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SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
FORM 10-K
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ANNUAL REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
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For the Fiscal Year Ended December 31, 2004 |
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TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
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For the Transition Period
From to . |
Commission File Number: 0-26820
CRAY INC.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
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Washington
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93-0962605 |
(State or Other Jurisdiction of
Incorporation or Organization) |
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(I.R.S. Employer
Identification No.) |
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411 First Avenue South, Suite 600
Seattle, Washington
(Address of Principal Executive Office) |
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98104-2860
(Zip Code) |
Registrants Telephone Number, Including Area Code:
(206) 701-2000
Securities Registered Pursuant to Section 12(b) of the
Exchange Act: NONE
Securities Registered Pursuant to Section 12(g) of the
Exchange Act:
Common Stock, $.01 par value
Indicate by check mark whether the Registrant (1) has filed
all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of
the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the past
12 months (or for such shorter period that the Registrant
was required to file such reports), and (2) has been
subject to such filing requirements for the past
90 days: Yes
þ No
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Indicate by check mark if disclosure of delinquent filers
pursuant to Item 405 of Regulation S-K is not
contained herein, and will not be contained, to the best of
Registrants knowledge, in definitive proxy or information
statements incorporated by reference in Part III of this
Form 10-K or any amendment to this
Form 10-K. o
Indicate by check mark whether the Registrant is an accelerated
filer (as defined in Exchange Act
Rule 12b-2): Yes
þ No
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The aggregate market value of the Common Stock held by
non-affiliates of the Registrant as of June 30, 2004, was
approximately $553,000,000, based upon the closing price of
$6.62 reported for such date on the Nasdaq National Market
System.
As of March 1, 2005, there were 87,638,651 shares of
Common Stock issued and outstanding.
DOCUMENTS INCORPORATED BY REFERENCE
Portions of the Proxy Statement to be delivered to shareholders
in connection with the Registrants Annual Meeting of
Shareholders to be held on May 11, 2005, are incorporated
by reference into Part III.
CRAY INC.
FORM 10-K
For Fiscal Year Ended December 31, 2004
INDEX
Cray, Cray-1, UNICOS and UNICOS/mk are federally registered
trademarks of Cray Inc., and Cray Y-MP, Cray C90, Cray J90, Cray
T90, Cray T3E, Cray SV1, Cray SV1ex, Cray MTA, Cray MTA-2, Cray
MTX, Cray X1, Cray X1E, Cray XT3 and Cray XD1 are trademarks of
Cray Inc. Other trademarks used in this report are the property
of their respective owners.
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Forward-Looking Statements
This Annual Report on Form 10-K contains forward-looking
statements that involve risks and uncertainties, as well as
assumptions that, if they never materialize or prove incorrect,
could cause our results to differ materially from those
expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. All
statements other than statements of historical fact are
statements that could be deemed forward-looking statements,
including any projections of earnings, revenue or other
financial items; any statements of the plans, strategies and
objectives of management for future operations; any statements
concerning proposed new products, services or developments; any
statements regarding future economic conditions or performance;
statements of belief and any statement of assumptions underlying
any of the foregoing.
The risks, uncertainties and assumptions referred to above
include fluctuating quarterly results; the possibility of
quarterly and annual net losses; uneven and possibly negative
cash flow from operations; the timing of product orders,
deliveries and customer acceptances; the timely development,
production and acceptance of products and services and their
features, including stable system software for our Cray XT3
systems; the timing and level of governmental support for
supercomputers; the market impact of a conclusion that our
internal control over financial reporting is ineffective; a
volatile market price for our common stock; our dependency on
third-party suppliers to build and deliver necessary components;
the challenge of managing asset levels, including inventory; the
difficulty of keeping expense growth at modest levels while
increasing revenue; our ability to retain and motivate key
employees; and other risks that are described from time to time
in our reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission
(SEC or Commission), including but not
limited to the items discussed in Factors That Could
Affect Future Results set forth in Item 1 below in
this report, and in subsequently filed reports. We assume no
obligation to update these forward-looking statements.
In this report, we rely on and refer to information and
statistics regarding the markets for various products. We
obtained this information from third-party sources, discussions
with our customers and our own internal estimates. We believe
that these third-party sources are reliable, but we have not
independently verified them and there can be no assurance that
they are accurate.
PART I
General
We design, develop, market and service high performance computer
systems, commonly known as supercomputers. These systems provide
capability and capacity far beyond typical server-based computer
systems and address challenging scientific and engineering
computing problems for government, industry and academia.
We are dedicated solely to the high performance computing
market. We have concentrated our product roadmap on building
purpose-built, balanced systems combining highly capable
processors (whether developed by ourselves or others) with rapid
interconnect and communications capabilities throughout the
entire computing system, not solely processor-to-processor. We
believe we are in the best position to meet the high performance
computer markets demanding needs by providing superior
supercomputer systems with performance and cost advantages over
low-bandwidth and cluster systems when sustained performance on
challenging applications and workloads and total cost of
ownership are taken into account.
Our 2004 product revenue primarily came from sales of our Cray
X1 system and government funding for our Red Storm and Cascade
development projects. In the second half of 2004, we were in
transition from offering one product, the Cray X1 system, to the
three products that we currently offer: the Cray X1E, XT3 and
XD1 systems. We also derive revenue from providing maintenance
and support services to the worldwide installed base of Cray
computers and professional services that leverage our technical
knowledge. See Product Offerings, Projects and
Services below.
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Our revenue, net income or loss and cash balances are likely to
fluctuate significantly from quarter to quarter and within a
quarter due to the high average sales prices and limited number
of sales of our larger products, the timing of purchase orders
and product deliveries, our general policy of not recognizing
product revenue for our larger systems until customer acceptance
and other contractual provisions have been fulfilled, and the
uncertain timing of payments for product sales, maintenance
services, government research and development funding, and
inventory.
We were incorporated under the laws of the State of Washington
in December 1987. Our corporate headquarter offices are located
at 411 First Avenue South, Suite 600, Seattle,
Washington, 98104-2860, our telephone number is
(206) 701-2000 and our web site address is: www.cray.com.
The contents of our web site are not incorporated by reference
into this Annual Report on Form 10-K or our other SEC
reports and filings.
Our History
In many ways our current history began on April 1, 2000,
when we, as Tera Computer Company, acquired the operating assets
of the Cray Research division from Silicon Graphics, Inc.
(SGI), and renamed ourselves Cray Inc.
Tera Computer Company was founded in 1987 with the purpose of
developing a new supercomputer system based on multithreaded
architecture. We completed an initial public offering in 1995.
In 2000 we were still in the development stage with limited
revenue and approximately 125 employees, almost all of whom were
located in our Seattle office.
Cray Research was founded in 1972 by Seymour Cray and introduced
its first product, the Cray-1, in 1976. Cray Research pioneered
the use of vector systems in a variety of market sectors and
dominated the supercomputer market in the late 1970s and
1980s. Cray Research introduced a series of vector-based
systems, including the Cray Y-MP, C90, J90, T90 and SV1 systems.
Cray Research also developed leading high-bandwidth massively
parallel systems, notably the Cray T3E system, using Alpha
microprocessors from Digital Equipment and later Compaq
Computer. In 1996 SGI acquired Cray Research and cancelled the
development of the successors to the only two U.S. produced
capability-class supercomputers at the time, the Cray T90 and
T3E systems. In 1997, at the instigation of Cray Research, the
U.S. government imposed extensive anti-dumping duties on
Japanese vector supercomputers, effectively preventing them from
entering the U.S. market. These developments combined to
eliminate the availability of high-bandwidth computer systems in
the United States high performance computing market, greatly
diminishing the U.S. markets access to these systems.
In 1998 SGI and the Department of Defense entered into a
cost-sharing contract for the development of the Cray X1 system
(then code-named the Cray SV2). In 1999, having moved a
substantial number of established Cray Research customers to its
Origin product line, SGI announced that it would consider offers
to purchase the Cray Research division.
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Cray Research Acquisition |
On April 1, 2000, we acquired the operating assets of the
Cray Research business unit from SGI and changed our corporate
name to Cray Inc. In that transaction, we acquired the Cray T90,
SV1, T3E and other product lines, the Cray X1 development
project and related cost-sharing contract, a worldwide service
organization supporting Cray supercomputers installed at
customer sites, integration and final assembly operations,
software products and related experience and expertise,
approximately 775 employees, product and service inventory, real
property located in Chippewa Falls, Wisconsin, and the Cray
brand name. Pursuant to a technology agreement, SGI assigned to
us various patents and other intellectual property and licensed
to us the rights to other patents and intellectual property. We
paid SGI $50.3 million in cash and issued SGI
1,000,000 shares of our common stock.
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As part of the acquisition, we assumed responsibility for the
cost of servicing the Cray T90 vector computers. We agreed with
SGI that we would not utilize specified technology to develop
specific successor products to the Cray T3E product line, and we
agreed to limit our use of SGIs IRIX operating system to
the Cray X1 product family.
Following the acquisition, we integrated our approximately 900
employees into one company, established company-wide financial,
communication and other networks, moved employees out of SGI
facilities into new offices, established over 20 subsidiaries
for our foreign sales and service operations, either had
service, sales and other contracts assigned to us or entered
into new contracts with customers and vendors, continued the
development of the Cray X1 system and continued to sell the
then-existing Cray products, principally the Cray T3E and SV1
systems.
In May 2001 the U.S. anti-dumping order against Japanese
vector supercomputers was lifted, NEC Corporation invested
$25 million in us and we became a distributor of the NEC SX
series of supercomputers, with exclusive rights in North America
and non-exclusive rights outside of North America. In 2003 NEC
sold its investment in us, cancelled our exclusive rights and we
became a non-exclusive distributor world-wide.
In 2001 and 2002 we focused our development efforts on the Cray
X1 system; initial deliveries of the Cray X1 system began in
late 2002. The Cray X1 system, designed for the high end of the
supercomputer market, was the only new product we were selling
in 2003 and the first three quarters of 2004. In 2004 we
developed the Cray X1E system that significantly increased the
systems processor speed and capability; the first Cray X1E
system customer shipment occurred at the end of 2004.
In mid-2002 we began our Red Storm development project with
Sandia National Laboratories to design and deliver a new
high-bandwidth, massively parallel processing supercomputer
system. The Red Storm hardware system was shipped in
installments to Sandia, with the final hardware shipment in the
first quarter of 2005, subject to subsequent installation of
certain component upgrades when they become available. We are
currently developing and installing system software designed to
run applications programs successfully across the entire
10,000-processor system. The Red Storm project provides the
basis for a commercial product, our Cray XT3 system, targeting
the need for highly scalable, high-bandwidth,
microprocessor-based supercomputers using a Linux-based
operating system. The Cray XT3 system initial customer shipment
occurred in the fourth quarter of 2004, and full production ramp
is planned for 2005.
In mid-2002 we also began work under a contract awarded by the
Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) to
develop a system capable of sustained performance in excess of
one petaflops (1,000 trillion floating point operations per
second), which we call our Cascade program. We are currently
involved in phase 2 (the research phase) of this project,
which ends in mid-2006.
On April 1, 2004, we acquired OctigaBay Systems
Corporation, a privately-held company located in Burnaby, B.C.
OctigaBay was developing a balanced, high-bandwidth system,
designed to be highly reliable and easy-to-use, targeted for the
midrange market. We renamed OctigaBay Systems Corporation as
Cray Canada Inc. and renamed the OctigaBay product as the Cray
XD1 system. Initial commercial shipments of the Cray XD1 system
began late in the third quarter of 2004, and full production
ramp is planned for 2005.
Discussions that relate to periods prior to April 1, 2000,
refer to our operations as Tera Computer Company, and
discussions that relate to periods after April 1, 2000,
refer to our combined operations as Cray Inc.
The High Performance Computing Industry
Since the pioneering Cray-1 system arrived in 1976,
supercomputers defined simply as the most powerful
class of computers at any time have contributed
substantially to the advancement of knowledge and the quality of
human life. Problems of major economic, scientific and strategic
importance typically are addressed by supercomputers, which
usually sell for several millions of dollars each, years before
becoming tractable with less capable systems. For scientific
applications, the increased need for computing power has
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been driven by highly challenging problems that can be solved
only through numerically intensive computation. For engineering
applications, high performance computers boost productivity and
decrease risk and the time to market for companies and products
in a broad range of industries. The U.S. government has
recognized that the continued development of high performance
computer systems is of critical importance to national defense
and the economic, scientific and strategic competitiveness of
the United States.
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Increasing Demand for Supercomputer Power |
Applications promising future competitive and scientific
advantage demand 10 to 1,000 times more supercomputer power than
anything available today, including current low-bandwidth
systems and existing enterprise-class and mainframe servers. We
believe there are three principal factors driving the growth in
the high performance computing market: the continuing demand for
advanced design and simulation capability, continuing concerns
about national security issues and the recognized need to
advance scientific research for domestic competitiveness of many
major countries around the world.
The demand for design capabilities grows seemingly without
limit. Automotive companies are targeting increased passenger
cabin comfort, better fuel mileage and improved safety and
handling. Aerospace firms envision more efficient planes and
space vehicles. Using genomic and proteomic technologies for
drug development are areas of intensive research and substantial
spending by research centers and biotechnology and
pharmaceutical companies.
Governments have a wide range of unmet security needs,
heightened by an emphasis on anti-terrorism. These needs
primarily relate to burgeoning cryptanalysis requirements
arising from a more diverse and growing number of sources and
requirements for rapid and accurate analysis and integration of
information from many disparate sources. In addition,
governments need better simulation and modeling of a wide range
of weapons and battlefield scenarios and the computational
ability to address various classified applications.
In 2002 the Japanese government announced the completion of the
Japanese Earth Simulator project. This high-bandwidth,
vector-based system remains acknowledged as one of the
worlds most powerful installed computer system with a peak
speed of approximately 40 teraflops (40 trillion floating point
operations per second) and high sustained operating performance
on real applications. The Japanese Earth Simulator validated our
proposition that high-bandwidth and sustained performance are
critical, and has provided Japan with the opportunity to lead in
scientific research in fields such as weather and climate,
geophysics, nanotechnology and metallurgy. The Japanese
government recently declared that increased supercomputing
technology was a high priority for the rest of this decade, and
we believe that its stated intent to upgrade the Japanese Earth
Simulator should reinforce the U.S. governments
desire to recapture and maintain supercomputing leadership.
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The Advantages of Bandwidth |
When we speak of bandwidth, we mean the ability of
processors to communicate with other processors, with the
systems internal memory subsystem and with input/output
(I/ O) connections.
Todays supercomputer market is replete with low-bandwidth
systems and off-the-shelf commodity-based cluster systems that
loosely link together multiple commodity servers or personal
computers by means of commercially available interconnect
products for several reasons. In recent years, the speed and
capabilities of off-the-shelf interconnect systems and
processors have continued to improve and independent software
vendors have adapted their application codes to exploit the
capabilities and partially mask the weaknesses of these systems.
These systems offer significant performance and
price/performance on small problems and larger problems lacking
communications complexity. Secondly, the U.S. scientific,
engineering and government users have had to turn to these
systems for their more difficult problems primarily because they
had no alternative. The imposition by the U.S. government
in 1997 of anti-dumping duties on Japanese vector supercomputer
vendors and the SGI cancellation of the development of
successors to the Cray T90 and Cray T3E systems combined to
eliminate the availability of high-bandwidth supercomputers to
U.S. users. With no competitor planning to offer
next-generation high-bandwidth systems in the United States,
customer interest in these systems diminished substantially.
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We are dedicated solely to the high performance computer market.
We differentiate ourselves from our competitors primarily by
emphasizing the communication capabilities of our systems. We
have concentrated our product roadmap on building purpose-built
systems combining highly capable processors (whether developed
by ourselves or others) with rapid interconnect and
communication capabilities throughout the entire computing
system. Our supercomputer systems are balanced in
that our systems are fast not only processor-to-processor but
also with memory subsystems and I/ O systems. Competitive
systems may use processors with higher rated or theoretical
speeds than some of ours although at 18 gigaflops
our Cray X1E processor is currently the worlds
fastest but even in those cases our systems
typically outperform competing products by using their
high-bandwidth communications to deliver more data to the Cray
processors and keep them busier.
As we design our supercomputer systems for the needs of the high
performance computing market, we say they are
purpose-built for this market. Vendors of
low-bandwidth systems, such as IBM, design and build their
processors and systems to meet the requirements of their larger
commercial computer markets for servers and personal
computers and then attempt to leverage these
commercial server-based products into the supercomputer market.
Low-bandwidth and cluster systems may offer higher theoretical
peak performance than do our systems. Theoretical peak
performance is the highest theoretical possible speed at which a
computer system could, but never does, operate (obtained simply
by multiplying the number of processors by the designed rated
speed of each processor). Sustained performance, always lower
than peak, is the actual speed at which a supercomputer system
runs an application program. Due to their low internal bandwidth
and distributed memory, however, the sustained performance of
low-bandwidth and cluster systems on complex applications
frequently is a small fraction, often less than 10%, of their
theoretical peak performance, and as these systems become
larger, their efficiency declines even further. Our systems,
designed for balanced total system communications capability,
provide high actual sustained performance on difficult
computational problems, even though in some cases they may have
a lower theoretical peak performance than competitors
systems. While sustained performance may vary widely on
different applications, our systems generally operate on a
sustained basis from 1.5 to 10 times that of competitors
systems. We expect our systems to provide price/performance
advantages over low-bandwidth and cluster systems when
performance on real applications is taken into account.
The advent of the Cray X1 system in late 2002 provided the first
new high-bandwidth alternative for the U.S. high-end high
performance computer customers since the mid-1990s. Our
introduction in late 2004 of the Cray XT3 and XD1 systems
extended the availability of high-bandwidth systems to all
segments of the high performance computing market.
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The High Performance Computing Market |
Industry analyst firm, International Data Corporation
(IDC), provides information regarding the high
performance computing systems market, including historical data
and projections. IDC estimates that the revenue for the entire
high performance computing market totaled approximately
$5.6 billion in 2003, and that the market added another
$1.4 billion in 2004 for a total of $7.0 billion. IDC
segments the high performance computing systems market based on
prices and, at the higher end, intended use. IDC descriptions
and estimates of revenue in recent years for each of these
segments follow:
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Capability. Systems configured and purchased to solve the
largest, most demanding problems, and generally priced at
$1 million or more. The size of the capability segment has
ranged in recent years from about $800 million to
$1.2 billion. |
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Enterprise. Systems purchased to support technical
applications in throughput environments and sold for
$1.0 million or more, with 2003 estimated revenue of
$900 million. |
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Divisional. Systems purchased to support technical
applications in throughput environments and sold for $250,000 to
$999,999, with 2003 estimated revenue of $1.1 billion. |
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Departmental. Systems purchased to support technical
applications in throughput environments and sold for less than
$250,000, with 2003 estimated revenue of $2.5 billion. |
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Traditionally, we have focused on the capability segment of the
high performance computing market where the features we are
known for high speed processors coupled with very
fast communications are widely recognized as
necessary to solve the worlds most difficult computing
problems. With the Cray XT3 system, our addressable market
expanded into the enterprise segment. The Cray XD1 system
further extends our reach into the divisional segment and parts
of the departmental segment. We expect these two products will
effectively quadruple our addressable market in 2005.
Our Target Market and Customers
Our target markets for 2005 and beyond principally include the
government/classified, scientific research,
weather/environmental, and automotive and aerospace markets as
well as exploratory opportunities into other markets such as
life sciences and petroleum. In certain of our targeted markets,
such as the government/classified and scientific research
markets, customers have their own application programs and are
accustomed to using new, less proven systems. Other target
customers, such as automotive and aerospace firms and some
governmental agencies, require third-party application programs
in production environments. We devote significant resources to
porting widely used third-party application programs to all of
our systems to expand their respective markets.
Government agencies have represented a significant segment for
Cray Research and ourselves for many years. Certain governmental
departments continue to provide funding support for our research
and development efforts to meet their objectives. We expect
long-term spending on national security and defense to increase.
Current and target customers, primarily for our Cray X1E and XT3
systems, include Department of Defense classified customers and
the Department of Energy, which funds the Sandia National
Laboratories, Los Alamos National Laboratory and Lawrence
Livermore National Laboratory, and certain foreign counterparts.
The scientific research segment includes both unclassified
governmental and academic research laboratories and centers. The
success of the Japanese Earth Simulator has been important in
spurring increased interest in balanced high-bandwidth
supercomputers in basic research in areas such as climate and
physics. The Department of Defense, through its Defense High
Performance Computing Modernization Program, funds a number of
research organizations. Network Computing Services, Inc., the
system integrator for the Army High Performance Computing
Research Center in Minneapolis, and the Arctic Region
Supercomputing Center in Fairbanks, for example, were early
purchasers of our Cray X1 system, and the Army Center is
acquiring an additional Cray X1E system. The Office of Science
in the Department of Energy, which funds the Oak Ridge National
Laboratory, Argonne National Laboratory and National Energy
Research Scientific Computing Center, is a key target customer
as is the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Oak
Ridge National Laboratory is a significant customer for Cray X1,
X1E and XT3 systems and related services. The National Science
Foundation, which funds the Pittsburgh Supercomputing Center,
has acquired a Cray XT3 system with 10 teraflops peak
performance. The Maui High Performance Computing Center, a
U.S. Air Force Research Laboratorys Directed Energy
Directorate facility funded by the Defense High Performance
Computing Modernization Program, has selected a Cray XD1 system
with a peak performance of about 1.4 teraflops to increase the
Centers capabilities in space surveillance and image
processing. Cray XD1 systems have been acquired by governmental
and academic research laboratories and centers in Italy,
Germany, India, United Kingdom and the United States.
While short-term weather forecasting has largely moved to
low-bandwidth and cluster systems, more challenging climate
modeling applications require increasing speed and larger
volumes of data and thus are targets for our high-bandwidth
systems. Cray supercomputers are used in weather centers
worldwide, from the United Kingdom to Korea. We have announced
deliveries of Cray X1 systems with later upgrades to
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Cray X1E systems to Warsaw Universitys
Interdisciplinary Center for Mathematical and Computational
Modeling, the Spanish National Institute of Meteorology and the
Korea Meteorological Administration. Using a Cray X1 system, the
Army High Performance Computing Research Center ran a
5-kilometer resolution weather model for the entire continental
United States and is currently validating the results of a
2.5-kilometer model. These models require eight and 64 times
more computing power, respectively, than the 10-kilometer model
that is the highest resolution typically used today. Scientists
at the U.S. National Center for Atmospheric Research
recently stated, based on their experience using Japans
Earth Simulator and the Cray X1 system at Oak Ridge National
Laboratory, that todays vector systems deliver
substantially greater performance on climate applications than
other types of high performance computers.
These industries use supercomputers to design lighter, safer and
more durable vehicles as well as to study wind noise and airflow
around the vehicle. Several of the major automobile companies
and aerospace companies are Cray customers. We have installed a
Cray X1 system at The Boeing Company, which uses the system
primarily to run structural analysis and computational fluid
dynamics codes. The Cray XD1 system has demonstrated early
impressive results on certain crash and computational fluid
dynamics codes widely used in the automotive industry.
Product Offerings, Projects and Services
Our high performance computer products provide high-bandwidth
and other capabilities needed for exploiting new and existing
market opportunities. Among supercomputer vendors, our intent is
to offer the most comprehensive range of high-bandwidth products
and related services to the high performance computing market.
Our decisions to develop and market both the Cray XT3 system and
the Cray XD1 system further this strategy. Our goal is to bring
major enhancements and/or new products to market every 12 to
24 months. With the availability of the Cray X1E, XT3 and
XD1 systems, we now offer the most comprehensive and capable
lineup of systems for the high performance computing market.
Current Products
In late 2002 we completed hardware development of the new Cray
X1 system, which incorporates in its design both
vector-processing capabilities from the long line of Cray
Research vector systems and massively parallel capabilities
analogous to those of our prior generation Cray T3E system.
Designed to provide efficient scalability and high-bandwidth to
run complex applications at high sustained speeds, the Cray X1
system is an extreme performance supercomputer aimed
at the high end of the vector processing and massively parallel
systems markets. We commenced delivering production systems late
in the fourth quarter of 2002. In 2003 we enhanced the Cray X1
system hardware and software, ported application programs to
provide the features and stability required in a production
environment by governmental and industrial users, and delivered
ever-larger integrated systems. The Cray X1E system, first
shipped in December 2004, nearly triples the peak performance of
the Cray X1 system and features the worlds most powerful
processor, at 18 gigaflops, and the highest compute density. Our
selling focus for the Cray X1E system covers a range of peak
performance from 500 gigaflops to over 50 teraflops. Many of our
Cray X1 customers are upgrading to Cray X1E systems.
The Cray XT3 system uses Advanced Micro Devices Inc.
(AMD)
HyperTransporttm
and
Opterontm
processors connected via our low-latency, high-bandwidth
interconnect network. It incorporates a massively parallel
optimized Linux-based operating system and a standards-based
programming environment designed to deliver unmatched sustained
application performance in configurations from 200 to 30,000
processors. The Cray XT3 system features a tightly integrated
management and operating system to provide high reliability and
to run full-system applications to completion. The Cray XT3
system is based on the Red Storm architecture co-developed by
Sandia National Laboratories and us. We began shipments of early
versions of
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the Cray XT3 system in the fourth quarter of 2004 and full
production ramp is planned for 2005. Our selling focus for the
Cray XT3 systems covers a range of peak performance from one to
over 50 teraflops. List selling prices for a one cabinet system
start at under $2 million.
The Cray XD1 system, like the Cray XT3 system, is a
purpose-built, balanced high-bandwidth system that employs
standard microprocessors but is designed for the mid-range
market. It provides superior sustained application performance
employing the direct connected processor architecture to link
processors directly to each other and memory, eliminating
interconnect bottlenecks and providing greater bandwidth and
lower latency than typical cluster systems currently available.
The Cray XD1 system leverages high volume technologies such as
the AMD HyperTransport and Opteron technology and a Linux-based
operating system in connection with our automated management
infrastructure and provides the opportunity to accelerate
application performance through the use of field programmable
gate arrays. Our selling focus for the Cray XD1 system
ranges from 58 gigaflops to over 2.5 teraflops with processor
counts from 12 to more than 512. List prices for one unit
(chassis) systems start at under $100,000, with multiple
units providing enhanced application scaling performance.
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NEC SX Vector Supercomputers |
Pursuant to our distribution agreement with NEC, we currently
market on a non-exclusive basis the NEC SX series of vector
supercomputers to industrial, academic and governmental
customers requiring intense computing power, very large high
performance memory and high I/ O rates on a vector platform.
These classic vector systems offer high reliability in a
balanced, commercial quality system. We have sold several SX
systems to Canadian customers.
Current Projects
In mid-2002 we contracted with Sandia National Laboratories to
design and deliver a new massively parallel 40-teraop processing
system, called Red Storm, that will use 10,000 Opteron
processors from AMD connected via our low-latency,
high-bandwidth, three-dimensional interconnect network based on
HyperTransport technology. The Red Storm project involves
critical network and Linux-based operating system development.
We completed delivery and installation of the Red Storm hardware
at Sandia in the first quarter of 2005, subject to installation
of certain component upgrades when they become available. We are
developing and installing system software designed to run
applications programs across the entire system.
In mid-2002 DARPA selected Cray and four other companies for
phase 1 of an advanced research program leading to the
development of a commercially available high productivity system
capable of running real-world applications with sustained
performance in excess of one petaflops by 2010. In addition to
having high sustained performance, the resulting system is to be
designed to be much easier to program, more broadly applicable
and more robust than current designs. In mid-2003 we signed a
phase 2 research agreement with DARPA that will provide us
and our research partners, Stanford University, California
Institute of Technology/ Jet Propulsion Laboratories and the
University of Notre Dame, with just under $50 million over
three years to investigate advanced design concepts for the
petaflops system. IBM and Sun Microsystems received similar
awards. In mid-2006 DARPA plans to select up to two vendors for
the final full-scale development phase with initial prototype
deliveries scheduled for 2010.
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Other Research and Development Activities |
We are involved in several substantial research projects to
develop vector-based, multithreaded and scalar-based offerings
that will continue to advance performance and scalability. These
activities include a successor to the Cray X1/ X1E line,
code-named the Black Widow project; continued development of our
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multithreaded system; and development of an integrated
technology platform providing a single user interface and
environment and improved performance by matching the appropriate
processors to the needs of the users applications,
code-named the Rainier project. These projects are expensive
undertakings in terms of dollars, people and time. We seek
government funding, such as funding provided for the Red Storm
and Cascade projects and the Cray X1/ X1E systems, to help
defray the costs of this advanced research.
Services
Our extensive worldwide maintenance and support systems provide
us with a competitive advantage and a predictable flow of
revenue and cash. Support services are provided under separate
maintenance contracts with our customers. These contracts
generally provide for support services on an annual basis,
although some cover multiple years. While most customers pay for
support monthly, others pay on a quarterly or annual basis.
Our professional services organization supports our emphasis on
providing solutions rather than just computer systems to our
customers. This organization provides consulting, integration of
Cray products, custom hardware and software engineering,
advanced computer training, site engineering, data center
operation and computing-on-demand services. These services
leverage our reputation and skills for services and industry
technical leadership.
Technology
Our leadership in the high performance computer industry depends
on successful development and introduction of new products and
enhancements to existing products. Our research and development
activities are focused on system architecture, hardware and
software necessary to implement our product roadmap.
We are the only company in the world to provide systems that use
or combine all three of the basic high performance computer
architectures vector processing, massively parallel
processing and multithreading.
Cray Research pioneered the use of vector systems, from the
Cray-1 to the Cray T90 systems. These systems traditionally have
used a moderate number (one to 32) of very fast custom
processors in connection with a shared memory. Vector processing
has proven to be highly effective for many scientific and
engineering application programs that have been written to
maximize the number of long vectors.
Massively parallel processing architectures typically link tens,
hundreds or thousands of standard or commodity processors to
work either on multiple tasks at the same time or together in
concert on a single computationally-intensive task. We build
only massively parallel systems that have high-bandwidth and
low-latency interconnect systems. As our systems employ very
densely packaged connections and transfer data at very high
speeds, they are best suited for computing problems that require
many processors to communicate with each other, large memory
systems and I/ O connections frequently. Cray XT3 and XD1
systems are purpose-built, balanced high-bandwidth systems that
employ standard microprocessors.
The Cray X1/ X1E system is the first supercomputer that combines
the attributes of both vector and high-bandwidth massively
parallel systems. With up to 64 processors per cabinet and a
shared memory, the Cray X1/ X1E system can run small problems as
a vector processor would or, by focusing many processors on a
task, the Cray X1/ X1E system operates as a massively parallel
system with a system-wide shared memory and a single-system
image.
Our multithreaded products are designed to have sustainable high
speed, be broadly applicable and easy to program, provide
scalability as systems increase in size and have balanced I/ O
capability. The multithreading processors make the system
latency tolerant and, with flat shared memory, are able to
address data anywhere in the system.
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We have extensive experience in designing all of the components
of high performance computer systems the processors,
the interconnect system and controls, the I/ O system and the
supporting cooling infrastructure to operate
together. Our hardware research and development experience
includes:
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Integrated circuit design we have experience in
designing custom and standard cell integrated circuits. Our
processors and other integrated circuits have special features
that let them use the high available memory bandwidth
efficiently. We work closely with our suppliers to take
advantage of the latest advances in high speed, high density
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High speed interconnect systems we design high speed
interconnect systems using a combination of conventional and
microwave circuits, high density connectors and carefully chosen
transmission media together with complex memory and cache
controls to operate with our network protocols and highly
optimized logic design. We are investigating the use of optical
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Printed circuit board design our printed circuit
boards are some of the most sophisticated in the world, often
more than 40 layers packed with wires and inter-layer
connections. |
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System I/ O we design high performance I/ O
interfaces that deliver high-bandwidth transfer rates and large
capacity storage capabilities using low cost devices in highly
reliable configurations. |
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Packaging and cooling we use very dense packaging in
order to produce systems with the necessary bandwidth at
reasonable costs. This generates more heat per unit volume. We
use specialized cooling techniques to address this issue,
including immersion, conductive and spray cooling using various
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Fault tolerance we design our systems to be tolerant
of component failure. As individual components fail, our systems
operate with minimal adverse performance impact due to designed
alternative circuits and paths. We closely coordinate our
hardware and operating system design with field service
requirements for fast repair with minimal impact to users. |
Our hardware engineers are located primarily in our Chippewa
Falls, Wisconsin, Seattle, Washington, and Burnaby, B.C. offices.
We design and maintain our system software internally. The Cray
XT3 and XD1 systems exploit commercially available versions of
the Linux operating system, as does the Red Storm system. In
conjunction with the development of our integrated approach, we
anticipate that we will merge our operating systems to one or
more variants of the Linux operating systems. We currently
provide and support separate UNIX-based operating systems for
the Cray X1/ X1E system, our multithreaded system and the NEC SX
products.
We continue to design and build highly optimized programming
environments and performance management diagnostic software
products that allow our customers to obtain maximum benefit from
our systems. In addition to supporting third-party applications,
we develop advanced algorithms and other approaches to improving
application performance. We also purchase or license software
technologies from third parties when necessary to provide
appropriate support to our customers, while focusing our own
resources where we add the highest value.
Our software personnel are located principally in our Mendota
Heights, Minnesota, Seattle, Washington, and Burnaby, B.C.
offices.
Sales and Marketing
We primarily sell our Cray X1E and XT3 products through a direct
sales force that operates throughout the United States and in
Europe, Canada, Japan and Asia-Pacific. We serve smaller foreign
markets through sales representatives. We sell our Cray XD1
systems through our direct sales force and through channels we
are developing in all of our geographical markets. About half of
our sales force is located in the United States
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and Canada, with the rest overseas. Our marketing staff has a
strategic focus on our target markets and those solutions that
will facilitate our customers success in solving their
most challenging scientific and engineering problems. Our
marketing personnel are located in the United States and Canada.
In 2004 one customer, Sandia National Laboratories, through our
Red Storm project, accounted for 27% of our total revenue. In
2003 one customer, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, accounted for
11% of our total revenue and in 2002, no single end-user
customer accounted for 10% or more of our revenue. Agencies of
the United States government, both directly and indirectly
through system integrators and other resellers, accounted for
approximately 72% of our 2004 revenue, 74% of our 2003 revenue
and 79% of our 2002 revenue. Information with respect to our
international operations and export sales is set forth in
Note 16 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial
Statements.
Manufacturing and Procurement
While we design many of the hardware components for all of our
products, we subcontract the manufacture of these components,
including integrated circuits, printed circuit boards, flex
circuits, memory modules, machined enclosures and support
structures, cooling systems, high performance cables and other
items to third-party suppliers. Our strategy is to avoid the
large capital commitment and overhead associated with
establishing full-scale manufacturing facilities and to maintain
the flexibility to adopt new technologies as they become
available without the risk of equipment obsolescence. We perform
final system integration and testing of our hardware systems.
Our manufacturing personnel are located in Chippewa Falls,
Wisconsin.
Our systems incorporate some components that are available from
one or limited sources. Key components that are sole-sourced
include our integrated circuits and processors, interconnect
systems and memory products. We obtain integrated circuits for
our Cray X1E systems from IBM and for the Cray XT3 and XD1
systems from AMD, and field programmable gate array circuits for
our Cray XD1 system from Xilinx, Inc. Texas Instruments will be
acting as our foundry for future vector processors. IBM
currently provides packaging for our Cray X1E and XT3 systems.
We obtain custom cables and interconnect components for our Cray
X1E from InterCon Systems, Inc. We obtain custom memory products
for our Cray X1E systems from Samsung Semiconductor, Inc.
Hitachi America Inc. is our sole supplier for Cray X1E printed
circuit boards. We acquire power modules and spray cap cooling
systems for the Cray X1E from SAE Power Incorporated and Parker
Hannifin Corporation, respectively. We obtain power supplies for
the Cray X1E system from Pioneer Magnetics, Inc., and for the
Cray XT3 system from Valere Power, Inc. We use Benchmark
Electronics to assemble our Cray X1E and XT3 systems and for
repair of components for our vector and Cray X1 systems.
Our procurements from these vendors are primarily through
purchase orders. We have chosen to deal with sole sources in
these cases because of the availability of specific
technologies, economic advantages and other factors. We also
have sole or limited sources for less critical components, such
as peripherals, power supplies, cooling and chassis hardware.
Reliance on single or limited source vendors involves several
risks, including the possibility of shortages of key components,
long lead times, reduced control over delivery schedules and
changes in direction by vendors. See Factors That Could
Affect Future Results Our reliance on third-party
supplies poses significant risks to our business and
prospects below. Procurement personnel primarily are
located in Chippewa Falls, Wisconsin.
Competition
The high performance computing market is intensely competitive.
There are significant barriers to entry into the capability and
enterprise segments of the high performance computing market and
the cost of remaining competitive is high. Many of our
competitors are established companies that are well known in the
high performance computer market, including IBM, NEC,
Hewlett-Packard, SGI, Dell and Sun Microsystems. These
competitors have substantially greater research, engineering,
manufacturing, marketing and financial resources than we do.
We also compete with systems builders and resellers of systems
that are constructed from commodity components using
microprocessors manufactured by Intel, AMD, IBM and others.
These competitors include
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the previously named companies as well as smaller firms active
primarily in the divisional and department markets that benefit
from the low research and development costs needed to assemble
systems from commercially available technology. These companies
have capitalized on developments in parallel processing and
increased computer performance in commodity-based networking and
cluster systems. While these companies products are
limited in applicability and scalability and can be difficult to
program, they have achieved growing market acceptance. They
offer significant performance and price/performance on small
problems and larger problems lacking complexity and offer higher
theoretical peak performance.
Internationally we compete primarily with IBM, Hewlett-Packard,
SGI and NEC. While the first three companies offer massively
parallel systems, NEC offers vector-based systems with a large
suite of ported application programs. We have non-exclusive
rights to market NEC vector processing supercomputers throughout
the world. Competition with NEC is difficult due to NECs
aggressive pricing strategies and strong classic vector products.
We compete primarily on the basis of product performance,
breadth of features, availability of application software,
price, quality, reliability, service and support, corporate
reputation, brand image and account relationships. Our market
approach is more focused than our competitors, as we concentrate
solely on high-performance computing. Our products are designed
for the needs of this specific market. We offer systems that
provide greater performance on the largest, most difficult
computational problems and superior price/performance on many
important applications. Our systems offer total cost of
ownership advantages as they typically use far less electric
power for operations and cooling and occupy less space than
low-bandwidth and cluster systems.
Intellectual Property
We attempt to protect our trade secrets and other proprietary
rights through formal agreements with our employees, customers,
suppliers and consultants, and through patent protection.
Although we intend to protect our rights vigorously, there can
be no assurance that our contractual and other security
arrangements will be successful. There can be no assurance that
such arrangements will not be terminated or that we will be able
to enter into similar arrangements on favorable terms if
required in the future. In addition, if such agreements were
breached, there can be no assurance that we would have adequate
remedies for any breach.
We have a number of patents relating to our hardware and
software systems. We license certain patents and other
intellectual property from SGI as part of our acquisition of the
Cray Research operations. These licenses contain restrictions on
our use of the underlying technology, generally limiting the use
to historic Cray products, vector processor computers and the
Cray X1/X1E system. Our general policy is to seek patent
protection for those inventions and improvements likely to be
incorporated into our products and services or to give us a
competitive advantage. While we believe our patents and
applications have value, no single patent or group of patents is
in itself essential to us as a whole or to any of our key
products. Any of our proprietary rights could be challenged,
invalidated or circumvented and may not provide significant
competitive advantage.
There can be no assurance that the steps we take will be
adequate to protect or prevent the misappropriation of our
intellectual property. We may infringe or be subject to claims
that we infringe the intellectual property rights of others.
Litigation may be necessary in the future to enforce patents we
obtain, and to protect copyrights, trademarks, trade secrets and
know-how we own, or to defend infringement claims from others.
Such litigation could result in substantial expense to us and a
diversion of our efforts.
Employees
As of December 31, 2004, we employed 889 employees. We have
no collective bargaining agreement with our employees. We have
never experienced a work stoppage and believe that our employee
relations are excellent.
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Factors That Could Affect Future Results
The following factors should be considered in evaluating our
business, operations and prospects, they may affect our future
results and financial condition and they may affect an
investment in our securities. Factors specific to our
3.0% Convertible Senior Subordinated Notes due 2024 (the
Notes) and our common stock are set forth under the
subheading Factors Pertaining to Our Notes and Underlying
Common Stock below.
Our quarterly operating results may fluctuate
significantly. Our operating results are subject to
significant fluctuations due to many factors, which make
forecasting revenue and earnings for any period very difficult.
First, one or a few system sales may account for a substantial
percentage of our quarterly revenue, and thus revenue, net
income or loss and cash flow are likely to fluctuate
significantly from quarter to quarter and within a quarter. This
is due to the high average sales prices and limited number of
sales of our larger systems per quarter, the timing of purchase
orders and product delivery, and our general policy of not
recognizing product revenue until customers accept our products
and other contractual provisions have been fulfilled and the
uncertain timing of payments for product sales, maintenance
services, government research and development funding and
inventory. A delay in an acceptance of a system at the end of a
quarter or year or other factors affecting revenue recognition
could move the associated revenue into a subsequent quarter or
year and have a significant impact on revenue, earnings and cash
receipts. For example, in 2003 we were successful in obtaining
timely acceptances of major Cray X1 systems at the end of each
quarter. In the fourth quarter of 2004, however, we were not
able to record revenue for any of our late quarter shipments,
which adversely affected fourth quarter and 2004 results. Delays
in developing systems and enhancements could also result in
cancellation or loss of orders. These factors will continue to
apply to sales of our Cray X1E and Cray XT3 systems in 2005. We
anticipate continued deferrals in recognition of revenue and
associated costs for sales of products due to contractual
provisions despite earlier installation and, in most cases,
significant prepayment. At the end of 2004, we had approximately
$38 million of deferred product revenue.
Second, excluding revenue from our development projects, almost
all of our product revenue in 2004 was due to sales of one
product, our Cray X1 system, and was significantly less than
anticipated. In 2005, our quarterly revenue and product margins
will depend on the success in the marketplace of each of our
newly introduced products the Cray X1E, Cray XT3 and
Cray XD1 systems the timing of revenue recognition
for several large transactions, and early product cycle sales at
lower margins due to higher early manufacturing costs.
Third, a number of our prospective customers receive funding
from the U.S. or foreign governments. The timing of orders
from these government customers is subject to the funding
schedules for the relevant government agencies and delays that
may be experienced in competitive procurements. Delays in the
government appropriations process, including competitive
procurements, could defer purchases and revenue recognition for
transactions with government agencies.
The timing of orders and shipments and quarterly results also
could be affected by additional events outside our control, such
as:
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quantities to meet customer delivery schedules; |
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the receipt and timing of necessary export licenses; and |
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currency fluctuations and international conflicts or economic
crises. |
If we were unable to complete system software development
successfully for the Red Storm project and the Cray XT3 system,
our 2005 results would be materially and adversely impacted.
The acceptance of the Red Storm system at Sandia National
Laboratories and the acceptance of several large system
installations of our Cray XT3 system are dependent on our
ability to complete the development of and to install stable
system software that enables the scaling of application programs
over a large number of processors. We are engaged in
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a significant effort to complete this system software
development project. A substantial delay in completing this
work, or a failure to do so, could result in a delay in
receiving acceptance or a default under our Red Storm project,
delay or prevent revenue recognition on several large Cray XT3
installations, and adversely affect the possibility of
additional orders for the Cray XT3 systems and our other
products, particularly from the U.S. government.
We were not successful in completing the Red Storm project on
time and on budget, which adversely affected our 2004 earnings
and could adversely affect our 2005 earnings and financial
condition. Our 2005 revenue goals are dependent on the
successful completion of the Red Storm project with Sandia
National Laboratories. Our work is pursuant to a fixed-price
contract with payment against significant monthly milestones
setting out a tight development schedule and technically
challenging performance requirements. We have experienced delays
in receiving timely deliveries of acceptable components from
third parties and development delays, which caused us to miss
the contractual third quarter 2004 delivery date. Hardware
shipments of the Red Storm system to Sandia commenced in the
third quarter of 2004, and were completed in the first quarter
of 2005, subject to the installation of certain component
upgrades when they become available. We are developing and
installing system software designed to run application programs
successfully across the entire 10,000-processor system. Falling
behind schedule and incurring cost overruns on the Red Storm
project has adversely affected our cash flow and earnings, and
we recognized the estimated loss in 2004. The Red Storm delays
also prevented us from delivering Cray XT3 systems, the
productized version of the Red Storm system, in time to
recognize revenue in 2004. It is possible that we may have
additional losses on the Red Storm contract in 2005. Failure to
pass acceptance tests for the Red Storm system or to receive
full payment for the Red Storm system would result in additional
charges to earnings, and if severe enough could result in a
contract default or termination. In the event of a contract
default, we could be required to deliver all our knowledge and
data that materially concerns the Red Storm systems, subject to
the trade secret and intellectual property rights of third
parties, and assign to Sandia all of our rights to our
contractor developed technology, as such term is defined in the
contract, subject to a paid-up non-exclusive and
non-transferable license to practice such technology. In the
event of a contract termination, we may be liable to pay Sandia
for excess costs required to complete the contract. Such delays,
default declaration and/or termination could adversely affect
other transactions with other U.S. government agencies and
our 2005 results and financial condition.
Our product revenue and margins in 2005 depend on the success
of three new products. Whether we achieve planned 2005
product revenue and margins will depend on whether we have
sufficient internal engineering, marketing and sales resources
to complete development and to market and sell successfully each
of our newly introduced products the Cray X1E, Cray
XT3 and Cray XD1 systems at sufficient margins in a
highly competitive market. We must target each of these products
at the appropriate markets so that there is minimal market
confusion about our products. If we are not successful in these
efforts, we may not achieve our planned product revenue and
margins.
We will use a significant amount of working capital in the
first half of 2005, which could restrict our operations and
could make it advisable for us to raise additional equity or
debt which could be dilutive to our shareholders. At any
particular time, our cash position is affected by the timing of
payments for product sales, receipt of prepaid and regular
maintenance payments, receipt of government funding for research
and development activities and payment for inventory, resulting
in significant quarter to quarter and within a quarter
fluctuations in our cash balances. Our principal sources of
liquidity are our cash and cash equivalents, short-term
investments and our operations. We experienced lower than
anticipated product sales and delays in the availability of new
products in 2004, which adversely affects our current cash flow.
We face increased inventory purchases and higher start-up
manufacturing and selling costs with the introduction of three
new products in late 2004 and early 2005. Our 2004 restructuring
will lower our overall operating cash expenditures but not until
severance and related obligations are satisfied. Until we are
able to ship our new products, obtain product acceptances and
receive payment, we expect to use significant working capital,
particularly in the first half of 2005. Meanwhile, we are
focused on expense controls and working capital efficiencies to
maintain adequate levels of cash within each quarter.
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Depending on operating results, it could be advisable to enhance
and strengthen our cash and working capital position by raising
additional equity or debt capital. A financing may not be
available to us when needed or, if available, may not be
available on satisfactory terms, may contain restrictions on our
operations, would reduce the percentage ownership of our
shareholders, may cause additional dilution to our shareholders
and the securities may have rights, preferences and privileges
senior to the Notes and/or our common stock.
If the U.S. government purchases fewer supercomputers,
our revenue would be reduced and our earnings would be adversely
affected. Historically, sales to the U.S. government
and customers primarily serving the U.S. government have
represented a significant market for supercomputers, including
our products. From January 1, 2001, through
December 31, 2002, approximately $101 million of our
product revenue was derived from sales to various agencies of
the U.S. government; in 2003 and 2004, approximately
$145 million and $81 million of our product revenue
was derived from such sales, respectively. Our sales of Cray X1
systems and contracts for Cray X1E systems have been largely to
government agencies in the United States and other countries,
and we expect that will continue throughout 2005. To date,
however, we have entered into a limited number of significant
new contracts for sales of Cray X1E systems to
U.S. government customers, especially in the defense
segment, and we do not expect sales of the Cray X1E systems in
2005 to match the level of Cray X1 system sales in 2003 to such
customers. Sales to government agencies may be affected by
factors outside our control, such as changes in procurement
policies, budget considerations and international political
developments. If agencies and departments of the United States
or other governments were to stop, reduce or delay their use and
purchases of supercomputers, our revenue would be reduced, which
could lead to reduced profitability or losses in future periods.
Failure to manufacture and sell Cray XD1 systems in planned
quantities would adversely affect revenue and earnings in
2005. To be successful, the Cray XD1 system must be
manufactured and sold in quantities much higher than our
high-end products. We are redesigning our supply and
manufacturing processes to accommodate significant daily
production and shipment of Cray XD1 systems. The redesign of our
supply processes includes finding and qualifying new suppliers.
We experienced delays in receiving acceptable components from
third parties, which delayed shipments of Cray XD1 systems in
the fall of 2004. We are revamping our sales procedures to
accommodate high volume sales through the retraining of our
current sales personnel and adding sales channels
both distributors and agents in various markets. We
need to market these systems at sufficient margins in a highly
competitive market and lower the cost of goods for the Cray XD1
system to achieve an acceptable rate of return. We are changing
our service processes to accommodate the expected increased
number of Cray XD1 systems in the field. Lack of success in so
adapting our processes and sales channels and our manufacturing
and marketing processes will adversely affect revenue and
earnings from the Cray XD1 system in 2005.
The decline in the vector processor market may make sales of
the Cray X1 and Cray X1E systems more difficult, which would
adversely affect our revenue and earnings. The market for
vector-based systems has declined over the past several years,
and is now served only by NEC and us. We expect that sales of
Cray X1E systems primarily will be to domestic and foreign
government agencies, including upgrades to existing Cray X1
customers. The Cray X1E system offers processor speed
improvements and enhanced price-performance characteristics. We
anticipate difficult competition with NEC for vector-based
procurements in overseas markets and perhaps in the United
States. If we are unable to market and sell the Cray X1E system
successfully, our revenue and earnings will be adversely
affected.
Our inability to overcome the technical challenges of
completing the development of our high performance computer
systems would adversely affect our revenue and earnings in 2005
and beyond. Our success in 2005 and in the following years
depends on completing the Red Storm project; completing initial
development (particularly of system software) and successfully
selling the Cray XT3 system, which involves adapting the Red
Storm concept for the broader governmental, industrial and
academic markets; successfully selling the Cray X1E system as a
significant enhancement to the Cray X1 system; and completing
enhancements to the Cray XD1 system, completing stable system
software to scale application programs across multiple units and
successfully selling the Cray XD1 system in the midrange market.
In subsequent years we must develop further hardware and
software enhancements to the Cray XT3 and the Cray XD1 systems,
and develop our integrated technologies plan, which will allow
customers to take advantage of
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innovative scalar, vector and future processor technologies
within a common high-bandwidth infrastructure. These hardware
and software development efforts are lengthy and technically
challenging processes, and require a significant investment of
capital, engineering and other resources. Our engineering and
technical personnel resources are limited, and our 2004
restructuring has strained our engineering resources further.
Given the breadth of our engineering challenges, we periodically
review the anticipated contributions and expense of our product
programs to determine their long-term viability. We may not be
successful in meeting our development schedules for technical
reasons and/or because of insufficient engineering resources.
Delays in completing the design of the hardware components,
developing requisite system software or in integrating the full
systems would make it difficult for us to develop and market
these systems successfully and could cause a lack of confidence
in our capabilities among our key customers. At the beginning of
2004, we had planned on generating sizeable revenue shipments of
the Cray X1E and XT3 systems in the second half of 2004. Due to
development delays, however, we did not record any Cray X1E or
Cray XT3 system revenue in 2004. We may incur similar delays in
the future, which would adversely affect our revenue and
earnings.
Our reliance on third-party suppliers poses significant risks
to our business and prospects. We subcontract the
manufacture of substantially all of our hardware components for
all of our products, including integrated circuits, printed
circuit boards, connectors, cables, power supplies, software
components and certain memory parts, on a sole or limited source
basis to third-party suppliers. We use contract manufacturers to
assemble our components for all of our systems. We are subject
to substantial risks because of our reliance on these and other
limited or sole source suppliers. For example:
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if a supplier did not provide components that met our
specifications in sufficient quantities, then production and
sale of our systems would be delayed; |
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if a reduction or an interruption of supply of our components
occurred, either because of a significant problem with a
supplier or a single-source supplier deciding to no longer
provide those components to us, it could take us a considerable
period of time to identify and qualify alternative suppliers to
redesign our products as necessary and to begin manufacture of
the redesigned components or we may not be able to so redesign
such components; |
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if we were ever unable to locate a supplier for a key component,
we would be unable to deliver our products; |
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one or more suppliers could make strategic changes in their
product offerings, which might delay, suspend manufacture or
increase the cost of our components or systems; and |
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some of our key suppliers are small companies with limited
financial and other resources, and consequently may be more
likely to experience financial and operational difficulties than
larger, well-established companies. |
Our products must meet demanding specifications, such as
integrated circuits that perform reliably at high frequencies in
order to meet acceptance criteria. From time to time we have
incurred delays in the development and production of key
components for the Cray X1E, Red Storm, Cray XT3 and the Cray
XD1 systems. The consequent delays in product shipments and
acceptances adversely affected 2004 revenue and may affect
adversely 2005 revenue and margins.
We have used IBM as a key foundry supplier of our integrated
circuits for many years. In 2004 IBM informed us that it would
no longer act as our foundry supplier on a long-term basis,
although it will continue production of our current products for
a limited time. We have negotiated a termination of the
relationship with IBM and we are completing contracts with Texas
Instruments Incorporated to act as our foundry for certain key
integrated circuits for new products planned for 2006 and later.
Moving to a new foundry involves a costly redesign of components
and processes that will adversely affect operating results in
2005, and may cause delays in the development of these future
products.
Our Cray XT3 and XD1 systems utilize AMD Opteron processors. If
AMD suffers delays in the development of enhancements to its
processors, such as in the delivery of its planned dual-core
processors, our
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Cray XT3 and XD1 system sales would be adversely affected.
Changing our product designs to utilize another suppliers
microprocessors would be a costly and time-consuming process.