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UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
Form 10-K
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(Mark One)
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ANNUAL REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
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For the fiscal year ended December 31, 2004 |
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TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
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For the transition period
from to |
Commission file number 0-22342
Triad Guaranty Inc.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
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DELAWARE
(State or other jurisdiction of
incorporation or organization) |
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56-1838519
(I.R.S. Employer
Identification No.) |
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101 South Stratford Road
Winston-Salem, North Carolina
(Address of principal executive offices)
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27104
(Zip Code) |
Registrants telephone number, including area code:
(336) 723-1282
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the
Act:
None
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(g) of the
Act:
Title of Each Class
Common Stock, par value $.01 per share
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed
all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of
the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding
12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant
was required to file such reports), and (2) has been
subject to such filing requirements for the past
90 days. Yes þ No o
Indicate by check mark if disclosure of delinquent filers
pursuant to Item 405 of Regulation S-K is not
contained herein, and will not be contained, to the best of
registrants knowledge, in definitive proxy or information
statements incorporated by reference in Part III of this
Form 10-K or any amendment to this
Form 10-K. o
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an accelerated
filer (as defined in Exchange Act
Rule 12b-2). Yes þ No o
State the aggregate market value of the voting and non-voting
common equity held by non-affiliates of the registrant, computed
by reference to the price at which the common equity was last
sold, or the average bid and asked price of such common equity,
as of the last business day of the registrants most
recently completed second fiscal quarter: $508,291,271 as of
June 30, 2004, which amount excludes the value of all
shares beneficially owned (as defined in Rule 13d-3 under
the Securities Exchange Act of 1934) by officers and directors
of the registrant (however this does not constitute a
representation or acknowledgment that any such individual is an
affiliate of the registrant).
The number of shares of the registrants common stock, par
value $.01 per share, outstanding as of February 14,
2005, was 14,678,418.
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| Portions of the following documents are incorporated by |
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Part of this Form 10-K into which the document |
| reference into this Form 10-K: |
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is incorporated by reference |
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Triad Guaranty Inc.
Proxy Statement for 2005 Annual Meeting
of Stockholders |
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Part III |
TABLE OF CONTENTS
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PART I |
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Item 1.
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Business |
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Item 2.
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Properties |
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Item 3.
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Legal Proceedings |
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Item 4.
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Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders |
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PART II |
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Item 5.
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Market for the Registrants Common Stock and Related
Stockholder Matters |
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Item 6.
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Selected Financial Data |
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Item 7.
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Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition
and Results of Operations |
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Item 7a.
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Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risks |
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Item 8.
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Financial Statements and Supplementary Data |
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Item 9.
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Changes in and Disagreements with Accountants on Accounting and
Financial Disclosure |
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Item 9a.
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Controls and Procedures |
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PART III |
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Item 10.
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Directors and Executive Officers of the Registrant |
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Item 11.
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Executive Compensation |
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Item 12.
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Security Ownership of Certain Beneficial Owners and Management |
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Item 13.
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Certain Relationships and Related Transactions |
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Item 14.
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Principal Accountant Fees and Services |
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PART IV |
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Item 15.
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Exhibits, Financial Statement Schedules and Reports on Form 8-K |
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Signatures |
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Index to Consolidated Financial Statements and Financial
Statement Schedules |
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PART I
Triad Guaranty Inc. is a holding company which, through its
whollyowned subsidiary, Triad Guaranty Insurance
Corporation (Triad), provides private mortgage
insurance (MI) coverage in the United States to
residential mortgage lenders and investors. Triad Guaranty Inc.
and its subsidiaries are collectively referred to as the
Company. The Company when used within
this document refers to the holding company and/or one or more
of its subsidiaries, as appropriate.
Private mortgage insurance, also known as mortgage guaranty
insurance, is issued in many home purchases and refinancings
involving conventional residential first mortgage loans to
borrowers with equity of less than 20%. If the homeowner
defaults on the mortgage, private mortgage insurance reduces,
and in some instances eliminates, the loss to the insured
lender. Private mortgage insurance also facilitates the sale of
low down payment mortgage loans in the secondary mortgage
market, principally to the Federal National Mortgage Association
(Fannie Mae) and the Federal Home Loan Mortgage
Corporation (Freddie Mac). Under riskbased
capital regulations applicable to most financial institutions,
private mortgage insurance also reduces the capital requirement
for such lenders on residential mortgage loans not sold that
have equity of less than 20%. Mortgage insurance is also
purchased by investors and lenders who seek additional default
protection or capital relief on loans with equity of greater
than 20%.
Private mortgage insurance has traditionally involved
underwriting and insuring an individual loan. This type of
mortgage insurance is known as flow mortgage
insurance and will be referred to as such throughout this
document. Additionally, the Company participates in structured
bulk transactions that involve underwriting and insuring a group
of loans. This type of mortgage insurance is known as
structured bulk or bulk mortgage
insurance and will be referred to as such throughout this
document.
Triad was formed in 1987 as a whollyowned subsidiary of
Primerica Corporation and began writing private mortgage
insurance in 1988. In September 1989, Triad was acquired by
Collateral Mortgage, Ltd. (CML), a mortgage banking
and real estate lending firm located in Birmingham, Alabama. In
1990, CML contributed the outstanding stock of Triad to its
affiliate, Collateral Investment Corp. (CIC), an
insurance holding company.
The Company was incorporated by CIC in Delaware in August 1993,
for the purpose of holding all the outstanding stock of Triad
and to undertake the initial public offering of the
Companys Common Stock, which was completed in November
1993. CIC currently owns 17.6% and CML owns 17.6% of the
outstanding Common Stock of the Company.
The principal executive offices of the Company are located at
101 South Stratford Road, WinstonSalem, North Carolina
27104. Its telephone number is (336) 7231282.
Types of Mortgage Insurance Products
Primary insurance provides mortgage default protection to
lenders on individual loans and covers a percentage of unpaid
loan principal, delinquent interest, and certain expenses
associated with the default and subsequent foreclosure
(collectively, the claim amount). The claim amount,
to which the appropriate coverage percentage is applied,
generally ranges from 110% to 115% of the unpaid principal
balance of the loan. The Companys obligation to an insured
lender with respect to a claim is determined by applying the
appropriate coverage percentage to the claim amount. Under its
master policy, the Company has the option of paying the entire
claim amount and taking title to the mortgaged property or
paying the coverage percentage in full satisfaction of its
obligations under the insurance written. Insurance
written is defined as the entire loan balance for which a
lender has requested mortgage insurance and is generally
utilized as a term to measure sales success. Primary insurance
can be placed on many types of loan instruments and generally
applies to loans secured by mortgages on owner occupied homes.
2
The Company offers primary coverage generally from 6% to 45% of
the loan amount, with most coverage from 12% to 37% as of
December 31, 2004. The coverage percentage provided by the
Company is selected by the insured lender, subject to the
Companys underwriting approval, usually in order to comply
with investors requirements to reduce investor loss
exposure on loans they purchase.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are the ultimate purchasers of a
large percentage of the loans insured by the Company. Generally
they require a coverage percentage that will reduce their loss
exposure on loans they purchase to 75% or less of the
propertys value at the time the loan is originated. Since
1999, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have accepted lower coverage
percentages for certain categories of mortgages when the loan is
approved by their automated underwriting services. The reduced
coverage percentages limit loss exposure to 80% or less of the
propertys value at the time the loan is originated.
The Companys premium rates vary depending upon various
factors including the loantovalue (LTV) ratio, loan
type, mortgage term, coverage amount, documentation required,
credit score and use of property, which all affect the perceived
risk of default on the insured mortgage loan. Usually, premium
rates cannot be changed after issuance of coverage. Consistent
with industry practice, the Company generally utilizes a
nationally based, rather than a regional or local, premium rate
structure for its flow business, although special risk rates are
utilized as well.
Premiums on flow mortgage insurance are paid by either the
borrower (borrower-paid) or the lender (lender-paid). Under the
Companys borrower-paid plan, mortgage insurance premiums
are charged to the mortgage lender or servicer that collects the
premium from the borrower and, in turn, remits the premiums to
the Company. Under the Companys lenderpaid plan,
mortgage insurance premiums are charged to the mortgage lender
or loan servicer that pays the premium to the Company. The
lender may recover the premium through an increase in the
borrowers interest rate. Approximately 77% and 69% of the
Companys flow insurance was written under its
borrower-paid plan during 2004 and 2003, respectively. The
remainder was written under its lender-paid plan (23% and 31% of
flow insurance during 2004 and 2003, respectively). The
Companys lender-paid volume is concentrated among larger
mortgage lender customers.
Premiums may be remitted to the Company monthly, annually, or in
one single payment. The monthly premium payment plan involves
the payment of one or two months premium at the mortgage
loan closing. Thereafter, level monthly premiums are collected
by the loan servicer for monthly remittance to the Company. The
Company also offers a plan under which the first monthly
mortgage insurance payment is deferred until the first loan
payment is remitted to the Company. This deferred monthly
premium product decreases the amount of cash required from the
borrower at closing, thereby making home ownership more
affordable. Monthly premium plans represented approximately 92%
and 76% of flow insurance written in 2004 and 2003, respectively.
The annual premium payment plan requires a firstyear
premium paid at mortgage loan closing with annual renewal
payments. With respect to the Companys borrower-paid
plans, renewal payments are collected monthly from the borrower
and held in escrow by the mortgage lender or servicer for annual
remittance to the Company in advance of each renewal year.
Annual premium plans represented approximately 8% and 23% of
flow insurance written in 2004 and 2003, respectively.
The single premium payment plan requires a single payment paid
at loan closing. The single premium payment can be financed by
the borrower by adding it to the principal amount of the
mortgage or can be paid in cash at closing by the borrower.
Single premium plans represented less than 1% of flow insurance
written in 2004 and 2003.
Pool insurance generally has been offered by private mortgage
insurers to lenders as an additional credit enhancement for
certain mortgagebacked securities and provides coverage
for the full amount of the net loss on each individual loan
included in the pool, subject to an aggregate stop loss limit
and/or a deductible. The Company does not offer this traditional
form of pool insurance.
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Structured Bulk Transactions |
The Company participates in structured bulk transactions, which
involve insuring a group of loans with individual coverage for
each loan. Structured bulk transactions are typically initiated
by secondary mortgage market participants, including
underwriters of mortgage-backed securities, mortgage lenders,
and mortgage investors such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, where
mortgage insurance is used as a credit enhancement. Insurance
issued in structured bulk transactions is generally either
primary, supplemental if the policy already has primary
coverage, or a combination of both. Coverage on structured bulk
transactions is determined at the individual loan level,
sufficient to reduce the insureds exposure on any loan in
the transaction down to a stated percentage of the loan balance
(down-to coverage). The Company is provided
loan-level information on the group of loans and, based on the
risk characteristics of the entire group of loans and the
requirements of the secondary mortgage market participant, the
Company submits a price for insuring the entire group of loans.
The Company competes against other mortgage insurers as well as
other forms of credit enhancement provided by capital markets
for these transactions. During 2004, insurance written related
to structured bulk transactions represented 39% of the total
insurance written compared to 19% in 2003.
Structured bulk transactions frequently include an aggregate
stop-loss limit applied to the entire group of insured loans.
Additionally, 81% of the structured bulk transactions entered
into in 2004 and 60% in 2003 included deductibles putting the
Company in a second loss position. Through December 31,
2004, insurance written through the structured bulk channel has
not been subject to captive mortgage reinsurance or other
risk-sharing arrangements.
The Company offers mortgage insurance arrangements designed to
allow lenders to share in the risks of mortgage insurance. One
such arrangement is the captive reinsurance program. Under the
captive reinsurance program, a reinsurance company, generally an
affiliate of the lender, assumes a portion of the risk
associated with the lenders insured book of business in
exchange for a percentage of the premium. Typically, the
reinsurance program is an excess-of-loss arrangement with
defined aggregate layers of coverage and a maximum exposure
limit for the captive reinsurance company. Captive reinsurance
programs may also take the form of a quota share arrangement,
although the Company had no quota share arrangements in force as
of December 31, 2004. Under its excess-of-loss programs,
with respect to a given book year of business, Triad retains the
first loss position on the first aggregate layer of risk and
reinsures a second defined aggregate layer with the reinsurer.
Triad generally retains the remaining risk above the layer
reinsured. Of the reinsurance agreements in place at
December 31, 2004, the first layer retained by Triad ranged
from the first 3.0% to 6.5% of risk in force and the second
layer ceded to reinsurers ranged from the next 4.0% to 10.0%.
Ceded premiums, net of ceded commissions, under these
arrangements ranged from 20.0% to 40.0% of premiums.
Trust accounts are established with the counterparties to all of
our reinsurance agreements to support the reinsurers
obligations under the reinsurance agreements. The captive
reinsurer is the grantor of the trust and Triad is the
beneficiary of the trust. The trust agreement includes covenants
regarding minimum and ongoing capitalization, required reserves,
authorized investments, and withdrawal of assets and is funded
by ceded premium and investment earnings on trust assets as well
as capital contributions by the reinsurer.
The ultimate impact on the Companys financial performance
of an excess-of-loss captive structure is primarily dependent on
the total level of losses and the persistency rates during the
life of a given book year of business. We define persistency as
the percentage of insurance in force remaining from twelve
months prior. The Company believes that its excess-of-loss
captive reinsurance programs provide valuable reinsurance
protection by limiting the aggregate level of losses, and under
normal operating environments, potentially reduce the degree of
volatility in the Companys earnings from the development
of such losses over time. At December 31, 2004 and 2003,
43% and 44% of insurance in force was subject to captive
reinsurance programs.
Cancellation of Insurance
Mortgage insurance coverage cannot be canceled by the Company
except for nonpayment of premium or certain material violations
of the master policy and remains renewable at the option of the
insured lender.
4
Generally, mortgage insurance is renewable at a rate determined
when the insurance on the loan was initially issued.
Insured lenders may cancel insurance at any time at their
option. Pursuant to the Homeowners Protection Act, lenders are
required to automatically cancel the borrower paid private
mortgage insurance on most loans made on or after July 29,
1999, when the outstanding loan amount is 78% or less of the
propertys original purchase price and certain other
conditions are met. A borrower may request that a loan servicer
cancel borrower-paid mortgage insurance on a mortgage loan when
the loan balance is less than 80% of the propertys current
value, but loan servicers are generally restricted in their
ability to grant such requests by secondary market requirements
and by certain other regulatory restrictions.
Mortgage insurance coverage can also be cancelled when an
insured loan is refinanced. If the Company provides insurance on
the refinanced mortgage, the policy on the refinanced home loan
is considered new insurance written. Therefore, continuation of
the Companys coverage from a refinanced loan to a new loan
results in both a cancellation of insurance and new insurance
written.
The percentage of the Companys insurance in
force, defined as the present loan balance outstanding of
active policies remaining at any specific point in time, for
which the lender had requested coverages at the end of the
previous year that was canceled during 2004 and 2003 was 32% and
49%, respectively. The high cancellation level in 2003 was due
to significant refinance activity, as mortgage rates dropped to
historic lows. During periods of high refinance activity, the
Companys earnings and risk profile are more subject to
fluctuations. See Managements Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of Operations for further
discussion on the effect of the cancellation levels.
Customers
Residential mortgage lenders such as mortgage bankers, mortgage
brokers, commercial banks, and savings institutions are the
principal customers of flow insurance written by the Company.
To obtain insurance from the Company written on a flow basis, a
mortgage lender must first apply for and receive a master policy
from the Company. The Companys approval of a lender as a
master policyholder is based upon evaluation of the
lenders financial position and demonstrated adherence to
sound lending practices as well as other factors.
The master policy sets forth the terms and conditions of the
Companys mortgage insurance policy. The master policy does
not obligate the lender to obtain insurance from the Company,
nor does it obligate the Company to issue insurance on a
particular loan. The master policy provides that the lender must
submit individual loans for insurance to the Company, and each
loan, subject to certain underwriting criteria, must be approved
by the Company to effect coverage (except in the case of
delegated underwriting or when the originator has the authority
to approve coverage within certain guidelines).
Consolidation within the mortgage origination industry has
resulted in a greater percentage of production volume being
concentrated among a smaller customer base. The top 30 lenders
in the United States, as ranked by mortgage origination volume,
accounted for approximately 84% of originated mortgage volume in
2004 compared to 79% in 2003. Many of these top 30 lenders are
customers of the Company. In 2004, production from the
Companys top 10 lenders accounted for approximately 71% of
the Companys flow insurance written compared to 74% in
2003. The loss of one or more of the Companys significant
customers could have an adverse effect on its business.
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Premium revenue for the Company is comprised of premium from
business originated in the current year plus renewal premiums
from insurance originated in prior years. Those customers whose
revenue comprised more than 10% of the Companys
consolidated revenue are listed below:
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Percent of | |
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Revenues For | |
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the Year | |
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2003 | |
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Wells Fargo Home Mortgage, Inc.
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See further discussion regarding significant customers in
Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition
and Results of Operations.
Sales and Marketing
The Company currently markets its insurance products through a
dedicated sales force, including sales management, of
approximately 40 professionals and an exclusive commissioned
general agency serving a specific geographic market. The Company
is licensed to do business in all 50 states and the
District of Columbia.
The Executive Vice President of Sales and Marketing oversees all
of the Companys sales and marketing activities and reports
directly to the Chief Operating Officer of the Company. The
Senior Vice President and National Sales Manager oversees all of
the Companys sales activities and reports to the Executive
Vice President of Sales and Marketing. Division managers serve
key regional accounts through area sales directors and account
executives and report to the Senior Vice President and National
Sales Manager. Also reporting to the Senior Vice President and
National Sales Manager are the national account executives who
are responsible for the Companys sales efforts toward the
larger national mortgage originators. This reporting structure
allows the senior vice president in charge of all sales
activities to coordinate all sales efforts and focus time on
large, national accounts while maintaining responsibility for
all other sales activities.
The marketing departments mission is to develop and
implement programs in support of the Companys sales
objectives and to promote the Companys image. A variety of
tools are used to achieve these goals including public
relations, marketing materials, internal/external publications,
convention trade shows, and the Internet. A national advertising
and public relations campaign designed to raise corporate
visibility to lenders and investors is also part of the
Companys integrated marketing approach.
Contract Underwriting
The Company provides feebased contract underwriting
services that enable customers to improve the efficiency of
their operations by outsourcing all or part of their mortgage
loan underwriting. The fee charged is intended to cover the cost
of providing the services. Contract underwriting involves
examining a prospective borrowers information contained in
a lenders mortgage application file and making a
determination whether the borrower is approved for a mortgage
loan subject to the lenders underwriting guidelines. In
addition, the Company offers Fannie Maes Desktop
Originator® and Desktop Underwriter® and Freddie
Macs Loan Prospector® as a service to its contract
underwriting customers. These products, which are designed to
streamline and reduce costs in the mortgage origination process,
supply the Companys customers with fast and accurate
service regarding compliance with underwriting standards and
Fannie Maes or Freddie Macs decision for loan
purchase or securitization. The Company provides contract
underwriting services through its own employees as well as
independent contractors, and these services are provided for
loans that require mortgage insurance as well as loans that do
not require mortgage insurance. In the event that Triad fails to
properly underwrite a loan subject to the lenders
underwriting guidelines, Triad may be required to provide
monetary or other remedies to the lender customer. The potential
remedies are not significant to the Company.
6
Competition and Market Share
The Company and other private mortgage insurers compete directly
with federal and state governmental and quasigovernmental
agencies, principally the Federal Housing Administration
(FHA). These agencies sponsor governmentbacked
mortgage insurance programs under which approximately 33% of
high LTV loans were insured in 2004 compared to 36% in 2003. In
addition to competition from federal agencies, the Company and
other private mortgage insurers face competition from
statesupported mortgage insurance funds, some of which are
either independent agencies or affiliates of state housing
agencies. Indirectly, the Company also competes with certain
mortgage lenders that forego private mortgage insurance to
selfinsure against the risk of loss from defaults on all
or a portion of their low down payment mortgage loans.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have the ability to modify the
required level of mortgage insurance coverage that should be
maintained by lenders on loans that they purchase. Both Fannie
Mae and Freddie Mac have programs that reduce the required
amount of private mortgage insurance in exchange for an upfront
delivery fee from the lender. The Companys financial
condition and results of operations could be adversely affected
as a result of these programs or if Fannie Mae and/or Freddie
Mac adopt private mortgage insurance substitutes.
Various proposals are periodically discussed by Congress and
certain federal agencies to reform or modify the FHA. Management
is unable to predict the scope and content of such proposals, or
whether any such proposals will be enacted into law, and if
enacted, what effect they may have on the Company.
The private mortgage insurance industry consists of seven major
mortgage insurance companies including Triad, Mortgage Guaranty
Insurance Corporation, PMI Mortgage Insurance Co., United
Guaranty Corporation, Radian Guaranty Inc., Genworth Financial,
Inc. and Republic Mortgage Insurance Company. Triad is the
smallest private mortgage insurer based on 2004 market share
and, according to estimated industry data, had a 6.0% share of
total net new primary insurance written in 2004 compared to 4.9%
in 2003.
Management believes the Company competes with other private
mortgage insurers principally on the basis of personalized and
professional service, a strong management and sales team,
responsive and versatile technology, and innovative products in
the flow market. The Company competes in competitive bid
transactions in the structured bulk market with both the other
private mortgage insurers and providers of other forms of credit
enhancements.
Underwriting Practices
The Company considers effective risk management to be critical
to its longterm financial stability. Market analysis,
prudent underwriting, the use of automated risk evaluation
models, auditing, and customer service are all important
elements of the Companys risk management process.
The Companys Senior Vice President of Underwriting is
responsible for the centralized underwriting department for flow
business in the home office as well as the Companys
regional offices in Arizona, California, Georgia, Illinois,
Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Texas. He has been in his position since
shortly after the Company was formed. The Companys Senior
Vice President of Risk Management is responsible for assessing
the risk factors used by the Company in its underwriting
procedures. He has been with the Company since 2001 and has more
than 20 years of industry experience.
The Company employed an underwriting staff of approximately 35
at December 31, 2004. The Companys field underwriters
and underwriting managers are limited in their authority to
approve programs for certain mortgage loans. The authority
levels are tied to underwriting position, knowledge, and
experience and relate primarily to loan amounts and property
type. All loans insured by the Company are subject to quality
control reviews.
7
The Company evaluates risk based on historical performance of
risk factors and utilizes automated underwriting systems in the
risk selection process to assist the underwriter with
decision-making. This process evaluates the following categories
of risk:
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Mortgage Lender. The Company reviews each lenders
financial statements and management experience before issuing a
master policy. The Company also tracks the historical risk
performance, including loan level risk characteristics, of all
significant customers that hold a master policy. This
information is factored into determining the loan programs the
Company approves for various lenders. The Company assigns
delegated underwriting authority only to lenders with
substantial financial resources and established records of
originating good quality loans. |
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Purpose and Type of Loan. The Company analyzes five
general characteristics of a loan to evaluate its level of risk:
(i) LTV ratio; (ii) purpose of the loan;
(iii) type of loan instrument; (iv) level of
documentation; and, (v) type of property. Generally, the
Company seeks loan types with proven track records for which an
assessment of risk can be readily made and the premium received
sufficiently offsets that risk. Loan types that do not have a
proven track record are charged a higher premium, as are other
loans which have been shown to carry higher risks, such as
adjustable rate mortgages (ARMs), loans with limited
or no documentation, and loans having higher LTV ratios. Certain
categories of loans are not actively pursued by the Company
because such loans have a disproportionate amount of risk,
including scheduled negatively amortizing ARMs and investment
properties. |
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Individual Loan and Borrower. Individual insurance
applications are evaluated based on analysis of the
borrowers ability and willingness to repay the mortgage
loan and the characteristics and value of the mortgaged
property. The analysis of the borrower includes reviewing the
borrowers housing and total debt ratios as well as the
borrowers Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc. (FICO)
credit score, as reported by credit rating agencies. In addition
to the borrowers willingness and ability to repay the
loan, the Company believes that mortgage default risk is
affected by a variety of other factors, including the
borrowers employment status. Insured mortgage loans made
to selfemployed borrowers are perceived by the Company to
have higher risk of claim, all other factors being equal, than
loans to borrowers employed by third parties. Individual
insurance applications are reviewed by Triads underwriting
personnel except for loans originated by lenders under delegated
underwriting authority or through automated underwriting
services provided by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. In the case of
delegated underwriting, compliance with program parameters is
monitored by periodic audits of delegated business. Through the
automated underwriting services provided by Fannie Mae and
Freddie Mac, lenders are able to obtain approval for mortgage
guaranty insurance with any participating mortgage insurer.
Triad works with both enterprises in offering insurance services
through their systems while monitoring the risk quality of loans
insured through such systems. |
| |
| |
|
Geographic Selection of Risk. The Company places
significant emphasis on the condition of the regional housing
markets in determining marketing and underwriting policies.
Using both internal and external data, the Companys risk
management department continually monitors the economic
conditions in the Companys active and potential markets.
The Company may choose not to insure new loans in geographic
areas where it believes it has a heavy concentration or a higher
risk of loss. |
| |
| |
|
Risk Dispersion. In the early years of the Company, only
certain high quality loans with limited risk were accepted. As
the Company developed expertise beyond that limited spectrum on
the risk curve and with the advent of delegated underwriting,
the Company gradually expanded the breadth of risk it viewed as
acceptable. An example of this extension of acceptable risk was
the initial expansion into the structured bulk marketplace in
2001 in the prime jumbo loan segment. In 2003 and 2004, the
Companys primary focus for structured bulk transactions
has been the Alt-A segment. The Company has defined Alt-A in its
flow business as individual loans having high credit quality
(FICO scores greater than 620) and that have been underwritten
with reduced or no documentation. For structured bulk
transactions, Alt-A classification is based on the transaction
as a whole rather than on an individual loan-by-loan
characterization. Structured bulk transactions that the Company
has defined as |
8
|
|
|
| |
|
Alt-A have high credit quality, but may include loans that vary
from guidelines typical for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac regarding
one or more of the following characteristics: loan amount,
documentation level, loan purpose, employment status, or
occupancy. The loans in this category typically have higher
risk; however, the Company has structured most of the bulk
transactions entered into in the last two years with deductibles
that put it in the second loss position to mitigate the risk
associated with these loans. The marketplace has changed and
many lenders are initiating programs that have reduced or no
documentation requirements or other nonconforming loan
characteristics. We have participated in certain of these
programs through the flow channel. |
|
|
|
Underwriting Process for Flow Business |
The Company accepts applications for insurance under three basic
programs: a fullydocumented program, a creditscore
driven reduced documentation program, and a delegated
underwriting program which allows a lenders underwriters
to commit insurance to a loan based on strict, agreed upon
underwriting guidelines. The Company also accepts loans approved
through Freddie Macs or Fannie Maes automated
underwriting systems.
The Company generally utilizes nationwide underwriting
guidelines to evaluate the potential risk of default on mortgage
loans submitted for insurance coverage. These guidelines have
evolved over time and take into account the loss experience of
the entire private mortgage insurance industry. They also are
largely influenced by the underwriting guidelines of Fannie Mae
and Freddie Mac. Specific underwriting guidelines applicable to
a given local, state, or regional market are utilized to address
concerns resulting from the Companys review of regional
economies and housing patterns.
Subject to the Companys underwriting guidelines and
exception approval procedures, the Company expects its internal
underwriters and contract underwriters to utilize their
experience and business judgment in evaluating each loan on its
own merits. Accordingly, the Companys underwriting staff
has discretionary authority to insure loans that deviate in
certain minor respects from the Companys underwriting
guidelines. More significant exceptions are subject to
management approval. In all such cases, other compensating
factors must be identified. The predominant deviations involve
instances where the borrowers debttoincome
ratio exceeds the Companys guidelines. To compensate for
exceptions, the Companys underwriters give favorable
consideration to factors such as excellent borrower credit
history, the availability of satisfactory cash reserves after
closing, and borrower employment stability.
The Company also allows lenders to submit insurance applications
with reduced documentation through automated and non-automated
underwriting programs. Under the automated underwriting program,
Triad issues a commitment of insurance based on the
borrowers FICO credit score or the approval of the loan
through either Fannie Maes or Freddie Macs automated
underwriting system. The Company issues a commitment of
insurance without the standard underwriting process if certain
program parameters are met and the borrower has a credit score
above established thresholds. The Company audits lenders
files on loans submitted under the automated underwriting
program randomly and through specific identification of selected
risk factors. Documentation submission requirements for
nonautomated underwritten loans vary depending on the
borrowers credit score.
The Company utilizes a delegated underwriting program to serve
many of the larger, wellestablished mortgage originators.
Under this program, standards for type of loan, property type,
and credit history of the borrower are established consistent
with the Companys risk strategy, and the lenders
underwriters are able to commit insurance to a loan based on
these standards. Extensive practices including reunderwriting,
reappraisal, and similar procedures are utilized following
issuance of the policy to ensure quality control. The
Companys delegated underwriting program accounted for 41%
of flow applications received in 2004 compared to 59% in 2003.
To date, the performance of loans insured under the delegated
underwriting program has been comparable to the Companys
nondelegated business. The use of Fannie Maes or
Freddie Macs automated underwriting programs or the
Companys delegated underwriting programs with selected
lenders could lead to loss development patterns different than
those experienced when the Company controlled the entire
underwriting process.
9
|
|
|
Underwriting Structured Bulk Transactions |
The Company analyzes structured bulk transactions during the bid
process to identify the individual loans that pose the greatest
risk of nonperformance. High-risk loans are identified based on
an analysis of multiple risk factors including, but not limited
to, credit score, loan-to-value ratio, documentation type, loan
purpose, and loan amount. The pertinent risk characteristics of
each loan are evaluated to determine the impact on the
transactions frequency and severity of loss and
persistency. The Company may utilize an outside due diligence
firm in this process as well as mortgage risk analysis models
such as Standard & Poors Levels. The
Companys pricing for structured bulk transactions is
commensurate with a transactions overall risk profile
based upon its individual loan-by-loan analysis. The risk review
may result in a request by the Company to remove certain loans
from the transaction before the Company submits a competitive
bid. The Company considers a transactions loan level risk
profile and any associated stop loss level or deductible amount
in submitting a bid for insurance. The Company does not bid on
all structured bulk transactions it receives.
As discussed earlier, the Company has expanded the risk
characteristics that it is pursuing in both the flow and
structured bulk marketplaces. That change has been overseen by
the Companys Credit Risk Committee, which is composed of
all members of senior management. The Credit Risk Committee must
approve all new product offerings and changes in types of risk
that the Company is willing to assume. This includes approval of
the expansion of credit characteristics and review of the
overall underwriting guidelines utilized.
Additionally, the Committee approves all structured bulk
transactions before a bid is submitted. The Committee reviews
the summary analysis of the transaction and challenges the
conclusions reached concerning the pricing of a given structure
based upon the estimated frequency and severity of projected
losses and persistency. After all of these points are
considered, the Committee decides whether or not to submit the
bid on the transaction.
The Company employs a comprehensive internal audit plan to
determine whether underwriting decisions being made are
consistent with the policies, procedures, and expectations for
quality set forth by management. All areas of business activity
that involve an underwriting decision are examined, with
emphasis on new products, new procedures, contract underwritten
loans, delegated loans, new employees, new master policyholders,
and new branches of an existing master policyholder. The process
used to identify categories of loans selected for audit begins
with identification and evaluation of certain defined and
verifiable risk elements. Each loan is then tested against these
elements to identify loans that fail to meet prescribed policies
or an identified norm. The procedure allows the Companys
management to identify concerns that may exist within individual
loans as well as concerns that may exist within a given category
of business.
Financial Strength Rating
Credit ratings generally are considered an important element in
a mortgage insurers ability to compete for new business,
indicating the insurers present financial strength and
capacity to pay future claims. Certain national mortgage lenders
and a large segment of the mortgage securitization market,
including Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, generally will not
purchase high LTV mortgages or mortgagebacked securities
unless the insurer issuing private mortgage insurance coverage
has a financial strength rating of at least AA
by either Standard & Poors Ratings Services
(S&P) or Fitch Ratings (Fitch) or a
rating of at least Aa3 from Moodys Investors
Service (Moodys). Triad is rated
AA by both S&P and Fitch and Aa3 by
Moodys. Private mortgage insurers are not rated by any
other independent nationallyrecognized insurance industry
rating organization or agency (such as the A.M. Best Company).
When assigning a financial strength rating, S&P, Fitch, and
Moodys generally consider: (i) the specific risks
associated with the mortgage insurance industry, such as
regulatory climate, market demand, growth, and competition;
(ii) management depth, corporate strategy, and
effectiveness of operations; (iii) historical operating
results and expectations of current and future performance of
the insurers specific portfolio; and
(iv) longterm capital structure, the ratio of debt to
equity, the ratio of risk to capital, nearterm liquidity,
and
10
cash flow levels, as well as any reinsurance relationships and
the financial strength ratings of such reinsurers. Ratings are
based on factors relevant to policyholders. Such ratings are not
directed to the protection of investors and do not apply to any
securities issued by the Company.
Some rating agencies issue financial strength ratings based, in
part, upon a companys performance sensitivity to various
economic depression scenarios. In determining capital levels
required to maintain a companys rating, the rating
agencies allow the use of different forms of capital including
statutory capital, reinsurance, and debt. In January 1998, the
Company completed a $35 million private offering of notes
due January 15, 2028. The notes, which are rated
A by S&P and A+ by Fitch, were
issued to provide additional capital considered in the rating
agencys depression models.
S&P, Fitch, and Moodys will periodically review
Triads rating as they do with all rated insurers. Ratings
can be withdrawn or changed at any time by a rating agency. A
reduction in the Companys rating by S&P, Fitch, or
Moodys, while not anticipated, could materially impact the
ability of the Company to write new business.
Reinsurance
Triads product offerings include captive mortgage
reinsurance programs whereby an affiliate of a lender reinsures
a portion of the insured risk on loans originated or purchased
by the lender. These programs are designed to allow the lenders
to share in the risk of the business. See further discussion of
these programs under the Risk-sharing Products section above.
Pursuant to deeper coverage requirements imposed by Fannie Mae
and Freddie Mac, certain loans eligible for sale to such
enterprises with a loantovalue ratio over 90%
require insurance with a coverage percentage of 30% or more.
Certain states limit the amount of risk a mortgage insurer may
retain with respect to coverage of an insured loan to 25% of the
claim amount, and, as a result, the deeper coverage portion of
such insurance must be reinsured. To minimize reliance on
third-party reinsurers and to permit the Company to retain the
premiums and related risk on deeper coverage business, Triad
reinsures this deeper coverage business with its
whollyowned subsidiary, Triad Guaranty Assurance
Corporation (TGAC). As of December 31, 2004 and
2003, TGAC assumed approximately $73 million and
$59 million in risk from Triad, respectively.
The Company continues to maintain excess of loss reinsurance
arrangements designed to protect the Company in the event of a
catastrophic level of losses. The Company currently maintains
$125 million of excess of loss reinsurance through
non-affiliated reinsurers that have financial strength ratings
of AA or better from Standard & Poors.
The use of reinsurance as a source of capital and as a risk
management tool is well established within the mortgage
insurance industry. Reinsurance does not legally discharge an
insurer from its primary liability for the full amount of the
risk it insures, although it does make the reinsurer liable to
the primary insurer. There can be no assurance that the
Companys reinsurers will be able to meet their obligations
under the reinsurance agreements.
Defaults and Claims
The claim process on private mortgage insurance begins with the
lenders notification to the insurer of a default on an
insureds loan. Default is defined in the primary master
policy as the failure by the borrower to pay, when due, an
amount at least equal to the scheduled monthly mortgage payment
under the terms of the mortgage. The master policy requires
lenders to notify the Company of default on a mortgage payment
within 10 days of either (i) the date on which the
borrower becomes four months in default or (ii) the date on
which any legal proceeding affecting the loan commences,
whichever occurs first. Notification is required within
45 days of default if it occurs when the first payment is
due. The incidence of default is affected by a variety of
factors including, but not limited to, changes in borrower
income, unemployment, divorce, illness, and the level of
interest rates. Borrowers may cure defaults by making all
delinquent loan payments or by selling the
11
property and satisfying all amounts due under the mortgage.
Defaults that are not cured generally result in a claim to the
Company. Refer to the Managements Discussion and Analysis
of Financial Condition and Results of Operations section of this
document for default statistics at December 31 for the last
two years.
Claims result from defaults that are not cured. During the
default period, the Company works with the insured as well as
the borrower in an effort to reduce its losses through the loss
mitigation efforts described below. The frequency of claims does
not directly correlate to the frequency of defaults due, in
part, to the Companys loss mitigation efforts and the
borrowers ability to overcome temporary financial
setbacks. The likelihood that a claim will result from a
default, and the amount of such claim, principally depend on the
borrowers equity at the time of default and the
borrowers (or the lenders) ability to sell the home
for an amount sufficient to satisfy all amounts due under the
mortgage, as well as the effectiveness of loss mitigation
efforts. The time frame from when the Company first receives a
notice of default and when the ultimate claim is paid generally
ranges from six to eighteen months. Changes in various
macroeconomic conditions such as house price appreciation,
employment, and other market conditions over that time frame
also positively or negatively impact the amount of the ultimate
claim paid.
The payment of claims is not evenly spread through the coverage
period. For flow business, relatively few claims are paid during
the first two years following issuance of insurance. A period of
rising claim payments follows, which, based on industry
experience, has historically reached its highest level in the
third through sixth years after loan origination. Thereafter,
the number of claim payments made has historically declined at a
gradual rate, although the rate of decline can be affected by
local economic conditions. For our structured bulk business, the
claim pattern develops earlier, with the highest claim payment
levels reached in the second through fourth years. There can be
no assurance that the historical pattern of claims will continue
in the future.
Generally, the Company does not pay a claim for loss under the
master policy if the application for insurance for the loan in
question contains fraudulent information, material omissions, or
misrepresentations that increase the risk characteristics of the
loan. The Companys master policy also excludes any cost or
expense related to the repair or remedy of any physical damage
(other than normal wear and tear) to the property
collateralizing an insured mortgage loan. Such physical damage
may be caused by accident, natural occurrence, or other
conditions.
Under the terms of the master policy, the lender is required to
file a claim with the Company no later than 60 days after
it has acquired borrowers title to the underlying property
through foreclosure, a negotiated short sale, or a deed-in-lieu
of foreclosure. A primary insurance claim amount includes
(i) the amount of unpaid principal due under the loan;
(ii) the amount of accumulated delinquent interest due on
the loan (excluding late charges) to the date of claim filing;
(iii) expenses advanced by the insured under the terms of
the master policy, such as hazard insurance premiums, property
maintenance expenses and property taxes prorated to the date of
claim filing; and (iv) certain foreclosure and other
expenses, including attorneys fees. Such claim amount is subject
to review and possible adjustment by the Company. The
Companys experience indicates that the claim amount on a
policy generally ranges from 110% to 115% of the unpaid
principal amount of a foreclosed loan.
Within 60 days after the claim has been filed, the Company
has the option of either (i) paying the coverage percentage
specified on the certificate of insurance (usually 12% to 40% of
the claim), with the insured retaining title to the underlying
property and receiving all proceeds from the eventual sale of
the property, or (ii) paying 100% of the claim amount in
exchange for the lenders conveyance of good and marketable
title to the property to the Company, with the Company selling
the property for its own account. The Company chooses the claim
settlement option believed to cost the least. In most cases, the
Company settles claims by paying the coverage percentage of the
claim amount. At December 31, 2004, the Company held two
properties with a combined net realizable value of approximately
$211,000 that were acquired by electing to pay 100% of the claim
amount.
12
Loss Mitigation
Once a default notice is received, the Company attempts to
mitigate its loss. Through proactive intervention with insured
lenders and borrowers, the Company has been successful in
reducing the number and severity of its claims for loss. Loss
mitigation techniques include preforeclosure sales,
property sales after foreclosure, advances to assist distressed
borrowers who have suffered a temporary economic setback, and
the use of repayment schedules, refinances, loan modifications,
forbearance agreements, and deedsinlieu of
foreclosure. Such mitigation efforts typically result in a
savings to the Company over the percentage coverage amount
payable under the certificate of insurance. As a result of loss
mitigation efforts, the Company paid out only approximately 60%
and 66% of its potential exposure on claims in 2004 and 2003,
respectively.
Loss Reserves
The Company establishes reserves to provide for the estimated
costs of settling claims on loans reported in default and loans
in default that are in the process of being reported to the
Company. Consistent with industry practices, the Company does
not establish loss reserves for future claims on insured loans
that are not currently in default. The Companys reserving
process is based upon the assumption that long-term historical
experience, adjusted for current economic events that the
Company believes will significantly impact the long-term loss
development, provides a reasonable basis for estimating future
events. See the Financial Position section of Managements
Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of
Operations for a more detailed discussion of the loss reserving
process, and see Note 4 to the Consolidated Financial
Statements for a detailed analysis of the activity in this
account for the year.
Analysis of Direct Risk in Force
A foundation of the Companys business strategy is
proactive risk selection. The Company analyzes its portfolio in
a number of ways to identify any concentrations of risk or
imbalances in risk dispersion. The Company believes that the
quality of its insurance portfolio is affected predominantly by
(i) the quality of loan originations (including the
strength of the borrower and the marketability of the property);
(ii) the attributes of loans insured (including LTV ratio,
purpose of the loan, type of loan instrument, and type of
underlying property securing the loan); (iii) the seasoning
of the loans insured; (iv) the geographic dispersion of the
underlying properties subject to mortgage insurance; and
(v) the quality, integrity and past performance of lenders
from which the Company receives loans to insure.
|
|
|
Lender and Product Characteristics |
The Company reported $7.6 billion of direct risk in force
as of December 31, 2004. Direct risk in force includes risk
from both flow mortgage insurance as well as structured bulk
transactions, adjusted for applicable stop loss limits.
The following table provides information on risk in force (as
determined on the basis of information available on the date of
mortgage origination) by the categories indicated on
December 31, 2004 and 2003.
Risk in Force(1)
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
December 31 | |
| |
|
| |
| |
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
Direct Risk in Force (dollars in millions)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Flow
|
|
$ |
6,915 |
|
|
$ |
6,411 |
|
|
Bulk
|
|
|
712 |
|
|
|
613 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$ |
7,627 |
|
|
$ |
7,024 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net Risk in Force (dollars in millions)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Flow
|
|
$ |
6,337 |
|
|
$ |
5,977 |
|
|
Bulk
|
|
|
712 |
|
|
|
613 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$ |
7,049 |
|
|
$ |
6,590 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
13
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
December 31 | |
| |
|
| |
| |
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
Lender concentration (excludes bulk):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Top 10 lenders (by original applicant)
|
|
|
68.4 |
% |
|
|
67.4 |
% |
|
LTV:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
95.01% and above
|
|
|
9.5 |
% |
|
|
8.2 |
% |
|
90.01% to 95.00%
|
|
|
32.0 |
% |
|
|
37.0 |
% |
|
90.00% and below
|
|
|
58.5 |
% |
|
|
54.8 |
% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
100.0 |
% |
|
|
100.0 |
% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loan Type:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fixed
|
|
|
72.3 |
% |
|
|
80.8 |
% |
|
ARM (positive amortization)(2)
|
|
|
27.7 |
% |
|
|
19.2 |
% |
|
ARM (potential negative amortization)(3)
|
|
|
0.0 |
% |
|
|
0.0 |
% |
|
ARM (scheduled amortization)(3)
|
|
|
0.0 |
% |
|
|
0.0 |
% |
|
Other
|
|
|
0.0 |
% |
|
|
0.0 |
% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
100.0 |
% |
|
|
100.0 |
% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mortgage Term:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
15 years and under
|
|
|
6.0 |
% |
|
|
7.2 |
% |
|
Over 15 years
|
|
|
94.0 |
% |
|
|
92.8 |
% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
100.0 |
% |
|
|
100.0 |
% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Property Type:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Non-condominium (principally single-family detached)
|
|
|
94.5 |
% |
|
|
94.3 |
% |
|
Condominium
|
|
|
5.5 |
% |
|
|
5.7 |
% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
100.0 |
% |
|
|
100.0 |
% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Occupancy Status:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Primary residence
|
|
|
88.7 |
% |
|
|
92.1 |
% |
|
Secondary home
|
|
|
3.7 |
% |
|
|
2.6 |
% |
|
Non-owner occupied
|
|
|
7.6 |
% |
|
|
5.3 |
% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
100.0 |
% |
|
|
100.0 |
% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mortgage Amount:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$200,000 or less
|
|
|
66.0 |
% |
|
|
69.5 |
% |
|
Over $200,000
|
|
|
34.0 |
% |
|
|
30.5 |
% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
100.0 |
% |
|
|
100.0 |
% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| (1) |
Percentages represent distribution of direct risk in force on a
per policy basis and does not account for applicable stop-loss
amounts. |
| |
| (2) |
Refers to loans where payment adjustments are the same as
mortgage interest rate adjustments. |
| |
| (3) |
Scheduled negative amortization is defined by the Company as the
increase in loan balance that will occur if interest rates do
not change. Loans with potential negative amortization will not
have increasing principal balances unless interest rates
increase. |
An important determinant of claim incidence is the relative
amount of borrowers equity in the home. For the industry
as a whole, historical evidence indicates that, in general,
claim incidence on loans with a higher LTV is greater than