UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
FORM 10-K
(MARK ONE)
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ANNUAL REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
FOR THE FISCAL YEAR ENDED DECEMBER 31, 2004
OR
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TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
FOR THE TRANSITION PERIOD FROM TO .
COMMISSION FILE NUMBER 1-14037
MOODYS CORPORATION
| DELAWARE (STATE OF INCORPORATION) |
13-3998945 (I.R.S. EMPLOYER IDENTIFICATION NO.) |
99 CHURCH STREET, NEW YORK, NEW YORK 10007
(ADDRESS OF PRINCIPAL EXECUTIVE OFFICES)
(ZIP CODE)
REGISTRANTS TELEPHONE NUMBER, INCLUDING AREA CODE: (212) 553-0300.
SECURITIES REGISTERED PURSUANT TO SECTION 12(b) OF THE ACT:
TITLE OF EACH CLASS |
NAME OF EACH EXCHANGE ON WHICH REGISTERED |
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| COMMON STOCK, PAR VALUE $.01 PER SHARE PREFERRED SHARE PURCHASE RIGHTS |
NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE |
SECURITIES REGISTERED PURSUANT TO SECTION 12(g) OF THE ACT: NONE
Indicate by check mark whether the Registrant: (1) has filed all reports required by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes þ No o
Indicate by check mark if disclosure of delinquent filers pursuant to Item 405 of Regulation S-K is not contained herein, and will not be contained, to the best of Registrants knowledge, in definitive proxy or information statements incorporated by reference in Part III of this Form 10-K or any amendment to this Form 10-K. o
Indicate by check mark whether the Registrant is an accelerated filer (as defined in Exchange Act Rule 12b-2). Yes þ No o
The aggregate market value of Moodys Corporation Common Stock held by nonaffiliates* on June 30, 2004 (based upon its closing transaction price on the Composite Tape on such date) was approximately $9.5 billion.
As of January 31, 2005, 149.1 million shares of Common Stock of Moodys Corporation were outstanding.
DOCUMENTS INCORPORATED BY REFERENCE
Portions of the Registrants definitive proxy statement for use in connection with its annual meeting of stockholders scheduled to be held on April 26, 2005, are incorporated by reference into Part III of this Form 10-K.
The Index to Exhibits is included as Part IV, Item 15(a)(3) of this Form 10-K.
| * | Calculated by excluding all shares held by executive officers and directors of the Registrant without conceding that all such persons are affiliates of the Registrant for purposes of federal securities laws. |
PART I
ITEM 1. BUSINESS
Background
As used in this report, except where the context indicates otherwise, the terms Moodys or the Company refer to Moodys Corporation and its subsidiaries. The Companys executive offices are located at 99 Church Street, New York, NY 10007 and its telephone number is (212) 553-0300.
Prior to September 30, 2000, the Company operated as part of The Dun & Bradstreet Corporation (Old D&B). On September 8, 2000, the Board of Directors of Old D&B approved a plan to separate into two publicly traded companies the Company and The New D&B Corporation (New D&B). On September 30, 2000 (the Distribution Date), Old D&B distributed to its shareholders all of the outstanding shares of New D&B common stock (the 2000 Distribution). New D&B comprised the business of Old D&Bs Dun & Bradstreet operating company (the D&B Business). The remaining business of Old D&B consisted solely of the business of providing ratings and related research and credit risk management services (the Moodys Business) and was renamed Moodys Corporation.
New D&B is the accounting successor to Old D&B, which was incorporated under the laws of the State of Delaware on April 8, 1998. Old D&B began operating as an independent publicly-owned corporation on July 1, 1998 as a result of its June 30, 1998 spin-off (the 1998 Distribution) from the corporation now known as R.H. Donnelley Corporation and previously known as The Dun & Bradstreet Corporation (Donnelley). Old D&B became the accounting successor to Donnelley at the time of the 1998 Distribution.
Prior to the 1998 Distribution, Donnelley was the parent holding company for subsidiaries then engaged in the businesses currently conducted by New D&B, Moodys and Donnelley. Prior to November 1, 1996, it also was the parent holding company of subsidiaries conducting business under the names Cognizant Corporation (Cognizant) and ACNielsen Corporation (ACNielsen). On that date Donnelley effected a spin-off of the capital stock of Cognizant and ACNielsen to its stockholders (the 1996 Distribution). Cognizant subsequently changed its name to Nielsen Media Research, Inc. in connection with its 1998 spin-off of the capital stock of IMS Health Incorporated (IMS Health).
For purposes of governing certain ongoing relationships between the Company and New D&B after the 2000 Distribution and to provide for an orderly transition, the Company and New D&B entered into various agreements including a Distribution Agreement, Tax Allocation Agreement, Employee Benefits Agreement, Shared Transaction Services Agreement, Insurance and Risk Management Services Agreement, Data Services Agreement and Transition Services Agreement.
Detailed descriptions of the 1996, 1998 and 2000 Distributions are contained in the Companys 2000 annual report on Form 10-K, filed on March 15, 2001.
The Company
Moodys is a provider of credit ratings, research and analysis covering debt instruments and securities in the global capital markets and a provider of quantitative credit assessment services, credit training services and credit process software to banks and other financial institutions. Founded in 1900, Moodys employs approximately 2,500 people worldwide. Moodys maintains offices in 19 countries and has expanded into developing markets through joint ventures or affiliation agreements with local rating agencies. Moodys customers include a wide range of corporate and governmental issuers of securities as well as institutional investors, depositors, creditors, investment banks, commercial banks, and other financial intermediaries. Moodys is not dependent on a single customer or a few customers, such that a loss of any one would have a material adverse effect on its business.
Moodys operates in two reportable segments: Moodys Investors Service and Moodys KMV.
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Moodys Investors Service publishes rating opinions on a broad range of credit obligors and their obligations issued in domestic and international markets, including various corporate and governmental obligations, structured finance securities and commercial paper programs. It also publishes investor-oriented credit research, including in-depth research on major debt issuers, industry studies, special comments and credit opinion handbooks. Moodys credit ratings and research help investors analyze the credit risks associated with fixed-income securities. Such independent credit ratings and research also contribute to efficiencies in markets for other obligations, such as insurance policies and derivative transactions, by providing credible and independent assessments of credit risk. Moodys provides ratings and credit research on governmental and commercial entities in approximately 100 countries. Moodys global and increasingly diverse services are designed to increase market efficiency and may reduce transaction costs. At the end of 2004, Moodys had provided credit ratings and analysis on more than $35 trillion in debt outstanding, covering nearly 170,000 securities, including those of industrial corporations, financial institutions, governmental entities and structured finance issuers, with more than 10,000 corporate relationships globally and over 100,000 public finance obligations issued in the U.S. market. Ratings are disseminated via press releases to the public through a variety of print and electronic media, including the Internet and real-time information systems widely used by securities traders and investors.
Beyond credit rating services for issuers, Moodys provides research services, data, and analytic tools that are utilized by institutional investors and other credit and capital markets professionals. Moodys services cover various segments of the debt capital markets, and are sold to more than 2,600 institutions worldwide. Within these institutions, over 16,500 users accessed Moodys research website (www.moodys.com) during calendar year 2004. In addition to these clients, more than 135,000 other individuals visited Moodys website to retrieve current ratings and other information made freely available to the public.
The Moodys KMV business consists of the combined businesses of KMV LLC and KMV Corporation (KMV), acquired in April 2002, and Moodys Risk Management Services. Moodys KMV is a provider of credit risk processing and credit risk management products for banks and investors in credit-sensitive assets, and serves over 1,600 clients operating in over 80 countries, including most of the worlds largest financial institutions. Moodys KMVs quantitative credit analysis tools include models that estimate the probability of default for over 26,000 publicly traded firms globally, updated daily. In addition, Moodys KMVs RiskCalcTM models extend the availability of these probabilities to privately held firms in many of the worlds economies. Moodys KMV also offers services to value and improve the performance of credit-sensitive portfolios. Other services include training in using credit risk analysis products and software products to assist financial institutions in commercial lending activities.
Prospects for Growth
Over recent decades, global public and private fixed-income markets have grown significantly in terms of outstanding principal amount and types of securities. While there is potential for periodic cyclical disruption in these developments, Moodys believes that the overall trend and outlook remain favorable for continued secular growth in capital market activity worldwide. In addition, the securities being issued in the global fixed-income markets are becoming more complex. Moodys expects that these trends will provide continued long-term demand for high-quality, independent credit opinions. These phenomena are especially apparent in Europe, where economic integration is driving increased use of public fixed-income markets for corporate financing activities, and factors such as increased adoption and enabling regulation have driven growth in structured finance issuance.
Technology, such as the Internet, makes information about investment alternatives widely available throughout the world. This technology facilitates issuers ability to place securities outside their national markets and investors capacity to obtain information about securities issued outside their national markets. Issuers and investors are also more readily able to obtain information about new financing techniques and new types of securities that they may wish to purchase or sell, many of which may be unfamiliar to them. This availability of information promotes worldwide financial markets and a greater need for credible and globally comparable credit ratings. As a result, a number of new capital markets have emerged. In addition, more issuers and investors are accessing traditional capital markets.
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Another trend that is increasing the size of the world capital markets is the ongoing disintermediation of financial systems. Issuers are increasingly financing in the global public capital markets, in addition to, or in substitution for, traditional financial intermediaries. Moreover, financial intermediaries are selling assets in the global public capital markets, in addition to or instead of retaining those assets. Structured finance securities markets for many types of assets have developed in many countries and are contributing to these trends.
The complexity of capital market instruments is also growing. Consequently, assessing the credit risk of such instruments becomes more of a challenge for financial intermediaries and asset managers. In the credit markets, reliable third-party ratings and research increasingly supplement or substitute for traditional in-house research as the scale, geographic scope and complexity of financial markets grow.
Growth in issuance of structured finance securities has generally been stronger than growth in corporate and financial institutions issuance, and Moodys expects that trend to continue. Growth in structured finance has reflected increased adoption of structured finance as an acceptable financing mechanism, regulatory changes that facilitate the use of structured finance, and increases in consumer debt that forms collateral for structured securities.
Rating fees paid by debt issuers account for most of the revenue of Moodys Investors Service. Therefore, a substantial portion of Moodys revenue is dependent upon the volume and number of debt securities issued in the global capital markets that Moodys rates. Moodys is therefore affected by the performance of, and the prospects for, the major world economies and by the fiscal and monetary policies pursued by their governments. However, annual fee arrangements with frequent debt issuers, and annual fees from commercial paper and medium-term note programs, bank and insurance company financial strength ratings, mutual fund ratings, subscription-based research and other areas are less dependent on, or independent of, the volume or number of debt securities issued in the global capital markets.
Moodys operations are also subject to various risks inherent in carrying on business internationally. Such risks include currency fluctuations and possible nationalization, expropriation, exchange and price controls, changes in the availability of data from public sector sources, limits on providing information across borders and other restrictive governmental actions. Management believes that the risks of nationalization or expropriation are reduced because the Companys basic service is the creation and dissemination of information, rather than the production of products that require manufacturing facilities or the use of natural resources. However, the formation of a new government-sponsored regional or global rating agency would pose a risk to Moodys growth prospects. Management believes that the risk, compared to other regulatory changes under consideration for the credit rating industry, is relatively low because of the likelihood that substantial investments over a sustained period would be required.
Legislative bodies and regulators in both the United States and Europe continue to conduct regulatory reviews of credit rating agencies, which may result in an increased number of competitors, restrictions on certain business expansion activities by Moodys Investors Service or increased costs of doing business for Moodys. At present, Moodys is unable to assess the nature and effect any regulatory changes may have on future growth opportunities. See Regulation below.
Growth in Moodys KMV is expected from increased adoption of quantitative credit management techniques and of integrated risk-management solutions by financial institutions globally and by corporations managing trade receivables. Increased use of credit models is expected under the forthcoming revised international bank regulatory regime, known as Basel II, that is anticipated to be implemented by national regulatory authorities by January 2007. Moodys KMV also expects to introduce new products.
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Competition
The Moodys Investors Service business competes with other credit rating agencies and with investment banks and brokerage firms that offer credit opinions and research. Institutional investors also have in-house credit research capabilities. Moodys largest competitor in the global credit rating business is Standard & Poors Ratings Services (S&P), a division of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. There are some rating markets, based on industry, geography and/or instrument type, in which Moodys has made investments and obtained market positions superior to S&Ps. In other markets the reverse is true.
Another rating agency competitor of Moodys is Fitch, a subsidiary of Fimalac S.A. Although Moodys and S&P are each larger than Fitch, competition is expected to increase. One or more additional significant rating agencies also may emerge in the United States if the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) expands the number of Nationally Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations (NRSRO). In February 2003, the SEC designated Dominion Bond Rating Service, Ltd. of Canada (DBRS) a NRSRO and in March 2005, the SEC designated A.M. Best Company, Inc. a NRSRO. Competition may also emerge in developed markets outside the United States over the next few years, for example, in response to the growth in the European capital markets, and in developing markets. Any such rating agencies that may emerge may receive support from local governments or other institutions.
Over the last decade, additional rating agencies have been established, primarily in emerging markets and as a result of local capital market regulation. Regulators worldwide have perceived that credit ratings can further regulatory objectives for the development of public fixed-income securities markets. The result of such regulatory activity has been the creation of a number of primarily national rating agencies in various countries. Certain of these regulatory efforts may have the unintended effect of producing less credible ratings over time. Attempts to standardize ratings systems or criteria may make all rating systems and agencies appear undifferentiated, obscuring variations in the quality of the ratings providers. In addition, since Moodys believes that some of its most significant challenges and opportunities will arise outside the United States, it will have to compete with rating agencies that may have a stronger local presence or a longer operating history in those markets.
Financial regulators are reviewing their approach to supervision and are seeking comments on changes to the global regulatory framework. Bank regulators, under the oversight of the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, have proposed using refined risk assessments as the basis for minimum capital requirements. The proposed Standardized Approach relies on rating agency opinions, while the proposed Internal Ratings Based Approach relies on systems and processes maintained by the regulated bank. The increased regulatory focus on credit risk presents both opportunities and challenges for Moodys. Global demand for credit ratings and risk management services may rise, but regulatory actions may result in a greater number of rating agencies and/or additional regulation of Moodys and its competitors. Alternatively, banking or securities market regulators could seek to reduce the use of ratings in regulations, thereby reducing certain elements of demand for ratings, or otherwise seek to control the analysis or business of rating agencies.
Credit rating agencies such as Moodys also compete with other means of managing credit risk, such as credit insurance. Competitors that develop quantitative methodologies for assessing credit risk also may pose a competitive threat to Moodys.
Moodys KMVs main competitors for quantitative measures of default risk include the RiskMetrics Group, S&P, CreditSights, R&Is Financial Technology Institute (in Japan), and other smaller vendors. Other firms may compete in the future. Baker Hill, a privately held company, is Moodys KMVs main competitor in the software market to assist banks in their commercial lending activities. Moodys KMVs training products have two main competitors: Omega Performance, a privately held firm; and Risk Management Association (formerly Robert Morris Associates), a trade association serving the financial services industry.
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Moodys Strategy
Moodys intends to focus on the following opportunities:
Expansion in Financial Centers
Moodys serves its customers through its global network of offices and business affiliations. Moodys currently maintains full-service rating and marketing operations in financial centers including Frankfurt, Hong Kong, London, Madrid, Milan, New York, Paris, Singapore and Tokyo. Moodys expects that its global network will position it to benefit from the expansion of worldwide capital markets and thereby increase revenue. Moodys also expects that the growth of its Moodys Investors Service business as a consequence of financial market integration in Europe will continue. Moodys expects to continue its expansion into developing markets either directly or through joint ventures.
New Rating Products
Moodys is pursuing numerous initiatives to expand credit ratings from public fixed-income securities markets to other sectors with credit risk exposures. As the loan and capital markets converge, Moodys expects to continue to expand its rating coverage of bank loans and project finance loans and securities. Moodys has a committed effort to extend its credit opinion franchise to the global bank counterparty universe through ratings of emerging market banks, including bank financial strength ratings and global local currency ratings. Insurance financial strength ratings in the property and casualty, reinsurance, and life insurance markets represent additional growth opportunities. Moodys has also introduced issuer ratings for corporations not active in the debt markets. For company ratings, Moodys seeks to continue to add value by providing greater scope and depth of analysis of issues related to company creditworthiness, including enhanced liquidity and cash flow analysis, and evaluation of accounting, corporate governance and risk transference issues. Moodys has also introduced mutual fund indices and style-based analytical tools to assist in evaluating fund portfolio characteristics and their performance.
Additional Opportunities in Securitization
The repackaging of financial assets has had a profound effect on the fixed-income markets. New patterns of securitization are expected to emerge in the next decade. Although the bulk of assets securitized in the past five years have been consumer assets owned by banks, commercial assets principally commercial mortgages, term receivables and corporate obligations are now increasingly being securitized. Securitization has evolved into a strategic corporate finance tool in North America, Europe and Japan, and is evolving elsewhere internationally. Ongoing global development of non-traditional financial instruments, such as derivatives, future flow securities, hybrids, credit-linked bonds and catastrophe bonds should continue to support growth. Moodys has introduced new services enabling investors to monitor the performance of their investments in structured finance, covering asset-backed finance, commercial mortgage finance, residential mortgage finance and credit derivatives.
Internet-Enhanced Products and Services
Moodys is expanding its use of the Internet and other electronic media to enhance client service. Moodys website provides the public with instant access to ratings, and provides subscribers with credit research. Internet delivery also enables Moodys to provide services to more individuals within a client organization than paper-based products and to offer higher-value services because of more timely delivery. Moodys expects that access to these applications will increase client use of Moodys services. Moodys expects to continue to invest in electronic media to capitalize on these and other opportunities.
Expansion of Credit Research Products and Investment Analytic Tools
Moodys plans to continue to expand its research and analytic services by offering additional tools through internal development and by acquisition. Recent initiatives that have been well-received by clients include new services providing analysis of default rates and default probabilities, on-line facilities for retrieving current rating information on demand, the Companys Market-Implied Ratings service, which compares ratings with other measures for assessing credit risk, and risk analytics and performance data in structured finance. Moodys may develop services for other financial markets, such as credit default swaps. In 2005, the Company plans to launch a new product which provides investor clients with access to financial ratios and peer group statistics for the United States banking sector. Finally, the Company is improving its capability to deliver its research to new customer segments by creating more targeted and customized research offerings and by licensing Moodys credit analysis and research for re-distribution by third party providers.
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New Quantitative Credit Assessment Services
Moodys will continue to provide banks and other financial institutions with quantitative credit assessment services. Moodys believes that there will be increased demand for such services because they enable customers trading or holding credit-sensitive assets to produce better performance. Also recent proposals by international bank regulatory authorities to recognize banks internal credit risk management systems for the purpose of determining regulatory capital will encourage adoption of such services. Moodys also expects to provide extensions to existing services and new services, such as valuations of credit-sensitive assets.
Regulation
In the United States, Moodys Investors Service voluntarily registers as an investment adviser under the Investment Advisers Act of 1940, as amended. Moodys has also been designated as a NRSRO by the SEC. The SEC first applied the NRSRO designation in 1975 to agencies whose credit ratings could be used by broker-dealers for purposes of determining their net capital requirements. Since that time, Congress (in certain mortgage-related legislation), the SEC (in certain of its regulations under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended and the Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended) and other governmental and private bodies have used the ratings of NRSROs to distinguish between, among other things, investment grade and non-investment grade securities.
Over the past several years, U.S. regulatory and congressional authorities have questioned the suitability of continuing to employ ratings in federal securities laws; and, if so, the potential need for altering the regulatory framework under which rating agencies operate. Pursuant to a mandate by the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 and to reports issued by the Congress and the SEC on the rating agency industry, on June 4, 2003 the SEC published a Concept Release requesting comment on the following three broad questions:
| | Should credit ratings continue to be used for regulatory purposes under the federal securities laws? |
| | If ratings continue to be used in federal securities laws, what should be the process for approving rating agencies? |
| | If ratings continue to be used in federal securities laws, what should be the nature and extent of oversight? |
Numerous market participants, including Moodys, responded to the request for comment. Moodys response can be found on the Companys website at www.moodys.com.
In March 2005, the SEC disclosed that it will seek public comment on proposed recognition criteria for rating agencies seeking designation as NRSROs. In addition, the SEC may pursue a voluntary compliance and oversight framework for rating agencies that are designated as NRSROs, or it could seek legislative authority for formal compliance and oversight for NRSROs. Also, on February 8, 2005, Moodys participated in a hearing on Examining the Role of Credit Rating Agencies in the Capital Markets, held by the United States Senate Committee on Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs (the Banking Committee). Primary areas of inquiry by Senators on the Banking Committee included (i) potential conflicts of interest affecting credit rating agencies and how those conflicts can be avoided or properly managed, and (ii) the degree of competition in the credit ratings industry and how competition might be increased. Moodys written statement submitted to the Committee can also be found on the Companys website. At present, Moodys is unable to assess the likelihood of any regulatory or legislative changes that may result from the ongoing reviews, nor the nature and effect of any such regulatory changes.
Internationally, several regulatory developments occurred in 2004:
First, on December 23, 2004, the Technical Committee of the International Organization of Securities Commissions (IOSCO) published the Code of Conduct Fundamentals for Credit Rating Agencies (IOSCO Code). The IOSCO Code is the product of approximately two years of deliberations and market consultation by IOSCO, and incorporates numerous provisions which address three broad areas:
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| | The quality and integrity of the rating process; |
| | Credit rating agency independence and the avoidance of conflicts of interest; and, |
| | Credit rating agency responsibilities to the investing public and issuers. |
The IOSCO Code is not binding on the credit rating agencies. It relies on voluntary compliance and public disclosure of areas of non-compliance by credit rating agencies so that users of credit ratings can better assess rating agency behavior and performance. Moodys is not yet in a position to assess the impact of the IOSCO Code; however, Moodys intends to modify its internal code of conduct to more closely reflect the provisions in the IOSCO Code, and thereafter to disclose on a periodic basis its adherence to the IOSCO Codes provisions.
Second, in July 2004 the European Commission, as requested by the European Parliament, mandated the Committee of European Securities Regulators (CESR) to conduct a review of the credit rating agency industry and provide the Commission with advice by April 1, 2005 on the following four general areas:
| | potential conflicts of interest within rating agencies, such as between advisory services and direct rating activities; |
| | transparency of rating agencies methodologies; |
| | legal treatment of rating agencies access to inside information; and |
| | concerns about possible lack of competition in the market for provision of credit ratings. |
Pursuant to its mandate, on November 30, 2004, the CESR published for public comment a consultation document about the credit ratings industry. Subjects addressed by the consultation paper included: the competitive structure of the industry and competition issues; registration of credit rating agencies; potential barriers to entry and potential rules of conduct for the industry. The consultation paper concluded with a discussion of six illustrative regulatory options concerning registration and rules of conduct for rating agencies. The regulatory options posed by the consultation paper range from registration and monitoring of credit rating agencies by regulatory authorities, to relying on market mechanisms to control rating agencies.
The CESR held an open hearing on January 14, 2005 in which Moodys participated. Market participants were invited to offer their views on the need for regulation in the European market. The deadline for written responses to CESRs consultation paper was February 1, 2005. Moodys written comments can be found on the Companys website.
Third, implementation guidelines proposed by the CESR under the European Commissions Market Abuse Directive are applicable to all participants in the European capital markets. Credit rating agencies are excluded from control under the guidelines. However, depending on the form in which the implementation guidelines are ultimately adopted by national regulators or lawmakers, such guidelines could include controls over credit rating agencies in some European Union (EU) countries. If so, the guidelines could, among other things, alter rating agencies communications with issuers as part of the rating assignment process, and increase Moodys cost of doing business in Europe and the legal risk associated with such business.
Fourth, the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision has completed its work on a new capital adequacy framework (Basel II) to replace its initial 1988 framework. Under Basel II, ratings assigned by a credit rating agency would be an alternative available to banks to determine the risk weights for many of their credit exposures. The Basel Committees new capital adequacy framework would allow ratings of certain credit rating agencies to be used as one alternative in the credit measurement processes of internationally active financial institutions, and would subject rating agencies whose ratings are used for such purpose to a broader range of oversight. It is anticipated that Basel II will be implemented by national regulatory authorities by January 2007. The European Commission has created the Committee of European Banking Supervisors (CEBS), comprised of European banking regulators, to advise it on the implementation of Basel II in Europe. At this time Moodys cannot predict the long-term impact of Basel II on the manner in which Moodys conducts its business. However, Moodys does not believe that Basel II will materially affect Moodys Investors Services financial position or results of operations either positively or negatively.
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Finally, Moodys is subject to regulation in certain non-U.S. jurisdictions in which it operates; some regulatory actions outside the United States are noted below:
France
As a consequence of the 2003 French Securities Law, Loi de Sécurité Financiére (the LSF), rating agencies operating in France are subject to a document retention obligation. Moreover, the newly formed French regulatory authority, LAutorité des Marchés Financiers (AMF), is required to publish an annual report on the role of rating agencies; their business ethics, the transparency of their methods, and the impact of their activity on issuers and the financial markets. Moodys has submitted responses to a series of questions posed by the AMF in accordance with its mandate. The AMF released its first report on the rating agency industry on January 26, 2005. It concluded that while there was no evidence of wrong-doing or inappropriate behavior in the industry, some sort of regulatory framework at the European level may be suitable. For that, the AMF deferred to the CESR process.
Italy
In March 2005, the Italian Parliament is expected to pass the EU Law 2004, which will implement the EU Market Abuse Directive in Italy. The draft legislation makes the Market Abuse Directive applicable to rating agencies in the Italian market. It requires: (1) the Italian securities regulator, Commissione Nazionale per la Società e la Borsa (CONSOB), to recognize and register rating agencies in the Italian market; (2) recognized rating agencies to adopt and implement the IOSCO Code; and (3) issuers of bonds in the Italian market to attain ratings from recognized rating agencies. If approved, the draft legislation would require that CONSOB provide the appropriate regulatory framework. The Italian Senate, however, has attached to the draft legislation a resolution recommending that the Italian Government:
| | adopt a contrary position and interpret the legislation to acknowledge the special and different treatment of rating agencies within Italian regulations for disclosure obligations that will be implemented by CONSOB; |
| | consider the possibility of recognizing the self-regulation and control procedures already developed in Europe. |
At present, Moodys is unable to assess the likelihood of any regulatory or legislative changes that may result in Italy, nor the nature and effect of any such regulatory changes.
Other legislation and regulation relating to credit rating and research services has been considered from time to time by local, national and multinational bodies and is likely to be considered in the future. In certain countries, governments may provide financial or other support to locally-based rating agencies. In addition, governments may from time to time establish official rating agencies or credit ratings criteria or procedures for evaluating local issuers. If enacted, any such legislation and regulation could significantly change the competitive landscape in which Moodys operates. In addition, the legal status of rating agencies has been addressed by courts in various decisions and is likely to be considered and addressed in legal proceedings from time to time in the future. Management of Moodys cannot predict whether these or any other proposals will be enacted, the outcome of any pending or possible future legal proceedings, or the ultimate impact of any such matters on the competitive position, financial position or results of operations of Moodys.
Intellectual Property
Moodys and its affiliates own and control a variety of trade secrets, confidential information, trademarks, trade names, copyrights, patents, databases and other intellectual property rights that, in the aggregate, are of material importance to Moodys business. Management of Moodys believes that each of the Moodys, Moodys KMV and the M Circle Logo and related names, marks and logos are of material importance to Moodys. Moodys is licensed to use certain technology and other intellectual property rights owned and controlled by others, and, similarly, other companies are licensed to use certain technology and other intellectual property rights owned and controlled by Moodys. Moodys considers its trademarks, service marks, databases, software and other intellectual property to be proprietary, and Moodys relies on a combination of copyright, trademark, trade secret, patent, non-disclosure and contractual safeguards for protection.
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In 2002 Moodys formed two subsidiaries that hold some of its intellectual property. The first, MIS Quality Management Corp., was formed to own, manage, protect, enforce and license the trademarks of Moodys and its affiliates. The second, Moodys Assurance Company, Inc., is a New York State captive insurance company that self-insures Moodys against certain risks, and owns Moodys ratings databases, methodologies and related software and processes in addition to other assets in support of its insurance program.
The names of Moodys products and services referred to herein are trademarks, service marks or registered trademarks or service marks owned by or licensed to Moodys or one or more of its subsidiaries.
Employees
As of December 31, 2004, the number of full-time equivalent employees of Moodys was approximately 2,500.
Available Information
Moodys investor relations Internet website is http://ir.moodys.com/. Under the SEC Filings tab at this website, the Company makes available free of charge its annual reports on Form 10-K, quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, current reports on Form 8-K and amendments to those reports as soon as reasonably practicable after they are filed with, or furnished to, the SEC.
EXECUTIVE OFFICERS OF THE REGISTRANT
| Name, Age and Position | Biographical Data | |
Jeanne M. Dering, 49 Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer |
Ms. Dering served as the Companys Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer since October 1, 2000 and in February 2005 was named Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. In addition, she has had senior management responsibility for Moodys Information Technology group since January 2004. Ms. Dering joined Moodys Investors Service, Inc., in April 1997 as Managing Director, Finance Officer, and became its Chief Financial Officer in 1998. Prior thereto, she spent over 10 years at Old D&B in a number of financial management positions, including Director of Budgets & Financial Analysis and Director of Financial Planning Acquisitions and New Business Development. | |
Jennifer Elliott, 39 Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer |
Ms. Elliott has served as the Companys Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer since February 2005. Previously, she had served as Managing Director for Moodys Australia since 1999 and was also a director of Moodys Investors Service Pty Limited. She was Vice President Senior Credit Officer in Moodys Structured Finance Group from 1996 until 1999 and an Analyst in that group from 1993 until 1996. Prior thereto, she was a banking and finance lawyer in Sydney, Australia. |
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| Name, Age and Position | Biographical Data | |
John J. Goggins, 44 Senior Vice President and General Counsel |
Mr. Goggins has served as the Companys Senior Vice President and General Counsel since October 1, 2000. Mr. Goggins joined Moodys Investors Service, Inc., in February 1999 as Vice President and Associate General Counsel and became General Counsel in 2000. Prior thereto, he served as counsel at Dow Jones & Company from 1995 to 1999, where he was responsible for securities, acquisitions and general corporate matters. Prior to Dow Jones, he was an associate at Cadwalader, Wickersham, & Taft from 1985 to 1995, where he specialized in mergers and acquisitions. | |
Raymond W. McDaniel, Jr., 47 President and Chief Operating Officer, Moodys Corporation and President, Moodys Investors Service, Inc. |
Mr. McDaniel has served as the Companys President since October 2004 and as Chief Operating Officer since January 2004. He has served as a member of the Board of Directors since April 2003 and President of Moodys Investors Service, Inc. since November 2001. Mr. McDaniel also served as Executive Vice President of the Company from April 2003 to January 2004 and Senior Vice President from October 1, 2000 until January 2004. He served as Senior Managing Director, Global Ratings and Research, of Moodys Investors Service, Inc., from November 2000 until November 2001. Prior thereto, he had served as Managing Director, International, since 1996 and served as Managing Director, Europe, from 1993 until 1996. He also served as Associate Director in Moodys Structured Finance Group from 1989 until 1993, and as Senior Analyst in the Mortgage Securitization Group from 1988 to 1989. | |
Chester
V. A. Murray, 49 Executive Vice President, International, Moodys Investors Service |
Mr. Murray served as the Companys Senior Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer from October 2002 to June 2004 and again as Chief Human Resource Officer from October 2004 to February 2005. He has served as Executive Vice President-International of Moodys Investors Service, Inc. since January 2004. Mr. Murray served as Senior Managing Director of Moodys Investors Service, Inc., from November 2001 until October 2002; Group Managing Director-Europe from 1996 until November 2001; Managing Director of the Financial Institutions Group from 1993 until 1996; and Associate Director of the Financial Institutions Group from 1990 until 1993. He was a Senior Analyst for the Financial Institutions Group from 1985 until 1990. Prior thereto, Mr. Murray was a lending officer in the Latin American division of Irving Trust Company from 1981 until 1985. | |
John
Rutherfurd, Jr., 65 Chairman and Chief Executive Officer |
Mr. Rutherfurd has served as Chairman of the Board since October 2003 and the Companys Chief Executive Officer since October 1, 2000 and has been a member of the Board of Directors since May 2000. Mr. Rutherfurd served as President of Moodys Corporation from October 2000 until October 2003 and President of Moodys Investors Service, Inc. from January 1998 until November 2001. Prior thereto, he was the Chief Administrative Officer from 1996. Mr. Rutherfurd also served as Managing Director of Moodys Holdings Inc. from 1995 until 1996, and served as President of Interactive Data Corporation (IDC), a wholly owned subsidiary of Old D&B, from 1985 to 1989 and from 1990 until IDC was sold by Old D&B in September 1995. Mr. Rutherfurd is also a director of NASD and ICRA Limited, a credit rating agency in India that is affiliated with Moodys. |
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ITEM 2. PROPERTIES
The executive offices of Moodys are located at 99 Church Street, New York, New York, in a 297,000-square-foot property owned by Moodys. Moodys operations are also conducted from 9 other U.S. offices and 21 non-U.S. office locations, all of which are leased. These other properties are geographically distributed to meet operating and sales requirements worldwide. These properties are generally considered to be both suitable and adequate to meet current operating requirements, and virtually all space is being utilized.
ITEM 3. LEGAL PROCEEDINGS
From time to time, Moodys is involved in legal and tax proceedings, claims and litigation that are incidental to the Companys business, including claims based on ratings assigned by Moodys. Management periodically assesses the Companys liabilities and contingencies in connection with these matters, based upon the latest information available. For those matters where it is both probable that a liability has been incurred and the probable amount of loss can be reasonably estimated, the Company believes it has recorded appropriate reserves in the consolidated financial statements and periodically adjusts these reserves as appropriate. In other instances, because of the uncertainties related to both the probable outcome and amount or range of loss, management is unable to make a reasonable estimate of a liability, if any. As additional information becomes available, the Company adjusts its assessments and estimates of such liabilities accordingly.
The discussion of the litigation under the heading Legacy Contingencies under Item 7. Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations, commencing at page 34 of this annual report on Form 10-K, is incorporated into this Item 3 by reference.
Based on its review of the latest information available, in the opinion of management, the ultimate liability of the Company in connection with pending legal and tax proceedings, claims and litigation will not have a material adverse effect on Moodys financial position, results of operations or cash flows, subject to the contingencies described in Part II, Item 7. Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations Contingencies.
ITEM 4. SUBMISSION OF MATTERS TO A VOTE OF SECURITY HOLDERS
During the fourth quarter of the fiscal year covered by this annual report on Form 10-K, no matter was submitted to a vote of security holders.
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PART II
ITEM 5. MARKET FOR THE REGISTRANTS COMMON EQUITY, RELATED SHAREHOLDER MATTERS AND ISSUER PURCHASES OF EQUITY SECURITIES.
Information in response to this Item is set forth under the captions Common Stock Information and Dividends in Item 7 of this annual report on Form 10-K.
MOODYS PURCHASES OF EQUITY SECURITIES
For the Three Months Ended December 31, 2004
| Total Number of Shares | Approximate Dollar Value of | |||||||||||||||
| Purchased as Part of | Shares that May Yet Be | |||||||||||||||
| Total Number of | Average Price | Publicly Announced | Purchased Under the | |||||||||||||
| Period | Shares Purchased | Paid per Share | Program | Program (1) | ||||||||||||
October 1 - 31 |
| | | $547.7 million | ||||||||||||
November 1 - 30 |
| | | $547.7 million | ||||||||||||
December 1 - 31 |
| | | $547.7 million | ||||||||||||
Total |
| | | |||||||||||||
Since becoming a public company in October 2000 and through the end of 2004, Moodys has
repurchased 26.4 million shares at a total cost of $1.1 billion, including 13.0 million shares to
offset issuances under employee stock plans.
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ITEM 6. SELECTED FINANCIAL DATA
The Companys selected consolidated financial data should be read in conjunction with Item 7. Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations and the Moodys Corporation consolidated financial statements and notes thereto.
| Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||||||||||
| amounts in millions, except per share data | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 (4) | |||||||||||||||
Results of operations (1) |
||||||||||||||||||||
Revenue |
$ | 1,438.3 | $ | 1,246.6 | $ | 1,023.3 | $ | 796.7 | $ | 602.3 | ||||||||||
Expenses |
651.9 | 583.5 | 485.2 | 398.2 | 313.8 | |||||||||||||||
Operating income |
786.4 | 663.1 | 538.1 | 398.5 | 288.5 | |||||||||||||||
Non-operating expense, net (2) |
(15.1 | ) | (6.7 | ) | (20.7 | ) | (16.6 | ) | (4.5 | ) | ||||||||||
Income before provision for income taxes |
771.3 | 656.4 | 517.4 | 381.9 | 284.0 | |||||||||||||||
Provision for income taxes |
346.2 | 292.5 | 228.5 | 169.7 | 125.5 | |||||||||||||||
Net income |
$ | 425.1 | $ | 363.9 | $ | 288.9 | $ | 212.2 | $ | 158.5 | ||||||||||
Earnings per share |
||||||||||||||||||||
Basic |
$ | 2.86 | $ | 2.44 | $ | 1.88 | $ | 1.35 | $ | 0.98 | ||||||||||
Diluted |
$ | 2.79 | $ | 2.39 | $ | 1.83 | $ | 1.32 | $ | 0.97 | ||||||||||
Weighted average shares outstanding |
||||||||||||||||||||
Basic |
148.5 | 148.9 | 153.9 | 157.6 | 161.7 | |||||||||||||||
Diluted |
152.3 | 152.3 | 157.5 | 160.2 | 163.0 | |||||||||||||||
Dividends declared per share |
$ | 0.30 | $ | 0.18 | $ | 0.18 | $ | 0.18 | $ | 0.045 | ||||||||||
| As of December 31, | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 (4) | ||||||||||||||||
Balance sheet data |
||||||||||||||||||||
Total assets |
$ | 1,376.0 | $ | 952.3 | $ | 630.8 | $ | 505.4 | $ | 398.3 | ||||||||||
Long-term debt (3) |
$ | | $ | 300.0 | $ | 300.0 | $ | 300.0 | $ | 300.0 | ||||||||||
Shareholders equity (deficit) |
$ | 317.5 | $ | (32.1 | ) | $ | (327.0 | ) | $ | (304.1 | ) | $ | (282.5 | ) | ||||||
| (1) | The 2002 results of operations include revenue of $42.1 million, expenses of $42.8 million and an operating loss of $0.7 million related to KMV, which was acquired in April 2002. | |
| (2) | Non-operating expense, net includes $23.0 million, $23.5 million, $23.5 million, $22.9 million and $5.8 million, in 2004, 2003, 2002, 2001 and 2000 respectively, of interest expense that principally relates to the Companys $300 million of notes payable issued in October 2000. The 2003 amount also includes a gain of $13.6 million on an insurance recovery related to the September 11th tragedy. | |
| (3) | The amounts shown as long-term debt represent notes payable that mature in September 2005. These notes payable are classified as a current liability at December 31, 2004. | |
| (4) | The 2000 financial data included herein is presented as if the Company were a separate entity for the entire year, and may not necessarily reflect results of operations or financial position of Moodys had it been a separate entity prior to the Distribution Date. The 2000 results include $13.3 million of cost allocations from old D&B through the Distribution Date, related to employee benefits, centralized services and other corporate overhead. |
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ITEM 7. MANAGEMENTS DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
This discussion and analysis of financial condition and results of operations should be read in conjunction with the Moodys Corporation consolidated financial statements and notes thereto included elsewhere in this annual report on Form 10-K.
This Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations contains Forward-Looking Statements. See Forward-Looking Statements on page 41 and Additional Factors That May Affect Future Results on page 30 for a discussion of uncertainties, risks and other factors associated with these statements.
The Company
Except where otherwise indicated, the terms Moodys and the Company refer to Moodys Corporation and its subsidiaries. Moodys is a provider of credit ratings, research and analysis covering debt instruments and securities in the global capital markets and a provider of quantitative credit assessment services, credit training services and credit process software to banks and other financial institutions. Moodys operates in two reportable segments: Moodys Investors Service and Moodys KMV.
Moodys Investors Service publishes rating opinions on a broad range of credit obligors and credit obligations issued in domestic and international markets, including various corporate and governmental obligations, structured finance securities and commercial paper programs. It also publishes investor-oriented credit research, including in-depth research on major issuers, industry studies, special comments and credit opinion handbooks.
The Moodys KMV business consists of the combined businesses of KMV LLC and KMV Corporation (KMV), acquired in April 2002, and Moodys Risk Management Services. Moodys KMV develops and distributes quantitative credit assessment products and services for banks and investors in credit-sensitive assets, credit training services and credit process software.
The Company operated as part of The Dun & Bradstreet Corporation (Old D&B) until September 30, 2000 (the Distribution Date), when Old D&B separated into two publicly traded companies Moodys Corporation and The New D&B Corporation (New D&B). At that time, Old D&B distributed to its shareholders shares of New D&B stock. New D&B comprised the business of Old D&Bs Dun & Bradstreet operating company (the D&B Business). The remaining business of Old D&B consisted solely of the business of providing ratings and related research and credit risk management services (the Moodys Business) and was renamed Moodys Corporation. The method by which Old D&B distributed to its shareholders its shares of New D&B stock is hereinafter referred to as the 2000 Distribution.
Critical Accounting Estimates
Moodys discussion and analysis of its financial condition and results of operations are based on the Companys consolidated financial statements, which have been prepared in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States. The preparation of these financial statements requires Moodys to make estimates and judgments that affect reported amounts of assets, liabilities and related disclosures of contingent assets and liabilities at the dates of the financial statements and revenue and expenses during the reporting periods. These estimates are based on historical experience and on other assumptions that are believed to be reasonable under the circumstances. On an ongoing basis, Moodys evaluates its estimates, including those related to revenue recognition, accounts receivable allowances, contingencies, goodwill, pension and other post-retirement benefits and stock-based compensation. Actual results may differ from these estimates under different assumptions or conditions. The following accounting estimates are considered critical because they are particularly dependent on managements judgment about matters that are uncertain at the time the accounting estimates are made and changes to those estimates could have a material impact on the Companys consolidated results of operations or financial condition.
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Revenue Recognition
In recognizing revenue related to ratings, Moodys uses judgments to allocate billed revenue between ratings and the future monitoring of ratings in cases where the Company does not charge ongoing monitoring fees for a particular issuer. These judgments are not dependent on the outcome of future uncertainties, but rather relate to allocating revenue across accounting periods. In such cases, the Company defers portions of rating fees that it estimates will be attributed to future monitoring activities and recognizes the deferred revenue ratably over the estimated monitoring periods.
The portion of the revenue to be deferred is determined based on annual monitoring fees charged for similar securities or issuers and the level of monitoring effort required for a type of security or issuer. The estimated monitoring period over which the deferred revenue will be recognized is determined based on factors such as the frequency of issuance by the issuers and the lives of the rated securities. Currently, the estimated monitoring periods range from three to ten years. At December 31, 2004 and 2003, deferred revenue included approximately $30 million and $26 million, respectively, related to such deferred monitoring fees.
Moodys estimates revenue for ratings of commercial paper for which, in addition to a fixed annual monitoring fee, issuers are billed quarterly based on amounts outstanding. Related revenue is accrued each quarter based on estimated amounts outstanding, and is billed subsequently when actual data is available. The estimate is determined based on the issuers most recent reported quarterly data. At December 31, 2004 and 2003, accounts receivable included approximately $29 million and $26 million, respectively, related to accrued commercial paper revenue. Historically, the Company has not had material differences between the estimated revenue and the actual billings.
Accounts Receivable Allowance
Moodys records as reductions of revenue provisions for estimated future adjustments to customer billings based on historical experience and current conditions. Such provisions are reflected as additions to the accounts receivable allowance. Adjustments to and write-offs of accounts receivable are charged against the allowance. Moodys evaluates its accounts receivable by reviewing and assessing historical collection and adjustment experience and the current status of customer accounts. Moodys also considers the economic environment of the customers, both from an industry and geographic perspective, in evaluating the need for allowances. Based on its reviews, Moodys establishes or adjusts allowances for specific customers and the accounts receivable balance as a whole, as considered appropriate. This process involves a high degree of judgment and estimation and frequently involves significant dollar amounts. Accordingly, Moodys results of operations can be affected by adjustments to the allowance. Management believes that the allowance for uncollectible accounts is adequate to cover anticipated adjustments and write-offs under current conditions. However, significant changes in any of the above-noted factors, or actual write-offs or adjustments that differ from the estimated amounts, could result in allowances that are greater or less than Moodys estimates. In each of 2004 and 2003, the Company reduced its provision rates and its allowances to reflect its current estimate of the appropriate level of accounts receivable allowance.
Contingencies
Accounting for contingencies, including those matters described in the Contingencies section of this Managements Discussion and Analysis, is highly subjective and requires the use of judgments and estimates in assessing their magnitude and likely outcome. In many cases, the outcomes of such matters will be determined by third parties, including governmental or judicial bodies. The provisions made in the consolidated financial statements, as well as the related disclosures, represent managements best estimates of the then current status of such matters and their potential outcome based on a review of the facts and in consultation with outside legal counsel where deemed appropriate. The Company regularly reviews contingencies and as additional information becomes available may, in the future, adjust the provisions made in respect thereof. Since the potential exposure on many of these matters is material, and it is possible that these matters could be resolved in amounts that are greater than the Company has reserved, their resolution could have a material adverse effect on Moodys future reported results and financial position. In addition, potential cash outlays related to the resolution of these exposures could be material.
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For the years ended December 31, 2004 and 2003, the provision for income taxes reflected charges of $30.0 million and $16.2 million, respectively, to increase the Companys reserves for legacy income tax exposures that were assumed by Moodys in connection with its separation from The Dun & Bradstreet Corporation in October 2000. These tax matters are discussed under Legacy Tax Matters below.
Goodwill
Moodys evaluates its goodwill for impairment annually or more frequently if impairment indicators arise in accordance with Statement of Financial Accounting Standards (SFAS) No. 142, Goodwill and Other Intangible Assets. Moodys goodwill balance is material ($131.7 million at December 31, 2004), and the evaluation of the carrying value of goodwill requires that the Company make important assumptions and judgments about future operating results and cash flows as well as terminal values and discount rates. In estimating future operating results and cash flows, Moodys considers internal budgets and strategic plans, expected long-term growth rates, and the effects of external factors and market conditions. If actual future operating results and cash flows or external conditions differ from the Companys judgments, or if changes in assumed terminal values or discount rates are made, an impairment charge may be necessary to reduce the carrying value of goodwill, which charge could be material to the Companys financial position and results of operations.
Pension and Other Post-Retirement Benefits
The expenses, assets, liabilities and obligations that Moodys reports for pension and other post-retirement benefits are dependent on many assumptions concerning the outcome of future events and circumstances. These assumptions include the following:
future compensation increases, based on the Companys long-term actual experience and future outlook
discount rates, based on current yields on high grade corporate long-term bonds
long-term return on pension plan assets, based on the expected future average annual return for each major asset class within the plans portfolio (which is principally comprised of equity and fixed-income investments)
In determining such assumptions, the Company consults with outside actuaries and other advisors where deemed appropriate. In accordance with relevant accounting standards, if actual results differ from the Companys assumptions, such differences are deferred and amortized over the estimated future working life of the plan participants. While the Company believes that the assumptions used in its calculations are reasonable, differences in actual experience or changes in assumptions could have a significant effect on the expenses, assets and liabilities related to the Companys pension and other post-retirement benefits.
The table below shows the estimated effect that a one percentage point decrease in each of these assumptions will have on Moodys 2005 operating income (dollars in millions). These effects have been calculated using the Companys current projections of 2005 assets, liabilities, obligations and expenses related to pension and other post-retirement plans, which could change as updated data becomes available.
| Estimated Impact on | ||||||||
| Assumption Used for | 2005 Operating Income | |||||||
| 2005 | (Decrease)/Increase | |||||||
Discount Rate
|
5.90 | % | $ | (3.9 | ) | |||
Weighted Average Assumed Compensation Growth Rate
|
4.00 | % | $ | 1.2 | ||||
Assumed Long-Term Rate
of Return on Pension
Assets
|
8.35 | % | $ | (1.0 | ) | |||
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Based on our current projections, the Company estimates that expenses related to pension and post-retirement plans will be approximately $13 million in 2005 compared with $8 million in 2004. The expected expense increase in 2005 reflects the effects of normal growth in plan liabilities, as well as amortization of actuarial losses due to differences between past actuarial assumptions and actual plan experience, and assumption changes adopted as of December 31, 2004.
Stock-Based Compensation
On January 1, 2003, the Company adopted, on a prospective basis, the fair value method of accounting for stock-based compensation under the provisions of SFAS No. 123, Accounting for Stock-Based Compensation, as amended by SFAS No. 148, Accounting for Stock-Based Compensation - Transition and Disclosure an Amendment of FASB Statement No. 123. Therefore, employee stock options granted on and after January 1, 2003 are being expensed by the Company over the option vesting period, based on the estimated fair value of the option award on the date of grant. The estimated fair value is calculated based on a Black-Scholes option pricing model using assumptions and estimates that the Company believes are reasonable. Some of the assumptions and estimates, such as share price volatility and expected option holding period, are based in part on Moodys experience during the period since becoming a public company, which is limited. The use of different assumptions and estimates in the Black-Scholes option pricing model could produce materially different estimated fair values for option awards and related expense to be recognized over the option vesting period.
An increase in the following assumptions would have had the following estimated effect on operating income in 2004 (dollars in millions):
| Estimated Impact on | ||||||||||
| Amount of Increase in | Operating Income in 2004 | |||||||||
| Assumption Used | Assumption | (Decrease)/Increase | ||||||||
Expected
Dividend Yield |
2003 grants | 0.41% | 0.10% | $0.2 | ||||||
| 2004 grants | 0.46% | |||||||||
Expected Share
Price Volatility |
2003 and 2004 grants | 30% | 5% | ($2.5) | ||||||
Expected Option
Holding Period |
2003 and 2004 grants | 5.0 years | 1.0 year | ($2.3) | ||||||
Other Estimates
In addition, there are other accounting estimates within Moodys consolidated financial statements, including recoverability of deferred tax assets, anticipated distributions from non-U.S. subsidiaries, realizability of long-lived and intangible assets and valuation of investments in affiliates. Management believes the current assumptions and other considerations used to estimate amounts reflected in Moodys consolidated financial statements are appropriate. However, if actual experience differs from the assumptions and other considerations used in estimating amounts reflected in Moodys consolidated financial statements, the resulting changes could have a material adverse effect on Moodys consolidated results of operations or financial condition.
See Note 2 to the consolidated financial statements for further information on key accounting policies that impact Moodys.
Operating Segments
Prior to 2002, the Company operated in one reportable business segment Ratings, which accounted for approximately 90% of the Companys total revenue. With the April 2002 acquisition of KMV and its combination with Moodys Risk Management Services to form Moodys KMV, Moodys now operates in two reportable business segments: Moodys Investors Service and Moodys KMV. Accordingly, in the second quarter of 2002, the
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