks that may be quoted and bound with a policy subsequently
issued on our behalf by our general agents. This business is
produced in accordance with specific and detailed rules set
forth in our Electronic Underwriting Manual (EUM)
that is provided to our general agents. There are limited
classes and no premium credits available to the general agency
underwriter. We monitor the classes of business subject to
agents binding authority, considering market conditions,
competition, underwriting results and other factors and we
frequently change these guidelines by amending our EUM.
Our EUM provides that some prospective insureds must be
submitted to our underwriters for specific approval prior to the
agent quoting or binding the risk. The most frequent reason for
this specific approval requirement is the size of the risk
involved. Any prospective property risk with a total insured
value (TIV) over $1.0 million is automatically
required to be submitted for prior approval. Similarly, any
prospective casualty risk with a premium of $25,000 or greater
is required to be submitted for prior approval.
The economics of the binding business are generally different
than those of the brokerage business due to the differing
characteristics of each type of business. It is important to
provide binding authority for the less difficult binding classes
because the binding book has greater persistency than the
brokerage business and is less likely to be shopped
at renewal as a result of our general agents authority to
issue the policy immediately.
Binding authority business accounted for 56.5% of our total core
property/casualty gross written premiums for the year ended
December 31, 2004. Our EUM outlines our risk eligibility,
pricing, underwriting guidelines and policy issuance
instructions. We monitor the underwriting quality of our
business by re-underwriting each piece of business produced by
our general agents in accordance with their underwriting
authority.
We provide additional incentives to our general agents to
produce profitable business through a contingent profit
commission structure that is tied directly to underwriting
profitability. This contingent profit commission applies only to
business produced pursuant to our general agents
underwriting authority (i.e., binding business) where the agent
plays a role in underwriting the risk. In addition, beginning in
2005, we are
7
providing a bonus incentive to agents based the overall growth
of the book of business that the agent places with us.
Brokerage Business. Brokerage business represents risks
that exceed the limits of underwriting authority that we are
willing to grant to our general agents. Many of our brokerage
accounts are classes of insurance that are not permitted to be
written at all by our general agents pursuant to their binding
authority. However, most of our brokerage business is produced
on risks that produce individual TIV or premium above levels we
believe prudent to allow for agency binding and issuance
authority. For property business, any risk with a TIV over
$1,000,000 is automatically classified as a brokerage account.
For casualty business, the threshold is $25,000 in premium. If
there is a package policy where either the property or casualty
portion is indicated as a brokerage account, the entire account
is classified as brokerage business. Commissions on brokerage
policies are 3.5% lower than on binding contracts, and there is
no contingent profit commission available to our general agents
on brokerage business. Brokerage business accounted for
approximately 43.5% of our total core property/casualty gross
written premiums for the year ended December 31, 2004.
Pricing. In the commercial property and casualty market,
the rates and terms of coverage provided by property and
casualty insurance carriers are frequently based on benchmarks
and forms promulgated by the Insurance Services Office, also
known as ISO. ISO makes available to its members advisory
rating, statistical and actuarial services, policy language and
other related services. ISO currently provides these services to
more than 1,500 property and casualty insurance companies in the
United States. One of the services that ISO provides is an
actuarial-based estimate of the expected loss cost for risks in
each of approximately 1,000 risk classifications. These
benchmark loss costs reflect an analysis of the loss and
allocated loss adjustment expenses on claims reported to ISO.
ISO statistics, however, include only claims and policy
information reported to ISO, and therefore do not reflect all of
the loss experience for each class.
We primarily use ISO loss costs as the foundation for
establishing our rates for all lines of business. We then
develop loss cost multipliers, or LCMs, which are
designed to support our operating expenses, acquisition expenses
and targeted return on equity. On our property business, we
employ a proprietary class rating matrix that employs a series
of ISO commercial fire rating schedule-based charges determined
by construction, occupancy, protection and geographical
concerns. We multiply our LCMs by ISO loss cost to produce our
final rates. We also employ minimum premiums based on the limit
and coverage provided that can only increase the effective rate.
Our final rates are regionalized to incorporate variables such
as historic loss experience, the types and lines of business
written, competition and state regulatory considerations. For
business that we write on an admitted, or licensed, basis, we
must obtain advance regulatory approval of rates in a number of
states. We do not provide our general agents with downward
pricing flexibility on a per policy basis. All agency
underwritten business is re-underwritten by our binding unit to
check for mistakes or other results that may be inconsistent
with the rules set forth in our EUM.
Marketing and Distribution
As of December 31, 2004, we marketed our products through
104 agents, including 84 agents with binding authority. These
agents maintain 117 offices in 35 states. This wholesale
general agency force makes our products available to licensed
retail agencies throughout the United States. We believe that
our distribution network enables us to efficiently access at a
relatively low fixed cost the numerous small markets our product
offerings target. These general agents and their retail
insurance agents and brokers have local market knowledge and
expertise that enable us to more effectively access these
markets. We generally confine our general agents marketing
territory to three or fewer states.
We strive to preserve each general agents franchise value
with us in that general agents marketing territory. We
seek to increase our written premiums with these general agents
and to develop long-term, profitable relationships by providing
a high level of service and support. For example, we try to
respond to our general agents requests for quotes on their
proposals within 48 hours. We believe that the performance
of the business that we ultimately write is measurably improved
when produced by general agents who have increased familiarity
and experience with our underwriting requirements.
8
Claims Management and Administration
Our approach to claims management is to:
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investigate reported incidents as soon as possible; |
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select, manage and supervise all legal and adjustment aspects of
the claim; and |
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provide a high level of service and support to agents and
insureds throughout the claims process. |
Our general agents have no authority to settle claims or
otherwise exercise control over the claims process. Our claims
management staff supervises and processes all claims. Claims
adjusters have reserving authority based upon their skill level
and experience. We have a formal claims review process, and
changes in loss and loss expense reserves on all claims valued
greater than $25,000 are reviewed on a weekly basis by senior
claims and underwriting management and the President of Century.
Loss and Loss Expense Reserves
We are liable for loss and loss expense reserves under the terms
of the insurance policies that we write. In many cases, several
years may lapse between the occurrence of an insured loss, the
reporting of the loss to us and our settlement of that loss. We
reflect our liability for the ultimate payment of all incurred
losses and loss expenses by establishing loss and loss expense
reserves as balance sheet liabilities for both reported and
unreported claims. We do not use discounting (recognition of the
time value of money) in reporting our estimated reserves for
losses and loss expenses.
When a claim is reported, our claim department establishes a
case reserve for the estimated amount of the
ultimate payment within 90 days of the receipt of the
claim. The estimate of the amount of the ultimate loss is based
upon various factors such as:
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the type of loss; |
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the jurisdiction of the occurrence; |
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our knowledge of the circumstances surrounding the claim; |
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the severity of injury or damage; |
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the potential for covered loss; and |
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policy provisions relating to the claim. |
In addition to case reserves, we establish reserves on an
aggregate basis to provide for losses and loss expenses that
have been incurred but not reported, commonly referred to as
IBNR. Case reserves and IBNR comprise the total loss
and loss expense reserves.
Our internal actuaries apply multiple traditional actuarial
techniques to compute loss and loss expense reserve estimates
for claim liabilities other than construction defect. Each
individual technique produces a unique loss and loss expense
reserve estimate for the line being analyzed. The set of
techniques applied together produces a range of loss and loss
expense reserve estimates. From these estimates, the actuaries
form a best estimate which considers the assumptions and factors
discussed below that influence ultimate claim costs. For
construction defect claim liabilities, our internal actuaries
apply one actuarial technique, under various sets of
assumptions, which considers the factors that influence ultimate
claim costs as discussed below. The actuarial technique for
construction defect claims includes several variables relating
to the number of IBNR claims and the average cost per IBNR
claim. In addition to computing best estimate parameter values
for the actuarial projection, the actuaries also consider the
impact on resulting IBNR related to reasonably foreseeable
fluctuations in these variables.
9
The actuarial techniques for computing loss and loss expense
reserve estimates use the following factors, among others:
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our experience and the industrys experience; |
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historical trends in reserving patterns and loss payments; |
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the impact of claim inflation; |
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the pending level of unpaid claims; |
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the cost of claim settlements; |
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the line of business mix; and |
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the environment in which property and casualty insurance
companies operate. |
Although many factors influence the actual cost of claims and
our corresponding reserve estimates, we do not measure and
estimate values for all of these variables individually. This is
due to the fact that many of the factors that are known to
impact the cost of claims cannot be measured directly, such as
the impact on claim costs due to economic inflation, coverage
interpretations and jury determinations. In most instances, we
rely on our historical experience or industry information to
estimate values for the variables that are explicitly used in
our reserve analyses. We assume that the historical effect of
these unmeasured factors, which is embedded in our experience or
industry experience, is representative of future effects of
these factors. Where we have reason to expect a change in the
effect of one of these factors, we perform analysis to quantify
the necessary adjustments.
We periodically review these estimates and, based on new
developments and information, we include adjustments of the
probable ultimate liability in operating results for the periods
in which the adjustments are made. In general, our initial
reserves are based upon the actuarial and underwriting data
utilized to set pricing levels and are reviewed as additional
information, including claims experience, becomes available. The
establishment of loss and loss expense reserves makes no
provision for the broadening of coverage by legislative action
or judicial interpretation or for the extraordinary future
emergence of new types of losses not sufficiently represented in
our historical experience or which cannot yet be quantified. We
regularly analyze our reserves and review our pricing and
reserving methodologies so that future adjustments to prior year
reserves can be minimized. However, given the complexity of this
process, reserves will require continual updates and the
ultimate liability may be higher or lower than previously
indicated.
Our Actuarial Unit has three actuaries, each of whom is a Fellow
of the Casualty Actuarial Society and Member of the American
Academy of Actuaries. The duties of the Actuarial Unit include:
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performing an actuarial analysis of loss and loss expense
reserves on a quarterly basis; |
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assisting our Underwriting Department in evaluating pricing
adequacy; |
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assisting our Loss Reserve Committee, which includes our Vice
President and Chief Actuary, Senior Claims Officer, Chief
Financial Officer (Chairman), Chief Operating Officer and the
President of Century, in establishing managements best
estimate of loss and loss expense reserves; and |
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working with our independent external actuary in the year-end
loss and loss expense reserves statement of actuarial opinion
process. |
Due to the inherent uncertainty in estimating reserves for
losses and loss expenses, there can be no assurance that the
ultimate liability will not exceed amounts reserved, with a
resulting adverse effect on our results of operations and
financial condition. Based on the current assumptions used in
calculating reserves, management believes our overall reserve
levels at December 31, 2004 make a reasonable provision for
our future obligations.
10
Activity in the liability for loss and loss expense reserves is
summarized as follows:
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Years Ended December 31, | |
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2004 | |
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2003 | |
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2002 | |
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(In thousands) | |
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Loss and loss expense reserves at beginning of year, as reported
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$ |
129,236 |
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$ |
90,855 |
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$ |
93,998 |
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Less reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses at beginning of
year
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36,739 |
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31,853 |
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45,054 |
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Net loss and loss expense reserves at beginning of year
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92,497 |
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59,002 |
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48,944 |
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Provision for loss and loss expense incurred for claims related
to:
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Current year
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78,015 |
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53,961 |
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28,628 |
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Prior years:
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Property/casualty:
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Casualty
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12,842 |
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22,190 |
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13,516 |
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Property
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(3,244 |
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2,254 |
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(22 |
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Other (including exited lines):
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Commercial automobile
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789 |
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1,350 |
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263 |
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Workers compensation
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664 |
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1,249 |
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3,017 |
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Total prior years
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11,051 |
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27,043 |
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16,774 |
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Total incurred
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89,066 |
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81,004 |
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45,402 |
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Loss and loss expense payments for claims related to:
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Current year
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22,095 |
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15,932 |
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9,503 |
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Prior years
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35,717 |
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31,577 |
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25,841 |
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Total paid
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57,812 |
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47,509 |
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35,344 |
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Net loss and loss expense reserves at end of year
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123,751 |
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92,497 |
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59,002 |
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Plus reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses at end of year
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29,485 |
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36,739 |
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31,853 |
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Loss and loss expense reserves at end of year, as reported
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$ |
153,236 |
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$ |
129,236 |
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$ |
90,855 |
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An explanation of significant components of loss and loss
expense reserve development by segment (net of reinsurance,
unless otherwise indicated) follows.
Casualty. Our changes in the reserve estimates related to
prior accident years for the years ended December 31, 2004,
2003 and 2002 for the casualty lines resulted in increases in
incurred losses and loss expenses of $12.8 million,
$22.2 million, and $13.5 million respectively. A
significant portion of our casualty reserves relate to
construction defect claims in certain states. See
Business General. Starting with
California in December 2000, we began to exit contractors
liability business. By the end of the first quarter of 2001, we
had significantly reduced our contractors liability
underwriting in all states, and completely eliminated
contractors liability underwriting in Arizona, California,
Colorado, Hawaii, Louisiana, Nevada, New Jersey, North Carolina,
Oregon, South Carolina and Washington. Reserves and claim
frequency on this business may also be impacted by legislation
recently enacted in California, which generally provides
consumers who experience construction defects a method other
than litigation to obtain reimbursement for construction defect
repairs. This legislation may impact claim severity, frequency
and length to settlement assumptions underlying our reserves.
Accordingly, our ultimate liability may exceed or be less than
current estimates due to this variable, among others.
11
Of our construction defect net loss and loss expense reserves at
December 31, 2004, 61.0% was for incurred but not reported
losses (which are referred to as IBNR) and 52.5% of our
construction defect net loss and loss expense reserves at
December 31, 2003 was for IBNR. As of December 31,
2004, we had 566 open claims relating to construction defects,
compared to 597 open claims as of December 31, 2003. During
2004, 986 new claims were reported and 1,017 existing claims
were settled or dismissed. Our net loss and loss expense
reserves for construction defects as of December 31, 2004
were $19.0 million. The adverse development recognized in
2004 and 2003, related to construction defect was
$8.3 million and $13.4 million, respectively. The
re-estimation of construction defect reserves primarily affected
the 1996 and 1997 accident years and the 1999 to 2001 accident
years.
In addition, during 2004 and 2003, we also experienced
development above expectations on our non-construction defect
casualty reserves for the 2000 to 2002 years that led to
reassessments of the initial loss ratio expectations and the
claim reporting and settlement patterns. The adverse development
recognized in 2004 and 2003, related to our non-construction
defect casualty reserves was $4.6 million and
$8.8 million, respectively.
As of December 31, 2004, the projected loss and loss
expense ratios, after the effects of reinsurance, for the
casualty lines were 48.9%, 44.0% and 57.8% for accident periods
2004, 2003, and 2002, respectively.
Property. Our changes in estimate for the years ended
December 31, 2004, 2003 and 2002 for the property lines
resulted in increases (decreases) of ($3.2) million,
$2.3 million and ($22,000), respectively. These amounts
primarily relate to changes in the selected development patterns
on all accident years, as the number of claims and claim
severity exceeded expectations at December 31, 2002, and
were below expectations at December 31, 2003 and 2001.
As of December 31, 2004, the projected loss and loss
expense ratios, after the effects of reinsurance, for the
property lines were 58.8%, 50.3% and 57.2% for accident periods
2004, 2003 and 2002, respectively.
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Other (Including Exited Lines) |
We began writing commercial automobile coverage for commercial
vehicles and trucks in 1997. In 2000, we exited the commercial
automobile line of business due to unsatisfactory underwriting
results. At December 31, 2004, all of our net loss and loss
expense reserves related to commercial automobile was for case
reserves. At December 31, 2003, 0.6% of our commercial
automobile net loss and loss expense reserves was for IBNR and
99.4% was for case reserves. As of December 31, 2004, we
had 38 open claims relating to commercial automobile, compared
to 63 open claims as of December 31, 2003. During 2004,
eight new claims were reported and 33 existing claims were
settled or dismissed. Our net loss and loss expense reserves for
commercial automobile as of December 31, 2004 were
$1.8 million.
We offered workers compensation coverage from 1997 through
January 2002. We exited this line of business beginning
January 1, 2002 due to unsatisfactory underwriting results
and the lack of availability of acceptable reinsurance. Until
July 2000, we purchased 100% quota share reinsurance on this
book of business. Beginning in 2000, we started to retain some
risk. No new policies have been written since the first quarter
of 2002. Of our net loss and loss expense reserves at
December 31, 2004, 49.8% related to workers
compensation claims IBNR, and 2.3% of our net loss and loss
expense reserves at December 31, 2003 was for workers
compensation IBNR. As of December 31, 2004, we had 257 open
claims relating to workers compensation compared to 414
open claims as of December 31, 2003. During 2004, 13 new
claims were reported, and 170 existing claims were settled or
dismissed. Our net loss and loss expense reserves for
workers compensation as of December 31, 2004 were
$3.4 million.
The table provided below presents the development of reserves,
net of reinsurance, from 1995 through 2004. The top line of the
table presents the reserves at the balance sheet date for each
of the periods indicated. This represents the estimated amounts
of loss and loss expenses for claims arising in the period that
were unpaid at the balance sheet date, including losses that had
been incurred but not yet reported to us. The upper portion of
the table presents the re-estimated amount of the previously
recorded reserves based on experience as of the end of each
succeeding period, including cumulative payments made since the
end of the respective
12
period. The estimate changes as more information becomes known
about the payments, as well as the frequency and severity of
claims for individual periods. Favorable loss development, shown
as a cumulative redundancy in the table, exists when the
original reserve estimate is greater than the re-estimated
reserves. The lower portion of the table presents the cumulative
amounts paid as of the end of each successive period with
respect to those claims. Information with respect to the
cumulative development of gross reserves (that is, without
deduction for reinsurance ceded) also appears at the bottom
portion of the table.
In evaluating the information in the table provided below, note
that each amount entered incorporates the cumulative effects of
all changes in amounts entered for prior periods. The table does
not present accident or policy year development data. In
addition, conditions and trends that have affected the
development of liability in the past may not necessarily recur
in the future.
Analysis of Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Development
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1995(1) | |
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1996(1) | |
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1997(1) | |
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1998(1) | |
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1999(1) | |
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(In thousands) | |
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Net liability for losses and loss expenses
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$ |
25,517 |
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$ |
30,321 |
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$ |
39,644 |
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$ |
42,262 |
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$ |
46,649 |
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Liability re-estimated as of:
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